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09 April 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Automobiles & Parts
Banks

Under Valued ......................................................................6


Over Valued .........................................................................................6

Beverages
Chemicals

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Construction & Building Materials


Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ....................................................7


Over Valued ..................................................7

Over Valued ................................................................8


Over Valued .......................................................................8

Under Valued ........................................................8


Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued ..................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

388.40

270.90

396.00

Neutral

Buy

564

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

252.10

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

314

0.66

COBHAM

236.30

190.10

248.10

Neutral

Buy

280

0.83

MEGGITT

471.40

364.30

494.20

Neutral

Sell

397

1.32

1090.00

781.16

1135.00

Neutral

Neutral

1073

1.08

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1215.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1023

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1661.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Sell

1508

0.50

Unde r Va lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

257.20

173.60

285.00

Neutral

Neutral

Target
248

2.00

INCHCAPE

492.80

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

486

1.48

LOOKERS

95.00

56.50

100.50

Neutral

Neutral

102

1.24

PENDRAGON

22.00

13.25

25.00

Neutral

Buy

32

1.12

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

277.20

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

Target
39

Beta
1.93

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

679.70

503.20

740.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1204

1.17
1.87

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

46.30

25.29

55.68

Neutral

Strong Buy

73

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

266.10

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

21

1.34

STANDARD CHARTERED

1645.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Sell

1043

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

537.00

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

581

0.55

DIAGEO

2017.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1769

0.55

SABMILLER

3405.00

2348.50

3552.50

Neutral

Buy

3924

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

369.00

267.60

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

672

#NA

CARCLO

381.25

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

405

0.74

2699.00

2050.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2145

1.04

252.90

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

355

1.00

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2279.00

2080.27

2573.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12088

1.44

VICTREX

1595.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1496

1.13

SYNTHOMER

202.00

127.40

239.50

Neutral

Neutral

218

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

222.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

86.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
233

Beta
0.52

BALFOUR BEATTY

225.70

225.70

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

965

0.79

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

264.40

114.00

280.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

444

1.50

BELLWAY

1234.00

660.00

1301.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1902

1.10

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

1941.00

1177.00

2093.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3297

0.63

BOOT (HENRY)

168.00

115.50

174.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

341

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

691.50

399.30

751.00

Neutral

Sell

553

1.14

CARILLION

268.40

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

788

1.10

CLARKE (T)

55.38

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

265

0.82

276.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

557

0.56

1373.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

792

1.14

910.00

579.00

965.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1684

0.99

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH
GALLIFORD TRY
KELLER

787.00

348.25

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2007

1.25

1165.00

1095.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3333

0.94

74.25

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

202

1.07

MARSHALLS

125.00

76.00

127.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

282

1.37

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

549.50

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3274

0.86

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

NORCROS

17.50

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

34

1.11

1004.00

532.00

1073.00

Neutral

Buy

1116

1.15

REDROW

184.60

107.30

195.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

288

1.05

SIG

151.50

82.30

162.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

466

1.74

3.88

3.88

19.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

47

0.89

85.75

40.28

93.50

Neutral

Neutral

93

1.58

TRAVIS PERKINS

1380.00

906.50

1465.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2575

1.97

WOLSELEY

3089.00

2121.32

3337.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5147

1.43

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1282.00

927.50

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

756

0.78

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

640.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

830

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

114.50

105.50

149.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

241

1.31

INVENSYS

344.30

186.10

366.80

Neutral

Neutral

337

1.42

LAIRD

208.50

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

78

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1596.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1155

