Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
.
Unlike a geographic coordinate system, a projected coordinate system is deined on a lat, two-
dimensional surace with constant lengths, angles, and areas across the two dimensions - it is
always based on a geographic coordinate system that is based on a sphere or spheroid.
1he modelling process o describing and quantiying the potential or transormation to PlS
requires the GIS data to be in projected coordinate system ormat. 1his is because the analysis
is based around the ArcGIS slope tool, which in order to calculate the slope, requires all inputs
to be in the same ormat. In this case the slope tool requires all data to be in metres and thus a
projected coordinate system is required. All data are downloaded in GCS_\GS_1984
coordinate system. 1hese data are then conerted to projected coordinate system using
ArcGIS` project` tool ,Data management tools,Projections and transormations,.
7
See Wikipedia and ESRI (www.esri.com) for further definitions
Figure 4: SRTM elevation data download map
20
Lach country may cross many U1M zones so when projecting one U1M zone must be
selected. 1he projected coordinate system selected or Croatia is
\GS_1984_U1M_Zone_34N, and or 1urkey is \GS_1984_U1M_Zone_36N
3.J.2 Shuttle Radar 1opography Mission ,SR1M, eleation data
1he eleation data used or the analysis is processed SR1M 90m digital eleation data. 1hese
data were obtained rom the Luropean Commission`s Joint Research Centre website,
http:,,srtm.jrc.ec.europa.eu, and can be downloaded directly rom
http:,,srtm.csi.cgiar.org,SLLLC1ION,inputCoord.asp.
1he SR1M data are aailable or the whole world, which is broken down into 128 blocks. Due
to the data being aailable in blocks, the country o interest may coer more than one o these
blocks. Lach block is downloaded and then merged into one raster layer using ArcGIS` Mosaic
tool ,Raster Dataset,Mosaic to New Raster,, to orm one eleation ile or each country.
ligure 5: methodology or creating a single SR1M raster eleation ile
1hen the mosaicked geographic coordinate system raster ile must be conerted to projected
coordinate system using the project raster tool` which is in the ArcGIS toolbox Data
Management,Projections and 1ransormations,Raster,Project Raster`.
1his new mosaicked layer will not detail the political boundaries o the country o interest. 1his
step uses a layer with the political borders o the country as a cookie cutter` to select only the
SR1M data that in within the political borders. 1his process is executed using the ArcGIS
extract tool ,Spatial Analysis 1ools,Lxtraction,Lxtract by Mask,.
3.J.3 Political borders
1he political borders layer illustrates the shape o the border o the country in question. 1he
layer ile was obtained rom DIVA-GIS |2[ in geographic coordinate system ormat. 1he layer
was conerted to projected coordinate system using the project tool` which is in the ArcGIS
toolbox Data Management,Projections and 1ransormations,leature,Project`.
3.J.4 Dam locations
As explained aboe, the methodology or geo-reerencing dam locations was based on creating
a database o all dams with a capacity aboe one million m
3
or 1 M\ o installed hydropower
capacity. 1he database was composed o ICOLD data which were then added geographical
SRTM1
SRTM2
SRTM3
SRTM X
Mosaic SRTM files
Extract by country
Final SRTM Raster
Convert to projected
coordinate system ArcGIS
Arcmap
21
reerences ,latitude, longitude, rom the GRanD database or 15 - 20 o the Croatian and
1urkish dams. 1he rest o the latitude and longitude data were obtained manually by locating
the dams in Google Larth based on the ICOLD name o the dam - the same methodology
used to populate the GRanD database with geo-reerences. 1o put into context the extent o
the manual work around 32 dams in Croatia and 50 dams in 1urkey were geo-reerenced
manually. 1his task was extremely time consuming
6
and although all possible care was taken to
reerence each dam correctly there may be errors present, due to lack o inormation aailable
when isually recognising the dams. 1he methodology or locating these dams in Google Larth
was as ollows.
Lach dam was searched or based on the nearest town` ield
in the database using Google Larth.
\hen a dam was located close to nearest town`, it was
eriied isually in Google Larth where possible, by comparing
it with the picture o the dam i aailable on the 1urkish DSI
website |12[.
All the dam locations were recorded in a Google Larth KML ile.
In order to use the dam locations in ArcGIS the Google Larth
KML ile was conerted to an ArcGIS shapeile. lor this, a script
that conerts Google Larth KML iles to shape iles was obtained
rom LSRI |28[. 1his script is added to the ArcGIS toolbox and the
ile is conerted to a shapeile
Reseroir capacity data were imported rom the database through
the import eatures o ArcGIS. Latitude and longitude coordinates
were added to ArcGIS shapeile attributes table using the add X\
coordinates` tool, which is in the ArcGIS toolbox Data
Management, leature,Add X\ Coordinates`.
1he eleation rom the SR1M raster was extracted and added to
the dam location attributes table using the Lxtract Values to
Points` tool, which is in the ArcGIS toolbox Spatial Analysis
1ools,Lxtraction,Lxtract Values to Points`.
1he dam locations geographic coordinate system shapeile ile was
then conerted to projected coordinate system using the project
raster tool` which is in the ArcGIS toolbox Data
Management,Projections and 1ransormations,Raster,Project
Raster`.
3.J.S CORINL land coer ,CLC, 2006 100m ersion 13 ,02,2010,
|29[
CLC is a map o the Luropean enironmental landscape based on interpretation o satellite
images. It proides comparable digital maps o land coer or each country or much o
Lurope. 1his is useul or enironmental analysis and or policy makers. CORINL stands or
Cooraivatiov of vforvatiov ov tbe vrirovvevt. 1he LU established CORINL in 1985 to create pan-
Luropean databases on land coer, biotopes ,habitats,, soil maps and acid rain.
1he Luropean Lnironment Agency, in conjunction with the Luropean Space Agency, the
Luropean Commission and Member States produced an update o the Luropean CLC database
as part o a last 1rack Serice on Land as part o the Ctobat Movitorivg for vrirovvevt ava
ecvrit, ,GMLS, initiatie. 1his update inoled:
Locate remaining dams
using Google Earth
Convert KML to SHP
Add XY coordinates
Add dam elevations
Final dam shape file
Add reservoir capacity
Add the geo-referenced
dams from GRanD
Convert to projected
coordinate system
Figure 6: geo-referencing dam
locations
22
1he creation o a change dataset or the period 2000-2006 with local interpretation o
satellite imagery, and
1he application o this change dataset to the CLC2000 dataset to produce an update o
the ull inentory or 2006 ,the snapshot database,.
1he CLC data or Croatia and 1urkey were extracted rom the Luropean data site and are used
or the inhabited areas and road,rail constraint. 1able 9 proides the CORINL grid codes
which identiy the categories the data are diided into.
No. Label J Label 2 Label 3
1 Artiicial suraces Urban abric Continuous urban abric
2 Artiicial suraces Urban abric Discontinuous urban abric
3 Artiicial suraces Industrial, commercial and transport units Industrial or commercial units
4 Artiicial suraces Industrial, commercial and transport units Road and rail networks and associated land
5 Artiicial suraces Industrial, commercial and transport units Port areas
6 Artiicial suraces Industrial, commercial and transport units Airports
Artiicial suraces Mine, dump and construction sites Mineral extraction sites
8 Artiicial suraces Mine, dump and construction sites Dump sites
9 Artiicial suraces Mine, dump and construction sites Construction sites
10 Artiicial suraces Artiicial, non-agricultural egetated areas Green urban areas
11 Artiicial suraces Artiicial, non-agricultural egetated areas Sport and leisure acilities
12 Agricultural areas Arable land Non-irrigated arable land
13 Agricultural areas Arable land Permanently irrigated land
14 Agricultural areas Arable land Rice ields
15 Agricultural areas Permanent crops Vineyards
16 Agricultural areas Permanent crops lruit trees and berry plantations
1 Agricultural areas Permanent crops Olie groes
18 Agricultural areas Pastures Pastures
19 Agricultural areas leterogeneous agricultural areas Annual crops associated with permanent crops
20 Agricultural areas leterogeneous agricultural areas Complex cultiation patterns
21 Agricultural areas leterogeneous agricultural areas Land principally occupied by agriculture, with
signiicant areas o natural egetation
22 Agricultural areas leterogeneous agricultural areas Agro-orestry areas
23 lorest and semi natural areas lorests Broad-leaed orest
24 lorest and semi natural areas lorests Conierous orest
25 lorest and semi natural areas lorests Mixed orest
26 lorest and semi natural areas Scrub and,or herbaceous egetation Natural grasslands
2 lorest and semi natural areas Scrub and,or herbaceous egetation Moors and heathland
28 lorest and semi natural areas Scrub and,or herbaceous egetation Sclerophyllous egetation
29 lorest and semi natural areas Scrub and,or herbaceous egetation 1ransitional woodland-shrub
30 lorest and semi natural areas Open spaces with little or no egetation Beaches, dunes, sands
31 lorest and semi natural areas Open spaces with little or no egetation Bare rocks
32 lorest and semi natural areas Open spaces with little or no egetation Sparsely egetated areas
33 lorest and semi natural areas Open spaces with little or no egetation Burnt areas
34 lorest and semi natural areas Open spaces with little or no egetation Glaciers and perpetual snow
35 \etlands Inland wetlands Inland marshes
36 \etlands Inland wetlands Peat bogs
3 \etlands Maritime wetlands Salt marshes
38 \etlands Maritime wetlands Salines
39 \etlands Maritime wetlands Intertidal lats
40 \ater bodies Inland waters \ater courses
41 \ater bodies Inland waters \ater bodies
42 \ater bodies Marine waters Coastal lagoons
43 \ater bodies Marine waters Lstuaries
44 \ater bodies Marine waters Sea and ocean
48 NODA1A NODA1A NODA1A
49 Unclassiied Unclassiied land surace Unclassiied land surace
50 Unclassiied Unclassiied water bodies Unclassiied water bodies
255 Unclassiied Unclassiied Unclassiied
1able 9: CORINL grid codes
\ater courses ,grid code 40, and water bodies ,grid code 41, orm the riers and lakes layer
and it was added or mapping and aesthetics and do not hae any input to the model.
23
Inhabited areas and industrial and commercial units are included rom: continuous urban abric
,grid code 1,, discontinuous urban abric ,grid code 2,, and industrial and commercial units
,grid code 3,.
3.J.6 UNLSCO Sites
1be |vitea ^atiov. avcatiovat, cievtific ava Cvttvrat Orgaviatiov ;|^CO) .ee/ to evcovrage tbe
iaevtificatiov, protectiov ava pre.erratiov of cvttvrat ava vatvrat beritage arovva tbe rorta cov.iaerea to be of
ovt.tavaivg ratve to bvvavit,. 1bi. i. evboaiea iv av ivtervatiovat treat, cattea tbe Covrevtiov covcervivg tbe
Protectiov of tbe !orta Cvttvrat ava ^atvrat eritage, aaoptea b, |^CO iv 12 1.
Croatian cultural sites included in this analysis are: Lpiscopal Complex o the Luphrasian
Basilica in the listoric Centre o Porec ,199,, listoric City o 1rogir ,199,, listorical
Complex o Split with the Palace o Diocletian ,199,, Old City o Dubronik ,199,, Stari
Grad Plain ,2008,, and the Cathedral o St James in Sibenik ,2000,. 1he only natural resere site
included is the Plitice Lakes National Park ,199,.
