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WEEKLY MARKET TRENDS REPORT

November 30, 2012

Individual Reports on: Beef, Veal and Lamb Oil and Grains Dairy Pork Canned Tomato Poultry Seafood Bean, Rice, Coffee and Sugar Processed Fruits and Vegetables Produce

Beef, Veal and Lamb Report


Beef, Veal & Lamb- Beef production last week was 5.4% larger than the previous year.
Poor beef packer margins and tight cattle supplies are forcing beef packers to slow output this week which may help support beef prices. Demand for beef end cuts including chucks, rounds and briskets often rises as retailers shift feature activity to typical winter beef items. Last year, beef rounds and briskets increased 7.5% and 3.4% respectively during Dec. This could be supportive of the lean boneless beef trim markets as well. The five-year weekly average move for the 90% trim market over the next four weeks is up 2.6%.

Live Cattle (Steer) Ground Beef 81/19 Ground Chuck 109 Export Rib (choice) 109 Export Rib (prime) 112a Ribeye (choice) 112a Ribeye (prime) 116 Chuck (choice) 120 Brisket (choice) 121c Outside Skirt (ch/sel.) 167a Knckle, Trimmed (choice) 168 Inside Round (choice) 174 Short Loin (choice 0x1) 174 Short Loin (prime 2x3) 180 1x1 Strip (choice) 180 1x1 Strip (prime) 180 0x1 Strip (choice) 184 Top Butt, boneless (choice) 184 Top Butt, boneless (prime) 185a Sirloin Flap (choice) 185c Loin, Tri-Tip (choice) 189a Tender (select, 5 lb & up) 189a Tender (choice, 5 lb &up) 189a Tender (prime, heavy) 193 Flank Steak (choice) 50% Trimmings 65% Trimmings 75% Trimmings 85% Trimmings 90% Trimmings

Market Trend Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Steady Decreasing Increasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower Lower Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

90% Imported Beef (frozen) Veal Rack (Hotel 7 rib) Veal Top Round (cap off)

Increasing Steady Steady

Good Good Good

Higher Higher Higher

Oil and Grains Report


Oil & Grains- The U.S winter wheat crop continues to deteriorate due to dry weather conditions and is off to its
worst start since at least 1985. This could support wheat prices this winter.

Soybeans Crude Soybean Oil Soymeal Corn Crude Corn Oil Distillers Grain, Dry Crude Palm Oil Hard Red Winter Wheat Dark Northern Spring Wheat High Fructose Corn Syrup Durum Wheat

Market Trend Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Dairy Report
Dairy- Milk farmer margins have been challenged due largely to inflated feed costs. Dairy cow slaughter for the
week ended Nov 10 was the biggest in six weeks and 14% more than the five-year-weekly average. If this persists, it may equal curbed milk output and mitigated dairy product production this winter. Still, history points to lower cheese and butter prices in Dec. The five-year-average moves over the next four weeks for the CME block and butter markets are 13% and 10% lower respectively. Any price depreciation for cheese and butter this year could be tempered.

Market Trend Cheese Barrels- CME Cheese 40 lb Blocks- CME American Cheese Cheddar Cheese Mozzarella Cheese Provolone Cheese Parmesan Cheese Butter- One lb Solids Nonfat Dry Milk Whey, Dry Class I Milk Base Class II Cream (Heavy Cream) Class III Milk- CME Class IV Milk- CME Increasing Steady Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Pork Report
Pork- Pork output last week was 2.1% larger than the same week in '11. Pork production has increased this week
which may pressure pork prices lower in the near term. Sow slaughter for the week ended Nov 10 was the smallest for the week since '03. The USDA forecast of a decline in pork output during '13 may be overstated if sow slaughter rates continue to lag prior year levels. If realized, this could temper any seasonal pork market gains. The pork belly market typically remains steady during the next four weeks.

Live Hogs Belly (bacon) Spare Rib (4.25 & down) Ham (23-27 lb) Loin (bone-in) Baby Back Rib (1.75 & up) Tenderloin (1.25 lb) Boston Butt, untrimmed 4-8 lb. Picnic, untrimmed SS Picnic, smoker trim boxed 42% Trimmings 72% Trimmings

Market Trend Increasing Steady Decreasing Steady Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Canned Tomato Report


Tomato Products, Canned- Canned tomato stocks remain adequate. Canned tomato prices could be supported
this winter due to high raw product costs.

Whole Peeled Standard Diced, Fancy Ketchup, 33% Tomato Paste- Ind.

Market Trend Steady Steady Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Same Same Same Same

Poultry Report
Poultry- Conflicting data continues to raise questions on pending chicken production
levels. The broiler-type chick hatch in Oct was up 2% versus '11 suggesting stronger chicken output for Dec. Still, pullet placements, which measures new hens entering into the broiler hatchery flock, were down 1% in Oct versus '11. The hen hatchery flock during the first five months of next year is apt to be 3% smaller than '12. This could temper plans to expand chicken output during the first half of '13. The chicken breast markets have likely established a seasonal bottom. Chicken breast prices tend to remain steady during Dec before rising 7% in Jan. History points to jumbo-cut chicken wing prices moving up 9.5% over the next ten weeks.

