US Army Corps

of Engineers
Hydrologic Engineering Center


HEC-4
Monthly Streamflow Simulation





User's Manual








February 1971










Approved for Public Release. Distribution Unlimited. CPD-4

Generalized Computer Program
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PLEASE DO NOT RETURN YOUR FORM TO THE ABOVE ORGANIZATION.
1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY)
February 1971
2. REPORT TYPE
Computer Program Documentation
3. DATES COVERED (From - To)
5a. CONTRACT NUMBER
5b. GRANT NUMBER
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
HEC-4
Monthly Streamflow Simulation
5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER
5d. PROJECT NUMBER
5e. TASK NUMBER
6. AUTHOR(S)
CEIWR-HEC
5F. WORK UNIT NUMBER
7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)
US Army Corps of Engineers
Institute for Water Resources
Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC)
609 Second Street
Davis, CA 95616-4687
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER
CPD-4
10. SPONSOR/ MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S) 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)
11. SPONSOR/ MONITOR'S REPORT NUMBER(S)
12. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
14. ABSTRACT
This program will analyze monthly streamflows at a number of interrelated stations to determine their statistical
characteristics and will generate a sequence of hypothetical streamflows of any desired length having those characteristics.
The program will reconstitute missing streamflows on the basis of concurrent flows observed at other location and will
obtain maximum and minimum quantities for each month and for specified durations in the recorded, reconstituted and
generated flows. HEC-4 will also use the generalized simulation model for generating monthly streamflows at ungaged
locations based on regional studies. There are many options for using the program for various related purposes, and the
program can be used for other variables such as rainfall, evaporation, and water requirements, alone or in combination.













15. SUBJECT TERMS
monthly streamflow, statistical analysis, hypothetical streamflows, durations, simulation, ungaged locations, standard
deviation, skew coefficient, Pearson Type III, normal, HEC-4
16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 19a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSON
a. REPORT
U
b. ABSTRACT
U
c. THIS PAGE
U
17. LIMITATION
OF
ABSTRACT
UU
18. NUMBER
OF
PAGES
104
19b. TELEPHONE NUMBER








HEC-4
Monthly Streamflow Simulation





Users Manual







February 1971











US Army Corps of Engineers
Institute for Water Resources
Hydrologic Engineering Center
609 Second Street
Davis, CA 95616

(530) 756-1104
(530) 756-8250 FAX
www.hec.usace.army.mil CPD-4
10 December 1984

Conditions of Use

The following conditions regulate the use of computer programs developed by the Hydrologic
Engineering Center (HEC), Corps of Engineers, Department of the Army.

1. The computer programs are furnished by the Government and are accepted and used by the
recipient individual or group entity with the express understanding that the United States
Government makes no warranties, expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness,
reliability, usability, or suitability for any particular purpose of the information or data contained
in the programs, or furnished in connection therewith, and that the United States Government
shall be under no liability whatsoever to any individual or group entity by reason of any use
made thereof.

2. The programs belong to the United States Government. Therefore, the recipient agrees
neither to assert any proprietary rights thereto nor to represent the programs to anyone as other
than Government programs.

3. The recipient may impose fees on clients only for ordinary charges for applying and
modifying these programs.

4. Should the recipient make any modifications to the program(s), the HEC must be informed
as to the nature and extent of those modifications. Recipients who modify HEC computer
programs assume all responsibility for problems arising from, or related to, those modifications.
User support from the HEC to third part recipients will only be provided after the second party
demonstrates that program difficulties were not caused by their modifications.

5. This "Conditions of Use" statement shall be furnished to all third parties that receive copies
of HEC programs from the recipient. Third party recipients must be notified that they will not
receive routine program updates, correction notices, and other program services from the HEC
unless they obtain the program(s) directly from the HEC.

6. All documents and reports conveying information obtained as a result of the use of the
program(s) by the recipient, or others, will acknowledge the Hydrologic Engineering Center,
Corps of Engineers, Department of the Army, as the origin of the program(s).

REC_l..
MONTHL Y STREA MFL OW SD4UL A TI ON
HY DROL OGI C ENGmEERI NG GENTER
COMP UT E R P ROGRAM 723- X6- L 2340
CONTEI fl'S
P ar agr aph
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
ORI GI N oy P R OG R AM
PURPOSE OF PROORA M
DESCRI PTI ON OF EQUI PMENT
METRODS OF COMP UT A' r I ON
I NPUT
OUTPUT
OPERA TI NG I NSTRUCTI ONS
DEFI NI TI ONS OF TERMS
PROPOSED FUTURE DEV EL OPMENT
EXHI BI TS
1
L
3
4
5
6
7
8
DETA lL ED EXPL A NA Tlo..~ OF COMPUTER PROGRA M
DESCRI PTI ON OF CROUT' S METHOD
I NPUT EXA MPL E .
OU'l'P UT EXAMP LE
DEFI NI TI ONS
SOURCE PROGRA M
INP UT DATA
S UMMAR Y OF REQUI RED CA RDS
P age
1
1
1
1
7
8
8
8
8
]j85
HEC- 4
MONTH1~YSTREAMFL()1;TSrnuLATION
HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERTIlTGCENTER
COMPUTER PROGRAM723-x6-L2340
1. ORI GI N OF PROGRAM
Th: i . spr ogr ar n was pr epar ed i n The Hydr o1. ogi . c Engi neer i ng Cent er , Cor ps
of Engi neer s . Up- t o- dat e i nf or mat i on and c opi es of s our c e s t at ement c ar ds
f or var i ous t ypes of c omput er s c an be obt ai ned f r em t he Cent er upon r eques t
by Gover nment and c ooper at i . ng agene . es. Pr ogr ams ar e f ur ni s hed by t he
Gover nment and ar e ac c ept ed and us ed by t he r ec i pi ent upon t he expr es s under -
s t and. i ng t hat t he Uni t ed St at es Gover nment makes no war r ant i es , expr es s . or
i mpl i ed, c onc er ni ng t he ac c ur ac y, c ompl et enes s , r el i abi l i t y, us abi l i t y, or
s u t abn. i t y f or any par t i c ul ar pur pos e of t he i nf or mat i on and dat a c ont ai ned
i n t he pr ogr ams or f ur ni . s hed inconnecti.on t her ewi t h, and t i he Uni . t ed St at es
s ha11 be under no 1i abi 1i t y what s oever t o any per s on by r eas on of any us e
made t her eof .
The pr ogr ams be10ng t o t he Gover nment . ~l er ef or e, t he r ec i pi ent f ur t her
agr ees not t o as s er t any pr opr i et ar y r i ght s t her ei n or t o r epr es ent t he
pr ogr ams t o anyone as ot her t han a Gover nment pr ogr amo
2. PURPOSE OF PROGRAM
Thi s pr ogr am " dI 1 anal yz e mont h1y s t r eamf l mr s at a number of i nt er -
r el at ed s t at i ons t o det er mi ne t hei r s t at i s t i c al c har ac t er i s t i c s and wi l 1
gener at e a s equenc e of hypot het i c al s t r eamf l ows oi ' any des i r ed l engt h havi . ng
t hos e c har ac t er i s t i c s . I t wi l . l r ec ons t i t ut e mi s s i ng s t r eamf l ows on t he
bas i s of c onc ur r ent f l ows obs er ved at ot her l oc at i ons and wi l l obt ai n maxi -
mur o and mi ni mum quant i . t i es f or eac h mont h and f or s pec i f i ed dur at i ons i n
t he r ec or ded, r ec ons t i . t ut ed and gener at ed f l ows . I t wi l l al . s o us e t he
gener al i . z ed s i mul at i on model f or gener at i ng mont hl y s t r ea. m: f l ows at ungaged
l oc at i ons bas ed on r egi onal s t udi es . Ther e ar e many opt i ons of us i ng t he
pr ogr am f or var i ous r el at ed pur pos es , and i t c an be us ed f or ot her var i abl es
s uc h as r ai nf al l , evapor at i on, ar r d wat er r equi r ement s , al one or i n c ombi nat i on.
3 DESCRIPr.ION OF EQUIPMENT
TM. s pr ogr am r equi r es a FORTRAN I V c ompi . l er , a r andom number gener at or
( f unc t i on RNGEN L ne L uded , s ee exhi bi t 2) , and a f ai r l y l ar ge memor y (64K on
t he CDe 6600)0 Pr ovi s i on : i . smade f or us e of t hr ee s c r at c h t . apes , 7 ( f or
punc hed out put ) , 8and 9.
4. METHODS OF eOMPUTATION
a. I n t he s t at i s t : i c al anal . ys . s por t i on of t hi s pr ogr am, t he f l ows
f or eac h c al endar mont h at e ac h s ' t . at . on ar e f i . r s ' t i nc r ement ed by 1 per c ent
of t hei r c al endar - mont h aver age i n or der t o pr event i ni ' i ni t e neeat i ve
logari thms This increment Ls later subtracted. Themean, standard deviation
andskew coef'icients for each station and calendar monthare then computed.,
This involves the follovri.ngequations:
X.
=
log (Q. +
qi)
( 1)
1,m ~,m
N
X.
=

X. IN
(2)
l.
m=l
1,m
S.
1.
=
N 2
(X. -X.) I(N-l)
1
l.,m ].
m=
(3)
9:..
-:1
N
= N
m=l
- )3
(x, -X.
l.,m 1.
I
((N-l)(N-2)S~)
l.
(4)
i.nwhich:
X
=
N =
S
=
s
=
i. =
m =
X = Logarithmo' i.ncrementedmonthlyflow
Q = Monthlyrecorded streamflow
q = Small 1ncrement o' flow used to prevent i.nfini te logari.thms
for monthso' zero flow
Meanlogarithm of incremented monthlyflows
Total. years o' record
Unb.asedestimate of popul.ati.onstandard deviati.on
Unbiasedestz.ma'teof population skewcoefficient
Monthnuniber
Year number
b. For each station andmonthwith incomplete record, asearch is
madefor longer records amongthe stations used, to find that whichwill
contribute most toward:i.ncreasingthe reliability of the statistics com-
puted fromthe incomplete record. Themeanandstandard devi.ation are
then'adjusted. Equation 5 1s usedto computethe equivalent record required
to obtain statistics equally reliable to these adjusted statistics andis
the basi.s for selecting the best record to beused i.nthe adjustment.
Equations 6and7are the adjustment equa:tions.
(5)
2
,
- x ) RS
1
/ 8
2
.~
- x = (~
'1 2
,
1 2
8
- 8
1
=
( 8
2
- 8
2
) R 8
1
/ 8
2 1
(6)
(7)
Theprimes indicate the long-period values andthose without primes
arebased ontihesameshort period for both stati.ons 1and2, and:
N = Lengthof record
R = Id.neaz-correlat:i.on coeffi.c:ient
c. Eachindividual f10wis then converted to anormalized standard
variate, usingthe f0110wingapproxi.mationof the PearsonTypeIIIdistribution:
t. = (X. - X.) / S.
1, m 1, m 1 ] .
(8)
(9)
t = PearsonTypeIIIstandard dev.at.e
K = Normalstandard deviate
d. After transforming the f'Lovsfor all monthsandstations to normal,
the gross (simple) correlation coeffici.ents Rbetxreen a11paf.rs of stations
for eachcurrent andpreceding cal.endar monthare computedby use of the
fol1owingformula:
Ri.i-l = {l - [l _ ( N x. x'] )2/( Nx2.
, m=l l.,m 1- _,ro ro=1 l.,m
N , . . ,
z x: 1 ) ]
m=l ].-_,m
(N-l) /(N-2) }.~
(10)
inwhich:
x = X - X
3
e'. Ir there are Lnsuf'f'Lc..errt simul:taneous observations o' anypalr of
vcd,ables to computearequ.red correlation coef'f'Lc.errt , that value must be
es+mat.ed . Each m:j,ssingvaLueLs est matedbyexaminingl'ts relationship
t.o related pairs o' values in the current andpreceding monthby use
o' 'thefollCJ1:d.ngformula using L, ,j, and k subscr-.pta to Lnd..catie variables
used i.n the gross correlation.
(11)
Since
J
i n order to beconsistent with the tvo related correlation coefficients,
the correlation coef't'Lc .errt must L,e between the li.mits givenby equation ll,
the Lovest upperL.m.t and highest lower 1inrl,t are established for all related
pa.r-s , andthe average of these twolimi ts Ls taken as the esti.mated correla-
tion coef'f'Lcd.errt
f. Monthlystreamflows m.saf.ng fromthe records of the various stations
are est.matedfor a11stations for each monthLn turn. Accordingly, when-
ever am.ss .ngflO1<l is being reconst.ituted, there a1waysexists avalid.
va.Lue.for all stat.Lons a.Lready examinedthat monthand for a11remaining
stations Ln either the current or preceding month. For these remaining
st3.ti.onsJ the cur-rerrt value Ls seleeted whe:reavad.LabIe; otherwise the
preceding value 1.5 used. In order to reconsti.tute the missing value, a
regression equation in terms of normal standard variates Ls computedby
selecting required coef'f'Lc..ent.s fromthe complete eorrelation matrix for
that monbhand so'Lv.ngby the Crout method(Seeexhibit 1). Themissing
va.Lue Ls computedfromthis regressi.on equat.on , introducing arandom
componerrt equal to the nondet.erm.nab.on of the equat .on, as d:i.. scussed Ln
the strearnflow generation procedure.
p.;o It has been foundthat valid us e o' the regression technique requires
that a11correlation coefficients agree with the data that wi,ll be substituted
Lrrco the equations and that the cor-re.Lat.Lon coefficients bemutually con-
siste.nt. Inconsistency in the correlation coefficients causes the dependent
vari.ab.Le to beover--def'Lned andis ev.denced by adetermi.nation coefficient
greater than 1.0. I' t.h.s occurs (because or ineomplete data), the inde-
pendent var-.abLeconbr-Lbirt Lngleast to the correlation is droppedJ anda
new regression equation is comput.ed , 'l'his process is repeated as necessary
unti.l eonsi.stency Ls reached (whichmust occur by the timethat only one
i.ndependent variable remains). I n order to maleethe correlation matrix
consi.stent .iththe data matr:i.x, a11affected correlation coefficients
are reeomputed after eaehestimate of missing data.
h. Normal standard deviates are then converted to flows by useoi' the
follovri.n,:::; equat.ons;
1
(12)
x. = X + t. S.
~, m ~, m~
( 13)
=
Arrt .Log X. - q.
~,m 1
( 14)
LmposIngthe constraint:
Q. : =: O
1"m
( 15)
i. Vlhenthe setof f10vTSls complete, a.LL correlation matrices should
be consistent excejrt for tiruncat.on errors in the computer, since the datia
arrays are complete. Any consistency of matrrLces obtiaf.ned in thi.s manner
01' of matrices read into the computer vd11 resul:t in determi.nation coefficients
greater than 1.0. Ir thi,s occurs, consistency o each corre1ation matrix is
assured by fi,rst testing a.l.L combinations o' triads of correlati.on coet-
ficients in the current a.ndpreceding monthfor a11 calendar monthsusing
equation 11 and raising the .1OVTest of the three coeffici.ents to obtain
aconsistent triad. Thetest or consLstency of each complete matri.x Ls
made by recomputi.ng the mu1tiple correlat:ion coefficient. Ir thi.s value
Ls greater than 1.0, further ad;justmentLs required. Suchfurther adjust-
mentis obtained by introduc::i.nge.. coerf .cIerrt, successively sma11erby
0.2, onthe radical i.n equati.on 11 andrepeating 8~1triad. consis"tency
tests until all matrices are cons:.istent. If consistency i.s notr-eached ,
coefficients in each incons:i.stent matrix are movedtO.ard the average
value of al1 coeff:icients in that matrix until consistency i.s r-eached ,
j. Generation of hypothetica1 strearoflovrs :is accompli.shedby comput.Lng
aregressi.on equation, by the Croutmethod(descri.bed in exhibit 1) for
each station and monthand then computing st.reamt'Lows for each station in
turn for onemonthat atime usi.ng thefo,1lmlng equation. This process
is started .ri,thaverage values (zero deviati.on) for al1stations in the
first monthanddiscarding the fi.rst 2 years of generated fl.aws.
t ,
= (3lK. 1 +f3
2
K
. 2
1, 1,
+ o e o
r t
+f 3 K.. +f 3 .K.. . +
j-1 1, J - l J l - l , J
r
f 3 . 'lK. 1..J..}
Jo. J.-. ,J' .
+ e +f 3 K:'
l
+Jl-R ~.
n l ~ , n 1, J
Z
:i , ,j
( 16)
5
L
inwhi.ch:

