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This report has been prepared on the basis of information obtained from key industry players, trade associations, government agencies, trade publications and various industry sources specifically mentioned in the report. While due care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in the report no warranty, express or implied, is being made or will be made, by NSDC or Aon Hewitt as regards the accuracy and adequacy of the information contained in the report. NSDC holds all copyrights to this report, and no part thereof may be reproduced or replicated without prior explicit and written permission of NSDC Any questions or queries may please be addressed to: Neil.Shastri@aonhewitt.com
About
National
Skills
Development
Corporation The National Skill Development Corporation Aon Hewitt is the global leader in human capital consulting and outsourcing solutions. The company partners with organizations to solve their most complex benefits, talent and related financial
(NSDC) is a Public Private Partnership in India, set up in 2009. Its primary objective is of enhancing, supporting and coordinating private
www.AonHewitt.com
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Mr. Deepak Sikand (Sikand and Associates) and Construction Federation of India for their valuable inputs which went into the completion of this project.
This document has been prepared by Aon Hewitt for the project titled Talent Projections & Skills Gap Analysis for the Infrastructure Sector (2022). The document contains the research findings of Aon Hewitt while estimating the total manpower required by the infrastructure sector till the year 2022. A detailed description of the approach and methodology followed by Aon Hewitt while conducting this study has been provided. Further, the report analyses the supply and demand side of manpower numbers across various job categories and infrastructure sub sectors required for construction and maintenance of infrastructure till the year 2022. A list of Job categories and the infrastructure sub sectors covered is provided in the accompanying table:
Sub-Sector
Railway Track, tunnels, viaducts, bridges Electricity Transmission Electricity Distribution Electricity Generation Energy Oil & Gas pipelines Oil/Gas/Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) storage facility Petrol Stations Refineries Solid Waste Management Water supply pipelines Water & Sanitation Water treatment plants Sewerage pipelines Irrigation (dams, channels, embankments etc.) Storm Water Drainage System Communication Telecommunications (Broadband and Towers) Education Institutions (capital stock) Hospitals (capital stock) Social and Commercial Infrastructure Common infrastructure for industrial parks, SEZ and tourism facilities. Fertilizer (Capital investment) Post-harvest storage infrastructure for agriculture and horticultural produce including cold storage Cold chain
Executive Summary
The Indian Infrastructure industry has been growing impressively, with an average real growth rate of 12.28%, annually - for the years 2004-09. This reflects the countrys continued need for investment in transport infrastructure, electricity generating capacity and other supporting infrastructure, as well as build-up of industrial capacity. Investments in this sector are critical, and key to achieving an 8% GDP growth rate for years to come. The government of India, has recognized the need of active investments in this sector, and is looking at investing US$ 1 Trillion in its 12th year plan (2013-17)1. Further, these investments are fueled by involvement of private sector through Private Public Partnerships and Build Operate Transfer projects. The sector is labour intensive, thus to sustain investments and infrastructural capacity building, it is important to aggressively train and up skill manpower for this sector. According to Aon Hewitt analysis carried out for this report, the Indian construction industry employs more than 40 Mn workforce 2, only for blue collared jobs. Out of this, about 80% or 32 Mn workforce are employed with the infrastructure construction sector alone. The industry is highly unorganized and unregulated with ad-hoc sourcing of manpower, and ad hoc training techniques. As per CIDC (Construction Industry Development Council), it is estimated that only 3%-5% of the total blue collared workforce employed by the sector has some formal training or are certified. Skills training initiatives - both public and private including ITI (Industrial Training Institute), ITC (Industrial Training Institute) and VTI ((Vocational Training Institute), among others, do not currently cater adequately to the skills demands of the industry. Out of 1.2 Mn seats offered by ITI / ITCs 0.74 Mn seats are for trades that cater to the construction industry 3. However, these trades are not exclusive for construction and most of them like electricians, foremen and the like can be employed in the light engineering and manufacturing sectors also. Moreover, the curriculum offered does not provide training in essential job trades critical to construction, such as skilled construction supervisors, bar binders, drivers and building machine operators.
It was also found that all sectors are moving towards higher technology platforms hence would need specialized skills across trades, such as, machine operators, welders, supervisors, technical/ engineers among others. As the industry increasingly moves towards the adoption of technology and global best practices, the need for skilled talent will also increase proportionally.
Analyzing the demand side, it was observed that 87.02 Mn of blue collared workforce would be needed by the construction related activities of the infrastructure sector, for FY 2022. This includes workforce for infrastructure maintenance of existing as well as new infrastructure, till FY 2022. The infrastructure sectors under study, would require 37.6 Mn skilled workforce (includes Skilled & semiSkilled*), for construction and maintenance in 2022 and the demand of unskilled workforce approximately 49.42 Mn in 2022. would be
Through the implementation of these initiatives it is hoped that the Indian infrastructure industry would be able to be to generate effective employment, improve labour working conditions and other source quality labour. Further, from the labour perspective, the talent pool will be more employable, better remunerated, and will achieve better working conditions. In addition to the construction and maintenance of infrastructure sector, operations forms a critical aspect . To ensure continuous delivery of service and optimal utilization of resources efficient operations is necessary. The report, in addition to the construction and maintenance incorporates operational aspects of infrastructure. 9 sub-sectors of infrastructure have already been covered under various NSDC reports. The report covers 15 sub- sectors of infrastructure, which have not been covered yet. In estimating the manpower required for infrastructure operation, Aon Hewitt's internal databases and primary research have been made use of. According to the analysis it is estimated that for the 15 sub-sectors covered the manpower required is 16 Mn for operations. This includes white collared and blue collared workforce.
Social & commercial Infrastructures as a sector will generate the maximum demand, the sector is expected to employ the largest number (36.4 Mn) of blue collared workforce by 2022. This followed by Water & Sanitation and Transport catering to about 90% of the total demand side. On analyzing demand side numbers it was found that Masons, Carpenters, Electricians, Bar Binders and Machine Operators are the top five job trades that the industry needs by FY 2022. Hence, it is important that NSDC drives skill development initiatives specifically for these trades. Apart from skill related training, the industry recommends trainings on safety and quality for the blue collared workforce employed by the industry. The report further proposes active involvement of NSDC in organizing and consolidating the sourcing process in the industry. In order to achieve the same, specific initiatives such as creating common industry certifications, labour self-help groups, awareness programs and labour databases have been outlined in the report.
Contents
Pg
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Construction and Maintenance III. Supply Side Analysis IV. Consolidated Demand Across Job Categories (FY 2022) V. Category 1: Transport Infrastructure Pg 7
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Pg 113
Construction Maintenance & Operations Conclusion & Pg 134 Recommendations Annexure Pg 141
List of Figures
Figure No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 Infrastructure Industry Value (In Bn USD) Construction Value as a % of GDP Break-up of Infrastructure Investment by the Public and Private Sector Current industry Split Current Trained Manpower Scenario ITI / ITC Seat Distribution Seats at ITI and ITC that cater to Construction Polytechnics: Skills applicable to Construction Manpower Requirements for Infrastructure sector Manpower Distribution 2022 Critical skills requirement in Infrastructure Sector Total Road Construction based on Km constructed per day Number of passengers handled per day Flights and Cargo handled per day Electrification and Route Km added in Railways 2022 Traffic and Capacity Projection for Indian Ports Manpower Requirements for Transport Sector Power required by generation type Transmission Lines required y-o-y Additional Oil and Gas Pipelines to be constructed Required Oil and Gas Storage Manpower requirement for Energy Sector Telecom Connections Manpower Requirements for Transport Sector Water Pipeline Requirement y-o-y and Maintenance (km) Amount of Water to be Treated y-o-y to Meet Requirements Sewage Pipeline Requirement at end of each year (km) Storm Water Drainage Construction Solid Waste and Sewage generated y-o-y Length of Canals required by end of each year (km) Number of Check Dams required every year Manpower Requirements For Water and Sanitation Sector Primary Enrollment Secondary Enrollment Tertiary Enrollment Higher Education Enrollment Beds Created Vs Beds Required Fertilizer: Demand vs Production Current and Projected Storage Requirements Gap between required Cold Storage facilities and constructed at growth rate of 15% Manpower Requirements For Social and Commercial Infrastructure Consolidated Manpower Demand Toll Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Roads Manpower requirement for Operations in Roads across levels Figure Description Page No. 2 2 3 7 7 7 8 8 10 11 12 17 21 21 25 29 33 37 38 44 45 51 55 58 63 66 69 73 77 81 82 85 89 90 90 91 94 99 103 104 106 117 117 117
List of Figures
Figure No. 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 Figure Description Consolidated Manpower Demand Power Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Power Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Power Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand - Oil & Gas Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Oil & Gas Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Oil & Gas Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Telecommunication Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Telecommunication Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Telecommunication Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Water Treatment Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Water Treatment Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Water Treatment Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Solid Waste Management Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Solid Waste Management Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Solid Waste Management Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Hospital Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Hospital Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Hospital Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Fertilizer Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Fertilizer Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Fertilizer Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand SEZ and Industrial Operations Manpower Split for Operations in SEZ and Industrial Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in SEZ and Industrial Sector across levels Recommendations for NSDC Proposed Linkages between recommendations and NSDC Page No. 119 119 119 121 121 121 123 123 123 125 125 125 127 127 127 129 129 129 131 131 131 133 133 133 135 135
List of Tables
Figure No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Infrastructure Industry Value (In Bn USD) Construction Value as a % of GDP Break-up of Infrastructure Investment by the Public and Private Sector Current industry Split Current Trained Manpower Scenario ITI / ITC Seat Distribution Seats at ITI and ITC that cater to Construction Polytechnics: Skills applicable to Construction Manpower Requirements for Infrastructure sector Manpower Distribution 2022 Critical skills requirement in Infrastructure Sector Total Road Construction based on Km constructed per day Number of passengers handled per day Flights and Cargo handled per day Electrification and Route Km added in Railways 2022 Traffic and Capacity Projection for Indian Ports Manpower Requirements for Transport Sector Power required by generation type Transmission Lines required y-o-y Additional Oil and Gas Pipelines to be constructed Required Oil and Gas Storage Manpower requirement for Energy Sector Telecom Connections Manpower Requirements for Communication Sector Water Pipeline Requirement y-o-y and Maintenance (km) Amount of Water to be Treated y-o-y to Meet Requirements Sewage Pipeline Requirement at end of each year (km) Storm Water Drainage Construction Solid Waste and Sewage generated y-o-y Length of Canals required by end of each year (km) Number of Check Dams required to be constructed every year Manpower Requirements For Water and Sanitation Sector Primary Enrollment Secondary Enrollment Tertiary Enrollment Higher Education Enrollment Beds Created Vs Beds Required Fertilizer: Demand vs Production Gap between required Cold Storage facilities and constructed at growth rate of 15% Manpower Requirements For Social and Commercial Infrastructure Supply Side Manpower distribution across sectors for 2010 (32 Mn) based on 2022 manpower distribution projections Supply Side Manpower distribution for 2022 Consolidated Manpower Demand Toll Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Roads Manpower requirement for Operations in Roads across levels Figure Description Page No. 2 2 3 7 7 7 8 8 10 11 12 17 21 21 25 29 33 37 38 44 45 51 55 58 63 66 69 73 77 81 82 85 89 90 90 91 94 99 104 106 108 108 117 117 117
List of Tables
Figure No. 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 Figure Description Consolidated Manpower Demand Power Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Power Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Power Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand - Oil & Gas Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Oil & Gas Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Oil & Gas Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Telecommunication Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Telecommunication Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Telecommunication Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Water Treatment Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Water Treatment Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Water Treatment Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Solid Waste Management Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Solid Waste Management Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Solid Waste Management Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Hospital Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Hospital Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Hospital Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand Fertilizer Operations Manpower Split for Operations in Fertilizer Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in Fertilizer Sector across levels Consolidated Manpower Demand SEZ and Industrial Operations Manpower Split for Operations in SEZ and Industrial Sector Manpower requirement for Operations in SEZ and Industrial Sector across levels Recommendations for NSDC Proposed Linkages between recommendations and NSDC Page No. 119 119 119 121 121 121 123 123 123 125 125 125 127 127 127 129 129 129 131 131 131 133 133 133 135 135
Introduction
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Introduction
However, the sector was hit by risk aversion post FY 2009 with growth dropping to its lowest levels since the early years of the decade. Over this period private sector investment dropped substantially in tandem with the global economic slowdown. Conversely, due to the governments investment in infrastructure and large number of local players, investment continued in the sector, growth remained robust, although somewhat reduced from previous double-digit highs. Now as the macroeconomic environment improves, private investors have stepped back on the scene, from construction companies to private equity firms, all are drawn in by strong population and economic fundamentals driving demand for infrastructure. In the 11th Five Year Plan India targets an investment of US$ 427.453 Bn for infrastructure, including utilities and transport infrastructure as well as telecom and irrigation. Even amidst a difficult economic environment, investments were up to expectation and during the mid year review of the 11th five year plan, India still targeted an investment of US$ 453.856 Bn with a marginal difference of US$ 453 Mn. [1] [2]
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Introduction
9.5 9 8.5 8 7.5 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 7.7 8.1 8.2 7.9 8.4 8.8 8.9
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Introduction
Figure 3: Break-up of Infrastructure Investment by the Public and Private Sector Infrastructure Investment
100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 40% 26% 20% 20% 0% 0% Pow er Roads Railw ays Irrigation Water Sectors Ports Airports Storage Gas Telecom 3% 36% 26% 39% 32% 28% 74% 64% 97% 82% 74% 68% 61% 50% 50%
Investment Break-Up
Future Outlook
Major impetus for Indias GDP growth in the near future is from the infrastructure sector and to support this, the finance minister, along with the planning commission, has announced a target for US$ 1 Trillion of investments during the 12th Five Year Plan. [1] Doubling the investment from the 11th Five Year Plan, the abrupt increase in investment is for the envisioned sustained GDP growth rate of 10% per year between FY 2012 and FY 2018. However, in the 12th Five Year Plan, the government is targeting that 50% of investment will come from the private sector, which amounts to US$ 500 Bn. [1]
With demand secured and set to continue growing, access to finance is presenting one of the greatest obstacles to infrastructure development. This is set to improve as the government tries to incorporate innovative and diverse funding methods for the sector, such as PPP, BOT among others. Finally, continued demand growth from a rapidly expanding population and strong economic growth will continue to fuel investment opportunities and in turn drive construction activity.
Construction industry as a whole is expected to continue to grow at 7.5% , between FY 2011 and FY 2015 [1]. Infrastructure sector being a part of the construction industry will follow the same trend. The growth in the industry would be driven by continued improvements in the countrys business environment. This would lead to disbursal of funds into the sector, facilitate private sector investment, and ensure that investment targets are met at an improved rate.
Currently, one of the biggest concern for the Indian infrastructure players is and will be access to finance. Local bank capacity is not really up to providing the sort of long-term financing needed to support infrastructure projects. Due to the long-term nature of most projects, loans have a term of more than 10 years. However, due to underdeveloped nature of Indian capital markets, a lack of precedent for long-term loans, limited liquidity and the fact that banks' funds mature over the medium term, local banks are unable to provide this type of financing. Due to obstacles in Indias business environment, the country is failing to unlock the full
The above scenario reflects the growth at which the Indian Infrastructure industry is expected to perform in years to come. If these expectations are true, the industry would require trained manpower across various job trades to execute large scale projects.
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Module 1: Input
As a first phase of the project, i.e. manpower demand-supply gap projection, Aon Hewitt undertook an exercise to study and understand the requirements for the identified sub-sectors in terms of the skills required and the quantity of manpower for these sectors. In order to calculate the manpower demand, a two-pronged approach was incorporated, encompassing: 1. Understanding the process for infrastructure development and maintenance in the identified sectors / sub-sectors, and the manning norms that are followed in India for the same 2. Projecting the infrastructure development and maintenance requirements for each of the sub-sectors till the year 2022
Phase
2:
Projecting
Infrastructure
Development
And
Maintenance Requirements
The second phase involved collection of data to forecast the infrastructure development and maintenance requirement for each of the sub-sectors identified as a part of this study We could expect it by 2022.
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agencies, among others) and funds being granted for the development of a sector formed one critical input on which projections are based.
Further, the current infrastructure data for each sector was collected and used as a base over which the projection calculations were done. The net increase (based on the policy measures and investments foreseen) projections have been made, and it shows that growth in the sector might not follow a linear path.
Data Sources used were Industry reports, and other secondary data sources ( websites of the relevant ministries, development funding organizations etc ) to capture and analyze the existing infrastructure landscape across sectors. Reference to all documents and reports have been included and provided in the reference section of the report.
As a second step of this module a study of the current trends in vocational training institutes was carried out. This included understanding the major skill sets in demand, and capturing insights from training institutes and the relevant government bodies (ministries etc.) around the planned increases (if any) in the intake of student and addition of new courses for newer skill sets. Acoordimg to the above inputs we have developed projections for skills and manpower requirements for 2022 for the infrastructure industry. These projections focus on the number of skilled workers as well as the major skill sets that would be available by 2022.
Phase
3:
Projecting
Manpower
Requirements
Final manpower numbers are a combination of the outputs from Phase I and Phase II of this module. The manning norms for all processes across sub-sectors were extrapolated in accordance with the projections made for each sub-sector, keeping the current existing state of infrastructure as the base.
Data Sources used were Secondary data sources to gather current output of vocationally trained manpower and trends cited. Primary data resources were used for analyzing key trends and projections for 2022, i.e. interactions with industrial firms.
The final output provides the skills required for each sub-sector, and the projected numbers that would be required to bring about the projected development and maintenance.
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The module analyzes the demand for various types of skills in the market and the availability of the same in the current system. We also analyzed the expected growth these skills could witness. The estimations account for certain skills falling out of demand or showing an increased demand from the market perspective. Finally, the analysis includes our analysis into the expected manpower requirement (in terms of absolute numbers) in 2022 based on the requirements and infrastructure development plans that the various sub-sectors would witness.
In conclusion, skills sets across all sectors have been aggregated and compared against the proposed supply needed based on the projections. Furthermore, recommendations on the basis of gaps foreseen for the various sub sectors for the year 2022 have been made. These recommendations center on the theme of skills and talent development to meet the needs for the year 2022 and initiatives NSDC can launch. A roadmap is suggested to define the path that NSDC and other government bodies need to undertake for realizing the targets in terms of skills required.
