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Understand the difference between how probabilities are computed for discrete and continuous
random variables.
2.
Know how to compute probability values for a continuous uniform probability distribution and be
able to compute the expected value and variance for such a distribution.
3.
Be able to compute probabilities using a normal probability distribution. Understand the role of the
standard normal distribution in this process.
4.
5.
6.
Understand the relationship between the Poisson and exponential probability distributions.
6-1
Chapter 6
Solutions:
1.
a.
f (x)
3
2
1
x
.50
2.
1.0
1.5
2.0
b.
P(x = 1.25) = 0. The probability of any single point is zero since the area under the curve above
any single point is zero.
c.
d.
a.
f (x)
.15
.10
.05
x
0
10
b.
c.
d.
E ( x) =
e.
Var( x) =
20
10 + 20
= 15
2
(20 10) 2
= 8.33
12
6-2
30
40
a.
f (x)
3 / 20
1 / 10
1 / 20
x
110
120
130
Minutes
4.
b.
c.
d.
E ( x) =
a.
120 + 140
= 130 minutes
2
f (x)
1.5
1.0
.5
x
0
5.
b.
c.
P(x .30)
d.
a.
= 1 (.30) = .30
1
for 284.7 x 310.6
f ( x) = 25.9
0 elsewhere
b.
c.
d.
6-3
140
Chapter 6
6.
e.
a.
b.
c.
a.
b.
c.
d.
8.
= 10
70
80
90
100
6-4
110 120
130
a.
=5
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
b.
.6826 since 45 and 55 are within plus or minus 1 standard deviation from the mean of 50.
c.
.9544 since 40 and 60 are within plus or minus 2 standard deviations from the mean of 50.
10.
-3
a.
.3413
b.
.4332
c.
.4772
d.
.4938
11. a.
.3413
b.
.4332
c.
.4772
d.
.4938
e.
.4987
12. a.
.2967
b.
.4418
c.
d.
-2
-1
+1
+2
6-5
+3
Chapter 6
e.
f.
13. a.
b.
c.
14. a.
Using the table of areas for the standard normal probability distribution, the area of .4750
corresponds to z = 1.96.
b.
c.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .1314 = .3686. This provides z = 1.12.
d.
Look in the table for an area of .6700 - .5000 = .1700. This provides z = .44.
15. a.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .2119 = .2881. Since the value we are seeking is below the
mean, the z value must be negative. Thus, for an area of .2881, z = -.80.
b.
c.
d.
e.
Look in the table for an area of .1915. Since the value we are seeking is below the mean, the z value
must be negative. Thus, z = -.50.
16. a.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .0100 = .4900. The area value in the table closest to .4900
provides the value z = 2.33.
b.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .0250 = .4750. This corresponds to z = 1.96.
c.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .0500 = .4500. Since .4500 is exactly halfway between
.4495 (z = 1.64) and .4505 (z = 1.65), we select z = 1.645. However, z = 1.64 or z = 1.65 are
also acceptable answers.
d.
Look in the table for an area of .5000 - .1000 = .4000. The area value in the table closest to .4000
provides the value z = 1.28.
17.
= 527, = 160
a.
z=
700 527
= 1.08
160
6-6
b.
z=
100 527
= 2.67
160
450 527
= .48
160
P(450 < x < 700) = P(-.48 < z < 1.08) = .8599 - .3156 = .5443
d.
z=
300 527
= 1.42
160
= 30 and = 8.2
18.
a.
At x = 40, z =
40 30
= 1.22
8.2
At x = 20, z =
20 30
= 1.22
8.2
A z-value of 1.28 cuts off an area of approximately 10% in the upper tail.
x = 30 + 8.2(1.28) = 40.50
A stock price of $40.50 or higher will put a company in the top 10%
We have = 3.5 and = .8.
19.
a.
z=
5.0 3.5
1.88
.8
P(x > 5.0) = P(z > 1.88) = 1 - P(z < 1.88) = 1 - .9699 = .0301
The rainfall exceeds 5 inches in 3.01% of the Aprils.
6-7
Chapter 6
b.
z=
3 3.5
.63
.8
P(x < 3.0) = P(z < -.63) = P(z > .63) = 1 - P(z < .63) = 1 - .7357 = .2643
The rainfall is less than 3 inches in 26.43% of the Aprils.
c.
z = 1.28 cuts off approximately .10 in the upper tail of a normal distribution.
x = 3.5 + 1.28(.8) = 4.524
If it rains 4.524 inches or more, April will be classified as extremely wet.
