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28 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


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LIVINGCOLOR.
LIVING COLOR.No.163,
No.163, FEBRUARY.
FEBRUARY. 2009.
2009. 29
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30 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.
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LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 31


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uawmh System Failure / Market Failure vkdYvnf; ajymvkdY& bmvkyrf vJ/ uReaf wmfvnf; pmwrf;wpfcw k ifxm;w,f/ ul;
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32 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


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LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 33
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34 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


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LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 35
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36 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.
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rS m Credit ay;rvm;aygh/ q&mBuD;OD;jrifhtaeeJY b,fvkd
,lqovJ odyg&ap/ apmapmu q&mBuD;OD;ppdd e f a rmif e J Y
Credit Creation ud p ö u av;uk d y g q&majzMum;ay;apvk d
ygw,f /
a'guf w mOD ; jrif h / / ypfwidk ;f axmifqw dk m olY&UJ tESp?f
olY&UJ Weight u atmufrmS &Sw d m/ tay:u [mvm[if;vif;
BuD;/
a'gufwmpdefarmifajymwJhbPfuawmh tao;tzJGyg/
How many people have banking account? pD;yGm;a&;wpfck
vk;H eJYywfoufvYdk ajymcsiyf gw,f/ wkw d w
dk w
k w
f w k yf gyJ/ eHygwf
OD;wifarmifoef;
(1) Playing Field upm;uGi;f awGudk twwfEidk q f ;Hk vkyx f m;
ay;yg/ tpk;d &taeeJYuvnf; tkyfxdef;oltaeeJY xdef;csKyfol apmu q&mBuD;OD;jrifhajymovkdyJ ypfwkdif;axmifqkdwm
taeeJYuae ajymif;NyD;awmh yHhykd;oltaeeJY aqmif&Gufay;yg/ atmufajcrSm av;w,f/ Community Base eJY uRefawmfwkdY
'DESpfcsufyJ uRefawmf&Sdygw,f/ oGm;Mu&r,f/ tpkd;&u a&SUuaeNyD; OD;raqmifvkdY&Sd&ifvnf;
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / tck q&mOD ; uk d u k d v I d i f u k d uRefawmfwkdYvkyfvkdYr&bl;/ apmapmu tbkd;OD;aqmifaewJh
tvSnfhay;yg&ap/ q&mOD;ukdukdvIdifu EkdifiHwumjzpf rdom;pkvkd jzpfaew,f/ tv,faumifrSmpkaewJh Private In-
&yfawGukd okawoDtaeeJY aqmif&GufaeoljzpfwJhtwGuf stitution awGuvnf;yJ Drive vkyfay;&r,f/ Public Sector
uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHeJY b0cyfqifqifEkdifiHawG &Sdygw,f/ uvnf; Drive vkyfay;&r,f/ tm;vkH;aygif;NyD;awmh vkyf&
AD , uf e rf w k d Y ? uarÇ m 'D ; ,m;wk d Y aygh / 'D v k d E k d i f i H a wG & J U r,fhtajctaersKd; jzpfygw,f/ wpfa,mufeJYwpfa,muf
tawGUtBuKHeJY uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHrSm b,fvkdqkd;usKd;rsm; wGufuyfaevkdY r&ygbl;/ ta&;tBuD;qkH;u bmvJqkd wpf
oufa&mufEkdifw,fqkdwmav;? txl;ojzifh q&mhtaeeJY a,mufeJYwpfa,muf rdom;pkpdwf"mwfeJY 'D[mBuHKvmNyDqkd
pkd;&drfwJhqkd;usKd;rsKd; OD;pm;ay;aqG;aEG;ay;apvkdygw,f/ vkdY&Sd&if tm;vkH;0kdif;NyD;vkyfMu&r,fqkdwJhpdwfawGay:vm
OD ; uk d u k d v I d i f / / uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHtaeeJY usef atmif ajyajyjypfjypf tjyeftvSef Cooperation & Collabo-
wJEh idk if aH wGeYJ rwlwmawG awmfawmfrsm;rsm;&Syd gw,f/ wpfcu k ration u 'Dae&mrSm ta&;tBuD;qkH;yJvkdY xifygw,f/ tJ'g&
ckeuajymcJhovkdyJ pkd;&drfwJh tbkd;eJYae&wJhrdom;pkvkdaygh/ oGm;vkYd &&dS if usefwOhJ pömawG[m Therapy (ukx;Hk ) uk&d oGm;NyD
tjyifxGufvnf; pkd;&drfw,f/ a&ul;rSmukdvnf; pkd;&drfw,f/ qkdvkdY&Sd&if Treatment awGu tvkdvkdvkdufNyD;awmh ajyvnf
tJ'gaMumifrh Ydk vYdk 'D Impact jzpfvmwJt h cgrSm rvkyw f wfrukid f oGm;vdrfhr,fvkdY uRefawmfxifygw,f/
wwfjzpfvmawmh apmapmuajymovkd uRefawmfwkdYeJY b0wl a'gufwmae0if;armif / / aus;Zl ; wif y gw,f / uRef
EkdifiHawGeJY,SOfNyD;ajymr,fqkdvkdY&Sd&if xdEkdifwmuawmh Grass awmfwkdYEkdifiHrSm 'D Impact u wu,fBuD;ygw,f/ EkdifiH
Root Level trsm;qkH;jzpfwJh Agriculture Sector ukd xdvkduf &J U GDP usoGm;vkdY&Sd&if vlwpfOD;csif;&JU0ifaiGusr,f/
vkdY&Sd&if tukefvkH; ysHUoGm;rSmjzpfygw,f/ tJ'gukd uRefawmf tm;vkH;vkdvkd toD;oD; 0ifaiGusoGm;vdrfhr,f/ tJ'Dawmh
tvGefpkd;&drfygw,f/ uRefawmfwkdYodoavmuf Data awGt& v,f,mu@? arG;jrLa&;u@ xkwfukefawGeJY ywfouf
tjyifrSmoGm;tvkyfvkyfaeMuwm ESpfoef;avmuf &Sdygw,f/ vkdY OD;wifarmifoef;u okawoejyKxm;wm awmfawmf
b,favmufjyefvmrvJqw dk m uReaf wmfwYdk rajymEkid af o;bl;/ rsm;ygw,f/ ol okawoejyKxm;wJhtajccHawGtay:rSm
tJ'gvnf;awmfawmfrsm;rsm;xdygr,f/ usefwJh Sector rl w nf N yD ; awmh uRef a wmf w k d Y qD r S m b,f a vmuf t xd
awGuawmh uRefawmfwkdY&JU pD;yGm;a&;rSm ta&;ygaomfjim; awmif 'D*,ufu ½kdufoGm;Ekdifw,fqkdwmav; ajzMum;
vnf; Agriculture avmuf odyfNyD;awmhrS ta&;rygbl;/ tJ'D ay;apvk d y gw,f /
ESpfckukd uRefawmfpkd;&drfygw,f/ jzpfvmEkdifw,fayghaemf/ apm OD;wifarmifoef; / / uRefawmfwkdY 'DpkdufysKd;a&;?
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 37
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

arG; jrLa&;ESpcf pk vk;H ayghaemf/ uReaf wmfwYEdk idk if &H UJ vltrsm;pk&UJ t"du w,f/ MuufOawmifrS 'DvkdjzpfNyDqkd&if uRefawmfwkdYu ylyef&
0ifaiGu 'DtxJuyJ&w,f/ tJ'D[m bmjzpfrvJqkd tm;vkH; r,fhtaetxm;a&mufrvm;ar;r,fqkd&if uRefawmfhtaeeJY
odMuwJhtwkdif;yJ/ 'D Primary Producer awG[m ESpfcgxdMu Primary Producer awGtwGufukd tifrwef pkd;&drfylyefyg
w,f/ em*pfjzpfNyD;wJhtcgrSm wpfacguf? em*pfNyD;wJhtcsdef w,f/ uRefawmfwYdk Eidk if &H UJ vlO;D a&trsm;pku 'Dtay:rSm wnf
Financial Crisis uwpfacguf wku d ½f udk x f cd u dk cf w
hJ mukd awGU& rSDaewmjzpfwJhtwGufaMumifh 'Dvkyfief;awG 2009 ckESpfukd
w,f/ Oyrm-ig;jrpfcsif;u jynfwiG ;f rSmvnf; tjynft h 0pm; b,fvkdausmfjzwfrvJ/ t&ifESpfu Input awG (oGif;tm;pk
w,f/ EkdifiHjcm;ukdvnf; xdxda&mufa&mufa&mif;Ekdifw,f/ awG) aps;BuD;ay;xm;NyD;awmh tckuswJhaps;eJY b,fvkda&mif;
NyD;awmh uReaf wmfwYdkqrD mS Competitive Advantage awG&Sdw,f/ rvJ/ NyD;&if tJ'guswJhaps;eJY a&mif;xm;wJhaiGukd jyef&if;NyD;
urÇmrSm 'Dig;u uRefawmfwkdYqDuyJ t"duxkwfvkyfwJhEkdifiH awmh 2009 ckESpfukd b,fvkdjzwfausmfrwkef;/ uRefawmfwkdY
jzpfwJhtwGuf 'gonf Representative Indicator wpfcktaeeJY 2010 uawmh Bright Future vkdY ajymvkdY&r,fhtaetxm;
okH;vkdY&ygw,f/ bmoGm;awGU&ovJqkdawmh uRefawmfwkdY[m &Sw
d ,f/ 'guk&d zkYd 'DtcGit
hf vrf;ukd b,fvt dk rdt&,lrvJqw dk m
em*pfNyD;wJhtcsdefrSm Supply enf;enf;av; Shortage &SdwJh Primary Producer awGeJYywfoufvkdY uRefawmfhpkd;&drfrIyg/
twGufrkdYvkdY aps;av;wufwmawGU&NyD;awmh atmufwkdbm aus;Zl;wifygw,f/
Crisis NyD;wJt
h csed rf mS trSmusomG ;wJt h wGurf YdkvYdk aps;usw[ hJ m a'gufwmae0if;armif / / tJ ' D Primary Producer awG
u wu,fh Declining ukd awGU&rSmjzpfygw,f/ aemufNyD; eJYywfoufNyD; q&mOD;cifarmifndKukd uRefawmfar;csifyg
awmh wpfzufu uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHrSm Consumer Price In- w,f/ bmvkdYvJqkd uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHvlOD;a&&JU 70 &m
dex u aocsmr&Sb d ;l / b,f[mu Reflect vkyo f vJqdk qif;&J ckdifEIef;[m v,f,mvkyfief;eJY wpfenf;r[kwfwpfenf;
csrf;omra&G;pm;wJh MuufOaps;u Reflect vkyfw,f/ MuufO ywfoufaeygw,f/ tJ'D 70 &mckdifEIef;rSm b,favmuf
aps;ukMd unf&h if uReaf wmfwYdk Retail rSm rusb;l / 'gayrJh Who- 0ifaiG&Sdw,fqkdwm cefYrSef;Munfh&if awmfawmfav;enf;
lesale rSmuswm &Sif;&Sif;vif;vif;awGUae&ygw,f/ 'gbmukd ygw,f/ aocsmwmwpfckajymvkdY&wmu tJ'D 70 &mckdif
Reflect vkyfovJqkd Buying Power usvmNyDqkdwmukd jyyg EI e f ; avmuf a omjynf o l v l x k [ m ol w k d Y 00if
if a iG & J U 75