1urkish cultural sites included the Archaeological Site o 1roy ,1998,, City o Saranbolu
,1994,, Great Mosque and lospital o Dirigi ,1985,, lattusha: the littite Capital ,1986,,
lierapolis-Pamukkale ,1988,, listoric Areas o Istanbul ,1985,, Nemrut Dag ,198,, and
Xanthos-Letoon ,1988,. 1wo world heritage mixed nature,cultural sites were also included, the
Goreme National Park and the Rock Sites o Cappadocia ,1985,, and the lierapolis-Pamukkale
,1988,.
Shapeiles o UNLSCO sites were not aailable or Croatia or 1urkey. loweer, coordinates o
the sites were aailable on the UNLSCO website |1[. 1hese coordinates were added to Google
Larth and then conerted rom KML to an ArcGIS shapeile.
In order to use these data as a constraint in the model a buer o 5 km is applied to each point.
No transormation site is permitted within this 5 km area.
3.J.7 Lnironmental sensitiity
1he enironmental aspects were based around Natura 2000, an LU wide network o nature
protection areas. It is comprised o Special Areas o Conseration ,SAC,, and o Special
Protection Areas ,SPAs,. |31[. Len when Croatia and 1urkey are not yet in the LU-2, and
thus are not required to hae Natura 2000 designated conseration areas, as LU candidate
countries they are required to being establishing Natura 2000 areas. Croatian Natura 2000 data
were obtained rom http:,,Natura2000.dzzp.hr,Natura2000,, howeer, the authors were
unsuccessul in inding Natura 2000 data or 1urkey.
1he prospectie sites should not be in a Natura 2000 area.
3.J.8 1ransport inrastructure
1he rail and road GIS shapeiles were obtained rom DIVA-GIS |2[ in geographic coordinate
system ormat. 1he shapeiles were conerted to projected coordinate system using the project
tool` which is in the ArcGIS toolbox Data Management,Projections and
1ransormations,leature, Project`.
3.J.9 Llectricity grid inrastructure
\e were unable to obtain GIS shapeiles o the electricity grid inrastructure o Croatia or
1urkey rom the public domain. Maps o the Croatian and 1urkish electricity grid inrastructure
were obtained rom the Global Lnergy Network Institute ,GLNI, |30[. 1here is limited
accuracy with these maps but they are the best source o data aailable.
In order to use the inormation in these maps they had to be digitised using ArcMap. 1his is a
manual process were the map is irst laid oer an existing GIS map using the geo-reerencing
24
toolbar o ArcMap. Once the maps are aligned as accurately as possible the electricity
transmission lines are manually digitised by tracing them using the sketch tool. 1his digitised
data are then saed in shapeile ormat or use in the model.
3.2 Design o ArcGIS model
1ransformation topography & physical characteristics
Distance between dams 5 km - 1km
Minimum head 150 m
1opology A, assumed minimum new reseroir size 0 000 m
Minimum distance rom new reseroir to inhabited sites 500 m
Minimum distance rom new reseroir to existing transportation inrastructure 200 m
Minimum distance rom new reseroir to UNLSCO site 5 km
Maximum distance rom new reseroir to electricity transmission network 50 km
New reseroir should not be within a Natura 2000 conseration area
1able 10: oeriew table o the model parameters or 1A and 1B
3.2.J 1opology A design
1he model parameters are used to orm arious
scenarios with which to analyse how dierent
transormation characteristics will aect the
inal results.
1he buer distance parameter is used to deine
the search distance rom the existing dam to
potential reseroir sites. A alue o 5 km is
chosen or the base scenario, but urther
scenarios were modelled reducing the distance
o the buer in 1-km steps down to a minimum
buer o 1 km. 1his will result in the ollowing
parameters or the model scenarios:
Scenario 5 ~ 5 km
Scenario 4 ~ 4 km
Scenario 3 ~ 3 km
Scenario 2 ~ 2 km
Scenario 1 ~ 1 km
1hen the ArcGIS slope unction was used to
analyse the topography to ascertain the latness
o the potential transormation site.
Overview of ArcGIS Slope function from its user manual |32[:
or eacb cett, tope catcvtate. tbe vaivvv rate of cbavge iv ratve frov tbat cett to it. veigbbovr.. a.icatt,,
tbe vaivvv cbavge iv eteratiov orer tbe ai.tavce betreev tbe cett ava it. eigbt veigbbovr. iaevtifie. tbe .teepe.t
aorvbitt ae.cevt frov tbe cett.
Covceptvatt,, tbe tope fvvctiov fit. a ptave to tbe ratve. of a cett veigbbovrbooa arovva tbe proce..ivg
or cevtre cett. 1be .tope ratve of tbi. ptave i. catcvtatea v.ivg tbe arerage vaivvv tecbviqve ;.ee referevce.).
1be airectiov tbe ptave face. i. tbe a.pect for tbe proce..ivg cett. 1be torer tbe .tope ratve, tbe ftatter tbe terraiv;
Calculate slope of areas inside buffer zones
Select areas with slope between 0 and 5 degree
Select areas with average elevation 150 metres
above the dam under test
Buffer placed around dams under test
Calculate average elevation in the area with
slope between 0 and 5 degree with slope
Each dam has a number of potential reservoir
sites. Filter sites with largest energy storage in
GWh
Figure 7: TA algorithm flow diagram
25
tbe bigber tbe .tope ratve, tbe .teeper tbe terraiv. f tbere i. a cett tocatiov iv tbe veigbbovrbooa ritb a ^oData
ratve, tbe ratve of tbe cevtre cett ritt be a..igvea to tbe tocatiov. .t tbe eage of tbe ra.ter, at tea.t tbree cett.
;ovt.iae tbe ra.ter. etevt) ritt covtaiv ^oData a. tbeir ratve.. 1be.e cett. ritt be a..igvea tbe cevtre cett.
ratve. 1be re.vtt i. a ftattevivg of tbe ptave fittea to tbe.e eage cett., rbicb v.vatt, teaa. to a reavctiov iv
tbe .tope. 1be ovtpvt .tope ra.ter cav be catcvtatea iv tro t,pe. of vvit., aegree. or percevt ;cattea percevt ri.e).
1be percevt ri.e cav be better vvaer.tooa if ,ov cov.iaer it a. tbe ri.e airiaea b, tbe rvv, vvttiptiea b, 100.
Cov.iaer triavgte betor. !bev tbe avgte i. 1: aegree., tbe ri.e i. eqvat to tbe rvv, ava tbe percevt ri.e i. 100
percevt. .. tbe .tope avgte approacbe. rerticat ;0 aegree.), a. iv triavgte C, tbe percevt ri.e begiv. to approacb
ivfivit,.
ligure 8: example o how slope is calculated
1he Slope algorithm:
1be rate of cbavge ;aetta) of tbe .vrface iv tbe boriovtat ;a,a) ava rerticat ;a,a,) airectiov. frov tbe cevtre
cett aetervive. tbe .tope. 1be ba.ic atgoritbv v.ea to catcvtate tbe .tope i.:
.tope_raaiav. ~ .1.^ ; \ ; a,a2 - a,a,2 ) )
tope i. covvovt, vea.vrea iv aegree., rbicb v.e. tbe atgoritbv:
.tope_aegree. ~ .1.^ ; \ ; a,a2 - a,a,2 ) ) :.2:
1be .tope atgoritbv cav at.o be ivterpretea a.:
.tope_aegree. ~ .1.^ ;ri.e_rvv) :.2:
rbere:
ri.e_rvv ~ \ ; a,a2 - a,a,2
1be ratve. of tbe cevtre cett ava it. eigbt veigbbovr. aetervive tbe boriovtat ava
rerticat aetta.. 1be veigbbovr. are iaevtifiea a. tetter. frov a to i, ritb e
repre.evtivg tbe cett for rbicb tbe a.pect i. beivg catcvtatea.
1be rate of cbavge iv tbe airectiov for cett e i. catcvtatea ritb tbe atgoritbv:
a,a ~ ;;c - 2f - i) ;a - 2a - g) , ; _cett_.ie)
1be rate of cbavge iv tbe , airectiov for cett e i. catcvtatea ritb tbe fottorivg
atgoritbv:
a,a, ~ ;;g - 2b - i) ;a - 2b - c)) , ; ,_cett_.ie)
,Slope algorithm description taken rom ArcGIS desktop help,
http:,,webhelp.esri.com,arcgisdesktop,9.2,index.cm1opicName~
low20Slope20works,
Figure 9: determine the
horizontal and vertical
deltas
26
A slope alue o S
degrees was chosen as
an acceptable latness
o the topography o a
potential
transormation site.
Areas that hae a slope
between 0 and 5
degrees are iltered out
using the reclassiy`
tool and then
transormed into
polygon areas. 1hese
polygon areas are now
the potential reseroir
sites:
1he aerage eleation
within each polygon is
now tested to see i it is
greater than 150 metres
aboe the Dam ID
eleation, thus constituting the head o the scheme. I this is the case, the site passes the
criterion and becomes a potential transormation site. 1he aerage eleation o the area or
potential site is used and compared with the eleation o the existing dam. 1his will account or
the olumes o material to be excaated and illed to make a sloping site lat beore
construction.
A minimum area
where the slope
parameter is
satisied also needs
to be deined, and
the igure o
0 000 m
2
has
been chosen, see
Volume and
surface of a new
reservoir.` in
section 1.3.1.
Some o the
resulting areas hae
a potential olume greater than the existing reseroir, but it is assumed that the new reseroir -
the one under search-, cannot be larger than the existing ,lower, reseroir. In these cases the
potential reseroir olume is made equal to the olume o the existing reseroir.
3.2.2 Lnergy storage potential
1he equation to calculate the energy aailable in a body o water is deined as ollows:
V E h g =
Figure 10: ArcGIS areas with slope between 0 and 5 degrees (in green)
Figure 11: Head calculation
Potential dam site
Existing dam/ Dam ID
Head (min. 150 m)
2
where:
~ everg, araitabte ;]ovte.)
~ aev.it, ;/g,v
) ;101 /g,v
for rater)
g ~ acceteratiov of grarit, ;.1 v,.
2
)
b ~ fattivg beigbt, beaa ;v)
1 ~ rotvve ;v
)
a~ geveratiov efficievc, of ;0)
3.2.3 1opology B design
In a similar way to 1A
one model parameter,
buer distance, is used
to orm arious
scenarios with which to
analyse how dierent
transormation
characteristics will aect
the inal results.
1his parameter is used to
deine the search
distance between existing
dams. lor the base
scenario two existing
dams must be within 5 km ,scenario 5, o each other. 1o implement this each dam location has
a 2.5 km buer around it and whereer buers intersect, this represents a potential
transormation site.
Scenario 5 ~ 5 km ,2.5 km -2.5 km,
Scenario 4 ~ 4 km ,2.0 km -2.0 km,
Scenario 3 ~ 3 km ,1.5 km -1.5 km,
Scenario 2 ~ 2 km ,1.0 km -1.0 km,
Scenario 1 ~ 1 km ,0.5 km -0.5 km,
3.3 Scenario design 1A & 1B
1he buer distance rom the existing reseroir site will be the parameter used to create the 1A
and 1B scenarios. 1here will be a total o ie scenarios. 1he results or each scenario will
return the number o suitable transormation sites o each scenario. A sensitiity analysis will be
prepared to ealuate the results.