= 77 and = 20
20.
a.
At x = 50, z =
50 77
= 1.35
20
At x = 100, z =
100 77
= 1.15
20
A z-value of .84 cuts off an area of approximately .20 in the upper tail.
x = 77 + 20(.84) = 93.8
A worker must spend 93.8 or more hours logged on to be classified a heavy user.
21.
From the normal probability tables, a z-value of 2.05 cuts off an area of approximately .02 in the
upper tail of the distribution.
x = + z = 100 + 2.05(15) = 130.75
A score of 131 or better should qualify a person for membership in Mensa.
22.
a.
At 400
z=
400 441.84
.46
90
At 500
z=
500 441.84
.65
90
Must find the z-value that cuts off an area of .20 in the upper tail. Using the normal tables, we find
z = .84 cuts off approximately .20 in the upper tail.
So, x = + z = 441.84 + .84(90) = 517.44
Weekly earnings of $517.44 or above will put a production worker in the top 20%.
c.
At 250, z =
250 441.84
2.13
90
z=
60 80
= 2 Area to left is .5000 - .4772 = .0228
10
At x = 60
z=
60 80
= 2
10
z=
75 80
= .5
10
At x = 75
z=
90 80
=1
10
6-9
Chapter 6
24. a.
x =
s=
xi
= 902.75
n
( xi x ) 2
= 114.185
n 1
800 902.75
.90
114.185
At 1000
z=
1000 902.75
.85
114.185
= 442.54, = 65
25.
a.
z=
400 442.54
= .65
65
z=
300 442.54
= 2.19
65
500 442.54
= .88
65
P(400 < x < 500) = P(-.65 < z < .88) = .8106 - .2578 = .5528
6 - 10
26. a.
= np = 100(.20) = 20
2 = np (1 - p) = 100(.20) (.80) = 16
= 16 = 4
b.
c.
P (23.5 x 24.5)
z=
24.5 20
= +1.13
4
Area = .3708
z=
23.5 20
= +.88
4
Area = .3106
P (17.5 x 22.5)
z=
17.5 20
= .63
4
Area = .2357
z=
22.5 20
= +.63
4
Area = .2357
P (x 15.5)
z=
15.5 20
= 1.13
4
Area = .3708
= np = 200(.60) = 120
2 = np (1 - p) = 200(.60) (.40) = 48
= 48 = 6.93
b.
6 - 11
Chapter 6
c.
P (99.5 x 110.5)
z=
99.5 120
= 2.96
6.93
Area = .4985
z=
110 120
= 1.37
6.93
Area = .4147
P ( x 129.5)
z=
129.5 120
= +1.37 Area = .4147
6.93
28. a.
In answering this part, we assume it is not known how many Democrats and Republicans are in the
group.
= np = 250(.47) = 117.5
2 = np(1-p) = 250(.47)(.53) = 62.275
= 62.275 = 7.89
Half the group is 125 people. We want to find P(x 124.5).
At x = 124.5, z =
124.5 117.5
= .89
7.89
c.
It's a toss up. We expect just as many in favor of the proposal as opposed.
6 - 12
6.5 5.8
= .30
2.34
5.5 5.8
= .13
2.34
3.5 5.8
= .98
2.34
= np = (800)(0.41) = 328
= np(1 p ) = (800)(0.41)(0.59) = 13.9111
I would expect 328 to agree that Microsoft is a monopoly.
b.
300.5 328
= 1.98
13.9111
6 - 13
Chapter 6
c.
= 13.9111 as in part a.
Find P(x > 450.5)
At x = 450.5
z=
450.5 472
= 1.55
13.9111
= np = 120(.75) = 90
= np (1 p) = (120)(.75)(.25) = 4.74
The probability at least half the rooms are occupied is the normal probability: P(x 59.5).
At x = 59.5
z=
59.5 90
= 6.43
4.74
99.5 90
= 2.00
4.74
80.5 90
= 2.00
4.74
b.
c.
6 - 14
d.
33. a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
34. a.
b.
c.
35. a.
f(x)
.09
.08
.07
.06
.05
.04
.03
.02
.01
x
6
12
18
b.
c.
d.
36. a.
b.
50 hours
P(x 25) = 1 - e-25/50 = 1 - .6065 = .3935
6 - 15
24
Chapter 6
c.