38 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;
&mckdifEIef;ukd &du©mtwGufokH;&w,f/ vlqkdwm pm; 0wf
aea&; okH;ck&Sdwmayghaemf/ vlwpfa,muf[m olY0ifaiG&JU
75 &mckdifEIef;ukd &du©mtwGufokH;&w,fqkdvkdY&Sd&if 'Dvl
[m olY0ifaiGukd 0wfwmeJY aewmrSm rokH;&oavmuf jzpf
aewmayghaemf/ vlYb0rSm pm;0wfaea&; ta&;tBuD;qkH;
yg/ uRefawmfhtaeeJY pm;0wfaea&;rubl;vkdY ,lqw,f/
tckjzpfaewJh MuufoGefaps;? qefaps;? yJaps;[m tJ'DoD;ESH
awGpkdufysKd;xkwfvkyfwJh awmifolv,form;awGtay:rSm
b,fvkdoufa&mufEkdifovJ? q&mhcHpm;csuf b,fvkd&Sd
ovJqkdwm OD;cifarmifndK ar;yg&ap/ eHygwf (2) q&mh
taeeJY tjcm;pkd;&drfrI&SdcJh&if bmrsm;jzpfrvJqkdwmyg odyg
&ap/ aus;Zl;wifygw,fq&m/
OD;cifarmifndK / / uRefawmfhcHpm;csufuawmh
Moderator ukd tcsdeu f efYowfapcsifw,f/ olcsnf;yJajymoGm; OD ; uk d u k d v I d i f
w,f/ 'kdifvlBuD;qkdwm tJ'grsKd;yJ/ aemufwmyg/
uRefawmfajymNyD;om;yg/ twkdcsKHUajym&&ifawmh 2008 Input ukd Fertilizer ukd aps;aygaygeJY ay;vkdY&rvm;? rsKd;awG
ckESpf[m Commodity of theYear uyJ jzpfaew,f/ uRef ay;vkdY&rvm;/
awmfwYdk tNrJwrf; 'DrmS jyóemjzpfaewJu h pd w
ö pfcu
k bmvJqdk a'gufwmae0if;armif / /uRef a wmf w pf c k j znf h a jymyg&
'Dqefu Strategic Commodity jzpfaew,f/ wpfzufu aps; ap/ ]yJ } u vk H N cKH a &;eJ Yq k d i f w J h oD ; ES H r [k w f w J h twG u f
oufomwJh[mukd jrifcsifw,f/ wpfzufuusawmh Export (ukvm;yJuvJGvkdYayghaemf) urÇmay:rSm xdyfoD; ]yJ} wif
uae yku d qf &H atmif? v,form;awGvufxaJ &mufomG ;atmif ykdYwJhEkdifiHxJrSm uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiH ygcJhygw,f/ vkHNcKHa&;
yJ&Sdw,f/ 'DESpfcku tNrJwrf;vkdvkd Conflict jzpfaewmukd eJYqkdifwJhoD;ESHr[kwfwJhtwGuf tpkd;&u vkH;vkH;vTwfay;
oGm;awGU&w,f/ q&mwkdYoifvkdY uRefawmfwkdY ausmif;rSm xm;wJ h t wG u f ol u xl ; jcm;pG m yJ (bm,S O f M unf h v k d Y &
odcJhorQqkd&if uRefawmfwkdYqDuqef&JU Pattern awmuf vJqkdawmh qefrSmjzpfaewJhtajctaeeJY ]yJ} rSm jzpfae
avQmufMunfhvkdufwJhtcgrSm urÇmhaps;uGufrSm aps;aumif;& wJhtajctae vkH;vkH;qefYusifbufjzpfaew,f/ yJrSm vkH;
aewJhtcsdefrSm jrefrmEkdifiHrSm b,fawmhrSa&mif;p&mr&Sdbl;/ vkH;pGufzufrxm;wJhtwGuf ]yJ} u wufoGm;NyD; qefu
urÇmhaps;uGufrSmusaeNyDqkd&if jrefrmu xkwfa&mif;NyD/ 'gu usef c J h w ,f a ygh a emf /
uRefawmf i,fi,fav;uwnf;uyJ/ wpf z uf r S m vnf ; vk H ; vk H ; vT w f a y;xm;wJ h t wG u f
qefeJYywfoufvkdY uRefawmf&xm;wJh[mav;wpfckBuKH jyóemay:wmayghaemf/ 'gav;ukd y&dowfodapcsifvkdY
vkdYzwfjy&&if EIU qkdwJh Economist Intelligence Unit u yg/ aemufacgif;pOfwpfckukd qufyg&ap/ tcGifhtvrf;
tckwavmrSm qefurdk ydYk yJ ydwx f m;wm ajcmufvavmuf&w dS hJ rsm;eJYywfoufvkdYyg/ em*pfrSmvnf; (raumif;bl;qkday
txJu tck Export ay;aew,f/ rMumao;cifu e,fpyfu r,fh) tcGifhtvrf;wcsKdY&SdcJhwmyJ/ tckudpörSmvnf; bm
aejzwfausmfcGifhay;w,f/ 'gukd Credit ay;xm;wm oGm;awGU tcGifhtvrf;awG&SdrvJqkdwmukd q&mBuD;a'gufwmpdef
&ygw,f/ aemufwpfcu k awmh uRefawmfwYdk u pm;p&mjrif&if armifupNyD;awmh ar;vkdufyg&ap/ q&m . . . tcGifht
pkdufw,f? pm;p&mjrif&ifarG;w,fqkdawmh ylp&mrvkdbl;aygh vrf ; awG u k d t&if a jymay;yg/ q&m Focus vk y f a ewJ h
aemf/ b,folrS rpm;bJraeEkdifbl;/ 'gayrJh yJjzpfovkd ol uRef a wmf w k d Y b,f v k d a q;uk r vJ q k d w J h u d p ö u cPae
rsm;0,fwahJ ps;eJYra&mif;bJeYJ yJrsm;aeNyD;awmh qefus&ifvnf; tcsdeftjynfht0okH;NyD; tjiif;tckHvkyf&r,fhudpöjzpfyg
xyfNyD;awmh yJrsm;aeOD;rSmvm;? olrsm;0,fwahJ ps;eJY ra&mif;bJ w,f/ tcGifhtvrf;awGukd ajymay;apvkdygw,f/
aerSmvm;/ wpfcsdefvkH;pOf;pm;vmwm v,form;ukd b,fvkd a'gufwmpdefarmif / / tcGifhtvrf;qkdwmuvnf;
Input ay;vkdY&rvJ/ tck Contract Farming qkdwmukd pOf;pm; (uRefawmfwkdY) olrsm;wkdif;jynfawGrSm jzpfaewJh jyóemukd
w,f/ Contract Farming vkyf&if&r,fqkdwm 'g[mvnf; rlwnfNyD;awmh 'DrSmrjzpfatmif BudKwifNyD;vkyfEkdifwJhtcGifh
½kww f &ufBuD; taumiftxnfrazmfEidk af o;bl;vkYd xifw,f/ tvrf;ayghav/ (ckeu OD;ukdukdvIdif ajymoGm;w,f) apmapm
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 39
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