K = Monthlyflowlogarithm, expressedas anormal standard

devi.ate '
{3
=
Betacoefficient computedfromcorrelation matrix
i
=
Monthnumber
j
=
Station number
n
=
Numberof interrelated stations
R
= Mul.tiplecorre1ation coefficient
Z
=
Randomnumberfromnormal stand.ardpopulation
k. Maxirnum, mnimumandaverageflows are obtained for theentire
peri.odo' flows as recordedandfor specified periods of reconstituted
andgenerated flows byroutine search technique.
l. Provision is also :i.ncludedin this programfor useof thegeneralized
model requi.ring only 4genera1izedcoefficients for eachstation (in place
of 48) andonegenera1ized correlation coefficient (in place of 12) for each
pair ot' stati.ons, in addition to identification of wet anddryseasons for
eaehstation. Thesearedefined as follows:
(1) Theaveragevalueof meanlogari.thmsof flows for thewet
season (3 months). This valueplus 0.2 is applied to the middlemonth
andthe averageminus0.1is applied to the other 2months.
(2) Theaveragevalue of meanlogarithms of flows for thedry
season (3 months). This is appHedto a113 drymorrths. Meanlogari.thms
for monthsbetweendry andwet seasons areinterpolated 1inearly.
(3) 'Pheaveragestandard deviation for al1 12months. This is
app'l..ed'toeachof the 12morrths.
( 4) Theavera.geserial correlation coefficient for a1112months.
Thi
9
value minus .15(bu'tnot less than zero) 1s applied to eachwet-season
morrch , andthe va1ueplus .15Cbutnot morethan .98) is applied to each
dry-season month. Theaveragevalueis applied to a1l intermediate months.
(5) Theaverageinterstation correlation coefficient for al1 12
monthsis app1iedto eachmonthfor that pa:ir of stations ..
m. Becauseo' limitations in computermemorysize andbecauseor
increasing changeo' computationaJ..instability with larger matrices, the
numberof stati.ons usab.Iesimultaneously inthis programhasbeenlimited
to 10. However,the program.canreconstitute andgenerate stream'lowsfor
6
any numbero stations in groupsof lOor Less. It.-i11ord:i.nari1ybe
desi.rab.leto includ.eoneor morestations fromear1ier groupsin each
successive groupi.norder topreserveimportant correlations. In
addition to provid:i.ngflowdatai'or a11sta:tions, it is necessary to
desi.gnateNPASSandto followeachgroupof flOVT data'tdth ast.andaz-d
format cardwithNSTX(numberof stations innext pass that werealso
usedin precedingpasses) andstation identificatm nunibersfor those
stations. Thesenumbersmustbelisted inthesamesequenceas thei.r
datawerearran;;;ed in earlier passes. Data.for thenewstations for the
newpass shou1dthenberead. Noneor thesefl.Oi07S canoccur in ayear
later thanthelatest year for whichf10wdata occurredin thefirst pasa.
n. Assoonasi'1ows arereconst.ituted for anypass, they are read
ontotheflowtape. After stati.stics arecomputedfromtransformed
reconstituted flows, they arereadQntothestatistics tape (after
identification of sta:tions i.nthepass for future reference). Final
regressi.onequatzondata for eachpass arereadontothe sainetape at the
sa.meti.me(for usein generation later). For eachnevpass, the flow
andstat:istics tapes are searchedseparately for datafor those stations
already usedthat alsooccur inthe nevpass. Inorder to readandwri.te
intermittent1y andal.ternati ve1yonthe sametapes, it i.snecessary to
keeptrack of taperecords soas to assurethat arryreadstatement does
not readbeyondtherecord markandsothat new",rite statements occur
at theendof a11previouswrite statements that areto besaved.
o. Oncethat statistics areput ontape, they areretained throughout
the reconstitution andgenerationprocesses, Flo~Ts, hcweve'r , aresaved
onlyfor theset of data inwhichtheywerereconstituted or generated,
until the last passfor that set is comp1eted. Inthe generati.onprocess,
it 1snecessaryto savethe1ast f10wgeneratedfor eachstation in one
set f'or useastheantecedent f10win starting generation in thenext
set. Thesearesavedin theQpTAParray with subscript ISTAP.
5. INPUT
Input Lssummarizedinexhibits ' r and8. Dataareentered consecu-
ti vely oneachcardusingasimplevariety of formatsto s:imp1ifypunch.ng
andhandli.ngcards. eomputedandgeneratedf'l.OVTS cannotbeL,000,000units
or larger, andconsequentlymustbeexpressedi.nunits that cannot exceed
this magni tude. Units shouldbei.ndi.catedononeof bhe3 header cards.
Column1of eachcardis reservedf'or cardi.dentification. Theseareignored
bythe computerexcept for theAin column1of thefirst header card, wh.ch
is usedto identify the first data cardo Anexampleof input is sivenin
exhibit 3. Certain inadequacies of datawill abort the jobandwasbeinput
cards unti.l thenext cardwithAin column1i.sreached. AcardwithA
in column1follovTedby' 4 blankcards causesthe computerto stop.
7
6, O T Y E P U T
P r:inted outrpubincludes keyi.nput inf'ormation 'or job i.dentification
anda11results oi' compu"tations. Generated flows are put onmagnetic
tape, andcomputedstatistics are punchedoncards in the format usable
later bythe programo An exampleof printed output Ls givenin exhibit 4 o
7. O P E RAT nm INST RU CT IO NS
Standard FO RT RAN IV instructions andrandomnumbergenerator are
required~Nosense switches are used ,
8. DE .FJ NIT IO NS O F T E RMS
T ermsusedin the programare defined Lnexhfbd, t 5 .
9. PROPOSED }<'UTURE DEVELOP1viENT
T hereare cases vhere the model usedhere:in does not reproducehistorical
droughts with reasonable frequency. Consequently, the model.is under
conti.nuousstudy anddevelopment. It is requested that anyuser "T hof'inds
aninadequacy or desirable addition or mod.i.f'icat:ionnotif'y T heHydrologic
E ngineering Center.
8
EXHI BI T 1
DETATI,ED EXPLANATIOlif
OF .
C OMPUTER PROGRAM:
GENERAL
Muchof the programis explained by commentcards and definitions
01' variables. Supplementary explanation f'oLl.ows, referring to sect .ons
identi1'ied with the indi.cated letter in column201' a commentcardo
SECTIONA
Correlation coe1'fi.cients, R, andbeta coefficients, B, are in double
precision for matrix inversion computati.on, in order to minimi.zecomputa-
tional Lnst.abf.L.ty , Cor-re.Latr.oncoefficient, RA, as ori.ginally computed
andstored, maybe defined in s:i~gle precisi.on. For computers with worc1
length smaller than 32bt.ts , manyother variables i.n'thi.s programshould
be I.ndouble precision.
TJhendimensions are changed, the corresponding vari.able (starting
with K) shoul.dbe changed accordingly, as these are used to prevent
exceedence of dimensions. If an excessive subscript is used, the ,job
wi,ll be dumpeduntil a card vTi th Ain column1is encountered, at; ,rhich
time a newjob is automati.cally sta.rted. If 5 blank cards (''tV ':i th an A
in column101' the flrst) are encountered, the run wi.ll be terminated.
Job specification cards are read i.nthis section.
SECTIONB
NSTAXis number of columns in correlation matrix. Tbese consist 01'
NSTAcolumns f'or the current-month values and a similar number for ante-
cedent-month values. NSTAALs ini tial columnnumber f'o'r antecedent-month
coeff'Lc.ent.s. Tbese are computed fromNSTA,vrhich is read in Lf statistics
are to be prov:ided, rather tha.n computedfromrawdata.. I1' ra"Tdata are
to be used, NSTAis defined in the programla.ter andNSTAAa.ndNSTAmust be
a1so. Data for each nev pass are processed after transferring back to
statement 42. In the multipass operation, NST'.l1.8 the number of sbatz.ons
used fromprevious passes andNSTXXLs the suoscr-.pt 01' the first new
station for the current pass. Station identificati.on for the lifSTX: stations
must be in the order in which data for those stations were originall-:,r used,
because search of data ands'tatistics ontape is madei.nthis order. F'Lows
for these stations are read fromtape IQTAP, and corresponding statistics
fromtape ISTAT. V ariables LQTAPandLSTATare used to keep track of 'tape
position for subsequent writing.
*Provided through the cooperation of the Texas W'ater Development Board.
EXHI BI T 1
Monthsare j,dentified consecutivelybythevariable Mstarting with
themorrthpreceeding the first year of data. Somequant,ities to be
accumulatedare ini,tialized. Station combinationdataare stored f'or
the purposeo' obtaining maximums and minimums(section D) of weighted
f10wvalues latero Tandemstations areidentified for caseswherea
check onconsistency of generatedquantdtd es is deemedappropriate.
Station identification numbersareset to aLarge numbersotheywi,ll
not beundefined. TheflOYTarray is filled with -1 values to Lndf.cabe
missingvalues. For eachstation andcalendar montb, thetotal flowarrd
nunberof recorded values arecomputedf'or computingaflowincrement
andother stat:i,stics 1ater. Them.n.mum flowfor each station morrbh
f.s also computedLn order to avoidnegati velogari thmslater.
SEC-"TION e
Station data canbereadin randomorder. Stations areidenti'i.ed
bysubscri.pt in the order inwhichdata 'or each5tation arefirst read.
Theyear subscri.pt i5 computed. Negativesubscripts will occur if data
are'or year's earl.ier tharr thestarting year indicated onBcard, and
data 'or these are rejected, withdiagnostic printout. Thestations
arecountedandthe flowsfor eachmonthat eachstation arecountedfor
the purposeof computingfrequencystatisti.cs later. If thenumber01'
stations or years exceedsits dimensionlimi't, the jobis aborted. The
numbero' stations is permanentlystored in theNSTNParray for later
identificati,on in mul.ti.passoperations. Theremainder of this section
is self explanatory, except to state that permanentiden'tification
station numbersare given:for stations in comb:i.nati.on, for tarrdemstations,
andfor cona.s'tency-Ees'tstations, andsubscr-.pts arei.dentified for rapid
computationlatero
SECTIOND
Inthis section, maximumandminimumrecordedflowsfor eachcalendar
morrth, thewater year andfor durati.onso' 1., 6, and'14 months, andaverage
fl.owsare computedfor eachstati.on andcombination. Durations donot
spanabreak in anyrecord. Quantiti.es are roundedoff andpr:i.ntedin
fixed-point formato
SECTIONE
Thelogari thmtransformof flowsLsaccomplishedhere. Missing
values are indicated byanimpossiblylarge number(the -1usedfor
missi.ngfl.owsLsareasonable Logardthmandtherefore cannotbeused
for missingLogardthms). Beforet.helogtransform, theaverageflow
for eachcalendar monthat eachstation is computedandone(constra1.ned
to a.minimumof 0.1 f10w unit) is addedto eachf1ow. If themnimum
6bservedflowfor that sta.tion monthis negative, that abs01utevalue
2
EXIUBIT 1
is also addedbeforethetransformo Arter thelogarithmtransform,
frequencystati.stics for eachcalendar monthandstation arecomputed.
An incrementneededto conver-tthelogari.thmsto anapproxi.matelynormal
dis'tribution is also computedas analternative future transformo Log-
arithmsto thebase10areusedsothat stat:istics arecomparableto
other commonlyusedstatistics. Avariable IRCONLs set to 1.i:f any
mi.ssingvalues areencountered, sothat theflawreconstitution routine
will becalled later. Avariable INOCis set to 1if thefirst approxi.-
metonof incrementscausesanyoneof the skewcoefficients tobe
smaller than0.1or 1arger thanO.1. Inanoptional routine that fo11aws,
theincrementfor eachstation andcalendar monthis adjusted indi v1.dually
anditeratively (up to 14trials) until skewis ,dthin 0.1of zero.
Stations wi:thless than+hreeyears of datafor anycalendar morrth
aredeleted, sinceskewandcorrelation co:m:putationsrequire at least
three iterasof data.
S:OCTION E '
Correla'tionmatri.cesarecomputedherefor thepurposeof adjusting
frequencys'tat:i.st:i.csf'o'rshort-record stations. Al.l correlation coef-
ficients arefirst set to -4.0 in order to identify thosenot computed
later for Lackof sufficient observeddatia, Thenaccumula'tionsof the
various quantiti.es required arecomputedfor all. itemsaboyethemain
diagonal inthecorrelati.on matri.xfor eachmorrth; usinga11data common
tothetwostations involved. If morethantwoitemsor dataareava.L-
abLe, thecorrelation coeffidents arecompirted, Coefficients for the
maindiagonal areset to 1.0, andthosebeLowthemaindiagonal are set
egual to their symmetrical elemento Coefficients betweenthecurrent
andprecedingmorrthIsva'Iuesaresi.milarly computed. Theseiteras con-
sti.tu'te anextena.onof thematir-.x to therigh't, whi.chdoublesi.ts size,
andthenewportion is not necessarily symmetrical. Similar complete
arrays of averagevalues androot-mean-sauarevaluesfor onlythoseLog-
arithms commonto eachpair of stations ~e foundfor later usein
adjusting statistics.
Asearchi.sthenmadeto determinethe station that wou1.dbemost
useful inadjusting statistics for station monthswithincompleterecord.,
andthemeansandstandarddeviations areadjusted :inaccordancewiththe
followingequations:
Si = SI + (S2- S2) R
2
S
1
/ s
2
whereprimesLndf.cat.eLcng-per-Iodvalues, subscripts are1for the short-
recordstation arrd2for thelong-record station and,
3
EXHI BI T 1
x = meanlogarithm
s = standard deviation o' thelogarithms
R = correlation coeffici.ent.
An optional checkof consistency of standarddeviations between
adjacent stations for the samemonth1.snext made. This is to assure
that frequency curves donot cross within three standard deviations
fromthemean. Ir there Ls aconf'L.c't , thestandard deviation o' that
stati.on designated in the i.nputdataas thedependentvariable is modi-
fied aecord.i.ngly. Al1frequencysta:tistics arethenprinted out.
SECTIONG
All f'Lows arenext standardized.bysubtracting themeananddividing
bythe standard devi.a:tionfor themonthandsta:tion. An approximate
PearsonTypeIII transformLs thenappli.edas fol1ows:
K = 6[(.5 gt +1)1/3 - L] /g+g/6
,here:
K =
t =
normal standarddeviate
PearsonTypeI I I standard deviate
skewcoef'r'Lc Lerrt g =
Newcorrelation matrices arethen computed,basedonthenormalized
variates andusingthe samestandardpr'ocedures previ.ouslyemployedfor
correlating logarithms. Thesigno' the eorrelation coeffieient is
preserved, sineethe eoefficient will beusedto establish regression
equatr.ons, Correlation coeffici.ents are set to zeroi.f thevarianee
of ei.ther variable approx.mateszero, .sineethe computationof the coer'-
fleient is highly unstable andsince its usewouldbe01' l:ittle val.ue ,
SECTI ON H
. For jdbs wherecorrelation data are given, the portion of the
correla"tion matrix aboyethemaindiagonal for al1monthsandthe
entire correlation matrix re1ating current andprecedingmonth's
values areread, withadifferent cardfor eachpai.r o' stations.
Val.uesfor all 12monthsarecontainedononecard, andtihetwostations
Lnvo'l, vedare i.dentified onthesamecard. An automatic checkis made
to assure that cards are intherequired order o' columnsandrows
.inthe correlation matrix. ifhengenera1izedstatisties areused, only
onecorrelati.on coeffici.ent for theenti.reyear is read, but cardorder
is the same. Symmetricalel.ementsbelow'tihe maindi.agonal arethen
filled i.nandvalues a.f l. Oareplacedinthemaindi.agonal.
4
EXHI BI T 1
Frequency statistics are then read, 4 cards per station, with 12
monthly values andstation identifications Oheach card. Acheck 15
madeof the station order , to assure proper subscripting. 'lhengen-
eralized statistics are used, only onecard per station is read, arrd
'this contains the max:imumandminimummeanlogari thms andtheaverage
stand.ard deviation for +heyear. Themorrthsof max.mumandm.rrmum
meanLogar'Lthmsare also read andconverted to corresponding subscripts.
Thase subscripts will differ fromthe calendar monthnumber :if the yea,r
used in the study does not begin with January.
SECTION 1
Thi.s sectaon searches for each caf.endar monththe entire cor'reLat.on
matrix to bethe right of the ma.ndiagonal for m.sf..ngcorre1ation coer'-
ficients dueto the nonexistence of at 1east three years of simultaneous
data for the morrth, Assoonas acoefficient between i~vovariables Ls
identified as m.ss.ng, asear-chof the correlation matrix Lsmadeto find
established cor-reLatd.oncoefficients betweeneach of these variables (i
andj) andany other variable (x), Ther-angewithin which correlation
between the tvTO variables must le i.norder to bematbemati.cally consis-
tent with the correlati.on w:i,th'thethird vari.able is estab.L.shedby use
of tbe following equation:
R." = Rki R
k
" ~~r
C1
-.--R -
k
.-
2
-)-C-I--R ~)2
l.J J - J I _l. -1(.1
Aseach successive third variable with established correlation coefficients
is f'ound, the uppez limi t 01' Ri,j Lsconstra:i.ned to the lowest of a11upper-
limits computed, andthe lower lirnit is constrained to the highest of a11
such 10'VTer limi ts computed. iThenthe entdre matrix has been searched. the
correlation coeffici.ent is estl.rnated as the average of these twoconstrained
li.mits. Tf' "tms element i.s aboyethe ma,ndiagonal _,the va'l.ueLsal.so
entered for the element symmetricall:y across the maind.iagonal. 'I'he
search for further m.ss.ng cor-re'Latz.on coef'f'Lc.entisis then corrt.nued,
SECTION J
Whereacorrelation matrix is not to beused for reconst:i.tuting data
but might be inconsis"tent, a'triad consistency test canbemadei.nthis
section. This is doneby exam.n.ng al.l groups 01'three related correlation
coeffici.ents, andtesting the lowest oneto determine whether it is above
minimumconstrai.nt established by tbe equation in the pr-ecedd.ngstat.on,
Ef' not, i.t Ls raised to that mnimum. Whenthis is done, i t is poss.bIe
tha:t the adjusted coefficient hadalready beenused in another triad test,
andconsequently that prev.ous test wouldneedto be repeated. In arder
to dothi.s properly, the entire matrix is searched upto 12NSTA times,
whereNSTAls the numberof stations, until acomplete search reveals no
incons:istent trlad (INDC= O).
5
EXHIBIT 1
A coeff'icient FACo the radical in the equat.on is used Ln order
(;0 obta.in complete matrix consistenr.y in difficult cases, whenever
noss.bLeby 'th.s means. Atest for overall cons..stency is madein
s;>.~i;i.on K, andir ths fai.1s, FACLs successi vely reduced by 0.2
until oyer a] ] consistency 18reached.
'~ECTION K
Thetest for overa11 consistency of the correlation matrix for
ea~hmontb15 madeby constructing for each station the correlation
mat.r-,xthat vou.Ldbeused in flowgeneration for that st.atz.onandcom-
put.ng the multiple deterraination coefficient. If tbedetermination
coeffi.ci.ent of the mat.r'.xfor any station andany monthexceeds 1.0. a11
corre1ation matrices must be reexamined, since somecoefficients are
ccnmonto twoor- morematrices. 'I'h.s is doneby reducing FAeLnthe
triad test (section J ) by 0.2 andrepeating a11triad tests. If FACLs
reduced to zero andconsistency 1s not obtained, an index of NGBis set
to 1. and anaveraging routine 1.S usedfor each inconsistent matrix. A
quantity SUMis computedas the average of al1 corre1ation coefficients
in tbat matrix, andeach element is modified bymulti.plying SUMby tbe
excess or determi.nation coefficient andadding this product to the
product of the complement o' this multiplier andthe value of the ele-
ment in the inconsistent matrix. Theaveraged or smoothedvalues are
replaced Ln t.hecomplete ma.trix f'or the morrch, andthis requires sorne
careful mani.pulation of subscri.pts. Anewcomputation of det.erm.natr.on
coefficient ls madeandthe smootbing process is repeated upto nine
times unti.l consi.stency prevails. If thi.s does not occur, the job Ls
te:rminated. HhenconsLsbency is estab1ished a11comp1etematrices
are ~)ri.ntedout andessential elements are punchedif desired.
SECTION L
In reconsti.tuting missing data, asearch Lsmade.for each monthof
record starttng witb t.hefirst for stati.ons that have norecord during
that month(Q=T). 'henone18f'ound, asearch of a11. other stations is
madeto deterrn:i.newhether recorded or prev.ous.Iy reconstituted flows exist
for tbe current rnontbor, if not, for the preceding month. If one1.5
f'ound, it will constitute an indepeo.dent variable for estimating the
missing va.Lue, andLts value andpertinent correlation coeffici.ents are
stored in newarrays for computat.on purposes . 'I'hecorrelation coeffi-
dents witb tbe dependent variable is temporarily stored in the NVAR
(NSTA+l) colurnnto assure that coefficients relating i.ndependent vari-
ables wh. chhave suf'f'Lc.enbarray space (they cannot exceed NSTAin
number). Avariable ITEMPcounts the number of independent vari.ab1es
(stations for which recorded or reconsti tuted data are avai1able). It
Ls incremented after i ts set of correlation coeffi.cients are stored in
the Rarray, andis final.1y used to relocate the correlation coeffi.cients
involving the dependent variable. If noindependent variables wi.thdata
6 EXHI BI T 1
aref'ound, as canhappenLnthefi.rst monthof record, acorre1.a.ti.onis
mad.ewiththepreced:i.ngvalue1'orthe samestation a.ndthat preceding
val.uels arbitrarily set at thea.veragefor themonth. Theregressf.n
equati.onanddetermination coefficient arethen computedusingstibroutine
CROTJ T. Thevariable havingthe10W'estabsolute valueof correlation with
the dependentvariable ls identi1'ied, andbeta coeffi.cients are searched
in order toeliminate al l unreasonablecoe1'ficients. Inthe usual case
wherethesi.mplecorrelation coefficient between anyvariable and the
dependentvariable is pos1ti ve, unreasonab1.ecoeffi.cients are assumed.to
bethoselarger than1.5or sma1lerthan-.5. Inthe casevhe rethe
variabl.ecorrela.tes negative1.ywiththedependentvariable, the reason-
able rangei6... 1.5to 0.5. Ir en unacceptablecoefficient is f'ound , nmc
is set to lo If this happens01' ir thedetermination coefficient does
not lie betweeno and LO, thevariable withthe smallest corre1.ation .
coef'fici.ent is eliminated, the correlation array recons"tructedaccordingly,
and the regression equationrecomputed. Thisprocess is repeated until
all required conditions exist. Themissingv;alueis then computedby
useof theregressi.onequat .onand addingarandomcomponentnormally
d:i.stributedwith zeromeanandwith variance equal, to the error vard.ance
of the regression eguation.
As soon as themissingvalueLs estiI!B. ted asearch is madefor all
established values inthe current and preced.ingmorrbh wi.thwhichit 1.S
to becorrelated, and sumsof logarithms, sguares, andcross produc~s
are i.ncrementedLn preparati.onfor recomputingall af'fected corre;Lation
coeffi.cien'ts. Af'ter checkfng for sufficient (th:reeyears) record and
nonzerovar .ance, thecorrelati.n coeffi.cient Ls recomputed. Ir the
standard dev.atr.on of either variable is verysmall, the correlation
coefficient Ls set to zeroo Ir the coeffi.clent is aboyethe maindia-
gonal of thecorrelation matrix, its valuels also assigned to sym-
metrical elemento Sinceestimation of amissingvalueaff'ects correla-
tion coefficients beweenvariables tnthe current andfollowingmonth,
whichcoefficients arestored inadifferent matrix, this process of
adjusting thecorrelation coeffici.ent is appli.edto those values next.
SECTIONM
Af'ter al1fl.OW's arer-econs't 'tuted, the flovl tape 1.5 readuntil the
proper position for writing thenewlycomputedflowdata onthat tapei.s
reached, andheadingsareprinted for writing flows onthe printer latero
Thenthe standarddeviates areconvertedto flowsbyreversing thePearson
type 111transform, multiplying bythestandard deviation, addd.ngto the
meanandtakingthe antd.Logardthm, The:increment.i5 then subtracted and
if the resulting valueis negati.vefor avariab1ewith zero lowerlimit,
it is set to zero. Inthe caseof reconstituted flows, the PearsonType
III transformis constrained sothat theexcess o' the standard deviate
over andaboye2. is multi pli.edbyamaximumo' 0.3 (if the standard
7
EXHI BI T 1
diviation exceeds0.3). 'I'his simplyprevents obtaining unreasonably
extremevalues dueto samplingerrors. It is amoderation01' the
extrapolation rather than anabrupt truncation.
Thetest 'or tandemstation consistency is next made. andincon-
sistent 1'loosare identi'ied for printout andchangedtothe limit o'
consistency. Thed.ownstream1'lowis madeconsistent withthe sum01'
upstrream1'1008. Floos are punchedoncards, if desired, printed out,
andwritten onthe flowtape for use:inf'uburepaases. NQ.TAP Lsincre-
mentedandrepresents the total numberof records onthetape.
SECTI ON N
After converti.ngdev.acesto floos, thefrequency statisti.cs are
recomputedin order to agree accurately with observedandreconstituted
data. If aconsi.stency test is called for, the variable ITRNSLs--set
to 2andcomputationis transferred to near theend01'sect.LonF, where
thetest is madeandthe transfer index causes areturn to this portion
o' the programo Adjusted. statistics are printed, andthe consi.stent
correlation matrix is printed (and, if desired. also punched)bytransfer
to section K, using ITRNSas areturn indicator again. Thestatistics
arethen punched, i1' desired. Flowsfor the specified station combina-
tions are then computed.
SECTI ON O
Maximumandmi.nimumrecordedf'Lovsare computedbytransfer to
section S, using ITRNS=1as areturn indicator. Thevariable ITMP
keepsarecord of the remainingyears whosemaximum. andmini.mum. flows
havenot beensearchedye-t.
Next, genera'L.zedstatistics are compubed , if desired, (i1' IGNRL
equaLstwo). Asindicated, straight averages 01'all 12monthlycorrela-
t.on coefficients in every category are taken. Meansareaver-agedfor
thethree wettest consecutive monthsandthe three driest consecutive
monthsandthe seasonal timing noted. Standarddeviations for all12
morrths are avez-aged. Generalized statistics are then printed out.
Next, generalized s-tatistics read in section Hareusedto compute
required arrays or statis"tics. Skewandincrements areset to zero.
Themeanfor the mi.ddlemontho' thewetaeaaonis .2higher than the
ifet season averageandmeansfor the other twomonthsare .1 lower.
Meansfor thedry seasons are uniform, andmeansfor thetransi tion
seasons are interpolated linear1y. Corre1ation coefficients for the
dryseaaonare .15higher (constrained below.98) thanthe annual,
average, andthose for the wet seasonare .15low(constrained above
zero). All 01'these operations" are in accordwith the generalized
model developedin BEC.
8
EXHI BI T 1
SECTI ON P
After obtaining monthlystatistics andcorrelation matrices, re-
gression equations for eachstation andcalendar montharecomputea.
F10wsare generatedin the station order inwhichdata or statistics
arereadandare gener-abedfor eachmonthat a11sta.tlons before
proceedingto thenext morrth, F'Lovsat eachsta:tion arecorre1ated
witbflowsof theanteced.entmorrth at that station anda :t a11stations
for whichthe current morrth s flowshavenot yet beengenerated. For
other sta'tions, flowsf.or the current morrth areused,
Regressionequati.onsare computedinsubroutineCROUT.If any
correlatlon matrix formedLsinconsistent (whichshouldnot occur a't
this stage, except for truncation of computa:tedi.ntermedlatevar-.ab.Ies },
atransfer to section J is effected, andconsistency operations performed
ona11correlation matr5.. ces. After suchat;ransfer, a11regression
equations mustberecomputed, sinceariyeorrelation coef'f'Lc .ent, might
havechanged. After this, onlythebeta. anda1ienation coefficients
needberetained, in addition to thefrequencystatistics. Inthemulti-
passoperation, these area1.1written ontapeI STST at this pof.nt.
SECTI ON Q
Aroutine for pro,jecting historica1 sequenceslnto thefuture is
emp1oyed. here. Va1uesof QPREV(previousmorrtht sdeviate) for each
stati.on ls determinedas the transformof thef10wfor themonthpre-
cedingthefir,st monthspecified (byinput data) to begenerated. The
variable MALscomputedfor thesubscript of Q that conformsto the
first monthof' projected flows. Ef 'theprojected f'Lovr-out.neis not
tobeused, the computeris next set upto generatettvoyears of flows,
at the endof whichsynthetic sequenceswi11haveavirtually random
start.
Inthe multipass operation, stat:ions areidentified andal.l neces-
sary statistics arecontained in theorder neededontapeI STAT. Inany
passafter the first, f'LowsgeneratedLnea5:-1ierpasses for the same
period (the samesequenceof data) mustbereadfromtapeIQTAP,anO.this
tapemustberewoundbefore eachpassinorder to perm t acomplete
search. Inanysequenceafter thefirst, the precedingf'Lowfor the
first monthto begenerated15 thelast flowin the precedingsequence
t'or that station, andthese are savedintheQSTAParrayfor muJ..tipass
operation. Tf the mu1tipassfeature Lsnot used., al1necessary stati.stics
andf10wsfor generatng are i.nmemor'y .
SECTI ON R
Instarting to generate flows, avariable JXTMPis usedto ident.i.fy
tiheyear numberof the first year of eachsequenceinthe multipass
9
EXHI BI T 1
operation. Variables AVGandSDVare usedto computethe meanand
standard deviation of thedeviates for eaehf l ow sequence. 'I'heseare
later usedto adjust al.l deviates sothat the means andstandard
dev.at onsin every Generatedsequence will bethe same as those of
the historical sequence.
Variables J A andNJ areset up to correspondto the fi.rst and
Las t year of i3enerati.onineach successive sequence J dependingon
the t:;.rpeof operatr.on. 11A has already beenset up as the subs cr-.pti
of Q corresponding to the.fi.rst monthof flowsto begenerated (for
usein pro,jecting hi.storical f'Lows recorded to the current time).
Q,PREV for eachstation hasbeenidentified as the previous month's
flow for that station. Flowsare then generated :for eaehstation,
using stored regression equations andarandomcomponent. Eaehgenerated
flm-is innnediatelyentered into the QPREV ar'ray, because its preceding
flOiV wi.ll never aga.n beused in that pass.
In t.he mul.tipassr-out..ne , flo'iTS(as deviates) arewrj.tten ontape
at the endof eachpass, and the last f10iVfor each station is stored
:inthe QSTAP array for usein the next sequence
If morethan 19years (a.narbitraril.y selected length) of flOtv
arebeing generated in anysequenceJ dev:i.atesareadjusted sothat their
meanis zero andvariance 1.0. Their unadjusted meanand standard
deviation are printed. Thenthey are tra.."1sformedto flows, and, if
ca1ledf'or-, consi.stency tests betxreen stations aremade. For variables
with zeronatural 1.imit, acheckfor negative values is then made. Flows
are thenprinted and, if desired, punched. Flm. combinationsare then
computed.
SECTIONS
Beforecomputingmaximumandnurn.mumval.uesof generated f'Lovs,
apos ti vevalue of JX is Lookedfor to assure that f'Lowsgenera'ted
are not to bediscard.ed (thefirst -DtTO years generated for arandom
start) . Also, at least NY MXG years musthavebeengenerated before
maximumandmi.nimumva.Luesare computed(this appl.f.esonlywhenthe
nunber-of years remainingfor generation i.nthe last sequencedoes
nof equal,NYMXG). Ma..'dmum sumsareini tiated. at anextremely large
negatzvenumberandminimumsumsas anextreme1ylarge positi.venumber
(T). Tbenaroutine search of floo sumsfor the suecified durations
at eachstation is madefor the sequence, andresults are printed out.
Sincethis routine is used.for reconst:i.tuted flowsaswell as for
generated flO\TS 7 atransfer indicator Lsusedto determinewhether the
next step Lsback tothe reconstitution rontine or the e;enerationroutine.
Ir the Latrber-,acheckis madefor themuJ.tipassroutine. If all passes
are not comp1eted, atransfer to section Q 1.Smade. If all. passes are
comp1etedfor this sequenceor if themultipass routine 1s not being
10
EXHI BI T 1
used, acheckis madeof remaini.ngyears to begenerated. J' greater
than zero, atransfer to section Q Lsmade a.fter adjusting years yet
to begenerated. Otherwisethe job is endedandanew;job, i.f any, i s
started.
RANDOM NUMBER F UNCTI ON RNGEN
Thi s r andom number f unct i on i 5 f or a bi nar y machi ne ancl t he cons t ant s mus t be
comput ed accor di ng t o t he number of bi .ts i n an i nt eger . wo r d , The number s
gener at ed ar e uni f or ml y di s t r i but ed i . n t he i nt er val O t o 1.
The f unct i on Ls cal l ed f r om t.he mai . n pr ogr am by a s t at ement s i mi l ar t o t he
f ol l owi ng:
A = RNGEN ( I X)
Wher e A i s s or ne f l oa t i ng poi nt var i abl e name and I X Ls s ome i nceger var i abl e
name , The ar gument name I X ned nor he t he s ame i n t he ma . n pr og r am and t he
f unct i on. The ar gur nent mus t be i ni t i al 1. z ed t o z er o i . n t he mai n pr ogr amo The
l ocat i on of t he i ni t i al . i z i ng s ta cement Ls i mpor t ant aneI depenr l s on che r es ul t s
des i r ed. I f i t i s des i r ed t o have di . f f er ent s et s o E r undom number s f or each
of s ever al di f f er ent s et s of comput at i ons ( j obs ) t hat ar e r un s equent i aJ l v on
t he s ame pr ogr am, t hen t he ar gument mus tbe i ni . t i al i z ed at t he ver y begi nni ng
of che pr ogr am and never r ei ni t i . al i z eJ . I f i t l s per mi . s s i bl e t o us e t he s ame
s equence of r andom number s f or each j ob, t he ar gument mus t he i ni t i al i z ed at
t he begi nni ng of each j ob. The advan tage of t hi s l . at t er op t on occur s when one
of t he j ohs mus t be r e- r un f or s or ne mi nor r eas on as t he s ame r andom number s
wi l l be us ed and t he r es ul t s wi 11 be compar abl e.
Thr ee cons t ant s mus t be comput ed by t he f ol l owi . ng equat i ons :
Cons t ant one ( Cl ) =: 2( B+l ) / 2 + 3
B
Cons t ant t wo ( C2) = 2 - 1
Cons t ant t hr ee ( C3) = l./2.
B
t f uer e: B: I number of bi . t s i n an i nt eger wor d
The cons t ant s f or s or ne of t he comr non comput er s ar e l i s t ed i n t he f ol l O\ . . r i ng t abl e:
SI ZE OF
I NTEGER CONSTANTS
-----._
COHPUTER
WORD Cl C2 C3
._ -_ ..,------
GE 200 Ser i es
19 1027 521~287 O. 190734863E- OS
GE 400 Sr i es
23 4099 8388607 O. 119209290E- 06
I BM 360 Ser i es
31 65539 2147483647 O. 46. 566l 287E- 09
I BH 7040 and
35 262147 34359738367 0. 2910383046E- I O
7090 Ser i es
tI 11
UNI VAC 1108
If 11
CDC 6000 Ser i es
48 16777219 281474976710655 0. 3552713678E- 14
11
EXHIBIT 1
Apri11960
EXHI BI T 2
Crout's Met hod
Oneo the best 'met-hodsor Bolving systems o linear equationa
ondesk oa.loulating maohines vas developed by' P, D. Crout in 1941.
This method 16 basad Ol'l the eliinination method, With the calou1&tions
ar r aags d ins,ystematio order so as to acilitate the1r acoomplisbment
on a <leskcalculator.. Inthia methodthe oooffioieats and ccmEl:ta.nt
t~rms o the equatio!lS ar e wr1tten inthe fom o a " ma; t ; r i x , 11 whi c b. i8
a rec~r &~ ~ 'ql1llU1titiesa~ innm-s m'ld. OOlUl!ftlle
Themethod1s best explained 'by' an example. Supposet_t ina.
multiple oorrelation analys1s 1t 1erequired to solvethe f01loving
aystemo linear equat10ns to obtain the un1mownva1ues o b
2
, b;, 04-
aml b
5

