Name:

Sample midterm

ID:

Solution

UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS

STATISTICS 217 L02 Fall 2010 MIDTERM EXAMINATION (SOLUTION)

Instructor: Xuewen Lu Date: October 29th, 10 AM (Friday), 2010 Time: 50 Minutes

1. This examination is scheduled for a 50 minutes period. It has 18 multiple-choice questions. All questions are equally weighted. Blank answers and incorrect answers are scored as zero credit, while correct answers are worth 1 point each. For questions involving numerical answers, carry your computation to as many signicant digits as shown in the available answers and choose the closest number as your answer. 2. Read each question and its lettered answers. When you have decided which answer is correct and the best, blacken the corresponding space on the answer sheet with a No. 2 pencil. Make no stray marks; they may count against you. Blacken the course name STAT and number 217, your name and ID as well. 3. You need to bring A standard normal z-table, a t-table, a 2 -table and an F -table or you nd them from: http://www.math.ucalgary.ca/ xlu at the STAT217 course web site. 4. It is your choice to use MINITAB for computing and data analysis. 5. This is a closed book exam. A non-programable and non-graphing calculator is allowed. A two-sided, 8.5 x 11, formula sheet is allowed. However, programable calculator, Blackboard, email, cellphone and internet except the course web page are not permitted. 6. Hand in the answer sheet and the exam papers. You keep your formula sheet. (This is a sample midterm only, it does not mean that the new midterm will be the same or similar!)

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) -

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 2 of 7

Table 1: Correct answers to the multiple-choice questions Question Correct Question Correct number answer number answer 1 C 11 B 2 D 12 D 3 D 13 A 4 B 14 C 5 B 15 D 6 D 16 C 7 B 17 B 8 B 18 B 9 D 19 10 B 20

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) -

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 3 of 7

1. A simple random sample of six male patients over the age of 65 is being used in a blood pressure study. The standard error of the mean blood pressure of these six men was 22.8. What is the standard deviation of these six blood pressure measurements? A) 9.31 B) 50.98 C) 55.85 D) 136.8 2. The hypotheses H0 : = 10 versus Ha : = 10 are examined using a sample of size n = 18. The one-sample t statistic has the value tcalc = 2.05. Between what two values does the P -value of this test fall? A) 0.01 < P value < 0.025 B) 0.02 < P value < 0.05 C) 0.025 < P value < 0.05 D) 0.05 < P value < 0.10 3. A signicance test is to be conducted concerning population means 1 and 2 based on the dierence between two sample means, x1 x2 . What assumptions are required in order for the two-sample t statistic to be valid? A) The two samples must be independent. B) The two samples must be simple random samples. C) The variable must be Normally distributed in the two populations. D) All of the above.
2 2 2 2 4. In testing the null hypothesis H0 : 1 = 2 , against the alternative Ha : 1 = 2 using two independent random samples from two Normally distributed populations, the following test statistic is suggested: larger s2 . smaller s2 Which of the following statements about this statistic is (are) FALSE? A) The statistic follows the F distribution when the null hypothesis is true. B) This F statistic used for inferences about variances is very robust against departures from Normality. C) The P -value for this two-tailed test is obtained by doubling the probability obtained from the F -table for the observed test statistic value. D) The degrees of freedom for the test are nn 1 , and nd 1, where nn and nd are the sample sizes for the variances in numerator and denominator, respectively.

CAUTION: the next 3 questions refer to the following information: A simple random sample of 450 residents in the state of New York is taken to estimate the proportion of people who live within one mile of a hazardous waste site. 5. If 135 of the residents in the sample live within one mile of a hazardous waste site, what are the values of the sample proportion of people who live within one mile of a hazardous waste site and its standard error?

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) A) 0.3 and 0.01 B) 0.3 and 0.022 C) 0.3 and 0.21 D) 0.7 and 0.022

