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Market Outlook

December 6, 2012

Dealers Diary

Domestic Indices

The Indian market is expected to open in the green reflecting positive opening
trades in the SGX Nifty and major Asian indices.

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE Sensex

0.2

43.7 19,392

Nifty

0.2

11.2

5,901

The US markets ended the session mixed after seeing considerable volatility over
the course of the trading day on Wednesday. The volatility on Wall Street came as
traders kept a close eye on comments out of Washington, where lawmakers
continue to struggle to reach an agreement to avoid the looming fiscal cliff. The
majority of the European markets managed to hold onto some modest gains at the
end of Wednesday's trading session. EU finance ministers' attempt to strike a deal
on a common supervisor for euro area banks hit a roadblock on Tuesday as
nations remained split on the terms of the proposed "single supervisory
mechanism." The ministers have agreed to meet again next week, ahead of the EU
leaders' summit scheduled for December 13-14. The meeting is expected to resolve
the disagreements over the single supervisor, which could enable Europe to contain
the banking woes of the single-currency region.

MID CAP

0.5

32.4

7,025

(0.8)

(23.0)

2,974

Meanwhile, Indian shares rose on Wednesday on hopes the government will win
the Parliamentary vote on FDI in retail later in the day. However, India's service
sector growth declined in November, an HSBC survey showed, limiting any major
upside. The HSBC's Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for November fell to
a 13-month low of 52.1 in November from 53.8 in the previous month.

FTSE

0.4

23.0

5,892

Nikkei

0.4

36.4

9,469

Hang Seng

2.2

Straits Times

0.5

13.8

3,076

Shanghai Com

2.9

56.8

2,032

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

INFY

(1.2)

(0.5)

$43.5

WIT

0.5

0.0

$8.7

IBN

3.2

1.3

$42.9

HDB

0.4

0.2

$41.8

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 19,409 / 5,903 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 19,446 19,501 / 5,915 5,930 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
19,409 / 5,903 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
19,354 19,316 / 5,889 5,877 levels.
Indices

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

SENSEX
NIFTY

19,316
5,877

19,354
5,889

19,409
5,903

19,446
5,915

19,501
5,930

News Analysis

Net Inflows (December 04 2012)


Sales
1,813
664

Net
600
(30)

MTD
1,390
(206)

YTD
106,409
(17,803)

FII Derivatives (December 04, 2012)


` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

Open Interest

Index Futures
Stock Futures

584
1,032

893
1,183

(309)
(151)

10,933
30,570

Gainers / Losers
Company

Gainers
Price (`)
chg (%)

Company

Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)

Sterlite Inds

113

5.4

United Brew-$

873

(12.6)

Allahabad Bank

155

4.9

Tata Power

108

(3.7)

Gujarat Fluo

349

4.8

Strides Arco

1,156

(3.3)

Sesa Goa

189

4.7

Muthoot Fin

196

(3.0)

Motherson Sumi

180

4.5

Glenmark Pharma

425

(3.0)

www.angelbroking.com

38.1

7,420

(0.1)

(8.1)

7,979

BSE PSU

0.5

36.9

7,247

BANKEX

0.7

93.5 14,093

AUTO

0.1

7.7 10,795

METAL

1.6

167.7 10,569

OIL & GAS

0.7

62.2

8,484

(1.2)

(71.3)

5,779

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE IT
Global Indices

Dow Jones
NASDAQ

Indian ADR

Advances / Declines

Chg (%)

0.6

82.7 13,034

470.9 22,271

BSE

NSE

Advances

1,695

893

Declines

1,232

627

112

75

Volumes (` cr)

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

Purch
2,413
634

0.5

BSE HC

Unchanged

Government wins vote on FDI in multi-brand retail in Lok Sabha


Result Review- Mphasis

` cr
FII
MFs

SMALL CAP

BSE

2,886

NSE

13,144

Market Outlook
December 6, 2012

Government wins vote on FDI in multi-brand retail in Lok Sabha


The government defeated the oppositions motion against its decision of up to 51%
foreign direct investment in multi-brand retail in the Lok Sabha. The Congress-led
UPA government won the crucial debate on FDI in multi-brand retail with 253
votes against the oppositions 218 votes. Following the fervent debate which took
place under Rule 184 in the Lok Sabha, outside-supporters to the UPA government
- the BSP and SP expectedly walked out of the house, refraining from the vote.
Thus, the majority required to win the vote came down to 251 (from 273) in the
544 member house. Subsequent to the vote in Lok Sabha, the issue is now
expected to be debated in the Rajya Sabha under rule 168.
On September 14, 2012 the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs approved
FDI in multi-brand retail with up to 51% stake, with the final decision on allowing it
to rest with the respective State governments. Further, since the decision on
permitting FDI in multi-brand retail up to 51% is an executive decision, the vote on
FDI is non-binding. However, we believe that it is key to ending the logjam in
parliament since it convened on November 22, 2012. We believe that by winning
the vote the government is likely to confidently step up momentum on further
reforms drive thereby enabling it to push through difficult legislations.

