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09 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

382.10

270.90

397.30

Neutral

Buy

Target
566

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

290.00

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

346

0.66

COBHAM

264.30

190.10

264.30

Neutral

Buy

298

0.82

MEGGITT

496.50

364.30

496.50

Neutral

Sell

429

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1162.00

780.75

1162.00

Neutral

Neutral

1112

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1261.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1080

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1684.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Sell

1592

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

289.60

173.60

289.60

Neutral

Neutral

Target
275

2.02

INCHCAPE

522.00

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

514

1.48

LOOKERS

98.50

56.50

100.50

Neutral

Buy

109

1.23

PENDRAGON

23.00

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Buy

34

1.11

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

308.80

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-807

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

734.50

503.20

740.00

Neutral

Buy

950

1.17

56.08

25.29

56.08

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

285.40

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-174

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1625.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3232

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

555.00

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

593

0.55

DIAGEO

1987.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1788

0.55

SABMILLER

3655.50

2348.50

3655.50

Sell

Buy

4097

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

297.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

662

1.23

CARCLO

385.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

401

0.73

2484.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2081

1.04

254.90

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

349

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2574.00

2080.27

2593.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11944

1.45

VICTREX

1662.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1459

1.14

SYNTHOMER

201.00

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

215

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

216.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

381

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

82.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

240

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

215.10

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

932

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

320.50

114.00

320.90

Neutral

Buy

441

1.58

BELLWAY

1315.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1806

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2097.00

1180.00

2140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3223

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

176.50

115.50

181.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

334

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

757.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

538

1.20

CARILLION

276.80

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

745

1.12

CLARKE (T)

51.50

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

252

0.82

280.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

541

0.57

1384.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

808

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

970.00

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1594

1.01

KELLER

850.50

348.25

863.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2011

1.26

1195.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3185

0.97

70.75

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

207

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

126.00

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

275

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

560.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3202

0.87

15.75

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1092.00

496.69

1099.00

Neutral

Buy

1369

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

215.00

107.30

215.00

Neutral

Buy

274

1.09

SIG

166.80

82.30

166.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

487

1.79

2.00

2.00

15.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

48

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

91.30

40.28

96.55

Neutral

Buy

122

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1457.00

906.50

1511.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2450

2.01

WOLSELEY

3267.00

2121.32

3337.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5283

1.46

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1286.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

789

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

671.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

866

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

115.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

253

1.29

INVENSYS

397.50

198.90

397.50

Neutral

Sell

353

1.41

LAIRD

201.50

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

75

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1559.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1208

1.00

RENISHAW

1655.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2429

1.26

SPECTRIS

2127.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Neutral

2266

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.16

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

174.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

417

1.58

XAAR

527.00

185.00

527.00

Neutral

Sell

239

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

82.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

97

1.28

BODYCOTE

524.50

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

520

1.60

CASTINGS

345.75

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

716

0.99

VESUVIUS

363.20

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

508

2.20

FENNER

365.90

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

564

1.42

HALMA

516.50

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

404

0.75

HILL & SMITH

448.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

335

1.37

1278.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1398

1.41

259.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

549

1.82

2929.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2242

1.00

256.90

177.00

257.40

Neutral

Sell

216

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

40.25

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Sell

29

SPIRAX-SARCO

2758.00

1900.00

2758.00

Sell

Sell

2340

0.84

VITEC GROUP

616.50

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

606

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2211.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2077

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

400.00

398.50

523.50

Buy

Strong Buy

682

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

296.40

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

187

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

381.00

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

211

0.57

TESCO

375.25

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

268

0.68

81.50

18.88

82.25

Neutral

Sell

60

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1986.00

1167.00

1999.00

Neutral

Neutral

2125

0.62

CRANSWICK

1080.00

732.50

1080.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2099

0.43

DAIRY CREST

468.30

304.30

468.30

Neutral

Neutral

510

0.94

DEVRO

331.70

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

519

0.32

72.50

54.50

137.75

Neutral

Sell

-183

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

843.00

633.50

870.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1563

0.71

2774.00

2007.00

2845.00

Neutral

Neutral

2801

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.25

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.69

450.00

224.40

450.00

Neutral

Sell

377

0.54

1349.00

1000.00

1467.00

Neutral

Sell

1020

1.27

657.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

291

0.95

36.85

12.67

37.50

Neutral

Neutral

40

1.51

142.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

51

1.13

28.25

19.50

42.50

Sell

Strong Buy

106

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

385.70

189.00

385.70

Neutral

Buy

521

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

827.50

606.50

855.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1571

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

50.25

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

91

1.25

KINGFISHER

321.30

254.10

329.70

Neutral

Buy

405

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

416.70

312.20

416.70

Neutral

Buy

537

0.65

55.00

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

62

1.04

319.00

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Buy

367

0.47

NEXT

4601.00

2899.00

4601.00

Sell

Sell

3895

0.67

TED BAKER

1337.00

830.00

1397.00

Neutral

Sell

682

0.55

68.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

141.50

126.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
115

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

800.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

575

0.39

OPTOS

158.00

145.75

257.75

Neutral

Neutral

168

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

759.50

580.00

768.50

Neutral

Sell

682

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

742.00

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

723

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

335.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

302

0.92

84.13

55.25

95.00

Neutral

Buy

107

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1068.00

469.00

1068.00

Sell

Sell

Target
548

Beta
0.74

541.50

200.30

541.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1268

1.18

61.50

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

47

0.90

296.00

296.00

632.00

Buy

Strong Buy

515

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

133.20

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

683

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

205.00

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-490

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1253.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1243