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32 Mn
The industry operates on a norm of 1:4 skilled to unskilled ratio. Thus the number of trained and certified workforce required is 6.4 Mn. However, with only 3-5% of 32 Mn formally trained or certified, a gap of 5.12 Mn trained personnel exists in the current workforce (Figure 5)
Manpower
Number of Seats
0.74 M n
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis, Directorate General of Employment & Training and CIDC
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A study of the supply side reveals that ITIs and ITCs as Figure 7: Seats at ITI and ITC that cater to Construction
Electrician
on April 2011 had 1.2 Mn seats catering to various skill sets, however, only 0.74 Mn seats were identified as suitable for construction industry (Figure 7). Of the 0.74 Mn majority of the seats are concentrated towards electricians and foremen (Figure 7). Our primary data insights also indicate that even for the 0.74 Mn persons graduating from ITIs/ITCs, construction is not an industry of choice, given its unorganized nature. Thus electricians, and other such tradesmen would rather seek employment in industries such as automotive components, than join a construction firm. Polytechnics form another source of personnel for the
3% 5% 5% 4% 43%
Fitter Welder Wireman Draughtsman (Civil) Welder (Gas & Electric) Carpenter Building Constructor Architectural Assistant Mason (Building Constructor) Painter (General) Sanitary Hardware Fitter Surveyor
37%
construction industry. According to the Aon Hewitt analysis it was established that only 0.05 Mn people are trained / certified through them, who are suitable for the construction industry. However, the output hardly caters to the need of the construction industry. (Figure.8) Further, with increasing time constraints in the industry, moving forward technology adoption for construction would gain pace. This would result in requirement of skilled certified personnel. With majority of workforce
Mech. Engg.
27%
Electrical Engg.
28%
Architectural Assistantship Civil Engg & Planning Instrum entation
unskilled, the skill gap is bound to increase, and the skilled to unskilled assured to decrease. After establishing the fact that only 4% of the current workforce employed in the construction industry is actually skilled, it can be inferred that out of the 32 Mn people involved in the infrastructure sector 30.72 Mn have the potential to be either up-skilled or get some formal training. Moreover, with a skill requirement of 6.4 Mn in construction of infrastructure as of today and the demand expect to grow in the coming years; supply of skilled labor remains a primary concern, or else India might end up facing labor shortage in a nation with a population of 1.15 Bn. For the past eight years the ITIs / ITCs have had a CAGR of 7.63%. If current trends are continued, the projected output for 2022 would be 1.63 Mn trained personnel suitable for working in construction.
38%
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Currently with an employee base of 32 Mn, the Infrastructure sector is representative of 2.8% of the population. With the growth projected in the infrastructure sectors, the projected manpower requirement for the sector is 87.02 Mn in 2022, an additional manpower of 55 Mn over 2010. The table below shows the critical skills as well as manpower requirements for these skills in 2022. These skills are segmented by each sector to provide greater insight into specific skills to be developed by each sector. Table 1: Critical Skills across Sectors
Manpower Requirements in 2022 657,000 370,000 450,000 517,000 2,368,000 1,485,000 1,266,000 2,936,000 1,223,000 303,000 304,000 174,000 1,246,000 1,672,000 1,561,000 746,000 806,000
Critical Skills
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40
Manpower (Million)
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20
14.80 10.90 9.46 10.6211.40 4.57 6.66 1.73 9.71 4.45 8.38
10
0 Social & Commercial Infra Water & sanitation Transport Energy Telecommunication
2012
2017
2022
Social & Commercial Manpower Requirements 26 Mn (2012) 36.4 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician and Carpenter
Water & Sanitation Manpower Requirements 10.9 Mn (2012) 21 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Machine Operator, Supervisor / Foreman and Bar Binder / Bender
Transport Manpower Requirements 9.46 Mn (2012) 11.4 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor/ Foreman, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Energy Manpower Requirements 4.57 Mn (2012) 9.71 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician and Welder
Telecommunication Manpower Requirements 1.73 Mn (2012) 8.4 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor / Foreman, Machine, Operator and Electrician
Based on the chart above, Social and Commercial Infrastructure is expected to generate the largest demand for blue collared workforce.
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100 80 60 40 20 0 Manpower Distribution 2022 Unskilled Semi Skilled Skilled Executive 48.23 17.05 18.49 7.169
The above chart titled depicts the manpower distribution as it will be required in 2022 at various levels, that is unskilled,
semi-skilled, skilled and. executive. The definition for each level have been provided in the table below.
Executive
Skilled
The skilled category would be a skilled tradesman with 4-5 years of industry experience. The trades included are Mason, Carpenter, Plumber, Electrician, Bar Binder/ Bender, Blacksmith, Welder, Machine Operator, Machine Driver, Painter, Glazier, Fitter, Erection Gang, and Radiographer
Semi Skilled
Semi skilled tradesman would also be involved in similar work as that of a skilled labor such as a mason, carpenter etc. but will be in an apprenticeship position and would be learning the craft as an assistant to a senior/skilled craftsman such as a mason or a carpenter
Unskilled
An unskilled laborer is one of the construction trades which generally does mechanical/manual work and does not require any specific skill set. These laborers are generally assistants to the skilled craftsmen, and are deployed to assist and accompany them during construction and maintenance activities
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Furthermore, the report brings forth the critical job trades which require focused attention. Out of the 22 job trades analyzed, there are eighteen job trades that are of critical importance going forward (Chart below). The top five skilled trades that would be in highest in terms of demand are Masons, Carpenter, Electrician, Painter and Machine operators . Taking into account the Executive level, the critical skills generating the maximum demand are Supervisor/Foreman and Technical/Engineer. The manpower estimates have been based on the assumption that each person would be working 210 days in a year. This aspect takes into account all the leaves and other exigencies that might arise through the year.
It was also observed that the demand of these job trades varied regionally (state-wise) within India. Analyzing this sector variance, especially for roads, SEZ (industrial area) and energy projects, top five skills of each state were found ( refer table below). Further, as one can see, that masons and machine operators are the top two trades that are in demand for every state (Table 4).
Figure 11: Critical Skills Requirement in the Infrastructure Sector (Millions) Skilled Labor
Erection Gang, 0.03 Mason, 4.2
Executive
Architect / Designer, 0.10 Draftsman, 0.04 Technical / Engineer, 2.47
Painter, 1.94
Surveyor, 0.31
Machine Operator, 2.16 Carpenter, 2.31
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States
Masons
Electrical
Carpenter
Plumber
Welder
Bar Binder
Painter
Fitter
Machine operator
Glazier
Andhra Pradesh Assam Bihar Chhattisgarh Goa Gujarat Haryana Jammu and Kashmir Jharkhand Karnataka Kerala Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Punjab Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttar Pradesh Uttarakhand West Bengal Chandigarh Dadra and Nagar Haveli Daman and Diu Lakshadweep National Capital Territory of Delhi *Refer to Annexure 2
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Transport Infrastructure
The Indian transport sector being large and diverse, caters to the needs of 1.15 Bn people. Since the early 1990s, India's growing economy has witnessed a rise in demand for transport infrastructure and services. In 2007, the sector contributed about 5.5% to the nations GDP, with road transportation contributing majority of the share [4] [5] .
India is home to 40 Mn passenger vehicles. More than 3.7 Mn automotive vehicles were produced in India in 2010 (an increase of 33.9%), making the country the second fastest growing automobile market in the world[5]. However, public transport still remains the primary mode of transport for most of the population, and India's public transport systems are among the most heavily utilised in the world. Indian rail network is the longest and the fourth most heavily used system in the world transporting over 6 Bn passengers and over 350 Mn tons of freight annually[4]. Indias external trade, as a proportion of gross domestic product (GDP) has more than doubled in the last 10 years and is close to 40%. Bulk of this international trade is carried through shipping. Around 95% of Indias foreign trade by volume and 70% by value is transported through sea [6].
With a booming population, growing economy and a demanding import and export sector Indias transport infrastructure is under immense strain. The sector has not been able to keep pace with rising demand and is proving to be a drag on the economy. While some modes of transport are experiencing boom in investments, others are falling short of targets.
It was observed that high level of bureaucratic procedures and inefficient planning regulations have lead to stalling of project approvals, and hence the project itself. The bottlenecks in transport infrastructure investment have meant that investment has fallen short of targets under the 11th five year plan. The demand for transport infrastructure and services has been rising by around 10% a year with the current infrastructure being unable to meet these growing demands. According to recent estimates by Goldman Sachs, India will need to spend US$ 1.7 Trillion on infrastructure projects over the next decade to boost economic growth of which US$ 500 Bn is budgeted to be spent during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan [7].
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Indias
strong
population
growth
and
emergent
economy are fueling demand for infrastructure. One of the critical factors driving the Indian infrastructure market is transportation. Ferrying 90% of the countrys passengers and 65% of the total cargo, roads serve as an important medium of transportation . Indias road infrastructure as on 2008-09 was 3.32 Mn km, of which 1.6 Mn km was paved. With growing economy and standards of living, car ownership has also seen an increase [1]. For 2009, 6.7% of the population owned a car, with projection of 11.1% for 2014, with the increasing car ownership; India would need to invest in expanding the road network to avoid congestion in urban areas [1]. National Highways, which constitutes just 2.12% (70,548 km) of the total road infrastructure layout in the country, caters to 40 % of the traffic movement. With freight projected to grow by 13% per year to fuel Indias economic growth, there is an urgent need to construct more roads [8] [9].
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Projections
Source: Ministry of Road transport and Highways of India; Aon Hewitt Analysis
8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total added per year Kilometers added per day
25 20 15 10 5 0
Roads have been an underperformer in the 11th year plan, in terms of driving investments from private sources and in terms of growth. With a target of 50 % investment from private sources, only 16% has flowed in. A number of issues have hindered investment in this sector: issues with land rights, complex and convoluted bureaucracy is slowing down planning and tendering processes[1]. Due to obstacles in Indias business environment, the country is failing to unlock the full scale of potential for growth in the infrastructure sector.
Roads infrastructure construction for 2010 was at 12.5 km per day (table 5). However, moving forward and envisaging bottlenecks constraining the development of roads to be removed a growth rate of 4% YoY has been projected. Basis this growth rate, by 2022, average road constructed per day would be 20 km. In India, three categories of roads exist apart from the National Highways : State Highways, District Roads and Rural Roads. Moving forward, it has been assumed according to annual reports of Ministry of Road Transport
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Highways that new construction would mainly be focused on National Highways. Moreover, the total length of State Highways, District Roads and Rural Roads has remained constant for the past four years. Hence, it is assumed that the total length of the network would follow the same trend in the future. Furthermore, for maintenance of roads basis table 1, it is projected that in any year 5% of state highways (6,400 km) and district roads (23,500 km) would be under maintenance. As for rural roads, due to the vast coverage and difficultly of access, it is projected that 3% (79,500 km) of the total length would be under maintenance every year. Therefore, in order to ensure a balanced development of the total road network in the country, merely constructing a strong road infrastructure is not sufficient. The carrying capacity of the existing road network as well as quality of the riding surface also need to be improved substantially. Manpower calculations for construction and maintenance of new roads is based on inputs received from SMEs (subject matter experts). The projections and maintenance numbers have been drawn in consultation with industry experts and organizations.
For maintenance manpower calculations, not all steps involved in new road construction are considered. Certain steps get omitted due to the existence of basic road infrastructure . Given the new road construction and maintenance projections, 7.5Mn workforce would be required in 2022 an addition of 86,000 workforce over 2012. Furthermore, in 2012, based on primary research skilled to unskilled ratio has been assumed to be at 1:5. However, moving forward it is assumed that adoption of technology and improving productivity would reduce the ratio to 1:3 in 2022. The manpower required for road construction and maintenance based on Aon Hewitts analysis and SME inputs is shown on the following page( table 6).
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Airports
India is currently the 9th largest aviation market in the world, supported by 136 airports, of which 14 are international airports. Further, operated under Airports Authority of India (AAI) are 128 airports of which 14 international airports handle 80% of aircraft movement in the country, 87% of passenger traffic and 97% of freight traffic. With India witnessing substantial growth in international and domestic trade over the past few years, this has resulted in a significant increase in the freight traffic handled by airports in the country. Indian Airports handle about 30% of the countrys total trade in terms of value. [10]
The other aspect of airports is tourism, which has registered a growth rate of 8%. With increase in disposable income in India, which has grown by 10.11% annually from 2001-2006, much of it has been spent on travel [11]. These factors coupled with increase in trade have seen aircraft movement at Indian airports increase at a CAGR of 15.4% between 200304 and 200809 [11].
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With steady GDP growth and a flourishing trade & tourism industry, the aviation sector is projected to be a clear outperformer in the transport sector, with annual average growth of 12.9% forecast for the sector between FY 2010/11 and FY 2014/15 [1]. This growth would be supported by a healthy growth in passenger
and cargo traffic per day (Figure 13 and 14) both domestically and internationally [11]. As per Finance departments report on the Aviation sector (2009), the passenger growth for the sector is expected to be 8.44% and cargo growth is expected to be 8.14%. This translates into flight handled growth rate of 10%.
Thousands 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Government of India; Aon Hewitt Analysis
16000 14000
Number of Flights
16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Cargo Handled (tons)
Source: Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Government of India; Aon Hewitt Analysis
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6,921,000
10,785,000
16,814,000
4,135,000
6,368,000
9,915,000
Source: Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Government of India; Aon Hewitt Analysis
Manpower
calculations
for
construction
and
omitted and discounting of manpower made in certain steps, as the basic infrastructure would exist and only minor repair / maintenance would be required. Based on the norms, Aon Hewitt analysis and SME inputs, it has been projected that a total workforce of 98,300 ( an addition of 58,000 over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of Airport Infrastructure in 2022. The manpower required for Airport construction and maintenance is shown on the following page.
maintenance of Airports are based on the inputs received from SMEs (Subject Matter Experts). The norms for facilities within the airport building are defined in terms of area. In order to derive the norms for construction of airports and associated infrastructure, a national airport having international standards has been considered and calculations of total area to be constructed have been accordingly carried out. The norms considered for the purpose of all the calculations are, an area requirement of 51 sq.ft / passenger, cargo area of 437 sq.ft / ton and 10,632.61 sq.ft / flight. For the manpower calculations for maintenance of Airport infrastructure, it has been assumed that the area to be under maintenance would be 5% of the total built up area. Not all steps involved in new Airport construction are considered. Certain steps have been
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Indian Railways along with National highways and Ports forms the backbone of Indias transport Infrastructure. It is estimated that more than 35% of the total freight movement of the country moves by railways [12]. However, freight movement registered a dismal scenario of less than 4% growth in both tonnage and net ton kilometer for the year 2010. Faced with a fundamental challenge of accelerating freight traffic growth to 8-9 %, for catering to the economic growth (GDP elasticity of 1.25), major initiatives are needed to plug the gap [13].
Moreover, India inherited 53,996 route km of rail network, which today stands at 64,099 km, an achievement of merely 10,000 km in 62 years[12]. With ambitious plans an increase on route kilometers at 1000 km per year has been envisioned, but only 206 km was covered during the April-December, 2010, period [14].
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Kilometers
80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Electrified kms
Furthermore,
to
drive
advancement
of
railways,
during the same time. The 6,300 km includes addition of 2,500 km of new lines, 1,400 km of electrification of existing lines, 1,200 km lines for Direct freight corridor and 1,200 km of conversion to broad gauge. As per the Vision, the projected growth rate for the Railways Infrastructure is 4.5% (table 9). Furthermore, urban rail projects have moved to the
electrification has seen major investment. Total track length was 113,617 km as on 2009, of which 48,639 km has been electrified [12]. However, for the 11th year plan electrification of 4,500 km has been envisaged, but only 2,416 km has been electrified in the first three years of the plan[14]. Projections for railway construction are based on Railways Vision 2020. Taking railways vision 2020, work has been projected on 6,300 km of railways track to be constructed year on year till 2022. Moreover, 50 world class railway station will also be constructed
forefront of transport investment due to inner city congestion. With increased urbanization, concentration on improving public transport system has been in focus. Hence, a major development in urban centers of India is envisaged in this sub-sector of railways.
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As for metro construction, based on Aon Hewitts primary research findings, for metro construction it is projected that year on year 50 km of metro railway line and associated 100 stations would be commissioned till 2022. The norms have been derived through Aon Hewitts primary research. The norms for railway station construction are based on statistics for New Delhi Railway Station, i.e. Footfall per day is 500,000 and Average area per passenger is 0.1937 Sq.ft. Maintenance of tracks and railway stations (also takes into account metros) is assumed at 10% of the total track length and the stations.
Based on these projections and SME inputs the total manpower requirement for construction and maintenance of Railways has been projected to be 1.01Mn in the year 2022 ( an addition of 284,000 over the year 2012). Based on SME inputs, the manpower requirements for Railway and Urban Public Transport is as follows:
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Being one of the critical elements forming the backbone of the nations transportation system, ports handle 95% external trade by volume and 70% by value [6] [15]. While the total number of berths appears to be adequate to deal with current cargo turnover, the use of mechanized equipment for loading and unloading operations is limited, meaning that turnaround times are quite high and handling costs for general cargo and for containers are also high [1].
Furthermore, with coastline stretching, 7,517 km, India houses 13 major ports and 176 non-major ports [16]. However, of the 176 non-major ports, only 60 handle cargo [16]. Sustenance of Indias growth is dependent upon it increasing its share in world trade, which needs to be supported by its ports infrastructure. India's rapidly expanding trade requirements are expected to put immense strain on the country's existing port infrastructure, keeping in mind the expanding trade, the Planning Commission has planned to increase the tonnage throughput at the 13 major ports, i.e. to double it to 1Bn tons by 2012[1].
