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13 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

379.70

270.90

397.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
574

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

288.90

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

353

0.66

COBHAM

273.70

190.10

273.70

Neutral

Buy

304

0.82

MEGGITT

515.50

364.30

515.50

Sell

Sell

440

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1168.00

780.75

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1138

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1303.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1101

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1718.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Sell

1622

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

290.80

173.60

290.80

Neutral

Neutral

277

2.02

INCHCAPE

525.50

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

520

1.48

LOOKERS

101.00

56.50

102.00

Neutral

Neutral

110

1.23

23.25

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

35

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

314.40

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-805

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

744.80

503.20

744.80

Neutral

Buy

941

1.17

58.94

25.29

58.94

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

299.50

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-162

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1583.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3214

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

557.50

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

597

0.55

DIAGEO

2020.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1799

0.55

SABMILLER

3559.00

2348.50

3655.50

Neutral

Buy

4047

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

300.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

668

1.23

CARCLO

385.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

412

0.73

2485.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2036

1.04

254.30

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

348

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2571.00

2080.27

2593.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12242

1.45

VICTREX

1593.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1433

1.14

SYNTHOMER

209.20

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

217

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

216.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

82.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

240

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

214.90

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

930

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

323.30

114.00

323.30

Neutral

Buy

440

1.58

BELLWAY

1308.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1804

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2110.00

1180.00

2140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3225

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

186.00

115.50

186.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

335

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

761.50

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

537

1.20

CARILLION

277.00

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

743

1.12

CLARKE (T)

56.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

0.82

275.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

540

0.57

1375.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

815

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

939.00

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1590

1.01

KELLER

886.50

348.25

890.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2008

1.26

1196.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3178

0.97

70.00

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

207

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

126.00

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

275

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

540.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3195

0.87

16.25

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1102.00

496.69

1109.00

Neutral

Buy

1368

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

212.00

107.30

215.90

Neutral

Buy

273

1.09

SIG

167.00

82.30

170.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.79

2.00

2.00

15.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

49

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

94.50

40.28

96.55

Neutral

Buy

122

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1440.00

906.50

1511.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2446

2.01

WOLSELEY

3320.00

2121.32

3337.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5278

1.46

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1291.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

805

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

677.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

884

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

119.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

258

1.29

INVENSYS

399.70

198.90

399.70

Neutral

Sell

360

1.41

LAIRD

208.30

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

78

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1529.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1232

1.00

RENISHAW

1720.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2475

1.26

SPECTRIS

2163.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Neutral

2316

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.16

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

175.50

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

426

1.58

XAAR

560.00

185.00

560.00

Sell

Sell

244

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

86.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

98

1.28

BODYCOTE

536.50

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

529

1.60

CASTINGS

345.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

729

0.99

VESUVIUS

371.30

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

518

2.20

FENNER

375.00

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

575

1.42

HALMA

521.50

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

412

0.75

HILL & SMITH

440.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

342

1.37

1322.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1434

1.41

287.70

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

563

1.82

2962.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2300

1.00

262.70

177.00

263.30

Neutral

Sell

220

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

40.00

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Sell

30

SPIRAX-SARCO

2775.00

1900.00

2775.00

Sell

Sell

2387

0.84

VITEC GROUP

614.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

617

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2348.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2124

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

402.00

398.50

523.50

Buy

Strong Buy

682

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

288.80

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

186

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

382.20

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

209

0.57

TESCO

375.55

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

266

0.68

82.00

18.88

82.25

Neutral

Sell

61

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1988.00

1167.00

1999.00

Neutral

Neutral

2126

0.62

CRANSWICK

1057.00

732.50

1080.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2100

0.43

DAIRY CREST

467.50

307.00

468.30

Neutral

Neutral

510

0.94

DEVRO

331.20

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

519

0.32

73.75

54.50

134.25

Neutral

Sell

-182

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

862.50

633.50

870.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1565

0.71

2774.00

2007.00

2845.00

Neutral

Neutral

2805

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.00

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.69

451.00

224.40

451.00

Neutral

Sell

383

0.54

1407.00

1000.00

1467.00

Neutral

Sell

1035

1.27

665.00

585.00

728.50

Sell

Sell

296

0.95

36.95

12.67

37.50

Neutral

Buy

41

1.51

138.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.13

28.00

19.50

42.50

Sell

Strong Buy

107

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

395.20

189.00

395.20

Neutral

Buy

530

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

830.00

606.50

855.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1597

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

52.50

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

91

1.25

KINGFISHER

329.50

254.10

329.70

Neutral

Buy

412

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

420.20

312.20

421.60

Neutral

Buy

546

0.65

57.00

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Neutral

63

1.04

324.75

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Buy

361

0.47

NEXT

4567.00

2899.00

4601.00

Neutral

Sell

3945

0.67

TED BAKER

1385.00

830.00

1397.00

Sell

Sell

693

0.55

68.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

141.50

126.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
115

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

790.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

571

0.39

OPTOS

158.00

145.75

257.75

Neutral

Neutral

167

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

766.00

580.00

768.50

Neutral

Sell

688

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

740.00

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

721

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

329.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

299

0.92

84.25

55.25

95.00

Neutral

Buy

106

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1072.00

469.00

1072.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
558

Beta
0.74

544.00

200.30

544.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1299

1.18

64.00

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

48

0.90

306.00

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

524

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

138.80

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

694

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

203.25

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-514

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1262.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1237