1.01

RENISHAW

1729.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2343

1.26

SPECTRIS

2293.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Sell

2161

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.21

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.83

TT ELECTRONICS

165.75

114.00

190.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

393

1.59

XAAR

405.00

185.00

425.00

Neutral

Sell

227

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

82.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Neutral

89

1.26

BODYCOTE

501.00

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

497

1.61

CASTINGS

333.50

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

694

0.99

VESUVIUS

330.00

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

484

2.19

FENNER

369.80

329.30

456.50

Neutral

Buy

541

1.42

HALMA

496.60

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

393

0.76

HILL & SMITH

423.75

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

312

1.37

1237.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Buy

1397

1.40

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

Target

Beta

281.00

220.30

333.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

538

1.82

2824.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2609

0.99

243.20

177.00

251.80

Neutral

Sell

207

1.65

41.63

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Neutral

44

0.73

2616.00

1900.00

2734.00

Neutral

Sell

2292

0.84

VITEC GROUP

630.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

569

1.40

WEIR GROUP

2276.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2012

1.39

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

460.00

449.00

523.50

Neutral

Buy

684

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

274.90

248.60

298.30

Neutral

Sell

201

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

373.60

283.50

385.50

Neutral

Sell

225

0.58

TESCO

374.15

297.05

385.95

Neutral

Sell

283

0.69

66.00

18.88

78.75

Neutral

Sell

47

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1873.00

1167.00

1931.00

Neutral

Buy

2079

0.61

CRANSWICK

1015.00

732.50

1023.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2061

0.49

DAIRY CREST

414.80

290.40

444.00

Neutral

Buy

481

0.92

DEVRO

347.90

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Buy

517

0.31

68.25

54.50

170.00

Neutral

Sell

-188

1.25

852.50

633.50

870.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1548

0.70

2745.00

2005.00

2831.00

Neutral

Neutral

2754

0.57

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

29.00

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.68

408.90

222.40

429.30

Neutral

Sell

349

0.53

1256.00

1000.00

1586.00

Neutral

Sell

947

1.27

620.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

271

0.94

31.18

12.67

35.00

Neutral

Buy

35

1.50

5.40

2.76

9.30

Neutral

Sell

1.08

31.00

19.50

44.75

Sell

Strong Buy

107

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

311.80

189.00

356.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

484

0.67

JD SPORTS FASHION

721.00

606.50

841.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1471

0.52

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

Target

Beta

46.50

38.00

65.55

Neutral

Strong Buy

79

1.24

KINGFISHER

290.00

254.10

306.10

Neutral

Buy

378

0.92

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

375.30

312.20

398.80

Neutral

Buy

498

0.64

59.50

42.00

71.00

Buy

Neutral

58

1.04

294.00

152.00

362.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

0.47

NEXT

4175.00

2896.00

4408.00

Neutral

Sell

3578

0.66

TED BAKER

1278.00

810.50

1354.00

Neutral

Sell

635

0.55

64.63

32.13

68.00

Neutral

Sell

49

1.48

DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

147.50

124.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
118

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

788.50

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

582

0.40

OPTOS

145.75

145.75

279.25

Neutral

Buy

165

1.20

SMITH & NEPHEW

752.00

580.00

768.50

Neutral

Sell

676

0.41

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

645.00

557.00

720.50

Neutral

Neutral

631

0.43

HEADLAM GROUP

330.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

296

0.92

81.50

55.25

97.00

Neutral

Buy

104

0.75

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

885.50

469.00

971.50

Neutral

Sell

539

0.74

CSR

467.90

194.60

492.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1255

1.16

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

62.50

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

47

0.90

449.90

383.50

705.00

Neutral

Buy

497

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

134.60

134.60

174.00

Buy

Strong Buy

632

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

170.00

165.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-504

0.91

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1315.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-719

0.54

AMLIN

416.50

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

-3030

0.46

BEAZLEY

211.20

132.50

219.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

2550

0.59

ADMIRAL GROUP

CATLIN GROUP

509.50

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Buy

754

0.29

HISCOX

539.00

379.26

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2061

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

830.50

659.00

864.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2868

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

108.70

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1659

0.40

NOVAE GROUP

455.00

345.00

475.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

1878

0.47

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2233.00

1900.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3661

1.00

99.50

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Sell

71

1.59

TUI TRAVEL

302.40

158.00

330.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

748

0.99

FULLER SMITH 'A'

815.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

620

0.38

GREENE KING

657.00

474.30

723.50

Neutral

Sell

581

0.91

LADBROKES

207.90

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Sell

173

0.93

1938.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1565

1.17

CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

557.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

585

1.38

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

312.60

217.40

350.10

Neutral

Sell

282

1.09

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

134.00

91.90

162.60

Neutral

Sell

98

1.25

10.25

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

44

1.25

156.00

111.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

485

1.00
0.74

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

451.20

269.20

468.00

Neutral

Sell

304

WETHERSPOON (JD)

534.00

371.30

548.50

Neutral

Buy

702

0.69

WHITBREAD

2439.00

1786.00

2692.00

Neutral

Sell

1845

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

376.70

239.02

411.17

Neutral

Sell

264

0.86

MARSTON'S

131.00

94.40

143.00

Neutral

Sell

25

1.20

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

AVIVA

296.70

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1128

1.24

CHESNARA

242.25

155.25

244.00

Neutral

Buy

344

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

167.80

106.00

175.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

283

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

195.70

138.70

211.40

Neutral

Sell

170

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1029.00

660.00

1155.00

Neutral

Sell

919

1.70

481.10

303.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

413

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

115.63

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-538

0.36

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

874.00

635.50

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1509

0.54

44.50

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

135

1.01

DAILY MAIL 'A'