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Source: Maritime Agenda 2010-2020, Ministry of Shipping, Government of India; Aon Hewitt Analysis
From 2003 to 2010, traffic through major ports grew at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.45% [16]. Traffic volumes at major ports increased from 345 Mn tons per annum to 561 Mn tons per annum, an increase of 63% [15]. The Shipping Ministry expects that traffic at major ports is likely to grow at a CAGR of 8.03% from 561 Mn tons in 2009-10 to 1,215 Mn tons by 2019-20, whereas the traffic at non-major ports is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% from the present level of 289 Mn tons to 1,270 Mn tons [15]. Manpower calculations for construction and
As per the Maritime Agenda, the overall traffic at Indian ports is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11% ( Table 11). Furthermore, due to heavy volume handling and large wear and tear, it is assumed that Indian ports would require manpower similar to refurbishment, after every 10 years. Based on this assumption, it has been inferred that the Indian ports would have to be maintained at a rate of 10% of the total capacity ( Table 11). Maintenance of ports and inland waterways constitutes dredging and structural maintenance. The maintenance figures in Table 11 also include the structural maintenance statistics of the Inland waterways. Based on SME inputs and Aon Hewitt analysis, the total workforce requirement for port infrastructure construction and maintenance is expected to be 2.3 million ( an addition of 1.2 million over 2012).
maintenance of ports are based on the projections available in the Maritime Agenda 2010 - 2020 set by Ministry of shipping. The norms for port construction are based on the land distribution of Mumbai Port, i.e. Roads constitute 25%, Warehouses 40% and Industrial Infrastructure 35%.
Figure 16: 2022 Traffic and Capacity Projection for Indian Ports .
2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Million Tons
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0.3
0.3
0.3
Another, form of transport infrastructure is Inland Waterways and is highly popular in India for the movement of bulk cargo like coal, steel, cement, POL, fertilizers, food grains, stone chips, project cargo, edible oil etc. Currently, India has 14,500 km of navigable inland waterways of which 2,800 km has been developed for ferrying bulk cargo. These waterways have been catering to 55.82 Mn Tons in 2007-08 from 32.48 Mn Tons in 2003-04. Further, these waterways are divided as five national waterways namely NW 1/2/3/4/5 are spread over rivers of Ganga, Brahmaputra, Godavari and Krishna among others. [17] Two important activities that have been identified for infrastructure development in this sector namely construction of berths and jetties (terminal infrastructure) and deepening of trenches ( dredging). In order to calculate manpower for construction of Inland Waterways, projections made by the Inland
Waterways Authority of India have been considered. Going forward, Inland Waterways Authority of India plans to develop 1,700 km of Inland waterways in the country. Inland waterways have been projected to grow at 10% in terms of the volume of traffic ( Capacity in Mn Tons) that they cater to. For calculation of maintenance manpower, it has been assumed that the Inland waterways would require dredging of approximately 0.3 million tons of sediments every year. The construction of ports for inland waterways has been considered in port construction. Given the new inland waterways construction and maintenance projections, 0.54 Mn workforce would be required in 2022. This would require an additional manpower of 0.36 Mn over 2012. Based on SME inputs, the manpower projections for Ports and Inland Waterways are detailed on the next page.
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8 7 6
7.40 7.42
7.49
Manpower
5 4 3 2 1 0 Roads Railways
2012
0.18
Inland Waterways
2022
2017
Roads Manpower Requirements 7.4 Mn (2012) 7.5 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Machine Operator and Machine Driver
Railways Manpower Requirements 0.72 Mn (2012) 1.01 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Carpenter, Electrician and Machine Driver
Ports Manpower Requirements 1.1 Mn (2012) 2.3 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Carpenter, Bar Binder / Bender and Painter
Inland Waterways Manpower Requirements 0.2 Mn (2012) 0.54 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor / Foreman, Machine Operator, Technical / Engineer and Machine Driver
Airports Manpower Requirements 0.04 Mn (2012) 0.1 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Carpenter and Electrician
Total Manpower requirement for the sector is 11.4 Mn in 2022, an additional manpower of 2 Mn over requirements of 2012 The Manpower in Roads remains constant as skilled to unskilled ratio for 2012 is assumed to be 1:5 for construction and maintenance. Moving forward it has
been assumed that due to better technology adoption and productivity enhancement the ratio would fall to 1:3 Critical Skills for the sector are Machine Operator, Mason and Machine Driver
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Energy Infrastructure
Given the rapid pace of growth of the Indian Economy, the energy requirements of the country have grown exponentially. Energy generation, transmission and distribution must keep pace in terms of capacity. This has put immense pressure on the existing power infrastructure . Looking at the gravity of the situation, Indian government has taken initiatives at all ends of the power generation supply chain. Hence, initiatives have been taken for better availability of raw material (Oil and Gas), and converting this raw material into power units (electricity generation).
Further, a key part of the overall power reform strategy is to transmit and distribute power effectively and efficiently from regions of surplus to deficit areas and load centers. The government is pushing ahead aggressively with its plans to build a national power grid. This is expected to ease peak-time shortages and make better use of available generating capacity. It was also observed that more than 50% of Indias commercial energy demand is met through the country's significant coal reserves [20]. In order to protect countrys coal reserves and environmental concerns, the government is investing heavily in renewable energy utilization, especially wind energy.
Another concern for the power sector in India, are the high transmission and distribution losses. Indias electricity grid has the highest transmission and distribution losses in the world - 27% [18], which is attributed to technical losses (grids inefficiencies) and theft.
For Oil and Gas infrastructure, it was observed that most of the oil and gas pipeline infrastructure is concentrated in west and north. With south and east largely ignored, the government is now planning to develop oil and gas infrastructure for these regions. The pipeline development for the region is of importance as it would ensure ease of transportation of fuel necessary for the sustainability and development of the region.
As per Aon Hewitt analysis, the country would need to achieve 365,000 MW of power generation facilities by 2022. Further, to improve transmission infrastructure, it will have to increase the number of 400 KV substations by 55.8%, and 220 KV substations by 35.8%. In the case of gas pipelines, it is envisaged that the length of these pipelines will need to grow at a rate of 8%, and add 20,000 km by 2022.
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India is the world's 6th largest energy consumer which accounts for 3.4% of global energy consumption. In FY 2009-10 energy and utilities infrastructure accounted for 60% of total infrastructure industry value, amounting to INR 1.36 Trillion (US$ 28.8Bn) [1].
About 64.75% of the electricity consumed in India is generated by thermal power plants, 21.73% by hydroelectric power plants, 2.78% by nuclear power plants. and 10.73% by Renewable Energy Sources [21]. Further, more than 50% of India's commercial energy demand is met through the country's significant coal reserves. The country has also invested heavily in recent years in renewable energy utilization, especially wind energy.
Due to the fast-paced growth of India's economy, the country's energy demand has been growing on an average of 3.6% per annum over the past 30 years [20].
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In December 2010, the installed power generation capacity of India stood at 165,000 MW and per capita energy consumption stood at 612 kWh [22]. The total demand for electricity in India is expected to cross 950,000 MW by 2030. Looking at these estimates it is inevitable for the government to expand and add capacity in this sector [23]. Expanding electricity generating capacity will be the main driver of growth in the wider energy and utilities infrastructure sector. In order to realize economic growth potential and meet demand from an ever expanding demand base, a reliable electricity supply is crucial. This has led to ambitious targets for electricity generation, aiming at 470GW of nuclear power by 2050, 20GW of solar power by 2022 and 20GW of wind capacity by 2020. There is also a substantial build up of coal and gas fired power plants [1]. Briefly looking at the increase in power generation capacities across different five year plans, the cumulative financial year growth rate comes to be around 33%, going by the same standards the addition
capacity needed to be generated in the 13th five year plan would be about 365,000 MW [1]. The projections and overall growth rate for power
generation are based on historical analysis of Central Electricity Authority (CEA) and secondary sources. These projections and growth rate take into account the varying growths of different sources of power generation, namely, Thermal, Hydro, Nuclear and Renewable. Additionally, for calculating manpower requirements for power infrastructure construction, area norms have also been considered for each of these different sources of generation. As far as construction norms are concerned, thermal and solar power plants require similar infrastructure to be created. This aspect has been established and ratified based on Aon Hewitts primary research findings. Furthermore, for generation, it is assumed that 5% of the overall capacity would be under maintenance at any point of time. With respect to refurbishment of power plants, manpower has been discounted in certain steps, since maintenance of infrastructure would not require any major overhauls as the basic infrastructure would still exist.
Megawatts
100 80 60 40 20 2011 2012 2013 2014 Thermal 2015 2016 Hydro 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Nuclear
Renew able
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Basis
these
projections,
the
total
manpower
and towers is based on historical analysis of Central Electricity Authority (CEA)(2011) . For the purpose of calculation of manpower requirements for construction of transmission infrastructure, one of the important industry norms pertains to the installation of transmission towers, which on an average would need to installed at every 400 meters. This norm has been identified based on inputs of SMEs and Industry Experts. Additionally, to account for contingencies associated with transmission equipment failure and damage, it is projected that transmission systems would have to be maintained at a rate of 10 percent ( table 17). Based on the norms, historical analysis of CEA and SME inputs, it has been projected that a total workforce of 0.16 Mn ( an addition of 60,000 over 2012) would be required for construction and Infrastructure in 2022. maintenance of Transmission
requirement for construction and maintenance of power generation infrastructure would be around 8 million in 2022 ( an addition of 4.25 million over 2012). Apart from power generation one of the other important concerns for India are the transmission and distribution losses, with an overall length of Indias power grid of about 6.5 Mn Further, as per the World Resources Institute (WRI), Indias electricity grid has the highest transmission and distribution losses in the world a 27% [18]. This is attributed to technical losses (grids inefficiencies) and theft. The other infrastructure aspect of transmission of power is the availability of step down or step up sub stations, as per our estimations the 400 kV substations would grow at cumulative growth rate of 55.8% every five years, while as 220 kV substations would grow at approximately 39.8%. The projections and growth rate for transmission lines km[1].
Circuit Kilometers
200 150 100 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
400 kV (ckm)
220kV (ckm)
765 kV (ckm)
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759,574
1,043,254
1,430,679
In the case of physical infrastructure to support distribution of power, it is assumed that all power would be distributed through 33 kV sub-stations (added at 7.5 percent growth rate). Therefore, by 2022 around 960,000, 33kV sub-stations would have to be installed to meet the distribution requirement The projections used for calculation of manpower requirements for power distribution are based on the rate of increase of generation. It has been assumed that the bigger distribution points can be broken down into smaller values, i.e. 750 kV, 400 kV and 220 kV. The total power that would be distributed takes into account transmission and other losses incurred while transmission. Maintenance of distribution systems is assumed to be 10 percent based on transmission line maintenance . This suggests that 10 percent of the total sub-stations would be under maintenance at any point of time. (table 18)
Based on these assumptions and projections, it has been calculated that the total workforce required for installation and maintenance of power distribution systems would be 88,000 in the year 2022. Over 2012, an additional manpower of 52,000 would be required to reach this figure.
As already highlighted, the manpower projections for construction of power generation plants, transmission line and distribution sub-stations have been arrived at using inputs from subject matter experts, and are as follows:
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42
Over
the
period
2009-10
petroleum
product
consumption were 138.196 MMT, an increase of 3.60% over consumption of 133.4 MMT during 2008-09, according to the Ministry of Petroleum. Gas consumption on the other hand is set to rise from an estimated 63 BCM in 2010 to 110 BCM, with domestic supply up from around 45 BCM in 2010 to at least 70 BCM by 2014.[24] Over the period 20002009, oil and gas consumption grew at a 5% CAGR to reach 184 MMT. Petroleum products and natural gas together contributed 2.8% (US$ 30.8 Bn) to the countrys total gross domestic product (GDP (US$ 1089.3 Bn) in 200809. Domestic gas supplies are projected to increase from 163 Mn metric standard cubic meters per day (MMSCMD) in 200910 to 285.4 MMSCMD by 2012. Refining capacity is projected to increase from 184.4 Mn metric tons per annum (MMTPA) in 200910 to 241 MMTPA by 2012.
[24]
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Gas Pipeline
Gas consumption in India has outpaced that in Asia, at current domestic prices, gas is an economical fuel compared to its substitutes. The balance need to be produced by alternatives like coal and gas. Furthermore, fertilizer industry, which plays a pivotal role in determining the output of the agricultural sector, is also gas dependent for production.
Years. The next expansion phase of gas pipelines has been envisaged in the South and North-East to drive Indias growth.
Oil Pipeline
Oil pipelines can be classified into two, i.e. product and crude pipelines. According to the economic survey of India (2010) Product and crude pipelines in India for 2010 currently stands at 11159 and 7648 km
Natural gas transportation infrastructure in India is 10,800 km as in 2010, capable of carrying 270 MMSCD [25]. However, most of the gas pipeline infrastructure is concentrated in west and north while the south and east have largely been left untouched, hence regional imbalances in gas supply are there across the country. The challenge for an emerging market like India is to develop gas pipeline infrastructure in all parts of the country, including in remote areas, in tandem with increasing supplies and demand. Based on Aon Hewitts primary research, it was ascertained that gas pipeline is projected to grow at 8% till 2022, i.e. an addition of 16,000 km in the next 10
respectively [24]. Product pipelines have capacities of 65.9 MMTPA as against the demand of 138.2 MMTPA for 2010 [25]. The deficit between the demand and the pipeline capacities provides the potential for development of pipelines in the near future. Currently the deficit in transportation is being catered to by the railways, which is an inefficient and less cost effective alternative. However, for crude pipelines, the projected growth in the near future is much slower ( table 22), as more refineries are coming up in costal region, based on Aon Hewitts primary research. Hence, demand for laying crude oil pipeline for transportation from source to refineries would be much lower.
Figure 20: Additional Oil and Gas Pipelines tocons be tructed constructed Additional Pipeline to be
3000
2500
2000
Kilometers
1500
1000
500
0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Gas pipeline
P roduct P ipeline
Crude P ipeline
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growth rates have been ascertained on the basis of primary research ( inputs of SMEs and Industry Experts). Additionally, to account for contingencies associated with oil and gas infrastructure ( both pipelines and storage facilities) damage, it is projected that infrastructure would have to be maintained at a rate of 10 percent of those laid out ( table 22 and 23). Based on primary research and Aon Hewitt Analysis, it has been projected that a total workforce of 0.43 Mn ( an addition of 0.18 Mn over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of Oil and Gas Pipeline Infrastructure in 2022. Furthermore, the construction and maintenance of Storage Infrastructure would require a total workforce of 28,000 in the year 2022 an additional manpower of 11,000 over 2012..
With 5.5% growth envisaged for oil and 5% for gas consumption, 23 MMT of oil storage and 26 MMT of Gas storage would be required by FY 2022 ( table 23). With an average tank having a capacity of 0,07 MMT, 320 storage tanks for oil storage and 370 gas storage would be required to be constructed by FY 2022 to cater to the growing demand of the Indian economy. For calculation of manpower requirements for oil and gas infrastructure construction, the projections and
1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Apart from pipelines and storage, one of the other important elements of Oil and Gas Industry are the Fuel (Petrol) Stations. Petrol Stations , in India, are expected to grow at a rate of 7 percent. At this rate, around 5500 Petrol Stations would need to be constructed in 2022. These projections and growth rates are based on the current planned petrol stations addition on the existing base, and statistics from Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas (2011). For calculation of manpower requirements for petrol stations, the norms have been established based on secondary sources (Indias Town and Country Planning organization ) . Based on secondary research findings, one petrol station would be required for a population of 15,000 people (urban / rural) . Quite in line with the construction and maintenance of Oil and Gas Infrastructure, the maintenance of petrol station is also assumed to be 10 percent of the total stations that exist. Based on the derived norms and Aon Hewitt Analysis, it has been projected that a total workforce of 86,000 ( an addition of 42,000 over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of petrol stations in 2022. During the analysis, it was specifically found that Radiographers is a key job trade used in the Oil and Gas industry only. They are responsible for detecting cracks in the pipeline and storage tanks using radiographer techniques.
product demand over recent years. As highlighted earlier, in order to meet the increasing demand of energy, specifically of petroleum products, a strong need has been felt to increase the refining capacity of the country. The refinery industry for the past six years has registered a CAGR of 8%. Hence, it has been assumed that the same growth rate would be sustained going forward and projections have been made accordingly. As of June, 2011 there are a total of 21 refineries in the country comprising 17 (seventeen) in the Public Sector, 3 (three) in the Private Sector and 1 (one) as a joint venture of BPCL & Oman Oil Company. The country is not only self sufficient in refining capacity for its domestic consumption but also exports petroleum products substantially. The total refining capacity in the country as in 2011 is 193.386 MMTPA [54]. Based on the projections, the refining throughput for 2022 would be 516 MMTPA with an average capacity of 9.7 MMTPA per refinery. The construction and maintenance aspect takes into account all the infrastructural requirements associated with refineries. Additionally, to account for contingencies associated with infrastructural damage, it is projected that refineries would have to be maintained at a rate of 10 percent of those set up. Based on the projections and inputs from SMEs and Industry experts, the total manpower required for construction and maintenance would be 0.97 Mn in 2022 ( an addition requirement of 0.53 Mn over 2012 ). Required manpower to construct the infrastructure based on SME inputs is as follows.
Refineries
India has experienced significant growth in petroleum
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Manpower (Millions)
1.0 0.8 0.65 0.6 0.43 0.4 0.2 0.0 Refineries Oil & Gas Pipelines
2012
0.43 0.25 0.30 0.16 0.10 0.14 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.04 0.09 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.03
Transmission
Distribution
2017
Petrol Stations
2022
Storage
9.0 8.0
7.94
Manpower (Millions)
7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Generation 3.69 5.43
Refineries Manpower Requirements 0.43 Mn (2012) 0.97 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor/Foreman, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Oil & Gas Pipelines Manpower Requirements 0.26 Mn (2012) 0.43 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor/ Foreman, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Oil & Gas Storage Manpower Requirements 0.02 Mn (2012) 0.03 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Welder, Machine Operator, Technical / Engineer and Grinder
Transmission Manpower Requirements 0.1 Mn (2012) 0.16 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason and Erection Gang
Distribution Manpower Requirements 0.04 Mn (2012) 0.09 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Supervisor / Foreman and Technical / Engineer
Generation Manpower Requirements 3.7 Mn (2012) 7.9 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Welder and Painter
Petrol Station Manpower Requirements 0.04 Mn (2012) 0.09 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Carpenter, Painter and Electrician The overall critical skills for the sector are Supervisor / Foreman, Electrician, Welder, Technical / Engineer and Mason . The unique skill to the sector is the Radiographer uses in Oil & Gas sector and erection gang in transmission lines.