Result Review
Mphasis - 4QFY2012 (CMP: `387 / TP: Under review)
Mphasis announced its 4QFY2012 numbers which underperformed our
expectation on revenue front however came higher than expectations on the net
profit front. The dollar revenues came in at US$248mn, down 1.6% qoq, due
ramp down in some projects from HP channel. In INR terms revenues came in at
`1,306cr, down 3.6% qoq. The company again witnessed headcount reduction in
Application as well as ITO business, which led to increase in the respective
utilization levels. EBITDA margin of the company increased by 93bp qoq to 20.7%
due to lower employee costs as the companys overall employee base got reduced
by ~1,000 employees. PAT came in at `209cr aided by slightly lower interest
charges and higher other income. The company added 22 new clients during the
quarter, out of which 14 were added in direct channel. The stock is currently under
review.
Y/E

Sales

OPM

PAT

EPS

ROE

P/E

P/BV

EV/EBITDA

EV/Sales

March

(` cr)

(%)

(` cr)

(`)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(x)

(x)

FY2013E

5,700

18.0

776

37.0

14.3

10.5

1.5

5.2

0.9

FY2014E

5,993

17.0

782

37.3

12.6

10.4

1.3

4.7

0.8

Economic and Political News

www.angelbroking.com

Maha coordination panel to decide on retail FDI: Praful Patel


SC declines to entertain Sangma's plea against President
Services PMI falls to 13-month low in November
Auction coal blocks only after geological report: Crisil

Market Outlook
December 6, 2012

Corporate News

TVS Motors expects flat growth in sales this year


PC Jeweller plans to have 50 stores by FY14-end
RIL divests Yemen-9 Block To Medco, Indonesia
Sahara gets more time to repay bond investors

Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012
Global economic events release calendar
Date

Time

Country Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated

December 6, 2012

December 7, 2012

December 9, 2012
December 10, 2012

December 12, 2012

7:00PM

US

3:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ)

Initial Jobless claims

Thousands

Dec 1

393.00

380.00

% Change

3Q P

(0.10)

(0.10)

5:30PM

UK

% Ratio

Dec 6

0.50

0.50

6:15PM

Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates

3:00PM

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

Dec 6

0.75

0.75

% Change

Oct

(2.60)

(0.50)

7:00PM

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

7:00PM

US

Unnemployment rate

Thousands

Nov

171.00

87.00

Nov

7.90

7.90

7:00AM

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

Nov

1.70

2.10

11:00AM
5:29PM

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Nov

9.60

9.80

China

Exports YoY%

% Change

Nov

11.60

9.00

5:29PM

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

Nov

7.37

--

BOE Announces rates

5:29PM

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

Nov

(1.63)

--

11:00AM

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

Oct

(0.40)

--

% Change

Nov

10.10

--

Dec 12

0.25

--

3:00PM

UK

Jobless claims change

11:00PM

US

FOMC rate decision

December 13, 2012

7:00PM

US

Producer Price Index (mom)

% Change

Nov

(0.20)

(0.50)

December 14, 2012

12:00PM

India

Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%

% Change

Nov

7.45

--

3:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)

Nov

2.50

--

7:00PM

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

Nov

0.10

(0.20)

7:45PM

US

Industrial Production

Nov

(0.43)

0.30

11:00AM

India

RBI Repo rate

Dec 18

8.00

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Cash Reserve ratio

3:00PM

UK

CPI (YoY)

India

RBI Reverse Repo rate

7:00PM

US

7:00PM

US

8:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence

7:00PM

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

8:30PM

US

Existing home sales

December 21, 2012

3:00PM

UK

GDP (YoY)

December 27, 2012

8:30PM

US

Consumer Confidence

8:30PM

US

New home sales

December 18, 2012

December 19, 2012


December 20, 2012

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Dec 18

4.25

--

% Change

Nov

2.70

--

Dec 18

7.00

--

Housing Starts

Thousands

Nov

894.00

--

Building permits

Thousands

Nov

868.00

--

Value

Dec A

(26.90)

--

% Change

3Q T

2.70

--

Millions

Nov

4.79

--

% Change

3Q F

(0.10)

--

S.A./ 1985=100

Dec

73.70

--

Thousands

Nov

368.00

--

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends

Exhibit 2: IIP trends


(%)

(%)

8.0

11.2

6.0
6.0

9.2

9.0

8.5
7.6

7.5

8.2

8.0

5.7

6.1

5.3 5.5 5.3

2.7

2.0

2.3

2.5
1.0

(4.0)
(6.0)

Sep-12

Aug-12

(0.2)

(1.3)

(2.8)

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

2QFY13

1QFY13

4QFY12

3QFY12

2QFY12

1QFY12

4QFY11

3QFY11

2QFY11

1QFY11

4QFY10

3QFY10

2QFY10

1QFY10

(2.0)

Oct-11

3.5

(0.4)

(2.0)

(5.0)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Source: CSO, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly WPI inflation trends

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)

Mfg. PMI

60.0

Services PMI

9.5
7.7
6.9

7.4

7.7

7.5

7.6

7.6

7.5

8.0

7.8

58.0
7.5
56.0
54.0
52.0

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


(%)

48.0

Nov-11

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

50.0

Nov-11

10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

4.3

4.0
6.7

4QFY09

12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0

Exports yoy growth

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates


Repo rate

(%)
9.00

Imports yoy growth

45.0

Reverse Repo rate

CRR
8.00

8.00

30.0

7.00
7.00

15.0
6.00

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

4.25

Source: RBI, Angel Research

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

4.00

Dec-11

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

5.00

Nov-11

(30.0)

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

(15.0)