I:x~ 02 +
+ Ex;x4 04- + l:x;x
5
b
S
!;xl % ,
+ Ex: b
4
+ l:x
4
x, Os I:x
l
%4
For simplici t;r 1st us replaoe the ooef.f'io1ents o the b's bY'the letters
p, q, r ands, and.the o-onstant terma by the 1ette1' t, using sUD2101'ipte
1, 2, 3 a.nd. 4 to denote the res.pective equationsz..
Pl D
2
+
q1b;
+ r
l
04- +
8
1
b
5
...
t
1
P2 2
+ q2 b
3
+ 1' 2 b
4
+
8
2
b
5
... t
2
P, '0
2
+
q, b;
+ 1'; '0
4
+
8
3
b
5
:os
t;
P4 b
2
+
q43
+
: 1: ' 4 0 4
+
8405
... t
4
A oont11'1uou8eheek on the oomputations as they progresa may. beobtained
b. 1 addi ng to the matrix o the aboye systema oo1umno u' s , s uob. that
11:I! P + q + r + s+ t. ThelJlatrix and oheck ool'Wlmare m-ittenas
followsl
P
l
'11
1"1
13
1
t
l
U
-,
r
2
8
2
t
2
u
2
1>2 c az
<,
r, 9 - , t,
~
p}
q ,.
'"
t l .
P4
<l l .
rl. 84
~
The el emGnts PI' q 29 1: " 3 and8l . orm the "prinoipal diagonal " o
the m. tru. Emm1nation o i;he original eq mtione ahowatba.t tbe 00-
ef'i@i0l '1ts are I'!ymmat:deal abon1; 'l :;haprinoipal diagonal , L. :e,,; q l . . . 1>2~
1" 1 a P3~ 1" 2mq , 9 S l P49 8
2
= Q4' and 8
3
- 1"4
8
.
This U c mmeteri:dio o the a;rstemo eq l J&tions to be sol ved inBl l Y
mul tipl ~ e01"Nl atioo. aul ysis. . :Bec a. useal this sy. mmatry, the OODl.puta-
tiene aHoonaidembl y simpl ifiH,". Whil e the O1'outmthod. ma;r be usad
to l !iI@l vr:, any aystismof l inear eq uations, the oomputational stapa given
her @ &r0appl ioabl e onl y t e t hc s e v i t o s. ymmetrioal ooeffic ients.
Tl w sol t!. tinoansiats ol twoparts
9
viz . ., the oomputation o a
8id~rivsdmt:rl x
9 t
andtbe tobaol tgol ution,,~t Let tbe derivad matrix be
dnt ed a~ tol l ~si
P
l
Ql Rl S I !l '0'1
-.
P ~
R
2
52
T
2
1 J
2 2
P;
- .
T
3
'0'3 ~3 R3 6
3
- .
P4
Tl. Ul. Q,4 1\ S l.
EXHIBIT 2
P
1
'" P
1
u ...!!
1p
1
The general pattern o the a.boveoomputations, which m a . ; r ba a.ppliad.
to a system oontaining any numh~r ol equat:l.ons, 18 &S- follovau
( 1) The i r s t oolumn o t he d~r i ved mat r i x 18 copiad f r am t he fir~t
oolumn o the givenmatrixc
(2) Theremining e1am_tm inthe timt 1"OW of the derivad _trix
are oomputad b.r dividing the .corresponding elements ~ the first 1"004 o
the given matr.ix by the fi.rst element in~t robre>
fu ( )th
(3) Utar oompleting the n-ro'W'~thfl ~ining elemf!3nte ila ths ..:m.+l-
oolumn are computad. Snob.an elem.ent (z) equls the oorresponding element
o the given mtru m:inM tne prod:wrf; o the el~ment :i.lmudiate17to the 16ft
ol (x) by' the ~lelOOnt_iml:HMately ab@vetlw prinoipal 4iagcm&1int_ ~
eolumna.s (X), minuatbe prod~t o i;hesecom e-leunt to th& lQf't a l (X)
by the seoondelsment a.bovethe prinoi~l ~~l :in tm. u.ma oolum. &8 (X)1)
eto.. After each elemant 001011tbs prmci.~l .~<m&l i8rscordu., .E md ~e
tha.t elemeut 1a still inthe oa.louls:f;ol"p 1t 18 div:i.dedby tbs element o
tha prino1pa.l dia.gcm.al wich it.l inthe a&m9 colmm... The quotien t 1e the
elemant who&e~laoation 1s Sl~tr1oal to (X) 1dth rspeot to the princ:Lps.l
diagonal e
EXHIBIT 2
(4) Whentha elements in tila (n+l)!!! colmm. and their symmetrioal
counterp&rtm have bsen recorded9 the (n+l)la row will be complete exoept
for thG lzst two el_ents. whioh are nert computad. Snohan element (X)
equ.alsthe oOrNspomiillg'sl_ent el the given matrix mimls the product
01: th~*l~nt immedately a~ve (X) by the ele.nt immediately to tm
l~:l't o the prinoipal diagonal in thesamarow as (X), minus the product
o !: t1'ile~@nd elemsnt above (X) by the secmm element to the left of the
:&'iniml diagonal inthe sama 1'0'111 as (X)11 etc., all divide4 by' the
l@~ o tim prim.cipal diagcma.l inthe .. ~ row ~s (X). .
The cheok oollDm(U) of the derived matriz serves: as a OO!1tinuous
ohirlo]&: en the computations in that eaah element inthe oolumne.,.. ls
ene plus the sumo tha elements inthe same rov to the right of the
principal diagonal.. Tbat 1s,
U
l
- 1 + Ql + R
l
+ Sl +T
l
U, m 1 +5, +T
l
U
4
... 1 + T
4
The elementllil o the deriva.matrix to the right o the prinoipal
diagonal forma. eyatamo equa.tions which ma.,. nov be usad to aompute
the un.knownmInes o b
29
b
3
, bl.and b
5
by successive substitution.,
This 15 lmO'bm, as the "lmck solution.
li
- The computatiop,s are as followea
ID5= ' 1 ' l .
IDl.::r .1'3 - 53b~_
b
3
= ~T2 - 2
b
5 - R
2
b
4
b
2
= T
l
- 5
1
b
S
- a
l
b
4
- QI D3
lit 19 very important that the computationa be oamed to a suffi-
o(mt nu.mbarof digite, both inoomputing the coei'f'icient a and oonatant
t~me o the original equa. tions ~and inoomput-ingthe elementaof the
dsrived matrixQ It ia possible or relatively amall errers inthe
ooeftic1ents aad constant termao the or.igizJa.l equations to result in
E's1a.tively la.rge errora inthe Of)m])utedsolu.tions o the Wl.lmowns~ Tha
4
]!'"'XHIBIT 2
grea.test souroe of error incompu.tingtUelements of' th's 4eri:ved'.:matrix
a.rissa mm the loes of leading :eignifioant digits by' eu.'btraction. This
must be guardad agamst andoan be deme.by ca:rI",'9'iDg the computatiou to'
mONfigures tha:n the data.. Asa general rule, it 1s l"eCOlDIlend.-d, tat
thecoefficierIts andoonstant t-ems of the original eqmtione heoa.rr.ie4,
to a sufficient ntmiber of decimals to produce at1_8t tiTe sigaitican1;
digite in the smallest quantity, and thatthe elements o tbe denved
matrix be ca.rried to one more deoimal than this, but to not lesB ths.n
s i : s i gni f i oant di gi t s e
EXHIBIT 2
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..... r--.N(\J J )I.J ')..:t-..of"')
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-- .-s- N-
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e .. ~M..;t~MCO
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::
NG E 27 EXHI BI T 4
ACl .
AC2
AC3
ADJ
ADJ l
AL CFT( I , K)
AL OG
ANL OG
ANYRS
AV( I , K)
AVG( I , K)
AVGQ( I )
AVMN( I )
AVMX( I )
B( L )
BETA( I , K, L )
BLANK
CROur
CSTAC( KX, K)
DABS
DQ( I , K)
DTRMC
E
FAC
1
l A
I ANAL
l ENDF
l GNRL
l MN( l )
l MNTH
I MX( I )
I NDC
I P
1PASS
I PCHQ
I PCHS
I Q( I )
EXHIBIT 5
DEFI NI TI ONS - 723- X6- L 2: 340
- Al i enat i on c oef f i c i ent f or s t at i on 1
- Al i enat i on c oef f i c i ent f or s t at i on 2
- Al i . enat i on c oef f i . c i ent f or s t at i . on :3
- Pl us s i gn i ndi c at es val ue s mal l er t han ups t r eam s um by
t andem t es t
- Equal s i gn i ndi c at es val ue adj us t ed by t andem t es t
- Al i enat i . on c oef f i c l . ent ar r ay
- Comput er l i br ar y f unc t i on of nat ur al l ogar i t hm
- Number of l ogar i t hms
- Number of year s of r ec or d
- Mean l ogar 1t hm
- Aver age of t he gener at ed devi at es
- Aver age mont hl y f l ow f or a s t at i on
- Aver age l ogar i . t hm of f l ow f or mi ni mum :3 c ons ec ut i . ve mont hs
- Aver age l ogar i . t hm of f l ow f or r na. xi mum: 3 c ons ec ut i ve mont hs
- Bet a c oef f i c i ent
- Bet a c oef f i c i ent f or gener at i on equat i on
- Bl ank s pac e
- Pr ogr am s ubr out i ne t o s ol ve s i mul t aneous equat i ons
- Coef f i c i ent by whi c h f l ows ar e mul t i . pl i ed bef or e addi ng i n
a c ombi nat i on
- Comput er l i . br ar y f unc t i on of abs ol ut e val ue of doubl e pr ec i . s i on
number
- l nc r ement of f l ow
- Det er mi nat i on c oef f 1c : i ent
- L et t er E i r t di c at es es t i . mat ed val ue
- Tempor ar y f ac t or
- I ndex f or c al endar mont h
- I ndi c at or i n c ol umn 1of f i r s t c ar d f or eac h j ob
- I ndi c at or , pos i t i ve val ue c al l s f or anal ys i s
- End of f i l e i ndi c at or
- I ndi c at or , + 2 c al l s f or c omput i ng gener al i . z ed s t at i s t i c s
and + 1 or .+ 2 c al l s f or us i ng gener al i z ed s t at i s t i c s f or
gener at i ng f l ows
- Mont h s equenc e number of l as t mont h of : 3dr i es t c ons ec ut i ve
mont hs
- Cal endar mont h number f or f i r s t mont h of wat er year
- Mont h s equenc e number of l as t mont h of : 3wet t es t c ons ec ut i ve
mont hs
- Tr ans f er i ndi c at or
- Mont h number f or pr ec edi ng mont h
- Sequenc e number of pas s ( s ubs et of s t at i ons )
- I ndi c at 6r , pos i t i ve val ue c al l s f or wr i t i ng di s c har ges on t ape
- I ndi c at or , pos i t i ve val ue c al l s f or punc hi ng s t at i s t i c s
- Fi xed- poi nt c onver s i on of f l ow val ues
EXHI BI T 5
I QTAP
I RCON
ISKZ
I ST( K, L)
I STA( K)
I STAC( I CC, K)
1STAN
I STAP
I s r AT
I STN( L)
1STT( K, L)
15TX( L)
1Sl ' Y( L)
I TEMP
I TMP
I TMPP
I TP
I TRNS
I X
I XX
1YR
IY RA
I YRPJ
J
J A
J TMP( L)
J TP
J X
..mMP
K
KM
KPASS
KSTA
KSTAC( KX, K)
KSTAP
X X
KYR
1
LA
LQTAP
LSTAT
LTMP( L)
LTP
L TRA
LX
LYRPJ
M
MA
- Tape number f or s t or i ng f l ows
- I ndi c at or , pos i t i ve val ue c al l s f or f l ow r ec ons t i t ut i on
- Pos i t i ve val ue c al l s f or var yi ng f l ow i nc r ement ( DQ) t o
make s kew z er o.
- Sequenc e number of ups t r eam s t at i on or t andem t es t
- St at i on number
- St at i on number i n a c ombi nat i on
- Tempor ar y s t at i on number
- St at i on s equenc e number f or al 1 pas s es
- Tape number f or s t or i ng s t at i s t i c s
- St at i on number of downs t r eam t andem s t at i on
- St at i . on number of ups t r eam t andem s t at i on
- St at i on number of i ndependent s t at i on f or c ons i s t enc es t es t
- St at i on number o dependent s t at i on f or c ons i . s t enc es t es t
- Tempor ar y' var i abl e
- Tempor ar y var i abl e
- Tempor ar y var i abl e
- Tempor s r y var i abl e
- Tr ans f er i ndi c at or
- Tempor ar y var i at i on o 1
- Ar gument f or r andom number f unc t i on
- Number of c ur r ent yea: r
- Fi r s t year o dat a
- Year of s t ar t of f l ow pr oj ec t i on
- I ndex f or year
- Sequenc e number of pr oj ec t i on year
- Mat r i x c o1umn number
- Mat r i x c ol umn number
- Tempor ar y var i . at i on of J
- Tempor ar y var i at i on o J
- I ndex f or s t at i on
- Di mens i on l i mi t f or number of c ons ec ut i ve mont hs
- Di mens i . on l i mi . t f or number of pas s es
- Di mens i on l i mi t f or t ot al number o s t at i ons
- I ndex number of s t at i . on i n a c ombi nat i on
- Di mens i on l i mi t f or t ot al number of s t at i ons
- Tempor ar y var i at i on of K or c ombi nat i on s equenc e
- Di mens i on l i mi t f or number of c ons ec ut i ve year s
- I ndex f or r el at ed s t at i on
- Tempor ar y var i at i on of L
- Number of r ec or ds up t o pr es ent pos i t i on on t ape I QTAP
- Number of r ec or ds up t o pr es ent pos i t i on on t ape I STAT
- Mat r i x r ow number
- Mat r i x r ow number
- Let t er A
- Tempor ar y var i at i on of L
- Las t year of eac h pr oj ec t i on
- Ser i al number of mont h
- Sequenc e number of mont h of pr oj ec t ed f l ow
2
EXHI BI T 5
Mo( r )
MPASS
Mr HPJ
MXRCS
N
NC
NCA
NCAB( r , K, L )
NCB
NCOMB
NCSl ' Y
NI NDP
NJ
NL OG( I , K)
NMNMX
N M X M N
NPASS
NPROJ
NQ
NQTAP
NSMX( L )
NSTA
NSTAA
Ns r AC( KX)
NSTAT
NSTAX
NSTNP( I )
NSTX
N STX X
NSUM( K)
NTNDM
N V A R
NYMXG
NYRG
NYRS
Q( M, K)
QM(r)
QMI N( I , K)
QPREV( r )
QR( M, K)
QSTAP( I )
R( K, L )
RA (I,K,L)
RA V (K,L)
- Cal endar mont h number
- Tempor ar y c ount er f or number of pas s es
- Cal endar mont h o s t ar t o eac h pr oj ec t i on
- Number o year s i n eac h per i c d f'cr whi c h maxi mum and m.nf.mum
r ec or ded and r ec ons t i t ut ed l ows ar e des i r ed
- Ser i al number o per i od o l ows
- Count er t o pr event c ont i nuous l oopi ng
- Count er t o pr event c ont i nuous l oopi ng
- Number o val ues and c r os s pr oduc t s us ed t o c omput e c or r el at i on
c oe i c i ent s
- Tr ans er i ndi c at or
- Number o c ombi nat i ons o s t at i ons max , and mi no quant i t i es
ar e t o be c omput ed
- Number o c ons i s t enc y t es t s
- Number o i ndependent var i abl es ' I nr egr es s i on s t udy
- Number o year s i n c omput at l . on s equenc e
- Number o l ogar i t hms us ed t o c omput e r equenc y s t at i s t i c s
- Number o mont hs Ol l owi ng dr y s eas on and pr ec edi ng wet s eas on
- Number of mont hs ol l owi ng wet s eas on and pr ec edi ng dr y s eas on
- Tot al number o pas s es i n j ob
- Number of pr oj ec t i ons of f ut ur e f'Lows r om pr es ent c ondi t i ons
- Count er f or number o l ows
- Tot al number o r ec or ds s aved on t ape r QT. AP
- Number o ups t r eam s t at i ons i n t andem t es t
- Number o s t at i ons i n anal ys i s
- NSTA +1
- Number o s t at i ons i n a c ombi nat i on
- Tot al number o r ec or ds s aved on t ape I STAT
- NSTA +NSTA
- Number o s t at i ons Ln a par t i c ul ar pas s
- Number o s t at i ons i n c ur r ent pas s t hat oc c ur r ed i n pr ec edi ng
pas s es
- NSTX+l
- Number o s t at i ons ups t r eam f r om a s t at i on or t andem t es t
- Number of t andem t es t s
- Tot al number o var i abl e i n r egr es s i on s t udy
- Number o year s o gener at ed l ows i n eac h per i od f or whi c h
maxi mum and mi ni mum f'Lovs ar e des i r ed
- Tot al number o year s o gener at ed f l ows
- Number of year s o r ec or ded f l ows
- Mont hl y f l ow
- Mont hl y f l ow
- Mi , ni mum f'Lov
- Fl ow or pr evi ous mont h
- I dent i i c at i on s ymbol
- Tempor ar y s t or age o QPREV
- Cor r el at i on c oef f i c i ent i n a gi ven mat r i x
- Cor r el at i on c oe f i c i ent
- Aver age c or r el at i on c oe i c i ent or 12 c al endar mont hs
:3
EXHI BI T 5
RM A X
RM IN
RNGEN(IX X )
Rl
R2
R:3
SD(I,K)
SDA V(K)
SDV(I,K)
SKEW(I,K)
SMQ( J , K)
SQA (I,K,L)
SQB(I,K,L)
SUM
SUM A (I,K,L)
SUM B(I,K,L)
T
TEMP
TMP
TMPA
TMPB
TMPP
TP
X CI)
X INCR(I)
X PA l3(I,K,L)
- M aximumconsistent correlation coefficient
- M inimumconsistent correlation coefficient
- Programrandomnumberfuncti.on
- Correlation coeff:1.cient being tested
- Correlation coefficient being tested
- Correlation coefficient being tested
- Standard devaition of logari thms for calendar month
- A veragestandard deviation for 12consecutive months
- Standard. deviati.on of the generated dev1ates
- Skewcoefficient of logaritbms for calendar month
- lvI.aximum or minimumflowfor monthor duration
- Sum of squares of first variable
- SUm of squares of secondvariable
- A veragecorre1ation coef'f'Lc .errt, o matr:1.x
- SUm o fi.rst variable
- Sum of secondvariable
- Largepositive constant
- Temporaryvariable
- Temporaryvari.able
- Temporaryvariable
- Temporaryvariable
- Temporaryvariable
- Temporaryvariable
- Valueo independent variable in regression equation
- Iteration value for flow increment
- Sum of cross products o fi.rst and secondvariables
