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EDITOR'S FOREWORD
Foreign interest in buying U.S. residential property is greater than ever before. The recent housing crisis hasn't touched the perception that the US is a safe-haven, a place to send children to college, a place to get jobs. Residential housing in the U.S. is less costly than for nearly a decade. Price / Rent ratios are back to reasonable The US become more affordable. Whether you are European, Asian, Canadian, or Brazilian, you've probably got personally richer over the past decade, and in addition your currency has probably moved strongly up, compared with the US$. The U.S. economy is recovering. In the view of the Global Property Guide, given that U.S. interest rates are likely to rise, it will take a while yet for U.S. housing markets to move up. But the signs of recovery are there - so, all things considered, now is probably a good time to buy as any.
Contents
INTRODUCTION Doing big things The state of the Union House price changes A problem of undersupply and underdemand? A small rise in GDP A slight dip in unemployment A small gain in wages International interest growing Hot spots Round-trip costs Choosing the U.S. Financing for foreigners Foreign buyer profiles The dollar's value matters Is the US market 'well valued'? U.S. tenant profile International renters Sq m price and rental yields Property taxes Rental income taxes Bush tax cuts remain Federal and state income taxes Inheritance and estate taxes Residents Capital gains taxes Residential landlord and tenant acts New York City Miami
TAXATION
Introduction
Demand still weak In December 2010, new home sales jumped by a surprising 17.5% from a month earlier, eclipsing the 3% that experts had predicted. It was quickly noted, though, that most of the sales were on the west coast, where a looming tax credit deadline in California may have spurred the wave of purchases.
New Single Family Houses Sold (1,000)
1,500 1,200 900 600 300 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Only 321,000 new homes were sold in all of 2010, 14.2% down from 2009's total, and the smallest number of homes bought since 1963. With house prices down across the board in 2010, it was a buyer's market in the U.S. - but few were actually buying.
Some now claim there's undersupply There was a construction boom during the property bubble of the mid-2000s, and when the housing market went into decline after 2005, construction declined-to the extent that some parts of the market may actually be underbuilt, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), whose perspective may not of course be entirely objective. In 2009, there was a single-family housing deficit of 2.17 million units, again according to the NAHB, which estimates that by the end of 2010, the deficit will grow to 3.28 million units. The locations which rose the most, have fallen the most There's a strong contrast between Dallas, Denver, and New York (relatively unaffected by the boom and bust) and places which caught the boom (like Phoenix and Miami).
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'05
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'07
'08
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Phoenix
Los Angeles
Denver
Miami
New York
Price / Rent ratio returning to normal A very optimistic signal for the US market is that Price / Rent ratios are returning to their long-term normal levels. This suggests that after a period of overvaluation, the US housing market is returning to 'fairly valued' House Price vs. Rent
300 250 200 150 100 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Median rent Median house price Source: U.S. Census Bureau 50
Economic recovery in the US There's been a recovery in GDP, which grew 2.6% in the third quarter of 2010 (and 3.1% year-on-year) and 3.2% in the fourth quarter-marking six quarters of growth in a year, but less than the average quarterly 3.31% growth the U.S. has enjoyed since 1947. Overall, GDP grew by 2.9% in 2010 as exports of goods and services grew by 8.5% in the fourth quarter and imports shrank by 13.6%. Jobs returning But despite GDP's slight growth, unemployment continues high. Beginning at 5.0% in January 2008, it rose steadily until it hit 10.10% in October 2009 (close to the all-time post-war high of 10.80% in November 1982). Since the beginning of 2010, unemployment has hovered just below 10%, settling down to 8.90% at the beginning of 2010. But this still means a lot of people are under financial strain - not good for the housing market. Wages gains have been minimal The average weekly salary in the third quarter of 2010 was up 0.3% over the same period the year before, at $740. In the fourth quarter of 2010, both wages and benefits rose by 0.40%. Women had median weekly earnings of $662, men $813. There are 101.4 million full-time wage earners in the U.S.