Whole Chicken (2.5-3 lb-GA) Whole Chicken (LA) Chicken Wings, Whole Chicken Wings, Jumbo Cut Chicken Breast, Bone-In Chicken Breast, Bnless Sknless Chicken Tender (random) Chicken Tender (sized) Chicken Legs (whole) Chicken Leg Quarters

Market Trend Increasing Steady Increasing Increasing Steady Decreasing Steady Steady Decreasing Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Chicken Thighs, bone in Chicken Thighs, boneless Large Eggs Medium Eggs Whole Eggs- Liq Egg Whites- Liq Egg Yolks- Liq Whole Turkey (8-16 lb) Turkey Breast- Bnls/Sknls

Increasing Decreasing Steady Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady Steady

Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Lower Lower

Seafood Report
Seafood- U.S. Gulf of Mexico shrimp landings during Oct were 26% more than last year
and the best for the month in the last five years. Yet, current year U.S. Gulf of Mexico shrimp landings through Oct were 3.6% below a year ago. Because roughly 90% of the shrimp consumed in the U.S. is sourced internationally, a relatively deflated U.S. dollar could be somewhat supportive of the shrimp markets during the next few months.

Salmon, Whole (10-12 lb) Catfish, Filets Trout, Drn. (8-14 oz) Shrimp (16-20 count) Shrimp (61-70 count) Shrimp, Tiger (26-30 count) Snow Crab Legs (5-8 oz) Snow Crab Legs (8 oz up) Cod Tails, 3-7 oz. Frz. Cod Loins, 3-12 oz. Frz. Salmon Portions, 4-8 oz. Frz.

Market Trend Steady Steady Steady Decreasing Decreasing Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Bean, Rice, Coffee and Sugar Report


Pinto Beans Black Beans Rice, Long Grain Coffee Beans Sugar Honey Market Trend Decreasing Decreasing Steady Decreasing Decreasing Steady Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Price vs. Last Year Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher

Paper Product Report


Wood Pulp (paper)

NBSK- Paper napkin 42 lb. Linerboard-corrugated box


Plastic Resins (plastic, foam)

Market Trend Increasing Increasing Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher

PS-CHH-utensils, cups, to-go cont. PP-HIGP-heavy grade utensils PE-LLD-can liners, film, bags

Steady

Retail Price Change from Prior Month


Beef and Veal Dairy Pork Chicken Fresh Fish and Seafood Fresh Fruits and Vegetables Apr-11 Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Mar-11 Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Feb-11 Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Processed Fruits and Vegetables Report


Processed Fruits and Vegetables- The Oct 31 frozen green pea (11%) inventory was 11% less than the
previous year. The processed vegetable markets remain steady to firm.

Canned 6/10 Corn, Fancy Whole Kernel Green Beans, Fancy 4 sv Green Peas, Fancy 4 sv/blend Frozen Corn, Cob 96 count Corn, Kernel 12/2.5 lb. Green Beans, Cut 12/2 lb. Green Peas, 12/2.5 lb. Potatoes, FF Fancy, 6/5 lb.

Market Trend

Steady
Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher

Produce Report
Produce- The Yuma - Imperial Valley is now the key lettuce growing region.
Light weights, poor quality and solid demand have kept iceberg lettuce prices above '11 levels. Still, history suggests that the iceberg lettuce market may fall as the lettuce harvest improves next month. The mature green tomato markets remain elevated. Tomato shipments from FL last week were 27% less than '11 but are expected to increase soon as the tomato harvest expands. Fairly engaging mature green tomato prices may emerge in the coming weeks. Yellow onion prices tend to appreciate in Dec.

Limes (150 count) Lemons (95 count)

Market Trend Decreasing Steady

Supplies Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Lemons (200 count) Honeydew (6 ct.) Cantaloupe (15 count) Blueberries (12 count) Strawberries (12 pints) Avocados, Hass (48 count) Bananas (40 lb)-Term. Pineapple (7 ct.)- Term. Idaho Potato (60 count) Idaho Potato (70 count) Idaho Potato (70 count)-Term. Idaho Potato (90 count) Idaho Potato #2 (6 oz. min.) Processing Potato (100 lb) Yellow Onions (50 lb) Yellow Onions (50 lb)-Term. Red Onions (25 lb)-Term. White Onions (50 lb)-Term. Tomatoes, (large- case) Tomatoes, (5x6, 25 lb.)-Term. Tomatoes, Vine Ripe, (4x5) Roma Tomatoes (large- case) Roma Tomatoes (xlarge- case) Green Peppers (large- case) Red Peppers (large- 15 lb. cs.) Iceberg Lettuce (24 count) Iceberg Lettuce (24 cnt)-Term.

Steady Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Steady Increasing Decreasing Steady Steady Decreasing Steady Steady Steady Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Steady Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady Decreasing Increasing

Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Same Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Same

Produce Report (continued)


Leaf Lettuce (24 count) Romaine Lettuce (24 count) Mesculin Mix (3 lb)-Term. Broccoli (14 cnt.) Squash (case) Zucchini (case) Green Beans (bushel) Spinach, Flat 24s Mushrooms (large), Term. Cucumbers, Bushel Pickles (200-300 ct.)-Term. Asparagus (small) Freight (CA to City Avg.) Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

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