ykid ;f u uRefawmfaiGv&dk if tpk;d &bPfeYJ yk*v ¾ u


d bPfeYJ aygif; vkyf/ enf;atmifvkyf/ tJvkdqkd&if (tusKd;awGu) Budget
NyD;awmh Syndicated Loan aygh/ tmrcHeJYacs;zkdY/ aemuf Deficit vnf; avsmhoGm;r,faemf/ cJGxkwfvkdufwmukd;/ tck
OD;ukdukdvIdifajymoGm;w,f/ vlBuD;awGawmh pOf;pm;&r,faygh/ aiGvkdwJh Private Sector ukdvnf;yJ Long Term Project awG?
Stock Exchange jzpfzkdY/ tckawmh TC Market awmhjzpfNyD/ Long Term Loan awG&w,f/ uRefawmfwkdYu tck tyfaiGu
Money Market awG? Capital Market awG vkyf&rSmaemf/ tck Current Account ? Saving Account tyfaiG/ 'gawGu csuf
vkyfief;&SifawG bPfuacs;wmtjyifukd Money Market ? csif;xkwfvkdY&w,f/
Capital Market awGuae acs;Eki d af tmif uRefawmfwYdk csufcsif; tJ'Dawmh uRefawmfwkdYu Short Term eJYacs;&if wpfESpf
rvkyfEkdifawmif a&&SnfvkyfoGm;&r,f/ yJ/ Long Term racs;Ekdifbl;/ tJ'Dawmh 'Dtykdif;rSm tpkd;&u
aemufwpfckuawmh 'ghtjyifukd EkdifiH&JU zHGUNzdK;a&; Gro- OD;aqmifNyD;awmh Myanmar Development Bank / w½kwf
wth wkd;wufa&;twGuf Exim Bank vkd? Myanmar Devel- jynfrSmqkd&ifvnf; a&mufzl;rSmaygh/ China Development
opment Bank vkd[mrsKd;axmif&rSm/ tpkd;&twGufvnf; Bank qkdwm&Sdw,f/ awmfawmfrsm;rsm; uRefawmfwkdY tmqD,H
tusKd;&Sdr,f/ vkyfief;&SifawG? Firm awGtwGufvnf; tusKd; tpnf;ta0;awGomG ;w,f/ olwYdkwidk ;f jynfawGrmS &Swd ,faemf/
&Sdr,f/ aemufwpfck tcGifhtvrf; tckjzpfwmu Banking Cri-
tckvufawGUususajym&&if uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHrSm sis? Financial Crisis ? 'DubPfawG jyóemrjzpfbl;qkd
tukev f ;Hk ukd tdwx
f u
J yJ pku
d o
f ;Hk ? pku
d o
f ;Hk ? tdwxf x
J nf?h tdwf w,f/ apmapmu uRefawmf Capital awGvkd&if wkd;zkdY? pepf
xJu pkdufokH;? tJ'g tJ'Dpepfukd pGefY&rSm/ wcsKdU[mawG ynm wus Capital awG bPfrmS xnfzh Ydk? 1;10 awGbmawG jyefpOf;pm;
a&;? use;f rma&; bmnm wkid ;f jynfrmS r&Sdrjzpfvkdtyfwm Bud- zkdYaemf/ tJ'gtjyif uRefawmfajymzl;w,f/ ('DrSm uRefawmfwkdY
get xJuokH;/ pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;eJYywfoufvm&if Private bPftoif;'kOuú|BuD;vnf;&Sdw,f) [kd; . . . Governor
Sector yJjzpfjzpf? Government Sector yJjzpfjzpf Revenue okH;av;qufuwnf;u Deposit Insurance vkyfyg/ 2003
Projecting for Producing Process awG vkdw,f/ 0ifaiG&Sm/ rSmBuKHcJhNyD;NyDaemf/ wcsKdUbPfawG Bank Run jzpfw,f/ tJ'D
ykdufqHbPfuacs;/ bPfutwkd;ay;/ Efficient jzpfatmif awmh 'DOpömu Deposit Insurance Law qkdwm wkdif;jynfawmf

40 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

awmfrsm;rsm;rSm &SdaeNyDaemf/ Bank Deposit ukd bPfawGu


tmrcHay;&r,f/
vwfwavmOyrmajym&&if wpfcsdefwkef;u FDI qDu
wpfodef;txd ay;w,f/ tck ESpfodef;vkyfw,f/ 'D Crisis
rSm wkdif;jynfawmfawmfrsm;rsm;u A[kdbPfukd tpkd;&awGu
bPf Deposit tmrcHw,f/ Foreign Exchange Deposit
tmrcHw,f/ Up to a Point aygh/ wpfESpfwm 2 ESpfwm/ tJ'g
awmh vkyf&r,f/ tJ'Dawmh 'DavmufeJYyJ &yfvkdufawmhr,f/
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / OD;ukdukdvIdifcifAsm? tckjzpf
vmwJhtajctae[m uRefawmfwkdYtaeeJY bmtcGifhta&;
rsm;&Ekdifr,fvkdY arQmfvifhygovJqkdwm odyg&ap/
OD ; uk d u k d v I d i f / / uRef a wmf w k d Y t aeeJ Y From
Challenges to Opportunity ayghav/ &wJhtaetxm;uae
NyD;awmhrS tcGifhta&;awG . . ./ tJ'Dawmh . . . tckjzpfwJhta&;
tcif;rSm uRefawmfwYdk eYJ bmwku d ½f u
dk yf wfoufovJqv dk Ydk &&dS if cation ayghaemf) olwkdYukd b,fvkdokH;EkdifrvJ/ b,fvkdtcGifht
Low Fuel Cost aygh/ avmifpmqDaps;usvmw,f/ 'g[m vrf;azmfay;EkdifrvJ/ 'D . . . olwkdY&JU Job Opportunities awG
okH;wwfvkdY&Sd&if Opportunity aygh/ 'D[mukd Production Side ukd b,fvadk zmfaqmifay;Ekid rf vJ/ 'guvnf; uk, d af zmfaqmif
rSm aumif;aumif;okH;vkdY&Sd&if 'DtwGufukd Production Cost ay;Ekdifoavmuf jyefNyD;awmhrS Opportunities jzpfvmr,fh
rSm usvmr,f/ aemuf Low Commodities Cost awG? 'gawG taetxm;yg/
[m vlawG&JU Living Cost ukd csay;wJhtwGufaMumifhrkdYvkdY aemufwpfcku Intangible Opportunity taeeJY uRef
Labour Cost uky d g csay;Ekid w
f hJ taetxm;jzpfygw,f/ 'g[m awmfajym&r,fqkd&if 'DjyóemBuD;[m wu,fwrf;awmh
wpfzufrmS Opportunity jzpfEikd o f vkd wpfzufrmS vnf; Threat Cleaning Strom yg/ tm;enf;wJhae&mawGu tukefvkH;yg
jzpfEkdifygw,f/ bmjzpfvkdYvJqkdawmh usoGm;wJh Commodi- oGm;r,f/ ckdifrmwJhae&mawGu usefr,f/ 'gaMumifh b,ffae
ties Price awGu Primary Producer awG&JU Break Even Point &mtm;enf;w,f? b,fae&mtm;omw,fqkdwm xif;xif;
ukd t&if;pm;jyefr&avmufatmifujdk zpfomG ;NyDqv dk Ydk&&dS if . . . / BuD;odEkdifwJhtcGifhta&; jzpfw,f/ tm;enf;csufodvkdY&Sd&if
'gukdawmh Mum;cHwpfcktaeeJY 0ifNyD;awmhxdef;ay;zkdY Mecha- jyifr,fqkdvkdY&Sd&if jyifzkdYtwGufukd Ready Made Analysis
nism wpfckawmh vkdr,fxifygw,f/ vkyzf Ydkv,
G w f t hJ aetxm;rsK;d jzpfygw,f/ tJawmh tckrek w f idk ;f
aemufwpfckuawmh tjyifbufuae Return Worker wkdufwJhtcsdefrSm ygoGm;wJhtm;enf;wJhtykdif;awGu rkefwkdif;
awG/ 'gawG[mvnf;yJ Challenges a&m? Opportunity a&m enf;enf;NidrfoGm;NyD;qkdwmeJY ckdifrmatmif jyefaqmufNyD;
a&maewmyg/ NyD;awmh awmfawmfrsm;rsm;u jyefvmwJh Re- apmapmu uRefawmfajymcJhovkdygyJ/ Capital Accomodation
turn Worker awG wcsKdUuvnf; tcsdefraphbJ jyefvmw,f/ u aumif;aumif;r&SdwJhtwGufaMumifhrkdYvkdY ]yJ} pjzpfwmeJY
aiGw;dk acs;NyD;rS vTw&f w,f/ aiGw;dk u rukeaf o;bl;ayghaemf/ ajy;wmawGjzpfwm/ 'D Informal Sector awGu t&rf;BuD;ae
&GmxJrSm t&yfxJrSm rav;&Sm;twkd;vkdYac:wmaygh/ 10 &m w,f/ Formal Section awGu enf;aew,fqkdvkdY&Sd&if In-
ckdifEIef; 15 &mckdifEIef; pkpyfNyD;acs;wmaygh/ 2 ESpfavmufqyfrS formal udk Formal jzpfvmatmif? uRefawmfwkdY Local Capi-
ausr,fhudpu ö kd rjynfhao;cifrSm jyefvmw,fqkdawmh 'Dtwkd; tal Mobilization ukd Formal jzpfvmatmif? Legal jzpfvm
u rausao;bJ jyefywfNyD;vmvkdY&Sd&if 'D Community wpfck atmif b,fvkdvkyfMurvJ/ 'g[m trsm;BuD;pOf;pm;p&mawG
vkH;? olwkdY&JU Family tzJGUtpnf;awG jznf;jznf;csif;ta<u;EHG ayghaemf/
epfomG ;r,ft h aetxm;rsKd;awG&w dS ,f/ 'guawmh Threat aygh/ pOf;pm;zkdY tcGifhtvrf;ay:vmwmukduyJ uRefawmfh
wpfzufrmS Opportunities taeeJY olwYdk eYJ ygvmwJh Skill taeeJY Opportunity vkdYyJ jrifygw,f/ tcGifhtvrf;ay:vm
awG Technology awG/ aemufwpfcku vkyfcsifukdifcsifw,f &ufeJY rpOf;pm;bJeJY rjyifbl;qkdvkdY&Sd&if 'Dtwkdif;yJqufoGm;
ayghaemf/ Enthusiasm aygh/ tvkyftukdifukd jrwfEkd;wJhpdwf r,f/ 'Dawmh 'g[m tcGifhtvrf;vm;? pdefac:rIvm;qkdwmukd
uav;awG? 'gav;awGukd tuGufusus (Resource Allo- awmh uk, d &hf UJ ESv;Hk oGi;f rItay:rSm? uk,
d q
hf ;Hk jzwfcsut f ay:rSmyJ
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 41
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;
rlwnfvdrfhr,fvkdY uRefawmfwifjycsifygw,f/ ties Opportunities ajymaewm uRefawmfwkdYwkdif;jynfavmuf
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / q&mBuD ; OD ; jrif h t aeeJ Y a&m Opportunities &Sdwm b,fEkdifiHrSmrS r&Sdbl;/ uRefawmfwkdYukd
bmrsm; rSwfcsufay;csifygovJ/ bmyJajymajym tckjzpf em;rvnfEidk w f m olrsm;awGu/ vmwJh ukvm;a&m? w½kwaf &m?
vmwJh tajctaet&yf&yf[m uRefawmfwkdYwkdif;jynfukd EkdifiHjcm;om;a&m/ rif;wkdY tJavmufawmifrS csrf;omwm bm
tjyKoabmaqmifwJh ajymif;vJrIawG jzpfvmrvm;/ q&m aMumifh 'Dvkdjzpfae&wmvJ/ Opportunity u wpfykHBuD;As/
b,fvkd,lqygovJ/ tJ'Dawmh ta&;BuD;wmu It's not opportunity ta&;BuD;wm
a'guf w mOD ; jrif h / / tck 'Dem*pfudpöeJY 'DurÇmhaiG u Implementation taumiftxnfazmfyg/ vkyfyg/ 'gu
a&;aMu;a&;udpaö ygh/ uRefawmfhtaeeJYu Wake-up call vkdYyJ ta&;BuD;wm/ Opportunities awGu trsm;BuD;/ 'gyJ uReaf wmf
uRefawmfajymcsifw,f/ jrefrmawG tdyf&muxMuvkdY ajym ajymcsifwm/
w,fvkdYyJ uRefawmfxifw,f/ uRefawmfvnf; tawmfav;yJ a'gufwmae0if;armif / / OD ; cif a rmif n d K rS w f c suf o d
vkyfcJhygw,f/ 'Dem*pfrSmvnf; uRefawmf TCG Adviser yg/ yg&ap/
tJ'DrSm jyKpkwJhpmwrf;awG uRefawmfwkdYtaeeJY axmufcHrS jzefY OD;cifarmifndK / / q&mawGtm;vkH; ajymovkdygyJ/
vkdY&w,f/ tpkd;&u tJ'Dwm0efay;xm;w,f/ uRefawmfeJY tcGifhtvrf;vm;? pdefac:rIvm;qkdwm/ tJ'g em*pfu Wake-
aemufwpfa,muf (OD;xGe;f jrwfqw dk m) ESpaf ,muf oabmwl up call ay;awmhvnf; 'Dtwkdif;yJ/ bmrsm; arQmfvifhaeMuOD;
&if xkwfvkdY&NyD/ tJ'Dawmh uRefawmftawmfav;yJ BudK;pm;yg rSmvJvkdY pOf;pm;p&myJ/ uRefawmfuawmh Market xJu Two
w,f/ Participants aygh/ Two Players aygh/ tJ'gukd MunfhvkdufwJh
bmjzpfaevJqkdawmh Sleeping Beauty qkdwm Mum;zl; tcgrSm (Government Side eJY Market Side aygh) uRefawmfwkdY
vm;rodbl;As/ Sleeping Beauty u tdyfaew,fqkdawmh tm;vkH;OD;wnfNyD;awmh ajymaewmu Government Side aygh/
acgif;avmif;qJGvkdYr&bl;As/ a&Trif;om;av;eJY oGm;NyD;awmhrS tifwmeuf Website wpfcu k ajymw,f/ jrefrmjynfxJ
erf;&r,ft h csdeaf &mufaew,fAs/ tJ'aD &Trif;om;av;ukd vku
d f u Skill Economist awGu bmrSrajymbl;wJh/ uRefawmfu
&Smaewm tckxdrawGUao;bl;/ Nargis is not Waking up awmh enf;enf;awmhajymw,f/ uRefawmfuawmh Skill
so far 'D[mvnf; I don't think Wake-up ? 'D Opportuni- Economist awmhr[kwfbl;/ 'S' jyKwfoGm;NyD; Kill Econo-