37. a.
b.
c.
38. a.
If the average number of transactions per year follows the Poisson distribution, the time between
transactions follows the exponential distribution. So,
and
1
of a year
30
1
1
= 30
1/ 30
The probability of no transaction during January is the same as the probability of no transaction
during any month: .0821
c.
= 1 e 30 / 24 = 1 .2865 = .7135
P x
24
39. a.
f ( x) = 25
0 elsewhere
b.
c.
6 - 16
40. a.
For a normal distribution, the mean and the median are equal.
= 63,000
b.
Find the z-score that cuts off 10% in the lower tail.
z-score = -1.28
Solving for x,
1.28 =
x 63,000
15,000
x 63, 000
15, 000
P(defect)
= 1 - P(9.85 x 10.15)
= 1 - P(-1 z 1) = 1 - .6826 = .3174
6 - 17
Chapter 6
c.
Reducing the process standard deviation causes a substantial reduction in the number of defects.
= 6,312
42.
a.
b.
1000 6312
1000 6312
= 3229
1.645
At 6000, z =
6000 6312
= .10
3229
At 4000, z =
4000 6312
= .72
3229
P(4000 < x < 6000) = P(-.72 < z < -.10) = .4602 - .2358 = .2244
c.
= 10,000
43.
a.
= 1500
At x = 12,000
z=
b.
At .95
z = 1.645 =
x 10, 000
1500
95%
10,000
6 - 18
0.05
12,468
At x = 200
z=
200 150
= 2 Area = .4772
25
z=
x 126, 681
30, 000
6 - 19
Chapter 6
46. a.
At 400,
z=
400 450
= .500
100
500 450
= +.500
100
At 630,
z=
630 450
= 1.80
100
At 480,
z=
480 450
= .30
100
At 75,000
z=
P(x > 75,000) = P(z > 1.14) = 1 - P(z 1.14) = 1 - .8729 = .1271
The probability of a woman receiving a salary in excess of $75,000 is .1271
b.
At 75,000
z=
P(x > 75,000) = P(z > 1.36) = 1 - P(z 1.36) = 1 - .9131 = .0869
The probability of a man receiving a salary in excess of $75,000 is .0869
c.
At x = 50,000
z=
P(x < 50,000) = P(z < -2.43) = 1 - P(z < 2.43) = 1 - .9925 = .0075
The probability of a woman receiving a salary below $50,000 is very small: .0075
d.
The answer to this is the male copywriter salary that cuts off an area of .01 in the upper tail of the
distribution for male copywriters.
6 - 20
= .6
48.
At 2%
z = -2.05
z=
x = 18
2.05 =
18
.6
0.02
=19.23
18
= np = 50 (.75) = 37.5
42.5 37.5
= 1.63
3.06
At x = 34.5
z=
34.5 37.5
= .98
3.06
At x = 39.5
z=
39.5 37.5
= .65
3.06
6 - 21
Chapter 6
P(-.98 z .65) = .3365 + .2422 = .5787
or 57.87% will obtain a C grade.
c.
At x = 29.5
29.5 37.5
= 2.61
3.06
z=
= np = 50 (.25) = 12.5
29.5 12.5
= 5.55
3.06
P(z 5.55) 0
Thus, essentially no one who simply guesses will pass the examination.
50. a.
= np = (240)(0.49) = 117.6
Expected number of wins is 117.6
Expected number of
To lose $1000, the player must lose 20 more hands than he wins. With 240 hands in 4 hours, the
player must win 110 or less in order to lose $1000. Use normal approximation to binomial.
= np = (240)(0.49) = 117.6
= 240(.49)(.51) = 7.7444
Find P(x 110.5)
At x = 110.5
z=
110.5 117.6
= .92
7.7444
6 - 22
120.5 117.6
= .37
7.7444
To lose $1500, the player must lose 30 hands more than he wins. This means he wins 105 or fewer
hands.
Find P(x 105.5)
At x = 105.5
z=
105.5 117.6
= 1.56
7.7444
b.
c.
52. a.
b.
f(x) = 7e-7x
c.
d.
12 seconds is .2 minutes
P(x > .2) = 1 - P(x < .2) = 1- [1- e-7(.2)] = e-1.4 = .2466
53. a.
b.
1 x / 36.5
e
.0274e .0274 x
36.5
6 - 23
Chapter 6
c.
54. a.
b.
c.
d.
6 - 24