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FOXTEL, a cable company and purveyor of hilariously over-sized remotes, is deciding whether it wants to increase the leverage of its business by compleMng a leveraged recapitalizaMon
Earnings SensiMvity
Leverage will increase the risk of the rms equity and raise its equity cost of capital
Figure 16.3 Unlevered Versus Levered Cash Flows with Perfect Capital Markets
Table 16.1 Returns to Equity in Dierent Scenarios with and Without Leverage
Figure 16.4 Unlevered Versus Levered Returns with Perfect Capital Market
D E rU = rD + rE D+E D+E
(Eq. 16.2)
D rE = rU + (rU rD ) E
(Eq. 16.3)
Cost of levered equity equals the cost of unlevered equity plus a premium proporMonal to the debt-equity raMo.
! Cash Flows to Investors$ ! Cash Flows to Investors$ # & = # without Leverage & + (Interest Tax Shield) " with Leverage % " %
Figure 16.6 The Cash Flows of the Unlevered and Levered Firm
EsMmated potenMal loss of 10% to 20% of value Many indirect costs may be incurred even if the rm is not yet in nancial distress, but simply faces a signicant possibility that it may occur in the future.
Loss
of
suppliers:
Suppliers
may
be
unwilling
to
provide
a
rm
with
inventory
if
they
fear
they
will
not
be
paid
(Eq. 16.10)
Figure 16.8 OpMmal Leverage with Taxes and Financial Distress Costs
Agency
costs:
costs
that
arise
when
there
are
conicts
of
interest
between
stakeholders.
Managerial
Entrenchment:
managers
onen
own
shares
of
the
rm,
but
usually
own
only
a
very
small
fracMon
of
the
outstanding
shares.
Shareholders
have
the
power
to
re
managers.
In
pracMce,
they
rarely
do
so.
If
these
decisions
have
negaMve
NPV
for
the
rm,
they
are
a
form
of
agency
cost.
Debt
provides
incenMves
for
managers
to
run
the
rm
eciently:
Ownership
may
remain
more
concentrated,
improving
monitoring
of
management.
Since
interest
and
principle
payments
are
required,
debt
reduces
the
funds
available
at
managements
discreMon
to
use
wastefully.
Under-investment
problem
Shareholders
could
decline
new
projects.
Management
could
distribute
as
much
as
possible
to
the
shareholders
before
the
bondholders
take
over.
The opMmal level of debt, D*, balances these benets and costs of leverage.
Asymmetric
informaMon
Managers
informaMon
about
the
rm
and
its
future
cash
ows
is
likely
to
be
superior
to
that
of
outside
investors.
This
may
moMvate
managers
to
alter
a
rms
capital
structure.
Market
Timing
Managers
sell
new
shares
when
they
believe
the
stock
is
overvalued,
and
rely
on
debt
and
retained
earnings
if
they
believe
the
stock
is
undervalued.
So
far
these
decisions
have
been
largely
from
the
perspecMve
that
nancing
decisions
are
one-Mme
events
A
broader
perspecMve
views
these
individual
events
within
the
context
of
a
longer-run
nancing
strategy
If
a
rm
will
always
be
able
to
raise
debt
and
equity
capital
on
acceptable
terms,
this
is
a
non- issue
More
realisMc
is
a
rm
has
to
worry
about
how
nancing
decisions
today
will
aect
future
access
to
capital
markets
Say
the
Hunger
Games
is
a
big
hit
and
becomes
a
huge
franchise
(a
la
Star
Wars
or
Lord
of
the
Rings).
Hunger
Gins
becomes
a
rapidly
growing
business
in
conMnuing
need
of
nancing.
Even
if
an
immediate
debt
issue
appears
arracMve,
extensive
reliance
on
debt
nancing
will
close
o
the
top
Unable
to
get
more
debt
without
addiMonal
equity