42 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

mist jzpfoGm;rSmvnf; pkd;&w,f/ Market Side vnf; ajym aomufuek )f ykYd wmenf;enf;av;yJ&w dS ,f/ rpm;rjzpfpm;&r,fh
&rSmyJ/ q&mae0if;armifajymw,f/ oluawmh Unregulated OpömawGyyJ YdkwmjzpfwmaMumifrh YdkvYdk 2009 ukd b,fvadk usmjf zwf
eJY Regulated aygh/ oluawmh 'DESpfckukdjrifw,f/ ]yJ} u rvJqkdwm? ausmfjzwfEkdif&if uRefawmfwkdYtwGuf tcGifhta&;
vTwfxm;wmrsm;vkdY? qefu xdef;xm;wmrsm;vkdYaygh/ yJ/ aps;uGuftcGifhtvrf;&Sdygw,f/ 'D[muawmh wpfzufu
wcsKdUwkdif;jynfrSm aps;uGufu ykdnHhw,f/ wcsKdUwkdif; Production Cost u usoGm;w,f/ oGif;&wJh Input u b,f
jynfrSm tpkd;&u ykdnHhw,f/ 'DrSmMunfhvkdufwJhtcgusawmh wkef;urSrwlwJhaps;&r,f/ (Oyrm-'DZ,fvkdrsKd;aygh/) 'g[m
tm;ukd;&r,fhvl uRefawmfwkdY rawGUbl;/ tJ'Dawmh Chal- tcGifhtvrf;taeeJY jrifygw,f/
lenges jzpfrvm;? Opportunities jzpfrvm;qkdwm 'D Two aemufwpfcku Individual Level / Power of Indi-
Players u Government Side u 'Dtwki d ;f yJ qufNyD;awmh vidual / wpfa,mufcsif;&JUpGrf;tm;[m 'DtcsdefrSm urÇmay:
nHah erSmvm;? ykn d ahH erSmvm;? awmfvmrSmvm;? 'D Option okH;ck rSm b,fwkef;urSr&Sdbl;wJh[mukd uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiH (txl;
tay:rSm rlwnfw,f/ ojzifh vli,fawG) 'DtcsdefrSm bmjznfhvkdY&rvJ/ b,fvrf;
aemufNyD; Private Side yJajymajym? Business Side yJ aMumif;uko d mG ;vkYd&rvJqw dk hJ Creative Solution xGuv f mw,f/
ajymajym/ bmajymajym 'Dtay:rSmyJ rlwnfw,f/ wpfO;D wpfa,mufcsi;f twGuf vkyzf YdktcGit hf vrf;ykNd yD;awmh yGihf
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / OD ; wif a rmif o ef ; u rS w f vmw,fvkdY uRefawmfuawmh jrifygw,f/ aus;Zl;wifyg
csufay;p&m&Sdygovm;/ w,f/
OD;wifarmifoef; / / Opportunity qkdawmh/ tcGifh a'gufwmae0if;armif / / aumif;ygNyD/ wwd,tykdif;
tvrf;taeeJYMunfh&if uRefawmfwkdYu bmawG&SdvJqkdawmh jzpfwJh urÇmvkH;qkdif&m b@ma&;jyóem[m EkdifiHtoD;
'D . . . uRefawmfwkdYqDrSmawmh rvkyfbl;ayghaemf/ tckxufxd oD ; uk d *,uf ½ k d u f v mwJ h t cgrS m uRef a wmf w k d Y E k d i f i H u k d
Stimulus Package qkdwmvnf; r&Sdbl;/ Bailout vkyfzkdYvnf; vnf;yJ wkduf½kdufjzpfap? oG,f0kdufjzpfap ½kdufcwfvmrSm
rvkb d ;l qkw d t
hJ aetxm;ukd uReaf wmfwYdk awGUaew,f/ 'gayrJh jzpfwJhtwGuf uRefawmfwkdY b,fvkd&ifqkdifrvJqkdwmukd
uReaf wmfwYdkywf0ef;usiEf idk if aH wG? uReaf wmfwYdkeYJ tquftpyf oG m ;ygh r ,f /
&SdwEhJ idk if aH wGrmS olwYdk Bailout awG &Sw d ,f/ Stimulus Package uRefawmfhtaeeJYawmh b,fvkd,lqovJqkdvkdY&Sd&if
awG&rdS ,f/ tJ'[ D m&JU Spillover Effect ayghaemf/ vQHusvmr,fh 'Doufa&mufvmEkdifwJh[mawGtm;vkH;ukd (&ifqkdif&rSm)
[meJY uReaf wmfwYdk bmvkyv f Ydk&rvJqadk wmh . . . / uReaf wmfwYdk vkyfEkdifwJhtykdif;rSm yk*¾vduçu vkyfEkdifwm&Sdr,f/ EkdifiH
EkdifiHrSm Mega Project aygh/ aqmufwmawG vkyfwmawG awmf t yd k i f ; vk y f E k d i f w m&S d r ,f / 'D u rÇ m h a iG a Mu; Crisis
tBuD;BuD;awG&Sdw,f/ tJ'D&JU p&dwfputrsm;BuD; oufom aMumifhrkdYvkdY uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHukd oufa&mufvmEkdifwm
oGm;r,f/ Oyrm- oHeJYywfoufwJh okH;wJhypönf;qkd 'DtcsdefrSm eJYywfoufvkdY&Sd&if yk*¾vdutykdif;uvkyfEkdifwmenf;NyD;
0,f&if? 'Dtcsderf mS vkyrf ,fq&dk if 'gu vkyo f ifw h ,fqw dk mrsKd; awmh EkdifiHawmftykdif;u vkyfEkdifwmtrsm;qkH;&Sdr,fvkdY
ukd tpk;d &ukd ajymvkYd &r,f/ wku d w
f eG ;f vkYd &r,fq&dk if wkud w f eG ;f uRef a wmf , l q ygw,f /
&r,fhtcsuf/ bmjzpfvkdYwkef;qkdawmh 'D Project awGay:vm Ek d i f i H a wmf t yk d i f ; uvk y f & r,f h t vk y f u sef a o;w,f
&if Government Spending wifwJh[mjzpfwJhtwGufaMumifhrkdY vkdY uRefawmfxifygw,f/ OD;cifarmifndKtaeeJY yk*¾vdu
vkdY tJ'geJYqufpyfwJh tvkyftukdiftcGifhtvrf;ay:vm&if ukdvnf; ajymapcsifw,fqkdwJhtwGuf q&mtaeeJY 'D
uRefawmfwkdYqDrSm wpfzufu aysmufoGm;wJhtvkyftukdifawG udpöeJYywfoufvkdY (uRefawmfhtaeeJYuawmh e*kdu EkdifiH
ukd tpm;xkd;Ekdifr,fqkdwm awGUEkdifygw,f/ awmftykdif;u ajymapvkdayr,fh q&mhtaeeJY yk*¾vdu
aemufwpfckuawmh bmvJqkdawmh wpfzufu EkdifiH&JU bufukdvnf; ajymcsifw,fqkdwJhtwGufaMumifh? 'DxJrSm
(Gas ukdz,fNyD;) t"du0ifaiGjzpfwJhvkyfief;awGu Primary (a[majymyJGcef;rxJrSm) vnf; yk*¾vduykdif;u trsm;
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mand u urÇmay:rSm aysmufroGm;bl;/ bmjzpfvYdk vq J adk wmh ovJqkdwmukd pNyD;ajymay;apvkdygw,f/ aus;Zl;wifyg
pm;wJhyg;pyfaygufu wkd;vmwmyJ&Sdw,f/ avsmhoGm;wmr&Sd w,f /
bl;/ enf;enf;aumif;wmuae atmufqif;pm;r,fh taet cifarmifnKd (abm*aA') / / trSeu f ajymNyD;NyDAs/ t&ifwpf
xm;yJ&Sdw,f/ Volume t& 'D Demand u &Sdaeygw,f/ ywfuajymNyD;om;/ 'gayrJh twkdcsKyfajym&r,fqkd&if/ q&m
uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHonfvnf; tay:ypönf; (wefzkd;jr§ifhpm; ae0if;armifajymwJ[ h m rSeyf gw,f/ uRefawmfwYdk u cgwkid ;f u
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 43
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