4
EX HIBIT 5
e 723. y&. L 23GO MDNTWL v ~T~EA~F L n~ 2! r : ; ~~TI UN ~EC, e or r , US~
el . . 1t * *.* * t I ApA ; V F I ) I I CTI C~; SAl OG, DA! - l S 11 11 * .. * * " * '11
C PPOr,;AM ~U6RallT!1J E CRCUT, RI - GEPO SE! : : COMHENTS I N ~NGEN
e I NDEXES I =CAL ENDAR HONT~ J =YEAR k=STA L =REL ATED STA M=SUCCESSI ~E
e
NQV l q7Q
~ * * 1002
1003
' : I ONTI oI 1004
1005
100b
1007000
10
20
J O
lI O
So
bo
7e
8 e
~o
l oe
110
120
130
lile
OI I ' ENs ! nN
.orlt'1),~!10,11),
. AL CF TC12. 10) , AvCl ? , 10) , AyG( i 2, 10) , AyGnCt O) , AVMN( 10) , AYM~( 10' ,
. BETA( 12, l n, 10" OO( 12, t o" I ~NC10) , T~X( t O) , I Q( 15) ,
~I STA( l O" J T" P( ' ) , L TMPC1C) , ~O( 12) , ~CAB( 12, l n, 20) ,
. NL Or . C12, 10) , OC1201, 10) , r . ~( 12) , r . ~I ~ct 2, 10) , gPREv( \ O) , aR( 1201, 10) ,
. Q~TAP( 100) , RA( 12, ! O, 2r ) , ~AV( t O, l C) , 8 D( 12, 10) , 90AV( 10) , SDV( 12, 101,
pSKEW( 12, 10) , SHUC30, 10) , ~r . AC12. 1~, 2J ) , S~~( 12, 12, 20) , SU~4(12,10,aO),
. .SI I " ' P e 12 , to , 7. O) , l( (t O) , ' 1 1 1" e R ( 12) , : (P A 8 ( 12 , 10, ; O) ,
. CRTAC( a. l ~, 51, I ~TAC( 2, l C) . I HTNC10) , I STT( 10, 10) 613T~( 10) 9
. I ~TV( 10" KSTAC( 2, ' O, 5) , ~SNX( 10) . h~T~C( a, ~) , NSTNP( 5) ,
. NSU~( 10, 5) , " Cn~B( 5) , MTNCM( 5) , I ST( 10, 10, 5)
OOURL E P~~C! SI ON A, i j
CO~MON OTQMC, NI NDP, B
D~T4 L TRA/ I HA/ , BL ANK/ l H / , E/ I HE/ , AOJ / 1H. I , AOJ 1/ \ ~D/
F ORMAT ( 1H1)
FOR!~AT (1~, I 5t1
q
I 6)
F ORMAT( l X, I 7, ' I S)
F n~HAT( l X, A3, qA4, 10A4)
F OR~ATCl x, I 3, I ~, 12F &. O)
F ORHAT( 1~, F 7. 0, q~8 . 0)
F ORMbT ( 1) ( , 13, 14, 12F &. 3)
F ORMAT ( 1X, 17, 12F &. 3)
F op~AT ( I X, 17, 12F 6. 1)
F ORMAT( 1~, I a, t 6, 12I a, I l 0)
F nR~AT ( Al , A3, QA4, l OAQ)
F nRHAT ( 1X, ! 7. 3r ~. 3, 2I b)
F O~MAT [ / 23H GENERAL I ZEO STl T! 3TI CSl l t 3H 911 5T2 ~AV)
F OHMAT( / 38 H 5TA AV~X ~VM~ S04V MA~MO H!NMO)
1STAT=8
I OTAP: q
K PA~!j;:5
K !HAP:,:qOO
I ( SP=t o
KYR=l(H' I
KM=KVfh1 2+1
NSTi =~
e
e
WASTE CAROS UNTI L A~ A r N cnL U~N 1, F I R~T TI TL E CA~O
"' * CARO A u
1 50
" E. oI O( S, 110) l A, ( S~qC! >l d) , , , , : : 1, ( 0)
! F ~! ~. NE. L TRA) SO TO l ~O
w~I TE Cb, 10)
RE4n( s , DO) CCSHG( M, K) , ~=1, 20) . ~=2, 3)
WRI TECb, ~O) SMQCH, K) , H=1, 2~) , K=1. 3)
** CA~O B CAHO e **
REAn( 5, 30) I VRA, I H~T~, I A~AL / H~RC5, ~VQG, NV~XG, t . PA3S, I PCHQ, I PCHS, NSTA
1, NcnMR. NTNOM, ~CST' , ! G~HL , ~PRnJ , ! Y~PJ , ~r ~PJ , L Y~PJ
TERHI NATE wI TH 5 PL AN~ CAROS, AN A l ~ CaL t CF ' I RST
I T~p=r A~L+~,RG
I F ( r TMP~GT. O) GO Te \ 8 0
STOP
l ~O WQI TE C6, 17n) NV~S, N5TA, ~cnH3, XF ASS
170 F n~MAT ( / 19H ~I " E~3t ON EXCEEnED , 5X, qHN~Ws , 14, 5X, 4HSS' A, I 3, SX,
\ 5~~Cn~R, I 3, ~X, S~I F ~SS, I J )
so TtI 1 50
13C W~I TE( 6, 1qn)
l qC F O~~J T( / l 08 H I VR4 I H~T~ I A~AL " xoCS ~, ~G ~, " xGNPAS~ I PC~Q I PCH3
1 N~T4 NCOHO NTND~ NeSTY ! GN~L ~P~CJ I , ~PJ MT~PJ L , RPJ )
~RI TE( b, 20) I V~A, I MNT~, TA~AL , ~XqC~" Y~G, ~Y" ~G, NPA~S, ! PCMQ, I PCMS,
l N~TA, Nco~a, NT~OM, ~CSTV, I G~AL , ~P~PJ , ! ' ~PJ I ~THPJ , L Y~PJ
t F CL VRPJ - I YRA. GE. K' R) GO l O l bO
C~ * 11 * t. SET CONSTANTS *. t ~ * ~ ~ * * * * ~ * ~ , * e * *
I ltx=O
N! l TU=Ns r hl
NSTAlC:"lSTA+Ns' !' A
T=QQC, 9Q<; QQ.
I YRUI yi~"l
e
e
t Ol
1017
1018
1019
1020000
\021
1022
1023
1024
t025
102&
1027
1028
I Oal
1030000
1\'):31
1032
1034
1035
1037
1038
1039
1040
1042
1043
1044
1045
10C~
1049
1050
1051
10520011
t053
1055
\05&
1057
105~
1059
1060
10&11' 00
1 0&2000
10U
1 0&4
1065
10&&
\0&7
\0&8
10&9
1070
1011
1072
1073
1074
1075
EI OH6!T 6
e
1Mf . 4 T H : I . ; ; . T . " \
N3T :l:l,i)
N:H'.Ot~l
IPA~~lq
REwINO 13TH
NSTAT:lO
L~T Ar =O
R E ' I ~O ' t a T A"
N~T AP: a O
l . r l T AP=O
00 t q5 J : t , K?AS8
I ' i CCM~CJ ) =O
H ' l ' NOI 1 ( J l : O
1q~ CONTPIE
GO T C' 270
SAVE ST AT I ONS F H O~ PR f vI OU3 PA~5E 3 I F NF . CE 33AR V
200 I PASS=t PA53+1
:1iHTE (El, 10)
I F l I PASS. GT . KpAS~) GD T O 1 60
e
** CA~D J u
e
R E An( S, 30) NCDH ~, Nr NOH , NCST ~, NST X, CI 3T A( ~J , K=1 , N5T X)
W~I T E c&, a 1 D' I pa SS~( I ST ~( ~) , K=I , NST ~)
21 0 F ~~MI T ( 5H OP' SS ,I328N AT A( 3) F R O" PR E YI OU$ Pl SSE S , 1 01 6)
NSTl!:l=NSTlt+l
R E I I NO I t 1 ' 1 ' AI '
1.I'lTA?=n
RE\oj I NO IaUT
MPA~S=l
R E Al ) ( I ST AT l
t.5TAT=1
! T P: NYR S. 1 2+1
I T E ~P=NST NPCH PA33)
ITMPP=O
nn <?SO 1(::1, N~T:I
2a o R e. n( ! nT AP1 I T MP, CgCM, K] , ~~I , ! T P)
t . I l T AP' =LQT AP+l
l ' ~! ~T A~K) ~NE . I T H P] GO T O 220
230 I T MPP=I T ~~p~t
I F CI T M?P. GT . I T E Mpl GO T D 2~O
R ~An ( I ~T AT ) I T ~P, ( AV( T , K) ~SD( I , ~) . 3~E W( I , X) , Da CI , K) , ' R E ' I ' ~( ! , K, ~) , L
l ~l . ~T E H P) , ALCF T CI , X) , I =l l \ ~)
L3TAT=LST4Hl
I F ( I T MP. E o. r ST A( K) GO r o 250
Gn i ( J 230
2110 REAI)(ISTATl
l . ~T AT : L5T AT +1
I 1 PASS=I 1 PAS3+1
t T E ~P: ~5T NP( " PASsl
IT~PP:::O
S ' T I ) 230
250 Cn';Tl~IjE
Da 2 C 1 ( : : 1 . NST l t
N3UM( K, I F A3S) : : Q
00 aso 1::1,12
2&0 NLD~( I , I ( ) ~NVR S
270 I F ( YANAL. Gr . o) N3T A: : N8T ~
On 2" ' " Y: : 1 , 1 2
~O( 1 l : : I , " T H ?I
l F ( MO( I ) . LT . t 3}r . o i O c80
HO(Il=)-fC(I)<912
aBO CC1 Nr NUF .
I F CNCDH " . . Lf . O) GQ T O 320
MCOM8( I ~A3S1 ~NC( J Ma
I OE ~T I F y ST AT l nN Co~a ! NAT I oNS
Da 300 K: l , NCOM8
R ~AO( S, 30) I T P, ( I ST AC( K, L) , L~1 , I T P'
W~I T E ( 6, 290) K, r T P, cr ST ACCK, L) , L=l , I T P,
2QO F OH M. ' (15M COH B, I 2, SH sr A, 1 5I 8)
N3T Acr ~. I PASS' =I T ?
e
** CAR O o u
e
EltHIB IT 6
10H
101'7
lOH
1079
1080
1081
1 082
1083
t084
loas
1 086
ion
1088
\M'1
lOC;O
10'H
1093
1094
t OQ5
1 0C;
1097
loqa
loe;'}
\ 1 00
1101
1102
1103
1\01.1
1105
\lO
1107
tl C H 3
11.0Q
t i l O
1111
1 1 1 2
1113
1111.i
t 115
111;'
1117
111B
t11'1
1120
\121
112a
1123
1125
1126
1127
1128
112q
1130
1131
1132
\133
1134
1135
1136
\137
1138
1 1 3QOOO
~EAn ( 5, 30) I STXCL ) , I STYCL )
i j " O ~AI TEr b, n' o' L , I STXr L ) , I STy( L )
010 FOAHATr 13x, I 3, aX, I 5, 8~, I 5)
R2C I FCt ANAL . L E. O) GO Te 157n
c e a * * * '" ~ AEAD ANO PROCESa 1 s TAr ON YEA~
C
q! C ~EAOc S, Sn) I STAN, I V~, CQ~CI ' , ! : 1, \ 2)
e
e
e
C
e
e
e
IJf:.C
470
e
il8C
,51 e
v<::
w~r r E( ~1] 101 CCSTI C( K, L , I P~S3) , L ~1, ! T~)
fn~~j\T (7:t.5\PHT1D,8X,1IlFlI.3)
TFCNTND~. L E. O) GQ TO 350
H"N(H~(IP.a s s l:HT 'lo!'!
DO 340 L ~=l , NTNOM
uC A H O
: **
~EADCS, 3C' ! s T~( L X) , I T~P, ( I STTCL X, L ) , L ~! , I THP)
WqI TECh, 330) L X, I STN( L . ' , ( 15TT( L ~, L ) , L ~l , r T" p)
13C FORNAT ( / ! ] H TANDEH GROL P, I 3. bx. 14~DO~~STRE~n STl , 15, 6X~
11~~UPSTRFa~ s TACs l , t OI S)
34C ~SHXCL X' =I r MP
] 50 I F( ! PASS. E1. 1) ~V~S=O
c n 360 K~N9T~X, KSTA
'1~UM (1<. IP45~) =0
I STA ( I O=l ( ' ) ( ) O. K
! NI T! 4Tf - 1, ~o R! C~RO FQR AL L FL QWS
' ) 0 : ! 60 M=l , KM
3hO : J C" ' , K) = 1.
DO '370 I:1,12
?IL. cr. (I.I() =0
Do(!,i<)::O.
: 14! NCI , I ( }=T
31C r.nNTINuE
J ,<lC j Cf ' l " TI , " uE
t F{NC$TV. L E. O) GO TO nao
4R!TE (El ,3Q() ~
] QC Fn~, . , AT( / 30~J 8HSTATI ON9/ 17H CONs I STENCV TEST, 5X, 23~I NnEPENO[ NT
1!'lf~:'I)e:NT)
PO / J OO l : l J! I I CSTV
** CA J.O G **
CF ATA ~ * * * * *
** CARO H **
** CA RO 1 **
ll!JC
a'50
BL ANK CA~O I ~D! CATES ENO CF FL Ch DATA
I F( ! STAN. L T~l ' Gn TO 5~O
I ~( N5TJ . L T. l ) GO Te G5C
AS~l ~N SUBSC~I PT TO STATI ON
DO 440 K: NSTKX, NSTA
! FCI STAN. E~. I 3TA( K) ' GO TO 4&0
CnNTI NuE
N! ! 1' A=NSH+t
I F( NSTA. GT. K5TAl GO TO 160
K=NST!
ISTA !I()=!,S'!'A ~J
ASSI GN SUBSCRl ~T TO YEAR
J:::IY R .. IY f.i 4
I ~( NyQS. L T. J . AND. I PA53. ~Q. J ) ~y~S~J
I FCJ . GT. O. AND. J . L E. N, R5J GO TO ~80
yi;lITE e6,1171l)!YR
Fn~M' T ( / I &H UNACCEPTARL E YE1R, I S,
GO TO 150
5TO~E F~OwS ! N 3TATI D~ ANO MQNTH ARRA,
I1:J,Q2'.1
00 490 ! : : \ . 12
~i="'+1
I F( aMeI ) . L E. C- t . ) ! GO Te 490
I F{A~( I ) . L T. 1M! N( I , ~) c ~I NCI , K' =GMCI )
NLOr.el, lq;'iLilG (I, K'+l
DQCI , K) : Dn( t , K) +C~CI )
r.C M,lq::n ..CO
C" " , TI NUE
Gn TO 430-
NSTAASN: . I TA+l
! F ( ~VR~. GT. ~y~. O~. NSf A+NCOHB. Gi . K5TA)
I F( N5TA. L E. D) GO TO l ~O
h~TNPCI PI ~S) =NSTA
" ~T,. x =N 9 T.4 +'1 S TA
snc
l111IH'OO
114S
114&
1147
\148
1149
1150000
1151000
1152
1153
1154
1156
t157
11 S8
1159
1160
1161
1162
1163
114
1165-
116&
1167
CE 1168
1169
1170
1171
1172
1173
1174
1175,
1176
1177
1178
117,}
1180
1121
usa
U83
1184
1185
118
1187
1~872.
11118
1189
UIlO
1'1 q 1
uC)a
11113
1194
11!J S ooa
119b
11 ;7
11'18
!199
1200
1201
1202
1203
1204
1 a O S
120&
1207
1208
1209
1210
1211
1212
E'tH !lH T b
r ~cNCO~B~Le. O) GO ya 540 tZI3
e I OENTl F, STA SUBSCRI PTS FOR 3TAS I N COMHI NATI CNS 1~t 4
nn 530 KX=l , NCO~B 1215
I TP: NSTACCKX, I PA3S)
1.1(:10 1217
DM 520 L31, I TP 1218
I TEMF=I ! TACCKX, L) 1219
Da 510 K=t , Ns TA 122Q
I FCI STA( K) . NE. I TEMP) GO TO 510 t 221
LY=LX+l l aZa
~3TACt K~, LX, I PASS) ~K
Gn TO 520 1224
510 cnNTI NuE 122S
52C CnNTt NuE 122
e REO~CE STATI ON! YO THOSE I DENTI FI ABL! 1221
N~TACCKX. t PA5S' : LX
53C CONTI NUE 1229
e I OENTI FY STATI C~S I N TANOEM 1230
540 I ~( NTNOM. l E. O) GO To 600 1231
~o s qO LX=l , NTNOH 1232
On 5s n ~=1, N3TA t 233
I FeI STACK) . EQ. I STNCLX) GQ TO 5&0 1234
5~C C~~1I NUE 1235
S&O I STNCLX) =~ 1236
N~uMCK. r PASS) =NSMXCLX)
I T~P=NSHX( ~X) 123e
~n 580 L: l , I TMp 1239
00 ~70 KX=1, N3Tl 1240
I F( I STACKX) . Fa. I STTCLX, L so TO 580 1241
5' 0 CONTI NUl \ 242
SAC I 5Tr K, L. r PASS) ~~X
s qc cnhTt NuE 1244
e t OENr I Fy PAI RS CF STATI CNS FUR CONSI STENCY TESTS 1245
600 I F( NCSTY. LE. Ol s o To 6~r. 124&
DO 640 L: l , NCSTY 1241
Dn &30 K=l , NSTA 124~
! FCI 5TAr K) . ~Q. I STXCL) ) GC TO 610 1249
! F( I STA( Kl . E~. I ST' CL) GQ TO &20 1250
Gn TO &30 1251
610 X3r X( L) =K tasa
GO TO &30 1253
b20 I ~TV( L) 3K t 2s a
b30 CnNTI NuE 1253
b40 CONTI NuE 1256
6Se I THP=N5TA+NCO~e 1257
eo ~ * * * HAX ANO ~I N RECo~oEn VO~uME5 * * * * * * * * * * * * * t 2Sa
e ! ' - HTt ATE SIJ MS 1259
DO 7QO ~=NSTxX, I T~P 1260
AvGg( K) : O. 12&1
~I~=O t2&2
Dn &&0 %: 1, 15 1263
660 S" ~( l . K) =. T 12b4
Dn &1n r =I &, 30 12&5
&70 SM~CI , K) =T la~b
T~P=O. 1267
T~PA=~. 1266
"1=1 12&9
,~:s0 1270
DO Ten J =l , " V~S 1271
DO 170 1: 1, 12 1272
H=~~l 1273
N: N+l t 214
I F( K. ~E. NSTl l GO TO 100 1275
e COMPUTE COM8I NEO FLO~S 127&
K~=K. NST. 1271
I r ?=NST' CCKX, I ~AS~)
Q( ~. K' =O. t 279
on ~90 L=l , I TP 1280
I TE~P: KSTAC( K~, L, t PA3S)
e COHnI ~ED FLO~ ~I ~St N~ 12~2
! F( O( M, I TE~Pl . EQ l 0R. O( ~, K) . EQl . ) GO TO 6ao 12e3
g( M, K) =QCM, K) . ~{" , I TE~P) * CST. C( KX, L, I F~5~'
El CHI aI T ~
Gn TO &qo
&~C 0( 1' 1, 1<) : ; - 1.
t ) C CO~, T' ! t ; uE
70C I F( nc~, K) . NE. - l . ) GO TO 110
e STA~T NE~ ACCUHUL ATr ONS WHEN F~OW HI SSI NG
N=O
TMP: O.
TMPo \ =O.
sn TO 770
710 TEf o I P: l DCH, K)
e 1- MONTH r L Ow~
! F( 9MQCI , K) . L T. TE~P) S~Q( I , K) =TEHP
I F( SMQCI +15, K) . GT. TEMP) S~~( I +15, K) =r EMP
1 F ( S I o t o e 13 .10L T TE " P ) sx G ( 13 , K ) =TE t
A
P
t F( SMQC2a, K) . ~T. TEMP) SMa( 2e, K) =TEHP
e &- MaNTH FL ~~S
TM : I : TI o I P+TE) ' I F
f MP I . : r THPA +TE~' P
I FCN. ~) 7&O, 7] O, 120
72C TMP: T~P ~CM~6, K)
73C I ~( TMP. L T. SMnC2q, K) ' 5~ar 2q, K) =TMP
I F( TMP. GT. ! ~a( 1U, K) ) S~1{14, K) =TMP
e 5a- MONTH FL Q~S
I F( N- S4l 760, 750, 740
74e THFh: TMPA- g{M- S4, K)
750 r F( T~PA. L T. s " aC30, K) ~MQC] c, K, =T" PA
I F( TMPA. GT. $HQ( 15, K) SH~( 15, K) =TMPA
e Av ERAGE FL Ow
7bO AVGnCK) =AVGQ( K) +TEMP
NO=~~+l
770 C! 1NTI NUE
7~C c. nNTI NuE
fE I -lCl:NO
AVGO( K) =~VGQCK) / TEMP
1QO Cr:HiTISuE
' : ~I TEe6, 300)
~nc FnR~6T( / ] 4H " AXI MUH VDL UME5 OF REcORDEO FL o ws l
~PI TEC&, 810) CMOCI ) , I : I , 12)
61C r n Q M A T C5H STA, 12I 7, 3J ~ 1- M O - MO 54- HQ AV MOl
1 T~P: N3T HNCOM8
Dn ~3~ K=~ST~~. I THP
I TEf o I P=AVr , QCK) +. 5
DO 1120 1: \ , 15
82C I nC! ) =SMo Ct , K) +. 5
a! C ~~I TE[ &, e40) I 9TA( K) , ( ! Q( I ) , I =1, l S) , ! TEMP
~4C Fr . P~ATC1X, I a. 12I 7, 218, I q, I e)
1,PITE(e .,S50)
s ~C Fn~~ATC/ l &H ~I ~I MUM VD~U~ES)
IHHTF.(~,alC) er i OeI ) , 1=1, 12)
en ~70 K: N5TxX, I TMF
en 860 1=1. 15
8~C ! o cr , =SMQCI +1S, K) +. 5
fi7e W~I TE( &, 6QD) I STACK) , CI GCI l , I =1, 1S)
CE * * * * COMPUTE FREQUE~CY 8TATI s r l CS t. * ~ t t * * * *
:~;ITE (6,e ~0,
8~O Fn~MAT ( / 21H F~EQUE~CV 8TATI ~TI C5)
N~I TEC&, ~qO) ( MOCI " I : I , 12l
aqo Fa~HAT C/ t QH STA I TE~, I 7, 11I a)
e ~I 5~! hG FL OW P~EC! DI NG FI Rs r H~CORD MONTH
DO 100 K=NSTX~, NST.
90C t Hl , K) =T
I Pcnt . =o
l Tf t <P = NSTA
DO ! 180 K=l , I TE~P
I~ ( r TE~p. GT. NSTA) GO Te 1180
l F( K. L E. N5TX) GO TO CJ 4a
91C Dn Q20 1=1. 12
TE MF :NLo r;(I ,;<)
nnCr , ~' ~DaCI , K) ~. Ol / TE" P
I F( O~( 1, K) . L T 1) DO( I , K) ~. l
! ~( n~I N( I , ~) . L T. O. ) DQCI , ~) =DO( I , K) GMI ~( r , K)
Q2C Cf 1I ' i TI NUf
1285
12e ~
12iH
12A 8
laSI
1290
!2ql
l Z Q c
laCJ 3
12qq
1295.
12%
1297
1a qa
1299
1300
1301
1302
1303
1.30'1
1305
130&
1307
1308
1309
1310
\311
1312
1313
13111
1315
1316
t317
1318
1319
1320
\321
1322
1323000
1324
1325
1:52b
1327
1328
1329
1330
1331
t33!
1333
1334
' 335
1336
1337
1338
1339
1340
\3111
1342000
1343
134
13'15
1311b
13a&100
1347000
13117100
13117- i !
13 ..8
134CJ
1350
1351
1352
1353
E XI o <tBI T ti
N=O
~] O nn Q4n 1~! , 12
AV(!,K):llfl.
SI'I(T.K):".
s r\~(!, j( )::0.
TI o!5:I :lN
Xr ~CRCr ) =CoaCJ , K) . Q~I NCI , K) " C16. ~TMP)
qllo C"~1'tNuE
942 X: l
OM no J:i, 'lVR3
( ) O 9( , 0 I ~l , 12
,'1:101+1
t F( D( ~, ! <) . E~. l . ) 60 l a 9!C
e REPL ACE FL O~ A~AAY wI TH L OG ARRA'
TEMP~AL OG( O( ~, K) . na( I , K) ) / 2. 3025SS1
(H....J <):TEHF
I F( I ( . L E. ~5TX) 60 TO Q60
e ~UM, S~UAREU, A~n CUBES
Av( t , I ( ) =AVC! . K) TE~P
SD( {, I ( ) =s nCI , K) TE~P* TE~P
S~E~( I . K) : SKEWCI , K) +TEMP* TE~P* TEMP
GO r o 9O
e HI 3s I hG FL aMa EGUAT~O TO T
' 1SC n( M. K) =T
Bcn~=1
9(,C CnP,;TI >JuE
970 cn."'TIr-IuE
I r ( I ( . L E. N3T~' G~ l O 1180
I Nnr : : : . : o
Oil 1.000 r=:112
T:?"P:NLI1G(!,K)
I P( TE" P. L T. 3. ) GD TO 112n
T"p::AVn,K)
AVe T, i() =T;'lp/TEI 4P
I F( 5~( I , ~) . L E. O. ) GO TO 9ao
T~PA=SO(I ,)<)
s ~( r , ~) =cSO( t , K) V( I , K}* T~P' / ( TE" P l . )
I Fc~nCI . xl . L E. r y. J GO TO q~O
5n[ r , K) =SD( I . ~) ~* . S
t FC~DCr . K' . L r oan5) GO T~ 990
S~f W( ! , K) : ( r FH~. TeMP~~KEW( ! , ~) . 3 r E~p* TMP~TMPA. 2. ~TMP. TMF~TMP)
l / r TEMP~CTEHP. l . ) w( TEMF. 2. ) * SD( I , K) ~. 3)
! ~( ~K~WCl l K) . L T4C~. 1) . OQ. S~EW( I , K) . GT l ) I NQC: l
I FC:;:<E:;~C!,K) .ln.3.) SKE\I i(!,!<}=3.
I F( ~~Ew( I , K) . L T1. ) 8KEh( I , K) : - 3.
G~ r o lOO!')
s no, I ( ) =O.
S1(F!l<Icr,IO=O.
en~;TV'UE
N: ~. . . l
! ~( N. Gr . l ) GO TO l ObO
