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14 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

389.50

270.90

397.30

Neutral

Buy

Target
578

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

291.00

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

355

0.66

COBHAM

275.00

190.10

275.00

Neutral

Buy

305

0.82

MEGGITT

516.00

364.30

516.00

Sell

Sell

442

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1184.00

780.75

1184.00

Neutral

Neutral

1145

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1300.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1109

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1719.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Sell

1632

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

287.80

173.60

290.80

Neutral

Neutral

275

2.02

INCHCAPE

527.00

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

521

1.48

LOOKERS

101.00

56.50

102.00

Neutral

Neutral

110

1.23

24.00

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Buy

35

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

312.55

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-807

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

739.60

503.20

744.80

Neutral

Buy

933

1.17

58.09

25.29

58.94

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

297.40

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-164

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1552.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3196

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

555.50

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

597

0.55

DIAGEO

2037.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1809

0.55

SABMILLER

3583.00

2348.50

3655.50

Neutral

Buy

4074

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

297.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

666

1.23

CARCLO

374.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Buy

412

0.73

2506.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2043

1.04

246.90

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

347

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2620.00

2080.27

2620.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12269

1.45

VICTREX

1604.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1434

1.14

SYNTHOMER

211.20

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

215

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

216.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

82.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

240

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

216.20

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

926

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

314.10

114.00

323.30

Neutral

Buy

440

1.58

BELLWAY

1276.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1798

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2110.00

1180.00

2140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3222

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

186.50

115.50

186.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

334

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

747.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

536

1.20

CARILLION

271.30

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

739

1.12

CLARKE (T)

56.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

250

0.82

270.50

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

539

0.57

1382.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

806

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

940.50

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1582

1.01

KELLER

860.50

348.25

890.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2004

1.26

1199.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3165

0.97

70.00

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

206

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

126.00

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

274

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

544.50

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3182

0.87

15.75

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1080.00

496.69

1109.00

Neutral

Buy

1364

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

212.00

107.30

215.90

Neutral

Buy

272

1.09

SIG

168.00

82.30

170.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.79

2.00

2.00

14.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

48

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

93.45

40.28

96.55

Neutral

Buy

122

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1456.00

906.50

1511.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2436

2.01

WOLSELEY

3343.00

2121.32

3343.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5273

1.46

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1295.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

818

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

675.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

899

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

123.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

263

1.29

INVENSYS

396.10

198.90

399.70

Neutral

Sell

366

1.41

LAIRD

204.10

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

73

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1511.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1252

1.00

RENISHAW

1785.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2520

1.26

SPECTRIS

2154.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Neutral

2359

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.16

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

177.75

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

433

1.58

XAAR

595.00

185.00

595.00

Sell

Sell

249

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

84.25

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

98

1.28

BODYCOTE

537.50

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

531

1.60

CASTINGS

342.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.99

VESUVIUS

372.70

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

519

2.20

FENNER

370.00

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

577

1.42

HALMA

526.50

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

413

0.75

HILL & SMITH

449.25

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

343

1.37

1319.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1438

1.41

282.50

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

564

1.82

2967.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2307

1.00

264.80

177.00

264.80

Sell

Sell

221

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

40.25

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Sell

30

SPIRAX-SARCO

2804.00

1900.00

2804.00

Sell

Sell

2395

0.84

VITEC GROUP

607.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

619

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2402.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2131

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

402.00

398.50

523.50

Buy

Strong Buy

691

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

291.80

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

185

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

389.80

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

208

0.57

TESCO

375.55

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

266

0.68

86.50

18.88

86.50

Sell

Sell

64

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1993.00

1167.00

1999.00

Neutral

Neutral

2136

0.62

CRANSWICK

1056.00

732.50

1080.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2109

0.43

DAIRY CREST

470.90

307.00

470.90

Neutral

Neutral

512

0.94

DEVRO

333.30

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

522

0.32

74.25

54.50

134.25

Neutral

Sell

-181

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

864.50

633.50

870.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1572

0.71

2790.00

2007.00

2845.00

Neutral

Neutral

2816

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.50

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.69

449.00

224.40

451.00

Neutral

Sell

382

0.54

1408.00

1000.00

1455.00

Neutral

Sell

1030

1.27

631.50

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

294

0.95

36.84

12.67

37.50

Neutral

Neutral

40

1.51

136.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.13

29.00

19.50

42.13

Sell

Strong Buy

107

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

396.20

189.00

396.20

Neutral

Buy

527

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

844.00

606.50

855.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1586

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

52.25

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

91

1.25

KINGFISHER

330.60

254.10

330.60

Neutral

Buy

409

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

423.60

312.20

423.60

Neutral

Buy

543

0.65

56.25

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

62

1.04

325.00

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Buy

361

0.47

NEXT

4592.00

2899.00

4601.00

Neutral

Sell

3929

0.67

TED BAKER

1351.00

830.00

1397.00

Neutral

Sell

690

0.55

65.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

145.50

126.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
116

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

788.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

578

0.39

OPTOS

156.25

145.75

257.00

Neutral

Neutral

168

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

769.00

580.00

769.00

Neutral

Sell

690

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

740.00

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

721

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

329.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

299

0.92

84.13

55.25

93.50

Neutral

Buy

106

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1068.00

469.00

1072.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
556

Beta
0.74

535.00

200.30

544.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1284

1.18

63.00

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

47

0.90

311.90

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

523

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

137.70

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

692

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

201.50

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-506

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1263.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1226

