You are on page 1of 29

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion

Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Mayoralty: Quinn Leads Democratic FieldLhota Ahead Among GOP
*** Complete Tables for Poll Appended *** EMBARGOED UNTIL 7:00 P.M on Thursday, February 14, 2013 Contact: Lee M. Miringoff Barbara L. Carvalho Mary E. Griffith Marist College 845.575.5050

This NY1-Marist Poll Reports: New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg will leave office at the end of the year. So, who could be his successor? Looking at the Democratic contest, New York City Council Speaker Christine Quinn leads her closest opponent by almost three-to-one. Among registered Democratic voters in New York City including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, if the Democratic primary were held today, here is how the contest would stand: 37% Christine Quinn 13% Bill Thompson 12% Bill de Blasio 9% John Liu 2% Sal Albanese 1% Other 26% Undecided An open seat is attracting a crowd, says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. Right now, Quinn is in the drivers seat, but the race is still very fluid. Quinn has improved her standing among New York City Democrats. In fact, her support has rebounded to more than what it was last spring. When NY1-Marist reported this question in October, Quinn received the support of 23% of Democrats. 15% backed former New York City Comptroller Bill Thompson. Nine percent gave their support to current City Comptroller John Liu while Public Advocate Bill de Blasio garnered 8%. Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer had 6%, and the publisher of Manhattan Media, Tom Allon, received 2%. At

that time, 37% were unsure. In NY1-Marists April survey, 32% of New York City Democrats supported Quinn. How committed to their choice are Democrats with a candidate preference? 30% strongly support their pick. 34% are somewhat behind their candidate while 32% might vote differently. Three percent are unsure. What are New York City Democrats impressions of these mayoral aspirants? 65% have a favorable opinion of Quinn while 17% have an unfavorable one. 18% have either never heard of her or are unsure how to rate her. Looking at Thompson, nearly half -- 49% -- have a favorable impression of him while 20% do not. 31% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. 48% of New York City Democrats have a positive view of de Blasio while 20% have an unfavorable one. 32% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. When it comes to Liu, 43% have a favorable impression of him while 27% have an unfavorable one. 30% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Only 26% of Democrats have a positive opinion of Albanese while 20% have an unfavorable view of him. A majority -- 54% -- has either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him.

On the Republican side, former MTA Chairman Joe Lhota has the advantage over opponents for his partys nomination but by no means a lock. A majority of Republicans citywide -- 55% -- are undecided. Among registered Republicans in New York City including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, if the Republican primary were held today, here is how the contest would stand: 20% Joe Lhota 8% George McDonald 5% John Catsimatidis 4% Tom Allon 3% Adolfo Carrion 2% A.R. Bernard 3% Other 55% Undecided

Page 2 of 4

Hopefuls in the Republican field lack name recognition. Except for Lhota, a majority of New York City Republicans do not offer an impression of the potential Republican nominees for mayor. 42% of GOP voters think well of Lhota while 12% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 46% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. 30% have a favorable view of Businessman John Catsimatidis while 14% have an unfavorable one. A majority -- 56% -- has either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. When it comes to former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion, 20% perceive him positively while 21% do not. 59% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Advocate George McDonald is viewed well by 18% of Republicans citywide. 17%, however, have an unfavorable impression of him. Nearly two-thirds -- 65% -- have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Just 16% say they have a positive opinion of Manhattan Media publisher Allon. This compares with 17% who have an unfavorable view of him. 67% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Only 12% think well of Reverend A.R. Bernard. 18% have an unfavorable opinion of the candidate, and seven in ten -- 70% -- have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him.