~~I TE( &. 1010) t STl CK) , ( Av' t , K' , I =1, L 2)
FnR!~AT C/l'i.,'['3,8 ~EH,12F6 .3)
~~r T( b, 1020) CSn( I , Kl , I =l , 12)
Fn'"I :.T C7't,7;j~qD nEv,12FI '.31
,~qr TI : e b, 1(' 3o) e~il<E t. ( !,1() , 1=1, 12)
~1AM' T Cl 0~, q~5KE~, 12F8. 3)
w;;rn:c, I OI lO) ([JClC!,l<) ,1:Q,12)
F" ; ~aT CAX. 6HI ~CR~T, F7. 2, 11' B. 2)
"'''I T!'C&.10S0) CI o: L CG( l , l <) ,r=l,12l
F" ~MaT ( . ~, 5HVEAN! , 1218)
l FCN. GE. l ~) GO TO 1180
I F( ! NOC. L ! . n) Gn Te 118a
THE FCL L n~I Nq RCUTI NE WI L L ADJ uST THE I HC~E~ENT Te
, qy TO QdTAI ~ ZE; O 3KEW
CHANGE r ~E FCL L nWI NG STAT TO I SKZ=l Ta ACTI VATE
9i1Q
q<;c
tone
101e
10i!C
1030
lolle
lose
10(,C
e
e
e
E'lI HI S rr 6
!~:<1:z0
I ~C! S~Z. L c. O) GO TO 11S0
I rP:hl1
Da ti 10 r=1112
;~=np+I
D" 10eO J =1, N' f R3
\354
1355
135&
1.3'l7
1356
135q
1360
i3H
136?
t3fl3
13~/.I
13&5
136&
13(,1
13138
1369
13" 9' " 2
1370
1311
t 37a
1373
LH/.I
1375
\37&
U77
1378
1379
1379-2
1380
13'31
13~2
131\3
1334
1385
13Sb
Da7
C3~a
13HJ"2*
131\9
1390
13
t
H
1392
1393
i39r
13~5
13"H,
139'7
1396
139q
t4M
\401000
taoa
1403000
1&104
1405000
140"
1/ . 107000
1408
1aQq"oo
1410
llHl
tina
1413
l\tI
1415
14\b
1411
1418
11119
1420
;-j"M+I~
! F[ a( ~, K) . ~Q. T) 60 TO 1070
n';::sn [ll,K)
'Pol,K)::10 TMP .. OQ(I,K)
Gn Tn 1080
10H r;U~,l(l=.\.
IOA O Cn"TINUF.
T~" f l : : S Y . e \ o i C I , K'
FC TEMP. ~T. C l ) . AND. TEHP. L T l ) GO TO 1110
I F( ' E~P) t 090, 1110, 1100
I09C n~( t , Kl : O~C I , K) . 2.
Gf'I TO 111()
1100 D1( I , K) : OOC I , K) xI NC aC I )
1110 C t l " TI NUE
GI" TO 930
e * * * * ~ OF- L ETE 5TAj I C ~S wI T~ L ES S THAN !y EARS OF DATA
1120 W~J TE( 6, 1130) I S TA( K)
1130 F" ~~AT (/qH S TA, I b, 2B~ OEL ETEO, I N8UFFI C I ENT OATA)
'I~T "~"sT '\"1
NSTU::"lSTA +1
N!'lTh 'X!:;~s T hNS T A
I FC K. GT. NS TA) GQ Tn 1180
e ~EOIJ CE S UBS C RI PTS OF S UBS EQUENT srAnON!
an l t 70 KX=K, N3TA
I ~TAC KX1=I S TAC KX+l )
M=l
Dn l i S O J =l , NY RS
00 11"0 P11.12
M::fl+l
11~C Q( M, I <X) =Q( H, KX+l )
11"iC Cf1NTI~jUE
!)() 1160 r=1012
aMI N( ! , KX) : ~HI ~C I , K! +l )
HL OG( Y , K~) : : NL nG( I , KX l )
116C OnC Y , Kx) : DQ( I , KX+l )
t t 7C C ! 1~; TI NU
nI'! Tn '110
1He CIH:TINIIE'
!T~N5::0
! FC T~cnN. L E. o ) GO r o 1370
C F* * ~ * ~. AOJ US T~ENT QF FRE~UENC Y 3TATI S T1C S r o L ONG TERM
Do 11liO !:lo12
o n 1101') K=l , ~J S TA
o n l1Qo L =l ~NS TAX
NClIfl{!,K,L)=O
311"111 ( I , K, L ) =O.
SLiI''i(I,K,L)=O.
S~A (I,K,Ll:O.
S " i l ( T, K, L l =O.
) ( PA! 1p, K, L ) =O.
fa(~,K.L): ..4.
1190 cn;T!NuE
DO 1220 ~: l . NS TA
XY : : Y . +l
I~;1
o n 12<' 0 J : q, Nv l i S
no 1210 1=1012
1,1=1" +1
TF' MQ: Q( I J . , K)
I F( TENP. EQ. T) GO TO 1210
o n 1200 L =~Y . NS TAX
L X=L . .NS T, \
I F' C l x. L T. l ) T~P=y ( H, L )
I F' ( l X. GT. O) TMP: C ( H- l , L X)
I F( THP. EQ. T) GO r o la c o
~C An( I . K, L ) : : NC AR( I , K, L ) +l
S I ! " C I , K, L l =S I J HAC I , K, I . ) +TEMP
5ti" 9 ( !,l< , L) ': ~UH'J ( 1,l( ,L).. T ~p
3~A( I . K. L ) : S QAC I , K, L ) +r EMP* TEMP
S OH( I . K, L ) : S QB( I , I ( , L ) +T~Pt TMP
XPAHr I , K, L ) =XP~BC I , ~, L ) +Te M~* THP
I F( L . GT. NS TA) GO TO \ 200
i421
t1l2a
1423
1,24
1425
\ 42&
1421
1428
11129
1130
1431
1432
143J
1434
1435
" " * " lqJ6
\437
1438000
\43')
1440
1/441
1442
\443
1444
1445
1446
1447
1448
144'1
1450
1451
lqS2
1453
1454
1455
t QS &
11151
1458
1459
1460
" " " 1461
lQ62
t463
1464
1465
\1'6b
14&7
14'=8
\469
1470
1'l71
1472
1Q73
1474
1.475
1476
1477
1476
1479
14RO
1481
148i!
1483
1460
1485
148&
1481
1488
1489
14c;O
1491
14qa
Ext HBI T ( ,
NC~~CI . L, ~) ~NCAa( I , K. L)
SU~A( ! , L, ~) =3UMBCI , K~L)
SUMRCI , L, K) =9UH. C! , ~, L)
3~A( I , L. Kl =SaR( I , K, L)
5~~CI , L, K) =SnA{I , K, L)
~~. R( r . L, K) =XPA8CI , X, L)
12CO CnNT1NuE
121 e C"NTtNUE
1220 C"I'iTINUe:
HI(\C=O
on 1260 l(::Il.NSTA
Kl C: : I l <+t
00 1260 1=1112
RACI , K, K) : : I 1.
Dn 1250 L=KX, NSTAX
I ~( NAa( I , K, L) . LE. 2) ca TO l a50
TE~P=NCABCI , K, L)
T! 04P: St ' U( I , K, L)
i P=s ~aCI , I ( , I . )
T' 4PA=SUI ' i ACI , K. L)
TMPP=CTHP~TMPA~* 2/ TEHP) / TEMP
I ~CTHPP. LT. O. ) TMPP=O.
3~AC1, ~, L) =TMP? * 5
T>4PR=5U" , RCI , K, L)
T~PP=l TP- THP8* * 2/ TE~P) / TEMP
I ~( T" PP. LT. O. } TMPP: O.
S~9( ! , K, L) =TMPP* * . 5
TMP=CTMP. T1PA* ~a/ TEMP) * ( TP. TMPB* ~2I TEMP)
I F( TMP. LE. O. ) GO TO 1230
TMPI =XPABr I , K. L) THPA~T~Fe/ TEMp
TI 4P6=1.
! F( THPA. LT. O. > TMPS=- TMPB
TMPA=TMPA* TMPA/ l MP
T! 04PA=1. w( \ . T~PA) * ( TE~P. l . ) / ( TEMP. 2. )
I FCTMPA. LT. O. ) T~PA=O.
qACI , K, L}=TMP~* T~PA* * . 5
uP=t
1."=1.
i . X; ; L- NSU
I FeL. LE. NSTA) GO TO 1235
ITP=t"l
l ~( ! T~. LT~l ) I TP=12
U::lX
t a15 I F( ! OC! , Kl . LT 0001. 0R. SOCI TP, LA) . LT 0001) GO To 1a30
Gn '-0 1240
1230 RAC! , K, L) =O.
1240 I FCL. GT. NSTA) G~ r o 12r , o
aQAr 1J L, Kl =S1~( I , K, L)
9nR( ! , L, K, =s n4CI , K, L)
~l ( t , L, K) =~ACl , K, L)
' 2' 30 Cl ' 1! 1i TI NUE
r asc CI'!NTINUE
Dn t 28~ K=l , lISTA
J l'l 1230 r=\d2
TF. I 4P: : : NLOG (1, K)
1.:'(:1)
un ta70 !..=l,~STA
I FCL. Eg. K. ~R. RACI , K, L) 9LE. ~a. ) SO TO 1270
I F( ~LDGr ! , L) . LE. NLOG( I , K) ' G~ Tn 1210
T~Pl:NCAB (I, i(, L.)
T! - l P~: NLOGe 1,1.)
TP=TMP. / ( 1. ( TMP8. T~PA) i RA( I , K, L) * * 2/ TMPa)
! P[ TP. LE. TE~P) GO TO 1210
LX=L
TE~P=TP
Tf l PF2QTl i PA
12"10 cntlUNUE
I F( l X. LE. O) GO TO 1280
I FC5g4Cr , K, LX) . LE 0001. C~. SgeCI , K, LX) . LE OOOl ) GU TO l ~ e o
I HOC=l
T~~~~Q~( I , K, LX) / S~RCl , K, LX)
T~PA=SUMACI , K, LX) / TM? P
E'tl'lYBIT "
1493
1~94
149$
l~q"
14en
1498
1qqq
1500
15Cll
150a
1503
1504
1505
1506
1507
1501.:1
\ 509
1510
15\1
1512
1513
1514
1515
15t 6
1517
1518
1519
1520
\521
1522
1523
1524
1525
152&
t527
1528
15aq
1530
1531
1532
1533
\ 534
1535
1536
1S31
153a
1SH
1540
1541
1542
1543
15114
15115
1546
\5117
15413
1549
' 550
15'31
15'32
\ 5':!J
\5'311
l SSS
r ~PS=SUMRCt , K, L~) / THPP
Awet , K) =T~PA. CAV( ! , LI ' T~F~) . ~ACI , K, LX) ~THP
9C( r , K) =S~ACI , K, LX) +( 50( I , LX) . s ai j CI , K, Lx. MA( I , K, L~) 2* T~P
12~C Cf i " TI NUE
e AnJ uST STANDARn DEVTATI ON3 FOR CONSI STENCV
I ~( ~CSTY. LE. O) GO TO 13ao
e T~. 1~5FE><FIH)~1011
12Qo on 1330 LX=l , NCSTV
K=l STX( I . ~)
1. =15TY( Ll C'
!J O \321) 1=1,12
T~~P=CAVC! , K) AVC! , L/ 3.
I FC4VCI , K}. GT. AVCI , L) GC TO 1300
Tc~~=TEMP+SOCI , K)
I FeSOCI , L) . LT. TEMP) GO TO 1310
Tf ' P=SDCI , K, . 2. - TEMP
! F( AO( I , L) TE" p) 13i O, 1320. 1310
1300 T~~P=TEMP+SD( I , K) .
I FC~O( I , L) . GT. TEMP) GC TO 1310
r F~p=s oCI , K) * 2. TEMP
I ~( ~n( ! , L) . GE. TE~P) GO TO 1320
131C S~( T, L) =TEMP
\ 320 Ct i qnl uE
1330 C~" TI NUE
l FCl i ~NS. GT. O) Gel TO 2820
' 340 I FCT~OC. l ~. O. ANO. ~CSTY. LE. O' GO TO 1370
\ ' I Q! TF. ( 6, t 350)
1350 FO~HAT( / 3qH F~EGUE~Cy STATI STI CS AFTER ADJ uSTHENTS
~~! TE( b, aqO) t ~Q{I ) , ! ; 1, 12)
no 1360 ! <' =1, t - . i ST4
WQI TE( 6, 1010) I STACK' , CAV( ! , K) , I =1, 12)
~~! TEC5, l n2n, ( SD( I , K) , I : l , 12)
W~I TEC6, t 010, CSKEW( I , X) , I =1, 12)
w~! TE( &, 10QO) ( DD( I , K) , I =1, 12)
1360 COl'TlNUE
cs * * * * * * TpANSFnRM TU STA~DA~DI ZED VARI ATES * r* * * * * * * * *
13' 0 D" 1420 ~=l , NSTA
~i=1
o o 1111 o J =1 , ;~V R S
no ,400 I =1t 12
.'1=1'<+1
O~CH, K) =BLf l NK
I F( DC~. K) . E~. r ) GO TO 1400
I F( ~D( r , K) . EQ. O. ) GO TO 13QO
ar M, ~l =( gC" , K) - AVC! , K/ 50( I , K)
e ~EAASCN TY~E I I I TRANSFORM
I ~( RKEWCI , K) . ~Q. O. ) GO TO l noo
TE~P=. 5* SKf ~( I , K) * O( M, K) +I .
T"'::l.
! F( TEMP. GE. n. ' GO TO 1! 60
TF~P=" TEMP
TI 1P: . .l .
! 3PO gC~, K' : 6. * ( THP* TE~P* * ( 1. 13. ) _1. ) / SKEW( I , K) . 3KEW( I , K) / &.
Gn rn l/toO
13q::; :;rf J.I<)=o.
, IIOC C(1~TI"'U
U.1e CO"T1NU
!'12C Cn"TlNUF.
C * * * * * CO" PUTE SUMS OF S&U. ~ES A~D CROSS ~qnDUCTS ~ * * * * * *
on 11150 1(=1, ~!S TA
1)1'1 1/~40 1=1112
en ta30 L~1,NS T4X
d(f,K,L) =(.a.>
51J ~A ( 1, I <. , L) =O.
SIIi~I1(I,I(,l)=O.
SI ' l ACI , K, U=O.
so,;n.J<,L l==O.
x p A _ : Ct ,1( , L ) =0
, ~30 NCA Q(I,K,l)=O
, Het , K, K) =l .
14/ 10 cnl - TI NuE
1450 cnt,Tl:-.luE
1556
1557
1558
1559
1560
1561
1562
1563
t56~
1565
1S 6&
1567
1568
1569
1510
1571
157a
l573
1574
1575
1576
1577
1578
1579
15110
1581
15~a
1583
15811
1585
1586
1567
1588
1589
I SQO
l SQl
15C12
t5
C
n
1594
1595
lS9
t597
15~C;
1&00
1601
1602
1603
1604
1605
1606
1607
1608
160C;
1&10
1611
1&12
1613
1b14
1b15
1616
1617
1618
16\9
1&20
1621
1622
1623
1624
lb25
162&
l ba7
t baS
EltHY8IT &
oo. 1' 40 K=I . NSY~
KI(=:< ...1
M: s l
n n 1480 J =1. ~YR~
Dn 11170 I:::1, 12
~:::1"+1
TE" MP=~ (r~,K)
I ~CTEM~. EO. T) r , O TO 1470
on l G&O L =K~, N3TAX
e s uas C~I PT3 EXCEEOI NG h~T4 ~EL ATE r o PRECEot N~ ~O~TH
1.:t=L-NSTA
I F CL ~~L T. l ) TMP: Q( H, L )
I F ( L X~GT. n ) TMP: Q( H- l , L Y)
I F CTMP. E~. T) Ga To 146C
e CrJ U ~T Al _ O ose: c . t . l . ' f REcOROEO P AtRS
~CAR( r . KJ L ) =~CAA( t , K, L ' l
slJ ~A ( 1, K , L):::Si) IH (1.1< , l . ) .. TE" P
3U~RC! . I <, L ) =SU~8( t , ~, L ) . T~P
3~A ( I , K, L ) : ~~A ( T, K, L l . TE~P. TEMP
S~8 ( ! . K, L ) =~QO CI , K, L ) +T~P. TMP
XPA~C! , K, L ) =~PAB( t , K, L ) " l E~P* T~P
I ~t L . GT. NSTA) 00 TO 11&0
Nc ao( I . L , K) =NCAACI , K, L )
:3 II H A ( I L K J =:jIJ I~R (t ,!( , L)
SUM~Ct . L , K) =qUM4( T, K, L )
S~lA Cl , L , K) =S: l B (1,K,I.)
s a9 ( t , L , K) : : : SAA ( X, K, L )
XP4n ( ! . L , K) =x ~A~C! , K, L )
111{l0 Cr:11"TINUE
t 111C CI ' l NTI Nl J l !
1(lila cn~nNIle:
e * * ~* * ~COMPUTE CORREL ATI ON CQEF F I CI ENT3 * * * ~ * ~ *
DI') l 530 I::tt12
D~ 1520 L =KX, NS~AX
L ' i =L - N3TA
e EL I HI NAr E PAI ~S wI TH L ESS Th~N 3 yRS UATA
I F C~C~BCI , K, L ' . ~E. a} GO r o 1510
TF MP=NCA8CI , I ( , L )
TMP={~Q4CI , K, L ) . 5UMA( ! , K, L ) ~SU~ACI , ~, L }/ r ~HP) * C3Ga( I , K, L ) SUMB
l CI , K, L , * SUM8CI , K, L l / TENP)
e EL I ~I NATE PAI ~S ~I TH ZERO VARI ANCE PROOUCT
l F ( TMP. L E. O. ) GO TO l SOO
TMPB=l .
T '4 P A =X ? A a f I , !< , L , .. S tJ tI A (! ,K , L' S u '" B e I , K , L) IT E ~p
e qETAI AL GEB~4I C SI GN
I F r TM~A. L ToO. ) TMPR=- T~PH
TMPA=THPA* TMp~/ THP
RaCT, K, L ) =TMP9. TMPA* 5
I TP=r
l . A=L
11.' (I.LI~.NSTA) Gn TO l ~qO
!,.>,=r"l
F ( ! TP. L T. l ) I TP=12
L.a::LX
l AqO I ~( SDC! , K) . L T ~n Cl . o~. ~O( t TP, L A' . L T 0001) HA( I , K, l ) - O.
Gn Tn 1510
1500 4A( T, K, L ) =O.
1510 I ~CL . GT. NSTA) GD TO 1! 20
~A( l , L ~X) =~A( t , K, L )
1520 cn~;TINIJ E
t 53C cn:.;TINuE
t sao r:n~TINLJ E
Gn Tn 2170
t 5~C ~~I TE( 6, l SbO)
15&0 F O~MAT( / 18H oA, A OUT CF CRDER)
Gn r o 150
c~ * ~* * ~* ~EAO CORREL ~TI CN COEF ~! CI ENTS ~ ~ * t * * * * t * * * * *
I S7C DI ' l 163Q ~=l , NSTA
I F ( K~aQ. l ) Ga TO 1600
1T; : : 1<- 1
DO l SQO L =l , t " T?
e CUR~Es T ~ONT~ CC~PEL ATI CN
El tHIBIT 6
1629
1&30
1631
1632
1&33
tH
l '!S
163&
11)37
I3a
l 3'i
1&40
1&41
16112
\ &43
1&'.14
164$
Hil
\'1I7
l b a !!
1649
t&50
\b51
16'52
1653
1654
Hi55
tbS
16';7
1658
1b59
161'11)
16~\
16"2
1663
1&l4
' &65
11.>6"
t67
1&61]
166'1
1f l 70
1&71
1672
1673
!~H
1&15
167&
1,,17
lb78
1679
\680
161;1
l ~a
1683
\IJ AQ
16115
1686
1&B7
u,lla
1,,8~
!il <;O
191
1&<) 2
\ b!J J
1694
1695
,,,96
l
c
n
1696
l bc)9
1700
e * * CA~O 1. * *
~~~O( 5. 10) I T~~. I TEMP, CR~C! , K, L) , 1=1, 12)
nAVr K, L) : ~A( l , K, L)
I P( r GN~L. F Q. l ] I ST~( ~) : I TMP
I ' CI TMP. N~. I 9TACK) GO T~ 15S~
I F ( ! TEMP. NE. I S1ACLGC TO 1550
en IS~O r=1112
1S8C RA( T, L, K) : RACI , K, L)
1SQc CrHiTINU~
e PREc F . OI NG MO~T~ CORP~LAT! ON
is ee l . l t : r . : STAA
!~ CIGNRL .Er.l.ll I.X=N3TA+K
L ~o =rop3!Al(
I F CI GNRL. EQ. 1) LAc LX
Df 1 1610 L. =Ll ! , LA
! r p=L- NSTA
e * * CARO K OR M * *
~EA~( 5, 70) I TKP, I TEMP, CRA( I , K, L) , l al , l a)
I F CK. Ea. l ) I 5TA( K) =I j M~
I ~( ~. EQ. l ) I STA( I TP) =I TE~P
I F CI GN~L. EQ. I ) RAYCK, K) c RACI , K, Ll
I ' C! THP. NE. I s TACK) ) ~O Te 1550
I F ( ! TEHP. NE. I ST4( I T? ) GO TO 1550
1610 cr.~~TINUE
on lb20 1=1112
12C R~Ct,K ,K )=l.
tb:30 C()~;TINUE
e * * * * * ~EAD F REc uENCv STAT! STI CS * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
On t &40 K=1, N5TA
e * * CARO N OP o **
REA~( 5, RO) I TP, ( AVCI , K) . I =I , l ~)
I ~( ! TP. NE. I STA( KGO TO 1550
e GENERALI ZED STATI ATI C5 ON eNE CARO PER 3TATI ON
AV' " ' i ( K) =AVO, I <)
A v t'N (K ) =A V (2K )
SI ) AV( I ( ) =AV( J , I <)
r rfA~:: A V O c 11, j() +.1
! ~Xr K) : ! T" P ~D, 12}
11' ~" ' : . \ VC5, K) +. 1
I ~~( K}=! T~p HO( 12)
I F ( I ~XCK' . LT. l ] I HX[ X) =I MYCK) +12
I F ( ! " " ( K) . LT. l ) I HN( K) : I ~~( K) +l a
I F [ I GNRL. EG. l ) GO T0 16~O
e .* CARO P **
e
~F - An( 5, 80) I TP, CSOCI , X' , I : l , 12)
I P( ! T? NE. I STA( KGO TO 1550
RAn( 5, 8r . ) I TP, ( 3XEwCI , ~) , I =1, 12'
I F ( ! TP. NE. I 3TACKGO Tf 1 1550
.'" CAllO ~ **
** CUtO Q **
e
~EA~CS. qO) I TP, CDnCI , K' , t =1, 12)
I F c t TP. NE. I STA( KGO TO 1550
1&40cnun:uE
el * ~ ~ * * * Ef i Tr HATE HI S~I ~G c aRRELATI O~ Co EF F I CI ENT8 * * * * * *
1650 I F ( I r . NP. L. Er . . l ' GO TO 3C2C
! F C~3TA. LE. l ) GD TO 2310
D" 1 1120 1=1. 12
I P=I . .l
I F CTP. LT. 1J ! P=12
0'1 171,) 1<=1,NST4
ITP::I(+l
Dn 1100 L=I TP, NSTAX
L ANO ~ CORRELATI PN PCSSI BLY MI SSI NG
I F ( ~. ( 1, K, L) . GE. ( . l . ) , GQ TQ 1100
R~A~=l .
RI"1llll:-1.
e
e
LX s EARCHE5 ALl .
On 1b~O L~=l , NST~l
I F CL~. EQ. K1Gn TO 1b90
I ~CL. EO. LX) Gn f O lb90
TF . ' I I P: : , " , ACI , K, LX)
I F eL. LE. NSTA) GC TO 1&60
REL1TED CORRELAT! CNS EXCEPT F OLLC~I N5 HT~
1701
17na
1103
1704
t 705
170&
1707
1708
1709
1710
1111
\112
1713
1714
1115
171&
1717
1118
1719
1120
1721
1722
1723
1724
1725
172&
1727
1728
\ 729
1730
1731
1732
1733
1734
1735
1736
1737 . .
\73B *
1738-2.
1739 *
1740
1741
17~2
\7113
17114
1745
1746
1147
1748
17/11)
1750
1751
1152
1753
1754
17SS
1756
17~7
1758
17!59
1760
1161
176l
17&3
176(1
1765
176&
1767
1768
179
1110
177
ElfHTBn &
e
I F( LX. L~. NSf A' GO TO 1670
. aOTH L ~~o LX ~EPFE~~h' PHECEOTNG MDHT~
ITMP=L-NaTA
ITE~P::lI..X .. NST.l
T~~=~Ac t P, I TMP, I Te" p)
GO TO 1&80
L REPRESENT5 CURHFNT ~O~TH
T~l P=RA CI , L, L: l ( )
G~ TO 1680
LX ANO NOT L Rep=F. ~ENT5 CUHRf NT MONTH
THP=~. CI , Ll C, L)
I F CT~P+TEMP. l T 2. ~) Ge r o l ~qO
THPA=CC1. TEMP* TEMP) * Cl T~~. T~~
I F( T~PA. LT. O. ) TMPA=O.
T" , P( \ : TMPA* * . 5
TMP8: TMP* T~~P+T~PA
I ~( T" PA. LT. RH~X) HMAX. TMP&
T~pq=TMP8 TMPA. T~PA
I F e T" I PS. er . Rr ! !N) R" I N=T , " , PS
Cn~TI NUE
e
le,&O
16QO
e
AYE~AGE ! MALLf ST ~AX ANO LARGE3T HI N CO~! I STENT VAl UE
~ACI , ~, L) =CRMAx+~~I N) * . !
I FeL. LE. NSTA) RA( I , L, K) . RACI , K, L)
1100 c n~: TI NuE
1710 CnNTt NI J !
1720 CONTUIUE
Gt ) Tn 231~
CJ * * * * * * TEST FOH T~l ~O CO~SI STENCY * * * * * * * * * * * *