0.53

AMLIN

428.60

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

79

0.46

BEAZLEY

230.70

132.50

231.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1296

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

537.50

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2025

0.30

HISCOX

570.50

385.08

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2584

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

888.00

659.00

888.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1723

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

112.50

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

935

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

492.00

345.00

492.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2927

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2364.00

1967.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4071

1.01

99.85

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Neutral

109

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

350.50

158.00

350.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

795

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

800.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

688

0.39

GREENE KING

747.00

474.30

747.00

Neutral

Sell

664

0.93

LADBROKES

206.50

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

258

0.93

1949.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1514

1.18

CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

553.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

659

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

366.10

217.40

366.10

Sell

Sell

322

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

140.40

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

51

1.25

10.00

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

52

1.27

161.00

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

515

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

477.80

272.70

488.10

Neutral

Sell

330

WETHERSPOON (JD)

605.00

371.30

607.50

Neutral

Buy

757

0.69

WHITBREAD

2702.00

1786.00

2702.00

Neutral

Sell

2034

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

427.20

245.70

430.70

Neutral

Sell

262

0.87

MARSTON'S

150.30

94.40

150.30

Neutral

Sell

20

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

319.90

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

713

1.25

CHESNARA

257.00

155.25

257.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

399

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

181.10

106.00

181.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

360

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

216.30

138.70

220.40

Neutral

Neutral

208

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1162.00

660.00

1177.00

Neutral

Sell

1029

1.71

586.50

303.40

586.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1498

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

115.75

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-629

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

815.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1842

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

46.25

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

166

1.03

740.00

363.50

744.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4314

1.14
1.00

1010.00

672.50

1010.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8054

INFORMA

505.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-86

1.53

ITE GROUP

288.30

180.00

291.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

250

1.45

ITV

130.40

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1352

1.54

18.25

4.88

19.00

Sell

Strong Buy

824

1.27

1197.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

335

0.63

77.75

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2768

0.79

277.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

918

0.16

34.86

26.85

34.86

Neutral

Sell

-626

0.50

STV GROUP

132.00

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

278

0.79

ST.IVES

152.75

67.50

153.00

Neutral

Sell

241

1.50

90.50

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-272

1.59

727.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1796

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP

156.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1428

WPP

1125.00

743.00

1125.00

Neutral

Sell

-543

1.35

HIBU

0.41

0.26

3.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

855

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1577.00

1553.00

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1206

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

229.00

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

230

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

940.50

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

853

1.41

1911.50

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2889

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

345.30

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

991

#NA

LONMIN

286.00

240.84

454.24

Neutral

Buy

354

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5060.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2992

0.34

RIO TINTO

3001.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2361

1.50

3.38

14.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

166

0.89

832.50

1299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2130

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1280.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1185.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1246

0.80

BP

465.55

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1569

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

279.60

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-20

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.88

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14

0.82

851.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

450

1.31
1.36

67.50

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

303

393.00

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

288

1.43

2331.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9472

0.84

389.20

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

249

0.53

1023.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

908

1.04

819.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

806

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

116.75

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

255

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

391.30

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

322

0.69

4709.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4749

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.41

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

1.01

3338.00

2591.00

3390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6518

0.47

BTG

345.20

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

168

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

699.00

456.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

725

0.25

1685.50

1317.50

1687.50

Neutral

Sell

1571

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.10

1.55

4.00

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2027.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1369