While former Congressman Anthony Weiner has not announced a candidacy for public office, there has been speculation about his political intentions. Weiner, though, has a perception problem. Only 30% of registered voters in New York City view him favorably. 46% have an unfavorable impression of him while 24% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. From the Primary to the GeneralDemocrats Outdistance GOP Hopeful Lhota When it comes to Novembers general election, how do the candidates fare in head-to-head matchups? Among New York City registered voters: Quinn -- 64% -- outpaces Lhota -- 18%. 18% are undecided. If Thompson were to face-off against Lhota, Thompson -- 61% -- surpasses Lhota -19%. 20% are undecided. When de Blasio and Lhota square off, 60% back de Blasio compared with 18% for Lhota. 22% are undecided. 56% are for Liu while 20% are behind Lhota. 23% are undecided. In a race between Albanese and Lhota, 52% support Albanese compared with 21% for Lhota. 27% are undecided.

Page 3 of 4

Third Party Candidate Makes Little Difference If Adolfo Carrion decided to run on an independent line, how would the race shape up? Among New York City registered voters: Quinn has the support of 59% to 17% for Lhota. Carrion receives 8%, and 17% are undecided.

Former Mayors Could Do More Harm than Good in General Election, But A candidate endorsement by Mayor Bloomberg may not bolster that candidates prospects. If Bloomberg were to endorse a candidate, 36% of the electorate would be more likely to vote for that candidate while 44% would be less likely to vote for him or her. 14% report Bloombergs endorsement would make no difference to their vote, and 7% are unsure. When NY1-Marist last reported this question in April, 28% said they would be more inclined to cast their ballot for a Bloomberg-endorsed candidate while 42% believed such a backing would make them less likely to support that candidate. 18% thought it would make no difference to their vote, and 11% were unsure. What if former Mayor Rudy Giuliani were to endorse a candidate? While Giulianis backing would do little to bolster such a candidate in the general election, it could pay dividends in the Republican primary. Among New York City registered voters, 38% would be more likely to vote for a candidate backed by Giuliani while 46% would be less likely to vote for that person. Nine percent report it would make little difference to their vote, and 6% are unsure. However, among Republicans citywide, 71% would be more inclined to support a candidate who receives Giulianis stamp of approval. 17% would be less likely to cast their ballot for that candidate, and 9% say it wouldnt matter one way or the other. Two percent are unsure.

Page 4 of 4

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NY1-Marist New York City Poll of 1,752 Adults This survey of 1,752 New York City adults was conducted February 4th through February 12th, 2013. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in New York City were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the city. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each borough was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 census results for age, gender, income, race, and borough. Results for adults are statistically significant within 2.3 percentage points. There are 1,367 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 2.7 percentage points. There are 875 Democrats and 172 Republicans. Results for these subsets are statistically significant within 3.3 percentage points and 7.5 percentage points, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

Nature of the Sample - Ne w York City NYC Adults Col % NYC Adults NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Independent Other Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens Staten Island Income Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Race White African American Latino Asian Other Age 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Age Under 45 45 or older Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion Education Not college graduate College graduate HH with Member of Labor Union Gender Yes No Men Women Interview T ype Landline Cell Phone 100% 78% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 16% 30% 21% 28% 5% 51% 49% 35% 22% 27% 14% 2% 24% 29% 23% 24% 53% 47% 26% 34% 15% 10% 16% 53% 47% 24% 73% 47% 53% 75% 25% 100% 67% 13% 20% 1% 40% 35% 26% 16% 31% 22% 26% 5% 47% 53% 39% 23% 26% 11% 2% 19% 28% 25% 28% 47% 53% 27% 36% 15% 8% 14% 49% 51% 26% 73% 45% 55% 78% 22% 100% n/a n/a n/a 48% 32% 20% 19% 30% 22% 26% 3% 49% 51% 34% 29% 28% 9% 1% 18% 26% 26% 30% 44% 56% 31% 34% 16% 7% 12% 49% 51% 27% 71% 41% 59% 79% 21% n/a 100% n/a n/a 13% 34% 53% 10% 32% 26% 20% 12% 37% 63% 66% 4% 18% 10% 2% 11% 31% 26% 33% 42% 58% 15% 50% 21% 6% 9% 42% 58% 23% 77% 51% 49% 83% 17% NYC Registered Voters Col % NYC Democrats Col % NYC Republicans Col %