Other states with sizeable international buyer purchases are: Georgia (5%) New York (4%) Nevada (3%).
Transaction costs
Transaction costs
When buying a house, the buying process is itself a major expense. Look at the total cost of both buying and selling a property - what we call the 'round-trip transaction cost', which includes all costs of buying and then re-selling a property, including lawyers' fees, notaries' fees, registration fees, agents' fees and taxes. The current average round-trip transaction cost in the U.S. is approximately 9.07% of the property's value, which is rather high for a developed country, principally due to high realtors' fees, supported in the US by a system of restrictive practices at odds with the US ideology of free markets and competition.
"9.07% rountrip transaction costs is typical when buying property in the U.S."
Global Property Guide calculates the round-trip transaction costs by following the following assumptions: The property is purchased by a non-resident foreigner in the country where he/she is buying The property is worth US$250,000 The property is paid in cash The property is a condominium located in a major city The property is not newly built The property is bought from an individual and not a developer or real estate holding company.
Transaction costs
Foreign buyers
Choosing the U.S. The biggest reasons international clients choose the U.S. are its desirability as a location, and a U.S. property's being a profitable and secure investment. The median price paid by international buyers was $219,400, higher than the overall median price of $173,000 for existing homes. (April 2009 to April 2010). About 50% bought their homes for use as their primary residences, 22% bought them as vacation homes, 14% were buy-to-let purchases, the rest were a combination of the latter two. Two-thirds of foreign purchases consisted of detached single-family homes. A quarter purchased a condominium or apartment, 8% purchased a townhouse or row house, and 3% bought commercial property. Fifty percent bought their homes in a suburban area. As for the rest, about a quarter bought homes in the city/urban areas, 14% in resort areas, and 9% in small towns and rural areas. Forty-five percent of home purchases by foreign buyers were in the South, particularly Florida and Texas, followed by the West (32%), particularly in California and Arizona. Financing for foreigners There are no restrictions on foreigners' buying property in the United States. However, foreign buyers do find it harder than residents to obtain loans with which to purchase property. Thirty-four percent of the realtors' international clients were not able to buy homes because they could not get financing. As a result, 55% of foreign buyers paid for their purchases with cash, and only 44% had mortgage financing - a sharp contrast to U.S. buyers, 92% of whom financed their homes with a mortgage.
Foreign buyers
Foreign buyer profiles The National Association of Realtors recently published its 2010 NAR Profile of International Home Buying Activity, based on a survey of realtors' experiences with international buyers. Canadians. Mexicans and Chinese are big buyers Canadians comprise a quarter of all foreign buyers; they, along with Mexicans and Chinese, account for more than 40% of international buyers in the US. International buyers come from all over the world: North America (35%), Asia (28%), Europe (26%), Latin America (6%), Africa (4%) and Oceania (1%). The NAR's Existing Home Sales information estimates that total residential sales in the U.S. in the 12 months ending March 2010 amounted to $907 billion. The NAR classifies foreign buyers into two types: Type A - foreign investors with permanent residences outside the U.S. but interested in purchasing property in the U.S. 41% of all international clients fall into this category, or about 4.5% of all home sales. Type B - clients who are recent immigrants or temporary visa holders in the U.S. looking for a permanent residence. 38% of all international clients fall into this category. Type B buyers accounted for $25 billion, or about 3% of all home sales. The remaining 21% of international clients are a combination of both types.
Foreign buyers
The dollar's value matters The report also noted a correlation between the value of the U.S. dollar and U.S. house prices. When the dollar decreases in value, house prices go down as well. However the decline of the dollar generally makes U.S. property more affordable for buyers in the Eurozone. Realtors are divided, however, on the impact of the dollar's value on sales. About 40% said that it has a moderate effect on sales, while 38% believe that the effect is very significant. Twenty-one percent believe that sales are not much affected by the dollar's value relative to other currencies.
Market valuation
Market valuation
YIELD (p.a.)