17: 3C NC~=O
17~C FAC=l .
r.;C':NC.\+l
I F( NC~. I . . T. N~TA~12) Go TO 17~O
I~R!TEC6,1S40)
sn TO 150
1750 NCS=O
NC=O
17bC HJQC=Q
O" 1~30 1=1112
IP:r ..l
I F( I P. LT~l ) I P=l a
~, L' ANO ~X SEARCH ALL RELATEO TRI uS OF COHREL CCEFS
Ory 1820 K=l , NSTA
Ir~T1=I(+l
o~ 1810 L: I TMP, N5TA~
I FCL. Eg. NST4x' GO TO 1810
I.A.=L"'NSTA
Rt:QACI,K,U
lTf.l:L+1
on 1300 LX: I TP, NSTAX
I Tr =" ' P; LX- NST4
P.?:QACI,K,I..X)
I F( L. LE. NSTA) R3~RA( I , L, LX}
80TH L A~D L~ RE~~~SENT PRECEQI NG MONTH
I F( L. GT. NSTA) Q3: RACI P, LA, I TE" P)
RAI s E LnwEST CCEFFI Cl NT I F I NCONs I STENr
AC1=Cl . - Ql . Rl 1* o. 5
AC2=( 1. ~~2* R2) * * . 5
AC] =Cl . ~3* ~] ) * * . S
I FC~l . GT. Ra) GO TO 1770
I FCPl . GT. R3) GC Tn 1780
~~I N=R2* R3. AC? ~AC] * FAC
I F( Q~r N. LT. - l . ) ~MI N= l .
I F( Rl . GE. RMI N) GO r o 1800
1,mC:l
RACt , l <, L) : QH! N
I F eLoLE. N3TA) RA( I , L, K, . R~I N
GO TO 1800
1770 ! F{Q? . GT. R3) en TO 1780
RHI ~=Rt * Q3. ' Cl . AC3* ' AC
l F( Q~I N. LT I . ) p~t Nm. l .
I F( Q2. GE. RHI N) GD r o 1800
I NOC=l
e
e
e
EVHI BI T 6
177c
1773
1774
1775
1776
1777
1778
t77'J
17aO
1781
1782
1783
1784
lHS
\78&
1787
178S
1789
1790
1791
179a
1793
179
1195
179&
1797
179a
1HIJ
l aoo
1601
1802
1803
1804
UtOS
180&
1807
1606
tM9
1510
HU 1
1812
I A1!
11114
eis
181&
1817
1818
tA19
1&20
1821
t522
192J
\1124
1&25
182&
tan
182!!
t:3c9
Id30
1831
! &J 2
1833
!834
1835
\ &3&
1331
t 1\33
I!H
HI,4Q
18tH
184Z
1843
fU. r t,1(, L X):;R ti I N
I I =' CL l(.L E.~J STA) RA(!,I .;(,X)=FlMI N
GI"l TI] 1800
t 7~C ~~! N=~1~R2 . Ct ~AC2* FAC
I F( QMI N. LT. - l . ) ~HI N=. l .
I F( P3. GE. RMI N) GO r o l eno
!),Ioe::1
!F (L .GT.NSTA) GO TO 17110
KA( ! , L, L. X) : ; : R~I N
XF ( L, X. LE. N3TA) HACI ,L X,I .)=RMI N
Gn TQ 11100
1790 ~A( TP, LA, I TEHP) =R~I N
Rh( ! p. I TEMP, LA) =RMI N
l a ( ' l C Cnf \ . TI Nu E
1810 c n~TI Nu E
t~2C C"f\TINIJ E
183e c nt - TI NI j E
~! C=NC+l
I F( NC. LE. N3TA~12) GO TO 18S0
l/::lI TE (El, 18110)
18a O Fn~HAT( 32H Co R~ELATI ON ~AT~I x I NCON5I STENT)
: ; , TO 1S0
\ 3~O I ~( ! NnC. E~. I ) GO TO 17~C
el < ~ * * * * TE~T FOR OVE~. ALL c nNSI STENCV * * * * * * * * * * ~ * *
I TEHP: l O
no T['1 1870
I TE" " P=l 1860
e
e
\1370
e
e
l QOe
lql0
1~20
1Q : 3 0
191] C
lCJ SC
\ q" C
I <He:
lQI lO
e
1QQC
;!"I'IC
WHEN I TEMP=l , CU~t ENT MONTH US~D FOR ALL I ND~P~NCE~T STA~
OTHE~~I &E, P~[ C ~TH USEO FOR CU~RENT ANO SUa SEGUEhT ~T45
NP!f'1P=~lS'Tl\
~'1\ Q:N I NOP+ 1
nn 1'1"0 1=1,12
.I p=r.1
I ~( I ~. LT. 1) I P=l a
CQNSTRUCT CD~PLETE COPREL MATRI X FOR EACH MO~TH A~O STA
DI ' 2150 1<=1, ' 15TA
L I 5 ROH NUM9Eq, J yB COLU~N NUHa E~
00 ;:020 L=l , ~<STA
L) ! =L. . NSTA
00 19a o J =l , NSTA
J Y:J ..NsTA
I F( l ~K) 1880,1Q20,lQ&0
I F( J ~X) 1890. 1910, 1900
Rr L, J ) = Da LE( ~A( I , L, J ) )
1. TMP tl) =l.
J ' ! ' ~<PCJ ) =J
GI'1 TO 1910
I FeI TF. MP) t91D, 1910, l S9n
Rr l . J ) :1 ~BLE( ~A( I , L, J X) )
I .TI ""(L )=L
J n'o (J ) =J X
s r r n 1970
I F( J _ K) t 930, t 9QO, 19S0
R( L, J ) : : DALE( RAC! , J , LX) )
loTI<P eL ) IIJ
. J TI ' ! P( J ) =LX
Gro TO 1970
~r L. J ) 11 OOLECRA( I P, L/ J )
LTMP( L) =L~ .
J T>( ; ' ( J ) I I J l (
GI'1 Tn 197n
! ~( f T~~P) lQqO, 1940,193n
I F( TTE~P) 1920,1q20,le8~
; ' ( J , Ur : R( L, J )
C" ~TI NUE
LTI ' ~( L) : I (
SPECIAlo 5UBSCRI PT FOR DEPE~DENT VA~I A3LE
!~ (L -I d lQC",2)iC,2000
~( L, NqTAA) = n~LEr HA' I , K, L) '
J r r , p( ~STAA) =L
G(l T!J 2020
. ( r TE~p. GT. O) GO TO l QQO
1BU
18115
1046
1847
1848
1849
1850
1851
1852
1853
I ft!!4
\8S5
t8'31)
1857
t 8S8
1! ! 59
11160
18&1
\8&2
1863
1864
1865
18~
1667
1868
18"9
1810
t871
1872
1873
laH
1815
1876
\877
1878
1eH
\8110
18111
t SBa
1883
1884
1!165
18B&
lM700n
laS8
181'19
l!\Q O
1M1
1892000
1893
11;94
16(J 5
18q&
1897000
1898
189<;
1900
,Q!'lI OM
1902
1903
19011
l QOS
1906
1907
19f : l e
1909
1910
1911
1912000
1913
\q14
\<;15
? Q1C R( L. N9TAA} = OaLECR ( I , K, ~~) )
J T~"(N.'lTA\)::L:(
acae C( " I NT! NUF .
" ATRI X CONSI 3TENT ! F CORREL eOES NOT EXCEen 1. 0
N= O
NC: : O
e = = = = = = = = = =
. 2030 CALL CROuf ( R)
e = = = = = = : = : =
191"000
1911
1918
I'H9
1920
1921
1922
9a3
1924
1925
192(1
t 927000
1n~"lq31
t93a
1933
1934
1935
193&
1"l37
1938
1939
1940
19111
1'1'12
1943
1q.:
lC;45
1946
1947
19/18
1949
1'150
\951
19' 32
1953000
1954
'9'55
1q5&
P'37
1'358
1959
1' 160
1<) &1
1' 3&2
1963
lqt,
195
\9"6
19FJ 7
l<ha
1'1&9
1970
1971
1972
1913
1974
1975
1976
1977
\ 978
1979
' l @O
q ~ * * * l'H'l
1982
19113
1984000
t91lS
1: ; 811000
19111
\ 91181) 00
1q]~9
19';0
I ' r ~TR" C. LE. l . ) GO TO 2130
~RI TE{&, 2nqOl N, I , K, DTR~C
F n~MAT (/3&H I NC" NSI STE~T COR~eL ~ATRI X ADJ U5TED, l I I l , F 12. 3)
\C ITriO;.\>!
F AC= f AC . . . 2
I F CF AC. GT l ) GO 10 1750
'leo::! 1
tJ ::!t-i+l
I F ( N. r . r . l 0) GO TO 150
sm.:o.
Dn 20~O L= l , I I I NO?
n~2070 LX= l , NVAR
I F CL. E~. LX) GO TO 2070
TM~P = ; ; {I . . , LX)
3! 1M: : I SUM+THP P
C"t-;TlNlJ E
C C lNU}'J Uf':
TF . MP = ~I NOP * NI NOP
S!ll-!=slii'lITE",F*
TEl o I p : nr a" ' C- 1.
I ~CTEMP . GT l ) TEMP = . 1
T! l P = l . _ TEI 1?
DO 2120 L= l , NI NOP
I TP : : L~l
no 2110 LX: I T? , NVAR
~CL, LX} = DBLE( THP P * T~? + ~U~* TEMP )
I ' ( l ~. l E. NI NO~) R( LX, L) : RCL, L~]
L 11-'=1,. Ti"lP rt.)
J TP::J np (L 1<'
! F ( l TP . ~E. NSTA) GO TO 2100
I F eTTP . LEs N3TA) GO ro 2090
I . T : : : LTP " N3TA
J T~= J Tp NSTA
~Ar ! p , LT? J Tp ) = RCL, LX)
RACI P , J TP . LTP ) : R( L, LX)
no f a 2t l ( )
I TI - 4P = LT~
LTP=.P'P
J TF I = I THP
2t Oe ~ACI , LTP , J TP ) = ~( L, L~)
I F CJ TP . LE. NSTA) H. ( I , J T~, LTP ) : : R( L, LX)
? 11C c nNTP ~ue:
21~C Cr . ~TI NUE
Gn TO 20] 0
21) C I F [ nTRMC. GE. O. ) ~n TO 2t ~Q
~Rr T~r &. 70) I , K, Qr R" C
DT~I " I C: : O.
210C ! , ! NCS. GT. O) GO TO 1740
?15c C t'lN1P.!uE
216C CnSTI NI j E
I F ( I TE~P . ~G. O) SO TO 18&0
I F ( I TQ~S. EQ. 2' Go r o 31 C O
211C l? t'rE (, 10)
e * * * * * ~P RI NT CQRRELATI CN MATRI X * * * * - * * * * ~~
o n 22b" Z=I,1 2
I F {r T~N~. LE. D' W~! TE( b, 21~O' ~OCI )
21 PO F n~~~T C 1 3QH RAw COR~El . TJ nN COEF F t c t ENTS F QR HnNT" , I ] )
I F ( TTRHS. GT. O) WRI TEeb, 2t
Q
O) HO( I )
219C F nR~AT e l 1 4 0 M c nNSI STENT CDR~ELATTON ~AT~I ~ F O~ HONTH, I 3)
~QI T~( , 22CO' ( I STACK) , K: 1, N5TAl
2200 F OQ~AT ( J 3x. 3H5TA, 1817l
wPlTF. (!_ " 2210)
2210 F OH~ATC20Xf 1qH ~I TH CUH~ENT ~ONTH}
2090
E1HIll Ir 6
n n ?220 K=l,~~Ta
2220 ~nl TE( 6, 2230) r ~TA( K) , ' UA( t , ~, L) , ~: 1, NSTA)
2210 I n~~4T ( l X, I 5, l RF?3)
'1t1 1 H (" , a 2 41'1)
2240 ~nA" AT ( 20~' l h~ H! TM PkECEc t NG MONTH 4Y ABOVE STA1I ON)
! TP: : ' J STA+\
nn :?2'30 K=1,I3TA
2250 ~~TTEC~, 2230l 15TA( K) , t RA( I , ~. L) , L: I TP, NSTAX)
22" 0 Cr p: r r ' l UE
I ~( I AHAL. l E. o) G~ TO 31~C
I ~C! TRNS. LE. O' r o e TO l b~n
! F( J PCHS. LE. nl Gr r o ~el 0
e PU~CH E5~ENTIAL ELEHENTS OF HATRI X
Dn ;noo Krq,IJ STA
I F t K. EG. 1) r o o TO a28C
! TP; l ( - l
1)\, ?270 L=l , PP
2270 ~q! T~C7, 7n) I 3TA( Kl , l STA( Ll , ( ~A( I , K, L) , ! =1, l a)
i ?2AC n~ ?2g0 L=NST' 4, ~~T~X
nF~p=LN8P
?2QC ~PI Ter 7, 70) r 8T4( K) , I ! Tj ( I f E~P) , ( RACI , K, L) , I =111a)
;noc Cr 1l'T!Nl,E
G I1 TI'1 2650
el * * * * * QECnNAT! TuTE Mt S! I ~G DATA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
2310 I Fr TAN' L. L~. o) GO TO 31~C
! ~( ! ~c nN. LE. O) r , nTO 2~10
r VAp;:/ltSTA+l
!4: 1
On 2600 J =l , NY~S
Of1 2590 !=ldi!
!~=!..1
I ~( !LT. l ) I I =12
~l=~+1
on 25~O ~=l , NSTA
F( r , ( M, K) . NF. . T) GO TO as eo
e FR'1 cr lf/REL4Tzr " !'ATRIl( FOR EACH MIS5PIG FI.OIoi
Nlt\DI":sO
on 23q() L=1, N5TA
LY. = _ +NSTA
! ~( n( M, L) 4~F. . T) GO TO 2320
r F( n{M. l , L) of ~. T) GO TO 23q~
s : nOP=r J ! ! ' \ DP+l
rrE!lP:IH,., OP
~( ~r Nnp) ~~( ~ l , L)
~r NTNOP, NVAR) = D8LECRACI , X, L~
Gn 'TO 2330
232C ST~OP=N! NOP+l
r TEMP=~' I" OP
x nTN"ph~ (104. L)
~r ~r Hop, ~VA~' : : D?LECR4( I , K, L
233C R( ~! ~DP, NI NDP) : : 1. 000
I ~( L. E~. NSTA) GO r o 2390
Ir l'=1.o H
Dn ~3RO LA: I TP, NSTA
J lI=~..!\+NSTA
I ; ( r J ( I ol , L) .fQ.l'l no TO 2350
l ~Cn( M, L~l . EQ. T) GO r o 23QO
IH"IP=IfEMP+1
i <nI ' i oP, J TE' " ' P) : : D8LEU A( ! , L, LA})
nn TO 2.310
23aC I r ( " r ~. l , LA) . EG. T) GQ Te 2380
I Tf ~~' =! TEt 4p l
NC. I Hor , I TEMp) ~ n~LECRA( t , L, J X)
Gn TO 2310
235C I F( ~( ~. LA) . Ec . T) GD Te 2360
In ~p=ITE:04P+1
R( N! ~np, I TEHPl ~ nFL~( R , I , L, LX
Gn ':'0 2310
2360 I F( ~C~- ' , LA) . E~. Tl r .o Te 2380
nE 'Ip:lTEMP+1
RC~! ~OP. I TE~P) ; nSLECRAC! X, L, Ll ) l
e ADO 3YM~F. TRI CAL ELE~ENT5
1!J 91
tqq2
1993001' 1
1994
1995000
' 996
\991
19q8
1')Q9
~ooo
?oOOl
aooc
2003
2004
2005
20n6
2007
2008
ao o ! J
~(jlO
2011
2012
2013
20114
2015
?Ot &
?017
2018
2019
?020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
202&
2027
('028
2029
2030
2011
2032
2033
20311
20. 35000
2036
2037
2038
203CJ
2040000
201111')00
?- o ~ a
t?01l3
204<4
2045
?c a#)
2017
20413
2009000
2050
2051
2052
20530CO
2054
2055
20S&
2057000
aOS8
2059
2060
l O~1000
20!lZ
~4ac
2'110
e
2420
e
2430
Rr I TEMP, NI NDP) ~RCNI NOP, I TE~P)
CnNTINU!
cnNTINuE
I FCNI NOP. GT. O) GO r o 2QOO
NI NOP l
)e( 1)=0.
P (11) si. 000
I..lt::I(",NSTA
M( l . NVAR) = 08LECQACI , K, LX)
I T: MI ) : NI NOP+1
Dn 2410 L=l . NI NOP
Rr L. ! TEMp) ; ~( L, NVARl
= = = = = = = = = =
CAI .L CROUT (R)
=========~
I TE~'P= NI HOP+l
TEI ~P=l .
HlnC= O
on 2440 L=l , NI NDP
T~P=OABSC~{L, I TEMP)
I F( TMP. GT. 1EHP) SO TO 2430
TFMP=TMP
I TI l : aL
I F( QCL, I TE~P) . LE. C A~O. 3CL) . GT. ( . 1. 5) . AND. 8CL) . LT. O. S) Ge TO 244C
I ~( Q( ~, ! TEMP) . GE. O A~O. a( L) . GT. ( . O. S) . AO. &( L) . LT. l . ~) GC TO a440
1ND1: =1
cnl'iTINuE
l FCTNDC. GT. O) GO TO a~50
I PCOTRHC. LE. l ANO. OTRHC. GE. O. l GO r a aSl O
I F HAT~I X I NCO~31STENT, OM! r VARI ABLE WI TH LEl ST
CO~RELATI O"
I np= NI NOP ..\
I FCI TP. GT. r THP) GO r o 2480
Do 2. 10 L= TP, I TMP
o n 24&0 LA=l , t TEMP
~r L, LA) =RCL~l , LA)
J ((U= ltCL +l)
un 2500 L: l l r T~P
DO 2aQO LA=I i P, NI NOP
2aqc ~~L. LA) =R( L, LA. l )
2500 CONTt NuE
NTNnr =I T11P
lin TO 2420
AOD RANOOM c n~PONENT TO PRESERV~ VARI ANCE
e
2S10
2520
e
2S3C
e
e
e
EltHI B n "
TEI>IP::O.
Di) ~5ao L=1, &
TE~P=TE~P+~hGENCI XXl
TF~~=TE~P~~NGENCI XX)
COHPUTE FLOW
AL=r 1~- OT~MC1* ~. 5
Tf . ~J I J =TE" 1P* At
Dn 2530 L=l , NI ~DP
TF. ~P=TEMP+8( L) * X( L'
1HI<l,l<):TEI1P
(~;l ( l 1, K) =E
Tp=~( " , 1( )
ADO NEw VALUE TO SUMS DF aGUARES ANO eRQS, PRODUCT!
0" 2560 L=l , NSTAX
I FCL. EG. K) GO TO 25&0
s ueSCRI PT~ EYCEEDI NG NST~ R~LATE TO PRECEDI N~ " U~TH
t.:t=I....NgU
I P( L~. LT. l ) TMP=Q( M, L)
I P( LX~GT. O) TMP=QCM~l , LX)
! F ~T~P. EO. T) Gn TO aSbO
CQUHT ~NO Us E O~LY ~ECORnEO PAI R9
NCAACI , K, L) =NCABc r , K, L) +l
$!IM A CI , (. L) =sU~ ACI , K, L )+TI'
SU~BCI , K. L) =~UMB( t , K, L) +T~P
S~A CI , ~, L) =gQA c r , K, L) +YP* TP
S~~ ( I , K. L) : ~~U ( I , K, L) +T~P* TMP
X~ARCI . K, L) =WPAB( 1, K, L) . TP* TMP
1~( L. GT. NST4) GO f O 2540
2063
20/~
2065
206&
2061
2068
206QOOO
2070
2011000
2072
2073
20H
2075
2076
2077
2016
2079
20ElO
2081
2082
20~3
2084
20as
20A&
2087
201113
206'1
20' i O
2091
20'12
2093
20'14
? OqS
209&
20CJ 7
20lia
20' i ' )
2100
21tH
210a
2103
210"
2105
210#:1
2107
210ij
HO'i
2110
2111
2t t 2
2113
2114
2115
211&
2111
2118
211'1
2t20
2121
2122
2123
2124
2125
2126
2\ 21
212a
212q
2130
2131
2132
21:33
2134
NCl R( I , L, K) =NC~BCT, ~, L)
SU~A( t . L, K) =SU~R( I , ~, L)
S 1 1 l o ! 1\ (I,L 1( ) =3 U f" il ( t,lo (, 1.)
3n4 [ I , L, I ( ) =Sn~ ( I , I <, L)
S~~ C! . L, K) =SQA ( ! , K, L)
XPABCI , L, K) =XPA3( I , K, L)
C ~Ec nHPur E COR~EL4T! " N COEFFI CI ENTS TO I NCLUOE NE~ 041.
~540 I ~( N~A8CI , I ( , L) . LE. 2) GQ Te ~560
Tr : . : i 1P=~CA8 el , K, J.)
T~P=( SDACI , K, L) . SU" ~( ! , K, L) . ~! J HACI , I ( , L) / TEHP) * ( 5Q8CI , K. L) - SUMO
l ( ! , K, L) . gUMBCI , K, L) / TEMP)
e ELI ~I ~ATE PATAS wJ T~ ZERO VARI ANCE PROOUCT
I F( TMP. LE. O. ) GO TO 25&0
T,..pn=1.
THPA=XPABC! , K, L) 3UMA( I , I ( , L) * 5UH~C , K, L) / TEHP
e RETAI ~ Al GE8Rl t C SI GN
I Fr T~~A. LT. Q. ) T" ' Pr l = TMP8
THPA=THP~ THPA/ T~P
RAc r , K, L) =THPB. THPA. * . 5
IT~OI
1..4=L
I F( L. LE. N~TA) Gn TO 2550
I TP: : I . .t
I FCI TP. LT. t ) I TP=12
I.\:tx
assc I F( ~CCI , K) . LT QOal . OR. SDCI TP, LA) . LT 00011 RACI , K, L) =O.
I F{L. GT. NSTA) GO TO 2560
A (T,1. ,K ) =~A (I,K , l.)
251 00 cn.;nf,;uE
! THP=NV~s " 12+1
I F( ~. r , E. I THP) GO TO asae
T~~: P=O U~,! (}
pe "<:;;0 L=1,iI5TA
T~r - : : Q1I1. 1, I.l
I F[ TM~. EQ. T) se TO 2510
L~=K' ' NST~
ITP:::I+1
I Fr ! TP. ~T. 12) I TP: i
" ~A~( 1TP, L, LX) =~CA8CI TP, L, LX' +1
:J J I~1A ( 1 rp , L ,lo x) ;: s \J MA eIrP , L, LX' +T '4 Jo '
s lId (!TP ,L. , LX)=3 U ,! El (ITP , L., l ;0 +TP
S~A {I TP, L, LX) =SCA ( I TP, L, LX' +T~P* THP
500 ( ! TP, L. , LX, : SQS ( I TP, L, t X' T~* TP
XPAA{! TP, L, LX) ; : XPA6( I TP, L, LX' +T~~TMP
I ~CHCAB( I TP, L, LX) . LE. 2) GO TM 251n
Tf ~p=HCAeC! Tp, L, LX)
T~P=[ ~QA( ! TP, L, LX) - SU~A( I TF, L, LX) ~SUHA( r TP, L, LX) / TE" P) *
1 (.c; r;" ( j TP , t,L; ' ( ) - ' 3111" ' 3( I T P , L , l X) *5U~R ( IrJo " , L, LX) I T ~M P)
I ~( TMP. I . E. O. ) GQ TO 2570
P'I';;:: t.
T" ' PA: XP' 8( I TP, L, L~) - SLH' ( I TP, L, LX) * , u~a( I TP, L, LX) / TEMP
I r ( T4PA. LT. O. ' T~PA=. TH~8
TMPA=T~~A~TMpA/ TMP
nAC! r p, L, L~) =T~P8~TMPA* 5
I ~( 5n( ! , K) . LT OOC1. 0~. SO( I TP' Ll . L7 00011 RACI Tp, L, LX1=0.
<'51 0 cn~TIto /Uf
2SllC CON'rI"-IuE
25
c
lt: CI'1 'TpIUE
? b OC Ci " I " T! k J UE
2t C ! ~c t l ~AL. LE. O) P.o TO 3100
C~ * * * CONV~~T 3TANCA~D ~EvI ATEs TO FLOH3 * * * * * * *
I F( NPA5~. LE. l ) Gu TD 2&3C
1" MP f) =~l Y qS * 12 +1
01" 1~b 2D I T~P=1, 100
I FCL~TA~. EQ. NQT4P) GO TO ~b 30
;;pl"l(IGT.A?)
? 62C L~TAP=LaTAP l
a~3C ; nHTF. Ck , t O)
l<RlTE lb,26
4
0)
2b 40 FO~H' T{3] H RECC~DED A~O ~Ec nN3TI TUTEO FLOWS>
! ~( ~PA5S. ~T. l ) ~h! TE( h, 2~St ) I P~S~
265C FI " I ~~ATC5H P45S, I ~)
21.35
?136
iH37
2S3e
2139
2140
2141
? t G2
2143
2144
2145
21/16
2 1 1 1 7
2146
" 149
?lS0
2151
?152
2153
2154
2155
2156
21 57
2158
2159
2160
2161
? 16a
2163
21&q
2165
2166
2167
2168
21&9
2170
2171
2172
2173
2174
2115
217&
H77
2178
2179
2180
211:\1
2182
21e3
211311
2185..
218&
21! ! 7
210e
2189
21QO
2191
2192
2 1 q3
2194
21QS
21CJ b
21' H
2198
2199
2200
2201
22t'1 2
2203
2204
2205
2Z0b
'Hl y; S::IIV ~S
t)t) 21110 K=l,1I3T6
I F( K. Gj . ~STX) h~r TE( b, 266C' C M O C I ' / I ~ 1 / 1 a )
FnQ~AT ( / 114 s r A YEAH, 12I ~, ~XI 5~TnTA~1
~=1
r)n ?7bO J =l, 'J Y r<5
1T' : : =0
On ?-720 1=1112
:1="'.1
n""J 2::to (14,)()
T!~P=5)(EWtI,K)
! ~( TMP. NE. O. ) l E~A=( ( T~~. ( TFMP. T" P/ 6. ) / &. +1. ) * * 3 l . ) * a. / T~p