Nov-11

0.0

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

161

3,129

1,466

1,686

14.8

14.8

7.0

8.1

23.0

19.9

4.9

4.2

22.6

22.5

2.3

2.0

United Phosphorus

Buy

123

170

5,674

8,421

9,263

16.5

16.5

15.0

17.0

8.2

7.2

1.2

1.1

15.6

15.5

0.8

0.7

Amara Raja Batteries

Neutral

252

4,304

2,911

3,321

16.2

16.2

17.3

19.8

14.6

12.7

4.0

3.1

31.1

27.6

1.4

1.2

Apollo Tyres

Accumulate

86

96

4,357

13,713

15,341

11.2

11.2

12.5

14.8

6.9

5.8

1.3

1.1

20.2

19.9

0.5

0.4

Ashok Leyland

Accumulate

28

31

7,330

14,490

16,606

9.5

9.6

2.2

2.9

12.4

9.7

2.3

2.0

13.6

16.1

0.6

0.5

Automotive Axle#

Neutral

362

547

1,103

1,240

11.0

11.3

39.1

45.0

9.3

8.1

1.7

1.6

19.5

22.8

0.5

0.4

Bajaj Auto

Neutral

1,927

55,757

21,121

23,642

18.4

18.5

108.7

122.6

17.7

15.7

7.4

5.9

46.2

41.6

2.3

1.9

Bharat Forge

Buy

268

324

6,245

6,754

7,565

15.5

15.7

18.8

23.2

14.3

11.6

2.5

2.1

18.5

19.7

1.1

0.9

Bosch India*

Neutral

9,080

28,510

8,776

10,276

16.6

18.0

331.9

417.7

27.4

21.7

5.1

4.3

18.7

19.5

2.9

2.4

CEAT

Buy

108

163

368

4,989

5,634

8.2

8.5

27.1

40.8

4.0

2.6

0.5

0.4

13.2

17.2

0.3

0.2

Exide Industries

Accumulate

146

155

12,393

6,229

7,200

14.8

15.8

7.2

9.0

20.3

16.3

3.6

3.0

18.5

19.9

1.7

1.4

FAG Bearings*

Neutral

1,733

2,880

1,489

1,750

16.5

17.5

103.3

126.9

16.8

13.7

3.3

2.7

21.3

21.6

1.7

1.4

Hero Motocorp

Accumulate

1,826

1,956

36,468

24,743

27,996

14.8

15.2

118.2

130.4

15.5

14.0

6.6

5.3

48.3

41.9

1.2

1.0

JK Tyre

Buy

120

165

494

7,517

8,329

6.6

6.6

37.2

41.3

3.2

2.9

0.6

0.5

18.8

17.8

0.3

0.3

Auto & Auto Ancillary

Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral

930

57,106

40,035

46,272

11.5

11.6

54.7

62.8

17.0

14.8

3.8

3.2

24.3

23.4

1.2

1.0

Maruti

Neutral

1,475

42,608

42,019

50,246

7.3

8.6

66.1

94.4

22.3

15.6

2.5

2.2

11.9

15.1

0.9

0.7

Motherson Sumi

Neutral

180

10,558

24,285

27,317

6.7

7.2

8.1

10.6

22.3

17.0

4.7

3.8

22.9

24.7

0.6

0.5

Subros

Accumulate

31

35

187

1,286

1,479

9.4

9.7

2.6

5.1

12.0

6.2

0.7

0.6

5.6

10.3

0.4

0.4

Tata Motors

Buy

275

319

73,267 192,330 219,770

12.8

13.1

37.0

44.5

7.4

6.2

2.1

1.6

31.2

28.9

0.4

0.4

TVS Motor

Accumulate

40

45

1,898

7,466

8,290

6.2

6.3

4.8

5.6

8.3

7.1

1.4

1.3

18.2

18.7

0.2

0.2

Capital Goods
ABB*

Sell

724

573

15,341

7,796

9,907

4.8

7.8

9.2

22.0

78.7

32.9

5.7

5.0

7.5

16.4

1.9

1.5

BGR Energy

Neutral

269

1,944

3,605

4,542

11.8

10.7

25.1

27.9

10.7

9.7

1.6

1.4

31.1

27.1

1.0

0.9

BHEL

Neutral

238

58,167

47,801

43,757

18.5

18.0

24.6

21.8

9.7

10.9

2.9

2.5

33.5

24.5

1.1

1.2

Blue Star

Buy

197

242

1,770

2,763

2,948

3.1

5.6

2.6

8.6

74.8

23.0

4.3

3.8

5.9

17.6

0.8

0.7

Crompton Greaves

Buy

120

145

7,701

12,370

14,277

5.2

7.3

4.0

7.8

30.0

15.4

2.0

1.9

6.9

12.6

0.6

0.6

Jyoti Structures

Accumulate

48

53

396

2,794

3,048

10.6

10.6

9.2

11.7

5.2

4.1

0.6

0.5

10.9

12.5

0.4

0.4

KEC International

Accumulate

67

73

1,722

6,858

7,431

7.1

7.5

8.3

9.8

8.1

6.9

1.4

1.2

25.1

24.0

0.4

0.4

LMW

Neutral

2,105

2,371

2,369

2,727

11.7

11.7

143.4

166.0

14.7

12.7

2.4

2.2

17.4

18.4

0.5

0.4

Thermax

Neutral

601

7,156

5,514

5,813

9.3

10.2

28.1

31.2

21.4

19.3

3.8

3.3

19.2

18.5

1.2