enf;enf;csr;f omwJh enf;enf;jynfjh ynfph pHk &Hk w dS hJ Market ukrd eS ;f oeawG? tjzKef;awG? ,kdaygufawGaygh/ tJ'grsKd;awGavQmhzkdY
NyD; xkwfwmayghav/ tck tJ'D Market uqif;vmNyD/ tJ'D trsm;qkH;tBuHjyKwmawGU&w,f/
awmh 'D Market topfrSm Needs topfawG? Income Level Weight avQmhvkdufwmu tqDravQmhbJ tom;awG?
edrfhoGm;NyD? 0ifaiGtedrfhjzpfoGm;NyD? wkd;EkdifwJhypönf;u e*kdu t½kd;awG ygoGm;r,fqkdwmrsKd;vnf; awGU&ygw,f/ ukd,fh&JU
tjrifh[mu tckedrfhoGm;r,f/ tJ'DrSm 'D[meJY rlwnfNyD;awmh wu,fhtm;ukd;&wJhvkyfief;? wu,fhtiftm;pkawG/ tJ'Dvl
pOf;pm;zkdY tJ'DrSm ajymcJhygw,f/ awG olrsm;vufxJygoGm;&if bmjzpfrvJqkdwJh[m &Sdw,f/
aemufwpfckawmh trsm;'ku©a&mufaewJhtcsdefrSm ukd,f uRefawmfwkdYuawmh NcKHNyD;awmhajymae&wmaygh/ trsm;
wpfOD;wnf;uGufNyD; csrf;omcsifvkdYr&bl;/ tJ'Dawmh olrsm; tm;jzifhuawmh vkyfief;vkyfaeusvlawGu ta&;&,ft
bmjzpfaevJ/ olrsm;&JU vkdtifawG bmawG&SdrvJ/ olrsm;&JU aMumif;&,fq&dk if b,foYlurdk S tm;uk;d r&bl;qkw d mvnf; odNyD;
Needs udkMunfhNyD;rS tvkyfvkyfvkdY&r,fqkdwJh[mukd uRefawmf om;yg/
ajymcJhygw,f/ Global Financial Crisis qkdwm tckrS BuKHwmyg/ uRef
aemufwpfckuawmh Marketing udpöayghaemf/ Market- awmfwkdYrSm 'hDxufruwJh jzwfoef;rIawG trsm;BuD;BuKHNyD;NyD/
ing udpu ö dk 'DaeYyJ *sme,fwpfapmifrmS zwfawmh ½kyjf rifoMH um; tJ'gawG olwkdYawmif rBuKHzl;bl;/ Demodenization qkd&if
rSmvTiw hf ahJ MumfjimawG wpf0ufavsmo h mG ;w,fvYdk ajymygw,f/ uRefawmfwkdYqD cPcPBuKHcJhwmyJ/ ½kdufcsypfvkdufwmyJ/
qkdawmh (Marketing orm;awmh trsm;tm;jzifh tajymoef uRefawmfth jrifuawmh 'gu uk, d u
hf pd yö /J uk,
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Muygw,f) olwkdYuawmh 'DtcsdefrSm aMumfjimzkdY taumif;qkH; &Sifoefatmif *½kpkduf? cgwkdif;vkd Twenty Precent awG Thirty
tcsdefvkdY ajymygw,f/ BuHBuHzefzef tcGifhtvrf;taeeJY ajym Percent rjrwfcsifae? Ten Percent avmufjrwf&ifyJ auseyf?
wmaygh/ aMumfjimcoufomw,f/ aMumfjimenf;wJhtcgus rjrwf&ifvnf; wpfoufvkH; pm;vmcJhNyDyJAsm/ wpfcgwav
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(tvG,q f ;Hk ayghav) 0efxrf;avQmhw,f/ t"duuawmh yum awmh pD;yGm;a&;usaeayr,fh ukd,fpdwf"mwfrusapeJY/ ukd,fh

44 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


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rdom;pkpdwf"mwfrusrdapeJY/ ukd,fhrdom;pkukdapmifha&Smuf? uGufpD;yGm;a&;pepfukdajymif;r,fh Economic Policy Re-


uk, d rhf o
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ajym&if&ygw,f/ aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ Ad Hoc bmvkyfvkdY&rvJ/ q&majzcsifwm wpfckckajzay;
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / uRefawmf 'DjrefrmEkdifiHrSm apvkdygw,f/ Ad Hoc ta&;BuD;w,fqkd&ifvnf; Ad Hoc
BuKHawGUvmEkdifwJh jyóemt&yf&yfukd b,fvkd&ifqkdifajz xJu bmrsm;vkyfapvkdvJaygh/ taxGaxG jyKjyifajymif;vJ
&S i f ; rvJ q k d w J h u d p ö r S m (uRef a wmf a pmapmuajymovk d ) p&mawGuawmhtrsm;BuD;aygh/
tpkd;&uajz&Sif;EkdifwJhudpöu rsm;wJhtwGuf tpkd;&eJYywf a'guf w mOD ; jrif h / / tJ ' D a r;cG e f ; eJ Y ywf o uf v k d Y
oufwJhudpöawGukdyJqufNyD;awmh ar;ygawmhr,f/ tJ'D uRefawmf EkdifiHawmfumuG,fa&;wuúokdvfrSmvnf; Lecture
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rsm;BuD;&Sdvdrfhr,fvkdY xifygw,f/ uRefawmfwkdYtpkd;&ukd tJ'g okH;rdepfeJY (tck) uRefawmfrajymEkdifbl;/ uRefawmf tck
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ukdvnf; awmif;vkdYr&avmufbl;vkdYxifygw,f/ tJ'D rvJqkdwm/ tJ'geJYywfoufvkdYawmh uRefawmfwpfckajymyg&
awmh jzpfEkdifajcvnf;&SdNyD;awmh vufawGUvnf;usNyD; ap/ tJ'gbmvJqkdawmh Economics is too important to be
awmh wpfck? ESpfckqkd&if q&mbmrsm; OD;pm;ay;awmif;qkd left to economists pD;yGm;a&;bmom&yf[m ta&;BuD;vGef;
csifygovJ/ tm;BuD;vkdY pD;yGm;a&;ynm&SifeJY vTwfxm;vkdYr&bl;/ tJ'Dawmh
a'gufwmpdefarmif / / wpfck? ESpfckeJYawmh odyfrjywf pD;yGm;a&;ynm&Sifu bmjyefajymvJqkdawmh pD;yGm;a&;ynm
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u vifr,m;vkyd /J a,musmf ;u OD;aqmifaygh/ rde;f ru tukef One Second vkyv f Ydk&w,f/ 'D[mawG b,fvo dk mG ;xde;f rvJqdk
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pD;yGm;a&;pepfaygh/ jrefrmjynfrSm xl;jcm;pGm wnf&SdaewJh taeeJY bm Economist wkef;? Amateur Economist vm;/
[myg/ tJ'Dawmh q&ma'gufwmOD;jrifhukd ar;yg&ap/ tJvq dk dk r[kwaf wmhb;l / tJ'gaMumifh uRefawmftaeeJYuawmh
q&mhtaeeJY A[kdOD;pD;aps;uGufpD;yGm;a&;pepfuae aps; tckvadk [majymyJaG wGrsm;rsm;vky/f vlawGem;vnfatmifvyk /f
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 45
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vlBuD;awGukdvnf;yJ em;vnfatmifvkyfay;yg/ a&mif;aps;awGu tukkefvkH;jyKwfusw,fqkdawmh jyKwfuswJh