June 29 2010
MIAMI - Condominiums/townhomes
60 90 120 150 180 250 400 80 120 160 200 300 500 sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. sq. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. m. 167,580 272,880 567,960 730,650 904,500 1,542,250 3,494,800 150,400 269,640 516,640 648,400 1,092,300 2,078,000 1,234 1,871 2,683 3,585 4,365 7,115 11,356 1,234 1,922 2,680 3,362 5,169 n.a. .
Source: Global Property Guide
8.83% 8.23% 5.67% 5.89% 5.79% 5.54% 3.90% 9.84% 8.56% 6.22% 6.22% 5.68% n.a.
2,793 3,032 4,733 4,871 5,025 6,169 8,737 1,880 2,247 3,229 3,242 3,641 4,156
20.56 20.79 22.36 23.90 24.25 28.46 28.39 15.42 16.02 16.75 16.81 17.23 n.a.
June 29 2010
Rental market
Many Americans rent Roughly one-third of households in the United States live in rental housing. Most Americans, in fact, will have rented their homes at some point in their lives. A disproportionate number of renters are lower-income households. This may be partly explained by the fact that as of 2004, more than 80% of households whose heads are 25 and under were renters, as well as two -thirds of those aged 25 to 29. The number of households renting instead of owning their homes declines with the advance in age, but there are still over 4 million households whose heads are 65 and older that rent. People who go through major changes in their life-such as a divorce or separation, or a job transfer-usually choose to rent at least temporarily after they move. As of 2010, more than 61% of Americans aged 18 to 39 rented rather than owned their homes, up from 57% in 2005. Immigrants and foreigners living in the U.S. add to the number of renters, as a large percentage of them across all age groups rent. International renters Foreign renters who do not have a rental history or a credit history in the U.S. may be evaluated differently than prospective tenants, using criteria such as references and bank statements. Some international renters use guarantors or are asked to provide a larger security, sometimes as much as six to 12 months' advance rent .
Taxation
Property taxes
Most property taxes in the U.S. are levied on the combined value of land and capital. Property tax is levied at the municipal or county level by the local government, and the rates usually range from 0.2% to 2% of the property value. As of 2009, the state with the highest rate is New Jersey, at 1.89%, for a median value of $6,579. The state with the lowest rate is Louisiana, 0.18% of land value, or a median amount of $243. Rental income tax Cash or fair market value of property that the taxpayer receives as payment for the use of real estate is taxable by the IRS as rental income. In general, expenses from renting out property can be deducted . Non-residents with rental income are taxed at the federal and, generally, at the state levels. At the federal level, rental income is considered as investment income, and non-residents may opt to have their rental income classified as Fixed Determinable Annual Periodical (FDAP) income or as Effectively Connected Income (ECI). What's the difference? Under the FDAP classification, rental income is subject to a 30% withholding tax, levied on the gross amount, without offset for deductions, personal allowances or credits. If the taxpayer chooses to have rental income classified as ECI, the ordinary progressive tax rates are imposed after allowable deductions have been applied. Non-residents are only given this choice when it pertains to income from real estate property. Generally, when a non-resident is engaged in a trade or business in the U.S., income from such activities falls under ECI. When a non-resident earns income from sources that are fixed or regular, or when income is determinable before it is earned, such income is treated as FDAP income.