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Adults: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=1752 MOE +/- 2.3 percentage points. NYC Registered Voters: N=1367 MOE +/- 2.7 percentage points. NYC Democrats: N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. NYC Republicans: N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. T otals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats NYC Democratic primary for mayor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate Christine Quinn Bill Thompson Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 37% 43% 33% 38% 38% 31% 50% 34% 34% 42% 48% 29% 41% 16% 33% 42% 40% 36% 39% 34% 41% 34% 34% 40% 41% 34% 40% 36% 38% 34% Row % 13% 10% 18% 11% 13% 17% 10% 10% 14% 12% 9% 24% 9% 0% 17% 11% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 14% 14% 11% 14% 13% 13% 19% 14% 11% Bill de Blasio Row % 12% 13% 15% 11% 10% 17% 13% 9% 11% 15% 15% 11% 12% 8% 11% 12% 18% 12% 13% 12% 12% 8% 15% 13% 12% 15% 11% 13% 12% 14% John Liu Row % 9% 7% 9% 16% 9% 6% 8% 12% 10% 8% 5% 10% 9% 20% 9% 9% 5% 9% 9% 11% 7% 8% 13% 8% 6% 12% 7% 9% 8% 11% Sal Albanese Row % 2% 2% 1% 4% 0% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 3% 1% 6% 2% 1% 0% 2% 2% 3% 2% 6% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 4% Other Row % 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Undecided Row % 26% 25% 24% 19% 29% 25% 17% 30% 27% 20% 20% 23% 26% 49% 28% 24% 23% 27% 24% 26% 24% 30% 23% 23% 25% 22% 28% 19% 26% 26%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats with a Candidate Preference Would you say that you strongly support <candidates> somewhat support <candidates>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Primary Day? Strongly Somewhat Might vote support support differently Unsure Row % NYC Democrats with a Candidate Preference Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 30% 30% 32% 30% 32% 34% 23% 32% 33% 28% 27% 33% 32% 31% 32% 31% 23% 29% 31% 25% 34% 23% 25% 33% 36% 27% 33% 30% 31% 28% Row % 34% 37% 40% 17% 34% 31% 44% 29% 26% 41% 38% 34% 33% 15% 33% 33% 42% 30% 39% 38% 32% 34% 41% 30% 34% 36% 33% 39% 34% 33% Row % 32% 30% 27% 47% 34% 32% 30% 34% 37% 28% 32% 32% 32% 48% 34% 33% 32% 37% 28% 36% 30% 41% 34% 33% 27% 34% 31% 28% 31% 37% Row % 3% 3% 2% 6% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 6% 1% 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats with a Candidate Preference: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=582 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Christine Quinn? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 65% 71% 63% 61% 66% 61% 75% 61% 63% 69% 70% 64% 64% 55% 61% 70% 66% 62% 68% 62% 69% 53% 67% 70% 68% 65% 65% 66% 65% 66% Row % 17% 13% 20% 19% 16% 17% 18% 16% 18% 18% 16% 17% 15% 16% 17% 14% 17% 17% 17% 19% 14% 21% 19% 14% 14% 20% 14% 20% 16% 18% Row % 18% 16% 16% 20% 19% 22% 7% 23% 19% 14% 14% 18% 21% 29% 22% 16% 17% 21% 15% 19% 17% 26% 14% 16% 18% 16% 20% 15% 19% 16%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Bill Thompson? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 49% 49% 52% 46% 46% 48% 57% 46% 47% 55% 47% 56% 44% 43% 57% 45% 50% 46% 52% 43% 54% 34% 50% 56% 52% 50% 48% 58% 50% 45% Row % 20% 19% 19% 27% 22% 22% 18% 18% 23% 17% 17% 18% 26% 18% 14% 25% 17% 23% 17% 28% 14% 36% 23% 14% 13% 24% 17% 17% 17% 31% Row % 31% 32% 29% 27% 32% 30% 25% 37% 30% 28% 35% 25% 30% 39% 29% 29% 33% 30% 31% 29% 32% 30% 28% 30% 35% 27% 34% 25% 33% 25%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Bill de Blasio? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 48% 48% 52% 50% 46% 52% 53% 42% 48% 52% 52% 50% 44% 48% 46% 51% 49% 43% 54% 47% 50% 38% 53% 53% 47% 51% 47% 54% 47% 53% Row % 20% 19% 19% 24% 20% 21% 18% 19% 23% 18% 12% 20% 30% 13% 18% 23% 14% 24% 15% 26% 16% 36% 19% 18% 14% 24% 17% 17% 18% 25% Row % 32% 33% 30% 25% 34% 27% 29% 38% 29% 30% 36% 30% 26% 39% 36% 26% 37% 32% 31% 27% 34% 26% 28% 29% 39% 25% 37% 29% 35% 22%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of John Liu? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 43% 42% 45% 47% 44% 41% 45% 44% 47% 44% 34% 54% 43% 50% 45% 47% 33% 44% 42% 43% 44% 34% 49% 45% 43% 43% 44% 52% 43% 45% Row % 27% 26% 29% 29% 22% 29% 29% 25% 22% 30% 34% 21% 24% 22% 25% 25% 34% 24% 29% 28% 26% 33% 25% 30% 23% 31% 23% 25% 25% 32% Row % 30% 33% 26% 24% 34% 29% 26% 32% 31% 26% 32% 25% 34% 28% 30% 28% 34% 31% 29% 29% 30% 33% 27% 26% 34% 26% 33% 23% 32% 23%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Democrats Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Sal Albanese? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Democrats Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 26% 23% 28% 34% 24% 26% 26% 27% 32% 24% 21% 27% 31% 35% 22% 34% 19% 30% 23% 31% 23% 29% 32% 25% 22% 25% 27% 26% 26% 28% Row % 20% 20% 21% 24% 21% 22% 17% 19% 23% 20% 15% 23% 27% 16% 23% 22% 12% 23% 18% 23% 19% 28% 20% 24% 14% 24% 18% 20% 19% 25% Row % 54% 58% 51% 42% 55% 52% 57% 53% 46% 57% 64% 50% 42% 49% 55% 45% 69% 47% 59% 46% 58% 43% 48% 51% 64% 51% 56% 55% 55% 47%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Democrats: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=875 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans NYC Republican primary for mayor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate George John McDonald Tom Allon Adolfo Carrion A.R. Bernard Other Catsimatidis Row % 8% Row % 5% Row % 4% Row % 3% Row % 2% Row % 3%

