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Table A-23. Estimated equations and model statistics for degrees conferred, by degree type and sex
Error
Durbin-Watson distribution Time
Dependent variable Equation R2 statistic pattern1 Rho period
Associate's degrees LNASSOCM = 4.9 + 0.4LNUG2ML2 0.95 2.0* AR(1) 0.571975–76 to
Men (10.7) (5.0) 2004–05
Where:
LNASSOCM = Log of the ratio of associate's degrees awarded to men relative to the population of 18- to 24-year old men
LNASSOCW = Log of the ratio of associate's degrees awarded to woman relative to the population of 18- to 24-year old women
LNBACHM = Log of the ratio of bachelor's degrees awarded to men relative to the population of 18- to 24-year old men
LNBACHW = Log of the ratio of bachelor's degrees awarded to women relative to the population of 18- to 24-year old women
LNMASTM = Log of the ratio of master's degrees awarded to men relative to the population of 25- to 34-year old men
LNMASTW = Log of the ratio of master's degrees awarded to women relative to the population of 25- to 34-year old women
LNDOCM = Log of the ratio of doctor's degrees awarded to men relative to the population of 35- to 44-year old men
LNDOCW = Log of the ratio of doctor's degrees awarded to women relative to the population of 35- to 44-year old women
LNFPROM = Log of the ratio of first-professional degrees awarded to men relative to the population of 25- to 34-year old men
LNFPROW = Log of the ratio of first-professional degrees awarded to women relative to the population of 25- to 34-year old women
LNUG2ML2 = Log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2
years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions.
LNUG2WL2 = Log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2
years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions.
LNUG4FTML4 = Log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 4
years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years).
LNUG4FTWL4 = Log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the
last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years).
LNGFTML2 = Log of the ratio of full-time male graduate enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67
and .33 for descending lagged years).
LNGWL2 = Log of the ratio of full-time female graduate enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67
and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female graduate enrollment.
LNGML4 = Log of the ratio of full-time male graduate enrollment to the male population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3.,
.2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male graduate enrollment.
LNGFTWL4 = Log of the ratio of full-time female graduate enrollment to the female population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are
.4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years).
LNFPML3 = Log of the ratio of full-time male first-professional enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where weights
are .5, .33, and .17 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male first-professional enrollment.
LNFPFTWL3 = Log of the ratio of full-time female first-professional enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where
weights are .5, .33, and .17 for descending lagged years).
NOTE: R2 indicates the coefficient of determination. Rho measures the correlation between errors in time period t and time period t minus 1. Numbers in parentheses
are t-statistics.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Degrees Conferred Model, 1975–76 through 2004–05. (This table was prepared
June 2007.)