3.3.J Scenarios
1he buer scenarios will ary the alue o the buer distance rom 5 to 1 km in 1-km steps.
Scenarios 1A buffer distance (km) 1B buffer distance (km)
Scenario 5 5 2.5 - 2.5
Scenario 4 4 2.0 - 2.0
Scenario 3 3 1.5 - 1.5
Scenario 2 2 1.0 - 1.0
Scenario 1 1 0.5 - 0.5
1able 11: buer scenarios or 1A and 1B
Lxample:
A reseroir has a capacity o 10 000 000
cubic metres with a 300-metre head.
L ~ ,1 019 9.81 300 10 000 000 0.9,
Joules
As 1 \h ~ 3 600 Joules, the stored energy
in reseroir ~ .5 G\h
Existing reservoir
0.5km-
>2.5km
Existing reservoir
0.5km-
>2.5km
Figure 12: Buffer distance from existing dam to potential dam site or existing
second dam
28
In all cases the minimum area o the reseroirs ,potential and existing, is set at 0 000 m
2
, and
the minimum head at 150 m.
3.3.2 Constraint analysis
1he constraint analysis will be applied to both uniltered ,1A only, and the iltered results. 1he
parameters or each constraint are detailed below in 1able 12.
1ransformation physical constraints
Minimum distance rom centre o new reseroir to inhabited sites 500 m
Minimum distance rom centre o new reseroir to existing transportation inrastructure 200 m
Minimum distance rom centre o new reseroir to UNLSCO site 5 km
New reseroir should not be within a Natura 2000 conseration area
Maximum distance rom centre o new reseroir to electricity transmission network 50 km
1able 12: physical constraints model parameters
1he results section will present the ollowing:
1. Physical potential ,no constraints, iltered, ,1A & 1B,
2. Inrastructural potential ,constraints, iltered, ,1A &1B,
In the result charts or both uniltered and iltered results, or both Croatia and 1urkey the
head reers to the height dierence between the existing dam and the potential transormation
site. Mean head reers to the mean head o the total number o sites or each scenario result.
3.3.3 liltering potential transormation sites - example
All potential
transormation sites
in the model are
recorded at irst, and
are reerred to as the
uniltered
transormation sites.
1here will be more
than one potential
transormation site
or each existing
dam as illustrated in
ligure 13. 1he best
potential
transormation site
will be selected by its
energy storage
potential ,calculated
rom the
methodology in
section 3.2.2, and
will be reerred to as
the iltered result.
lollowing the iltering process one transormation site is selected, which is shown graphically
when all blue polygons but one disappear - the one remaining is encircled in green in ligure 13
ligure 13: example o uniltered results or a transormation site - light blue polygons
29
3.4 Result o the analysis
3.4.J Croatia
ligure 14 presents a map iew o the data or Croatia in ArcMap, a component o ArcGIS.
1he original data shows that a total o 23 dams hae a reseroir capacity o greater than
1 000 000 m
3
in Croatia, and all those dams were analysed in the GIS model. 1he histogram in
ligure 15 shows that in Croatia more dams are at an eleation o between 101 and 200 metres
than at any other range.
L|evat|on of dams |n Croat|a
0
1
2
3
4
3
6
7
8
9
0-100 101-200 201-300 301-400 401- 300 301-600 601-700 701-800
L|evat|on (m)
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
d
a
m
s
Figure 15: elevation histogram of the dams in Croatia, above 1 000 000 m
3
that are analysed in GIS
Figure 14: ArcGIS Croatian map and layers used.
30
3.4.J.J 1OPOLOG\ A 1RANSlORMA1ION PO1LN1IAL
1he existing Razoac dam will ,1.84 million m
3
, sere as an example to illustrate the process o
iltering the sites with higher potential. 1his dam orms part o the Velebit PlS which uses the
waters rom the catchment area o the rier Zrmanja, near Zadar. \ater resources are the riers
Obsenica, Rieica and Otua with the storage basins Obsenica o 2. million m
3
and Stikada o
13.65 million m
3
|33[, although only the latter is used as upper reseroir o the PlS system |34[.
1he act that Razoac is already a PlS system should allow an extra alidation o the model.
By applying the algorithm shown in ligure the GIS-based initial analysis, including the 5-km
range, slope analysis, potential reseroir area aboe 0 000 m
2
, and head aboe 150 m, results in
9 sites suitable or a prospectie transormation to PlS, under 1A theoretical potential
scenario 5, as shown in 1able 13.
ligure 16 shows as blue areas the potential transormation sites that meet the speciied
parameters. 1he red area shows the site that has been selected as the most suitable
transormation site, as it oers the largest energy storage: it is site 1 in the table below.
Site no. Reseroir
olume ,m,
Potential reseroir
area ,m,
Potential reseroir
olume ,m,
lead
,m,
Lnergy storage
,G\h,
1 1 840 000 85 808 1 16 161 8 3.34
2 1 840 000 82 085 1 641 02 610 2.50
3 1 840 000 156 909 1 840 000 338 1.55
4 1 840 000 396 05 1 840 000 335 1.54
5 1 840 000 651 523 1 840 000 300 1.38
6 1 840 000 368 152 1 840 000 299 1.3
1 840 000 352 98 1 840 000 282 1.30
8 1 840 000 5 35 1 840 000 241 1.11
9 1 840 000 119 16 1 840 000 23 1.09
1able 13: Croatian sample transormation site analysis - Razoac dam
Figure 16: Croatian sample transformation site analysis - Razovac dam
Selected site
Other sites studied
Lxisting reseroir and dam
31
1he potential reseroir selected does
not hae the largest area in the column
potential reseroir area. 1his is because
the methodology limits the maximum
olume o the potential reseroir to
that one o the existing reseroir i the
potential reseroir has a olume greater
than the existing reseroir. 1he single
actor that had higher inluence on site
1 being chosen is that it has a higher
head which results in this site haing
the highest potential energy storage o
3.34 G\h.
1he Stikada reseroir has, under the
same assumptions as the analysis
aboe, a storage capacity o 18.42
G\h.
1he theoretical potential results, beore
any natural-spaces related constraint has been applied, are shown or the dierent scenarios in
ligure 1. 1his igure shows, against the let axis, the number o dams which hae at least one
potential site or creating a new PlS, and against the right axis the total transormation
potential ,topology A, o Croatia. Under scenario 5, the least restrictie, the total physical
theoretical potential shows 14 sites with a total energy storage capacity o 6.56 G\h.
1he application o other ilters was subject to certain limitations o the model and or this
reason ilters were not exactly applied in the order prescribed by the methodology. 1hus, next
the transport inrastructure , 200 m away,, inhabited areas , 500 m away,, UNLSCO sites ,
5 km away, and distance to the electricity grid , 50 km away, constraints were applied, and the
exclusion o enironmentally sensitie areas ,natural spaces ilter, was applied later on.
\hereas the application o the ormer three ilters results in a limited reduction o storage
capacity as shown in ligure 18, the natural spaces ilter has a much higher impact.
Box - Validation of model with the reality.
1he current upper reseroir o the Velebit PlS
system, Stikada, has a reseroir capacity o 13.65
million m
3
and eleation o 548 m AMSL. Google
Larth shows that the closest distance between the
Stikada and the Razoac reseroirs is 20 km.
Because o the 5-km limit set up in the model the
Stikada reseroir was not captured as a possible
site or a second reseroir, thus incurring in the
apparent contradiction that the actual upper
reseroir was not captured by the model.
1hereore the Velebit PlS case shows that the
analysis assumptions are on the conseratie side.
\e put the discussion o this point o to the
conclusions and continue the analysis o country
potential based on the initial assumptions.
ligure 1: Croatia 1A theoretical potential: number o potential sites and total potential storage
Croat|a 1A theoret|ca| potent|a|
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 4 Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 2 Scenarlo 1
No. of dams
0
10
20
30
40
30
60
70
80
GWh
number of dams wlLh a poLenLlal slLe 1oLal energy sLorage (CWh)
32
In eect, the total number o scenario 5 physical realisable` potential ,term is used in order to
relect this particular order o application o ilters, sites is 13 with total energy storage o 59.5
G\h. 1his represents the loss o only one transormation site due to constraints, with the loss
o .81 G\h o energy storage.
1he introduction o natural spaces as a constraint is run independently to the other constraints.
1he large coerage o Natura 2000 areas in Croatia disqualiies oer hal ,13 down to 6, o the
suitable sites when this constraint is applied.
loweer, lower-capacity options that were discarded at an earlier stage, might not hae the
same natural spaces restrictions as the iltered sites. 1he model could be run in an iteratie way
or those existing dams whose 1A option was discarded at the natural spaces constraints in
order to search whether any other o the possible sites would pass the natural spaces check.
Croat|a 1A phys|ca| rea||sab|e potent|a|
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Scenarl o 3 Scenarl o 4 Scenarl o 3 Scenarl o 2 Scenarl o 1
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
p
r
o
s
p
e
c
t
|
v
e
s
|
t
e
s
0
10
20
30
40
30
60
70
G
W
h
number of Sl Les 1oLal Lnergy SLorage (CWh)
Croat|a 1A potent|a| after natura| reserves are d|scounted
0
1
2
3
4
3
6
7
Scenarl o 3 Scenarl o 4 Scenarl o 3 Scenarl o 2 Scenarl o 1
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
s
|
t
e
s
0
3
10
13
20
23
30
33
40
43
G
W
h
number of Sl Les 1oLal Lnergy SLorage (CWh)
ligure 19: Croatian 1A physical potential
Figure 18: Croatia TA physical realisable potential after applying three filters
33
3.4.J.2 1OPOLOG\ B ANAL\SIS
1here are no solutions or 1B in Croatia. Any dams that are within 5km o each other do not
hae an eleation dierence o 150 m or greater to proide the suicient head required by the
methodology.
In order to ind a 1B transormation site we need to exceed the methodology parameters by
extending the buer distance to 11 km beore we ind a solution to 1B. 1he decision taken at
the modelling stage was that this distance between two existing dams would not be a iable
transormation. loweer, the experience o the Velebit and other PlS shows that this
assumption can be conseratie in particular when a high head dierence is possible.
3.4.J.3 CONCLUSIONS: COUN1R\ PO1LN1IAL
1he country potential is assumed to be without including the natural spaces constraint. As a
result o not being any 1B potential site, in the case o Croatia the country potential is the
scenario 5 1A physical realisable` potential iltered or other constraints. 1his yields 13 sites
with 60 G\h o energy storage. 1his igure can only roughly be compared to the storage o the
current PlS ,20 G\h, because the latter corresponds to a major mixed-PlS where natural
inlow plays an important role. lor reerence, peak Croatian demand is approximately 3.2 G\
and annual electricity consumption aboe 18 000 G\h |63[.
