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1NC - Solvency
Benefits of airborne wind energy too far off to solve short term.
Inman, 12
(Near Zero, Energy High in the Sky: Expert Perspectives on Airborne Wind Energy Systems, ed. Mason Inman, 9 September 2012 (available at: http://nearzero.org/)) KH Many experts argued that airborne wind energy is in too early of a stage to benefit from market incentives. For example, Martin Hoffert commented: This technology is nowhere near ready for commercialization. What we need now are demonstration projects of competitive ideas. In the discussion, there was disagreement about whether the money would be better directed to- ward universities and government labs, or whether it should go to companies. In Near Zeros discussion, Damon Vander Lind of Makani Power said, For now, the most judicious use of funds may be to give promising companies not having fully functional prototypes enough money to complete and test fully functional prototypes, and to give those having fully functional prototypes budget to pursue utility scale prototypes. This would probably require a budget in the tens of millions rather than billions. But others directly involved in the burgeoning airborne wind industry did not necessarily favor funding going to companies. For example, Luciano Fagiano of Italy-based KITEnrg argued R&D in universities and research centres is probably the most effective way to tackle the uncertain aspectsof the different technologies. One route for funding university research would be through a program known as NASA Research Announcements, said NASA researcher Mark Moore. It would be great to achieve significant university involvement in air- borne wind energy, Moore said, adding that supporting a broad spectrum of universities would ensure significant publications in open literatureto the benefit of all players in industry and research. Reaching Scale To gauge how long it may take for airborne wind energy to reach commercial scale, Near Zero asked experts how long it might take to build and install enough systems to produce 1 gigawatt (1 billion watts) of electricity. (For comparison, starting from applications in satellites, the solar industry took about 40 years to reach cumulative commercial production of 1 gigawatt of solar panels.) Near Zero asked how long it would take to reach 1 gigawatt in each of three cases: no support, $10 million per year, and $100 million per year (see Fig. 6). The experts answers diverged widely, with some saying airborne wind energy could reach 1 gigawatt within a few years, while others said it would take many decadesperhaps 50 years or more. But all agreed that with no government support, it would take far longer for airborne wind energy to scale up. To reach 1 gigawatt, on average the experts said: with no support, it would take 20 years with annual funding of $10 million it would take 15 years with annual funding of $100 million it would take 9 years.
Too many issues facing regulation to be successful, plan decreasing restrictions doesnt solve, need stronger regulatory framework
Levitan, 12
(High-Altitude Wind Energy:Huge Potential And Hurdles 24 SEP 2012: REPORT Dave Levitan is a freelance journalist based in Philadelphia who writes about energy, the environment, and health. His articles have been published byReuters, SolveClimate, IEEE
Spectrum, and Psychology Today. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/high_altitude_wind_energy_huge_potential_and_hurdles/2576/) KH Outside of R&D issues, another huge challenge is regulation. What, exactly, is a 80-foot-wide device, tethered to the ground, flying circles 1,000 feet up in the air? Is it an airplane? A building or obstacle? There is no clear regulatory framework for the industry, though in 2011 the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration did begin a process meant to include airborne wind systems in their governing structure. For the moment, this will limit testing to 499 feet of altitude, meaning the jet streams are still far out of reach. There is no way you can operate without some form of official approval from the authorities, Ruiterkamp of Ampyx says. But he warns against trying to create a new regulatory framework from scratch, either in the Netherlands where his company is based, or in the U.S. If you have to set this up all by yourself as an industry, it might take 15 years and there is no guarantee what the outcome will be, Ruiterkamp says. He thinks that convincing authorities to work within the existing regulatory environment for manned and, increasingly, unmanned aircraft is the best approach. Safety and related regulations are not trivial concerns. That 5-MW Makani device thats in the works? Its 213-foot wingspan is about the same as that of a Boeing 747. If something that big breaks its tether and hits the ground, it poses obvious dangers. Even the M600 is roughly the same width as the wingspan of a Boeing 737. Clearly, if industrial-scale farms are coming that feature these mammoths flying around at the end of 1,000-foot tethers, it cant happen without strict regulatory control.
military installations where AWE is used simultaneously near an 29 airfield. But in such cases, a circular area of AWE systems spaced around the DoD site could be established to ensure safety of all aircraft.