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

45.50

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-135

0.73

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

36

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

426.20

274.50

426.20

Neutral

Sell

-629

1.18

BRITISH LAND

621.00

475.40

625.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1842

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.50

22.75

35.50

Sell

Strong Buy

166

0.85

980.00

595.00

980.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4314

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2425.00

1708.00

2425.00

Sell

Strong Buy

8054

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

168.00

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-86

0.99

GRAINGER

150.60

83.10

150.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

250

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

572.50

367.80

572.50

Strong Sell

Strong Buy

1352

1.10

HAMMERSON

547.00

409.20

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

824

1.19

HELICAL BAR

276.00

164.00

276.00

Neutral

Buy

335

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

925.00

704.00

925.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2768

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

344.30

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

918

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

145.38

127.00

145.38

Neutral

Sell

-626

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

437.50

325.00

437.50

Sell

Sell

278

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

333.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

241

0.35

70.75

32.50

70.75

Sell

Sell

-272

1.19

SAVILLS

585.00

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1796

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

639.50

492.00

639.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1428

1.05

SEGRO

285.70

209.40

285.70

Neutral

Sell

-543

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

307.90

145.50

307.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

855

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

214.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-18

1.01

UNITE GROUP

370.00

180.25

370.00

Neutral

Sell

54

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1209

1.03

387.60

213.25

390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1384

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

128.50

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

123

0.73

2256.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1322

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

446.70

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1355

1.00

KOFAX

322.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

324

1.11

26.75

18.25

26.75

Sell

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

686.00

431.48

706.00

Neutral

Buy

992

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

139.00

131.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

311

0.74

73.88

70.25

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-91

0.52

1901.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Neutral

2087

0.76

351.00

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

419

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

460.20

237.30

468.00

Neutral

Sell

145

BREWIN DOLPHIN

209.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

119

0.73

9950.50

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

9034

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

399.50

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

200

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

135.87

190.00

Neutral

Sell

129

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1055.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

214

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

94.95

66.15

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

101

0.89

3.28

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

173.20

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

63

1.44

ICAP

297.40

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

230

1.07

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

437.30

227.30

437.30

Neutral

Sell

156

1.70

INVESTEC

493.20

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

115

1.56

1339.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Sell

-60431

1.15

124.60

63.25

125.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

484

1.32

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1499.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1103

0.75

SCHRODERS

2440.00

1166.00

2441.00

Neutral

Sell

1183

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1927.00

966.00

1927.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3789

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

219.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

294

0.92

AGGREKO

1764.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1315

1.05

AMEC

1069.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1146

1.04

597.50

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

324

1.63

1089.00

799.00

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

672

0.48

559.00

324.00

559.00

Neutral

Buy

811

0.76

1304.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

997

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

425.00

214.00

445.00

Neutral

Neutral

447

0.39

CAPITA

942.50

602.00

942.50

Neutral

Sell

531

0.51

56.00

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

68

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

860.00

616.00

860.00

Neutral

Sell

612

BERENDSEN

762.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

992

1.05

DE LA RUE

945.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

603

#NA

DIGNITY

1462.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Sell

827

0.22

DIPLOMA

582.00

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

493

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

260.40

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

325

1.04

FILTRONA

743.50

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

352

1.13

G4S

256.10

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Buy

295

0.58

95.00

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

123

1.10

HOMESERVE

213.40

137.50

249.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

496

0.94

INTERSERVE

496.00

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

693

1.28

3383.00

2456.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1469

0.78

43.88

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

95

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.38

21.25

35.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

56

MENZIES (JOHN)

788.50

542.00

790.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1309

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

390.30

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

323

1.42

MITIE GROUP

269.90

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

346

0.55

97.00

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

241

0.33

PAYPOINT

844.00

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

700

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

223.60

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

293

1.33

REGUS

177.50

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

108

1.46

92.55

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

55

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

528.00

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

538

0.90

RICARDO

385.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

476

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

214.50

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

312

1.24

RPC GROUP

398.60

351.00

477.00

Neutral

Buy

541

0.78

RPS GROUP

232.60

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

250

1.51

SERCO GROUP

634.00

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

586

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

83.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

170

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

51.00

22.25

51.00

Neutral

Neutral

53

1.26

150.75

73.75

153.00

Neutral

Sell

51

0.63

51.25

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

62

0.93

335.00

235.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

630

0.86

78.88

42.00

78.88

Sell

Strong Buy

186

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

305.80

200.70

309.50

Neutral

Buy

350

43.03

27.28

43.08

Neutral

Strong Buy

84

0.70

700.00

390.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

612

0.53

Beta
0.91

86.75

67.00

86.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

1.24

1225.00

695.00

1239.00

Neutral

Sell

760

0.09

193.50

154.45

197.20

Neutral

Sell

172

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

272.00

178.00

273.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
178

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

407.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

458

0.98

CLARKSON

1616.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1482

0.80

EASYJET

1142.00

481.20

1153.00

Neutral

Sell

675

0.77

FIRST GROUP

218.80

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

565

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

944.00

535.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

398

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1520.00

1086.00

1558.00

Neutral

Buy

1866

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

212.00

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

252

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

336.50

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

614

STAGECOACH GROUP

313.10

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

366

0.89

54.25

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

380.80

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

514

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

834.50

641.00

834.50

Neutral

Neutral

889

0.50

PENNON GROUP

665.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

828

0.59

SSE

1592.00

1294.00

1592.00

Neutral

Buy

1844

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1825.00

1513.00

1828.00

Neutral

Sell

1611

0.35

739.50

617.50

747.50

Neutral

Neutral

716

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

14 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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