1.1

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Cement
ACC

Neutral

1,428

26,804

11,085

12,415

21.6

21.4

79.4

83.1

18.0

17.2

3.5

3.1

20.1

19.2

2.1

1.8

Ambuja Cements

Neutral

207

31,925

10,272

11,884

26.4

26.1

11.5

12.9

18.1

16.1

4.0

3.5

20.8

21.1

2.8

2.3

India Cements

Neutral

89

2,722

4,293

4,666

17.7

18.1

8.6

10.8

10.3

8.2

0.8

0.7

7.5

9.0

1.0

0.9

J K Lakshmi Cements

Neutral

132

1,618

2,082

2,423

22.9

23.1

20.8

22.5

6.4

5.9

1.1

1.0

18.4

17.4

0.9

1.2

Madras Cements

Neutral

206

4,903

3,814

4,045

29.3

27.5

18.7

19.2

11.0

10.7

2.0

1.7

19.9

17.4

1.9

1.7

Shree Cements^

Neutral

4,284

14,923

5,701

6,210

29.7

28.1

240.7

260.7

17.8

16.4

4.3

3.5

27.1

23.6

2.1

1.7

UltraTech Cement

Neutral

1,952

53,517

21,368

24,043

22.5

23.5

103.5

121.4

18.9

16.1

3.5

3.0

20.2

20.1

2.5

2.3

212

304

1,118

2,034

2,315

22.4

22.4

27.1

31.7

7.8

6.7

1.0

0.8

13.1

13.4

1.8

2.0

Construction
Ashoka Buildcon

Buy

Consolidated Co

Neutral

13

237

2,262

2,522

6.7

7.5

1.5

2.7

8.6

4.8

0.4

0.4

4.4

7.5

0.4

0.4

IRB Infra

Buy

138

164

4,578

3,843

4,212

43.1

43.6

16.8

17.8

8.2

7.7

1.4

1.2

18.3

17.0

3.3

3.6

ITNL

Buy

195

225

3,792

6,564

7,054

27.2

27.4

26.3

29.0

7.4

6.7

1.2

1.0

14.0

11.8

2.7

2.7

IVRCL Infra

Neutral

45

1,395

4,249

6,897

7.8

8.2

0.3

3.3

147.4

13.8

0.6

0.6

0.4

4.4

0.9

0.6

Jaiprakash Asso.

Neutral

101

21,493

13,842

15,863

26.9

26.4

3.7

4.6

27.5

22.1

1.7

1.6

6.2

7.3

3.0

2.7

Larsen & Toubro

Neutral

1,666

102,465

60,556

69,167

11.2

11.6

73.8

85.5

22.6

19.5

3.6

3.2

13.5

14.1

1.9

1.6

Nagarjuna Const.

Reduce

48

44

1,242

5,947

6,569

8.5

8.6

3.1

4.1

15.6

11.8

0.5

0.5

3.3

4.2

0.6

0.6

Punj Lloyd

Neutral

58

1,923

11,892

13,116

9.0

9.0

1.8

3.2

32.0

18.0

0.7

0.6

2.5

3.7

0.6

0.5

Sadbhav Engg.

Buy

130

168

1,967

2,344

2,804

10.6

10.7

7.2

8.7

18.1

15.0

2.2

1.9

13.0

13.5

1.2

1.1

Simplex Infra

Buy

198

251

980

6,882

8,032

9.1

9.1

23.2

31.3

8.5

6.3

0.8

0.7

9.1

11.2

0.5

0.4

Allahabad Bank

Neutral

155

7,760

6,392

7,238

2.7

2.8

30.3

33.3

5.1

4.7

0.8

0.7

14.8

14.5

Andhra Bank

Neutral

114

6,351

4,731

5,431

2.9

3.0

21.5

21.8

5.3

5.2

0.9

0.8

15.2

13.8

Axis Bank

Accumulate

1,335

1,476

56,986

15,686

18,687

3.1

3.2

116.8

138.0

11.4

9.7

2.1

1.8

20.0

20.2

Bank of Baroda

Accumulate

782

817

30,617

15,436

18,208

2.5

2.6

111.8

137.4

7.0

5.7

1.1

0.9

15.8

17.0

Bank of India

Neutral

290

16,617

12,491

14,883

2.2

2.4

43.8

63.7

6.6

4.5

0.9

0.7

12.1

15.8

Bank of Maharashtra

Neutral

57

3,384

3,563

3,876

3.1

3.1

9.7

12.0

5.9

4.8

0.8

0.7

14.6

16.1

Canara Bank

Neutral

471

20,856

10,699

12,213

2.1

2.2

67.3

80.1

7.0

5.9

1.0

0.9

13.7

14.6

Central Bank

Neutral

79

5,786

7,171

8,236

2.5

2.6

16.4

21.5

4.8

3.7

0.8

0.7

12.7

14.9

Corporation Bank

Accumulate

429

445

6,349

4,780

5,569

2.0

2.1

101.8

99.2

4.2

4.3

0.7

0.6

17.0

14.7

Dena Bank

Accumulate

115

123

4,008

3,087

3,453

2.7

2.8

25.9

24.1

4.4

4.8

0.8

0.7

19.4

15.6

Federal Bank

Neutral

483

8,252

2,617

2,968

3.3

3.2

45.9

51.7

10.5

9.3

1.3

1.2

13.1

13.3

Financials

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY13E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Financials
HDFC