Total Manpower requirement for the sector is 9.7 Mn in 2022, an additional manpower of 5.1 Mn over requirements of 2012 Electricity generation commands manpower requirements. majority of the
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Telecom Infrastructure
India is the second largest telecom market in the world, and is also among the fastest growing mobile market globally. The total number of telephone connections (both wireless and wired) has increased on a CAGR of 26%, going from 142 Mn (in 2006) to 562 Mn (in 2009)
[26].
The increasing growth rate in number of connections is mainly attributed to the high growth in mobile phone connections which was further enhanced by market competition and lower tariffs. Further, with the advent of new technologies such as 3G and BWA (broadband wireless access) telecom is set to be a key driver for growing Indian GDP.
Low handset costs, commodization of services and low tariffs in mobile telephones have triggered a negative growth in fixed line connections. Therefore, the number of fixed line connections in India has been decreasing at a rate of about 2% [26].
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Table 31: Projected Telecom tower Infrastructure Construction and Capacity Maintenance
Tower Infrastructure 2012 2017 2022
867,770,000
1,055,677,000
1,154,015,000
406,885
748,774
964,486
While looking at infrastructure requirements of fixed line telephony in India, it was observed that telecom operators provide fixed lines more to enterprise customers bundled with IP leased lines and broadband services. These leased lines and broadband services need to be supported by a fiber optic backbone. Further, the other major attribute enhancing fixed line telephony is the increase in rural tele density. The Indian broadband consumer base has been increasing at a rate of 66% and is currently pegged at 19.50 Mn connections [26]. It is estimated that for the next 5 years (till FY 2015) these connections will increase at a rate of 50%, and will continue to grow at 20% thereafter till FY 2022 [26]. As per our estimates around 500,000 km of fiber optic is needed to support 160 Mn broadband subscribers . Assuming the same norms, it is estimated that India will have to lay approximately 1.2 Mn km of fiber optic cables to support its forecasted 354 Mn subscribers ( by 2022). Estimating maintenance manpower required for
While estimating the telecom tower infrastructure in India, it was observed that these towers support GSM, CDMA and 3g services in the telecom space. With network sharing and outsourcing of tower operations and construction, it was found that network infrastructure in urban areas has almost saturated. Therefore, the entire focus of building and installing telecom towers would be in the rural space. It was estimated that with growing wireless
connections, the number of towers required to support GSM, 3G and wimax services, would grow from 15% (till 2013), and then continue growing at about 4% (till 2017). The number of towers required are as shown in table ----. Further, looking at the manpower requirement for maintenance of tower infrastructure, it was assumed that a certain number of personnel will be posted by tower companies to maintain civil infrastructure. This deployed staff, per tower was accounted and estimated for. Based on SME inputs, the manpower requirements for the Telecom sector are as follows:
broadband infrastructure, it is assumed that maintenance functions mainly involve, joining and refurbishing of wire joints. Therefore, for maintenance, only certain job trades will be required in smaller numbers.
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800.00 700.00
Number of Connections
600000 300.00 200.00 100.00 0.00 20072008 2009 20102011 2012 20132014 20152016 2017 20182019 2020 20212022 Wired (Millions) Telephone (Millions)
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis
400000 200000 0
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8 7 6
7.63
Manpower
5 4 3 2 1 0 Tower Infrastructure
2012 2017
3.07
1.08
1.38
0.75
0.65 Broadband
2022
Towers Infrastructure Manpower Requirements 1.07 Mn (2012) 0.75 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Supervisors and Blacksmith (Mainly for Erection of towers)
Broadband Manpower Requirements 0.64 Mn (2012) 7.6 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor, Machine Operator and Electrician (Wire Jointers)
Total Manpower requirement for the sector is 8.38 Mn, with the broadband sector governing the majority of the requirements. In the case of tower infrastructure, Blacksmith is a key skill that dominates the construction activity, as they are deeply involved in the tower erection activity.
For broadband infrastructure, a new trade observed was that of wire jointers, who are responsible for making the end connections once the wire is laid. Finally, taking a broader view of the telecom sector, it was found that there is a steep increase in manpower number ranging from 1.7 Mn (in 2012) to 8.38 Mn (in 2022).
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A study by Ministry of Urban Development, Government of India, found that 23 Mn children below the age of 14 in urban India are at risk of diseases borne from poor sanitation [28]. The challenge of sanitation in Indian cities is acute. With poor sewerage networks, a large number of the urban poor still depend on public toilets. Many public toilets have no water supply while the outlets of many others with water supply are not connected to the citys sewerage system. The problem of sanitation is much worse in urban areas than in rural due to increasing congestion and density in cities.
The same study found that 8 Mn children in urban areas at risk from poor water supply [28]. Inadequate coverage, intermittent supplies, low pressure, and poor quality are some of the most prominent features of water supply in the cities of India. Even when water supply is adequate, poor maintenance and inadequate replacement lead to technical losses in the distribution network.
Furthermore, to add to the chaotic management of cities, the management and disposal of solid waste generated in Indian cities leaves a great deal to be desired. Although the generation of solid waste is at much lower rates than in most countries, neither households nor municipalities in India practices segregation of biodegradable waste. Public awareness on the benefits of segregation is low too. The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) has estimated that by 2047, waste generation in Indian cities will increase five-fold to touch 260 Mn ton per year [28]. A study by the World Bank (2006) puts Indias annual generation of municipal solid waste in the range of 35 to 45 Mn ton, amounting to about 100,000 to 120,000 metric ton every day [29].
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In India, public utilities use water pipelines as the primary method of water distribution from water treatment plants. The quality of water distribution services can be determined by the length of pipelines, level of coverage as well as the water carrying capacity of the pipelines. Even though India is dotted with rivers and has adequate rainfall, most of the cities in India do not provide adequate water to the populace as per the norms specified by either JNNURM, the World Bank or the Ministry of Urban Development, Government of India. The latest norms devised by the Manual on Water Supply and Treatment by Central Public Health and Environmental Engineering Organization (CPHEEO), Ministry of Urban Development and Poverty Alleviation in 1999 are provided in the table on the next page. These norms are now outdated due to the high growth rates experienced by major cities in India, and keeping in mind the future growth rate expected in these cities.
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Source: High Powered Expert Committee (HPEC) for Estimating the Investment Requirements for Urban Infrastructure Services
Currently, the water supply is not up to the mark, with small periods of water availability coupled with low pressure at the supply end and poor quality. Another shortcoming is the fact that supply coverage does not cover the entire populace, with most cities unable to provide public water distribution utilities to a significant percentage of the population. In order to draw projections, it has been assumed that 137,000 km of pipelines existed in 2010, based on the growth rates envisaged by JNNURM in its reports on infrastructure state of various cities in India. A sample of 5 cities was drawn for projections out of 47 cities in India with a population greater than 1 Mn in 2010. For these five cities, we have used updated norms specified in JNNURM city reports rather than the norms showcased above. The Ministry of Urban Development, Government of India specifies guidelines for the optimum water supply to be administered to cities of different size in order to meet requirements of the populace in these cities.
Based on these guidelines, Aon Hewitt projected that the length of pipelines should grow at 6% y-o-y till 2022 in order to meet water supply requirements. As for maintenance, it is assumed 5% of the total pipeline length would be under maintenance in any year, this is to account for contingencies associated with water pipeline infrastructure damage. The required manpower in 2022 for the sub-sector is 6.4 Mn including maintenance (2.8 Mn additional manpower required over 2012). The total pipeline required each year is shown in the following graph. Further, based on the norms specified, inputs from SME and the resulting requirements each year, we have projected manpower requirements for water pipeline construction till 2022. These manpower numbers have been detailed skill wise in the table on the following page.
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300 250
Kilometers
Thousands
16 14 12
200 150 100 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
10 8 6 4 2 0
Pipeline to be Maintained
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With 2.3% of worlds land area and 17.5% of world population, as stated earlier, India commands only 4% of the worlds water resources [28]. For 2010, the water demand was estimated to be 710 BCM (Billion cubic meters), and is projected to increase by 1.2% annually
[28].
the
The main drivers behind the projected increase are increase in domestic and industrial water
consumption. Water in India is very unevenly distributed throughout the country, based on this fact per capita water supply also varies widely ranging from 37 lpcd (liters per capita daily) to 298 lpcd for limited duration [28]. The duration of water supply in Indian cities varies from 1-6 hours in a day. Moreover, only 64% of the urban population is covered by individual connections and standposts. In addition to the quantity of water supplied, it has been estimated that 20-40% of water is lost through leakages and wastage in Indian cities [28]. Furthermore tapping of
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Maintenance of total area under Water Treatment Plant at 10% (sq ft)
additional resources has been hampered by the fact that increased developmental activities such as urbanization and industrialization have lead to generation of more and more wastewater which has contaminated the available sources of fresh water. Hence, to ensure availability of consumable water for the masses, water needs to be treated. Water treatment plant serve as a critical bridge in ensuring that water from all the sources is worthy of being used by the countrys population. To draw projection of water treatment plants required in the major cities in the country, Aon Hewitt worked with a sample of 5 cities and extrapolating it for 47 cities with population greater than 1 Mn. Based on the analysis of the 47 cities, the requirement for 2012 is estimated to be 2,000 MLD of treated water, which would more than double by 2022 to 4,100 MLD. Furthermore, the Working Group of the National Commission for integrated Water Resources Development Plan, has suggested the norms for water supply as 220 lpcd for urban areas and 150 lpcd for
rural areas. Based on the analysis, it is assumed that 1800 MLD of water is treated in 2010 and growth rate of 6% is required to meet the demand of the increasing population. For the manpower calculations for maintenance of Water treatment plant infrastructure, it has been assumed that the area to be under maintenance would be 10% of the total built up area. Not all steps involved in new Water treatment plant construction are considered. Certain steps have been omitted and discounting of manpower made in certain steps, as the basic infrastructure would exist and only minor repair / maintenance would be required The manpower requirements have been projected keeping in mind the growing needs of the country leading to increased construction of water treatment plants. Manpower requirement in 2022 is 0.43 Mn (0.24 Mn additional manpower required over 2012). These have been based on input from SMEs and are as follows:
4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Sewage Pipelines
Sewage treatment is dependant on sewage collection as well as transportation to the treatment plants. However, in India, a significant proportion of the sewage (>50%) is not collected or left untreated, and flows into rivers and other water bodies [28].
A major component of the sewage treatment and disposal are sewage pipelines. These pipelines are used to transfer sewage from homes / industries / commercial establishments to the sewage treatment and disposal systems. Ideally, these pipelines should begin at the sewage creation spots and through multiple transfers, end at sewage treatment plants. However, most of these flow in to open outlets, known as nallahs that eventually empty into water bodies. These nallahs are found in most of the cities in India, and cause many water-borne diseases found to affect the poor that are found living near these.
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The Ministry of Urban Development states that sewer facilities should cover 100% of the population as well as commercial establishments and other sewage generating places. This is required in order to ensure that there is no emptying of sewage into the neighborhood or into the nearby water bodies. Based on these guidelines, Aon Hewitt projected that the length of pipelines should grow at 7.3% y-o-y till 2022 in order to meet sewage pipeline requirements. As for maintenance, it is assumed 10% of the total pipeline length would be under maintenance in any year, this is to account for contingencies associated with sewage pipeline infrastructure damage. In order to achieve these targets, the required pipeline length to be constructed and maintained in the near future can be seen from the graph below:
In order to draw projections, we assumed that 33,400 km of sewage pipelines existed in 47 cities with 1 Mn plus population in 2010, based on the JNNURM reports available for various cities in India. A sample of 5 cities was drawn for projections out of 47 cities in India with a population greater than 1 Mn in 2010. Based on the norms specified, inputs from SME and the resulting requirements each year, we have projected manpower requirements for sewage pipeline construction till 2022 The required manpower in 2022 for the sub-sector is 4.7 Mn including maintenance (2.5 Mn additional manpower required over 2012). These manpower numbers have been detailed skill wise in the table on the following page.
Thousands 100 80
Kilometers
60 40 20 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Pipeline to be Maintained
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Storm water drainage system refers to the natural or artificial removal of surface and sub-surface water from an area. Many agricultural soils need drainage to improve production or to manage water supplies. As per the JNNURM estimates, the budget to improve the condition of storm water drainage systems in India, is to the tune of US$ 42.45 Bn [28]. Improvement of water drainage system would include widening of drains and structures to prevent waste dumping, laying of pipeline with pipe support bridges/culverts, catch pits, manholes, outfall structures with gates, and covers for the drain. A number of problems/issues exist with the current drainage system also including unfinished or uneven lining, uncovered drains, blocked and choked drains. This condition is worst for rural areas where most of these drains, are either absent or inadequate. The respective municipal bodies of various state governments fail to maintain and clean these drains, making the existing infrastructure ineffective.
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4,491
11,217
28,923
Further,
storm
water
drainage
systems
are
However, the construction would still be inadequate for catering to Indias infrastructural requirements. Therefore, it has been proposed that the maintenance aspect involve construction of new storm water drains. This aspect would aid in filling the vast gap that currently exists.
fundamentally not suitable or designed for carrying sewage or industrial waste, which form a major portion of the drainage material, especially in cities like Mumbai and Delhi. According to the Ministry of Urban Development, less than 20 percent of the Indian road network is covered by storm water drains (in 2010). Further, as per the JNNURM services standards, the country aims to achieve 100% drain network for all roads across all cities in India, by 2031. As per Aon Hewitt analysis, 390,000 km of storm water drains are required to be constructed in India, by 2022 to meet the requirements of 47 cities taken for analysis. For ensuring optimum storm water drain coverage, it is assumed that new road construction would aid in addition of storm water drains. Hence, to moderate the storm water drainage systems growth, it is proposed that storm water drainage be constructed at the same rate as that of new roads (4%).
For 2010, it s assumed that 30,400 km of storm water drains exist, this forms the basis of our projections. Moving forward, it is assumed that new construction would grow at 4% and maintenance at 10%. The required manpower based on the above stated assumption for 2022 is 3.9 Mn (2.7 Mn additional manpower required over 2012). Further, based on the norms specified, inputs from SME and the resulting requirements each year, we have projected manpower requirements for Storm Water Drain construction till 2022. These manpower numbers have been detailed skill wise in the table on the following page.
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Kilometers
250 200 150 100 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Solid waste management in India leaves a great deal to be desired. Waste collection coverage ranges from 70% to 90% in major metropolitan cities and less than 50% in smaller cities [28]. Of the solid waste collected less than 30% is segregated, scientific disposal / treatment of waste is used minimally [28]. Furthermore, the current disposal practices are highly unsatisfactory, i.e. open dumping at sites and burning. The practice has led to contamination of groundwater and surface water through leachate and pollution of air through unregulated burning of waste. It is estimated that the annual increase in overall quantity of solid waste in Indias cities will be at a rate of 5% per annum. With large part of Indias waste being biodegradable (60%), opportunities for composting and utilizing solid waste for more beneficial use is immense [28].
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Another avenue that provides immense opportunity is sewage / waste water treatment, with only 46% of urban population having access to sanitation services; there exists a vast gap in municipal services [28]. Moreover, only 12% of rural residents have similar access [28]. The higher percentages for urban sanitation have largely been due to private initiatives at the household level and due to high concentrations of household toilets in the larger urban metropolitan cities. However, the situation in urban areas is of concern as congestion in the cities / towns can make containment of any contagious disease translate into an outbreak or an epidemic as result of poor sanitation. The chaotic mess in urban India is further aggravated due to lack of sewage systems and wastewater management plants sufficient to meet the needs of the growing urban population. In many cities the sewer systems are in very bad condition and need extensive maintenance or replacement. The resultant being, only 21 % of the waste generated is treated [28]. With a sample of 5 cities and extrapolating it for 47 cities with population greater than 1 Mn, the solid waste generated in India is estimated to be 88,000 tons per day for the year 2010. As for sewage generated, for the same sample, it stands at 32,000 MLD for 2010. With dwindling resources, and increasing population, recycling of waste seems to be the only viable option to ensure continued sustenance of urban lifestyle and economic growth. To put things in perspective, 4861
out of 5161 cities / towns do not have even a partial sewage network [28]. Hence, concentration on development of Solid waste management system and Sewage / Waste Water treatment plants should be of prime essence. With increasing sewage and solid waste, requirement of treatment plants is of prime essence. The projected growth rate for plant construction is assumed to be at 20% y-o-y till 2022. The norms for construction are based on actual functioning sewage and solid waste treatment plants in India. Moreover, to ensure smooth operations and proper sanitation for the country maintenance norms of 10% of the total built up area have been applied. For the manpower calculations for maintenance, not all steps involved in new solid waste and sewage treatment plant construction are considered. Certain steps have been omitted and discounting of manpower made in certain steps, as the basic infrastructure would exist and only minor repair / maintenance would be required. The manpower requirement for the sector basis construction and maintenance projection is 0.9 Mn in 2022 (0.37 Mn additional manpower required over 2012). The following table provides the manpower requirements for this sector, projected on the basis of SME inputs.
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Figure 29: Solid Waste Sewage generated y-o-y Solid Wasteand & Sew age Generation Projections
Thousands 180 160 140 Thousands 50 45
120 100
35 30 25
80 20 60 40 20 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Solid w aste Generation Sew age Generation 15 10 5 0
40
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Irrigation Infrastructure
Even 60 years after independence, India is still primarily an agriculture based economy. Agriculture is also a major contributor (over 20%) to the GDP, and steady growth in agriculture helped India grow even during the recent global recession (2008-10).
