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16 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

400.90

270.90

400.90

Neutral

Buy

Target
588

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

293.30

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

358

0.66

COBHAM

280.10

190.10

280.10

Neutral

Buy

310

0.82

MEGGITT

519.00

364.30

521.50

Neutral

Sell

448

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1225.00

780.75

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1172

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1315.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1130

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1747.00

1424.00

1747.00

Neutral

Neutral

1663

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

292.40

173.60

292.40

Neutral

Neutral

278

2.02

INCHCAPE

526.50

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

520

1.48

LOOKERS

100.00

56.50

102.00

Neutral

Buy

110

1.23

23.75

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Buy

35

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

318.65

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-802

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

754.40

503.20

754.40

Neutral

Buy

943

1.17

59.37

25.29

59.37

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

307.00

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-156

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1577.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3216

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

565.00

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

606

0.55

DIAGEO

2059.50

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1835

0.55

SABMILLER

3657.00

2348.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4146

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

306.90

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

679

1.23

CARCLO

374.25

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Buy

426

0.73

2580.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2068

1.04

247.10

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

353

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2649.00

2080.27

2649.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12748

1.45

VICTREX

1631.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1450

1.14

SYNTHOMER

225.00

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

215

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

193.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

393

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

88.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

245

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

227.80

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

943

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

329.10

114.00

329.10

Neutral

Buy

449

1.58

BELLWAY

1311.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1833

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2170.00

1180.00

2170.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3297

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

190.50

115.50

190.50

Sell

Strong Buy

340

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

753.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

546

1.20

CARILLION

255.00

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

751

1.12

CLARKE (T)

54.50

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

254

0.82

279.50

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

551

0.57

1410.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

831

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

983.50

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1610

1.01

KELLER

934.00

348.25

934.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2046

1.26

1206.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3225

0.97

70.50

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

211

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

124.50

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

280

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

551.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3241

0.87

16.00

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1147.00

496.69

1147.00

Sell

Buy

1391

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

218.90

107.30

218.90

Neutral

Buy

277

1.09

SIG

172.60

82.30

172.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

1.79

2.00

2.00

14.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

50

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

96.95

40.28

96.95

Neutral

Buy

124

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1483.00

906.50

1511.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2484

2.01

WOLSELEY

3379.00

2121.32

3379.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5385

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1335.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

830

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

672.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

911

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

125.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

1.29

INVENSYS

394.20

198.90

399.70

Neutral

Sell

372

1.41

LAIRD

206.10

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

76

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1511.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1270

1.00

RENISHAW

1751.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2549

1.26

SPECTRIS

2135.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2396

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.14

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

176.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

441

1.58

XAAR

639.00

185.00

639.00

Sell

Sell

253

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

84.25

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

101

1.28

BODYCOTE

545.00

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

529

1.60

CASTINGS

339.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

727

0.99

VESUVIUS

363.10

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

520

2.20

FENNER

366.00

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

574

1.42

HALMA

525.50

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

410

0.75

HILL & SMITH

451.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

344

1.37

1326.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1424

1.41

281.10

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

560

1.82

2883.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2281

1.00

265.10

177.00

266.70

Neutral

Sell

220

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

40.25

35.40

99.42

Neutral

Sell

31

SPIRAX-SARCO

2812.00

1900.00

2822.00

Sell

Sell

2375

0.84

VITEC GROUP

592.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

618

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2415.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2115

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

400.00

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

687

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

283.10

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

181

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

377.30

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

201

0.57

TESCO

375.40

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

261

0.68

87.50

18.88

87.50

Sell

Sell

64

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

2031.00

1167.00

2031.00

Sell

Neutral

2176

0.62

CRANSWICK

1078.00

732.50

1082.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2149

0.43

DAIRY CREST

477.60

309.50

477.60

Neutral

Neutral

522

0.94

DEVRO

340.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

0.32

73.25

54.50

130.25

Neutral

Sell

-184

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

874.00

633.50

874.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1603

0.71

2852.00

2007.00

2852.00

Neutral

Neutral

2852

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.63

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.69

447.30

224.40

451.00

Neutral

Sell

384

0.54

1423.00

1000.00

1455.00

Neutral

Sell

1036

1.27

634.50

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

296

0.95

36.51

12.67

37.50

Neutral

Buy

41

1.51

142.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

54

1.13

31.00

19.50

39.50

Sell

Strong Buy

108

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

402.00

189.00

402.00

Neutral

Buy

531

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

832.00

606.50

855.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1597

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

54.00

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

93

1.25

KINGFISHER

326.70

254.10

330.60

Neutral

Buy

412

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

436.00

312.20

436.00

Neutral

Buy

548

0.65

56.25

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

63

1.04

338.25

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Buy

373

0.47

NEXT

4615.00

2899.00

4615.00

Neutral

Sell

3950

0.67

TED BAKER

1363.00

840.00

1397.00

Neutral

Sell

695

0.55

66.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.50

126.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
115

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

775.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

574

0.39

OPTOS

160.00

145.75

257.00

Neutral

Neutral

169

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

780.00

580.00

780.00

Neutral

Sell

698

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

737.50

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

718

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

337.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

298

0.92

80.63

55.25

90.50

Neutral

Buy

105

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1097.00

469.00

1097.00

Sell

Sell

Target
564

Beta
0.74

549.00

200.30

549.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1294

1.18

62.38

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

48

0.90

316.80

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

530

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

136.30

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

705

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

214.75

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-494

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1283.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1257

