AND, the CYNICISM DISADExtend Zehner Subpoint A: Plan is a disad to the permHyping plan as a silver bullet destroys the

credibility of 1AC advocacy Subpoint B: The perm links more Trying to sever advantages proves they are cynical about their impactsSustaining a split between gullible publics versus elites who are in the know Subpoint C: PORTABLE EDUCATION flows negativeThey trains us to be future energy lobbyists Zehner 2012 Ozzie, visiting scholar at the UC-Berkeley Science, Technology, and Society Center Green Illusions: The Dirty Secrets of Clean Energy and the Future of Environmentalism p. 59-60 The third problem is this simple reality. Interrupting their silver-bullet frame is a prerequisite to rational deliberation on energyIn the race to solving the biggest impact, good ideas are buried in an avalanche of polarized cynical knowledge Hritcko 2012 John Hritcko, Jr. is an experienced energy executive, skilled in formulating innovative strategies to seize new business opportunities and develop large energy infrastructure projects. Mr. Hritcko developed his professional competence through a full and wide-ranging career in the natural gas sector of the energy industry spanning technical and commercial disciplines within pipeline, midstream, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) companies. He played a key role while with Columbia Gas in implementing the turn around of the idle Cove Point business, devising the marketing and regulatory affairs strategy and managing the joint venture. Serving as Vice President, LNG Strategy and Development for Shell US Gas and Power, Mr. Hritckos primary responsibility was to build Shells capability to import LNG into the U.S. He also managed Shells capacity interests at existing US import terminals. Mr. Hritcko graduated with an Associate Degree in Engineering Sciences from Broome Community College in Binghamton, NY. He holds Bachelor of Science Degree in Civil Engineering from Cornell University, Ithaca, NY. He later earned a Master of Business Administration degree from the College of Business at the University of Houston. Searching for a Silver Bullet-Never Firing the Gun http://johnhritcko.com/2012/01/29/searching-for-a-silver-bullet-never-firing-the-gun/ Unfortunately, its clear hit the target.

The 1AC maps a linear path from A to B to C to D, paving over interactions between dozens of predictionsBut THE WHOLE IS MORE THAN THE SUM OF ITS PARTS Ramalingam et al 2008 [Ben, Senior Research Associate at the Overseas Development

Institute, and Harry jones at ODI, "Exploring the science of complexity: Ideas and Implications for development and humanitarian efforts" http://www.odi.org.uk/resources/docs/833.pdf ] Concept 4: Nonlinearity5 ... the darkest corner of science [is] specific, measurable outcomes (Westley et al., 2006). The impact is existential risk is systemic, not a flash of instability to be predicted and controlled. The 1AC brackets the full complexity of crisis and the value questions behind their scenarios Preventing the ADAPTATION and RESILIENCE necessary for a viable future. Mangalagiu 2011 [Diana Mangalagiu, Prof of Strategy at Smith School of Enterprise and Environment-University of Oxford Risk and resilience in times of globalization An emerging research program for Global Systems Science: Assessing the state of the art, 10/4/11, http://www.gsdp.eu/] Mangalagiu 1 The recent financial crisis as manifested by Beck. 8 Continued In contrast to ambiguity and ignorance.

Instead of weighing plan in a vacuum, reflect on the 1AC as a Flow of CommunicationMeaning resonates through interactive processes of knowledge and value. Their reductionist framework of policy communication backfires, undermining political responsibility in the face of threat. Voting negative constitutes a framework adaptive to the complex interactions between assembled predictive claims. Kinsella 2010 [William J. Kinsella, Assoc Prof Communication at NC State University, Risk communication, phenomenology, and the limits of representation Catalan Journal of Communication and Cultural Studies 2 (2) pp. 267276] Despite movements towards and bear risks.

PRIOR QUESTION: Can they justify how the 1AC constitutes policy relevant scholarship? In particular, the 1AC appeals to a chain of internal-links But is their way of connecting causal claims good predictive policymaking? For example, their [ ] Advantage says [insert examples] This paves over clashes of context and assumptions, transforming 1AC research into vacuous mush. David M. Berube 2000 [Associate Professor of Speech Communication and Director of Debate at the

University of South Carolina. Contemporary Argumentation and Debate 21: 5373http://www.cedadebate.org/CAD/index.php/CAD/article/viewFile/248/232] The dead ends checked with a critical lens. This is a Voting Issue. First, Their bankrupt research practice makes evidence-based energy policy debate impossible. Stevens 2007 [Alex Stevens, Senior Researcher-European Institute of Social Services, School of Social Policy, Sociology and Social Research, Keynes College, University of Kent, Survival of the Ideas that Fit: An Evolutionary Analogy for the Use of Evidence in Policy Social Policy and Society 6:1, 2535] The proposed evolutionary processes of selection \ Second, The PARADOX OF RISK makes this issue NOT resolvable by weighing the plan. If impact is calculated by multiplying probability and magnitude, any probability of an infinite impact irrationally registers as infinite As Oliver Kessler writes: even the most absurd scenarios can gain plausibility. By construct- ing a chain of potentialities, improbable events are linked Kessler continues in 2008 [Oliver Kessler, Sociology at University of Bielefeld, From Insecurity to Uncertainty: Risk and the Paradox of Security Politics Alternatives 33 (2008), 211-232] The problem of the with relative certainty.

