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2012 /2013
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CONTENTS
Page 3 Introduction
WWW.PROZONESPORTS.COM @PROZONESPORTS
INTRODUCTION
Welcome to the first edition of Prozones new end-of-season reports. Reflecting the progressive work weve been undertaking in the field of advanced analytics, these reports present the story of the Premier League season through a range of innovative new metrics and performance benchmarks. Over the following pages youll find 2012/13 Premier League trends, team-by-team reports and a summary of this seasons transfer activity. We hope you find the analysis to be both useful and insightful. If you have any questions about the reports or would like to find out how Prozone can further support you with the application of analytics, email insight@prozonesports.com. Enjoy your summer. Kind Regards,
SEASON TRENDS
The analysts in our Performance Analysis Centre have looked at team and player outputs in the Premier League through a series of innovative metrics to provide a series of insights into performance trends in the league this season. All data correct as of 16th May 2013.
Level Scores
1 Goal Up
Ar
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Pa rk
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Su
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Sw
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This chart illustrates how effectively teams were able to control games at different states. Highlighting % of match possession when teams were a goal down, level, or a goal up, it gives us an indication of how effectively teams use the ball in different situations.
Level Scores
1 Goal Up
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W es
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Br
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Showing the % of match final third entries Premier League teams had during different match states, this chart shows how effective teams were at getting forward and posing an attacking threat when behind, level, or ahead.
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Br
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Level Scores
1 Goal Up
Ch
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Sw an
ca st le
H am
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St
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Pa rk
So ut
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Su
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Demonstrating the efficiency of teams shooting in a variety of game situations, this chart gives us an indication of how dangerous different clubs are in from of goal when faced with deficits, draws and leads.
17.0
W es t
Average Shots
15.0
Newcastle United
Manchester United
13.0
Queens Park Rangers
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion Wigan Athletic Fulham Swansea City Aston Villa Sunderland
11.0
Stoke City
Norwich City
Reading
12.0%
1 3.0%
14.0%
1 5.0%
% of shots scored
Plotting the average number of shots per game for each team against the % of shots scored, this crosshair chart provides us with an overview of chance conversion for every club in the Premier League.
ig a
At
GOAL EFFICIENCY
Goalscoring Efficiency: Goals For & Against Per 1000 Possessions
4.0
Low goalscoring efficiency High opposition goalscoring efficiency
Wigan Athletic
3.5
Newcastle United
Reading
3.0
Goals conceded per 1000 opposition individual possessions
Fulham
Queens Park Rangers Norwich City Tottenham Hotspur West Ham Swansea City United Sunderland Stoke City West Bromwich Albion Liverpool Arsenal Everton
2.5
2.0
Manchester City
1.5
1.0 1.5
Presenting goals for and against per 1,000 possessions, the Goal Efficiency chart sorts teams by their goal scoring efficiency as well as that of their opponents to provide a basic summary of both offensive and defensive strength.
By looking at the location and outcome of all shots in the Premier League over the last six seasons, we are able to assign each shot a probability of resulting in a goal. When we apply this methodology to the current campaign, we can determine which players are scoring more goals than would be expected according to the chance each shot has of finding the net.
Using the same methodology as the Goal Residual metric, we are able to determine the number of goals wed expect a goalkeeper to concede in the number of games theyve played this season. By measuring the actual number of Goals Conceded against Expected Goals Conceded, we can provide a figure for Residual Goals Conceded which reflects the level of a goalkeepers performance over the course of the season.
While the quantity of goals a player scores reflects the quality of their performances to an extent, the context of those goals is equally as important. This chart highlights the players that have scored the highest percentage of their teams goals and the proportion of those goals that either levelled the score or put them in the lead.
CLUB PROFILES
In this section youll find individual analytical profiles for each Premier League club. All data correct as of 16th May unless otherwise stated. Each profile carries a number of charts and visualisations of team performance . Heres a brief explanation of what each of them shows:
SEASON AT A GLANCE
Some basic facts and figures regarding the league performance of each club. All data correct as of 20th May 2013.
SEASON TRENDS
A chart which measures % of shots on target scored and % of opposition shots on target scored against average points per game. Providing an accurate gauge of offensive and defensive performance in the context of results, the Season Trends chart provides a compelling statistical portrait of each clubs season.
ACTION AREAS
A heat map divided into two-metre square segments, the Action Areas graphic illustrates the number of touches teams had in different areas of the field. The redder the area, the more touches of the ball took place there.
AGE DISTRIBUTION
Visualising the number of players each team has in different age groups versus the league average, this chart provides an insight into the composition of each squad and its age relative to the rest of the division.