I F( nRt H, X) . ~~. E) ~D re 26
q
n
I F( TEMP. GT. ~ A~D. SO( l , ~) . nT J ) TE4P: : t 2. +CTE~p. a. ) * . 3/ 5a( I , K)
I FCT~~. LT cnOl . DR. T~P. GT 0001) TMp=( ~2. ) / TMP
t F( ~KEw( I , K) l 2~ 7~ ,2bqC ,2~ ~ O
270 !F( TE' , " , p. GT. T'lr) TE~I P=T~P
1;(1 TO 2f ) ~O
26~C I r ( TEf " P .1. T. T'~P) HMP-:TI'li)
26QO r"p:tTEMP*~O (!, K) +AV el, 1< ,
~( ~. K' ~l O. ~. TMP- on( I , K)
! F( ~( M. K) . Lr . OANO. Q~I ~( ! , I <) . Gt . o. ) QC~, K) =O.
,~J .4 ( n:a \lR(M, < )
lT"P::::NS!lM (K, rUA:;S)
I F( r T~p~Le. C) GO TO 2710
TF. " l P: t l .
[ ' ) 11 2700 L=l . n" ' p
L~=t ~T( K. L, I pASS)
2700 r ~MP: TEMF+a{" , LXl
I F( ~C" . Kl . GT. TE~P) GO Te 2710
r,1"i( ):tAOJ
r pC~R( ~. ~) . NE. E) GO Te 27\ 0
IJ "e r i;:: A o J 1
r . CH, Kl =TEM?
2710 r ~( T) =Q~M, K) S
~72C I TP=! TP+I Q{I )
IYF::I'f~A+J
I r ( ~. LE. N~TX) Gn r o 2760
r FC! PCHG. L~. O' Gn TO Z74~
WRTTEt 7, z 730) ! ~TACK) , I YR, ( ! QCI ) l I ~\ , l al
2730 Fn~NAT( 2I 4, 2I b)
~74C WQTTEC&, a1S0] I 3' ACK) , I , Q, C! ~( ! ) , Q~( I ) , I : l , 12) , t TP
2750 F~~MATC1x , r a. ! ~, I ~, Al , 11C! 7, Al ) , I 10l
276C C(1r.:-qNuE
I F{NPAgS. LE. l ) GO TO 2765
~~I TECI ~TAF' I ~r A! K) , ( ~( ~, K) , ~=l , I TMPP)
\r.lrAP=~t:lT4P+l
~7&5 ! FCI QCON. LZ. O) ~o ro cal O
eN * * 1 1 * REcO ~" UTE MF. AN AI \ r . 3TANOAi 10 CEVI ATI ON 11 * 11 11 " " * " .. 11
un 2710 1=1.12
4Ve!,1< ) =0.
SI:F!.(I,K)=C.
21.70 Sfl(L,K)=O.
t
l
=!
;),1 ~7qo J ::l, ~J Y,,3
oc! 27~O %1: I 1. t 2
rl=:~...1
n: ~P:..\ L o(1(r; (H, 1( )+I')(J ( I x ) ):I .1.1311 2 qt 5
4v ( T, K) ~AV( r , K) +TE~P
S~ew( I . ~) =3K~Wc! , K) +TEMP~. 3
27~C 3n[ r , I ( ) : SDCI . K) +TEwP. TE~P
2790 CiHdINuE
[J I) : ? HOO I : : I 1. 12
T1: , P: Av CI . K)
T~p\=socr,l()
T~p~( 3DCI , K) . TEMP* T~" P/ AhV~S] / ( ANVRS 1. )
I F( TMP. LT. O. , TMr =O.
AV( t , I ( ) =TE~PI ' ~VAS
SOCI . K) =TMP* * . 5
TMP: : SKEWCI , K)
SI< F.w{I,lq=o.
I ~C9DCI I K' . LE 0005' GO TO 2300
E"iHIBn 6
2aC1
2200
r:20Q
2210000
2211
2212
221.3
2214
2215
~21b
2217
?21a
i!21< J
i!2?O
2222
?a23
? 224
22?-5
2226
2Z27
2221
2229
22~~2
22: ' 53
22'35
2236
2237
22H
2239
2240
2241
2242
2243
224t1
224:5
22Q6
2201
a248
2W~
2250
2250" 1
11251
2252
22S3
2254
2255
~2S
2257
22'38
2259
2260
2Zbt
22{'2
22Ed
2264
2265
u!.
22f,7
2263
~2q
?270
22'11
;:212
2273
227/ J
221S
227&
2277
5KEW( I , K) =( ANYRS* * a* T~p. ] ANVRS. TEMP* T~P4. a. * TE~p. * J )
1/ r ~~Y~S* CANY~3~1. ) w( . ~YRS. ?) ~ SOCI,K)**3)
2 B OC Cr 1~" ' ! Nl I e :
281C CnQIhluE
LD TA?=~H~TAP
nQ~S=1
I F e I PCQN . . . LE. o)
I F ( NCSTY. GT. ol
e PRI ~T
21j20 \.~'ITEC6,10)
' : : : - TTEC6. c I \ 30)
2a~c F(1IU1AT (/30H J \OJ t'SiEl> Ff<E;UENCV STA TIST!C8)
\, 17TT ; : (, 8 q O) ('loe I " I: l 1, 12 )
n o 2 540 K=NSTx x , ~s r a
HP! TE ( 6, 1010) I STACK) ( Av( I , K) , I =1, 12 )
~PI TE ( 6, 102 0) ( s n CI , K) . I cl , 12 )
~A! TE ( 6, t 030) CSKE~( I , ~) , 1~1, 12 )
~~TTE ( 6, \ 040) ( DO( r ~K) ' ! ~' , l a)
: UjUC cnt.T U1uE
e
r o o TO 2 930
r ,o TO 12 Cl Q
ADJ USTED F HEQuE~CY STATI STI C3
PHI NT CON$I ST~hT c n R~ELATI n N MATRI X
t 7I HJ S=l
nn TO 2170
2 A~O t F C! P. CHS. LE. O) GO TO 2~70
C PUNc H F Pe CUENCV STATI STI CS
0" 2 860 ~=~STi X, N~T4
WOr TEr 7, 80) I ~TA( K) , ( AV( I , K" t ~l . 12 )
~Rt TEC1. aO) I 5TA( K) , CSC( J , ~) , r =1, 12 )
WP! TE( 1, 8n ) I ST~( K) . CSKE~( ! . K) , I ; 1, 12 )
ti il !TE (7 , q O) 1: S T A eK) , en Q (!,K ) , I = 1 , 12)
2Me r: nto.TIN uE
e COMPUTE CQNSI NATI ON F LOWS
e
2 a7C l F ( NC~MR. Le . n ' GO TO aq l D
n,~p= 12*N 'fRS",1
D~ ?qo o M=2 , r P
J O 2 AQO KX=l , HCOHR
i<;;<~HJ 3TA
I TP=NSTAC( KX, I PASS)
n (~, 10=0.
D" ?MO L=l , I T?
I T! ~P=~STACCYY, L. I PASS)
2 88e Q( ~, K) =gc ~, K) ~G( HI I TE~P) * C~TAC( XX, L, I PASS)
28QO cr p~TINuE
29CC Cn : ~l ' I NuE
e
en ~ * * * MAl< A~O HI N RECC~STI TUTEO F LOWS ~ * * * * *
2!J 1C ~)= O
IrPN S= l
! F CMXRCS. LEQOl GO r o aq!o
I Ti ' n ' =NyRS
2920 ! F ( ! T~~. LE. O) GO TO aq 3e
~~: : "''''l
"i.J ="lll'~Cg
1T""p=1Tfo IP-Ml(QCS
I ~( ! THP. GE. O) GO TO 373C
I TI <P: : Mx q CS+I TMF
N.r =nMp
1'I'IH'= O
(in Tf1 3730
2Q!C t F ( I GNRL. NE. 2 1GO Tn 302C
e * . ~ * COMPUTE GENE~ALI ZEO STATI STI C5* * * * * * * * *
;.IIHTE Cbd 3D)
un 3000 K=l , ~STA
e AVERAGE c n R~E~ATI CN CQEF F I CI ENT
DO ?QSo L=l , K
Vt=L+I-:STA
r,lV(i<,L}: : aO.
DI"I ?<lIO I: : Il,12
T" P=I HCl , K, L)
! F ( L. GE. ~}TMF =~AC! , K, LX)
2q D O R~V( K, L' =RAV( K, ~) +THP
~AV( K, L) aRAVCK, ~) / 12 .
?2'11J
t'21'i
2 2 80
2a~1
l as a
2 2 83
2 2 . 1311
*
2 2 ~5
2 2 8&
2287
2 2 88
22eq
2 2 90
2 2 91
2 2 Qc
2 2 H
2 2 44
2 2 45
2 2 96
2 2 97
2 2 98
2 2 99
2300
2 301
230a
2303
2 304
2 305
2 306
2 307
2 308
2 309
2 310
2311
2 312
2 313
2 314
2 316
2 317
2 32 0
2 32 1
2 32 2
2 32 3
23211
2 32 5
2 32 &
?32 7
2 32 6
2: : 329
2330
2 331
2 332
2 333
23311
; 0335
2 33&
2 337
2 B a
2 339
2.340
23111
2 342
2 343
23411
23115
234b
2 . 347
2.3118
23.119
ElCHtBIT &
~P! TEC6. 10) I 5TA( K) , I STACL) , RAVCK, L)
2 9 50 COI I : TI NUF . .
e Av ERAGE LOGS F OR ~ET ANO ORY SEASnNS
AV~XCK) ~AV( 11, ~) +AVC12 , ~) +AV( 1, K)
t Ml t ( K) . l
AVI <hl( I C) UV( ' l l CC l<)
I"'~(K)1I1
l HP=AV( 1~, K) +~~( 1, K) +AVC2 , K)
I F CAVHl C( K) . G. TMP) GO TO aQ60
Av ~HK) : l TMP
I MXCK) =2
Gn TO aQ70
?'1)6C AYMN( i <) : : TMP
I14N(J ():a2
e ANO AVEHAGE STA~DARD CEVI ATI C~
~q10 s nAV( K) =SD( 1, K) +SnC2 , K)
Dn 29QO I =3t 1?
S~AVCK) =SDAV( l <) +SOCI , K)
TMF : AY( I _ 2 , K) +AV( I - l , K) +AV( I , I <)
! ~CAV~X( K) . r . . TMp) GO TO aq~O
AYI I CX( K) J l TMP
I HX( K) : s I
2 9 80 I F ( AV~N( ~) . LE. TMP) GO To aqqQ
AYMN CK) : : Tt ~P
1111\ (I<)d
i ! C; <l 0Cr . : l ~TI NUE
AVMXCK) =~V~l CCK) / 3.
aY~~CJ ( ) =AVMNCK) / 3.
SnAVCK) =SDAV( K) / 12 .
30CC Cor - TI NU
rH~HEU" 140)
no 3010 K=1, NSTA
I TP=I MXCi <)
IT"-P=!MN(K)
J Ol e ~PI TE( 6, 1~0' ! STA( K) , AY~l t ( K) , l VHNCK) , SOAV( K) , MO( I TP) , HO( I T~P)
e ~ * * * * * APPLY GENERALI 2 EO STATI 5TI CS* * ~* * A * * * * A * * * *
302 C I F ( t GNRL. l E. ol GO TO 310n
DO 30S0 K=1. N5TA
K)(;l<+NSTA
I NTE~McOI ATE HOhTHS
MMX~N=I HN( K) - I MX( K) 3
I ~CN~~~N. LT. O) NMX~NKN~X~N+12
~HU'MlC =b"H"i)(MS
00 3" 40) 1=1, 12
STA~OARO OEV! ATI ON UNI F ORM, SKEW ZERC
.3KEWC I,I()=O.
i)('J el ,I(l=a.
s nCI , K) =SOAVCI ( )
on 3030 L=l , NSTA
ZE~O COREL1TI CN " I T~ OTHER STATI ONS ANO ~QECEnI ~G MONT~
LY: : L+NSTA
Rt . ( l , K, LX) ; t O.
I F ( L. Ge~K) GO TO 3030
UNI F ~~~ SERI AL CORREL I NTERMEDI ATE MCNTHS ANO ! N1ER- STA
RACI , K, L) =AAVCK, L)
~ACT, L, K) ~P. ACI , K, L)
3n3e cnNTI Nu E
RAC! , K, I ( X' =~AV( I ( , K)
RAcr , I <, I ( ) =l .
30aC C O~TINuE
e
e
e
e
e
MEA~J ANO SERI AL
TMP=RA~CK, K) 15
TEMP: TI 4P' ; ' . 3
! F ( TMP. GT 9 ~' T~p=. qa
I F ( TEMP. LT. O) TE~P~O.
I TP: r l o4XC! ( )
Av ( r TPt Kl =AV" X( ~) . l
NJ ( I TP, k, KX) =TEHP
ITtla!M)C CK)-1
I F CI TP. LT. 1) I TP: 12
AVCt TP, K) : AVHX( K) +. 2
RA( t TP, K, KX1=TE~P
e:lC~raIT &
2 3~O
2351
2 352
?3'3l
23'34
2 355
2 35&
2 3~7
,:I35a
2 3t ; 9
2 3&0
2:S~1
23a
233
2J 6q
2 3&5
2 3&&
23tl1
2 3E1a
2 369
2370
2371
2 372
? 313
2 374
~315
231fl
2311
2 378
2 379
231!O
2 31' 1
?3~2
2 383
2 384
23115
2 3a&
aJ 87
?Hd
2 389
2 39 0
2 l C) 1
239a
23B
2 39 4
2395
?H
iBH
2 3C) 8
23C J '}
2 400
2C101
2 402
2 103
2 404
? 40S
21.106
? 407
2 408
2 409
21110
2 4t 1
24\2
241.3
24\4
2415
2 C1t b
2 417
241<3
r!419
2420
24H
!TP= 11-4> : (1<).2
I ~( TTP. Lr . l ) ! TP=I TP+~2
AV( TTP. K) =AV~X( K) l
W4C! TP, K, ~X}~TEMP
! TP: : I MN( I <)
AVC! TP. I <) =AV~N( K)
RACI TP, K, KX, =THP
I TP=I t - I N( I " ) - \
! P( TTP. LT. l ) t TP: 12
AVCf TP, I O=AV' I N( K)
I HCTTP, I ( , I <X) : : TMP
J ip=If04N(!() ..a
FCr TP. LT. l ) ! TP=I TP+12
AVCt TP, I <) =AVM~CK)
R~( I TP, K, Kx) : T~~
e HEA~S FCR MQ~THS ~OLLOWI NG WET 3EA50N
I F( N~XMH. l T. l ) Gn TO J ObO
ITP: : : I~lCCI()
Ti - ' I I P: NHl t t - ' N+l
TE~P=CAVH~( I ( ) . ! _ AVMN( K) ) / TEMP
00 3050 I X=l , NMXMN
THP=n
I =I HX CK) . I X
I F( ! . GT. 12) I =I - 12
! OSO AV( I , K) =AVCI TP, K) . TEMP* TMP
e MEA4S FOA MOhT~5 FCLLQWI NG O~, SEASON
1060 ! P( NHNMX. LT. l ) GO r o 30QO
1T p: : : 1M 11 el<)
TF. ~p=~mN~ l(+1
TE" P=CAV~X( K) . 1- AVMNCK) l / TE~P
DO 3070 I l t : : : l , NMN~X
T M p=!)(
I =I HN( K) . . . I ~
I F( I . GT. 12) I : I - 12
~o70 AV( I . K) =AVCI TP, K) +TEMP* TMP
.308C CflNT INllE
30QC !M': !)L=O
I!?C!lN=O
Gf ' ! TO 1730
3100 ! FCNV~G. LE. 0. AND. NPRQJ . LE. O. ANO. NPA3S. LE. l ) GO r n 150
CP ~ * * * * FLOH GENEq~TI O~ EQUATI ONS * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
! >; ! \ i DP=NSTA
.J V A , P :: 1> : S T .A +1
Do 3200 !=1J12
IP: : r-l
!F' ( I 1\ 1. LT. l l I P: 12
()n 31 q(l 1<=1, ~S T A
On 3\00 L=1, ;15T A
e CORr l ~LATI ON5 I~ CU~RENT ~ONr H
I F r L. r . E. K) GO TO 3120
R( L, NVAR) = DALECRA( I , K, L)
no 3110 LA~L, N5TA
l.lt'=U +~IS T A
IF' t LA. LT. Kl ~( L, LAl : : OSLE( RACI , L, LA )
I F ( LA. GE. K) ~( L, LA) ::1 O~LE( ~A( I , L, LX )
3110 ~r L~, Ll =~CL, LA)
GO TO 31aO
e cnRRELATI ONS WI T~ PPECEDI NG ~ONTH
31~C L. ~: L+N3TA
RCL. NVAq) : : DRLECRACI , K, LX
Dn 3130 LA: L, NSTA
~r L, LA) : : DBLECRbCI P, L, LA)
3130 ~( LA, L) =~CL. LA)
J l 11C CnWl ' I NUE
e =: =====: ==
C~LL C~Ol l T( R)
e ==: : ==: : : ===
0[' 3150 L=1, ~J 5T A
~150 ~ET~( I , K, L) =~( L)
I F! DT~~C. LE. l . } GO TO 3170
w~r TECb, 3160' I t K, DTR~C
l i be FORPAT ( 3UH I NCONSI STENT CD~REL HATRI X FO~ 1=, 13, 4" ~~, 12,
2422
242!
21124
? G25
2426
2427
? 1l 2e
2429
24!Q
2431
243l
2433
2434
2435
243&
21137
? 438
2i 39
211110
2441
2442
2443
24G4
2445
244b
24117
2448
? 449
24S0
2&51
2452
2453
2454
2aSS
2456
2457
2458
2459
24&0
2461 *
21.162
2463
2464
2a65
2466
24&7
246S
2469
2470
2i 171
2472( \ 00
2/473
21HII
2415000
2416000
2477
2478
2479
211BO
2a91000
2482
2483000
2IUH~
2118S
2486
2487
2488
2489
2490
24
1
H
2492
24Q3000
EXHI!HT &
l ~H Dr RHs~, Fb~3)
I 'rlN$:;2
(in ro 1130
J l 10 I F( DTRHC. RE. O. ' ~o TO 3180
~RI TE( ~! 10l ! t K~DTRHC
' r f l ' l C=O.
31~O ' LCFTr I , K) =( l , DTRMC) t ~. 9
:J I QC CDNT!NUE
:~20C crHrrINUE
e ~ ~ * ~ * * GENE~Ar E FLO~5 * * * * * t* * * * * * * t * * ~*
! F( HPASS. LE, l ) SO ro 3a a o
321e I F( L5TAT. E~. NSTAT' GO TO 3220
~r : ADCI sr AT)
L9TAT=LSTAT+l
G!1 'T r:l 3210
J 220 w~! TeCI 3TAT) " 9T~X, NSTA, ( ! RTACK) , K=I , NSTA)
~, 3T. \ T=HS" , AT+l
Lc;pr=NST AT
t111 3230 1<=1, N: l T4
~~I T~( I STAT) I STACK) , CAV( I , M' , 3n( I , K) , SK~W( I , K) , DQ( ! , K) ,
1 C~ETACI , K, L) , Lml , NSTA) , ALCFTCI I K) , I =l , l a)
32] 0 NSTAT: " 5TAT+l
L.:lT AT ::INST AT
! F( I PA3S. LT. NPA3S) GO Tn 200
321.10 ,Jh=1
1:I ASS:l
1'11:0
116.;;:0
I F ( NPROJ . LE. O) GO TO ] 310
C~ * * * * * pqnJ ECTED FLeN ~EaU~NCES * * ~* * * * * * * * * * * * *
3aSe J A=I VRPJ t VRA
'1 Y:L 'f~PJ .. n~A
tn~p;:~
I TP: MTHPJ ! MNT~ l
I F( I TP. NE~O) GO TO 3abO
I Tl"P;12
3?6C I F ( I TP~l . T. l ) I T?=r TPt l 2
~A=CJ A. l ) ~\ 2. 1TP. l . I THP
cn la QO K=l l HSTA
I F CSnC! T~, K) . E~. a c~. ~~. Er . . l ) SM r o 32~O
TF~P=ALnGCOC~A, K) . OACI TP, Kl l * . 43~a945
np~EvCK) =CT~~P. AVCI TP, K) l / SD( I TP, K)
! F ( SKEW! I TF, K) . Ea. o. ) G~ TO 3a
Q
O
TE~P=. 5. 5KEWCI TP, K) . QP~EvCK) . 1.
THP=l .
TF CTc~Q. GE. O. ) GO TO 3~7~
r E~p: : r - TEl 1p)
Tf'P:( ..1''1P)
321C ~PNEVCK, =~ cT~ P. TEMP. * ( 1. / 3. ) . 1. ) / SKE~CI TP, K) . SKEw( r TP, K) / b.
Gn TO 32QO
'32a e iJ P " Ev e K ) :: o
32<; C CI J ~Tt NUI !
J : ( : : ! VRpJ . l
N : : SEqUENCE ~c. , H : MGNT~ NO J X : YEA~ N e .
e
330C N=" +l
(i{'1 T Q 3330
STAR " ' I TH
O" 3320 K=l , K3TJ \
!)p:Ev (1<)::0.
GENEfHT E 2
' f EA~5 FO~ C! SCARDI NG
ZER C OEVyATI CN AT AL~ STATI ONd
e
331C
132C
e
Nl =2
J'i:a
] ] 30 I F( NPAS~. LE. l ) GO TO 3UCC
I FCI PASS. GT. l ' GQ TO 13~O
KF" YI'r, !ST AT
~':'lT AP=O
! STAI ' =O
3] 40 R~wI NO I QTAP
Lr l TA =O
~EAn( I STAT) N~TXX, ~ST. , ( I ST. ( K) , K~1, N3TA)
N~T' i : : NST) ! l ( . . l
I ~C~STXoLE. O, GO TO 3380
EXHI BI T b
~4' ; 4000
2qq5
~t.q&
?,4Q7
al'J8
?4QQ
2S00
2501
2sna
25113
2504
2505
250&
2507
2508
2509
2StO
25\1
251a
2513
25111
251S
2S1
2511
2518
2StCJ
257. 0
<'521
?522
2523
?5211
2525
2521>
2527
2523
2529
25.31
253?
2533
25311
2535
253
25: n
2538
i ! 539
25110
25111
2Slla
251J 3
2544
2545
2SG6
25a1
251J /3
2Sllli
2'550
~551
2S52
2553
?SSII
'-:'55
25~b
?SS7
2558
25' H
25f>O
2S~1
25&2
2563
25&4
~S[05
2S!s6
ITP,u.J J 1I12+ 1
an J .370 1(::1, NSjX
r ~( I P. SS. LE. l ) GO TO 33~O
13~C QFAncr nTAP) I TE~P, CO( ~, K) , ~=2, I TPl
1.r ~TAP=LQT" P +1
! FC! TF- H~. ~E. I STA( K GU TM 3350
33~C ~r AD( I STA' ) I P, ( AVC! , K) . 3n( I . ~l , SKEwCl , K) , OU( I , K) , C8ETACI , K, ~) , ~ t
' , ~S' A, . ALCFT( I , K) , I =1, 12)
'331C C"~TINUE
338r , ~n 13Qo ~=NqTXXf NST
I STAP: I STAP+l
! FCN. GT. O) ~PPEV( K) =Q9TAPCI 8TAP)
33QO REAneI STAT) I P, ( AV( r , K) , s r ) CI , K) , SKEWCI , K' , OQCI , K) , CAETACI , K, Ll , L=t
1, ~5T4l , ALCFT( T, K) , I =1, 1? ]
c~ 11 * * 11 11 * GE~E~ATE COR~ELATED STANDARD OEVI ATE 11 11 11 11 11 11 * 11 *
~QnC I F( I PASS. EQ. l ' J XTHP=J X
NI ' : r : ~1H=I , COHf l (PASS) ..
NT~nM=~TNOM( I PASS)
or, 3420 K=1, ?IST A
Dfl 3tJ l0 I=1, 12
AIIGCI,K)=O~
s r ) v cr , I <) =O.
~/llO cnNf!NUE
3/~2C Cnt,TINuE
I FCN. LE. Ol Gn TO 3440
..~tTEC6r10)
l j P. I TE (&,3430) N
3430 F" " " AT ( 27H aENERATED FLCWS FOQ PE~! OD, t 3)
I ~( NP6SS. GT. l ) WHI TE( 6, 2&50) PASS
34QC r,n 3510 J =J A, NJ
:1=121I'(J .. 1) +1
[1(1 : : ; ' 5001=1, 12
~::1-J Y l
I ~( NSTX. LE. O) GD TO 346Q
("le; 3450 K=l , NSTX
3450 aPAEV( K' =P( H. ~)
3460 I F ~H: Le~Hh) GO TD 3500
DO J Qqo K=NSTXX, HSTA
e RANDOM COHPO~E~T
H:l'P:O.
ni"! - ~! l 70L:Q,6
Tf wP=TEMP. RN~EN( I XX)
3470 TF~P=Tg~P ANGENC! XX)
TE~P=TEMP* Al CFTCI , K)
On : : s a R O L=l , ~ STA
3aAO TF~P=TE~P. BETAcr , K, L) . QP~EVCL)
~v Gr I , K, =AVG( I , K}+TEMP
Snv ( ! , K) =SDV( I , K) +TEMP* T MP
r;rl-', lO =TEHP
::p~E'" CK1: TEHP
31l ' l CC; ~qt Nl I E
3'inC cr~TrNuE
3:'! e CM,THJ uE
I F( NPaSS. LE. l ) GO TO 3550
352C I F( L~TA~. Ec. ~aTAp) GO Te 3530
~:EH'I (!QTAP)
1.'lT J p: unAp+1
Gi l Tn 3520
3530 ! TP=) J . J * 1 ~. l
l ~TAP: I ~TAP- ~Sl " STX
en ~540 K=N3TXX, ~ST4
WA! TE{I QTAP) I ~TA( K) , ( G( ~, K) , M=2, I TPl
. \ i ; " ) T" P: UQT4P+l
pUp: r s TAp+1
I r CI STAP. GT. KSTAP) G~ TO 'bO
3Sar, n~TAP( I STAp) =~( I TPr ~)
355C A~L" G=NJ . J A. l
D" 3&70 K=NST~X, NSTA
I F( ~J ~J XT~P. ~T. O) W~I T~( 6, 2b60) ( MOCI ) , r ; t , 12)
D!1 ::t56n 1=1>12
Av Gr I , K) : Av GCI , K) / ANLCG
5nYr I , K' =( CSDV( I , ~) AVGC1, ~' * 211A~LOG" ' NLCG) . * . '
25&7
e!i6B
25119
! ~70
2!:i71
" 572
2573
2514
257S
?51
? 511
2578
2S79
2580
25111
asaa
2583
2SA4
25lJ 5
~5a&
2547
2588
2589
2590
2591
25Q2000