1he dierent eatures and uses o PlS systems, e.g. whether a daily or weekly cycle, whether
pure PlS o mixed with natural hydropower resources, make it diicult to deine whether this
potential or transormation is signiicant. 1he analysis did not deine the assumptions that
could result in an estimated installed power ,whether pumping or generating, and thus a
comparison cannot be made with the installed PlS capacity o the country. A uture
improement o the model could approach this issue. In the case o Croatia the current PlS
capacity is 282 M\ generating and 245 M\ pumping, most o it ,26,240 M\ respectiely, at
a single PlS, Velebit. Indeed a comparison with Croatian installed PlS can be misleading
because Velebit is a mixed PlS-conentional scheme which in 2009 consumed 11 G\h
pumping |34[ rom which is estimated to hae generated 82 G\h
8
o the total 468 G\h
generated.
A dierent approach consists o comparing the country potential or storage with the storage
o the upper reseroirs in existing PlS in the country. lor Croatia, section 3.4.1.1 uneiled that
under the same assumptions used to calculate site potential the upper reseroir o the Velebit
PlS has a storage capacity o 18.42 G\h, and contributed to the generation o 110 and
82 G\h rom 158 and 11 G\h pumped in 2008 and 2009 respectiely. 1he extrapolation o
this pattern to the 60 G\h o country potential yields 3.25 times the current Croatian installed
capacity, i.e. between 266 and 35 G\h generated. loweer, again this approach can lead to
the wrong igures because the 18.42 G\h o storage in the upper reseroir o the Velebit PlS
did not only contribute to the PlS system but generates an aerage 3 G\h o pure
hydropower annually |34[.
Gien that it cannot be ruled out any new PlS to be a mixed system, possibly the best way to
put the potential into context is to compare the 60 G\h o potential with the approximately 20
G\h o currently existing PlS to conclude that under the limitations in this study the country
potential for transformation to PHS in Croatia is at least three times the capacity of
existing PHS plants.
8
According to LIA |21[ in 2008 the Croatian PlS plants pumped 158 G\h and generated 110 G\h. Gien that
Velebit is 98 o the PlS generation, it can be assumed that the cycle eiciency o the Velebit PlS plant is 0 .
34
3.4.2 1urkey
ligure 20 presents a map iew o the data or 1urkey in ArcGIS.
1he authors were unable to acquire accurate transmission network data or 1urkey. lor this
reason the transmission network constraint hae been disabled or the analysis o 1urkey.
Figure 20: map of Turkey with the layers included in the analysis
Figure 21: elevation histogram of the dams in Turkey, with a reservoir capacity of 1 000 000 m
3
or above
35
A total o 612 reseroirs larger than 1 000 000 m
3
in 1urkey were analysed in the GIS model.
1he histogram, ligure 21, shows that there are a large proportion o dams at eleations
between 0 and 400 metres and between 801 and 1 200.
3.4.2.J 1OPOLOG\ A ANAL\SIS
1he physical realisable` potential
9
, beore the natural spaces constraints has been applied,
shows or scenario 5 a total o 448 potential sites or a total energy storage o 4 32 G\h.
1hese potential sites can also be seen in terms o aerage head and energy storage per site, as
shown in ligure 23. In the case o scenario 5 the 448 sites hae an aerage head o 25 m and
an aerage energy storage o 9.6 G\h.
1he physical potential ater enironmental constraints hae been applied shows a total number
o 444 potential sites with total energy storage o 3 81 G\h. 1his represents the loss o 4
potential transormation sites due to constraints, with a more signiicant loss o 555 G\h o
9
As explained aboe we introduce the term realisable` between quotes to relect that this potential was not in the
methodology but the result o constrains during its application which can and should be adapted
ligure 22: 1urkey 1A physical realisable` potential
Lrror! Bookmark not defined.
, number o potential sites
and total storage
ligure 23: 1urkey 1A physical realisable` potential, aerage head and aerage storage
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
0
30
100
130
200
230
300
Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 4 Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 2 Scenarlo 1
G
W
h
m
e
t
r
e
s
1urkey 1A phys|ca| "rea||sab|e" potent|a|
Average Pead (m) Average Lnergy SLorage (CWh)
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
3 000
0
100
200
300
400
300
Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 4 Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 2 Scenarlo 1
G
W
h
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
s
|
t
e
s
1urkey 1A phys|ca| "rea||sab|e" potent|a|
number of SlLes 1oLal Lnergy SLorage (CWh)
36
energy storage. loweer, it has to be noted that the ilters applied at this stage did not include
the distance to the electricity grid as we could not ind a suitable dataset.
1he sample site or analysis will be rom the 1A physical realisable potential scenario 5 results.
1he sample transormation site analysis is carried out on Karacaoren II Dam.
1he blue area shows a potential transormation site that meets the speciied parameters, the red
area shows the site that has been selected as the most suitable transormation site, as it has the
largest energy storage and the red point is the existing dam. 1he details o this site are
highlighted in blue in 1able 14.
Site no. Reseroir
olume ,m,
Potential reseroir
area ,m,
Potential reseroir
olume ,m,
lead ,m, Stored energy
,G\h,
1 48 000 000 1 106 519 22 130 381 613 34
2 48 000 000 116 61 2 335 216 549 3
1able 14: 1urkish sample transormation site analysis
1he transormation site selected has a potential energy storage o 34 G\h.
3.4.2.2 1OPOLOG\ B ANAL\SIS
1he theoretical potential under the ie scenarios is ery small or 1B. Scenario 5 yields 3
theoretical potential sites rom a total o 612 dams under analysis, their aerage head is 294 m
and total energy storage o 3.36 G\h.
1he physical realisable` potential ater the application o the natural spaces ilter results in
only 2 physical realisable` potential sites, in both cases the dams at a distance o between 4
and 5 km rom each other. 1hey hae an aerage head o 361 m and a total energy storage o
3.04 G\h as illustrated in ligure 25. 1his represents the loss o one transormation site due to
constraints with the loss o 0.32 G\h o energy storage.
ligure 24: 1urkish sample transormation site analysis
CandldaLe second
reservolr slLe
SelecLed second
reservolr slLe
LxlsLlng dam
3
1urkey has not adopted Natura 2000 yet so the natural spaces ilter did not include them.
loweer, the model will analyse Natura 2000 as a constraint i the data becomes aailable in
the uture. 1hereore the physical realisable` potential becomes the physical potential.
3.4.2.3 COUN1R\ PO1LN1IAL
1he country potential is presented based on the 1A and 1B physical potential iltered results
under scenario 5, and it is presented in 1able 15. As 1B takes priority oer 1A any dam that is
included in a 1B transormation will be excluded rom the 1A transormation sites. In this case
our sites are excluded rom 1A with the loss o 1 G\h o potential storage which are
replaced by 2 1B sites adding 3 G\h o potential storage.
Number o Sites 1otal Lnergy Storage ,G\h,
1A Scenario 5 440 3 800
1B Scenario 5 2 3
Country Potential 443 3 803
1able 15: 1urkish country potential
4 Barriers to the realisation of this potential
4.J 1opographical barriers
1he model deeloped in the preious section has identiied potential transormation sites based
on head dierence, distance between existing and potential sites, latness o the surrounding
topography and reseroir olume. It also implemented constraints relating to the construction
o new reseroirs in relation to inhabited sites etc. loweer the model is unable to analyse
potential sites based on their geology and hydrology.
4.J.J Geology
1he geological ormation o the potential site could be a barrier to the realisation o a potential
transormation site. A detailed geological analysis o each potential transormation site would
ligure 25: 1urkish 1B physical potential, number o potential sites and total storage
0
0,3
1
1,3
2
2,3
3
3,3
0
1
1
2
2
3
Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 4 Scenarlo 3 Scenarlo 2 Scenarlo 1
G
W
h
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
s
|
t
e
s
1urkey 18 phys|ca| potent|a|
number of SlLes 1oLal Lnergy SLorage (CWh)
38
need to be perormed to assess its easibility or transormation to PlS. Porous bedrock is one
potential barrier, or example, as water losses due to seepage may be larger in porous karst
,limestone, areas |63[. 1he construction o underground penstocks may also be hindered by
local geology.
In temperate zones many upland sites suitable or constructing new upper reseroirs are on
peat-coered slopes. Peat soils may pose a barrier due to their unstable nature when disturbed.
1he disturbance could arise either rom construction o the reseroir itsel, or rom the
construction o access roads or equipment. Large-scale peat moements hae occurred in areas
adjacent to wind arm construction in Ireland |35[. Large cut-and-ill operations on peat are
problematic as sae storage o excaated peat is diicult.
linally, the earthquake risk o the potential site also needs to be assessed.
4.J.2 lydrology
A lack o surace water at or near to the potential transormation site could be a potential
barrier to the realisation o the potential. I the potential reseroir site has an inlow this would
make the site more suitable or the construction o a new reseroir and the creation o a mixed
PlS plant. An analysis o the hydrology o the existing reseroir is needed to identiy i there
are seasonal ariations in the supply and leel o water. 1he incoming sediment loads to any
existing or new reseroir also must be assessed, as silting may pose a urther barrier to
transormation by reducing the usable reseroir olumes oer time.
Laporation is not expected to be a signiicant problem with PlS |59[.
4.J.3 Inrastructure
1he analysis o transport and grid inrastructure should go one step urther than was possible
with the model. In eect, a complete analysis o the road inrastructure in the region o the
potential transormation site would be needed to ealuate i it can support high olumes o
and,or heay construction machinery. A detailed analysis o the local electricity grid
inrastructure would also be required. In the case o existing conentional hydropower sites,
grid inrastructure will be in place. loweer, it may need to be upgraded to proide two-way
power lows to acilitate pumping as well as generation. \hether the grid has to be extended or
reinorced this improement might add alue to the stability o the grid and this could help
oercome this barrier.
lor non-hydro dams the local grid inrastructure has to be examined in detail. Issues to
consider include the proximity to the distribution and,or transmission network, proximity to
the nearest substation, the aailability o spare capacity at the substation, the easibility o
upgrading existing substations where they are inadequate. lor sites to be connected to the
distribution network the presence o other large, ariable loads and generators ,such as wind
arms or energy-intensie industries, on the local network may be a potential barrier as well as
an opportunity: or example, a PlS plant and a wind arm can be associated so that the latter
proides pumping power with minimum transmission losses.
4.2 Lconomic barriers
4.2.J Llectricity market analysis
1his section perorms a preliminary analysis o the electricity markets o Croatia and 1urkey.
1his includes the identiication o market signals that would justiy inestment in new electricity
storage acilities within each market ,inestment in renewable technology,.
39
4.2.2 Croatia |36[
1he electricity market in Croatia is based on electricity trading through bilateral contracts
concluded between the supplier, the trader and,or the generator. In addition, a contract or
using the network must be signed with the transmission or distribution system operators -P
Operator pri;evo.vog .v.tara ,lLP-1SO, and POperator ai.tribvci;./og .v.tara ,lLP-DSO,
respectiely- depending on the oltage leel the customer is connected to. During the
realisation o contracts deiations in supply and demand occur and thereore the need or
system balancing. Real time system balancing is the responsibility o the 1SO. In order to coer
power system deiations in each hour, lLP-1SO oers balancing energy or sale or purchase
to market participants.
In 200, Croatia adopted a eed-in tari legislation based on the tari system or the
production o electricity rom renewable energy sources and cogeneration |3[ and the
regulation on incentie ees or promoting electricity production rom renewable energy
sources and cogeneration |38[. 1aris or wind power plants reach 90 t,M\h.