Taxation
Bush tax cuts remain There are four categories of income: wages and salaries, business income, investment income, and capital gains. All except capital gains, are generally aggregated and taxed at the same rates. Taxable income is generally computed as gross income less certain statutory deductions to arrive at adjusted gross income (AGI), less the standard deduction amount or the amount of itemized deductions, less personal exemption amounts. For non-residents, the tax liability depends on the type of income that is being taxed. Income is taxed at the federal level and at the state level, both at progressive rates. In December 2010, Congress voted to extend the Bush tax cuts for two more years, by the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of 2010. Signed into law by President Obama, this ensures that through 2012 the top Federal tax rate stays at 35%. Federal income tax The federal tax rates for 2011 are as follows:
Married filing jointly Marginal tax rate 10.0 % 15.0 % 25.0 % 28.0 % 33.0 % 35.0 % Tax brackets Over But not over $0 $17,000 $69,000 $139,350 $212,300 $379,150 $17,000 $69,000 $139,350 $212,300 $379,150 Married filing seperately Marginal tax rate 10.0 % 15.0 % 25.0 % 28.0 % 33.0 % 35.0 % Tax brackets Over But not over $0 $8,500 $34,500 $69,675 $106,150 $189,575 $8,500 $34,500 $69,675 $106,150 $189,575 -
Single Marginal tax rate 10.0 % 15.0 % 25.0 % 28.0 % 33.0 % 35.0 % Tax brackets Over But not over $0 $8,500 $34,500 $83,6000 $174,400 $379,150 $8,500 $34,500 $83,6000 $174,400 $379,150 -
Head of household Marginal tax rate 10.0 % 15.0 % 25.0 % 28.0 % 33.0 % 35.0 % Tax brackets Over But not over $0 $12,150 $46,250 $119,400 $193,350 $379,150 $12,150 $46,250 $119,400 $193,350 $379,150 -
Taxation
State income tax Forty-one states impose a state income tax. Of these, 35 base the taxes on federal returns.In addition, nine of the 41 allow taxpayers to deduct some or all of their federal income taxes: Alabama, Iowa, Louisiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon and Utah. Two other states, New Hampshire and Tennessee, limit their state income taxes to dividends and interest income. Only seven states do not impose income tax: Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming. In place of income tax, some of these states raise revenue by levying higher sales taxes. Inheritance and estate taxes An estate tax is a tax on the deceased's estate as a whole. The federal estate tax is levied by the government. For 2011 and 2012 the top tax rate is 35%, with estates below $5 million exempt, or $10 million for married couples. In the majority of states, the estate tax either no longer applies to deaths after a certain date, or is limited to federal estate tax collection. An inheritance tax is a tax imposed on beneficiaries who receive property from the deceased. In the U.S., it is levied by the states. Only nine presently have an inheritance tax: Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Nebraska, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Tennessee. Residents U.S. citizens and resident aliens are required by the IRS to report their worldwide income on their tax return.
Taxation
Capital gains taxes The maximum long-term capital gains tax rate is 15%, except for taxpayers in the lowest two tax brackets, who will pay 5%. These rates had been set to expire at the end of 2010, but were extended along with the rest of the Bush tax cuts for two more years. Gains on assets held for less than a year are taxed at the ordinary income tax rate. When a nonresident alien sells property, the buyer is required to withhold 10% of the selling amount as tax. The withholding tax is later credited as advance payment for capital gains tax. In addition, most states tax capital gains as part of income. State income tax rates apply
Where to buy
Where to buy
Miami
Foreign buyers are the driving force behind the success of the South Florida property market. Miami at a glance Population: 433,136 (city), 5.6 million (metropolitan area) Where to buy: The city of Aventura in Miami - Dade County is one of the nicer areas in the Miami metropolitan area. It is quite well-off, with a sub - stantial retirement community. One of its biggest attractions is Aventura Mall, a high - end shopping mall and the largest in Florida. Typical Aventura price for a 120 sq m condominium or townhome: $269,640. Typical Aventura yield for a 120 sq m condominium or townhome: 8.56%.
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What is the Global Property Guide? Launched in 2004, the Global Property Guide provides in-house research to help buyers of residential property abroad. We look at Valuation (whether property is expensive by standards such as the Price/Rent ratio) Rates of taxation Total costs of buying and selling property Landlord and tenant law' Inheritance law and inheritance taxation Economic trends Our statistics on national house - price changes sell to the World Bank, IMF, and similar institutions (educational institutions should apply for special consideration to publisher@globalpropertyguide.com ). Our research is widely quoted by leading media such as The Economist, Forbes, the Wall Street Journal, the BBC, as well as by industry publications. Our ratings of landlord-friendly landlord and tenant law has since been emulated by OECD policy papers.