India has had a fair amount of success in improving agricultural output. Most of it was observed during the Green Revolution, where improvement of irrigation systems was given priority. Several dams were constructed and an extensive canal infrastructure was developed to take water to the fields. Large canal systems such as the Upper Ganga Canal and the Indira Gandhi Canal were developed to take spare water from the major rivers to the areas (such as a Rajasthan) where its required.
The following table lists the potential available and currently tapped through different types of projects (dams, canals and check dams):
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Dam Infrastructure
India has the third highest number of dams after the US and China. The primary difference between the three countries is the size of the dams, with very few dams with a height greater than 150m constructed in India as compared to multiple such dams in the US and China [30]. Even other countries that are rich in water resources are constructing mega dams to capture the opportunity provided by these dams. Given these factors, most dams in India are now designed to mitigate these to the greatest extent. As a result, these dams primarily serve irrigation purposes rather than hydro power purposes and their height is therefore limited.
From Table x, we can see that there is potential for ~15.5 Mn hectares to be irrigated through dams and the accompanying canal network. Several hundred dams are already being constructed to tap this potential. However, given the delays mentioned above, the gestation period for these is quite high, and will take at least a decade to materialize.
There are three primary reasons behind our inability to realize the true potential of our water resources. First, most of the dams were designed in the period just after independence. Of the 4300 odd large dams (classified as having a height greater than 15m) in India, only 300 were present before Independence [30]. More than half of these were constructed in the period 1970 90 (aiding Green Revolution and beyond) [30]. In hindsight, given the population explosion and the resulting requirements, these projects had a lower scope than what could have been constructed.
As a result, we believe dam construction will continue but at a slower pace, and the dams constructed will be of a lower height, resulting in greater investment per hectare irrigated and lower irrigated area/dam than what can be achieved.
Second, dam construction itself has slowed down due to environmental concerns and problems in land acquisition.
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Canal Infrastructure
Aon Hewitt analysis foresees that new canals need to developed at the rate of 2.1% per year to meet future requirements, including canal infrastructure built to support upcoming dams. However, this would still leave a significant percentage of the net irrigable area without irrigation facilities, providing future opportunities.
At the same time, canal networks have grown slowly, with many of the older canals falling into disrepair. As a result, the area irrigated by canals has fluctuated quite widely (droughts in different regions have also played a part), and from a high of 17.44 Mn hectares in 1999-00, fell to a low of 14.01 Mn hectares in 2002-03, before rebounding to 16.60 Mn hectares in 2008-09 [30].
As per Aon Hewitt analysis, India needs to focus on new canal construction as well as redevelopment of the older canals. This has to include both the operational canals as well as those that have fallen into disrepair, in order to increase the longevity of the canal systems.
On the basis of the above specified rate and taking a base of 114,000 km of canals in 2008 (Aon Hewitt Analysis), the canal length to be constructed by 2022 would be an additional ~35,000 km.
Canal required y-o-y (km) Figure 30: Length of Length Canals required by end of each year (km)
Thousands 180 160 140
120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis
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dangerously. In our opinion, check dams can be used as alternatives by harvesting rain water and ensuring that the water that would normally run-off is used rather than using ground water. We have calculated the number of check dams required to be constructed every year by defining a goal of replacing 20% of ground water use by the use of check dams, as well as irrigating the remaining potential by small projects through check dams. According to Aon Hewitt analysis, a total of 164,000 check dams would be required to be constructed by 2022, and the yearly projection is given in the figure below.
To cater to the gap left by canals and dams, the other infrastructure that can cater to irrigation needs is Check dams. These are permanent or temporary structures constructed by local organizations / citizens coming together to harvest rainwater or surface water runoff. These structures are basically small barriers of cement, concrete and stones constructed across the direction of water flow. The water flowing may be a seasonal river, a shallow stream or even surface water flowing during the rainy season.
Water collected in dams can be used by the means of Lift Irrigation, wherein electrically operated pumps are used to lift water to the nearby farmlands. As per research conducted by the Central Water Commission, ground water usage in India is lowering the water table
Check Dam Construction every year Figure 31: Number of Check Dams required to be constructed every year
20,000
16,000
12,000
8,000
4,000
0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Manpower calculations for construction and maintenance of check dams and canals is based on inputs received from SMEs (subject matter experts). The projections and maintenance numbers have been drawn in consultation with industry experts and organizations. The maintenance of the check dams, due to high wear and rear is assumed to be 20% of the total number that would exist. As for canals, it is assumed to be 10% of the total length. For maintenance manpower calculations, not all steps involved in check dam and canal construction
are considered. Certain steps get omitted due to the existence of basic check dam and canal infrastructure . Given the new Check dam and Canal construction and maintenance projections, 4.8Mn workforce would be required in 2022 an addition of 1.6 Mn workforce over 2012. Based on these projections as well as inputs from SME, the manpower requirements for construction of irrigation infrastructure are provided on the following pages.
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6.4
Manpower (Millions)
4.8 3.2
4.7 3.9
0.2
0.3 0.4
Sewage Pipeline
Water Treatment
2017
Water Pipeline Manpower Requirements 3.6 Mn (2012) 6.4 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor / Foreman, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Irrigation Manpower Requirements 3.2 Mn (2012) 4.8 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Carpenter, Bar Binder/ Bender and Machine Driver
Sewage Pipeline Manpower Requirements 2.2 Mn (2012) 4.6 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor / Foreman, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Storm Water Drainage Manpower Requirements 1.2 Mn (2012) 3.9 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Supervisor / Foreman, Machine Operator and Mason
Solid Waste Manpower Requirements 0.5 Mn (2012) 0.9 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Welder and Painter
Water Treatment Manpower Requirements 0.2 Mn (2012) 0.43 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Painter
Total Manpower requirement for the sector is 21.1 Mn in 2022, an additional manpower of 10.2 Mn over requirements of 2012,
The overall critical skills for the sector are Supervisor / Foreman, Bar Binder / Bender, Machine Operator and Technical / Engineer
Water pipelines, Sewage Pipelines and Irrigation commanding majority of the manpower requirements
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Social Infrastructure
The 7.7% GDP growth witnessed by India in the last year follows several years of high growth (7 10% growth every year) [1]. This has resulted in sustained investment across industries, with the government investing heavily in infrastructure to aid growth. However, successive governments have overlooked the development of social infrastructure in the country. With population growth expected to be at 1.36% year-on-year, investment in critical social sectors to support the burgeoning economy have been minimal[31]. Education and healthcare, the two important aspects for people development and health to ensure manpower supply for the economy, have seen investments at around 1% of the GDP over the past few years[1]. The impact of overlooking the social infrastructure sector can be judged by the skill shortage being faced and malnutrition coming down by just 1%, adversely impacting the available manpower.
Moreover, after the first green revolution the government seems to have lost the foresight of continuing with the same to support the Indian population. Experiencing drought and fall in production, high food inflation has been the norm for the past year. Investment in agricultural activities to support production has been low. With, cold storage and post harvest warehousing almost being stagnant, wastage of fruits and vegetables and food grains has seen the country lose around 15% of its produce[32]. Fertilizer production too has seen little impact of the economic growth, with production almost stagnating.
However, waking up to the fact that 8% GDP growth, would be difficult to sustain by ignoring the social infrastructure, the government is targeting investing 5% of the GDP in the sector through the PPP model [1].
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Education Infrastructure is of utmost importance to the growth and development of education in India. The sector has mainly been funded by, the central and state governments.
India has made progress in terms of increasing primary and secondary enrollment rate coupled with expanding literacy to approximately two thirds of the population.
Further, India's education system is often cited as one of the main contributors to the economic rise of India. However quality, penetration and supply of educational institutions remains a concern. Filling the gap for supply is private education, which merely accounts for 5% of market share, but in terms of value was estimated to be worth US$ 40 Bn in 2008 and is estimated to increase to US$ 68 Bn by 2012 [33].
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To accommodate this school going population, it requires a strong educational infrastructure in order to keep pace with the developing economy and provide it with quality manpower. The table defines the respective infrastructure clusters within the education infrastructure space and the basic unit of measurement used to define the same. The present numbers of respective clusters are also mentioned for your reference.
tertiary and higher education (World Bank Statistics). In the case of primary/junior basic schools, currently we have more than 785,000 schools
[31].
enrollment ratio for the primary school segment is about 89%[world bank] or 140.3 Mn in absolute terms[31]. Assuming a 1% y-o-y increase in enrollment ratio and 1.36% y-o-y in our total population we estimate the primary enrolment for 2022 to be 193.04 Mn [31]. It was also estimated that about 86 sq. ft. of educational infrastructure space needs to be developed per student. Hence, a total of 16,600 Mn sq. ft. of infrastructure space will be needed to cater the demands of primary students
Primary Enrollment
102% 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Enrolment Ratio (Increase @1%) Population (Million)
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis
1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Primary Enrolment at Projected 1% Increase
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Secondary Enrollment
1600.000 1400.000 1200.000 1000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 200.000 0.000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Secondary Enrolment Population (Million)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Similarly in the case of secondary education the current enrollment ratios is about 57% or 95.30 Mn in absolute terms [31]. Assuming a 2% y-o-y increase in the secondary enrollment rate and taking the same assumption of population increase we have estimated the total secondary enrolment for 2022 to be 178.14 Mn. Further, taking 90 sq. ft. of infrastructure space per secondary student , we estimate the total space for catering to secondary enrollments to be about 16032 Mn sq. ft in 2022.
In the case of tertiary education the current enrollment is about 13.48% or 7.87 Mn in absolute terms which is expected to increase at a rate of 6% per year[31]. Therefore, the total enrollment towards the end of 2022 would be 9.64 Mn. The infrastructure space per student to cater to this segment is estimated at 100 sq. ft. per student. Hence, the total infrastructure space of 964 Mn sq. ft. needs to be available in 2022.
120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Population For Tertiary enrolment (Million)
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis
Percentage Enrollment
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For Higher education space the current enrollment is 12.40% or 112.90 Mn, which is estimated to increase 30% by FY 2022 [31]. The total enrollment on FY 2022 would be 41 Mn and would require additional infrastructure space of 6201 Mn sq. Ft. Here we assume 150 sq. ft. of infrastructure space to be. developed per student enrolled for higher education. The growth percentages in each of these education verticals is estimated by government predictions and historical analysis. The estimations for required manpower have been done after estimating the total educational infrastructure space required across different segments and taking inputs from SMEs.
Further, in order to estimate education infrastructure to be developed, space needed per sq ft. is considered. For example, 86 sq. ft. for primary student is used in estimating total developed. education infrastructure to be
For calculating workforce required for maintenance of infrastructure, blue collared workforce involved in infrastructure, maintenance of one unit is considered and replicated. Based on the norms, historical analysis and SME inputs, it has been projected that a total workforce of 5.8 Mn ( an addition of 1.54 Mn over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of Education Infrastructure in 2022. Required manpower to construct the education infrastructure based on SME inputs is as follows.
Higher Population
35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Population (Million) Population For Higher enrolment (Million)
Source: Aon Hewitt Analysis
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Hospital Infrastructure
India has a current population of 1.15 Bn, growing at 1.36% annually [31]. With a burgeoning population, Indias healthcare system ranks low amongst other countries, with just 0.9 beds per thousand people [34]. The current scenario can be attributed to the declining public investments and expenditures in the health sector since 1992, which has weakened the public health sector. With 1.1 Mn beds and 15,000 hospitals, Indias need to add 100,000 beds annually for next 30 years to meet the global WHO standards of at least 3 beds per 1000 people [35].
With rising population and income levels, preference for private health services over public services is augmenting the growth of the healthcare delivery market. The healthcare delivery market in India is at a nascent stage with high demand and growth potential, driven by a surge in the number of treatments and the rise in cost per treatment.
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Healthcare is emerging as one of the most progressive and largest service sectors in India with an expected GDP spend of 8% by 2012 from 5.5% in 2009 [36]. As per Aon Hewitts research findings, Indias healthcare infrastructure sector is projected to grow at 5.8% [35]. To meet the WHO standards growth rate of 12% is required. The impact on the varying growth rates can be seen in terms of the bed availability projections as compared to the bed requirement projections for the population, as shown In the below figure. While estimating number of hospitals required, the population growth rate is considered to be around 1.36%, which is further translated into average beds per person. Based on our research, the area required per bed is about 250 sq. ft. In order to calculate the norms for manpower estimation, it is assumed that the hospital
has all the necessary facilities to provide world class healthcare. Hence, calculating the derived norms, takes into account the basic and specialty infrastructure required to deliver healthcare to the Indian population. For estimating maintenance of hospital infrastructure, manpower estimation takes into account activities involved in maintaining building infrastructure. Based on this aspect as well as inputs from SME, the manpower estimations for hospital infrastructure were arrived at. According to Aon Hewitts primary research findings and analysis, it has been projected that a total workforce of around 0.2 Mn ( an addition of 83,000 over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of hospital structure in 2022. The detailed manpower estimations are presented as follows :
Figure 37: Beds Created vs. Beds Required Beds created Vs Beds Required
Thousands 4500 4000 3500 3000 Total Beds at 5.8% grow th rate
Nos of Beds
2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Years Required Number of Beds as per WHO norms
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India has emerged as one of the world's top ten countries in industrial production as per the 'Yearbook of Industrial Statistics 2010 published by UNIDO (United Nations Industrial Development Organization). Surpassing Canada, Brazil and Mexico, India has reached the 9th position from the 12th position it held in 2008 [51]. In April 2010, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) estimated a growth of 19.4% in the manufacturing sector as compared to April 2009 [51]. Further, according to the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, cumulative growth for FY 2009-10 over 2008-09 is 10.9% [51]. These statistics clearly outline the need of infrastructure development in this sector. Mostly domestic manufacturing areas would be covered by the DTA (Domestic Tariff Area) and export oriented zones will be enclosed by the SEZs (Special Economic Zones). In India, SEZs were introduced in 2005 and have been an essential contributor to the Indian GDP, even in FY 2010 exports from special economic zones
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1,247,921
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(SEZs) grew by over 122% to US$ 49.5 Bn as compared to FY 2009[51]. India is fast emerging as a global manufacturing hub with a large number of companies shifting their manufacturing base to the country. In order to accommodate and promote the same, the government is planning to establish National Manufacturing and Investment Zones (NMIZs) to push the manufacturing share in gross domestic price (GDP). Tourism in India is the largest service industry in India. Currently, ranked 12th in the Asia Pacific region and 68th overall in the list of the world's attractive destinations, it is expected to grow at a rate of 8.8 % in the years to come [52]. In 2009, 5.11 Mn foreign tourists visited India. At the same time, ~562 Mn domestic tourism visits were made by Indian citizens [52]. The tourism industry in India generated about US$ 100 Bn in 2008 and that is expected to increase to US$ 275.5 Bn by 2018 at an annual growth rate of 9.4%[52].
industrial and non agricultural use, we have used a study conducted by the Economic Times Intelligence group as the basis of our analysis. This study envisages an addition of 290,000 hectares of land to come under non agricultural industrial land use over next 10 years [51]. Based on this projected industrial growth in the country, Aon Hewitt projected that about 2900 hectares will be developed every year ( till FY 2022) to meet the requirements. This land will comprise industrial infrastructure, inter SEZ roads and lanes, supporting commercial infrastructure and logistics/warehousing. The percentage split is given in Table 28. Estimating an increase of 29,000 hectares every year we have divided total tourism and industrial infrastructure as shown in Table 29. It is assumed that all social infrastructure would include all infrastructure related to tourism facilities. As for estimating maintenance manpower, the manpower requirements for maintenance of roads, warehouses, logistics and industries have been considered. On the basis of the estimations for the total infrastructure that needs to be developed for industrial use, tourism facilities and inputs from SMEs, it has been projected that a total workforce of around 15.9 Mn ( an addition of 1.5 Mn over 2012) would be required for construction and maintenance of Industrial infrastructure in 2022. The manpower requirements for this sector are depicted in the table on the next page.
Infrastructure to be developed
The total land area for India is 331 Mn Hectares, out of which about 8% i.e. 26.48 Mn is under urban, industrial and other non agricultural land [51]. Out of this, about 1.22% is under industrial use. Therefore, the total land under industrial use is 1.22 Mn hectares. While estimating the increase in land to be developed for
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Fertilizer
India is primarily an agriculture based economy. The agricultural sector and associated spheres provide majority of the population with employment. The fertilizer industry in India has played a pivotal role in ensuring the robustness of the agricultural sector and in the process, has helped India achieve self sufficiency in food grain and achieve rapid growth in the agricultural sector. As of 2010, India is the third largest producer and consumer of fertilizers in the world after China and United States. The growth of the industry has been largely determined by policies pursued by the government. The government has exercised extensive controls on the pricing, distribution and movement of fertilizers. Moreover, the industry is capital intensive and the production process itself is very energy intensive. Thus, the combined cost of feedstock and fuel accounts for approximately 55% to 80% of the cost of production, depending on the type of fertilizer [42].
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Determinants of fertilizer demand are rainfall, prices, cropping pattern and government policy. There has been a significant growth in the consumption of fertilizers in the past few years due to overall good monsoon. However, fertilizer production has remained range-bound in the last decade. The surge in fertilizer demand and stagnant to modest increase in production has widened the gap between consumption and production, thereby causing large dependence on imports. With the rapid growth in agriculture, India lost around US$ 17 Bn worth of crops due to non-availability of fertilizers
[37][40].
production at 7.5%[37][40]. Based on the assumed growth rates, the demand and supply match would be achievable by 2022 (Figure 30). For fertilizer plant construction, the average size per plant, is 0.65 Mn ton per annum. This is based on the current average capacities installed across India [41]. It was observed that the area required for a fertilizer manufacturing plant is approximately 1.6 Mn sq.ft. [43] India by 2022 would need 88 such manufacturing facilities to meet its growing demand. In estimating the manpower numbers needed, the blue
In order to estimate manpower requirements, the total number of manufacturing facilities have been projected based on total fertilizer demand. The projection of total fertilizer demand has been made as per the production of fruits, vegetables and food grain ( according to the annual report of Food Corporation of India ). Centered on Aon Hewitts primary and secondary research, fertilizer demand is expected to grow at 5%, y-o-y and
collared workforce, required for refurbishing operations in the fertilizer plants were taken into account. Based on these assumptions, projections and SME inputs, the total workforce required for construction and maintenance of such facilities would be 11.8 Mn ( an addition of 6 Mn over 2012). The manpower requirements associated with the construction of such facilities have been shown on the next page :
Million Tons
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India is one of the largest agrarian economies, with the agricultural sector contributing approximately 14.6% of India GDP during 2009-10 at 218 MMT [44]. However, with a total land area of 2.3% of the world, India has to support 17.5% of the worlds population. The food basket for 2009-10 accounted for 218 MMT of food grain produce, 133.5 MMT of vegetables and 72.3 MMT of fruits [49]. Still, one in three of the world's malnourished children live in India and over 63% of children in India go to bed hungry. Further, more than five Mn tons of food stocks rot annually without refrigeration or proper storage [45].