Joe Lhota Row % NYC Republicans 20%

Undecided Row % 55%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe Lhota? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 42% Row % 12% Row % 46%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of John Catsimatidis? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 30% Row % 14% Row % 56%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Adolfo Carrion? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 20% Row % 21% Row % 59%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of George McDonald? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 18% Row % 17% Row % 65%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Tom Allon? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 16% Row % 17% Row % 67%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Republicans Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of A.R. Bernard? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Republicans 12% Row % 18% Row % 70%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Republicans: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=172 MOE +/- 7.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Anthony Weiner? Unsure-Never Favorable Unfavorable Heard Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 30% 34% 19% 23% 37% 29% 23% 27% 30% 28% 32% 30% 32% 28% 36% 27% 30% 31% 26% 26% 27% 32% 29% 31% 29% 30% 32% 31% 33% 27% 35% 29% 34% Row % 46% 43% 63% 48% 41% 51% 53% 38% 46% 57% 43% 41% 52% 54% 37% 44% 43% 40% 52% 55% 43% 50% 46% 46% 40% 51% 48% 45% 49% 44% 47% 47% 44% Row % 24% 23% 18% 29% 22% 20% 24% 34% 23% 15% 25% 29% 16% 17% 27% 29% 27% 28% 22% 19% 29% 18% 24% 22% 31% 20% 21% 24% 17% 29% 17% 24% 22%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=1367 MOE +/- 2.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Christine Quinn, the Joe Lhota, the Democrat Republican Undecided Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 64% 81% 17% 48% 78% 62% 47% 71% 62% 62% 64% 66% 65% 57% 76% 69% 53% 72% 63% 56% 61% 67% 63% 66% 63% 64% 66% 65% 61% 66% 65% 62% 69% Row % 18% 8% 65% 20% 8% 20% 35% 12% 20% 20% 19% 18% 21% 26% 9% 16% 18% 11% 26% 26% 21% 17% 20% 17% 19% 20% 18% 17% 24% 14% 21% 18% 21% Row % 18% 11% 19% 32% 15% 18% 18% 17% 17% 18% 18% 16% 14% 16% 15% 15% 29% 17% 11% 18% 18% 16% 17% 17% 18% 16% 16% 19% 15% 20% 14% 20% 10%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