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Implementation vkyfEkdifatmif vkyfay;&r,f/ Opportunities wl&if ukd,fhypönf;aumif;atmifvkyf? ypönf;csif;wl&if ukd,fh
ajym bmajymeJY? rvkyfEkdifwJh[mawG oGm;ajym&if b,fvkdvkyf ypönf;ukd aps;oufomatmifvkyf/ 'DESpfck[m b,fawmhrS
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'gygyJcifAs/ olrsm;tjrifuawmh rodbl;/ aumif;atmif b,fvkdvkyfEkdifrvJ/ Oyrm- Organic Farm-
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ajymcsifygw,f/ tckcs&r,fh Strategy u bmvJqkdawmh holder awGeJYaygif;NyD; Think Tank ayghaemf/ 'D Think Tank

46 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


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LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 47
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf - a'gufwmpdefarmif
arG ; ouú & mZf - 1936
ynmt&nftcsif; - B.A (Honours), University of Yangon, 1958
M.P.A (Maxwell Graduate School),
Syracuse University, U.S.A, 1960
Ph.D, New York University, U.S.A, 1964
tawGUtMuHKrsm; - 1992 ckESpfrS ,aeYxd yxryk*¾vdubPfvDrdwufwnfaxmifolESifhOuú|/
- 1965-1966? vufaxmufuxdu? pD;yGm;a&;wuúokdvf? &efukef/
- 1966-1988? b@ma&;ESifhpDrHudef;0efBuD;XmewGif wGJzufñTefMum;a&;rSL;? 'kwd,
twGif;0ef ponfjzifh &mxl;trsKd;rsKd;üwm0efxrf;aqmifcJh? EkdifiHjcm;apvTwfaom
tzGJUtpnf;rsm;wGif tzGJU0iftjzpf yg0ifcJh/
Ek d i f i H w umtawG U tMuH K - 1976-1977? tjynfjynfqkdif&maiGaMu;&efyHkaiGtzGJU (IMF) \ tvSnfhus trIaqmif
'g½kdufwm/
- 1977-1980? Ekid if w H umjyefvnfxal xmifa&;ESihf zGUH NzdK;a&;bPf (IBRD) wGif pD;yGm;a&;^
acs;aiGt&m&Sdtjzpf wm0efxrf;aqmifcJh/
- 1965-1988 IMF, WB, UNCTAD, GATT, ECAFE paom EkdifiHwum Seminar
ESifh uGefz&ifhrsm;? 2002 ckESpfrSpí tmqD,HbPfvkyfief;qkdif&maumifpDESifh uGefz&ifh
tpnf;ta0;rsm;wufa&mufcJh/
toif;tzJGUrsm;wGifyg0ifrI- tzGJU0if? jrefrmEkdifiH 0dZÆmESifh odyÜHynm&SiftzGJU/
tNrJwrf;tzGJU0if? aiGaMu;&if;ESD;jr§KyfESHrIESifh ukefoG,fa&;tNrJwrf;aumfrwD? tmqD,H
bPfrsm;toif; (ASEAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION)/
- trIaqmif? jrefrmEkdifiHbPfrsm;toif;/
Email - fpd.hq@mptmail.net.mm -fpbband@myanmar.com.mm

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tion Cost csay;wJ h a e&mrS m Exim Bank ay:cJ h & if enf ; w,f/
enf;av;tqifajyygvdrfhr,f/ a'gufwmpdefarmifajym uRefawmfuawmh NcHKNyD;ajymcsifwmu Stimulus ukdodyf
NyD;ygNyD/ aemufxyf a'gufwmpdefarmifrSm bmrsm; ajym NyD; rpOf;pm;eJY/ 'DrmS vnf; wku
d ½f u
dk v
f nf; odyNf yD;awmh xdcu
kd f
csifwm&Sdygao;ovJ/ txl;ojzifh Credit Creation bm aewmr[kwfbl;/ urÇmhtajctaeu aps;awGusvkdY yJaps;?
rsm;vk y f a y;oif h w ,f x if y govJ / qefaps;? ig;aps;uswm/ 'gu Short term Phenomenon /
a'gufwmpdefarmif / / Credit Creation uawmh odyf uRefawmfjzpfapcsifwmu Oyrm-Agriculture ? Agriculture
rpOf;pm;eJY/ bmvkdYvJqkdawmh uRefawmfwkdYu Inflation jzpfae ukd uRefawmfwkdY jr§ifhcsifw,f/ Export u tJ'DuvmrSmyJ/
w,f/ Inflation jzpfwJhae&mrSm taMumif;awGu trsm;BuD;yJ/ om;ig;yJajymajym? ykpGefyJajymajym? qefpyg;yJajymajym/
48 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf - a'gufwmOD;jrifh
arG ; ouú & mZf - 1937
tvk y f t uk d i f - UN Senior Economist
ynmt&nftcsif; - B.A (t*Fvdyfpmay? EkdifiHa&;odyÜH? abm*aA') (&efukefwuúokdvf)
- M.A (abm*aA') (aumeJvfwuúokdvf)
- Ph.D (abm*aA') (u,fvDzkd;eD;,m;wuúokdvf? bmuav)
vkyfief;aqmif& Gufr I - okawoevkyfief;Xme? pD;yGm;a&;wuúokdvf? &efukef/
- uxdu? abm*aA'Xme? &efukefpD;yGm;a&;wuúokdvf/
- uxdu? XmerSL;? abm*aA'Xme? ynma&;wuúokdvf? &efukef/
- XmerSL;? pD;yGm;a&;Xme? EkdifiHjcm;a&;0efBuD;Xme/
- ukvor*¾wGif 0efxrf;tjzpfvnf;aumif;? befaumufwGiftajcpkdufaom ukvor*¾
pD;yGm;a&;ESifh vlrIa&;aumfr&Sif (tm&SESifh ypdzdwfa'o) zGHUNzdK;rItenf;qHk;aomEkdifiHrsm;Xme\
okawoeESihf zGUH NzdK;a&;rl0g'rsm; avhvmqef;ppfa&;XmecGrJ LS ;tjzpfvnf;aumif;? txufwef;
pD;yGm;a&;ynm&Siftjzpfvnf;aumif; aqmif&GufcJh/
pmaya&;om;rI - okawoepmwrf;rsm;? ukvor*¾\tpnf;ta0;rsm;? aqG;aEG;yGrJ sm;ESihf tvky½f akH qG;aEG;yGrJ sm;
twGuf taxmuftuljyKpmwrf;rsm;jyKpkay;cJ/h tm&SEiS hf ypdzw d af 'o\ pD;yGm;a&;ESihf vlraI &;
ppfwrf;pmapmifrsm;jyKpka&;om;cJh/

uRefawmfqufajymyg&ap/ tJ'Dawmh Agriculture ukd Credit Creation qk d & mrS m Credit Card vk d r sKd ; aygh / Con-
jr§ifh&r,f/ Seed Technology Farming aemf/ tJ'D[mawG sumer Credit qk d & if q&m b,f v k d , l q ygovJ ? tJ ' g
wGe;f tm;ay;NyD;awmhwif/ usew f mtrsm;BuD;aygh/ Supply Side od y g&ap/
ukdvkyf&r,f/ Agriculture ukd aZmif;ay;yg/ rvkw d [hJ mawG a'gufwmpdefarmif / / 'Dvkdyg/ uRefawmfwdkYu wkduf
jzKwf/ v,form;awG yku d q f vH &dk ifacs;/ a&vkw d ,fqdk &atmif ½kdufrvmao;bl;qkdwmu uRefawmfwkdYu Isolated jzpfae
vkyf/ tJ'gawGyJ aZmufcsvkyfaemf/ aemufNyD;awmh wpfqifhNyD; w,f/ World Economy xJrSm Fully rjzpfbl;/ tJ'DMum;xJ
wpfqifhaygh/ tJvkdvkyfEkdif&if Growth vnf;wufr,f/ Ex- tar&du? Europe wkdYu Sanction awG vkyfxm;ao;w,f/
port Earning vnf;&r,f/ v,form;awGvnf; acsmifcsdr,f/ Direct Trade Link, Direct Transaction wkduf½kdufr&Sdbl;/
tcku racsmifb;l aemf v,form;/ [k;d . . . olaX;v,form; uRefawmfwYdk vmEkid w f mu Oyrm- pifumyl Recession jzpfw,f
acsmifw,f? a&ay:uv,form; racsmifbl;/ tJ'gawG uRef aemf/ xkid ;f ? rav;&Sm;? tif'edk ;D &Sm; 'DaumifawGx&d if uRefawmf
awmfu t&ifvkyfcsifw,f/ 'D Sector BuD;ukd OD;pm;ay;&r,f/ wkdY Export awGu Regional trade 50 or more percent u
(Loan cswJhae&mrSm) Loan jyef&atmif tpkd;&u wm0ef,l? tJ'DrSmygw,f/ tJ'gwpfck/
uRefawmfwYdk u (Private Bank taeeJY) ygEkid w f ,f/ tJ'aD wmh aemufwpfcku Consumer Credit / Consumer Credit
uRefawmfhtjrifu 'Dvkdvkyfcsifw,f/ uawmh uRefawmfodyftm;roefbl;/ bmaMumifhvJqkdawmh
a'gufwmae0if;armif / / q&mhukdvnf; wpfckjyefar; uReaf wmfwYkdvrl sK;d u ay;vkud &f if pm;ypfvu dk rf mS yJ/ aemufwpf
yg&ap/ q&m wkduf½kdufrxdbl;qkdwmu uRefawmfwkdY cku Credit Card aum/ vdrfwmawG trsm;BuD;jzpfEkdifw,f/
Crisis xJ u k d a&muf r oG m ;Ek d i f b l ; vk d Y q&m,l q ygovm;/ aemufjzpfoifhwmu Debit Card / Debit uwfusawmh
LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 49
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf - OD;wifarmifoef;
arG ; ouú & mZf - 1957
ynmt&nftcsif; - 1979-1980 B.Sc(Zoo), University of Yangon
- 1982 Diploma in Fisheries (Kasetsart University)
- 1992 M.Sc, Asian Institute of Technology (AIT)
- 2007 Fellowship, Center for Studies in Security and Diplomacy,
School of Social Science, University of Birmingham UK.
tvk y f t uk d i f - Business Consultant (Singapore based)
- Aquaculturist
tawGUtBuKHrsm; - 1998 ckEpS rf S ,aeYtxd pifumyltajcpku d v
f yk if ef;^pDru
H ed ;f rsm;wGif tBuHay;ynm&Sif
tjzpfaqmif&Gufvsuf&Sd?
- 1996 ckEpS rf S ,aeYtxd jrefrmEkid if w
H iG f a&csK^d a&iefarG;jrLa&;vkyif ef; zHUG NzdK;wk;d wufa&;
(txl;ojzifh wDvm;yD;,m;arG;jrLa&;) twGuf aqmif&Gufvsuf&Sd?
- 1998-1996? AARM, SERD Asian Institute of Technology wGif Development
Expert for Training and Consultancy Unit tjzpf tm&Sa'owGif; zHGUNzdK;a&;pDrHcsufrsm;
aqmif&GufcJh?
- 1983-1989 tBuD;wef; arG;jrLa&;ynm&Siftjzpf ADB Project ESifh jrefrmtpkd;&wkdY
yl;wJGaqmif&Gufaom Inland Fisheries Development Project wGif aqmif&GufcJh/
toif ;tzJGUrsm;wGifyg0ifrI - 'kw,d Ouú|? jrefrmEkdifiHig;vkyfief;tzJGUcsKyf
- Myanmar Egress pwifwnfawmifolESifh Board of Director tzJGU0if
- tBuHay;ynm&Sif? jrefrmEkdifiH ykpGefvkyfief;&Sifrsm;toif;
- tBuHay;ynm&Sif? jrefrmEkdifiH ig;arG;jrLa&;vkyfief;&Sifrsm;toif;