2NC No Commercialization
Technical and Logistical barriers to commercialization MacCleery, 2011
[Bryan, clean energy product manager at National Instruments, The Advent of Airborne Wind Power, January 2011, http://windsystemsmag.com/article/detail/187/the-advent-of-airbornewind-power] /Wyo-MB Harnessing high-altitude wind is a bold vision but brings with it a wide range of technical and logistical challenges, from finding tether lines that are strong and light enough to gaining Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) approval and airspace clearance. Even at boundary layer altitudes, FAA permitting questions need to be resolved. At least for now, making tropospheric wind commercially viable is likely to remain elusive. Even companies with their sights set on the troposphere plan to start at more modest heights. At 1,000 feet wind is profitable on 70 percent of the world, says Pierre Rivard, CEO of MAGENN Power, a company developing lighter than air generators resembling blimps that also double as floating cell phone towers.
They cant win timeframe- developers of AWE prove that the systems are still in the developmental phase and wont be ready for several years Cherny 12
*Dimitri, Founder and CEO of Highest Wind LLC, Highest Wind LLC response to FAA docket 2011-1279 regarding Airborne Wind Energy Systems (AWES). 2.3.2012. < http://www.energykitesystems.net/FAA/FAAfromHighestWind.pdf>//wyo-hdm] All American AWE system developers are years away from commercialization. We are all currently in the development and test phase and will likely remain here for the next three or four years before any of us have systems ready for purchase. 2. Unlike other aircraft, development of AWE systems requires frequent, and eventually continuous flight testing, day and night in all weather conditions for weeks and months on end. Longevity, survivability, and extremely low maintenance requirements are the keys to the commercial feasibility of AWE systems. Only by keeping AWE systems in the air for months at a stretch will any developer be able to determine whether their system is ready for commercialization. We are all essentially designing flying vehicles that must be as reliable
as wind turbines more reliable than the best existing passenger aircraft. 3. Testing of AWE systems must occur at all the altitudes at which they will eventually be allowed to fly commercially. Testing at lower altitudes will enable us to confirm flying vehicle designs but not entire system designs enough to confirm commercial feasibility.
Developers are facing tether problems that will make AWE infeasible Cherny 12
*Dimitri, Founder and CEO of Highest Wind LLC, Developer of AWE, Highest Wind LLC response to FAA docket 2011-1279 regarding Airborne Wind Energy Systems (AWES). 2.3.2012. < http://www.energykitesystems.net/FAA/FAAfromHighestWind.pdf>//wyo-hdm]
Many AWE systems in development utilize cross-wind motion, flying nearly perpendicular to the wind at high speeds. Such motion across the wind induces high levels of drag in the tether, a problem many developers are struggling to overcome. The addition of flags or lights on the tether would increase tether drag even further, compounding this problem to the point that many otherwise successful AWE designs might become completely infeasible. At this point we are
unsure if our system will use rotor blades made of aluminum or some sort of composite material. The internal structures of the body will be primarily composed of aluminum with some sort of plastic aero-shell around the body. For the next couple of years of testing our rotors will continue to be made of wood.
Tech infeasible- required lights to prevent air-collisions for AWE dont exist Cherny 12
[Dimitri, Founder and CEO of Highest Wind LLC, Developer of AWE, Highest Wind LLC response to FAA docket 2011-1279 regarding Airborne Wind Energy Systems (AWES). 2.3.2012. < http://www.energykitesystems.net/FAA/FAAfromHighestWind.pdf>//wyo-hdm] The current requirement for anti-collision lighting the same as for towers (L-864 and L-865) will require the development of new lights meeting those standards which have half the weight, size and energy requirements of those available today. However, that seems like it could be possible within the next few years. The requirement for the same lights on the tether at 350 foot intervals would make our system commercially infeasible given the current or future technologies for those lights. We have no easy way to provide power to those lights along the tether and would face extreme difficulties with any system to attach or detach those lights as the tether is reeled in and out. Similarly, the current requirement for flags every fifty feet on the tether would be very difficult to achieve.
