FLOOD RESILIENCE STRATEGIES BEHIND THE DIKES

Erik Pasche, Gehad Ujeyl, Jrg Knieling, Mareike Schaerffer

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Motivation

Consequence of climate change: frequency and intensity of storm events and sea level will rise in coastal zones Increasing risk of flooding for societies living in these areas Cities along shorelines are in general areas of economic growth which will further increase their vulnerability for flood events These factors of steadily increasing flood risk urge for new strategies in flood risk management

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Introduction Present Practice in Flood Management

North Sea

Hamburg Berlin Cologne Frankfurt

Hamburg

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Flood risk due to storm surges in the city of Hamburg

The urban areas which are protected by flood defence structures host more than 180.000 citizens

and more than 140.000 jobs.

The overall damage totals more than 10 bill.

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Present Practice in Flood Management

Structural measures currently under construction

Wilhelmsburg

Status Quo: February 2007

already realised under construction planning in progress before planning phase Polder areas

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Development Concept Leap over the Elbe Metropolis Hamburg Growing City Urban development focuses on the Elbe island Wilhelmsburg Ongoing investments until 2013 International Construction Exhibition

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Why should we develop alternative strategies, when a ringdike already exists? Climate change Higher extreme water levels Dike-raising:
- extension, heights? -required space -costs

Urban development Construction activity / Population growth Accumulation of assets

Risk of failure

Vulnerability
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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Consequence of missing flood defense strategy behind the dikes

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Consequence of missing flood defense strategy behind the dikes

Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Cascading Flood Compartments - CFC-strategy

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Impact of Climate Change

Grossmann, I., Woth, K., von Storch, H. (2006): Localization of global climate change: Storm surge scenarios for Hamburg in 2030 and 2085, Die Kste, 71, 169-182

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Climate change scenarios, dike overtopping 2030 2085

4,3 mio m

15,1 mio m
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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Resilience strategy of Cascading Flood Compartments (CFC) 2030 2085

4,3 mio m

15,1 mio m
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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Adaptations of the existing built environment

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Classification of the building environment

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Efficiency analysis for residential buildings

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Societal Acceptance of Flood resilience strategies

Does the local population appreciate water-oriented building and living? How pronounced is the willingness to accept constraints in construction and use?

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Risk perception on Hamburg`s Elbe Island

72,6 % agree, that the danger of extreme storms increases because of the climate change

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Risk Perception on Hamburg`s Elbe Island

Half of the interviewed resistents regard their quarter to be at risk

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Risk Perception on Hamburg`s Elbe Island

Half of the interviewees believe that it is probable they might be affected personally by storm surge

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Acceptance of Flood Resilience Strategies

Willingness to adapt is low Population would keep staying on the island

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Acceptance of flood resilience strategies

limits concerning the implementation of alternative settlement concepts constructional flooding defence measures may consider the needs of the population to a greater extent to enhance the acceptance of waterrelated buildings participatory planning is relevant

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Conclusion

Resilience strategy of cascading flood

compartments (CFC) needs active support of the resisdents and communication processes An implemenation of CFC reduces the vulnerability for flooding behind the dikes significantly Nevertheless the need for integrative resilience strategies behind the dike is very high

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Flood resilience strategies behind the dikes

Thank you for your attention!

Hamburg University of Technology Institute for River and Coastal Engineering Gehad Ujeyl gehad.ujeyl@tuhh.de

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