Bill Thompson, the Democrat Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 61% 78% 13% 43% 72% 60% 47% 72% 59% 57% 60% 68% 58% 48% 76% 67% 58% 73% 57% 49% 62% 59% 58% 64% 62% 56% 67% 60% 59% 62% 64% 60% 66%

Joe Lhota, the Republican Row % 19% 8% 64% 24% 10% 19% 32% 12% 21% 20% 20% 17% 23% 30% 6% 15% 19% 10% 27% 28% 19% 19% 22% 17% 17% 25% 16% 19% 24% 15% 18% 18% 22%

Undecided Row % 20% 14% 23% 33% 18% 21% 21% 16% 20% 23% 20% 15% 20% 22% 17% 18% 23% 18% 16% 23% 18% 22% 20% 19% 21% 19% 17% 21% 17% 23% 18% 22% 12%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Bill de Blasio, the Democrat Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 60% 79% 14% 37% 73% 60% 45% 69% 63% 55% 58% 67% 57% 50% 76% 62% 54% 73% 55% 51% 59% 62% 58% 63% 57% 58% 65% 61% 58% 63% 64% 59% 64% Joe Lhota, the Republican Row % 18% 7% 65% 22% 9% 18% 33% 12% 19% 22% 18% 17% 20% 27% 4% 19% 16% 8% 28% 27% 21% 15% 22% 16% 23% 21% 14% 17% 23% 14% 17% 17% 23%

Undecided Row % 22% 14% 21% 41% 18% 22% 22% 19% 19% 24% 24% 17% 22% 22% 19% 19% 29% 19% 18% 22% 20% 23% 21% 21% 20% 21% 21% 22% 20% 23% 19% 24% 14%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: John Liu, the Democrat Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 56% 74% 10% 37% 67% 55% 44% 70% 56% 51% 53% 63% 54% 41% 74% 67% 49% 70% 53% 41% 58% 54% 58% 56% 62% 55% 54% 57% 52% 60% 60% 55% 61% Joe Lhota, the Republican Row % 20% 10% 68% 20% 11% 24% 33% 7% 21% 26% 23% 16% 25% 34% 6% 15% 15% 8% 31% 33% 19% 23% 18% 23% 15% 20% 26% 20% 26% 16% 20% 20% 24%

Undecided Row % 23% 16% 21% 43% 23% 21% 23% 23% 24% 23% 23% 21% 21% 25% 20% 17% 35% 22% 15% 26% 23% 23% 24% 21% 23% 25% 19% 24% 22% 24% 20% 25% 16%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Sal Albanese, the Democrat Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 52% 69% 12% 28% 62% 48% 42% 61% 49% 46% 54% 59% 49% 39% 70% 60% 50% 64% 49% 37% 54% 50% 51% 53% 54% 50% 53% 52% 49% 54% 53% 49% 60% Joe Lhota, the Republican Row % 21% 10% 67% 26% 12% 23% 34% 14% 26% 24% 19% 19% 24% 32% 7% 19% 16% 10% 31% 33% 22% 20% 24% 19% 24% 25% 18% 19% 28% 16% 21% 20% 26%