Croatia is directly interconnected to Sloenia, Bosnia and lerzegoina, Serbia and lungary,
and this creates the potential ,i the amount o PlS is increased, to store surplus wind
generation rom these neighbouring countries. It has been estimated that Sloenia has a
potential to install 600 M\ o wind generation |39[, Serbia has a potential to install 1 300 M\
o wind generation |40[. lungary must meet the 13 renewable target as part o the LU 2020
targets and wind generation will be the main contributor to this target |41[.
Proiding more storage in this region could add alue to increasing renewable penetration not
only in Croatia, but in all interconnected countries.
4.2.3 1urkey
1he Llectricity Market Regulatory Agency was introduced in 2001 to liberalise the electricity
market in an attempt to enhance competition. Since then, liberalisation o the market is still
undergoing as the reorms are not yet completed |42[. 1he 1urkish renewable energy act
considers renewable all non-ossil based energy sources. \ind power, run o rier hydropower
plants and reseroir hydropower plants with reseroir areas smaller than 15 km
2
are all
identiied as renewable energy sources |43[.
1urkey has ast untapped hydropower and wind potential. According to UNLSCO 1urkey
technically easible hydropower potential is 213 000 G\h |44[. Ater its General Directorate o
State lydraulic \orks currently 1urkey has 12 hydroelectric power plants in operation with
total installed capacity o 13 00 M\ generating an aerage o 48 000 G\h,year, which is
35 o the economically iable hydroelectric potential |12[. 1he large quantity o untapped
hydropower potential in 1urkey could make the deelopment o PlS unattractie, unless the
penetration o wind power becomes ery large indeed.
In December 2006, the Ministry o Lnergy published the wind map o 1urkey, which has
stimulated wind power inestments rom 12 M\ at the end o 200 to 1 329 M\ at the end
o 2010. Alone this last year, 528 M\ o new wind energy capacity was added in 1urkey, on a
year-on-year growth rate o 66 . 1urkey hopes to install up to 20 G\ o wind by 2023,
helping the country to obtain 30 o its electricity generation rom renewable sources |45[.
1urkey has adopted a hybrid system within which renewable power plants built beore 2012 are
eligible or the 50 - 55 t,M\h RLli1 or irst 10 years o operation, proiding a hedge against
oreign exchange risk. lurthermore retail licence owners are required to allocate a portion o
the electricity purchases to renewable power.
40
4.2.4 Capital cost
ligure 26 capacity s. project and speciic capital cost ,ex transmission line, or proposed PlS in Lurope,US. \-
axis is ull CapLx cost. 1he size o bubble is indicatie o relatie cost per M\. Plants in Switzerland and US were
conerted to Luro using the ollowing exchange rates. ,1 Cll ~ 0.6515t, 1 USD ~ 0.015t,. Source: Deane et
al. |50[
Project costs or PlS are ery site speciic with some quoted costs arying rom o 600-3 000
t,k\ |46[. In the lower end o the price range a igure o 500 LUR,k\ or power generation-
related costs and 0-16 LUR,M\h or storage capacity-related costs has been quoted based on
pre-2004 estimates |4[. 1he use o reersible pump-turbines inoles that a single penstock
can be constructed, which can reduce construction costs by up to 30 with a small increase in
the plant cost |48[.
ligure 26 shows the large ariation in capital cost or two similarly-sized projects, LLAPS and
Limberg II ,500 M\,. LLAPS |49[ is an example o a 1A transormation, it uses an existing
lower lake and the project will build an upper reseroir and penstock and powerhouse. Limberg
II |5[, an example o a 1B transormation, uses two existing reseroirs and builds penstock and
generation equipment. 1hese cases highlight the potential capital cost saings o deeloping 1B
transormation sites oer 1A sites.
1he breakdown o
costs into their
arious
constituents ,dam
construction,
penstock
construction, plant
etc., is also highly
site-speciic and
detailed
inormation on
indiidual projects
is diicult to obtain. A sample o these data proided by Krajacic et al. |64[ or a PlS project
in the island o Krk ,Croatia, is presented in ligure 2. 1he total cost or a 10 M\, 2 pumps
and turbines system is 16.8Mt.
Figure 27: Split of cost for a specific PHS project
41
Variability in capital costs is inherent in PlS projects. 1he construction cost is site and country
speciic due to the high labour and material intensity o this type o construction projects. 1hus
the uncertainty o capital costs can be a barrier to transormation.
4.3 Social barriers
Due to the nature o hydropower projects there are many social barriers that arise. 1hey are
discussed in more detail below.
4.3.J Inhabited sites
1he building o large dams to create reseroirs oten leads to the resettlement o local residents
as armland and dwellings are submerged, or which large hydropower projects normally
receie aderse publicity. In some cases when an existing site, like an abandoned quarry, is
utilised as a reseroir or a PlS transormation the public acceptance may be greater or such a
deelopment. 1he construction o new power line inrastructure to transport electricity to and
rom PlS plant can aect dwellings and settlements in its close proximity.
It is diicult to gauge social acceptance beore a site has gone through the planning process.
Social acceptance is a barrier that has a lot o uncertainty associated with it or hydro and PlS
deelopments. In the long term, well-managed, suitably landscaped sites may become
appreciated by their local communities as isually attractie leisure areas.
4.3.2 Naigation
\hen damming an existing waterway to create a reseroir, reduction in water leels may aect
naigation or recreational users ,e.g. canoeists,. 1hese could be potential barriers to the
deelopment o PlS but due to the close-system nature o a PlS and the act that the
reseroir that is the basis or transormation was already built, it is unlikely to aect PlS
transormation projects.
4.3.3 1rans-boundary issues
I regions up and down the rier are not in the same country, placing a dam in one region may
aect lood risks or water supply issues in another country. 1his could be a potential barrier to
the deelopment o PlS due to political sensitiity.
4.4 Lnironmental and planning barriers
4.4.J Conseration issues
I the potential transormation site is within or in close proximity to a Natura 2000 designated
site, a LUROPARC lederation designated site |15[, a UNLSCO designated site |16, 1[, a site
o special scientiic interest ,SSSI,, a special area o conseration ,SAC,, a special protected area
,SPA,, a national park or aect the catchment home to protected species, then deelopment o
this transormation may be diicult. In the case that a deelopment is allowed to proceed in
one o the listed protected areas the deeloper may be asked to replace any habitat that has
been remoed or damaged due to the deelopment, resulting in an additional cost.
4.4.2 lisheries
I the potential transormation site is on or aects a rier that supports migratory ish or other
animals, spawning grounds or i the rier is used or angling, deelopment o this
transormation may be diicult. 1his could be a potential barrier to the deelopment.
42
4.4.3 Lnironmental beneits
In some cases, a properly designed PlS system can een be used to improe water quality
through aeration, preenting algal growth and ish kills |4[ |5[.
4.S \ater supply barriers
4.S.J \ater resources
I the potential transormation site is on a watercourse that supplies drinking water or water or
irrigation, this could be a barrier to deelopment, as the operational requirements or multiple
uses will hae to be managed together. loweer a reseroir that is constructed or a PlS
deelopment could also hae a secondary unction as a storage reseroir or irrigation or
drinking water supply, which may make a proposed project more economically attractie.
4.S.2 Chemical and physical water quality |51[
An analysis would need to be perormed to assess i the deelopment o the PlS has the
potential to aect the quality o water o the watercourse or i pollutants could be discharged
during construction. Also the potential that the deelopment could cause signiicant algal
growth would need to be assessed. 1hese studies would be carried out as part o a planning
process and i the results were negatie it may become a barrier to the deelopment.
4.S.3 Biological water quality
An analysis must be completed to assess i changes in rier low are likely to cause a signiicant
change in the inertebrate community.
4.6 llood protection
An analysis must be completed to assess i changes to the rier result in reduced low capacity
o the rier or i any alterations are needed that they do not increase the potential to cause
looding in the surrounding area. 1he deelopment o the site must not aect any aailable
loodplain area or block potential oerland lood low that would result in increased eents o
looding.
PlS has the potential to curtail looding by scheduling pumping during lood risk periods. 1his
could be used to oset any other negatie eects o the deelopment o the site.
4.7 Conclusions o the barriers analysis
It is possible to broadly classiy the barriers identiied in this section as hard and sot barriers.
lard barriers are those imposed by site conditions or by the absence o suitable inrastructure.
In general, they may be addressed by technological solutions, but the costs may be prohibitie.
Oten such barriers are highly site-speciic. In the case o geological and hydrological barriers,
urther work would need to be carried out on sites that are identiied in order to identiy
possible solutions and the associated costs. lor example, seepage losses can be reduced by
lining reseroirs with imperious materials such as clay or synthetic membranes.
A clear operational strategy or a proposed transormation scheme should be identiied in order
to ully assess site easibility. It should incorporate the wider operating enironment: lood
protection, other reseroir uses, renewable penetration, and proposed renewable deelopment
to 2020 and beyond.
43
1he capital costs or deeloping PlS can be prohibitie, depending on the topography o the
site. loweer, by utilising existing reseroirs capital cost can be reduced dramatically. New
technological deelopments may allow some other hard barriers to be oercome. Variable
speed, reersible pump-turbines will increase the operational lexibility o planned PlS
acilities, and will better equip them to support the integration o ariable renewable generation.
New concepts such as coastal seawater PlS, where the sea acts as a lower reseroir, may open
up a greater number o potential sites. loweer, there is only one such plant in operation in the
world, a 30 M\ demonstration acility located in Okinawa, Japan |52[ and it is unclear why no
urther such deelopments took place. PlS using an underground caern as the lower reseroir
has also been proposed and i successul, would eliminate many o the enironmental problems
associated with constructing reseroirs on the surace |53[.
Sot barriers relate to societal acceptance and the regulatory and market enironments or PlS
and general energy inrastructure deelopment. 1hese can oten be addressed by non-technical
measures but may proe to be diicult to resole. Societal acceptance o projects can be
improed through campaigns o public inormation, by consultation and communication with
local communities, and by reerencing successully completed ,and attractie, projects. I the
regulatory enironment poses barriers ,e.g. through long delays in obtaining planning
permission,, this can be addressed through legal measures, but these will oten require a
concerted eort in order to be eected. 1his usually takes the orm o lobbying the responsible
agencies at a national or LU leel. Similarly, i barriers are imposed through the existing rules o
electricity markets, it may be possible to make changes through submissions to national
regulators. loweer, this may meet with resistance as regulators preer not to make requent
changes to market rules, as the resulting uncertainty may deter uture inestments.
Seeral international research projects ocus or recently ocused on barriers to electricity
storage. 1hose include S1ORILS ,".aare..ivg barrier. to 1ORage tecbvotogie. for ivcrea.ivg tbe
pevetratiov of vtervittevt verg, ovrce.`, 200-10, and stoRL ,acititativg everg, .torage to attor bigb
pevetratiov of ivtervittevt reverabte everg,`, starting May 2011, with unding rom the LU
programme Intelligent Lnergy Lurope |54[, |65[. 1he ormer addressed island systems and
promotion measures whereas the latter aims to identiy the best practices in Lurope or
oercoming non-technical barriers to the deelopment o energy storage acilities.
S 1opics for future research
1he topics or urther research can be broken down into 3 distinct areas: post modelling site
analysis, uture model deelopment, and urther related research.