Neutral

838

129,120

7,336

8,802

3.5

3.5

31.5

37.8

26.6

22.2

5.3

4.7

34.8

32.1

HDFC Bank

Neutral

692

163,783

21,696

26,811

4.4

4.5

28.7

36.0

24.2

19.2

4.6

3.9

20.7

22.0

ICICI Bank

Buy

1,119

1,270

128,677

22,271

26,690

3.0

3.0

69.2

83.1

16.2

13.5

2.0

1.8

14.2

15.7

IDBI Bank

Neutral

109

13,948

7,684

9,264

1.8

2.1

15.6

22.0

7.0

5.0

0.8

0.7

10.9

13.9

Indian Bank

Accumulate

188

202

8,090

5,874

6,551

3.2

3.2

40.6

41.8

4.6

4.5

0.8

0.7

18.1

16.4

IOB

Neutral

82

6,535

7,050

8,313

2.3

2.5

12.3

19.9

6.7

4.1

0.6

0.6

8.8

13.1

J & K Bank

Neutral

1,404

6,805

2,762

2,885

3.6

3.6

226.7

193.0

6.2

7.3

1.4

1.2

24.4

17.7

LIC Housing Finance

Accumulate

272

298

13,704

1,799

2,255

2.3

2.4

20.3

27.3

13.4

10.0

2.1

1.8

16.9

19.7

Oriental Bank

Neutral

345

10,072

6,277

7,090

2.6

2.7

60.5

65.1

5.7

5.3

0.8

0.8

15.0

14.4

Punjab Natl.Bank

Accumulate

813

843

27,575

19,652

22,601

3.2

3.3

135.0

164.3

6.0

5.0

1.0

0.9

16.3

17.3

South Ind.Bank

Neutral

St Bk of India

Accumulate

Syndicate Bank

26

3,494

1,556

1,750

2.8

2.7

3.5

3.9

7.5

6.8

1.3

1.1

19.1

16.9

2,269

2,437

152,274

61,883

71,546

3.4

3.4

227.2

257.5

10.0

8.8

1.7

1.5

17.8

17.7

Neutral

127

7,672

6,756

7,783

3.0

3.0

26.3

27.1

4.9

4.7

0.8

0.7

18.3

16.6

UCO Bank

Neutral

78

5,201

5,234

6,097

2.3

2.4

11.8

14.7

6.6

5.3

1.1

0.9

11.9

13.4

Union Bank

Accumulate

247

250

13,590

9,912

11,536

2.8

2.9

40.4

46.7

6.1

5.3

1.0

0.9

16.1

16.4

United Bank

Neutral

76

2,735

3,500

3,912

2.6

2.8

15.8

21.2

4.8

3.6

0.6

0.5

13.1

15.7

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

61

3,015

2,354

2,754

2.0

2.2

7.4

10.2

8.3

6.0

0.8

0.7

9.3

11.9

Yes Bank

Accumulate

450

492

16,051

3,270

4,240

2.8

3.0

34.5

42.2

13.1

10.7

2.8

2.3

23.5

23.5

4,376

41,974

11,198

13,184

16.2

16.2

123.7

146.4

35.4

29.9

12.0

9.5

38.1

35.4

3.7

3.1

488

584

5,835

5,627

6,581

4.9

5.7

18.3

24.7

26.7

19.8

9.7

7.5

39.1

42.7

1.0

0.8

FMCG
Asian Paints

Neutral

Britannia

Buy

Colgate

Neutral

1,449

19,703

3,146

3,573

20.6

21.4

36.4

42.5

39.8

34.1

36.8

30.9

102.0

98.5

6.1

5.4

Dabur India

Neutral

130

22,641

6,124

7,101

17.0

16.8

4.5

5.2

29.1

24.8

12.0

9.5

43.2

41.5

3.7

3.1

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

3,798

15,974

3,124

3,663

17.1

17.6

104.5

123.8

36.4

30.7

11.3

9.1

34.4

32.8

4.7

3.9

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

728

24,791

6,355

7,548

18.4

18.6

22.8

27.6

31.9

26.4

7.3

6.0

26.4

26.1

4.1

3.4

HUL

Neutral

532

115,037

25,350

28,974

13.3

13.5

14.7

17.1

36.1

31.2

28.6

20.2

84.5

75.8

4.4

3.8

ITC

Neutral

298

234,597

29,409

34,060

35.7

36.1

9.3

10.9

32.0

27.3

10.6

8.8

35.8

35.3

7.6

6.5

Marico

Neutral

218

14,055

4,840

5,643

13.1

13.1

6.2

7.8

35.3

28.0

6.7

5.5

25.4

22.6

3.0

2.5

Nestle*

Neutral

4,825

46,521

8,529

10,079

20.8

21.1

113.1

137.8

42.7

35.0

25.6

17.9

70.5

60.2

5.4

4.4

Tata Global

Neutral

166

10,235

7,207

7,927

9.7

10.0

6.6

7.8

25.0

21.2

2.5

2.4

8.6

9.5

1.4

1.2

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

IT
HCL Tech^

Neutral

639

44,336

24,214

26,772

19.5

18.1

44.0

48.0

14.5

13.3

3.4

2.9

24.0