0.53

AMLIN

422.20

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

101

0.46

BEAZLEY

226.50

132.50

229.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1267

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

528.50

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1955

0.30

HISCOX

558.00

379.26

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2526

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

877.50

659.00

877.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1690

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

111.50

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

911

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

478.00

345.00

484.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2876

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2395.00

1944.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4013

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

100.00

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Neutral

105

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

338.20

158.00

338.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

792.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

678

0.39

GREENE KING

737.00

474.30

737.50

Neutral

Sell

653

0.93

LADBROKES

199.90

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

255

0.93

1912.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1502

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

551.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

651

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

342.80

217.40

350.10

Neutral

Sell

316

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

134.90

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

49

1.25

10.00

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

50

1.27

167.40

113.20

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

511

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

481.60

269.60

488.10

Neutral

Sell

326

WETHERSPOON (JD)

594.00

371.30

607.50

Neutral

Buy

747

0.69

WHITBREAD

2655.00

1786.00

2692.00

Neutral

Sell

2011

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

425.80

243.75

430.70

Neutral

Sell

259

0.87

MARSTON'S

147.10

94.40

148.20

Neutral

Sell

18

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

323.90

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

707

1.25

CHESNARA

233.75

155.25

250.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

391

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

181.00

106.00

181.00

Sell

Strong Buy

357

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

215.50

138.70

215.50

Neutral

Sell

203

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1166.00

660.00

1166.00

Neutral

Sell

1015

1.71

581.00

303.40

581.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1505

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

117.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-594

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

862.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1769

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

47.00

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

159

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

704.50

363.50

722.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4134

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

995.00

672.50

1001.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7760

1.00

INFORMA

497.90

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-80

1.53

ITE GROUP

284.10

180.00

289.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

238

1.45

ITV

128.10

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1287

1.54

17.50

4.88

17.50

Sell

Buy

788

1.27

1178.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

319

0.63

77.50

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2656

0.79

278.25

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

878

0.16

34.16

26.85

34.29

Neutral

Sell

-592

0.50

STV GROUP

133.00

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

269

0.79

ST.IVES

149.50

67.50

149.50

Neutral

Sell

226

1.50

89.25

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-259

1.59

719.50

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1753

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP

154.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1370

WPP

1119.00

743.00

1119.00

Neutral

Sell

-515

1.35

HIBU

0.38

0.26

3.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

821

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1666.00

1553.00

2215.00

Neutral

Sell

1243

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

227.00

215.00

290.30

Neutral

Neutral

228

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

941.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

849

1.41

1908.50

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2866

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

350.15

293.55

397.95

Buy

Strong Buy

1010

#NA

LONMIN

299.20

240.84

504.24

Neutral

Buy

380

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5100.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2982

0.34

RIO TINTO

3101.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2451

1.50

3.63

17.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

166

0.89

832.50

1298.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2127

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1288.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1184.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1233