The reason for the lost produce, lies with post harvest activities pursued by India. The production of food grain and Fruits & Vegetables is supported by merely 28.84 MMT (with FCI) of food grain storage and 22 MMT of cold storage space[48][50]. With the current post harvest infrastructure, India wastes 10% of its food grain production and around 30-40% of the fruits and vegetable production, primarily due to inadequate infrastructure [45][49]. In 2008, there were agricultural
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Social and Commercial Infrastructure: Post Harvest and Cold Chain Infrastructure
Table 60: Current and Projected Storage Requirements
Warehouse Food Grain Production (Mn Tons) Fruits and Vegetable Production (Mn Tons) Required Storage for food grain (Mn Tons) Required Storage for Fruits and Vegetables (Mn Tons) 2012 239.83 247.7 50.36 1400.4 2017 260.37 338.5 54.68 1913.7 2022 282.68 464.5 59.36 2625.5
produce losses of around US$ 12 Bn owing to the absence or shortage of post-harvesting infrastructure, such as cold storage chains, transportation and storage facilities [45].
analysis that for every ton of food grain produced, 0.21 ton storage is required. As for cold storage, the requirements have been calculated for only fruits and vegetables, which are the main elements of the cold storage space. However,
To meet the growing food demand of its population India has envisaged an addition of 17 Mn tons of food grain storage space in the next five years. However, with agricultural growth envisioned at around 2% annually, a growth rate of 5.6% needs to be achieved to ensure minimal food grain wastage.
with a high factor related to each ton of cold storage, it can be assumed that other perishable items have also been accounted for in the calculation and hence an overall high growth rate is required. Based on Aon Hewitts analysis, it has been assumed that for infrastructure construction of post harvest and cold chain warehouses, 5.92 sq.ft of area per ton is required. For cold storage, it has been assumed that each facility would accommodate 4,500 tons. Projections have been made based on this assumption. The number of facilities required to be constructed by FY 2022 would be 23,000. However, in order to meet the countrys requirement at 28% growth rate, the number of facilities required to be constructed are 100,000.
Moreover, cold chain in India has long been ignored. With government realizing its importance and inviting PPP models for setup, an annualized growth rate of 28% is still required to plug the gap by 2022. Realizing the limitations that can arise for achieving such a high growth rate, 15% growth rate for the sector has been envisaged, based on high private sector participation.
There is a requirement of 30Mn tons of extra storage space by FY 2022. This is based on the Aon Hewitt
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Social and Commercial Infrastructure: Post Harvest and Cold Chain Infrastructure
Gap required cold storage facilities and constructed at growth rate of 15% Figure 39:between Gap between required Cold Storage facilities and constructed at growth rate of 15%
120000 Nos of facilities constructed @ 15% grow th rate
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Food Corporation of India being the central authority governing the storage of food grain production, estimations for both food grain and fruits and vegetable storage are taken from annual reports of the FCI. Manpower required for construction of 23,000 facilities of cold storage and 30 Mn tons of food grain storage infrastructure, has been projected on the basis of SME inputs and is provided in the following table. For the purpose of manpower calculations, estimations take into account, all types of storage throughout the value chain, from production to retail. The required storage capacities have been calculated taking into account, wastage, historical growth and current capacities. The number of facilities (warehouses) have been estimated by taking an average of 4500 tons per storage facility.
For estimating maintenance infrastructure, manpower requirements per facility is calculated and then replicated throughout. Based on these assumptions and projections, it has been calculated that the total workforce required for construction and maintenance of 23,000 facilities of cold storage and 30 Mn tons of food grain storage infrastructure would be around 2.8 Mn in the year 2022. Over 2012, an additional manpower of 1.3 Mn would be required to reach this figure. These requirements have been projected on the basis of SME inputs and have been provided in the following table.
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Social and Commercial Infrastructure: Post Harvest and Cold Chain Infrastructure
Table 61: Manpower Estimations for Post Harvest and Cold Chain Infrastructure
Job Category 2012 Architect / Designer Draftsman Supervisor / Foreman Surveyor Skilled Mason Carpenter Plumber Electrician Bar Binder/ Bender Blacksmith Welder Machine Operator Machine Driver Painter Glazier Fitter Semi Skilled Mason Carpenter Plumber Electrician Bar Binder/ Bender Blacksmith Welder Machine Operator Machine Driver Painter Glazier Fitter Technical / Engineer Unskilled Total 400 200 112,000 39,600 36,100 18,200 19,300 18,000 16,400 30,100 30,100 1,300 53,300 89,300 83,500 24,100 6,000 600 5,900 800 700 18,100 400 300 36,000 848,400 1,489,100 Post Harvest and Cold Chain Manpower Estimations 2017 600 200 151,900 53,800 48,900 24,600 26,200 24,400 22,200 40,800 40,800 1,800 72,400 121,100 113,300 32,700 8,100 800 8,000 1,000 900 24,500 600 500 48,800 1,151,100 2,020,000 2022 1,100 400 209,100 77,800 68,900 34,800 37,600 34,300 30,300 57,400 57,400 3,200 101,400 166,500 155,600 46,100 11,400 1,500 11,200 1,900 1,700 34,500 1,100 900 68,600 1,589,400 2,804,100
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18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
15.88 15.12 14.36 11.75 8.19 5.71 4.25 1.49 2.02 5.09 5.80 2.80 0.12 0.15 0.20 Hospital
Manpower
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SEZ and Industrial Manpower Requirements 14.3 Mn (2012) 15.8 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Painter
Fertilizer Manpower Requirements 5.7 Mn (2012) 11.7 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Plumber
Education Manpower Requirements 4.2 Mn (2012) 5.8 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Painter
Post Harvest & Cold Chain Manpower Req. 1.4 Mn (2012) 2.7 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Plumber
Hospitals Manpower Requirements 0.12 Mn (2012) 0.20 Mn (2022) Critical Skills Mason, Electrician, Carpenter and Painter
Total Manpower requirement for the sector is 36.43 Mn ( in 2022), with SEZ and industrial governing majority of manpower requirement
It was also observed that, Mason, Electricians and Carpenters are the three top trades that are prominent across all sub sectors in social infrastructure.
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Figure 41: Supply Side Manpower distribution across sectors for 2010 (32 Mn) based on 2022 manpower distribution projections
Transport 23%
In comparison to 2010, the manpower distribution for 2022 with the addition of telecommunication is as shown (Figure 44):
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For 2010, basis the construction and maintenance of infrastructure a demand of 43.4 Mn (Does not include communication), blue collared workforce was observed. However, with supply of only 32 Mn, a gap of 11.4 Mn existed in 2010. The social and commercial infrastructure, which serves as the backbone for sustaining Indias population growth and well being, emerges as the largest sector, in terms of blue collared workforce demand. Basis comparisons infrastructure to 2010, Social and commercial sector would need an additional
on the infrastructural requirements of the nation, the manpower requirement for the sector 2022. is 11.4 Mn in
The energy sector, which serves as the driver of the of Indian economy constitutes of, Oil & gas pipelines, storage, power generation, transmission and distribution, would be employing 3.5 Mn blue collared workers in 2010, considering the above assumption. Based on the infrastructure requirement for 2022, the energy sector would need to employ 9.7 Mn blue collared workforce in 2022. Telecommunication sector, historically has not been under infrastructure sector, however, with broadband being the next big thing, infrastructure development in the sector is a requirement. The infrastructure development in the sector majorly involves the laying of the fibre optics cables throughout the country, which mainly involve unskilled workforce accounting for 91% of the manpower requirement. The manpower required by the telecommunication sector in 2022 would be 8.4 Mn. A consolidated manpower requirement of 87.02 Mn blue collared workforce would be required in 2022 by India to sustain its economic growth. An additional manpower of 55.02 Mn over 2010.
manpower of 21.7 Mn in 2022 (Table 63). SEZ and Industrial infrastructure demands the maximum manpower in the sector, i.e. 15.9 Mn in 2022. Furthermore, with rising population demand for water and sanitation is bound to increase. With water and sanitation being the basic amenity requirement, the potential fro growth is immense. This fact is highlighted by the emergence of water and sanitation as the second largest employer of blue collared workforce in 2022, with an additional manpower requirement of 14.7 Mn over 2010. Water pipelines command the maximum blue collard workforce requirements, that is 6.4 Mn in 2022. Transport sector, which forms the backbone of the infrastructure development, employed 7.4 Mn blue collared workers in 2010, based on the assumption stated earlier. The sector constitutes of Roads, Railways, Airports, Ports and Inland waterways. Based
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Industry Speak
The Indian economy has witnessed considerable progress in the past few decades. The infrastructure sector has been a key element in this growth.
The infrastructure sectors has been primarily regulated and funded by the government. It was only post 1991 that the sector was opened to more private and international players. Currently, the sector involves more than 200 companies in the construction sector. In addition to these firms, there are about 1,20,000 class A contractors registered with various government construction bodies. There are thousands of small contractors, which compete for small jobs or work as sub-contractors of prime or other contractors.
It was also observed that the industry is highly unorganized with a series of middlemen/subcontractors between the actual company taking the contract to the main company executing the project. This chain is one of the fundamental reasons leading to labor issues and concerns.
During the course of the study Aon Hewitt met a number of infrastructure companies, industry associations, government bodies and central ministries. Some of the key themes captured during these meetings are as follows :
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Industry Speak
One of the key suggestions given by the industry is that though much of the labor learn on the job, their must be specific mandatory courses on safety measures and risk aversion.
Therefore, individuals value on the job training more than formal education. For example, a primary school dropout with past experience will be compensated more than a secondary one as he would have achieved more experience on the job.
It was also observed that most of the labor is agro based and have entered this industry for short term incentives or lack of agro based opportunities. Short term incentives may includes government schemes such as NREGA which greatly affects labor supply and availability.
When the demand of labor is high, a number of industry conglomerates would train unskilled labor by running short term in house training programs. The common courses which conglomerates mostly train in are Safety, Quality and internal systems.
Unorganized Sourcing
In the case of labor sourcing In the infrastructure sector, it is observed that the team executing the project would outsource labor recruitments to individuals called labour thekedars, who would be solely responsible for the sourcing of labor across all job trades.
No Social Benefits
One of the key findings that the industry recognized that as no formal employment was provided by the construction companies to the labor, they were not covered by any social benefits.
Therefore, a number of individuals involved in this sector would be declined of their rights to insurance, health benefits, wages and safe working conditions.
These individuals, which themselves are experienced labor themselves, would then source labor from different work sites and villages without background checks or qualification tests.
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Industry Speak
It is due to the existence of such a long chain that the labor wages get down at each level. Many times the labor is completely declined of any wage even after days of service.
This gap is likely to grow in the light of increased funding in the infrastructure sector and no formal skill training programs
This is because the industry supports daily wagers As the number of specialized skills are less, there is a high amount of commoditization of labor skills. Due to this commoditization, a skilled labor even after 8-10 years in the industry does not have much options to progress in their career, and is largely compensated the same way too. more than long term contracts for labors. Hence, labor is always on a lookout for opportunities, as no job security exists.
Construction companies would provide PF to only those employees for which they have attained labor licenses. In pressure of regulations companies would issue licenses to about 20% of the onsite labor. Thus, only 20% of the labor would actually get PF benefit. Further, the building and construction act of 1996, aimed to establish construction labor welfare boards to levy cess and administer social security schemes[53]. But this has also not resulted in any improvement.
There is an utter lack of hygiene at construction sites. The condition is even deplorable for women workers who live under unbearable unhealthy conditions and handle the double burden of work and family.
This is not only unhygienic for all workers at the site, but also effects the future of the children of the construction workers.
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Operations
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Introduction
Objective of the Module
As the first phase of the project, the manpower requirements for construction and maintenance of various infrastructure sectors was projected. It was also realized that along with the development and maintenance of infrastructure, handling infrastructure operations is extremely vital and requires services of a skilled workforce. The area, therefore, presents a great opportunity in training people in significant numbers so that the right inputs of skilled workforce can be given to the infrastructure operations, as well. Keeping this view in mind, the second phase of the study was conducted to project manpower required in handling operations of various infrastructure sectors till 2022.
Module Scope
In this report, we examine the manpower demand for infrastructure operations of 14 infrastructure sub-sectors - Hospitals, Fertilizer Plants, Water Treatment Plants, Solid Waste Management, Roads, SEZ and Industrial, Telecommunication, Power ( Generation, Transmission and Distribution) and Oil & Gas Operations (Pipelines, Storage, Refineries and Petrol Pumps) The report does not include the projections of the sub-sectors already covered in previous sectoral studies conducted by NSDC. The following table ( Table 63) encapsulates the scope of the module.
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Introduction
Table 64: Module Scope Sectors
Roads Transport Railways (Manpower Freeze and on the decline) Broadband Telecom Mobile Towers Electricity Transmission Electricity Distribution Electricity Generation Energy Oil & Gas Pipelines Oil/Gas/Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) storage facility Includes strategic storage of crude oil Petrol Pumps and Refineries Hospitals Social & Commercial Fertilizer (Capital Investment) Common Infrastructure for industrial parks, SEZ and tourism facilities Water treatment plants and Pipelines Water and Sanitation Storm water Drainage System Solid Waste Management
Sub Sectors
The definitions of all the four levels have been explained in the table below ( Table 64)
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Senior Management
15+ yrs of experience, having professional and basic qualifications e.g. BE, MBA, CA, among others
Middle Management
8-15 yrs of experience, having professional and basic qualifications e.g. BE, MBA, CA, among others
Junior Management
3-8 yrs of experience, having done higher education and or qualified engineer, technician, Mgmt Trainee
Supervisor & OM
< 2 yrs of experience, having done higher education and or qualified engineer, technician. Experienced workmen with high degree of skill will also be accounted for in this category
115
Roads
India, as per the Ministry of Ministry of Road transport and Highways annual reports (2010), has 70,548 km of National highways and 128,000 km of State highways. This vast network of highways needs to be consistently maintained and expanded. The revenue for such activities is generated through toll collection. With requirements of managing the entire National highway and State highway network, toll collection is of prime essence in road operations. For years, toll collection was an activity handled entirely by NHAI and state governments. However, the advent of private-public partnerships (PPP) has changed it all. Today, many road projects are awarded to private developers, who execute them on a build-operatetransfer (BOT) basisnearly 75% of these projects are BOT projects. The developers bag a road contract, raise funds, build the road and collect tolls for 15-20 years to recover their investment and profit from it. A developer has to use this toll revenue to meet all costs, whether it is to service debt or undertake maintenance activity. Given this, efficient toll collection is of paramount importance for developers[54].
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Road - Operations
Figure 43: Consolidated Manpower Demand Toll Operations
Thousands 40 35 30 36.4
Manpower
As of August 2011, as per Indian Tollways, there existed 268 toll barriers on National highways generating Rs 55.16 billion in revenue collection for 2010-11. Further, as per Indian Tollways[55], it has been established that for smooth operations of roads, a toll barrier should be present after every 80 km of highway stretch. Furthermore, it has been assumed that number of toll barriers would grow at a rate of 16% over the existing base. Basis this growth rate, by 2022, a total of 1371 toll barriers would be required on Indian roads. Given the operations projections, a total workforce of 36,400 would be required in 2022 - an addition of 17,800 people over 2012 (Figure 42).
Tho usands 40
The current manpower split across operational levels and level definitions are based on Aon Hewitts internal analysis and databases (Figure 43). Furthermore, considering the split across levels ( Figure 44), at senior level, 834 people would be required by 2022. At middle management level, the requirement would be 5000 while at supervisory level, a total of 30,600 people would be required ( an addition of 8,200 over 2012) by 2022.
100%
2%
35 30 25 0.568 3
0.834 5
14%
80% 84%
20 0.386 1 5 1 0 1 4 5 2 21 31
117
India has ambitious plans of adding over 180,000 MW of generation capacity as well as associated Power Systems in the 11th and 12th plans, more than the cumulative capacity addition achieved till date[56]. With such an ambitious target, the power sector requires augmentation of capacity across the value chain including manufacturing, construction, fuel and material supplies, project planning and implementation, financial management and operations and maintenance management [57]. Therefore, a great emphasis is being laid on the need to improve the efficiency, output and availability of power generation plants, transmission and distribution stations. The need to enhance plant life has also been strongly felt. This makes it imperative to continuously optimize the operations of power plant and stations. In such a scenario, it is being envisaged that the power sector would require additional skilled manpower to handle capacity addition in generation, transmission and distribution operations.
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Manpower
2 1.3 1
1.6
At the same time, the improvements in technology and the increasing scale of operations would help reduce the manpower requirement per MW [58]. Basis Institute of Energy Management and Researchs (IEMR) report on the Human Capital Challenges in the Indian Power Sector, it is assumed that manpower required for operation of Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution would grow at 5.3% year on year (y-o-y). The Manpower in the Power sector at the end of 10th plan has been approximated to be 0.95 millions as per the Planning Commissions Working Group on Power for 11th Plan. Considering these manpower operations projections, it has been calculated that a total workforce of 2.1 Mn would be required in 2022 - an addition of around 76,000 personnel over 2012 (Figure 45).