0.53

AMLIN

426.30

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

90

0.46

BEAZLEY

231.20

132.50

231.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1292

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

538.00

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2006

0.30

HISCOX

565.50

385.08

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2576

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

883.50

659.00

883.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1719

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

112.50

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

931

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

488.00

345.00

488.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2927

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2397.00

1967.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4070

1.01

98.00

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Buy

109

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

346.90

158.00

346.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

795

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

800.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

687

0.39

GREENE KING

744.50

474.30

744.50

Neutral

Sell

664

0.93

LADBROKES

205.10

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

258

0.93

1946.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1516

1.18

CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

559.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

659

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

355.60

217.40

355.60

Neutral

Sell

322

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

139.60

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

50

1.25

10.00

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

52

1.27

166.00

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

516

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

481.90

272.70

488.10

Neutral

Sell

330

WETHERSPOON (JD)

605.00

371.30

607.50

Neutral

Buy

757

0.69

WHITBREAD

2700.00

1786.00

2700.00

Neutral

Sell

2035

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

426.50

245.70

430.70

Neutral

Sell

262

0.87

MARSTON'S

149.20

94.40

149.20

Neutral

Sell

20

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

323.40

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

712

1.25

CHESNARA

246.25

155.25

250.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

397

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

181.90

106.00

181.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

360

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

215.80

138.70

220.40

Neutral

Neutral

206

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1170.00

660.00

1177.00

Neutral

Sell

1026

1.71

585.50

303.40

585.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1508

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

115.00

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-612

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

806.50

656.00

899.50

Buy

Strong Buy

1810

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

46.50

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

163

1.03

744.50

363.50

744.50

Sell

Strong Buy

4242

1.14
1.00

1007.00

672.50

1007.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7937

INFORMA

507.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-83

1.53

ITE GROUP

291.20

180.00

291.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

245

1.45

ITV

130.60

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1324

1.54

19.00

4.88

19.00

Sell

Buy

808

1.27

1206.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

328

0.63

80.00

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2722

0.79

277.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

902

0.16

34.76

26.85

34.76

Neutral

Sell

-610

0.50

STV GROUP

132.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

274

0.79

ST.IVES

153.00

67.50

153.00

Neutral

Sell

235

1.50

91.00

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-266

1.59

729.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1778

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP

154.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1404

WPP

1124.00

743.00

1124.00

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.35

HIBU

0.40

0.26

3.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

840

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1591.00

1553.00

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1203

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

225.75

215.00

290.30

Neutral

Neutral

228

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

913.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

845

1.41

1917.50

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2857

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

343.90

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

984

#NA

LONMIN

278.80

240.84

478.98

Neutral

Buy

355

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5010.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2967

0.34

RIO TINTO

3037.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2360

1.50

3.38

14.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

0.89

832.50

1299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2102

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1299.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1185.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1240

0.80

BP

465.70

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1561

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

280.60

248.20

310.20

Neutral

Sell

-17

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

8.05

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14

0.82

831.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

447

1.31
1.36

71.00

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

302

392.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

286

1.43

2319.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9426

0.84

387.90

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

248

0.53

1012.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

904

1.04

810.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

799

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

115.50

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

254

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

391.70

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

322

0.69

4659.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4701

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.44

0.36

3.68

Buy

Sell

1.01

3342.50

2591.00

3390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6527

0.47

BTG

351.90

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

168

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

698.50

449.25

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

726

0.25

1670.00

1317.50

1687.50

Neutral

Sell

1574

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.10

1.55

4.08

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2019.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1371