0.80

BP

467.05

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1550

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

279.00

248.20

314.30

Neutral

Sell

-16

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.88

7.66

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

14

0.82

815.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

444

1.31
1.36

69.00

55.00

122.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

300

392.00

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

284

1.43

2313.00

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9367

0.84

385.00

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

247

0.53

1017.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

901

1.04

801.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

790

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

118.25

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

256

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

393.00

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

324

0.69

4639.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4681

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.43

0.36

3.80

Buy

Sell

1.01

3318.00

2591.00

3390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6387

0.47

BTG

355.30

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

168

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

693.00

444.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

728

0.25

1638.00

1317.50

1687.50

Neutral

Sell

1491

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.10

1.55

4.08

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.35

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

1906.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1348

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

44.00

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-136

0.73

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

417.80

274.50

417.80

Neutral

Sell

-594

1.18

BRITISH LAND

618.00

475.40

618.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1769

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.50

22.75

35.50

Sell

Strong Buy

159

0.85

935.50

595.00

935.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4134

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2382.00

1708.00

2392.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7760

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

151.00

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-80

0.99

GRAINGER

145.50

83.10

145.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

238

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

559.00

366.00

559.00

Strong Sell

Strong Buy

1287

1.10

HAMMERSON

544.00

409.20

545.00

Neutral

Buy

788

1.19

HELICAL BAR

259.50

164.00

259.50

Neutral

Buy

319

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

911.00

704.00

911.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2656

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

348.20

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

878

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

144.50

127.00

145.00

Neutral

Sell

-592

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

407.00

325.00

407.00

Neutral

Sell

269

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

335.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

226

0.35

69.00

32.50

70.00

Sell

Sell

-259

1.19

SAVILLS

601.50

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1753

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

628.00

492.00

628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1370

1.05

SEGRO

278.10

209.40

278.10

Neutral

Sell

-515

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

277.70

145.50

280.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

821

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

202.50

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-18

1.01

UNITE GROUP

357.00

180.25

360.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.38

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1173

1.03

390.00

213.25

390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1330

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

121.50

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

120

0.73

2208.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1299

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

442.10

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1328

1.00

KOFAX

317.00

240.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

317

1.11

26.00

18.25

26.50

Neutral

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

679.50

426.17

706.00

Neutral

Buy

972

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

148.00

131.00

224.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

304

0.74

71.50

70.25

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-93

0.52

1823.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Buy

2051

0.76

347.00

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

412

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

460.90

237.30

468.00

Neutral

Sell

144

BREWIN DOLPHIN

211.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

118

0.73

10000.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

8949

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

404.50

247.50

405.00

Neutral

Sell

198

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

135.87

190.00

Neutral

Sell

128

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1042.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

209

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

95.40

65.90

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

101

0.89

3.33

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

173.50

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

62

1.44

ICAP

300.00

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

228

1.07

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

428.20

227.30

428.60

Neutral

Sell

154

1.70

INVESTEC

482.40

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

112

1.56

1353.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Sell

-531

1.15

123.80

63.25

125.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.32

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1495.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1099

0.75

SCHRODERS

2415.00

1166.00

2415.00

Sell

Sell

1176

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1887.00

966.00

1897.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3776

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

210.25

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

289

0.92

AGGREKO

1693.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1290

1.05

AMEC

1051.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1124

1.04

590.00

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

316

1.63

1069.00

793.50

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

658

0.48

545.00

324.00

557.00

Neutral

Buy

795

0.76

1278.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

977

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

435.00

214.00

445.00

Neutral

Neutral

439

0.39

CAPITA

909.00

602.00

913.50

Neutral

Sell

519

0.51

56.50

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

66

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

854.50

616.00

856.50

Neutral

Sell

600

BERENDSEN

768.50

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

972

1.05

DE LA RUE

932.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

592

#NA

DIGNITY

1425.00

803.50

1435.00

Neutral

Sell

810

0.22

DIPLOMA

590.00

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

484

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

254.10

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

319

1.04

FILTRONA

741.00

428.00

744.00

Neutral

Sell

345

1.13

G4S

259.60

240.00

313.50

Buy

Buy

289

0.58

92.85

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

120

1.10

HOMESERVE

213.70

137.50

249.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

487

0.94

INTERSERVE

487.60

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

680

1.28

3301.00

2423.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1438

0.78

43.25

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

93

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.88

21.25

36.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

55

MENZIES (JOHN)

777.50

542.00

789.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

380.00

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

317

1.42

MITIE GROUP

266.40

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

339

0.55

94.00

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

236

0.33

PAYPOINT

839.00

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

688

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

223.70

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

286

1.33

REGUS

167.30

82.65

169.00

Neutral

Sell

106

1.46

93.00

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

54

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

511.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

527

0.90

RICARDO

385.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

467

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

214.50

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

306

1.24

RPC GROUP

391.20

348.30

477.00

Neutral

Buy

530

0.78

RPS GROUP

225.20

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

245

1.51

SERCO GROUP

612.50

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

573

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

84.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

167

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

47.00

22.25

50.00

Neutral

Neutral

52

1.26

152.00

73.25

153.00

Neutral

Sell

50

0.63

51.50

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

60

0.93

331.00

234.75

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

618

0.86

75.50

42.00

75.50

Sell

Strong Buy

182

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

09 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

282.30

200.70

288.70

Neutral

Buy

338

42.00

27.28

43.08

Neutral

Strong Buy

83

0.70

661.50

390.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

587

0.53

Beta
0.91

85.50

67.00

85.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

131

1.24

1224.00

695.00

1224.00

Sell

Sell

748

0.09

193.05

154.45

197.20

Neutral

Sell

167

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

259.20

178.00

269.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
177

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

405.25

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

456

0.98

CLARKSON

1611.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1475

0.80

EASYJET

1150.00

481.20

1150.00

Neutral

Sell

671

0.77

FIRST GROUP

216.80

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

561

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

960.00

535.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

395

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1517.00

1086.00

1558.00

Neutral

Buy

1855

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

208.20

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

251

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

334.50

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

611

STAGECOACH GROUP

313.00

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

364

0.89

54.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-43

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

377.50

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

510

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

818.00

641.00

825.50

Neutral

Neutral

888

0.50

PENNON GROUP

677.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

826

0.59

SSE

1569.00

1294.00

1569.00

Neutral

Buy

1833

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1825.00

1513.00

1828.00

Neutral

Sell

1608

0.35

744.00

617.50

747.50

Neutral

Neutral

715

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

09 May 2013
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