22.0

1.8

1.6

Hexaware*

Buy

110

135

3,255

1,944

2,159

21.8

21.1

11.4

12.2

9.7

9.0

2.5

2.1

26.4

24.1

1.4

1.2

Infosys

Accumulate

2,382

2,573

136,799

39,174

41,580

29.5

30.4

159.2

171.6

15.0

13.9

3.6

3.2

24.1

23.1

3.0

2.8

Infotech Enterprises

Accumulate

193

202

2,152

1,886

2,032

17.9

17.3

18.7

20.2

10.3

9.6

1.5

1.3

14.9

14.0

0.8

0.7

KPIT Cummins

Neutral

125

2,232

2,195

2,317

15.5

15.0

10.7

12.1

11.6

10.4

2.5

2.0

21.0

19.8

1.0

0.9

Mahindra Satyam

Accumulate

102

115

11,957

7,597

8,141

20.0

18.8

9.7

10.4

10.5

9.8

2.9

2.2

27.5

22.9

1.2

1.0

Mindtree

Neutral

695

2,856

2,324

2,437

20.0

17.7

73.3

74.7

9.5

9.3

2.3

1.8

24.1

19.7

1.0

0.9

Mphasis&

Neutral

388

8,158

5,700

5,993

18.0

16.9

37.0

37.3

10.5

10.4

1.5

1.3

14.3

12.6

1.0

0.9

NIIT

Accumulate

32

36

524

1,048

1,161

9.3

10.9

4.2

6.2

7.6

5.1

0.8

0.7

10.5

14.1

0.3

0.2

Persistent

Neutral

490

1,961

1,261

1,352

26.4

24.7

48.2

54.0

10.2

9.1

1.9

1.6

19.0

17.9

1.3

1.1

TCS

Accumulate

1,297

1,410

253,881

61,053

67,313

28.7

29.1

69.7

76.2

18.6

17.0

6.1

5.0

32.6

29.1

4.0

3.6

Tech Mahindra

Buy

887

1,070

11,336

6,603

7,150

19.8

18.4

92.9

102.0

9.6

8.7

2.3

1.8

23.7

21.0

1.8

1.6

Wipro

Accumulate

381

421

93,816

43,219

47,241

20.0

20.0

26.1

28.1

14.6

13.6

2.8

2.4

19.3

17.9

1.9

1.6

D B Corp

Buy

218

259

4,001

1,581

1,784

23.3

25.0

11.6

14.4

18.8

15.1

3.7

3.1

21.0

22.3

2.4

2.1

HT Media

Neutral

107

2,519

2,111

2,272

15.0

15.2

7.4

8.3

14.6

13.0

1.6

1.4

11.3

11.4

0.9

0.7

Jagran Prakashan

Accumulate

102

117

3,228

1,503

1,681

23.1

23.1

6.4

7.3

16.0

14.1

4.0

3.5

25.8

26.5

2.4

2.1

PVR

Neutral

321

926

682

786

17.3

16.9

17.6

19.7

18.2

16.3

2.2

1.9

14.9

14.5

1.7

1.5

Sun TV Network

Neutral

419

16,522

1,942

2,237

77.2

75.5

17.6

19.1

23.8

22.0

6.0

5.3

25.8

25.2

7.8

6.7

Bhushan Steel

Neutral

474

10,067

11,307

14,287

29.5

29.1

45.1

51.0

10.5

9.3

1.2

1.1

12.2

12.2

2.9

2.3

Coal India

Neutral

361

228,273

66,666

70,292

25.7

27.3

24.2

26.6

15.0

13.6

4.4

3.6

33.1

29.1

2.5

2.2

Electrosteel Castings

Accumulate

25

29

856

1,984

2,074

10.6

11.6

0.8

2.0

29.6

12.2

0.5

0.2

1.7

4.1

0.6

0.6

Hind. Zinc

Neutral

138

58,457

12,446

13,538

52.3

52.9

15.0

16.4

9.3

8.5

1.8

1.5

21.4

19.7

2.9

2.3

Hindalco

Neutral

121

23,138

79,148

89,258

9.4

9.0

15.0

15.6

8.1

7.8

0.7

0.6

8.8

8.4

0.7

0.6

JSW Steel

Neutral

772

17,224

39,586

41,459

17.6

17.0

78.7

90.1

9.8

8.6

1.0

0.9

10.2

10.7

0.8

0.8

MOIL

Accumulate

256

261

4,302

941

1,019

47.3

48.3

25.8

28.1

9.9

9.1

1.6

1.4

16.7

16.2

2.0

1.7

Monnet Ispat

Buy

279

344

1,795

2,501

3,264

22.2

24.6

41.8

55.2

6.7

5.1

0.7

0.6

11.3

13.4

1.8

1.3

Nalco

Reduce

NMDC

Buy

SAIL

Neutral

Media

Metals & Mining

www.angelbroking.com

49

44

12,525

6,898

7,841

9.9

14.7

2.0

3.2

24.5

15.3

1.1

1.0

4.3

6.8

1.4

1.2

164

198

65,041

11,209

12,525

78.4

78.3

18.5

20.6

8.9

8.0

2.2

1.8

27.0

24.6

3.9

3.3

83

34,366

47,252

60,351

14.2

14.8

9.6

11.7

8.7

7.1

0.8

0.7

9.4

10.6

1.2

1.0

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY13E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Metals & Mining