ARSENAL
Season At A Glance
League Position: 4 Total Points: 73 Home Rank: 5 Away Rank: 2 Win %: 55.26 Total Goals: 72 Top Goal Scorer: Walcott (14) Clean Sheets: 14 Longest Winning Streak: 4 Longest Streak Without Winning: 3
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 0 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
ASTON VILLA
Season At A Glance
League Position: 15 Total Points: 41 Home Rank: 17 Away Rank: 8 Win %: 26.31 Total Goals: 47 Top Goal Scorer: Benteke (19) Clean Sheets: 5 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 8
3.0
50%
% of Shots on Target Scored / Conceded From
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
15%
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 0 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
CHELSEA
Season At A Glance
League Position: 3 Total Points: 75 Home Rank: 4 Away Rank: 3 Win %: 57.89 Total Goals: 75 Top Goal Scorer: Lampard (15) Clean Sheets: 14 Longest Winning Streak: 4 Longest Streak Without Winning: 7
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 0 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
EVERTON
Season At A Glance
League Position: 6 Total Points: 63 Home Rank: 3 Away Rank: 7 Win %: 42.10 Total Goals: 55 Top Goal Scorer: Fellaini (11) Clean Sheets: 11 Longest Winning Streak: 3 Longest Streak Without Winning: 4
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5%
0.0
0%
Age
FULHAM
Season At A Glance
League Position: 12 Total Points: 43 Home Rank: 15 Away Rank: 10 Win %: 28.94 Total Goals: 50 Top Goal Scorer: Berbatov (15) Clean Sheets: 8 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 7
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
LIVERPOOL
Season At A Glance
League Position: 7 Total Points: 61 Home Rank: 7 Away Rank: 6 Win %: 42.10 Total Goals: 71 Top Goal Scorer: Suarez (23) Clean Sheets: 16 Longest Winning Streak: 3 Longest Streak Without Winning: 5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5%
0.0
0%
MANCHESTER CITY
Season At A Glance
League Position: 2 Total Points: 78 Home Rank: 2 Away Rank: 5 Win %: 60.53 Total Goals: 66 Top Goal Scorer: Dzeko (14) Clean Sheets: 18 Longest Winning Streak: 4 Longest Streak Without Winning: 3
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
MANCHESTER UNITED
Season At A Glance
League Position: 1 Total Points: 89 Home Rank: 1 Away Rank: 1 Win %: 73.68 Total Goals: 86 Top Goal Scorer: Van Persie (26) Clean Sheets: 13 Longest Winning Streak: 7 Longest Streak Without Winning: 2
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
NEWCASTLE UNITED
Season At A Glance
League Position: 16 Total Points: 41 Home Rank: 12 Away Rank: 16 Win %: 28.94 Total Goals: 45 Top Goal Scorer: Ba (13) Clean Sheets: 6 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27 27 - 30 Age
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
NORWICH CITY
Season At A Glance
League Position: 11 Total Points: 44 Home Rank: 10 Away Rank: 18 Win %: 26.31 Total Goals: 41 Top Goal Scorer: Holt (7) Clean Sheets: 10 Longest Winning Streak: 3 Longest Streak Without Winning: 9
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Norwich City Action Areas 2012-13 Norwich City Age Distribution 2012-13
60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% < 18 1 8 - 21 21 - 24 24 - 27 27 - 30 30 - 33 33 - 36 > 36 PREMIER LEAGUE AVERAGE V NORWICH CITY WEIGHTED DISTRIBUTION OF PLAYER AGES % OF TOTAL MINUTES PLAYED EXCLUDING GOALKEEPERS
Age
3.0
2.5
2.0
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
15% 10% 5%
0.5
0.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
0%
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
READING
Season At A Glance
League Position: 19 Total Points: 28 Home Rank: 18 Away Rank: 20 Win %: 15.78 Total Goals: 43 Top Goal Scorer: Le Fondre (12) Clean Sheets: 5 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 10
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1.0
0.5
0.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
0%
Age
SOUTHAMPTON
Season At A Glance
League Position: 14 Total Points: 41 Home Rank: 14 Away Rank: 13 Win %: 23.68 Total Goals: 49 Top Goal Scorer: Lambert (15) Clean Sheets: 7 Longest Winning Streak: 3 Longest Streak Without Winning: 6
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
STOKE CITY
Season At A Glance
League Position: 13 Total Points: 42 Home Rank: 11 Away Rank: 15 Win %: 23.68 Total Goals: 34 Top Goal Scorer: Walters (8) Clean Sheets: 12 Longest Winning Streak: 3 Longest Streak Without Winning: 7
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
SUNDERLAND
Season At A Glance
League Position: 17 Total Points: 39 Home Rank: 16 Away Rank: 14 Win %: 23.68 Total Goals: 41 Top Goal Scorer: Fletcher (11) Clean Sheets: 11 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 9
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
SWANSEA CITY
Season At A Glance
League Position: 9 Total Points: 46 Home Rank: 13 Away Rank: 9 Win %: 28.94 Total Goals: 47 Top Goal Scorer: Michu (18) Clean Sheets: 10 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 7
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
Age
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR
Season At A Glance
League Position: 5 Total Points: 72 Home Rank: 6 Away Rank: 4 Win %: 55.26 Total Goals: 66 Top Goal Scorer: Bale (21) Clean Sheets: 9 Longest Winning Streak: 4 Longest Streak Without Winning: 3
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15% 10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
WIGAN ATHLETIC
Season At A Glance
League Position: 18 Total Points: 36 Home Rank: 19 Away Rank: 12 Win %: 23.68 Total Goals: 47 Top Goal Scorer: Kone (11) Clean Sheets: 5 Longest Winning Streak: 2 Longest Streak Without Winning: 6
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
25% 20%
1.0
15%
0.5
POINTS PER GAME % OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED % OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 9 30 3 1 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
10% 5% 0%
0.0
< 18 1
8 - 21
21 - 24
24 - 27
27 - 30
30 - 33
33 - 36
> 36
Age
*Where transfer fees were undisclosed, estimates have been taken from BBC Sport and www.transfermarkt.co.uk
120
100
JANUARY 2013 TRANSFER WINDOW TOTAL COST OF PERMANENT TRANSFERS V TOTAL NUMBER OF PERMANENT TRANSFERS
80
60
40
-J
0 1-
4-
-J
-J
Using data from Englands top two divisions, we can see how the total cost of permanent deals changed throughout the 2013 January window. Most notably, in the last three days of the window, the total cost of transfers increased by 78% even though only 39% more players were sold than average.
40.0%
15
-1
6 17
-1
19
-2
0 21
-2
2 23
-2
4 25
-2
6 27
-2
8 29
-3
0 31
-3
2 33
-3
4 35
-3
6 37
-3
8 39
-4
28
25
22
10
16
19
13