0.53

AMLIN

434.00

312.90

434.00

Neutral

Sell

82

0.46

BEAZLEY

233.30

132.50

233.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1303

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

539.00

399.00

541.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2028

0.30

HISCOX

570.00

385.08

575.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2596

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

914.50

659.00

914.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1735

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

113.50

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

938

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

492.00

345.00

492.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2936

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2389.00

1969.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4178

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

111.40

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Neutral

115

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

355.40

158.00

355.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

810

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

800.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

705

0.39

GREENE KING

756.00

474.30

756.00

Sell

Sell

682

0.93

LADBROKES

211.30

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

262

0.93

1954.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1537

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

551.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

674

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

377.20

217.40

377.20

Sell

Sell

332

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

143.20

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

50

1.25

11.50

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

54

1.27

157.80

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

523

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

519.00

277.00

519.00

Neutral

Sell

336

WETHERSPOON (JD)

640.00

375.40

640.00

Neutral

Buy

773

0.69

WHITBREAD

2701.00

1786.00

2710.00

Neutral

Sell

2074

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

435.90

245.70

435.90

Neutral

Sell

267

0.87

MARSTON'S

152.40

94.40

152.40

Neutral

Sell

22

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

323.10

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

729

1.25

CHESNARA

259.75

155.25

259.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

408

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

186.30

106.00

186.30

Sell

Strong Buy

369

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

221.00

138.70

221.00

Neutral

Neutral

212

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1181.00

660.00

1181.00

Neutral

Sell

1051

1.71

605.50

303.40

605.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1520

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

116.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-610

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

826.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1834

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

34.13

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

1.03

763.50

363.50

763.50

Sell

Strong Buy

4322

1.14
1.00

1030.00

672.50

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8063

INFORMA

504.50

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-78

1.53

ITE GROUP

291.40

180.00

293.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

254

1.45

ITV

129.20

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1339

1.54

18.25

4.88

19.00

Sell

Buy

822

1.27

1206.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

335

0.63

81.00

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2765

0.79

277.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

921

0.16

34.94

26.85

35.01

Neutral

Sell

-608

0.50

STV GROUP

134.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

282

0.79

ST.IVES

151.50

67.50

153.00

Neutral

Sell

245

1.50

92.75

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-268

1.59

733.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1808

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP

158.75

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1426

WPP

1156.00

743.00

1156.00

Neutral

Sell

-525

1.35

HIBU

0.40

0.26

3.22

Neutral

Strong Buy

852

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1544.00

1544.00

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1175

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

244.00

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Sell

230

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

919.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

850

1.41

1905.00

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2865

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

333.80

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

973

#NA

LONMIN

268.10

240.84

422.33

Neutral

Buy

343

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4800.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2970

0.34

RIO TINTO

2914.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2295

1.50

3.38

13.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

0.89

832.50

1299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2094

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1253.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1222.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1251

0.80

BP

467.60

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1571

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

276.30

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-19

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.88

7.66

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

14

0.82

860.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

450

1.31
1.36

67.25

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

304

379.50

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

288

1.43

2300.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9498

0.84

390.40

264.20

404.30

Neutral

Sell

251

0.53

1043.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

920

1.04

801.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

803

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

117.00

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

249

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

381.40

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

316

0.69

4780.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4814

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.44

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

1.01

3374.50

2591.00

3390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6622

0.47

BTG

354.00

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

170

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

701.00

460.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

734

0.25

1717.50

1317.50

1717.50

Neutral

Sell

1597

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.15

1.55

3.70

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2040.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1388