S.J Post modelling site analysis
Post modelling site analysis would entail urther more detailed analysis o the global country
potential, based on detailed knowledge o speciic sites, rom either measurements or non-GIS
sources such as operator reports or enironmental assessments.
Geological assessment. 1he model deeloped here assesses sites based on their slope. In
order to ully assess the suitability or transormation to PlS urther analysis on the geological
makeup o the site and surrounding area would be required. 1his could be used e.g. to more
accurately identiy costs -depending on the type o rock a new reseroir might need an
waterprooing layer, or is costlier to dig |63[.
Hydrological assessment. A hydrological assessment o the global country potential would be
needed to ealuate the inlow into existing reseroirs or the inlow into the potential reseroir
sites. It might be that existing GIS water models could proide the input or this assessment.
44
Ilood risk assessment. 1he analysis o barriers details and discusses, in general, a list o
potential cases which could cause lood risks. luture research would require an analysis o each
lood risk, using the points mentioned in section 4.6 or the country potential.
Additionally, PlS may be used or lood protection, the model could present the capacity o
water storage in the proposed PlS schemes and relate it to other parameters that identiy the
role o PlS in lood protection. 1hose parameters could be hydraulic, population,
inrastructure, etc.
S.2 luture model deelopment
S.2.J Inestigate the aailability o additional data layers
1he incorporation o geology and hydrology ,e.g. precipitation and eaporation, data would
improe the unctionality o the model deeloped in this work. A layer o geological data would
allow some unsuitable sites to be either lagged or eliminated, or example sites located on peat
soils or sites with porous bedrock such as limestone ,see the discussion in section 4.1.1,. A layer
containing eaporation or potential eapotranspiration would be useul in order to iner the
likely eaporatie losses rom storage reseroirs. loweer, eaporation is highly spatially
ariable, especially in upland regions where orography and local winds may hae large eects,
and large-scale model datasets may not be capable o ully representing this ariability.
Precipitation data would help to quantiy inlows to reseroirs.
S.2.2 Other model improements
Alternatie, higher-resolution, terrain datasets may be aailable, on a commercial basis. 1hese
datasets, i suitable, may improe the accuracy o the site selection process. \e recommend
that the model be tested in a small region with a subset o any new terrain dataset beore
proceeding to recalculating transormation potentials on a country-wide basis. In this way, the
eects o the resolution and quality o the terrain inormation on the results can be assessed.
A potential extension to the model would be to estimate cut and ill olumes or reseroir
construction. 1his exercise is likely to be computationally intensie or large areas |55[.
\ith a substantial inestment o time
6
, ICOLD reseroir sites in countries other than Croatia
and 1urkey could be geo-reerenced by using the manual cross-reerencing technique with
Google Larth used to update the 1urkish and Croatian databases. Alternatiely, other sources
o data could be ound een in GIS ormat which could reduce the eort or data preparation.
1he indiidual resulting schemes could be analysed to distinguish between daily- or weekly-
cycle PlS, a way to do this by combining the capacity o the proposed PlS in G\h with
reasonable assumptions on pumping capacity, some work was already done e.g. by L\I and
energinautics |56[. 1he country potential could be appropriately split between both types o
PlS.
\e assumed that when both 1A and 1B transormations are possible or the same site the
choice is 1B owning to lower transormation costs. 1his disregards the possibility o 1A
yielding much more potential. 1he model could introduce the ealuation o cost adantage s.
higher energy storage potential. Likewise, there are a number o areas where a combination o
parameters can be sensible:
- Criteria or distance between reseroirs and head may be considered in combination. lor
example a second reseroir site 5 km away with 150 m head does not seem like a suitable site
|59[, |63[.
- 1opology B is always preerred oer 1opology A, but this can be challenged. lor example,
two existing reseroirs 5 km away with a head o 150m may not be a desirable deelopment or
a PlS ,1B,. loweer i suitable sites with 600m head exists within 1-2 km o one o the two
45
reseroirs, it may be aoured compared to utilizing the second reseroir. 1he cost o
constructing the secondary reseroir is relatiely small compared to the oerall cost o the
project |59[.
Some o the reseroirs can be as long as 20 km ,Peruca, in Croatia,, thereore the 5-km limit or
the second reseroir , currently at the centre o the dam, could be based not any point in the
lake, thus multiplying the explored area and thus the possibilities o inding a suitable site |63[.
1he head parameter could be adapted to be net head by taking into account losses, aerage
head, or a combination o both elements.
Maximum head could be an additional technical constraint. Lxisting PlS technology limits the
head between the two reseroirs to 00-800 m. In the example or Croatia, the selected site is at
the ,easible, edge o existing technology |59[.
S.2.3 Lxtension o scope: site pre-selection.
It has been highlighted that or the purposes o identiying maximum easible PlS country
potential, maximum energy storage seems the proper criterion. loweer, or the pre-selection
o a PlS site this may not be the most suitable criterion. Other criteria, such as maximum head
or minimum distance between the reseroirs ,both o these reduce the CapLx, may also be
used. 1hereore the methodology could extend the scope or site pre-selection. 1wo possible
approaches to this could be ,a, to combine two or more criteria with dierent weights or
inding the optimum` site or ,b, to select optimum sites based on more than one criteria
separately ,separate runs which could possibly identiy dierent sites,.` |59[
S.2.4 Reaching the inal user
1his model could proide an increasing aluable serice to the inal users i their needs were
incorporated in the orm o layers. Possible layers include:
- lull data on grid capacity is needed to estimate the cost o grid connection.
- More detailed calculation o the size and shape o the new ,second, dam proposed in 1A.
- Cost data or the dierent items, e.g. cost per cubic metre o concrete or the dam, per km o
grid extension.
- Building time data or the dierent items, data on permitting delays and other project-
management aspects.
- Llectricity interconnection capacity would help determine the possibilities or increased PlS
to support the electricity system o neighbour countries.
Possible users include the spatial planning bodies o regional or national goernments, utilities,
and deeloper o pumped hydropower schemes. 1hey should irst and oremost be consulted
on which kind o output rom the model, in terms o speciications and ormat, would be
needed to let them reduce costs or improe their work.
S.3 lurther related research
lurther related research relates to areas that would beneit the uture o PlS, considering
dierent types o plants, detailed costs, operation within electricity systems and markets.
S.3.J Analysis o the types o existing PlS
PlS has dierent conigurations depending on the topography it is sited in.
2 existing reseroirs with natural inlow ,transormation studied as 1B,
46
1 existing reseroir and 1 artiicial, newly-built one, usually the upper one ,studied as
1A,
2 artiicial reseroirs ,closed loop,
1here are also ariations on these 3 conigurations. Research into existing PlS plant
coniguration would allow or the categorisation o each PlS plant under the aboe headings.
1his knowledge would be useul or planned PlS, especially in the area o capital costs. Noel
technologies such as coastal seawater PlS could also be included in this categorisation.
S.3.2 Analysis o capital cost
As highlighted in section 4.2.4, the uncertainty o capital costs or PlS is a major barrier to the
uture deelopment. Research into breaking down the capital costs into its constituent parts
,penstock, generation equipment, reseroir construction, or een a more detailed split, would
proide more certainty or deelopers. lollowing on rom the categorisation o existing PlS, a
capital cost or each coniguration could make capital cost estimation more accurate in the
uture.
S.3.3 Laluate the role o PlS within the electricity markets in Lurope
A barrier or deelopers o PlS is the uncertainty o income streams rom energy markets.
Lnergy payments rom trading in the wholesale market are normally the main source o income
or PlS operators. loweer, some market structures also pay capacity payments or the
aailability o generation and,or pay or the aailability o generators or ancillary serices
,resere, black start etc.,. Research into how existing PlS operate within existing Luropean
markets would proide some leel o income certainty, and an indication o whether projects
can be inancially iable. lurthermore, stakeholders hae highlighted the need to identiy as
part o the ealuation o the potential the economic aspects including the potential income o a
PlS plant rom energy
10
, capacity, and ancillary serices, or whether there are any other
inancial incenties. rev tbovgb var/et avat,.i. i. vot ,ovr focv., a vore aetaitea orerrier of var/et
i..ve. rovta aaa ratve to ,ovr report` |59[.
S.3.4 Connection with the National Renewable Lnergy Action Plans ,NRLAP,.
Under the renewable energy Directie ,2009,28,LC, LU Member States hae to prepare plans
to meet their respectie 2020 goals o renewable energy contribution. Gien that large-scale
energy storage is nowadays only possible with reseroir-based hydropower or PlS, there is a
clear connection between the implementation path shown in NRLAPs and the need or energy
storage. 1his connection is shown in the NRLAP which include projections o PlS as well as
other hydropower installation.
lurther research could look at how PlS ,and the transormation to PlS, could enable grids to
accommodate a higher ariable-RL component.
S.4 Potential co-operation with GRanD
1his project has beneitted rom the data proided by the GRanD project. I urther work is to
be carried out in this area, then ormal co-operation with GRanD may be mutually beneicial.
10
As [60] suggested what is important is the difference between off-peak and peak electricity prices,
multiplied by efficiency
4
6 Methodological remarks and conclusions
In this analysis o potential or transormation the authors were obliged to take decisions based
on empirical analysis as well as on their own experience, with the limitations imposed by the
model and with aailability o data being a key inluencing actor. Because o the latter those
decisions at times had to be arbitrary and not necessarily matched the reality. A good example
to illustrate this point is the 1A case or Croatia which was contrasted with the reality. 1his
one, the Razoac dam, is part o the Velebit PlS system where the Stikada reseroir is the
upper one. lere the reality challenged two key assumptions o the design o the model, namely
that the size o the potential new upper reseroir should not be bigger than the lower ,existing,
reseroir, and that the economic distance between the two reseroirs should be lower than
5 km. Indeed the alidity o the latter assumption was urther challenged by other example, the
PlS project "Atdor" ,1.4 G\, 13 G\h, in Baden-\rttemberg ,South Germany, with a
distance between the two ,new, reseroirs o 8.5 km |62[.
Lery scenario or high penetration o renewable energy in electricity systems highlights the
need or electricity storage ,|56[, |5[, and puts storage as a key actor or reducing the cost o
energy i the renewable electricity is o a ariable nature. 1his modelling exercise is, to the
knowledge o the authors, the irst approach to identiying and quantiying the potential or
transormation to pumped hydropower storage in Luropean countries based on one or two
existing dams. loweer, this exercise belongs to the ield o research and, as the reality check
has hinted, its results might be some stages away rom the accuracy and deinition required or
an actual project easibility study. 1his is important because ,we beliee, the ultimate goal o an
exercise to quantiy the potential or increasing PlS should be dual: to eed the decision-
making process with sound science and to reduce the costs o transormation or all actors
inoled: goernmental spatial planning agencies, engineering companies and PlS deelopers.