698.50

363.50

722.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2930

1.12

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

956.50

672.50

970.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6455

0.98

INFORMA

501.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-64

1.53

ITE GROUP

272.20

180.00

289.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

215

1.44

ITV

121.20

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1164

1.54
1.26

CENTAUR MEDIA

JOHNSTON PRESS

14.75

4.88

15.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

1530

1141.00

1111.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

281

0.62

73.50

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2299

0.79

274.00

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

776

0.15

32.64

26.85

33.32

Neutral

Sell

-538

0.52

STV GROUP

133.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

241

0.78

ST.IVES

135.00

67.50

139.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

663

1.49

93.75

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-245

1.57

UBM

687.50

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1587

1.31

WILMINGTON GROUP

156.50

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1175

0.85

WPP

1034.00

743.00

1092.00

Neutral

Sell

-453

1.34

HIBU

0.36

0.26

3.91

Neutral

Strong Buy

715

1.07

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1644.50

1639.50

2412.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2798

1.75

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

229.00

221.25

320.00

Neutral

Buy

267

0.99

ANTOFAGASTA

990.50

952.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

919

1.43

1878.00

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3328

1.45

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON
LONMIN

273.80

240.84

564.35

Neutral

Sell

28

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5295.00

4596.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2817

0.34

RIO TINTO

2991.50

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Buy

3334

1.51

5.00

3.75

22.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

161

0.89

832.50

1298.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2309

2.21

785.80

1205.00

Neutral

Neutral

983

1.88

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES
XSTRATA

1033.50

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1127.50

1000.50

1451.00

Neutral

Neutral

1217

0.81

BP

448.05

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1542

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

282.00

248.20

349.00

Neutral

Sell

-36

1.32

7.86

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14

0.90

865.00

688.00

954.00

Neutral

Sell

455

1.32

76.38

55.00

158.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

299

1.36

385.00

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

289

1.45

2137.00

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

11424

0.86

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

374.40

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

250

0.52

1191.00

1138.00

1557.00

Neutral

Sell

911

1.05

848.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

809

1.36

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

112.50

102.70

146.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

247

PZ CUSSONS

380.40

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

313

0.69

4603.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4642

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.83

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.39

0.37

3.88

Buy

Sell

1.01

3302.50

2591.00

3340.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7192

0.47

BTG

351.80

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

165

0.62

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

776.00

444.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

741

0.26

1530.00

1317.50

1550.00

Neutral

Neutral

1523

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.70

1.55

5.80

Buy

Sell

0.65

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.33

12.75

Strong Buy

Neutral

0.94

1945.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1314

0.65

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

44.75

33.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-97

0.71

VERNALIS

22.38

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

0.90

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

356.70

274.50

387.50

Neutral

Sell

-538

1.15

BRITISH LAND

549.50

467.10

585.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1509

1.03

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

33.25

22.75

34.25

Sell

Strong Buy

135

0.82

847.00

595.00

865.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2930

0.69

DERWENT LONDON

2141.00

1689.00

2239.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6455

1.20

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

155.00

121.75

176.00

Neutral

Sell

-64

0.97

GRAINGER

131.50

83.10

140.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

215

1.54

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

491.80

345.60

514.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1164

1.06

HAMMERSON

484.80

404.50

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1530

1.16

HELICAL BAR

237.75

164.00

249.75

Neutral

Buy

281

0.75

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

820.00

704.00

849.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2299

1.15

INTU PROPERTIES

327.00

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

776

1.08

MCKAY SECURITIES

141.50

125.00

145.00

Neutral

Sell

-538

0.72

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

373.00

315.00

390.00

Neutral

Sell

241

0.41

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

330.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

663

0.35

62.75

32.50

70.00

Neutral

Sell

-245

1.17

SAVILLS

516.50

300.80

599.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1587

0.74

SHAFTESBURY

574.50

482.20

597.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1175

1.03

SEGRO

252.30

209.40

271.00

Neutral

Sell

-453

1.70

ST MODWEN PROPS.

256.70

145.50

280.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

715

1.55

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

198.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-12

1.05

UNITE GROUP

314.30

180.25

330.00

Neutral

Sell

31

1.75

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.38

1.00

3.00

Sell

Sell

-976

1.01

348.00

213.25

363.20

Neutral

Sell

1.02

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

114.30

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

117

0.76

2135.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1260

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

536.00

292.40

544.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1299

1.01

KOFAX

306.00

240.00

325.75

Neutral

Neutral

310

1.12

25.00

18.25

25.50

Neutral

Sell

23

0.83

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

644.00

426.17

706.00

Neutral

Buy

924

0.79

PHOENIX IT GROUP

138.00

135.00

231.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

300

0.74

76.00

70.25

89.00

Neutral

Sell

-85

0.53

1866.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Neutral

1995

0.77

330.20

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

398

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

408.50

237.30

441.90

Neutral

Sell

163

BREWIN DOLPHIN

206.90

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

120

0.72

10637.50

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

9820

0.83
0.97

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.08

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

375.00

247.50

377.50

Neutral

Sell

167

CHARLES TAYLOR

173.50

132.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

97

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1018.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