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

45.50

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-135

0.73

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

36

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

426.70

274.50

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-610

1.18

BRITISH LAND

634.00

475.40

634.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1834

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

36.13

22.75

36.13

Sell

Strong Buy

164

0.85

980.50

595.00

991.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4322

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2504.00

1708.00

2504.00

Sell

Strong Buy

8063

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

173.50

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-78

0.99

GRAINGER

154.40

83.10

154.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

254

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

590.50

367.80

590.50

Strong Sell

Strong Buy

1339

1.10

HAMMERSON

554.00

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Buy

822

1.19

HELICAL BAR

280.00

164.00

280.00

Neutral

Buy

335

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

985.00

704.00

985.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2765

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

356.90

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

921

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

144.50

127.00

145.38

Neutral

Sell

-608

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

400.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

282

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

332.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

245

0.35

76.00

32.50

76.00

Sell

Sell

-268

1.19

SAVILLS

600.00

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1808

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

657.00

492.00

657.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1426

1.05

SEGRO

295.60

209.40

295.60

Sell

Sell

-525

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

329.10

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

852

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

219.50

147.00

219.50

Neutral

Sell

-11

1.01

UNITE GROUP

387.50

180.25

387.50

Neutral

Sell

55

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1216

1.03

395.00

215.50

395.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1385

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

127.50

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

123

0.73

2285.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1325

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

442.00

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1360

1.00

KOFAX

327.75

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

325

1.11

27.50

18.25

27.50

Sell

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

676.50

431.48

706.00

Neutral

Buy

1002

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

137.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

311

0.74

69.00

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-92

0.52

1922.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Neutral

2092

0.76

352.20

247.70

357.00

Neutral

Buy

420

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

476.40

237.30

476.40

Neutral

Sell

155

BREWIN DOLPHIN

209.40

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

125

0.73

9825.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Neutral

9679

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

389.00

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

210

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

140.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

139

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1081.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

254

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

92.25

67.75

110.40

Neutral

Buy

103

0.89

3.16

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

178.10

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

68

1.44

ICAP

338.80

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

245

1.07
1.70

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

451.80

227.30

451.80

Neutral

Sell

184

INVESTEC

502.00

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

139

1.56

1406.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3852

1.15

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

124.90

63.25

125.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

471

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1496.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1138

0.75

SCHRODERS

2560.00

1166.00

2560.00

Sell

Sell

1238

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

2000.00

966.00

2000.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3886

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

213.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

299

0.92

AGGREKO

1750.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1328

1.05

AMEC

1065.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1159

1.04

632.50

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

327

1.63

1149.00

827.00

1163.00

Neutral

Sell

680

0.48

562.00

324.00

562.00

Neutral

Buy

820

0.76

1329.00

990.00

1329.00

Neutral

Sell

1010

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

448.00

214.00

448.00

Neutral

Neutral

452

0.39

CAPITA

947.50

602.00

947.50

Neutral

Sell

537

0.51

55.50

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

69

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

878.00

616.00

878.00

Neutral

Sell

619

BERENDSEN

768.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

1004

1.05

DE LA RUE

962.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

612

#NA

DIGNITY

1431.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Sell

829

0.22

DIPLOMA

571.50

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

497

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

264.00

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

329

1.04

FILTRONA

742.00

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

356

1.13

G4S

250.00

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Buy

299

0.58

96.00

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

124

1.10

HOMESERVE

216.30

137.50

248.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

501

0.94

INTERSERVE

507.50

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

703

1.28

3453.00

2456.00

3453.00

Neutral

Sell

1485

0.78

44.25

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

97

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.50

21.25

34.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

57

MENZIES (JOHN)

801.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1324

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

393.60

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

326

1.42

MITIE GROUP

271.90

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

350

0.55

92.50

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

0.33

PAYPOINT

888.50

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

706

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

226.00

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

294

1.33

REGUS

175.40

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

109

1.46

94.25

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

56

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

537.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

544

0.90

RICARDO

408.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

482

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

216.62

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

316

1.24

RPC GROUP

401.90

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Buy

547

0.78

RPS GROUP

237.30

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

253

1.51

SERCO GROUP

631.50

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

593

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

82.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

173

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

52.50

22.25

53.25

Neutral

Neutral

53

1.26

151.37

73.75

153.50

Neutral

Sell

52

0.63

53.00

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

63

0.93

333.00

237.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

638

0.86

78.88

42.00

78.88

Sell

Strong Buy

187

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

16 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

312.60

200.70

312.60

Neutral

Buy

348

43.31

27.28

43.31

Neutral

Strong Buy

84

0.70

670.00

390.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

604

0.53

Beta
0.91

86.95

67.00

87.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

1.24

1217.00

695.00

1239.00

Neutral

Sell

759

0.09

195.20

154.45

197.20

Neutral

Sell

171

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

272.50

178.00

273.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
182

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

420.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

467

0.98

CLARKSON

1650.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1504

0.80

EASYJET

1224.00

481.20

1224.00

Neutral

Sell

689

0.77

FIRST GROUP

222.70

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

580

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

950.00

535.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

408

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1538.00

1086.00

1558.00

Neutral

Buy

1912

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

211.50

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

259

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

335.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

STAGECOACH GROUP

313.00

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

371

0.89

54.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

385.90

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

526

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

844.50

641.00

847.00

Neutral

Buy

939

0.50

PENNON GROUP

696.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

866

0.59

SSE

1591.00

1294.00

1611.00

Neutral

Buy

1872

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2090.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1705

0.35

762.50

617.50

762.50

Neutral

Neutral

755

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

16 May 2013
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