Reiewers hae highlighted that the parameters used to restrict the search or suitable sites were
too restrictie regarding reality. 1here are inhabited areas less than 200 m rom a reseroir,
penstock can be buried so they can cross transport inrastructure and thus the 100-m distance
to the latter might be a unnecessary restriction |63[. 1he restriction o 5 km to UNLSCO sites
may be excessie when, e.g. this is an isolated chapel in the middle o the mountains
1hroughout this report the primary ocus was on the storage capacity, which is necessary since
we are inestigating the aailability o potential reseroirs. loweer, power capacity is
somewhat independent o the storage capacity i.e. to increase the power capacity more
penstocks can be constructed at existing PlS sites. Some research has indicated that increasing
the power capacity could enable higher wind penetrations without any increase in the storage
capacity` |58[ |65[
lydrology is a critical criterion especially or areas,countries in dry climates, such as those in
Southern Lurope. 1he assumption that the existing reseroir olume can be potentially used
or PlS is not necessarily alid in dry areas. lor example in Cyprus dams are rarely ull or een
near ull, they are oersized in order to maximize the water collection in rainy years and use it
or storage in dry years. In these cases the addition o a second reseroir would increase the
olume o water stored at the peak rainy season but during those period the reseroir could not
be used as PlS but as permanent water storage. lurthermore, a PlS plant cannot use all the
existing olume o the reseroir, otherwise debris and silt would be drawn up the pump-
turbine. Large leel dierences are not technically aourable or the mechanical equipment,
depending on the shapes,areas o the reseroirs large head dierences may deelop rom the
start o the pumping cycle to the end. As a irst step, the model could limit the olume o the
reseroir by a certain percentage ,say, 80, to account or all these actors |59[.
1he next steps could include the opening o a dialogue with these stakeholders that would
result in a more lexible model able to proide more accurate results that are closer to reality
48
and thereore start to be useul or at least some o those actors. Lentually, the process started
with this work could ,some would say should`, be expanded to the whole o Lurope.
7 Conclusions
1he country potential or transormation to PlS in Croatia is o 60 G\h, which compares
with the current installed PlS storage o 20 G\h. loweer, the latter is mostly ,98, in one
single, mix-PlS installation which generates 80 o its electricity rom pure hydropower
resources. I a olume actor
11
is applied as proposed by |56[, 60 G\h would correspond to
turbine capacity o 2.3 G\
1he realisable potential or transormation in 1urkey shown by this analysis is 3 800 G\h. 1his
igure corresponds to 146 G\ o turbine capacity at a olume actor o 26, and can be
compared with the estimated 35 G\ o peak demand and 230 000 G\h o generation in 2010.
Unortunately there is not an option to compare this transormation potential with the existing
PlS capacity because currently there are no PlS plants in 1urkey.
\e need some insight on how the prospectie new PlS could be used to help stabilise the grid
and increase the uptake o renewable energy. In eect, some o the potential PlS could be
used or intra-day balancing, i.e. pumping at night when there is excess electricity rom baseload
,coal or nuclear, plant, and generating during the day. Some other PlS with higher storage
capacity could be used or weekly or monthly storage i economically easible. A PlS
transormation based on the Karacaoren II Dam in 1urkey, with 34 G\h o storage capacity,
could be used to store electricity rom excess wind rather than curtailing wind production.
In eect, wind energy cycles may last hours but most requently last 3-4 days depending on the
local climatology. In electricity systems with high wind penetration and low export capacity,
islands or electrical peninsulas` such as Ireland or Inner Mongolia in China, wind would need
to be curtailed whereas a PlS plant with large storage capacity can absorb and then release
these wind energy during peak demand and thus haing the additional enironmental eect o
aoiding the use o the peaking plant uelled by ossil uels whether natural-gas or coal ,e.g. in
China,, and beneiting rom a subsequent reduction in greenhouse gas reductions.
References
1. lernando Peran Montero and Juan J. Prez, \ind-hydro integration: pumped storage to
support wind.` |Online[. Aailable: http:,,www.hydroworld.com,index,display,article-
display,6491568469,articles,hydro-reiew-worldwide,olume-
1,Issue_3,Articles,\ind-
lydro_Integration__Pumped_Storage_to_Support_\ind,QP12986,cmpid~Lnllydro
June12010.html
2. B. Dursun and B. Alboyaci, 1he contribution o wind-hydro pumped storage systems in
meeting 1urkey's electric energy demand,` Renewable and Sustainable Lnergy Reiews,
ol. 14, no. , pp. 199-1988, Sep. 2010.
3. LLA ,Luropean Lnironmental Agency, L1C,ACC 1echnical Paper 2010,1,
December 2010: Small-scale hydropower: a methodology to estimate Lurope`s
enironmentally compatible potential. Aailable at
http:,,acm.eionet.europa.eu,reports,L1CACC_1P_2010_1_Small_lydropower
11
According to |56[ 1he olume actor represents the ratio o storage size and the turbine capacity ,e.g. 1 G\
pump storage turbine has a 26 G\h storage basin,`
49
4. C. \ang and R. B. Jackson, Opportunities and barriers to pumped-hydro energy storage
in the United States,` Renewable and Sustainable Lnergy Reiews, ol. 15, no. 1, pp. 839-
844, Jan. 2011. Aailable at http:,,www.duke.edu,~cy42,PlLS.pd
5. Verbund is an Austrian utility responsible or the Rei|eck II, Limberg II and other PlS
projects. Online at http:,,www.erbund.com,cc,en,about-us,our-power-plants,power-
plant-types,pumped-storage-plants, accessed 8,11,11.
6. Lurostat, Luropean oice o statistics, aailable at
http:,,epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu,portal,page,portal,eurostat,home,
. lLP Proizodnja d.o.o. web page or the Velebit PlS plant
http:,,www.hep.hr,proizodnja,en,basicdata,hydro,south,elebit.aspx
8. lLP Proizodnja d.o.o. web page or the Vinodol hydropower system
http:,,www.hep.hr,proizodnja,en,basicdata,hydro,west,inodol.aspx
9. Llectricity renewable energy target potential rom Screening Report Croatia, Luropean
Union Lnlargement,
http:,,ec.europa.eu,enlargement,pd,croatia,screening_reports,screening_report_15_
hr_internet_en.pd. See also the Croatian targets rom http:,,narodne-
noine.nn.hr,clanci,sluzbeni,2009_10_130_3192.html
10. Summaries o LU legislation
http:,,europa.eu,legislation_summaries,enlargement,ongoing_enlargement,community
_acquis_croatia,e14114_en.htm
11. International Lnergy Agency`s Reverabte. vforvatiov 2011, page 455
12. DSI: General Directorate o State lydraulic \orks o 1urkey, consulted on 10,10,11 at
http:,,www2.dsi.go.tr,english,index.htm.
13. M. Ozturk, N. C. Bezir, and N. Ozek, lydropower-water and renewable energy in
1urkey: Sources and policy,` Renewable and Sustainable Lnergy Reiews, ol. 13, no. 3,
pp. 605-615, Apr. 2009.
14. Global \ind Lnergy Council, http:,,www.gwec.net,index.phpid~133 & \ind Summit
1urkey, http:,,www.windsummitturkey.com,1R_wind_News.asp
15. LUROPARC lederation: http:,,www.europarc.org,home,
16. UNLSCO Biosphere Resere sites: http:,,www.unesco.org,new,en,natural-
sciences,enironment,ecological-sciences,biosphere-reseres,world-network-
wnbr,wnbr,
1. UNLSCO \orld leritage list: http:,,whc.unesco.org,en,list
18. LU member countries, http:,,europa.eu,abc,european_countries,index_en.htm
19. Luropean lree 1rade Area, http:,,www.eta.int,
20. LU candidate and proposed candidate,\estern Balkan countries,
http:,,ec.europa.eu,enlargement,potential-candidates,index_en.htm
21. Lnergy Inormation Administration, DoL, US, aailable at
http:,,www.eia.go,capps,ipdbproject,iedindex3.cmtid~2&pid~33&aid~12&cid~re
gions&syid~2005&eyid~2009&unit~BK\l, consulted 2,05,11.
22. International Commission on Large Dams ,ICOLD, http:,,www.icold-cigb.net
23. 1he Global Reseroir and Dam ,GRanD, database,
http:,,atlas.gwsp.org,index.phpoption~com_content&task~iew&id~20&Itemid~68
24. Digital \ater Atlas at G\SP, http:,,www.gwsp.org,85.html
25. 1he CGIAR Consortium or Spatial Inormation,
http:,,srtm.csi.cgiar.org,SLLLC1ION,inputCoord.asp
26. Lehner, B., Reidy Liermann, C., Reenga, C., Vorosmarty, C., lekete, B., Crouzet, P.,
Doll, P., Lndejan, M., lrenken, K., Magome, J., Nilsson, C., Robertson, J., Rodel, R.,
Sindor, N., \isser, D. ,in press,: igb re.otvtiov vappivg of tbe rorta`. re.erroir. ava aav. for
.v.taivabte rirer ftor vavagevevt. lrontiers in Lcology and the Lnironment.
2. DIVA-GIS is deeloped by Robert lijmans http:,,www.dia-gis.org,gdata
28. http:,,arcscripts.esri.com,details.aspdbid~15603
50
29. Corine Land Coer raster is aailable at http:,,www.eea.europa.eu,data-and-
maps,data,corine-land-coer-2006-raster.
30. Global Lnergy Network Institute http:,,www.geni.org,
31. Natura 2000 deinition taken rom http:,,ec.europa.eu,enironment,nature,Natura
2000,index_en.htm
32. Burrough, P. A. and McDonell, R.A., 1998. Principles o Geographical Inormation
Systems ,Oxord Uniersity Press, New \ork,, p. 190.
33. 2008 annual report o the Croatian Academy o Lngineering, aailable at
http:,,www.hatz.hr,annuallA1Z_2008.pd, accessed 3,06,11.
34. Verebit pump storage power plant site by lLP Proizodnja d.o.o.,
http:,,www.hep.hr,proizodnja,en,basicdata,hydro,south,elebit.aspx, accessed
3,06,11
35. Dykes, A. P. & \arburton, J. Mass moements in peat: A ormal classiication scheme.
Geomorphology, 200, 86, 3-93
36. Description o the Croatian electricity market taken orm http:,,www.hrote.hr
3. http:,,releel.mingorp.hr,UserDocsImages,1_1ari_System_RLS_ClP_33_0.pd
38. http:,,releel.mingorp.hr,UserDocsImages,2_Incenties_or_RLS_ClP_33_0.pd
39. http:,,www.rtd.si,slo,6op,podr,trajraz,ensis,gradio,inc,RLS-research-in-Sloenia-
6-06-Part2.pd
40. http:,,www.serbia-
energy.com,index.phpoption~com_content&iew~category&layout~blog&id~23&Ite
mid~28
41. L\LA
http:,,www.ewea.org,index.phpid~60&no_cache~1&tx_ttnews5Btt_news5D~153
6&tx_ttnews5BbackPid5D~259&clash~e3e215a2852d0ae8de9a0ca1a66e
42. http:,,www.iioa.org,pd,Intermediate-2008,Papers,a1_Akkemik.pd
43. http:,,www.turkey-electricity.com
44. Capabititie. for ,aroporer geveratiov, UNLSCO, aailable at
http:,,www.unesco.org,water,wwap,wwdr,indicators,pd,11_Annexed20table_hydr
opower_generation.pd
45. Global wind energy council ,G\LC, data on 1urkey, aailable at
http:,,www.gwec.net,index.phpid~133, accessed 8,11,11.