Role of the Ballot 1NC

We have one role of the ballot for both kritiks Vote negative for a moment of DISSENSUSInstead of weighing plan, hold the 1AC accountable for how they communicate topical knowledge. This is not a wholesale rejection of democratic politics, but a MOMENT of interruption Our kritiks cannot be contested in the 1ACs frameworkMetzger demands:
This might play out might take place*

End Quote. Planning becomes ANTI-POLITICAL if we cannot debate the terms of our debates

Metzger continues in 2011 Metzger J, 2011, "Neither revolution, nor resignation: (re)democratizing
contemporary planning praxis: a commentary on Allmendinger and Haughton's "Spatial planning, devolution, and new planning spaces"" Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 29(2) 191 196, JP Miller The building of such dominant corporatist interests.

How we frame our knowledge is the first and only method question for evidence based policymakingShoddy research practices skew energy debates in favor of corporate propagandaReproducing the cynical impact calculus of the Iraq War. Stevens 2007
Alex Stevens, Senior Researcher-European Institute of Social Services, School of Social Policy, Sociology and Social Research, Keynes College, University of Kent, Survival of the Ideas that Fit: An Evolutionary Analogy for the Use of Evidence in Policy Social Policy and Society 6:1, 2535 Stevens 2 The proposed evolutionary by processes of selection

Paradox of Risk 1NC

Vote negative because 1AC risk communication short-circuits rational response. We have three scenarios. First, The PARADOX OF RISK. As Oliver Kessler writes:
If the risk of endeavor breaks down *

Kessler continues in 2008

Oliver Kessler, Sociology at University of Bielefeld, From Insecurity to Uncertainty: Risk and the Paradox of Security Politics Alternatives 33 (2008), 211-232 The problem of the assessed with relative certainty.

Scenario Two, Research Blender.

If stringing together internal-links yields an infinite impact, policy debate becomes a race to the bottomPaving over clashes of context and assumptions transforms predictions into vacuous mush. David M. Berube 2000
Associate Professor of Speech Communication and Director of Debate at the University of South Carolina. Contemporary Argumentation and Debate 21: 53-73 http://www.cedadebate.org/CAD/index.php/CAD/article/viewFile/248/232 The dead ends checked with a critical lens.

Scenario Three, TRUTH-I-NESS, aka, Bullshit Mountain The threshold for solvency disappears when its try or die against an awful status quoLike the media, debate judges are faced with an avalanche of misleading information.
As Zehner puts it
objectivity is not so much a rendering of truth as much as it is an attempt to accurately convey what others believe to be true.-

End quote. Clinging to objectivity tilts the energy debate gameboard toward selfserving hype. Zehner 2012

Ozzie, visiting scholar at the UC-Berkeley Science, Technology, and Society Center Green Illusions: The Dirty Secrets of Clean Energy and the Future of Environmentalism p. 159-160 Boardrooms dont send edicts with the topic.

Impact Calculus: Reflect on the 1AC as a Flow of CommunicationMeaning resonates through interactive processes of knowledge and value. Their reductionist framework backfires, undermining political responsibility in the face of threat. Kinsella 2010
William J. Kinsella, Assoc Prof Communication at NC State University, Risk communication, phenomenology, and the limits of representation Catalan Journal of Communication and Cultural Studies 2 (2) pp. 267276 Despite movements towards take and bear risks.

1nr Risk
AND We do NOT make action impossible, but the OPPOSITE In a world of excess info, the disad to OVERSIMPLIFICATION outweighs the good findings in the 1ACThey create knowledge creep that makes evidence-based-policy impossible

Birnbaum, Professor of Higher Education at the University of Maryland, College Park, 2K

Robert, Policy Scholars Are from Venus; Policy Makers Are from Mars, Review of Higher Education, 23.2 p.119-132

Perhaps a stronger argument is that policy scholars may not always focus on the problems AND of its quality but because of its rhetoric? End Page 124

B PORTABLE decision-making education outweighsBLOCKBUSTER scholarship is the PROXIMATE CAUSE of existentially catastrophic foreign policy 1AC hype creates THE WORST OF BOTH WORLDS, both COMPLACENCY towards genuine threatAND irrational OVERREACTIONS like Vietnam Krepon 2009 Michael, co-founder of Stimson, and director of the South Asia and Space Security programs The Mushroom Cloud That
Wasn't: Why Inflating Threats Won't Reduce Them 88 Foreign Aff. 2 2009 p2-6

At the height of the Cold War, almost no one was bold enough or AND .S. agencies and between the United States and foreign intelligence services.

2NC Role of the Ballot

4 Prefer our offense to fairness Fairness impacts are a TROJAN HORSE for substantive agendas. All interpretations both create and destroy groundobjectivity is an illusion

Olson 2k2.(Gary A. Olson, Professor of English @ University of South Florida. Justifying Belief: Stanley Fish and the
Work of Rhetoric p. 51-52, p. 64-65

In intractable policy debates, invoking the principle of fairness will not advance these debates AND can to implement them in the world (8-9). continued Fish, of course, insists that no such independent position is possible, that AND ). Fish in effect re-describes how formalism operates within legal discourse.