162

0.87

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

97.50

64.75

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

98

0.89

3.00

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

27

0.68

HENDERSON GROUP

153.40

90.55

171.00

Neutral

Sell

48

1.44

ICAP

292.70

281.40

384.00

Neutral

Sell

190

1.07
1.68

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

403.90

227.30

427.60

Neutral

Sell

197

INVESTEC

439.20

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

73

1.55

1258.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3759

1.12

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

88.10

63.25

119.70

Neutral

Neutral

91

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1465.00

1151.00

1532.00

Neutral

Sell

1105

0.73

SCHRODERS

2083.00

1166.00

2165.00

Neutral

Sell

1241

1.31

SCHRODERS NV

1696.00

966.00

1745.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4100

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

222.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

289

0.93

AGGREKO

1746.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1259

1.03

AMEC

1056.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1110

1.04

584.00

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

308

1.62

1068.00

793.50

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

648

0.48

519.00

317.00

530.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

0.78

1290.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

803

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

375.63

214.00

380.00

Neutral

Buy

435

0.38

CAPITA

869.50

602.00

913.50

Neutral

Sell

506

0.50

51.00

25.34

53.50

Neutral

Buy

66

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

824.00

616.00

852.50

Neutral

Sell

592

0.74

BERENDSEN

776.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

954

1.04

DE LA RUE

925.00

885.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

587

#NA

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

DIGNITY

1353.00

803.50

1435.00

Neutral

Sell

768

0.21

DIPLOMA

546.00

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

473

0.95

ELECTROCOMP.

238.70

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

313

1.02

FILTRONA

708.50

428.00

744.00

Neutral

Sell

338

1.10

G4S

288.70

240.00

307.50

Neutral

Neutral

284

0.58

94.50

66.40

100.00

Neutral

Buy

118

1.09

HOMESERVE

192.20

137.50

252.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

474

0.93

INTERSERVE

465.80

270.10

510.50

Neutral

Buy

677

1.27

3373.00

2406.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1410

0.77

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

43.50

26.50

44.63

Neutral

Strong Buy

92

1.18

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.63

21.25

39.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

54

0.72

MENZIES (JOHN)

700.00

542.00

789.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1274

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

402.70

341.40

471.50

Neutral

Sell

311

1.41

MITIE GROUP

273.10

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

335

0.55

92.00

91.50

160.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

234

0.34

PAYPOINT

880.00

605.00

901.00

Neutral

Sell

672

0.70

PREMIER FARNELL

209.30

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

276

1.32

REGUS

160.70

82.65

167.40

Neutral

Sell

105

1.44

95.85

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

54

1.24

518.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Buy

619

0.91

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RICARDO

411.50

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

459

0.85

ROBERT WALTERS

220.75

176.25

264.63

Neutral

Buy

304

1.23

RPC GROUP

378.00

348.30

477.00

Neutral

Buy

522

0.77

RPS GROUP

265.00

197.00

272.40

Neutral

Sell

242

1.50

SERCO GROUP

611.50

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

566

0.59

SHANKS GROUP

74.50

74.50

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

47.50

22.25

50.00

Neutral

Neutral

51

1.25

144.00

70.88

149.00

Neutral

Sell

50

0.56

56.13

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Neutral

60

0.92

332.00

234.75

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

606

0.86

74.50

42.00

75.00

Sell

Strong Buy

178

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

265.70

200.70

281.70

Neutral

Buy

310

40.40

27.28

42.63

Neutral

Strong Buy

77

0.69

677.00

390.80

710.50

Neutral

Sell

572

0.53

Beta
0.90

81.15

67.00

85.20

Neutral

Buy

120

1.24

1040.00

677.00

1065.00

Neutral

Sell

672

0.11

184.80

154.45

192.00

Neutral

Sell

157

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

255.50

178.00

269.00

Neutral

Sell

189

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

395.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

436

0.99

CLARKSON

1580.00

1150.00

1585.00

Sell

Sell

1433

0.81

EASYJET

1023.00

471.00

1128.00

Neutral

Sell

638

0.74

200.90

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

523

0.90

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1025.00

535.00

1045.00

Neutral

Sell

372

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1444.00

1086.00

1513.00

Neutral

Buy

1750

0.89

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta
1.30

NATIONAL EXPRESS

192.60

164.50

236.50

Neutral

Buy

236

1.34

NORTHGATE

311.25

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

588

1.41

STAGECOACH GROUP

296.10

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

344

0.90

57.13

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-38

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

369.80

306.30

375.60

Neutral

Buy

494

0.46

NATIONAL GRID

785.00

633.00

785.00

Neutral

Neutral

842

0.49

PENNON GROUP

645.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

785

0.58

SSE

1517.00

1294.00

1517.00

Neutral

Buy

1770

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1665.00

1507.00

1796.00

Neutral

Sell

1518

0.34

706.00

594.00

747.50

Neutral

Neutral

673

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

09 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

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