46. Gatzen C. 1he economics o power storage. Munich: Oldenburg Industrieer, 2008.
4. Gonzalez, A., 'Gallachoir, B., & McKeogh, L., 2004. tva, of etectricat .torage tecbvotogie.
ava tbeir potevtiat to aaare.. riva everg, ivtervittevc, iv retava. Cork: UCC Sustainable Lnergy
Research Group.
48. Bogenrieder, \. ,aroetectric porer. In Renewable Lnergy Vol 3C, Springer Berlin
leidelberg, 2006, pp. 165-196
49. LVM\D LLAPS website, online at
http:,,www.emwd.com,depts,admin,public_aairs,leaps,about_leaps.asp
50. J. Deane, B. Gallachir, and L. McKeogh, 1ecbvoecovovic rerier of ei.tivg ava ver pvvpea
b,aro everg, .torage ptavt, Renewable and Sustainable Lnergy Reiews, ol. 14, no. 4, pp.
1293-1302, May 2010.
51. Description o each constraint is rom the UK Lnironmental Agency, Good practice
guidelines to the enironmental agency handbook, 1be evrirovvevtat a..e..vevt of propo.ea
tor beaa b,aroporer aeretopvevt., http:,,publications.enironment-
agency.go.uk,pd,GLlO0310BSC1-L-L.pd
52. Pritchard, S. ]apave.e pvvpea .torage evbrace. tbe oceav rare.. International \ater Power and
Dam Construction, 2000, 52,8,, pp. 30-34
53. Martin, G. D. & Barnes, l. S. .qvifer |vaergrovva Pvvpea ,aroetectric verg, torage. In
Proceedings o the Llectrical Lnergy Storage Applications & 1echnologies Conerence,
San lrancisco, USA, April 200.
51
54. http:,,ec.europa.eu,energy,intelligent,doc,iee_selected_projects_2010.pd
55. Deretopvevt of a covpvter prograv to tocate potevtiat .ite. for pvvpea b,aroetectric everg, .torage, D.
Connolly, S. MacLaughlin, M. Leahy, Lnergy, 35 ,1,, January 2010, Pages 35-381
56. Roaavap 20:0 - a cto.er too/. Co.tefficievt R pevetratiov ava tbe rote of gria etev.iov..
Institute o Lnergy Lconomics at the Uniersity o Cologne and energynautics, inal
report October 2011.
5. Patbra,. torara. a 100 reverabte etectricit, .,.tev. SRU - German Adisory Council on the
Lnironment, special report, October 2011. Luisenstrasse 46, 1011 Berlin
58. Dr. Daid Connolly, co-author o |55[, reision o the drat o this paper.
59. Constantinos Varnaas, PhD, Assistant Manager, Generation, to the Llectricity Authority
o Cyprus, personal communication.
60. Lmmanuel Branche, Senior Lngineer Lconomist, Generation&Lngineering, Saoie
1echnolac, Llectricit de lrance
61. 1vr/e, !ater Report 200. General Directorate o State lydraulic \orks, 2009. Consulted
on 20,12,11 at http:,,www2.dsi.go.tr,english,pd_iles,1urkey\aterReport.pd
62. Dr. Klaus Schneider, 1echnische Grundsatzragen, Schluchseewerk, personal
communication.
63. Dr. Neen Duic, Uniersity o Zagreb, Croatia, reision o the drat o this paper.
64. Krajacic G, Loncar D, Duic N, Lacal Arantegui R, Loisel R, Raguzin I. .vat,.i. of fivavciat
vecbavi.v. iv .vpport of ver pvvpea b,aroporer .torage pro;ect. iv Croatia. lorthcoming
65. Dr. Goran Krajacic, Uniersity o Zagreb, Croatia, reision o the drat o this paper.
Iurther reading
1he ollowing documents can contribute to enhance the issues analysed in this scientiic and
technical report:
J. Deane, B. Gallachir, and L. McKeogh, 1echno-economic reiew o existing and
new pumped hydro energy storage plant,` Renewable and Sustainable Lnergy Reiews, ol.
14, no. 4, pp. 1293-1302, May 2010.
Bogenrieder \. Pumped storage power plant-renewable energy`. Volume 3 'Lnergy
technologies' o Landolt-Bornstein Group VIII 'adanced materials and technologies,
2006. 1he cycle o pumping and generating can be repeated on a daily, weekly or een
seasonal basis. In the daily cycle the reseroirs can be illed and emptied within a 24 hour
period while in the weekly cycle the upper reseroir is partially drawn down and partially
reilled during weekdays and completely reilled during weekends when the system load is
normally low. Seasonal pumping is applied in hydropower systems with a large annual
ariation in inlow o water to the reseroirs.`
Limberg II PlS, Verbund, http:,,reports.erbund.at,2006,csr,selectedprojects,pumped-
storagepowerplantlimbergii.html Abstract: 1he new pumped-storage power plant,
Limberg II, which is being constructed by Verbund-Austrian lydro Power AG ,AlP, to
supplement the existing Kaprun power plant group, is located at the rear o the Kaprun
Valley. 1he balancing and backup power plant, Limberg II, will more than double the
output o the Kaprun power plant group rom 353 M\ to 833 M\ by making optimal use
o the dierence in height between the existing Alpine storage lakes, Mooserboden ,2 036
m aboe sea leel, and \asserallboden ,1,62 m aboe sea leel,.` 1 years construction
to 1995, 166 Mm3 between these irst two reseroirs. Very interesting enironmental
aspects
LPRI ,Llectric Power Research Institute,, 1990. Pumped Storage Planning and
Laluation Guide`. Prepared by larza Lngineering Company, Chicago. A
comprehensie and stand-alone guide is oered or the preliminary ealuation o pumped-
52
storage sites, to help ,a, ealuate perormance and beneits o pumped storage in a utility
system, including dynamic beneits, ,b, identiy the physical characteristics o a site suitable
or pumped-storage deelopment, ,c, establish the site's energy storage potential and
installed capacity, ,d, estimate capital cost, and annual operation and maintenance expense,
and ,e, conduct an economic analysis. A PC-based computer program has been written
and is included in the Guide Book to assist in beneit analysis. 1he concept o dynamic
beneits is explained, and how pumped storage contributes to them is described. Six o the
major power system generation planning models are ealuated to help utility planners
select the model best suited or their application. A methodology is proided to help
planners screen and select sites encompassing cost, beneit, enironmental, and regulatory
actors. Step-by-step procedures are described, one simpliied and the other more detailed,
to acilitate the use o the guide. Background descriptions are proided to assist those
unamiliar with pumped-storage practice. A series o cost cures are proided to permit the
deelopment o a preliminary capital cost estimate or a site, based on a ew key
parameters which deine the physical characteristics o the site.`
USA Army Corps o Lngineers. Lngineering and design-hydropower ,ealuating pumped-
storage hydropower,. Publication number: LM 1110-2-101, December 1985. Aailable at
http:,,140.194.6.129,publications,eng-manuals,em1110-2-101,c-.pd Abstract:
Pumped storage operation can be best understood by examining an o-stream pumped-
storage project which operates on a daily,weekly cycle ,the most common type o pumped
storage deelopment in the United States,. 1he early sections o this chapter discuss the
analysis o this type o project. Later sections are deoted to pump back, seasonal pumped
storage, and other aspects o pumped storage deelopment.`
Allen A.L, 19: Potential or conentional and underground pumped-storage, ILLL
1ransactions on Power Apparatus and Systems 96,3,, May 19. 1he purpose o this
paper is to present a ery brie reiew o the current state o pumped-storage, with a
cataloguing o its beneits and problems, and a brie summary o uture potentialities. 1he
potential or pumped storage is directly related to the public's iewpoint.`
Acknowledgements
\e would like to acknowledge the excellent eedback proided by the ollowing persons,
eedback that was crucial to improe this document: Dr. Constantinos Varnaas, Assistant
Manager ,Generation, to the Llectricity Authority o Cyprus, Dr. Daid Connolly, Assistant
Proessor, Aalborg Uniersity o Denmark, Alejandro Perea Sanchez, Gerente de Planiicacin
y Oertas, Iberdrola Generacin, Lmmanuel Branche, Senior Lngineer Lconomist,
Generation&Lngineering, Saoie 1echnolac, Llectricit de lrance, Dr. Klaus Schneider,
1echnische Grundsatzragen, Schluchseewerk, Dr. Neen Duic and Dr. Goran Krajacic,
Uniersity o Zagreb.
European Commission
EUR 25239 EN Joint Research Centre Institute for Energy and Transport
Title: Pumped-hydro energy storage: potential for transformation from single dams
Author(s): Roberto Lacal Arntegui, Institute for Energy and Transport, Joint Research Centre of
the European Commission, Petten, the Netherlands.
Niall Fitzgerald and Paul Leahy, Sustainable Energy Research Group, University
College Cork, Cork, Ireland
Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union
2012 55 pp. 21 x 29.7 cm
EUR Scientific and Technical Research series ISSN 1831-9424
ISBN 978-92-79-23182-7
doi:10.2790/44844
Cover picture: Dam of Cortes II, part of the pumped-hydropower scheme Cortes La Muela, in
Spain. Courtesy of Iberdrola
Abstract
Electricity storage is one of the main ways to enable a higher share of variable renewable electricity
such as wind and solar, the other being improved interconnections, flexible conventional generation
plant, and demand-side management.
Pumped hydropower storage (PHS) is currently the only electricity storage technology able to offer
large-scale storage as that needed for accommodating renewable electricity under the 2020 EU
energy targets.
Compared with the high environmental and social impact of most new hydropower plant in Europe,
the transformation of an existing reservoir into a PHS system offers the prospects of a much smaller
environmental and social impact.
The authors developed a geographical information systems (GIS) -based methodology and model to
identify the potential for transforming single reservoirs into PHS systems, and to assess the
additional energy storage which these new PHS could contribute to the electricity systems. The
methodology was applied as case studies to Croatia and Turkey.
GIS-based tools have the potential for effective and efficient identification of both national/EU
potentials (of policy and scientific-interest) and individual site candidates for transformation (pre-
feasibility, project-level). Once the model is set up, improvements to such tools, e.g. allowing better
sensitivity analysis, can be effectively applied to the whole of the EU with minimum effort.
This paper first summarises the methodology and tool used and then exposes the results of its
application to two countries as case studies. These results limit the assessment to potential sites
within 5 km of one existing reservoir (TA) or of one another (TB), and a minimum 150 m of head. In
the case of Croatia, it was found that at least a potential of 60 GWh is possible for which can be
compared with the existing 20 GWh of storage capacity at its PHS plants. In the case of Turkey a
potential of 3 800 GWh was assessed mostly under TA, with 2 potential TB sites providing three
additional GWh of storage potential.
54
How to obtain EU publications
Our priced publications are available from EU Bookshop (http://bookshop.europa.eu), where
you can place an order with the sales agent of your choice.
The Publications Office has a worldwide network of sales agents. You can obtain their contact
details bysending a fax to (352) 29 29-42758.
The mission of the JRC is to provide customer-driven scientific and technical support
for the conception, development, implementation and monitoring of EU policies. As a
service of the European Commission, the JRC functions as a reference centre of
science and technology for the Union. Close to the policy-making process, it serves
the common interest of the Member States, while being independent of special
interests, whether private or national.
L
D
-
N
A
-
2
5
2
3
9
-
E
N
-
N