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

43.50

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-134

0.73

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

36

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

423.00

274.50

423.00

Neutral

Sell

-612

1.18

BRITISH LAND

625.50

475.40

625.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1810

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.50

22.75

35.50

Sell

Strong Buy

163

0.85

959.50

595.00

959.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4242

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2425.00

1708.00

2425.00

Sell

Strong Buy

7937

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

161.75

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-83

0.99

GRAINGER

149.50

83.10

149.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

245

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

572.00

367.80

572.00

Strong Sell

Strong Buy

1324

1.10

HAMMERSON

547.50

409.20

547.50

Neutral

Buy

808

1.19

HELICAL BAR

266.00

164.00

266.00

Neutral

Buy

328

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

920.00

704.00

920.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2722

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

343.80

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

902

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

145.00

127.00

145.00

Neutral

Sell

-610

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

420.00

325.00

420.00

Sell

Sell

274

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

333.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

235

0.35

70.00

32.50

70.00

Sell

Sell

-266

1.19

SAVILLS

590.00

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1778

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

639.50

492.00

639.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1404

1.05

SEGRO

283.20

209.40

283.20

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

296.90

145.50

296.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

840

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

208.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-17

1.01

UNITE GROUP

364.00

180.25

364.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1197

1.03

388.60

213.25

390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1362

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

129.00

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

123

0.73

2253.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1322

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

448.00

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1355

1.00

KOFAX

320.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

323

1.11

26.75

18.25

26.75

Sell

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

685.00

431.48

706.00

Neutral

Buy

993

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

142.00

131.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

310

0.74

72.50

70.25

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-92

0.52

1889.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Buy

2087

0.76

350.60

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

419

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

464.80

237.30

468.00

Neutral

Sell

143

BREWIN DOLPHIN

204.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

118

0.73

10100.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

8896

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

403.50

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

199

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

180.00

135.87

190.00

Neutral

Sell

128

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1054.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

208

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

97.45

65.90

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

101

0.89

3.25

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

26

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

174.30

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

62

1.44

ICAP

301.00

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

228

1.07
1.70

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

433.10

227.30

433.10

Neutral

Sell

150

INVESTEC

491.00

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

113

1.56

1349.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5935

1.15

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

125.70

63.25

125.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1499.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1096

0.75

SCHRODERS

2441.00

1166.00

2441.00

Neutral

Sell

1173

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1916.00

966.00

1916.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3788

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

210.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

292

0.92

AGGREKO

1765.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1308

1.05

AMEC

1068.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1137

1.04

591.50

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

321

1.63

1074.00

793.50

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

666

0.48

554.00

324.00

557.00

Neutral

Buy

805

0.76

1288.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

988

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

425.00

214.00

445.00

Neutral

Neutral

443

0.39

CAPITA

921.50

602.00

921.50

Neutral

Sell

527

0.51

55.88

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

67

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

851.50

616.00

856.50

Neutral

Sell

607

BERENDSEN

752.50

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

985

1.05

DE LA RUE

946.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

597

#NA

DIGNITY

1446.00

803.50

1446.00

Neutral

Sell

825

0.22

DIPLOMA

599.50

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

490

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

258.60

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

323

1.04

FILTRONA

748.00

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

349

1.13

G4S

247.70

240.00

313.50

Buy

Buy

293

0.58

95.05

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

122

1.10

HOMESERVE

214.70

137.50

249.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

494

0.94

INTERSERVE

492.30

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

687

1.28

3359.00

2456.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1458

0.78

43.50

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

95

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

31.00

21.25

36.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

55

MENZIES (JOHN)

790.50

542.00

790.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1298

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

384.10

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

321

1.42

MITIE GROUP

272.10

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

343

0.55

93.50

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

239

0.33

PAYPOINT

848.00

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

696

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

224.50

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

291

1.33

REGUS

170.00

82.65

170.20

Neutral

Sell

107

1.46

92.05

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

55

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

526.00

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

534

0.90

RICARDO

385.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

473

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

215.00

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

309

1.24

RPC GROUP

398.30

351.00

477.00

Neutral

Buy

536

0.78

RPS GROUP

233.90

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

248

1.51

SERCO GROUP

624.50

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

581

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

84.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

169

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

48.00

22.25

50.00

Neutral

Neutral

52

1.26

152.00

73.50

153.00

Neutral

Sell

51

0.63

52.00

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

61

0.93

340.00

235.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

0.86

78.88

42.00

78.88

Sell

Strong Buy

185

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

13 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

309.50

200.70

309.50

Sell

Buy

354

42.80

27.28

43.08

Neutral

Strong Buy

85

0.70

714.00

390.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

620

0.53

Beta
0.91

86.25

67.00

86.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

135

1.24

1237.00

695.00

1239.00

Sell

Sell

765

0.09

194.35

154.45

197.20

Neutral

Sell

175

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

273.00

178.00

273.00

Sell

Sell

Target
180

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

415.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

463

0.98

CLARKSON

1650.00

1150.00

1673.00

Sell

Sell

1496

0.80

EASYJET

1153.00

481.20

1153.00

Neutral

Sell

682

0.77

FIRST GROUP

216.60

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

573

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

960.00

535.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

403

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1527.00

1086.00

1558.00

Neutral

Buy

1890

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

215.00

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

256

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

337.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

621

STAGECOACH GROUP

311.90

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

368

0.89

54.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

377.50

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

511

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

823.00

641.00

825.50

Neutral

Neutral

886

0.50

PENNON GROUP

666.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

824

0.59

SSE

1577.00

1294.00

1577.00

Neutral

Buy

1833

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1827.00

1513.00

1828.00

Neutral

Sell

1604

0.35

738.50

617.50

747.50

Neutral

Neutral

713

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

13 May 2013
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