vnf; vlvufwpfqkyfpmyJvkyfEkdifw,f/ Banking Practice a'gufwmae0if;armif / / y&dowfukd rkdufc½kdzkef; t


uvnf; vkdao;/ ukefonfawGyJ bPfrSm aygufxm;wm/ vSnfhray;rDrSm tckwufa&mufaqG;aEG;wJhynm&Sifrsm;
p&if yduk q H &if Deposit vky&f r,f/ 'Dxu
f t f ;Hk / Credit
J Ekwo xJu ajymp&mav;rsm;usefvkdY rSwfcsufjyKcsifwm&SdvkdY&Sd
Card qkd&if Online vnf; r&Sdbl;/ &if q&mwkdYwpfa,mufpD okH;rdepfpDavmuf ajymay;ap
Consumption Loan pOf;pm;&if trsKd;orD;pGrf;aqmif vkdygw,f/ q&mBuD;OD;jrifhupNyD; q&mrSwfcsufjyKcsif
&Sifrsm;toif;u aeYjyefwkd;ay;aewm&Sdw,f/ 'Dawmh Debit wm&Sdao;&if . . . /
Card awmh jzpfEkdifw,f/ 'gaMumifh uRefawmfpajymwm 'gyJ/ a'guf w mOD ; jrif h / / ckeuajymaewJh Budget udpö
b,f Model eJYoGm;rSmvJ/ Market Economy vm;? Gov- awGeJYywfoufNyD; uRefawmfjrifwmuawmh ESpfykdif;&Sdwmaygh
ernment Control Economy vm; Private Sector tm;jznfh av/ wpfykdif;uawmh &&efaiG? wpfykdif;uawmh okH;wJhaiG/
&r,f/ Bank awGvnf; ckdifrmatmifvkyfay;&r,f/ wpfcgwavusawmh uRefawmfwYdk u &&efaiGuydk J odyNf yD;awmh
50 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.
rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf -
OD;cifarmifndK
arG ; ouú & mZf 1956 -
tvk y f t uk d i f -
'kwd,ñTefMum;a&;rSL; (Nidrf;)
ynmt&nftcsif; -
1975 wGif pD;yGm;a&;ynmbGJU? 1991 wGif r[m'óe (abm*aA')bGJU
(&efukefpD;yGm;a&;wuúokdvf)/
EkdifiHhwm0efxrf;aqmifrIrsm; - 2001 ckESpftxd &efukefpD;yGm;wuúokdvfwGif uxdutjzpf wm0efxrf;aqmifcJh/
2001 rS 2006 ckESpftxd 0efBuD;csKyf½Hk;wGif 'kwd,ñTefMum;a&;rSL;tjzpf
wm0efxrf;aqmifcJh/
pmaya&;om;rI - urÇmpD;yGm;a&;*sme,fwGif t,f'DwmcsKyftjzpf wm0efxrf;aqmifvsuf&Sd/
- cifarmifndK (abm*aA') uavmiftrnfjzifh pD;yGm;a&;ynm&yfqkdif&mrsm;?
pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;rsm;ESifh EkdifiHwumESifhywfoufaom pmtkyfrsm;tygt0if
pmtkyfaygif; 30 ausmf a&;om;xkwfa0cJhNyD; *sme,f? r*¾Zif;ESifh pmapmifrsm;wGif
qufvufa&;om;vsuf&Sd/

rS OD;pm;ay;aew,f/ uRefawmfhtaeeJYuawmh okH;wJhtykdif;ukd atmifvkyfyg/ tJ'g Change of Assets yJ/ ajrBuD;xJu[m


oGm;csifw,f/ okH;wJhaiGukdaygh/ okH;aewJhaiGawGukd trsm;BuD; ajray:a&mufoGm;r,f/ tJ'DajrBuD;xJu[mawGuvnf;yJ
aygif;vkYd&w,f/ ta&;BuD;wJ[ h mawGrmS yko d ;Hk vkYd&w,f/ aemuf uRefawmfwkdY&JU tusKd;&Sdr,fqkdwm/ tJ'gav;ukd uRefawmf
qkH;wpfckajymcsifwmu uRefawmfwkdY 0ifaiGtrsm;qkH;&wJh[m tqkjd yKcsifygw,f/ uRefawmfwYdk vyk Ef idk rf ,f[
h maygh/ 'gyJ uRef
u Natural Gas / tJ'gu rESpfu NyD;cJhwJhESpf 2007-2008 awmfajymcsifygw,f/
ckEpS u
f 2 'or 5 bDv, D H tar&duefa':vm&w,f/ tJ'[ D m OD;wifarmifoef; / / uRefawmfuawmh uRefawmfp
uRefawmfwkdYqDu Export awG&JU 44.6 Percent &Sdw,f/ cJhwJh[mav; jyefajymcsifw,f/ urÇmBuD; b,f Direction
'D[mu tBuD;qkH;yJ/ uRefawmfu bmjzpfcsifvJqkdawmh/ 'D'g ukdoGm;aevJqkdwmukd urÇmBuD;NyD;&if uRefawmfwkdY b,f Di-
rsKd;[mawGu aMumufp&maumif;w,f/ ½k&mS ;NydKuJo G mG ;wmu rection eJY oGm;aevJqkdwmukdaygh/ uRefawmfjrifwJh Perspec-
wpfcsufu olu a&eHukdtm;ukd;vkdY/ a&eHukdtm;ukd;wJhtcg tive uae uRefawmfajymyghr,f/
jyóemay:vkdY a&eHaps;usoGm;wJhtcg wkdif;jynfwpfckvkH; uRefawmfwdkY tck em*pf jzpfvkdufw,f/ jzpfvkdufwJh
ysufoGm;w,f/ tJ'Dawmh uRefawmfhtaeeJYu a&eHukdxkwfyg/ tcgusawmhrmS uRefawmfwYdk u tpuawmh [kd . . . uk, d Ehf idk if H
xkwfNyD;awmh Change of Assets Portfolio vkdY ac:w,f/ &JUtajctae? ukd,fhEkdifiH&JU Farming Sector ukd em;vnfw,f
a&eHudk ok;H ? a&eHu uRefawmfwYdk rmS &Sw
d hJ o,HZmwypön;f aemf/ qkdwJh[mu . . . / em*pfjzpfNyD; Assessment awG awmfawmf
uRefawmfwkdY&JUajratmufrSm&SdwJhypönf;/ tJ'D[mukd tay:ukd rsm;rsm;rSm q&mBuD;OD;jrifhwkdYu tay: Layer rSmygovkd uRef
,lvmvdrfhr,f/ awmfwdkYu Ground rSm (tzJGUawGeJY aocsmvkyfaew,fqkd
NyD;awmh 'D Assets ukd b,fvkdokH;&rvJqkdvkdY&Sd&if puf½kH awmh) aocsmodygw,f/ odwJhtcgusawmh bmvJqkdawmh
awGaxmifr,f? Infrasturcture awG aqmufr,f/ ta&;BuD; uRefawmfwkdY&JU ckeuajymaewJh Safety Net ayghaemf/ Safety
qkH;u wkdif;jynfrSm&SdwJh vlawG&JU Human Capacity ukd wkd; Net qkdwm Rural Base/ Oyrm- uRefawmf bmukdpdwfylovJ

LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 51


rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf - OD;ukdukdvIdif
arG ; ouú & mZf - 1956 (jrif;rl)
tvk y f t uk d i f - pma&;q&m? EkdifiHwuma&;&mokawoD
- tBuHay;t&m&Sd (owif;ESifhpme,fZif;vkyfief;? jyefMum;a&;0efBuD;Xme)
ynmt&nftcsif; - B.Sc (DSA),
M.A (TEFL)
ynma&; - jrif;rl? vufyHwef;? &rnf;oif;NrdKUwkdYwGif tajccHynmoifMum;cJh/
- 1972 wGif wuúokdvf0ifwef;atmifjrifcJh/
- 1973 rS 1976 txd jyifOD;vGifppfwuúokdvfwufa&mufcJh/
EkdifiHhwm0efxrf; - 1977 ckESpfwGif jyefwrf;0ift&m&Sd (wyfrawmfMunf;)?
aqmifrIrsm; - 1991 ckEpS rf S 2004 ckEpS ftxd ppfOD;pD; (yxrwef;) okawoe?
- 2004 ckESpfrS ,aeYtxd tBuHay;t&m&Sd (owif;ESiphf me,fZif;vkyif ef;?
jyefMum;a&;0efBuD;Xme)
pmaya&;om;rI - 1991 ckESpfrSpí pme,fZif;rsm;wGif pnfolatmif? ukdukdvIdif? vIdifatmif paom
uavmiftrnfrsm;jzifh aqmif;yg;ESifhpmtkyfrsm; a&;om;jyKpkxkwfa0cJh/

qkv d Ydk&&dS if oGm;aewJh Driection u bmvJqadk wmh uReaf wmfwYdk uRefawmf ukd,fawGUBuHKcJhzl;wJh[mav;wpfckajymcsifygw,f/
Urban Poor ayghaemf/ vIi d o
f m,mvkad e&mrsKd;rSm&Sad ewJh wpfaeY Oyrm- uavmbuf? [J[kd;bufrSmqkdvkdY&Sd&if uRefawmfwkdY
vkyfrSwpfaeYpm;&r,fqkdwJhvlawGu olwkdY&JU Safety Net u &efukefeJY jrefrmEkdifiHatmufykdif;ukdykdYwJh [if;oD;[if;&GufawG
wpfckckqkd&if olwkdYu &GmjyefNyD; qeftdwfwpftdwfjyef,lqkd trsm;qkH;ygw,f/ olu trsm;BuD; Input awG vkdygw,f/
wJh[meJY uRefawmfwkdYEkdifiHu Survive jzpfaewm/ tJawmh "mwfajrMoZm vkdw,f/ ykd;owfaq; vkdw,f/ v,form;
'DEpS rf mS jyef,pl &m&Srd vm;/ jyef,&l if t&ifavmufv, G rf vm; rwwfEkdifbl;/ tJ'Dtcgusawmh NrdKUay:rSm&SdwJh csrf;omwJhvl
qkdwm uRefawmfwkdY pOf;pm;&r,fh Big Question xGufvm awGu tJ'D Input awGukd olwkdYwm0ef,lw,f/ xGufvmwJh
w,f/ uRefawmfjrifwJh Direction taeeJY 'gyJajymyghr,f/ Yield ukd wpf0ufpDcJGNyD;awmh &dwfodrf;wJhtcsdefrSm 'D Busi-
aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ ness NrdKUay:uvlu ukd,fwkdifoGm;apmifhMunfhNyD; olYqDrSmyJ
OD ; uk d u k d v I d i f / / aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ uReaf wmfh tukefvkH;jyefodrf;w,f/ wpf0ufzkd;ukd aygufaps;eJY acsvkduf
taeeJYuawmh 'D Stimulus Package eJYywfoufNyD;awmhaygh w,f/ usefwJhwpf0ufukdawmh Inputs twGuf olu,lw,f/
av/ Primary Producer awGukd wkduf½kdufay;zkdYqkdwmuawmh qkdwJhtcgusawmh olYukd,fpm;vS,feJYolY[molvkyfoGm;
awmfawmfav;rvG,fwJhudpyö g/ 'gayrJh EkdifiHawmfu yHhykd;csif NyD;om;? b,folrS vSnfhMunfhp&mrvkdbl;/ tck Contract
w,fqkdvkdY&Sd&ifawmh a&S;wkef;u ukdvkdeDacwfrSm t*FvdyfawG Farming bmnmusawmh Business awGu t&rf;BuD;w,f/
vkyfovkdyJ t*FvdyfawGu pyg;pkdufwJholawGukd pyg;pkdufap tJavmufxdukd vufvDpdwfNyD;awmhrS vkyfEkdifzkdY cufvdrfhr,f/
csifw,f/ tJ'Dawmh cspfwD;awGukdyJ ac:vkdufwmygyJ/ cspfwD; tJ'Dawmh 'DvkdrsKd; Private Sector rSm NrdKUay:rSm tajccsaewJh
awGukd acs;ay;vkdufw,f/ cspfwD;awGu twkd;BuD;eJYay;pm; vkyfEkdifukdifEkdifwJh? pkdufysKd;a&;eJYywfoufwJhtvkyfukd vkyfae
NyD;awmhrS t&if;axmifay;vkdufwmyJ/ MuwJhvlawGukdrsm; yk*¾vdubPfawGua&m? usefcJhwJh Insti-
uRefawmfwkdYu 'DykHpHrsKd;awmh r[kwfbl;aygh/ tck tution awGua&m acs;aiGav;awGukd tmrcHeJYaygh/ tJvkdrsKd;

52 LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009.


rsufESmzkH;aqmif;yg;

trnf - a'gufwmae0if;armif
arG ; ouú & mZf - 1962 ckESpf
ynmt&nftcsif; - M.B.,B.S,
Fellowship (Yale Univesity) tar&duefjynfaxmifpk
tvk y f t uk d i f - Secretary General : Myanmar Egress
Programme Director : Myanmar Egress Development Center
CEO/Policy Director : Living Color Media

vkyaf y;Ekid rf ,fqv dk Ydk &&dS if wpfenf;tm;jzifh oG,0f u


dk Nf yD;awmhrS jzpfatmifvkyfaemf/ tJ'Dawmh 'DESpfckukd OD;wnfNyD;awmh
uRefawmfwkdY Credit Loan awG awmufavQmuf Primary Pro- Inflation ukd csyg/
ducer awGukd a&mufoGm;r,faygh/ aemufjyefr&rSm? qkH;rSm Inflation u ESpfykdif;&Sdw,f/ Assets Inflation tdrfaps;?
vnf; ryl&bl;/ t"dujyóemu v,form;awGqDukd tr ajraps;awG acgifckdufaewmyJ/ um;aps;awG/ bmjzpfvkdYvJ?
awmfaMu;ay;vkduf&if tpkd;&ucH&wmyJ/ 'D[mukd tpkd;&u bmjzpfvkdY rxdef;Ekdif&wmvJ/ taMumif;ubmvJ/ taMumif;
rcHbJeJY Mum;xJrSm ukd,fwkdif ukd,fxdvufa&muf zdzdpD;pD;vkyf &Sm&if&Sdw,f/ aemufwpfcg Consumer Price Inflation (tck
EkdifwJholawGqDukd ykdYay;vkdufr,fqkd&if 'g . . . awmfawmfrsm; uawm ah ps;awGbmawGusw,f) 'gayrJh Imported Product
rsm;pkd;&drfae&wJh Primary Producer awGrSm aemufwpf&moD awG&JU Price awGu odyfrusbl;/ tJ'D Inflation ukdcs&r,f/
twGuf xkwfvkyfzkdYtwGuf t&if;tESD;r&SdrSmukd yl&wJh pkd;&drfrI usyfwefzkd;ukdvnf; jynfwGif;jynfyrSm wnfNidrfatmif
u tawmfhukd avsmhyg;oGm;apr,fvkdY uRefawmfxifygw,f/ vkyf&r,f/ tJ'Dawmh b,fukdjyefoGm;vJ Supply Side ukd jyef
aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ oGm;w,f/ Production Side / ckeu uRefawmfajymovkd Pro-
a'gufwmpdefarmif / / uRefawmfhtjrifuawmh EkdifiH duction Side uvnf; v,f,mu@ukd OD;wnfNyD;awmh v,f
a&;tykdif;u wpfykdif;xm;aygh/ pD;yGm;a&;ukd wpfykdif;xm;NyD; vkyfwJhv,form;awGukd yHhykd;&r,f/ olwdkY aiGaMu;vkdtyf&if
OD;pm;ay;NyD; vkyf&rSm/ oabmu Macro Economic awGukd/ tpkd;&urwwfEkdif&if uRefawmfwkdY 0kdif;ulay;r,f/ jyef&
bmawG tusKH;0ifvJaemf/ ckeu uRefawmfajymwJh Inflation atmifawmh tpkd;&u wm0ef,l/
ukdcsay;zkdYaemf/ aemufwpfcku Financial Stability / Eco- 'Dawmh tm;vkH;0kdif;0ef;NyD;awmh aygif;vkyf&r,f/
nomy wpfckvkH;rSm/ tJ'gvkyfzkdYvkdw,f/ tJawmh tck uRef 'Davmufqkd awmfavmufygNyD/
awmfwkdY Official Rate eJY Market Rate ukd Munfhvkduf&if a'gufwmae0if;armif / / wpfckyJ uRefawmfajymyg&
uGm[rIu rdk;eJYajrvkd jzpfaew,f/ ap/ q&mBuD;OD;jrifhajymwmeJYywfoufNyD;ayghaemf/ tcGef
jrefrmEkid if AH [kb d Pf&UJ Oya'rSm usyfwefz;dk ukd jynfwiG ;f eJ Y ywf o uf v k d Y aygh / vl a wG t m;vk H ; u tcG e f u k d a &S m if
jynfyrSm xdef;xm;zkdYqkdwm Major Objective / tck uRefawmf w,f / vT w f w J h o l u vnf ; vk H ; vk H ; vT w f w ,f a ygh a emf /
Munfhw,f/ Oya' Pass vkyfwJh 1992 uwnf;u 16 ESpf&SdNyD/ tcGefaumufwJhudpöukd uRefawmfwkdY tpkd;&ukd wm;vkdYr&
Exchange Rate jynfywefzkd;vnf; rxdef;Ekdifbl;/ jynfwGif; ygbl;/ wm;vkdYr&bl;qkd&if vltm;vkH;qDu enf;enf;pD
wefzkd;vnf; rxdef;Ekdifbl;/ bmjzpfvkdYvJ wpfykdif;u Macro aumuf w J h e nf ; uk d ajymif ; zk d Y v k d y gw,f /
Economic Policy r&Sdbl;/ wpfykdif;u Financial Stability

LIVING COLOR. No.163, FEBRUARY. 2009. 53

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