Sesa Goa

Neutral

189

16,435

4,551

6,640

32.8

34.4

33.7

39.3

5.6

4.8

1.0

0.8

18.3

18.3

4.1

2.8

Sterlite Inds

Neutral

113

37,908

43,185

45,442

23.3

23.7

16.8

17.9

6.7

6.3

0.7

0.7

11.6

11.2

0.8

0.8

Tata Steel

Buy

398

463

8.3

9.5

22.0

44.5

18.1

8.9

0.9

0.8

4.9

9.3

0.5

0.5

Sarda

Accumulate

138

153

496

1,442

1,494

17.6

17.3

27.2

28.7

5.1

4.8

0.6

0.5

11.5

11.0

0.7

0.7

Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas

Buy

52

73

698

2,694

2,906

14.6

16.6

16.4

20.8

3.2

2.5

0.3

0.3

11.4

12.8

0.5

0.3

Buy

120

143

381

2,342

2,470

13.7

15.3

27.7

33.8

4.3

3.6

0.4

0.4

10.9

11.4

0.6

0.6

Cairn India

Accumulate

332

382

63,494

17,567

17,643

76.2

72.3

61.1

56.8

5.4

5.9

1.1

1.0

22.0

17.5

2.8

2.4

GAIL

Neutral

354

44,841

46,652

54,142

15.7

15.7

34.0

35.3

10.4

10.0

1.8

1.6

18.5

16.8

0.7

0.5

ONGC

Buy

267

312

228,645 147,139 154,821

33.9

33.7

30.7

32.3

8.7

8.3

1.5

1.4

18.3

17.2

1.3

1.1

Reliance Industries

Neutral

831

272,083 362,700 380,031

7.9

8.0

60.0

63.3

13.9

13.1

1.3

1.2

11.1

10.6

0.7

0.7

Gujarat Gas*

Neutral

304

3,900

3,128

3,707

13.2

11.7

22.8

23.5

13.3

12.9

4.0

3.6

33.2

29.2

1.1

0.9

Indraprastha Gas

Neutral

264

3,695

3,213

3,643

23.3

23.5

24.3

25.7

10.9

10.3

2.5

2.1

25.0

22.1

1.3

1.1

Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals

Accumulate

160

183

12,019

30,077

33,570

6.6

6.3

15.1

15.3

10.6

10.5

2.7

2.2

28.4

23.1

0.4

0.4

75

4,243

1,079

1,034

91.8

91.9

8.8

8.4

8.6

9.0

1.4

1.3

17.9

15.0

3.7

3.7

Alembic Pharma

Buy

67

91

1,255

1,624

1,855

14.2

15.6

6.6

9.1

10.1

7.3

2.5

1.9

27.9

29.9

0.9

0.8

Aurobindo Pharma

Neutral

195

5,673

5,243

5,767

14.6

14.6

11.8

12.6

16.5

15.5

2.1

1.8

17.9

16.4

1.5

1.4

Aventis*

Neutral

2,207

5,083

1,482

1,682

15.5

15.5

95.1

104.4

23.2

21.1

4.1

3.2

18.6

17.0

3.2

2.8

Cadila Healthcare

Accumulate

846

926

17,327

6,148

7,386

18.6

19.6

32.7

44.8

25.9

18.9

5.7

4.6

23.7

26.6

3.2

2.6

Cipla

Neutral

414

33,265

8,151

9,130

25.0

24.0

19.5

20.9

21.3

19.8

3.7

3.2

18.8

17.2

3.8

3.3

Dr Reddy's

Neutral

1,832

31,100

10,696

11,662

20.7

21.0

83.7

92.9

21.9

19.7

4.5

3.8

22.4

20.8

3.2

2.8

Dishman Pharma

Buy

122

145

987

1,280

1,536

20.2

20.2

10.4

14.5

11.8

8.4

1.0

0.9

8.7

11.0

1.4

1.2

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

2,045

17,321

2,651

2,993

31.7

31.2

76.0

82.4

26.9

24.8

7.8

6.9

20.1

26.3

5.7

4.9

Indoco Remedies

Buy

68

89

622

685

837

15.2

15.2

7.4

8.9

9.1

7.6

1.4

1.2

16.4

17.0

1.1

0.9

Ipca labs

Neutral

461

5,815

2,850

3,474

21.0

21.0

29.9

37.3

15.4

12.4

3.7

2.9

26.7

26.4

2.2

1.8

Lupin

Accumulate

595

652

26,631

8,426

10,082

19.7

20.0

26.3

31.3

22.6

19.0

5.3

4.3

26.0

24.7

3.2

2.7

Ranbaxy*

Neutral

514

21,717

12,046

11,980

18.0

15.8

31.3

29.8

16.4

17.3

5.6

4.5

39.1

28.9

1.8

1.7

Sun Pharma

Neutral

703

72,668

9,752

12,134

41.6

41.6

26.0

28.2

27.0

24.9

5.1

4.3

20.3

18.8

6.7

5.2

CESC

Neutral

319

3,987

5,218

5,644

24.2

23.8

44.6

47.6

7.2

6.7

0.8

0.7

11.0

10.6

1.5

1.5

GIPCL

Accumulate

69

78

1,038

1,523

1,568

30.3

30.3

5.4

11.5

12.7

6.0

0.7

0.6

5.6

11.3

1.1

1.0

Neutral

38,620 145,725 154,108

Power

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Neutral

159

130,979

74,111

85,789

22.7

23.1

12.1

13.7

13.1

11.6

1.6

1.5

12.6

13.2

2.4

2.2

Anant Raj

Sell

101

78

2,973

657

875

52.0

56.1

8.4

12.7

12.0

7.9

0.7

0.7

6.3

8.9

5.8

4.4

DLF

Neutral

222

37,768

9,878

12,033

44.7

46.1

9.6

13.4

23.2

16.6

1.5

1.4

6.4

8.7

6.1

5.0

HDIL

Neutral

118

4,930

2,441

3,344

55.1

48.2

22.7

26.6

5.2

4.4

0.4

0.4

8.8

9.4

3.8

2.9

MLIFE

Neutral

413

1,685

813

901