M illions
The current manpower split across operational levels and level definitions are based on Aon Hewitts internal analysis and databases (Figure 46). After taking into account the split across levels ( Figure 47), it has been projected that about 0.21 Mn personnel would be required at the senior level by 2022. At middle management level, workforce requirement of around 0.26 Mn has been estimated. As per our analysis, by 2022, a total of 0.24 Mn people would required at the junior management level while the total supervisor and O&M workforce requirement would be 1.3 M in 2022.
100%
80%
60%
0 201 2 Sup & O&M Wo rkfo rce 201 7 Jr M gmt M id M gmt 2022 Sr M gmt
119
The latest India Oil & Gas Report from Business Monitor International forecasts that the country will account for 12.4% of Asia Pacific regional oil demand by 2015, while providing 11.2% of supply [59]. In order to bridge this demand-supply gap and to meet countrys rising energy needs, the government is investing heavily in the Oil and Gas sector. While the anticipated growth in the sector implies that the manpower involved in infrastructure creation will witness growth in future, it also means that huge manpower would be required in supporting and sustaining operations of both new and existing Oil & Gas infrastructure. It cannot be undermined that the growth in the sector would be contingent on the availability of skilled manpower in operations. Basis Ernst & Youngs (E&Y) report on the HR Challenges in the Indian Oil and Gas sector, it is assumed that manpower required for operation of Oil & Gas pipelines, storage, refineries and petrol pumps would grow at 9.5% year on year (y-o-y)[60].
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Oil & Gas (Oil & Gas Pipelines, Refineries, Petrol Pumps & Oil & Gas Storage) - Operations
Figure 49: Consolidated Manpower Demand Oil & Gas Operations
300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2012 2017 2022 111.0 178.0 283.0
The manpower in the Oil and Gas sector in 2009-10 has been approximated to be 92,500 based on, Basic Statistics on Indian Petroleum & Natural Gas (200910)[61]. Considering these numbers, it has been projected that a total workforce of 0.28 Mn would be required in 2022 an addition of 0.17 Mn over 2012 (Figure 48). These numbers include operational staff at all levels of infrastructure - upstream , middle stream and downstream. The current manpower split across operational levels is based on Aon Hewitts internal analysis and primary research (Figure 49).
Thousands
The manpower requirement for each levels has been projected on the basis of current manpower split across levels (Figure 50). Our calculations project that in 2022, around 6,000 personnel would be required at senior level in the operations of Oil & Gas sector. Also, at middle management level, the requirement would be 34,000 while at junior level, a total of 79,000 personnel would be required. At Supervisor & O&M level, a significant increase in manpower requirement is expected. Our analysis estimates that a workforce of 164,000 would be needed at this level in 2022.
Thousands
100%
2% 12%
2022 Sr M gmt
Gas Sector
121
Telecommunication
Indias telephone network is one of the largest in the world and offers a wide range of services such as basic telephony, internet, mobile/cellular, paging and V-SAT. The sector saw a phenomenal growth after the government simplified the policy environment and privatized the sector. It is also worth noting that since 2001, about two thirds of countrys private investment has gone into the telecommunications sector[62]. The entry of private operators has created a healthy competition in the market thereby, presenting enormous opportunities for the sector. However, running the network profitably presents a significant challenge to these telecom operators in a developing country like India. They have to consistently find new ways to reduce the cost of operating the network and serving customers. Telecom operations typically include managing network ( grids, base stations, towers, wireless systems, cables, equipment, maintenance etc.), handling IT operations and provision of customer care and support.
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[63].
In India, a lot of operators share their tower infrastructure or outsource their operations to control costs. However despite these optimization models, the manpower requirement in telecom sector is expected to witness a steep increase - quite inline with sectors anticipated overall growth. The increase in manpower is based on the increase in mobile network and broadband connections, growth rates of which have been projected in infrastructure creation and maintenance module. Given these projections, a total workforce of 1.58 Mn would be required in 2022 in the telecom operations - an addition of 0.64 Mn people over 2012 (Figure 51). Operational and Maintenance manpower required across levels is based on BSNLs norms as published
Tho usands 1,6 0 0 1,4 0 0
The current
manpower split across operational levels is shown in Figure 52. Considering this split across levels, it has been established that Telecommunication Operations would require approximately 24,000 personnel in 2022 at the Senior level. At middle management level, the workforce requirement would be 99,000, while at a junior level, a total of 1.2 Mn people would be required in 2022. Additionally, the total supervisor and O&M workforce requirement in 2022 is expected to be 0.24 Mn (Figure 53).
100%
1% 6%
24 99 1 9
80%
1,2 0 0
79 1 4 59 1 ,21 7 967
60%
1,0 0 0
77%
800 600 724 400
40%
200 0 201 2
Sr M gmt
1 44 201 7 Jr M gmt
1 92 2022 M id M gmt
241
Sr M gmt
Telecommunication Sector
123
Water Treatment
The Planning Commission, Government of India has estimated the water demand increase from 710 BCM (Billion Cubic Meters) in 2010 to almost 1180 BCM in 2050 with domestic and industrial water consumption expected to increase almost 2.5 times. The trend of urbanization in India is exerting stress on civic authorities to provide basic requirement such as safe drinking water and sanitation [64]. In order to guarantee safe drinking water, merely proper design and construction of a plant is not sufficient. In fact, alert and skillful plant operation is also of paramount importance in water treatment. Although Water Treatment Plants are designed and constructed by State Public Health Engineering Departments in India, their operation and maintenance is carried out by local Municipal Corporations. The typical water treatment plant operations include handling equipment or circuit failure, water leakages, process inefficiencies etc. across facilities and
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38.7
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transmission lines of the plant. Besides these, ensuring water quality, improving efficiency , controlling costs and monitoring MIS ( Management Information System) indicators are also some of the broad operational imperatives. The manpower requirement in operations of plants depends on the increase in water requirements of the population. Growth rates of water needs have been projected in infrastructure creation and maintenance module and are the basis of manpower projections. Based on these norms and projections, it has been estimated that a total workforce of 39,000 would be required in 2022 - an addition of around 18,000 over 2012 (Figure 54). Operational and Maintenance manpower required
Thousands
across levels ( Figure 55) is based on New York City Waste Water Treatment System while the management level of Water treatment plants is based on organizational structure of Helix water district [65][66]. After taking into account the split across levels, it has been projected that about 250 personnel would be required at the senior level in 2022. At middle management level, workforce requirement of 1500 has been estimated. As per our analysis, in 2022, a total of 10,000 personnel would be required at the junior management level while the total supervisor and O&M workforce requirement would be 27,000( Figure 56).
120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Manpow er Split for Water Treatment
Staff & O&M Wo rkfo rce Jr M gmt M id M gmt Sr M gmt
40
0.2
1 .5
1% 4% 27%
35 30 25 0.1 20 5.6 15 0.8 26.6 1 9.5 1 4.5 5 0 201 2 Staff & O&M Wo rkfo rce 201 7 Jr M gmt M id M gmt 2022 Sr M gmt 1 0.3 0.2 7.6 1 .1
69%
10
125
Solid waste management is one of the most pressing issues in urban cities in India since they are facing serious pollution problems due to the generation of huge quantities of solid waste. The annual waste generation has been observed to increase in proportion to the rise in population and urbanization, and issues related to disposal have become challenging as more land is needed for the ultimate disposal of these solid wastes [67]. In order to regulate huge quantities of solid waste, the Government of India has laid down certain mandatory requirements in the form of MSW Rules, 2000. Some of these include : Source segregation and storage at source, Door to door collection, Daily sweeping of the street, Transportation of waste in covered vehicles and Waste processing by composting or energy recovery [68]. This implies that skilled manpower is compulsorily required for operations of each of these aspects. The increase in manpower is based on the increased solid waste management requirements, growth rates of which have been projected in infrastructure creation and maintenance report. The workmen required for
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solid waste collection is based on norms for Chennai Corporation, i.e. 10,000 workmen required for collection of 2,000 tons of solid waste [69]. On the basis of these norms, it has been projected that a total workforce of 0.82 Mn would be required in 2022 an addition of 0.32 Mn personnel over 2012 (Figure 57). The operational manpower split across levels (Figure 58) is based on operations of Chennai corporation and Navi Mumbai Municipal corporation [70][71]. The operational staff, i.e. waste collectors and dumpers account for 96% of the manpower required for solid waste management. The manpower split of the remaining 4% has been shown in Figure 59.
Our calculations project that in 2022, the workmen population required would be 0.8 Mn, i..e the 96% of the total operational manpower. The remaining 4% manpower requirements are, for senior level around one thousand personnel would be required in 2022. For middle management level, the requirement is 1900, while at junior level, a total of 3200 personnel would be required in 2022. The requirements for O&M staff and supervisors is projected to be 24,000 in 2022.
T ho usand s
1 .0 1 .9
100%
3% 6% 11%
80%
60% 80%
40%
20%
201 7 M id M gmt
2022 Sr M gmt
Jr M gmt
M id M gmt
127
Hospitals
With the growing economy, rising incomes, increased willingness among Indian consumers to pay for quality healthcare and to go to institutional providers and comparably lower costs of establishment in India, healthcare is a potentially attractive sector for both foreign and domestic investors[72]. Technological advancements both informational and medical are transforming the healthcare landscape in the country. This leaves huge scope for the provision of healthcare services in India, especially hospitals. Typically hospital operations include Utility Services, Support Services ( Laboratories, Pharmacy, Blood Bank etc.) , Clinical Services, Housekeeping and Dietary, Quality, handling IT and MIS etc. Hospital utility services largely involve functions such as Security, Laundry, Food and Dietary Department, Sterilization and Security. Maintaining hygienic conditions within the hospital premises is of immense importance and requires huge manpower numbers. Other functions also require deployment of skilled manpower for smoother operations.
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The basis of manpower calculation for hospital operations is the number of beds in a hospital, the norms have been derived from Hospital Infonet [73]. The growth rate in terms of beds added per year is projected to be 5.8%, based on the projections given for infrastructure creation. On the basis of these norms and projections, it has been calculated that a total workforce of 2.8 million would be required in 2022 a 100% increase over 2012 (Figure 60). The manpower distribution across hospital utility services and supporting functions is based on the Aon Hewitts internal analysis and secondary sources and
the distribution is as shown below ( Figure 61). Housekeeping employing the largest number of people while Security employing the lowest. Considering the split across functions, it has been projected that about 2 Mn people would be required for housekeeping in 2022. Also, by 2022, the numbers in Food Department would rise to 0.34 Mn and those in maintenance to about 0.23 Mn and both the functions would see an approximate increase of 0.1 Mn over 2012. As shown in Figure 62, the manpower requirement by 2022 in Laundry, Sterilization and Security would be 0.19 Mn, 0.09 Mn and 0.03 Mn respectively.
1% 3% 7% 8% 12% 60%
3000 26 90 190 2500 20 2000 15 51 108 135 195 143 259 68 179 1500 343 237
100%
80%
1,990
0 2012 Housekeeping Food Department 2017 Maintenance Laundry 2022 Sterilization Dept Security
Sector
129
Fertilizers
The fertilizer industry in India has played a crucial role in revolutionizing agriculture and sustaining its growth. There has been a significant increase in the demand of fertilizers in last few years. The surge in fertilizers demand and stagnant to modest increase in production has widened the gap between consumption and production causing larger dependence on imports[11]. Such a scenario provides enormous opportunities to fertilizer plants to improve their production capacity and optimize their operations. The fertilizer plants and related utility and off-site facilities operate in high pressure and temperature zones and also handle explosive gases and toxic chemicals. Therefore, maintaining safety and reliability of operation is of utmost importance to avoid any operational disaster[74]. Therefore, a highly skilled workforce is required to handle operations of a fertilizer plant. These operations typically involve aspects such as : Handling equipment, instrumentation and Safety Systems, optimal use of resources, Optimizing inspections and productivity and plant maintenance etc.
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A report by Department of fertilizers pegged the manpower employed in the sector in 2005 at 32,600, and the projections have been done basis these numbers [75]. The growth rate for fertilizers industry is projected to be 7.5%, basis projection for fertilizer in infrastructure construction and maintenance. Given these norms and projections, a total workforce of 85,000 would be required in 2022 (Figure 63). The manpower required across levels for operations and maintenance of fertilizer plants is based on Aon Hewitts internal analysis and secondary sources [76]. The current manpower split across operational levels are shown in Figure 64.
Considering this split, it has been projected that about 850 people would be required at the senior level in 2022. At middle management level, workforce requirement of around 2500 has been estimated as per analysis, a total of 17,000 people would be required in 2022 at the junior management level, while the Staff requirement would be around 20,000. Its has also been calculated that for the operations of fertilizer plants, a total of 44,000 workmen would be required in 2022. (Figure 65)
90 80 70 60 50
60%
40 30 20 10
Workmen
Staff
Sector
131
Tho
100%
1%
d usan
3%
s
20
Jr Management
Middle Management
Sr Management
State Governments in India are taking several initiatives to modernize infrastructure facilities and to create growth centers within the states. Sector-specific and multi-product industrial parks and SEZs (Special Economic Zones) have been recognized as instruments of fostering industrial growth. While such parks are being set up at a rapid pace, their sustainability has become an important area of concern for the states. Therefore, engaging skilled manpower in handling their operations (across both processing and non-processing areas) is being deemed as vital to longterm industrial growth. The average manpower required for operations and maintenance of SEZ and Industrial Infrastructure sector has been estimated on the basis of norms derived from Aon Hewitts primary research ( Interview with an SEZ and Industrial park operator). SEZs and Industrial parks of varying industries have been considered in drawing the norms. Based on this, it has been estimated that a
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total workforce of 8.3 Mn would be required in 2022 by the sector an addition of 1.6 Mn people over 2012 (Figure 66). It must be noted here that in case of SEZ and Industrial Infrastructure sector, Senior Management is typically the only set of employees that are in-house; the remaining workforce required for daily operations is largely outsourced. This aspect has been taken into consideration, and operational manpower accounts for outsourced jobs. The manpower required across levels for SEZ and Industrial operations is based on Aon Hewitts internal analysis. The current manpower split across operational levels is shown in Figure 67.
M illio ns
Based on calculations, it is projected that in 2022, around 0.12 Mn personnel would be required at senior and middle management level in the operations of SEZ and Industrial Infrastructure. The supervisory level, is estimated to employ 0.3 Mn in 2022. The bulk of manpower required for the sub-sector is primarily at the workmen level, i.e. 7.7 Mn in 2022. ( Figure 68)
100%
7.7
93.3%
3 2 1
6.2
Industrial Sector
Figure 69 : Manpower requirement for Operations in SEZ and Industrial Sector across levels
133
With the current (2010) requirement of 6.4 Mn trained/certified blue collared workers and only 1.28 Mn available in the Infrastructure sector, it is imperative for the government to focus on skill development for the sector. With skill training in the infrastructure sector having being ignored by ITI/ITCs, the skill crunch is already being felt by the industry impacting infrastructure development in India. The requirements for skilled / semi-skilled labour is bound to increase in the future, with a need of 37.6 Mn in 2022,. This demand being almost thirty times the current levels. To approach skill development in India, a strategic approach to the initiative is the need of the hour. NSDC has been setup with a primary objective of enhancing, supporting and coordinating private sector initiatives for skill development for various industries. But, the finding of the report recommend that special focus be given to the infrastructure sector skill development. Due to the unorganized nature of the sector, it is essential to formalize the sector in terms of employment, skills requirements, benefits among other. With NSDC being the primary body for skills development in the country, it needs to establish the Sector Skills Council (SSC) for the infrastructure sector with the involvement of Government, Industry and Academia. Building on the SSC, NSDC must ensure construction skills be benchmarked and critical skills requiring certification and assessment established. With skills mapped and industry requirements known, a central repository to source talent can be created for the industry in the form of National Construction institute. NSDCs role, would not involve day to day operations for any of the entities, instead it would oversee the management of various initiatives, stakeholders and sources of funding.
134
Recommendations
Government
NSDC
Industry
135
Recommendations
135
Recommendations
135
Recommendations
Recommendations
135
List of References
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139
List of References
Reference No. 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 Figure Description New York Citys Waste water Treatment System, http://www.nyc.gov/html/dep/pdf/wwsystem.pdf, Accessed October 2011 Helix Water District, http://www.hwd.com/about/orgcharts.pdf, Accessed October 2011 Assessment of the status of municipal solid waste management in metro cities, state capitals, class I cities, and class II towns in India: An insight, 2008, Accessed October 2011 Municipal Solid Waste Management and Handling Rules, 2000, http://www.appcb.ap.nic.in/municipal/MSW-rules.htm, Accessed October 2011 Loyola Institute of Technology, Chennai, 2007, Municipal solid waste management in Chennai city India, Accessed September 2011 Loyola Institute of Technology, Chennai, 2007, Municipal solid waste management in Chennai city India, Accessed September 2011 Karmayog, Solid Waste Management Department, www.karmayog.org, Accessed September 2011 Constraints to foreign investment in hospitals in India, 2006, http://www.whoindia.org/LinkFiles/Trade_Agreement_FDI-4.pdf, , Accessed October 2011
140
For the infrastructure industry in India, one of the most common industry standards accepted are the CPWD norms . Many of the job trades mentioned in these norms are differentiated at skill level such as Mason (1st Class, 2nd Class etc.), these have been covered by our report simply in the form of Skilled or Semi Skilled Masons. Further, those job trades which are not classified this way are mapped to our job trades as follows : Table 40: Mapping for Job Trades
Job trade Beldar Mate Mistry Rock Hole Driller Stone Chissler Role/Function Male Unskilled Worker Lower Level (Labor) Supervisor Any skilled labor Some who drills holes in rocks Forms shapes by chiseling stones For horticulture work at gardens and parks Someone who does crude ordinary paint jobs For scaffolding purposes Watering Surfaces For safety and security Unskilled lady worker For showing light at difficult circumstances Mapped to Unskilled Unskilled Skilled job trade Machine operator Unskilled
Sprayer
Unskilled
White Washer
Painter
Torch operator
Unskilled
Store Keeper
Unskilled
141
Architect/Designer
An architect is a person trained in the planning, design and oversight of the construction of buildings, and is licensed to practice architecture.
Carpenter
A carpenter is a skilled craftsman who performs carpentry. The work would mainly involve working with wood to construct, install and maintain building infrastructure.