Undecided Row % 27% 21% 21% 46% 25% 28% 25% 26% 25% 30% 27% 22% 27% 29% 23% 21% 34% 26% 21% 31% 23% 30% 24% 29% 22% 26% 28% 29% 23% 31% 26% 31% 14%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If November's election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Adolfo Carrion, Christine the Quinn, the Joe Lhota, the Independence Undecided Democrat Republican candidate Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 59% 74% 19% 39% 71% 57% 44% 60% 58% 57% 60% 60% 59% 53% 71% 58% 56% 66% 57% 54% 59% 59% 56% 62% 56% 55% 64% 59% 56% 60% 58% 58% 62% Row % 17% 7% 59% 21% 9% 17% 32% 10% 21% 16% 17% 18% 19% 25% 5% 18% 12% 7% 27% 23% 18% 16% 20% 14% 21% 20% 13% 15% 22% 13% 15% 16% 20% Row % 8% 7% 6% 12% 6% 10% 9% 12% 7% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 9% 9% 6% 12% 5% 5% 7% 9% 8% 8% 7% 9% 6% 9% 8% 7% 10% 7% 10% Row % 17% 12% 17% 27% 14% 17% 15% 17% 14% 18% 18% 14% 14% 16% 15% 14% 25% 15% 11% 19% 16% 16% 16% 16% 16% 15% 16% 17% 14% 19% 16% 19% 8%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=816 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If Mayor Bloomberg were to endorse a candidate for New York City mayor this year, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate? Would make no More likely Less likely difference Unsure Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 36% 35% 41% 34% 37% 37% 36% 30% 32% 44% 36% 35% 38% 36% 27% 42% 41% 30% 41% 30% 33% 38% 37% 35% 41% 34% 34% 36% 37% 34% 28% 34% 43% Row % 44% 44% 44% 43% 38% 45% 50% 48% 49% 35% 42% 48% 39% 40% 53% 43% 35% 48% 42% 44% 50% 38% 45% 42% 43% 47% 47% 38% 44% 43% 51% 45% 38% Row % 14% 14% 12% 15% 20% 11% 10% 11% 15% 16% 15% 11% 16% 19% 11% 9% 12% 13% 10% 21% 10% 18% 12% 16% 9% 14% 16% 16% 14% 15% 13% 14% 14% Row % 7% 7% 2% 8% 6% 6% 5% 11% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 8% 6% 12% 8% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 9% 4% 9% 8% 7% 4%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=1367 MOE +/- 2.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NYC Registered Voters If Rudy Giuliani were to endorse a candidate for New York City mayor this year, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate? Would make no More likely Less likely difference Unsure Row % NYC Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative NYC Borough Bronx Brooklyn Manhattan Queens and Staten Island Income Race Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more White African American Latino Asian Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Education Age Age Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Gender Men Women HH with Member of Labor Union Interview Type Landline Cell Phone 38% 31% 71% 40% 23% 42% 61% 34% 41% 35% 40% 41% 35% 44% 23% 48% 39% 28% 48% 49% 43% 34% 45% 34% 50% 42% 39% 30% 38% 39% 35% 37% 43% Row % 46% 53% 17% 47% 61% 44% 27% 53% 45% 50% 41% 47% 50% 42% 62% 40% 33% 54% 39% 36% 42% 51% 40% 51% 34% 45% 48% 54% 49% 44% 51% 46% 46% Row % 9% 9% 9% 8% 11% 8% 8% 5% 7% 12% 12% 5% 12% 12% 7% 6% 13% 10% 9% 11% 8% 11% 9% 9% 7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 7% 10% 6% Row % 6% 6% 2% 6% 4% 6% 4% 8% 7% 3% 7% 7% 3% 3% 8% 6% 14% 8% 4% 4% 7% 4% 5% 5% 9% 3% 4% 7% 5% 7% 7% 6% 5%

NY1-Marist Poll NYC Registered Voters: Interviews conducted February 4th through 12th, 2013, N=1367 MOE +/- 2.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.