26.2

26.6

32.0

37.1

12.9

11.1

1.3

1.2

10.4

11.0

2.5

2.2

Bharti Airtel

Neutral

330

125,337

81,984

90,718

32.1

33.8

10.9

16.9

30.2

19.6

2.3

2.1

7.6

10.6

2.2

1.9

Idea Cellular

Neutral

97

32,269

22,234

24,161

26.9

27.7

3.3

4.9

29.5

19.8

2.3

2.0

7.7

10.3

1.9

1.7

Rcom

Neutral

72

14,954

21,090

22,308

31.8

29.9

3.0

3.8

23.8

19.1

0.4

0.4

1.7

2.1

2.4

2.1

Power
NTPC
Real Estate

Telecom

zOthers
Abbott India

Accumulate

1,466

1,590

3,115

1,629

1,886

11.8

13.3

60.8

79.5

24.1

18.4

5.0

4.1

22.0

24.4

1.7

1.4

Bajaj Electricals

Accumulate

208

217

2,071

3,497

3,968

6.6

7.6

9.8

15.5

21.2

13.4

2.7

2.3

12.7

17.4

0.6

0.5

Cera Sanitaryware

Reduce

417

411

528

427

528

15.7

14.6

30.0

34.0

13.9

12.3

3.1

2.5

24.6

22.5

1.4

1.2

Cravatex

Buy

CRISIL

Neutral

Finolex Cables

418

545

108

272

308

7.2

7.3

37.5

45.4

11.2

9.2

2.7

2.1

23.7

22.7

0.5

0.4

1,029

7,230

982

1,136

34.3

34.3

34.3

40.0

30.0

25.7

13.6

10.9

50.9

46.9

7.2

6.0

Accumulate

61

61

928

2,304

2,552

9.9

9.1

8.2

10.1

7.4

6.0

1.0

0.9

13.7

14.7

0.3

0.3

Force Motors

Accumulate

478

537

623

2,318

2,700

5.0

5.7

45.0

67.0

10.6

7.1

0.5

0.5

5.0

7.0

0.2

0.2

Goodyear India

Accumulate

335

360

773

1,494

1,607

6.4

7.8

23.9

33.0

14.0

10.1

2.2

1.9

16.5

20.1

0.3

0.2

Greenply Industries

Neutral

307

740

1,925

2,235

10.6

10.9

29.6

44.1

10.4

7.0

1.7

1.4

16.8

21.0

0.7

0.6

Hitachi

Buy

126

146

289

873

989

4.4

6.5

6.4

12.2

19.8

10.4

1.6

1.4

8.3

14.4

0.4

0.3

Honeywell Automation* Buy

2,365

2,842

2,091

1,745

1,993

4.0

5.3

59.5

90.4

39.8

26.2

3.0

2.6

8.1

11.3

1.1

1.0

Styrolution ABS India*

Accumulate

704

744

1,238

1,059

1,116

8.5

9.5

36.0

42.0

19.6

16.8

2.9

2.5

15.4

16.0

1.2

1.1

ITD Cementation

Neutral

238

274

1,323

1,455

12.4

12.4

23.2

27.7

10.3

8.6

0.7

0.6

6.8

7.6

0.7

0.6

Jyothy Laboratories

Neutral

188

3,032

1,228

1,443

9.0

10.9

3.9

6.4

48.4

29.4

4.8

4.4

10.1

15.6

3.0

2.5

MCX

Reduce

1,533

1,440

7,818

553

624

65.3

66.3

62.5

72.0

24.5

21.3

6.7

5.8

27.5

27.4

11.4

9.6

MRF

Buy

11,639

12,884

4,936

11,804

12,727

10.4

10.5 1,289.9 1,431.3

9.0

8.1

1.7

1.4

21.3

19.4

0.5

0.5

Page Industries

Neutral

3,479

3,881

836

1,023

20.2

20.6

105.6

133.4

33.0

26.1

16.8

11.8

59.3

53.2

4.8

3.9

Relaxo Footwears

Buy

784

933

941

1,019

1,208

11.0

12.5

47.0

66.7

16.7

11.8

4.1

3.1

28.2

30.1

1.1

0.9

Sintex Industries

Buy

65

79

1,936

4,751

5,189

16.3

16.6

13.6

15.8

4.7

4.1

0.6

0.6

12.9

13.2

0.8

0.6

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

306

366

287

1,043

1,149

12.3

12.9

65.7

73.3

4.7

4.2

0.9

0.8

21.0

19.6

0.5

0.5

S. Kumars Nationwide

Neutral

16

476

7,134

7,985

19.7

19.4

12.2

14.1

1.3

1.1

0.1

0.1

11.3

11.5

0.6

0.6

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

OPM(%)
FY13E

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

zOthers
SpiceJet

Neutral

49

2,356

5,720

6,599

5.3

6.8

3.6

5.4

13.5

9.1

19.5

6.2

0.5

0.4

TAJ GVK

Buy

74

108

466

300

319

35.8

36.2

7.9

9.1

9.4

8.2

1.2

1.1

13.9

14.4

1.8

1.6

Tata Sponge Iron

Buy

309

384

476

750

803

18.6

18.4

65.4

69.1

4.7

4.5

0.7

0.6

16.5

15.3

0.2

0.2

TVS Srichakra

Buy

263

335

201

1,476

1,643

7.0

8.2

32.6

55.9

8.1

4.7

1.3

1.1

16.8

24.8

0.4

0.3

United Spirits

Neutral

2,015

26,349

10,289

11,421

12.8

12.8

26.0

45.3

77.5

44.5

3.5

3.3

5.8

7.6

2.9

2.6

Vesuvius India

Neutral

354

718

560

611

16.1

17.0

24.7

28.8

14.3

12.3

2.1

1.9

15.8

16.2

1.2

1.1

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on December 05, 2012

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Market Outlook
December 06, 2012

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