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 4 of 7

6. If 315 of the residents in the sample live within one mile of a hazardous waste site, what are the values of the sample proportion of people who live within one mile of a hazardous waste site and its standard error? A) 0.3 and 0.022 B) 0.7 and 0.01 C) 0.7 and 0.21 D) 0.7 and 0.022 7. If a 95% condence interval were calculated for either of the above two scenarios, how would the two condence intervals compare? A) Since the sample proportion in the rst scenario is smaller, its condence interval would be narrower. B) Even though the sample proportions are dierent, the widths of the condence intervals would be equal. C) Since the sample proportion in the second scenario is larger, its condence interval would be shifted to the right and narrower than the one calculated from the rst scenario. D) This cannot be determined from the information given. CAUTION: the next 3 questions refer to the following information: At a large midwestern university, a simple random sample of 100 entering freshmen in 1993 found that 20 of the sampled freshmen nished in the bottom third of their high school class. Admission standards at the university were tightened in 1995. In 1997, a simple random sample of 100 entering freshmen found that only 10 nished in the bottom third of their high school class. Let p1 and p2 be the proportions of all entering freshmen in 1993 and 1997, respectively, who graduated in the bottom third of their high school class. 8. What is a 90% plus four condence interval for p1 p2 ? A) 0.098 0.050 B) 0.098 0.083 C) 0.098 0.099 D) 0.098 0.130 9. Is there evidence that the proportion of freshmen who graduated in the bottom third of their high school classes in 1997 has been reduced, as a result of the tougher admission standards adopted in 1995, compared to the proportion in 1993? To determine this, test the hypotheses H0 : p1 = p2 versus Ha : p1 > p2 using a large-sample method. What is the value of the z statistic for testing these hypotheses? A) z = 1.20 B) z = 1.92 C) z = 1.96

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) D) z = 1.98

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 5 of 7

10. What is the value of the P -value? A) P value < 0.001 B) P value = 0.0238 C) P value = 0.025 D) P value = 0.1151 CAUTION: the next 4 questions refer to the following information: When a police ocer responds to a call for help in a case of spousal abuse, what should the ocer do? A randomized controlled experiment in Charlotte, North Carolina, studied three police responses to spousal abuse: advise and possibly separate the couple, issue a citation to the oender, and arrest the oender. The eectiveness of the three responses was determined by re- arrest rates. The table below shows these rates: Assigned treatment Arrest Citation Advise/separate 175 181 187 36 33 24 2 7 1 1 1 0 0 2 0

Number of subsequent arrests 0 1 2 3 4

11. What is the proportion of all cases in which the assigned treatment was Advise/separate? A) 0.29 B) 0.33 C) 0.84 D) 0.88 12. What proportion of times were there no subsequent arrests out of all cases in which the assigned treatment was Advise/separate? A) 0.29 B) 0.33 C) 0.84 D) 0.88 13. Suppose we wish to test the null hypothesis that the proportions of subsequent arrests are the same regardless of the treatment assigned. Under the null hypothesis, what is the expected number of times no subsequent arrest would occur for the treatment Advise/separate? A) 177 B) 181 C) 187 D) 543

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) -

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 6 of 7

14. Suppose we wish to test the null hypothesis that the proportions of subsequent arrests are the same regardless of the treatment assigned. Which of the following statements is TRUE? A) We cannot test this hypothesis, because the police ocers did not record the expected counts. B) The test of the null hypothesis will have a very small P -value (below 0.0001), because the counts in each row are not identical. C) We cannot test this hypothesis, because the expected cell counts are less than ve in too many of the cells. D) The test of the null hypothesis will have a very small P -value (below 0.0001), because there were so few cases where there were more than one re-arrest. CAUTION: the next 4 questions refer to the following information: A particular paperback mystery book is published with a choice of three dierent pictures on the cover: a photograph of the actor playing the main character in the movie version of the book, a drawing of the mansion where the story in the book takes place, or an embossed graphic of the murder weapon. A certain bookstore keeps copies of this book with each of the pictures on the cover on its racks. To test the hypothesis that sales of this book are equally divided among the three choices, a simple random sample of 120 purchases of this book is obtained. The numbers are displayed in the table below: Picture on the cover Photograph Drawing Embossed graphic 31 47 42

Total 120

15. Under the null hypothesis that sales are equally divided among the three dierent covers, what is the value of the expected count for sales of the book with the photograph of the actor on the cover? A) 0.258 B) 0.333 C) 31 D) 40 16. What is the value of the chi-square statistic? A) 1.225 B) 3 C) 3.35 D) 40 17. What are the appropriate degrees of freedom for the chi-square statistic? A) 1 B) 2 C) 3 D) 4 18. At the 10% signicance level, do we reject the null hypothesis? A) Yes

Stat 217 (L02-Fall 2010) -

Fridays 10:00 AM Lab Midterm Examination

Page 7 of 7

B) No C) This cannot be determined from the information given. D) A P -value tells it.

- The END -