is a small start up team in the Boston Area dealing with a similar problem, as their little aerostat design has a wind turbine inside of its donut shape hull. Perhaps, you've seen the old article in the 1940s or 1950s with pictures tethered wind generator blimp, well this group pretty much borrowed those ancient ideas and are running with them as if they are something new and unique. Indeed, I told the gentleman; it's definitely good to hear from you and yes, I love the simple design, it looks Murphy Proof, and yet, still, I immediately saw inherent flaws in the design, so I asked them: "How do you deal with the burden on the shaft bearings (friction) and longevity of the system due to changes in relative wind direction? Does the turbine have an aft weather vane fin to keep the system pointed directly into the wind, if so does it have a dampening system to prevent buffeting?" Turns out there were dealing with those challenges, and had considered some of those problems from a mathematical standpoint - on paper - but remember this isn't MIT college work anymore, now it's the real world. So, I put together some sketches ready to give to them on how to use simple mechanical solutions and slats to alleviate this problem. But suffice it to say, their design team has work to do. Please consider all this.
2NC No Modeling
No international modeling means wind will never reach maximum capacity to solve warming and energy demands. (and conflict over water territory, where the vast majority of airborne wind would be harvested)
Redorbit, 12
(There Is Enough Wind To Go Around September 11, 2012 http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1112691410/wind-power-091112/) KH
The team cautions that this saturation wind potential is a theoretical calculation and propose a fixed wind power potential for more practical applications. This fixed potential is the maximum power that can be extracted by a given number of wind turbines as they are spread apart over increasingly larger areas. They suggest that installing 4 million turbines would yield up to 7.5 TW, more than enough to supply half the worlds power demand in 2030, which the study estimates to be around 11.5 TW every year. Spreading wind farms out worldwide in windy locations would increase efficiency, as well as
minimize costs and reduce overall impacts on the environment when compared with packing the same 4 million turbines in a few spots. We have a long way to go. Today, we have installed a little over one percent of the wind power needed, said Jacobson. In terms of surface area, Jacobson and Archer would place half of the four million turbines over water. The remaining two million would require a little more than one-half of one percent of the Earths land
surface about half the area of the State of Alaska. However, virtually none of this area would be used solely for wind, but could serve dual purposes as open space, farmland, ranchland, or wildlife preserve. Rather than put all the turbines in a single location, Archer and Jacobson say it is best and most
efficient to spread out wind farms in high-wind sites across the globe the Gobi Desert, the American plains and the Sahara for example.
Helium DA Links
Airbourne wind designs use helium blimps Levitan 12
(Dave Levitan is a freelance journalist based in Philadelphia who writes about energy, the environment, and health. High-Altitude Wind Energy: Huge Potential And Hurdles 9-24-12 http://e360.yale.edu/feature/high_altitude_wind_energy_huge_potential_and_hurdles/2576// wyoccd) Two companies with dramatically different ideas are California-based Magenn Power and Boston-based Altaeros. Magenns helium-filled, blimp-like structure floats 1,000 feet up, and the entire balloon spins around a horizontal axis as the wind blows past. This technology is about as bird-friendly a design as one could imagine, with no spinning blades, and has undergone successful test flights. Altaeros, meanwhile, also uses a helium-filled device, though to quite different effect. The balloon shell surrounds the blades and hub of a standard turbine in the center, basically serving to lift a normal windmill 1,000 feet off the ground. The company says it successfully tested a prototype
earlier this year, and reports that the turbine generated twice the power at 350 feet as the same turbine did at standard heights of about 100 feet. These inflatable designs, along with soft-wing kite designs like that made by North Carolina-based Windlift, may end up being most suitable for off-grid, remote applications, given their easy transportability and quick set-up times, wind industry executives say.
the worlds most helium-rich and for this reason the U.S. dominates the global market, but despite the countrys current natural gas drilling boom helium is in short supply. A massive U.S. helium stockpile from the early 20th century was sold off in the 1990s, lowering its prices and leading to a massive boom in the party balloon business, contributing to a squandering attitude that some analysts blame for the shortage. Helium is also widely used in medical diagnostics and research. An article last month in The Guardian reported the gas is becoming worryingly scarce for some purchasers in these fields. Helium
cannot be synthesized (at least, not so far) and the only currently available substitute is hydrogen. Hydrogen is
flammable and has not been used in commercial blimps since the Hindenburg passenger blimp disaster of 1937, which resulted in 36 deaths. Also of concern is the current majority party in the U.S. House of Representatives, which has been using federal funding for alternative energy as an election-year issue with which to bash the Obama Administration.