Draftsman Plumber
A draftsman translates a designer's ideas into a finished picture using drawing and drafting skills. A plumber is a tradesperson who specializes in installing and maintaining systems used for potable (drinking) water, sewage, and drainage
Supervisor/Foreman
A supervisor/foreman in the infrastructure space is considered a person of trust. He is usually a skilled laborer with 8-10 years of experience and is largely responsible for onsite management of construction. His responsibilities include onsite people management, coordination with business owner and to provide timely updates. He is also responsible for quality cost and safety of construction activities.
Fitter/Rigger
A fitter is a tradesperson, who fits various kinds of pipes and fittings. These fittings may vary from residential washroom fittings to industrial heavy duty pipes.
Electrician
An electrician is a tradesman who specializes in electrical wiring of buildings, stationary machines and related equipment. Electricians may be employed in the installation of new electrical components or the maintenance and repair of existing electrical infrastructure
Surveyor
Surveyors are individuals who use elements of surveying (tools and techniques) to accurately determine the terrestrial or three dimensional position of points. The surveyor provides data of the lay of the land to the architect and the onsite engineer.
Mason
A bar binder is a tradesman who is involved in cutting and binding reinforcement steel for RCC work in building and infrastructure, bridges, tower foundations among other civil works.
Masons are individuals who are involved in masonry work i.e. building structures from individual units (bricks) laid in and bound together by mortar.
142
Blacksmith
Painter
A blacksmith is a person who creates objects from iron or steel by forging the metal, by using tools to hammer, bend, and cut. Blacksmiths produce objects such as wrought iron gates, grills, railings, light fixtures, furniture, sculpture, tools, agricultural implements, decorative and religious items, cooking utensils, horseshoes and weapons.
A painter is a tradesman who applies paint, stain, varnish, and other finishes to buildings and other structures. The purpose of employing a painter may be to make buildings look better or for protection from water, rust, corrosion etc.
Glazier
Welder/Gas Cutter
A glazier is a construction professional who selects, cuts, installs, replaces, and removes residential, commercial, and artistic glass. Glaziers also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass handrails and balustrades, shower enclosures, curtain wall framing and glass and mirror walls.
A welder is a tradesman who specializes in welding materials together. The materials to be joined can be metals or varieties of plastic or polymer.
Technical / Engineer
An engineer is a professional practitioner of engineering, concerned with applying scientific knowledge, mathematics and ingenuity to develop solutions for technical problems. Engineers design materials, structures, machines and systems while considering the limitations imposed by practicality, safety and cost. Other technical staff who are diploma holders or hold non engineering professional degrees employed for onsite execution are also considered in this trade.
Machine Driver
The process of infrastructure development requires large machines to be deployed and managed across different construction sites. A machine operator is well versed in running the machine but a machine driver is required to actually drive and control some large level controls.
143
N.A
Welder
Machine Operator Operate the machines required for road and bridge construction e.g. Cranes, excavators, road rollers Erection Gang N.A
Machine Driver Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste Grinder N.A
N.A
Radiographer N.A
144
Mason will be involved in construction of terminal infrastructure like, Warehouses, Jetties etc.
N.A
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure. Specialized plumbing for constant water drainage from ports and inland waterways Machine Operator
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure. Also Installation of equipment
Blacksmith
Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld equipment, pipes and other associated infrastructure fittings Fitter Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings Gas Cutter N.A
Machine Driver
N.A
Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Glazier
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Rigger N.A
145
Manson will carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying, plastering, cementing etc for construction of buildings
For basic shuttering to support building infra as well as skilled carpenters for construction of building doors and windows
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure, i.e. installation water inlet and outlets, sewage outlet etc.
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure. Also Installation of equipment
Blacksmith
Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld equipment, pipes and other associated infrastructure fittings Fitter
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
Airports
N.A
Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger N.A
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings
N.A
N.A
N.A
146
Manson will carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying, plastering, cementing etc for construction of buildings Blacksmith
For basic shuttering to support building infra as well as skilled carpenters for construction of building doors and windows Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld tracks and other associated infrastructure Fitter Align and install metro and railway tracks, equipment, and structures . Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings Gas Cutter N.A
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure, i.e. installation of water inlet and outlets, sewage outlet etc. Machine Operator Operate machines for building, railway and metro construction, i.e. cranes, excavators, etc Erection Gang
Laying of track lines as per requirements Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
147
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Machine Operator N.A Erection Gang A team of 15, responsible for construction of the steel tower and laying and connecting the transmission lines
Electricity Transmission
Glazier
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Rigger N.A
Sub-sector
Mason Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying, plastering and cementing etc for the construction of buildings
Carpenter
Plumber
Electrician Specialized electricians for installation of transformers, jumpers, circuit breakers etc. at sub-station Machine Driver N.A Grinder N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Electricity Distribution
148
Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of buildings
For basic shuttering to support building infra as well as skilled carpenters for construction of building doors and windows
Specialized Plumbing experienced in power generation plumbing. Provide extensive water circulation mechanisms and controls
Specialized electricians for installation of transformers, jumpers, circuit breakers etc. at the plant
Blacksmith
Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld equipment, pipes and other associated infrastructure fittings Fitter Align and install power generation equipment, and structures . Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings Gas Cutter Cut through equipment using gas cutting with precision and ensure proper installation and functioning
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
Electricity Generation
Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger help operate machines that move heavy objects and the heavy construction equipment used to build and take down steel structures.
Operate machines for building construction and equipment installation, i.e. cranes, excavators etc
Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
Carry out grinding of machines and equipment to ensure proper installation and fitting
N.A
149
N.A
N.A
Painting of Pipelines
Glazier
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Rigger
N.A
N.A
Sub-sector
Mason Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of storage tanks Blacksmith
Carpenter
Plumber
Electrician
Bar Binder/ Bender Create steel structure of storage tanks as per design norms for stability Painter
NAN
N.A
N.A
Welder Specialist welder for welding metal plate joints with precision Fitter
Machine Operator Operate machines for lifting of heavy material and excavation (where required) Erection Gang
Machine Driver
N.A
N.A
N.A
Glazier
Grinder Carry out grinding of equipment / metal plates to ensure proper installation and fitting
Radiographer Scan storage tanks using x-ray based machines for micro cracks in the structure
N.A
N.A
Rigger N.A
150
Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of buildings
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure, i.e. installation of water inlet and outlets, sewage outlet etc. Machine Operator
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure. Also Installation of equipment
N.A
Blacksmith
Machine Driver
Painter
N.A
Petrol Stations
Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger
Operate machines for building construction and equipment installation, i.e. cranes, excavators etc
Equipment Drivers, ,e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Painting of Pipelines
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings
N.A
Carry out grinding of equipment / metal plates to ensure proper installation and fitting
N.A
Gas Cutter
N.A
N.A
151
Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of buildings
For basic shuttering to support building infra as well as skilled carpenters for construction of building doors and windows
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure . Electrical fixtures and cables for heavy machinery
Blacksmith
Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld equipment, pipes and other associated infrastructure fittings Fitter Align and install Waste treatment plant equipment, and structures . Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings Gas Cutter
Machine Driver
N.A
Operate machines for building construction and equipment installation, i.e. cranes, excavators etc
Equipment Drivers, ,e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger Help operate machines that move heavy objects and the heavy construction equipment used to build and take down steel structures.
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
Carry out grinding of machines and equipment to ensure proper installation and fitting
N.A
Cut through equipment using gas cutting with precision and ensure proper installation and functioning
152
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Welder Specialist welder for welding pipeline joints with precision Fitter Alignment and installation of pipelines Gas Cutter N.A
Machine Operator Operate machines for lifting of pipes and excavation (where required) Erection Gang N.A
Machine Driver
Painter
N.A
N.A
N.A
Grinder N.A
Radiographer N.A
Sub-sector
Mason Carry out masonry work, for erection of pipes, i.e. pillar erection and surface preparation to install pipeline Blacksmith
Carpenter
Plumber
Electrician
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Welder Specialist welder for welding pipeline joints with precision Fitter Alignment and installation of pipelines Gas Cutter N.A
Machine Operator Operate machines for lifting of pipes and excavation (where required) Erection Gang N.A
Machine Driver
Painter
Sewerage Pipelines
N.A
N.A
N.A
Grinder N.A
Radiographer N.A
153
Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of buildings
For basic shuttering to support building infra as well as skilled carpenters for construction of building doors and windows
Specialized Plumbing experienced in water treatment plumbing. Provide extensive water circulation, transfer mechanisms and controls
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure . Electrical fixtures and cables for heavy machinery
Blacksmith
Welder Used for welding of beams and joints, where required in buildings. Weld equipment, pipes and other associated infrastructure fittings Fitter Align and install power generation equipment, and structures . Carry out sanitary fittings for the infrastructure and other equipment fittings Gas Cutter Cut through equipment using gas cutting with precision and ensure proper installation and functioning
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
Operate machines for building construction and equipment installation, i.e. cranes, excavators etc
Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste
Glazier Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass Rigger help operate machines that move heavy objects and the heavy construction equipment used to build and take down steel structures.
Erection Gang
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
Carry out grinding of machines and equipment to ensure proper installation and fitting
N.A
154
N.A
N.A
N.A
Machine Operator
Machine Driver Equipment Drivers, e.g. Cement mixers, transportation of raw material and waste Grinder N.A
Painter
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Radiographer N.A
Sub-sector
Mason Carry out masonry work, i.e. brick laying plastering etc for the construction of storm water drains or prepare surface to lay prefabricated slabs and ensure their alignment and joining Blacksmith
Carpenter
Plumber
Electrician
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Welder
Machine Operator Operate machines for lifting of prefabricated slabs and excavation (where required) Erection Gang
Machine Driver
Painter
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Glazier
Fitter Alignment and installation of slabs along with mason Gas Cutter N.A
Grinder
Radiographer
N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
Rigger N.A
155
Mason would be involved in all brick and cement work, for constructing buildings of schools., educational institutes etc.
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement structure to strengthen it even more
Painter
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
N.A
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes. For example excavation machinery and cranes for digging basements
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Polishing and painting of chairs, carpenters etc
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
156
Mason would be involved in all brick and cement work, for constructing buildings of hospitals etc
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement structure to strengthen it even more
Painter
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
N.A
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes. For example excavation machinery and cranes for digging basements
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Polishing and painting of chairs, carpenters etc
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
Alignment and installation of plumbing pipes. Also fitting pipes for waste disposal
N.A
N.A
N.A
157
Mason would be involved in all brick and cement work, for all industrial infrastructure. Also, in tourism, mason would be involved in artistic masonry work on walls, tourism destination etc.
Blacksmith
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure . Also provide plumbing for water drainage etc. within the SEZ roads
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure. Further, look at inter SEZ electrical connections for transmission etc.
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement structure to strengthen it even more
Painter
Welder
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
The use of welding will be limited to fixing and installing heavy machinery
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes of all building infrastructure. Machine used in constructing internal roads and lanes etc. Finally, any machines used in handling and installing heavy machinery
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Using rust protective paint wherever needed. Painting Internal signs for navigation within the SEZ area
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
158
Mason would be involved in all brick and cement work for construction of factories, inventory structures etc
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure. Further, providing pipes and drainage facilities within the buildings as per the supply chain plan
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement strcuture to strengthen it even more
Painter
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Operator
Machine Driver
N.A
The use of welding will be limited to fixing and installing heavy machinery
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes of all building infrastructure. Machine used in constructing internal roads and lanes etc. Finally, any machines used in handling and installing heavy machinery
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Using rust protective paint wherever needed.
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
Alignment and installation of plumbing pipes. Also, installing any pipes needed as part of the supply chain infrastructure
N.A
N.A
N.A
159
Masons would be involved in brick and cement work for construction of warehouse and cold chain infrastructure
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure. Further, provide drainage for waste water dripping out of stored and washed food grains, fruits and vegetables
Machine Operator
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure . Electrical fixtures and cables for heavy machinery
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement structure to strengthen it even more
Painter
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Driver
Post-harvest storage infrastructure for agriculture and horticultural produce including cold storage
N.A
The use of welding will be limited to fixing and installing heavy machinery
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes of all building infrastructure. Machine used in constructing internal roads and lanes etc. Finally, any machines used in handling and installing heavy machinery
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Using rust protective paint wherever needed.
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
Alignment and installation of plumbing pipes. Also, installing any pipes needed as part of the supply chain infrastructure
N.A
N.A
N.A
160
Masons would be involved in brick and cement work for construction of warehouse and cold chain infrastructure
For basic shuttering and scaffolding work during construction . Further, making of doors, windows, chairs etc.
Providing basic plumbing facilities for all building infrastructure . Also provide plumbing for inter building processing of fruits and vegetables, waste water disposal etc
Machine Operator
For all electric fittings and wiring in the building infrastructure . Electrical fixtures and cables for heavy machinery
Will be involved in basic metal binding, mouilding etc. to support the brick and cement work internally. The metal/ Iron rods are inserted within the cement structure to strengthen it even more
Painter
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Driver
Cold chain
N.A
The use of welding will be limited to fixing and installing heavy machinery
Operating heavy machinery for construction purposes of all building infrastructure. Machine used in constructing internal roads and lanes etc. Finally, any machines used in handling and installing heavy machinery
Erection Gang
Painting of walls, windows and doors of the buildings. Using rust protective paint wherever needed. Signage within the cold chain/ storage area
Glazier
Fitter
Grinder
Radiographer
Glazier selects, cuts, installs glass screens in building infrastructure. They also install aluminum storefront frames and entrances, glass
Rigger N.A
Alignment and installation of plumbing pipes. Also, installing any pipes needed as part of the supply chain infrastructure
N.A
N.A
N.A
161
Mason in this sector will primarily be involved in constructing cement base for towers
For basic shuttering and scaffolding, to support building infra. Around the tower
For lavatory facilities around the supporting infrastructure for telecom towers . Also used for managing plumbing lines during cable laying
Machine Operator
To make the final electrical connection after a communication tower has been erected
Will work with the mason dominantly, to create the basic steel structure for the tower base
Blacksmith
Welder
Machine Driver
Painter
Alternatively, used as tower erectors. Pre dominantly involved in creating the steel framework for erection of towers
N.A
Operating heavy machines, mainly in digging/excavati ng for cable laying and erecting towers. Eg. Rock breaking and excavating machines
Erection Gang N.A
Machine drivers primarily utilized for lifting waste/broken rocks in cable laying
To paint signs for cable laying. Further, used to paint the tower base with protective paints etc.
Grinder N.A
Radiographer N.A
162
Regional Imbalances
One of the primary aims, for the government today, is to encourage inclusive growth across all states. In order to accomplish the same, it is important to keep in mind the supply and demand of labor across different regions. Therefore, skill development initiatives should be designed, keeping in account the regional imbalances.
Aon Hewitt, in its analysis discovered that informally, most of the blue collared labor gets sourced from the states of Bihar, Rajasthan, UP, and Chattisgarh in the northern sub continent. Andhra Pradesh occupies the same position in south.
The labor demand estimates, especially for roads, SEZs (industrial area) and energy projects, were analyzed. The analysis helped us shortlist the top five skills required for all the Indian states (refer table below). Also, It was observed that masons and machine operators are the top two trades that are in demand for every state.
It has been already established, that the only source of formal training, for the infrastructure industry, is through ITIs and in-house industry training programs. Analyzing the share of blue collared workforce catering to the construction sector (refer table below ), it was observed that Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, and Madhya Prasesh train the maximum workforce for this sector.
163
States
Masons
Electrical
Carpenter
Plumber
Welder
Bar Binder
Painter
Fitter
Machine operator
Glazier
Andhra Pradesh Assam Bihar Chhattisgarh Goa Gujarat Haryana Jammu and Kashmir Jharkhand Karnataka Kerala Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Punjab Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttar Pradesh Uttarakhand West Bengal Chandigarh Dadra and Nagar Haveli Daman and Diu Lakshadweep National Capital Territory of Delhi
164
10%
1% 2%
3% 10% 4% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 13% 3% 8% 9%
Andhra Pradesh Chhattisgarh Him achal Pradesh Karnataka Maharashtra Rajasthan Uttarakhand
Assam Gujarat Jam m u and Kashm ir Kerala Orissa Tam il Nadu West Bengal
Bihar Haryana Jharkhand Madhya Pradesh Punjab Uttar Pradesh National Capital Territory of Delhi
During our study it was observed that apart from the ITI/ITC, a number of companies, have started training blue collared workforce internally * . For example, L&T has set up Construction Skill Training Institute at Chennai to brush up the skills of field workers such as masons, plumbers, bar-benders, carpenters, fitters, welders, turners, wiremen and electricians**. It was observed, that percentage share of labor workforce trained by a state, is influenced by the size of the state and the respective state government, and is not in sync with the labor demand of that state. Further, it was also observed that the skill development initiatives run on ad hoc basis also have no relation with the regional demand of the state. In order to sustain Indias aim of achieving inclusive growth, it is imperative that skill development initiatives for training of manpower, be aimed to satisfy regional demand.
* The Economic Times, 2011, Companies take steps to woo blue-collar workforce ** The Hindu ( Business Line), 2011, Cos setting up institutes to train blue-collar workers
165
Millions 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2012 Unskilled 2017 Semi- Skilled Skilled Executive 2022 11.6 2.9 7.1 5.2 4.4 13.6 16.2 3.4 8.3 6.3 4.1 9.8
Transport Infrastructure
Millions 12 0.41 10 0.8 8 6 7.6 4 2 0 2012 Unskilled 2017 Semi- Skilled Skilled Executive 2022 8.1 8.4 0.7 0.32 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.49
166
10 1.02 8 3.2 6 0.70 2.2 4 0.48 1.5 2 0.7 2.7 1.9 0 2012 Unskilled 2017 Semi- Skilled Skilled Executive 2022 1.0 4.0 1.5
Communication Infrastructure
3.4
Unskilled
Semi- Skilled
Skilled
Executive
167
20
2.5 4.2 1.7 0.2 2.9 1.2 0.1 2.2 0.1 10.0 7.4 14.3
16
12
168