2593
!S94
25q5
2SQ&
~5q7
2598
2599
2bO !)
' - &( \ 1
2602
a~03
2604
abaS
26C&
2&07
2MB
2&09
2bl O
2&11
2l 2
2&13
2&14
2&15
2&16
2&17
2&H!
2619
2&20
2621
2&22
2623
2&24
2625
2&2&
2627
2628
2629
2630
2611
2~3c *
2633 *
2&311
2635
2&3&
lS6ll C(lNTINU!
J ':t=J lt't)'l:l
00 ~660 J : ! J A. NJ
J I I =. J X+l
M=12* J . .l 1
1F r J x. L E. Ol c a TO 3&&0
I'TP:oO
D O ~b90 1=1112
:111/'1+1
I F ( M. L E. MAl GC TO 3&40
e T~ANSFORM TO L CG PEA~50~ " PE 111 VARl ATE ( FL OW)
TMP=SI <Ewc t , l ( )
I F( ANL oG. GT. l q 4ND. SOVCI , ~) . GT O. )
3 QC" , K) : CO( " , K) AVGCt , K/ ~OVCI , K)
I F CT~P. E~. O. ) GO TO 36Ct
2~! 8
2bLlO
2&41
?"UZ
2&43
abllq
26115
2ll
2647
~&Q8
2601}
2650
2651
W ITH OR E w 2652 t
2653
2654
2SS
?bS&
a~51
2658
2S9
2&60
2661
2b62
2663
2666
26&7
2661}
2670
2&11
2~7i!
2b73
?674
Io!ITIo!ORE\li 2675
'"
?b7&
2&71
2671l
2&71
2680
26111
2&82
abA3
2bt!/~
2685
2t,86
2&87
2&116
2&~q
2&C :;1
lC:;2
e
THP=C( TMP* CQC" , K) . TMP/ b. ) / &. +1. , * . 3 .1.)*2,/T~P
TF. ~P=( . ?. ) / SKEWCI , ~)
I ~( SKEW~I , K) , 3S50, 360D, J 5QO
35RO I FCTHP. GT. TEH~) T, P=TE~P
!jO TO 3610
3SQC ! ~( T~p. L T. TE~P) TMPaTe~p
r;o TO 3610
3bl ' l C T" 4P=G( M, Kl
3610 I FCT~P. GT. 2 ANO. SDCI , ~) . GT 3) T~P~2 ( T~P 2. ) * . J / SOCI , K)
TM?=TMP* SOCI . K) +4VCI , ~)
g( ~. K) =10. * * TMP DQ( I l k)
! T~P=NSU~( K, t PASS)
! F( I TMP. L E. O) GO TO 3630
TEI ' P=C.
011 3b20 L =l , I TMP
L Y=I ST( K. ~, I pASS)
320 T~MP=TE~P+QCM, L ~)
! F( ~CM, K) . l T. TEMP) ~( ~, K) =TE~P
3630 I FCOC~, Kl . L T. O ANO. Q~I ~CI , K) . GE. O. ) QC~, K) ~O.
36~O ! n( r ) aQ( ~, K)S
! TPl Zt TP+I Cl CI )
3650 CONTI NI J E
e
IrH t31:H TP
WRI TE ( 6, 100) I STA( K) , J ~, ( I r . ( I ) , I =1, 13)
l F{! PCH~. L E2ol GO TO 3660
w~I TEC7. 2730) I STA( K) , J X, CYQ( I ) , =l , l a)
3660 C r'!NTlNUE
3(,70 C r1l'TINtJ E
I F( NCr . ~~. L E. O) ~o ro 3720
Do 3710 J : : r J ~, NJ
!~=li?*J ..ll
f.ln ~700 X=1012
11:1"'+1
e eO"'PIITI! COME Uto;nlnN FI.0109
0" 3~~O K~~\ , NCO~8
K: l <l I +i ' J STA
I TP: NST4C( KX, l PA3S)
rH M.K):O.
01' 11680 L =l , yTP
I TEMP~K1TAC( K~. L f I PA3S)
~68C Qt H. K, UG( M, ~) ~QC~#I TE~?) . CaT' C( KX, L , I ?4S8'
3b9C Cn~TI NUe 2&q5
3700 Cn~TI ~U! 2Qb
3710 C" ~Tt NU~ 2&q7
3120 l F{N. L T. NPR~J ' G~ TO 32!0 26qa
I FCNVMXG. L F. . O' GO TO 3~~C 2bqq
es * * ~* * ~l X ANO ~l N GE~ERATEO FL Ow8 * t * t * * * * * t * t 2700
I ~CJ X. L E. 01Gn 10 3870 270\
e 5i <I P MAX" ' I N I F RE, " Ar " ' I NG ' r EU3 I ~SUFFI CI ENT 270c
I FCJ X. GT. O. AND. NJ . ~T. ~Y~~G) GO TO 150 2703
l TRNS=O 270Q
~730 I TP=NSTA. ~COMg 2705
DO 3800 K=Ns r t x, t TP 210&
e MA~ CAL E~OAR Me 1- 12, MA~ MO 13, b MO 14, 54- HO l ~ 2707
00 3740 r =1, 15 2703
E 'ltH I8n (1
37~C
e
S~'O(I IK' : : - T
HIN CALENi)AR nc H-27, t1IN MQ 2ii, (,"'0 ;!'1, 50.140 se
nn 3750 r =16, 3a
S"OCJ ,K'=T
TM?
3750
e
:!71.>1J
3'770
.3780
J 7C J C
e
TE~Cllln
PIP:O.
AVGf J ( l ( ) =O.
~p:a
rl:1
! F( ! TQNS. GT. Ol M=C~. 1) ~MXRCS* l a. l
un 37<;0 J =l, IJ J
nn 37l!O I =1r 12
I t =t +15
1' 1=" ' +1
THPA: Q Ct~,K)
~VG~( K) =AVGQCK) +TMPA
t~r:=NQ +1
I FCTMP~. GT. SMaCI , K) ' SMQr I , ~) =THPA
I F( T~P4. LT. g" q( I X, K" SM~( ! ~, Kl : T~PA
I F( T~PA. GT. SHn( 13, K) 5" r : ( 13, K) ; THPA
I F( T~PI . LT. 3MQ( aS, K) l S~Q( 2B, K) =T" PA
Tl 4P=Tl oI P+TMPA
H~P: : TEMP+TMf ) A
I F( ~. LT. S' GO TO 37bO
THP: T~P DC" - 6, K)
! FCTMP. GT. S~Q( 14, K) ) SMOC1~, Kl =TMP
I F( TMP. LT. 3MUC29, KSMC( 29, K) =THP
I FC~. LT. 56) r , O TO 3770
T~~P=TEMP Cc ~ s a, K)
I F( TEMP. GT. SMA( 15, K) ) SH~( I S, K) =TEMP
I F( TE~P. LT. S~Q( 30, K) ) S~G( 30, K) =TEMP
Gn '1'0 .3780
SWH14, K' =TMP
510411e t 5,1<) =TEiIP
C rlN'TINUE
rr:~P=Ntl
AVGa( K) =AVG~CK) / TEHP
3800 r:rlNTINuE
''P IrE (6, 10)
l F( I TRN~. GT. D) W~I TE( b, 3el C) N, NJ
] AI 0 FnAMAT ( / 21H MAXI MUM vaLU~Es FOR pe~! CD, I 3, 3H OF, 14,
t q2H V~ARS nF REc aRDEn A~n ~ECO~STI TUT~D FLOWS)
r r c r TQN3. LE. O] WQI TE( b, 3820) N, NJ
38~C Fn~HAT (121H MAXI MU~ VOLUMES FOR PERI OO, ! 3, 3H OF, 14,
125M yE4RS OF SY~THETI C FLr ~s )
~OI TE( ~, BI 0) ( HQ( I ) , t ~, , 12)
.t r:::NSTA + N C (1r1i
Dr ] ~4n K=N9TXX, I TP
TEf l ~: ; AVG" CI ( ) +. 5
Cn 3B30 1=1, 15
] B3C I ~r T) =s HA( I , K) 5
~nI TF. Cb, 840) I ST~( K) , ( 1Qr I ) , t =1t 15) , I TEMP
3&40 C( 1\ ; r I NuE
w~! r c r b, 850)
wP! ; E( &, Al 0) C~a( I ) , I =1, 12)
Dn 3B~0 K=NSTX~, I TP
on 3RSO 1=1, 15
3850 I ~( ! ) =SM~CI +15, K) +. 5
WAI TF. C6, ~40) I STA( I ( ) , CI UCI ) , r : 1, 15)
3aFoo C C ''-1'INuE
e
387e
TRANSFEA ~~CK TO RECO~STr TUTEO FLOWS
I Fer TQNS. GT. O) Ga TO a9z e
~u= N"~XG
Gn r o 3"QO
I-'J :: i(y~
! F( ~P. SS. LE. l ) GO TO ! qOO
qH~S=! P1S~+\
F( N. E~. O. A~n. I PAS5. LE. ~PAS3l s o TO 3310
I r ( r p~s s . LE. ~PASS) GO Te 3340
2709
2710
2711
2712
271J
2'711'
2115
2716
2117
27ta
2719
2720
2721
ana
2723
2724
27?S
272&
2727
2728
2729
2730
273t
a73a
273.3
2734
2735
;!73&
2737
2738
?739
2140
2141
~742
2743
2744
27115
?74
?747
?748
2749
2750
27!51
?752000
2753000
iHS4
2755000
2756000
2157
:HS8
~759
2760
2761
2762
27&3
271,4
27&5
276&
27&7
;::7&8
2' 7" 9
2770
2711
2772
2773
2774
2775
2716
2777
2778
2779
2780
EXHliUT 6
I~\S3J 1t
e SQ r O NEw J OB
3~~C I ~( NY~G3LE. O) GO l Q 150
I~ CNJ .I;T . ~ y~ ; )-;,I=N"fRG
t<YRt;:NyRG"NJ
G('I' TO :5300
END
SIIB:OlJ rr~r.: CRouTCIH)
DTMF. NSI Os 8( 1~}, ~( 10, 11' , RX( 10, 11)
nnU8LE P~ECI 3I CN ~, B, RX
c n~MaN OTRMC. NI NOP, B
l , i v AR: NI Nnp . . l
DI " ! t!o J : l , NI NOp
r;(J ,:lO.
1) 1110 l <=l , NV~q
l e R( J . K) =~XCJ , K)
ac cn"'TINuE
I ~( ~I NOP. GT. l 1GO r o 30
~(1)=~Cl,2)Jq(1,1)
Ol'I<MC=~Ct)*:Cl)
Qe:TURIoI
C t * OE~I VED MATRI X * * * * * * * ~ * * * * * * * * *
3C 00 AO 1<~2, NVAR
ar ~t1.K)=~Cl,K)/A(1,1)
Dn 80 K=2, ~J !;~ljp
I'rP=I<l
DO &0 J=!(, . I t J OP
oo SO l=Q, Ifp
I.=Kr
se a( J . K, =QCJ , K) . A( J , L) * ~CL, K)
I ~( J . EQ. K' GQ TO 60
R( K, J ' =~CJ . K) / RC~, ~'
~C c nNTI ! ' I u E
(lO 70 1=1, ITi='
L:;!(I
7e ~( K. NVA~) =~{K, NVAR) . RCL, NVAR) * R( K, ~)
r ~M~=DAB8t wCX, K
r . c T. HP~GT o 00001) GO TO 80
f) i'R!~C=1.5
~nUI<N
~c R\ K. NV4R) : R{K, ~VA~) / RCK, K)
e ~ * ~ * * * BACK SOLUTI O~ * ~* ~* * * * * * * * * * * * ~ * * *
~( hr Na~) =R( ~I NDP, NVA~)
00 100 I ~2, NI ~OP
J ::;Nv,A~ .. I
I't:I~l
;\ U1=1t (J . HvAr.)
DI ' 9 0 1. =1, 1: ; (
K:J +l
9 0 ~r J l =aCJ ) ~( K) * RCJ , K)
11) C Cr . ~TI NUE
[)'Rl-IC=O.
o n t l O J ; l , Nt ~QP
lt~ DTq" C: QT~Mc +a( J l * qX( J I N' AR)
r'F .TUQN
ENO
F I'~;CTtON Rt-,Gt:IoJ (I'l!)
e l A~DO~ NUH5E~ SUaaUUTI ME F~R 4 BI NARY HACHI NE
e (j;:,,::~ArEs iIN!F Cf~1'i QlNOOl< I\l'M;ERS !~n.E; lloIT't::RV A L. o TI) 1
e ~E~ER~L US4GE 15 I S FCLLOW3
e . : : ~~r . F. N( I X)
e I X SHr ULO ~E t ~I T! ALI ZEn r o ZE~O I N r~E P~OG~AM
e I AAG CAN ~E 4~Y LA~GE, COD ! NTEGEq
e c nh9 TA~T3 MUST BE C04PUTEO 8v FOLLC~I NG EQu
l
TI Q
N
8
e ~ * * ! COH1=C2* * ( ( ~i l ) / 2) }. 3 * * * *
e * * * * I CON2: ( 2* * B) 1 * * * *
e * * * * FCo ~3=1. / C2. * . A) * * ~ *
e k HERE &:1 Nu ~nEN QF BI Ta l ~ T~E I NTEGER wOqo
e
DAi A !A~G/75932\1
I F( I ARG~EQ. I ~l GO TO 10
n=IA ~G
E!tH!5!T &
2781
2782
?HJ
.?784
>-785
278&
HaT
! 001
1M?
1003
lOOO:
100S
1006
101'7
1008
lOOCJ
1010
1011
1012
1o 13
1014
1015
1016
1017
1018
1019
1020
1021
, o 22
1023
1024
1025
102! J
1027
1028
10aQ
1030
1031
10J a
1033
103~
1035
1036
1037
10J a
103<3
1040
1041
loaz
10' 13
104i4
1045
10tl
1047
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1001
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1004
l OaS
1006
1007
100. 6
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1010
1011
1012
101.3
1014
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101&
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le I I '::TVI <!CCNl
I CD~?~2Rl a14Ql b710b55
! F( I Y. LT. O) ! V=I Y+I c o~a. l
r'Nt;EI J :lv
FCQN3=. 3552713618E- t 4
R~GFN: nNGEN* FCCNJ
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END
1017
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1020
1021
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1023
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EXkt8IT (,
CA RD VA RIA BLE
A
B
l . IY RA
2. IMNTH
3. IA NA r.
4. MXRCS
5. NY RG
6. NY MXG
7. NP AS S
8. IPCHQ
9. IPCHS
10. N5'l'A
C
1.. NCOMB
2. NTNDM
3. NCSTY
EXHIBIT 7
INPUTDA TA723-X6-L2540
COMME NTS
Three title cards, first must haveA in columnl.
First specification cardo
- Earliest year or record at any station.
- Calendar monthnumber of first monthof water year.
- Indicator, positive value calls for statistical
ana1ysis routines.
Number of years in each :period of recorded andre-
constituted flows for whichmaximumandminimumvalues
are to be obtained, dimensioned for 100.
- Total number of years of hypothetical flovs to be
generated.
- Number of years in each period of generated flows
which maximumandm1nimumvalues are to be obtained,
dimensioned for 100.
- Number of consecutive passes, each pass consisting of
anewgroup of stations whlch canbe correlated wlth
specif1ed stations in previous passes, dimensloned
for 5.
Indicator, positive value calls for writing recorded
andreconstituted flows andgenerated flows onTape 7.
- Indicator, positive vs.lue ca.lls for writing stat-
istlcs onTape 7.
Number of stations at whieh flows are to be generated,
not required if flowdata are suppl.Ied, NSTA+ NCOMB
(C-l) dimensioned for 10.
SeconO.spec1fication eard..
- Number of eombinations of statlons, the tots.1.s of
wh1ehare used to obtain maximumandm1nimumflows,
dimensioned for 2. lf positive, provide D andE cards.
Number of tandemsi tuations, compares sumof month1y
values of upstream stat10ns with downstreamstation
andadjusts if value ls less than sumand that station' s
value has been estimated or generated, dimension for 10.
If positive, provide F cardo
Number of consistency tests. A djusts standard deviation
of a dependent station intandemwith an independent
station to prevent frequency curves fromcrossing,
dimensioned for 10. If positive, provide Gcardo
E XHIBIT 7
CARO VARI ABLE
C(ContI d)
4. I GNRI ..
5. NPROJ
s. I YRPJ
7. MTHPJ
8. LYRPJ
D
l. NS'l'AC
2. I Sl'AC
E
l. NSTAC
2. CSTAC
F
l. I STN
2. NSI
:3. rsrr
G
l . I STX
2. I STY
COMMENTS
- I nd1cator, + 1calla for reading general1zed. stat-
1st1cs and us1ngfor generat1on, +2calls tor com-
puting general.1zed stat1stics from fiow data and us1ng
for generat1on.
- Numberof prejeet10ns ef future tlows :rrcmpresent
cOI ldi t1ons, usually O.
- Year of start ef eaca proJ ectlon.
- Calendar monthof start of each projeet1en.
- I ast year of each projeetion, number of recorded azui
reconsti tuted years plus number of projeeted. years
dimensioned. for 100.
I dent1f1cat1on of comb1nat1on, NCOM e (c-i) sets of D
and E cards.
- Numberof stations 1nth1s comb1nation, d1mens1oned
for 10.
- station number (~C values).
Combiningeoeffic1ents, NCOMB (c-i) seta of Dand
E carda.
- Same as D-l.
- Coefficient of flowused fer add1ng, corresponds to
respective 1tems inD-2.
I dentificatlen of tandem s1tuation, NTNDM (C-2) carda.
- Station numberof downstreamstation.
- Numberof upstreamstat1ens, d1mensienedfer 10.
- Station numberof upstreamstat10n (NSM X values).
I dent1f1catien of consistency test, NCSTY(C-:3)cards.
- I Ddependentstat10n number.
- Dependentstat10n number.
11 1I '1ovdata, cards inanyorder, omit 1f !ANAL (B-3) ia
not positive, follow allflowdata cards by1blank
card. (1caro.).
l. Cols 2-4, Station number
2. Cols 5-8, Year number.
2
EDrBIT 7
CARD VARI ABL E
H ( Cont ' d)
CCMMENTS
3. Co1s 9-14, 15- 20, et c . , F10w i n des i r ed uni t s . Uni t s s houl d be
s e1ec t ed s o gener at ed i ' l ows viII not exceed 999,999. Us e -1i ' or
mi s s i ng r ec or d. Ii' r ec or d f or ent i r e year 15mi s s i ng, omi t c ar d
f or t ha. t year .
I Car o bl . nk. af t er Col 1t o i ndi c at e end of f l o' Wdat a,
omi t i f I ANAL ( B- 3) i s not pos i t i ve.
J
1. NCOMB
2. NTNDM
3. NCSTY
4. NSTX
5. I s r A
I dent i f i c at i on of s t at i ons i n pr evi . ous pas s es t o be
used i n c ur r ent pasa, s uppl y onl y i f NPASS (B-7) Ls
gr eat er t han l. The var i abl es NCOMB, NTNDM, and
NCSTY appl y t o t he c ur r ent pas s onl y.
- Number of c ombi nat i ons of s t at i ons , t he t ot al s of .
whi c h ar e us ed t o obt ai n maxi mum and mi ni mum f l ows ,
di mens i oned f or 2. I f pos i t i ve, pr ovi de D and E c ar ds .
- Number of t andem s i t uat i ons , c ompar es s um of mont hl y
val ues of ups t r eam s t at i ons wi t h downs t r eam s t at i on
and adj us t s i f val ue i s l es s t han s um and t hat s t at i on' s
val ue has been es t i mat ed or gener at ed, di mens i on f qr 10.
I f pos i t i ve, pr ovi de F c ar do
Number of c ons i s t enc y t es t s . Adj us t s s t andar d devi at i on
of a dependent s t at i on i n t andem wi t h an i ndependent
s t at i on t o pr event f r equenc y c ur ves f r om c r os s i ng,
di mens i oned f or 10. I f pos i t i ve, pr ovi de G c ar do
Number of s t at i ons f r om pr evi ous pas s es whi c h ar e t o
be us ed wi t h t he a. d. di t i onal dat a i n c ur r ent pas s as a
means of mai nt ai ni . ng c ons i s t ent f l ows bet ween gr oups of
s t at i ons , number of s t at i ons f r om pr evi ous pas s es
pl us number of new s t at i ons di mens i oned f or 10.
s t at i on number of s t at i on i n a pr evi ous pas s whl c h l s
t o be us ed i n c ur r ent pas s ( NSTX val ues ) . Mus t be
i n s ame or der as s t at i ons f i r s t appear .
Not e: Fl ow dat a f or c ur r ent pas s s uppl i ed as des c r i bed f or H c ar d and
f ol l ow dat a wi t h a bl ank c ar d ( 1 c ar d) , s uppl y NPASS- l s et s
oi' J , H, and 1 c ar ds ( al s o D, E, F, and G, i f nec es s ar y) wher t
NPASS gr eat er t han 1.
Pr ec edi ng- mont h c or r el at i on c oef i ' i c i ent s i ' or i ' i r s t
s t at i on, omi t i f I ANAL ( B- 3) i s pos i t i ve ( NSTA c ar ds ) .
K
1. I STA( K)
2. I STA( t )
- Col s 2- 4, Number of f i r s t s t at i on.
- Col s 5-8, Number of s t at i on f r om 1. t e NSTA ( B - l O) on
s uc c es s i ve c ar ds . I f I GNRL ( c - 4) = = 1, onl y f i r s t
c ar d i s us ed.
3. RA( I , K, L X) - Col s 9 14, 15- 20, et c . , Cor r el at i on c oef f i c i ent s f or
s uc c es s i ve mont hs bet ween f l ows at f i r s t s t at i on and
pr ec edi ng- mont h f ' L ows at s t at i ons f r om 1 t o NSTA ( B- l . O)
on s epar at e c ar ds . I f I GNRL (c-4) = = 1, onl y gener a1-
i z ed c oef f i c i ent ( i n c ol s 9- 14) i s gi ven.
3
EXHI BI T 7
CARD VARIABLE COMMENTS
c(urre)nt-monthcorrelation coefficients, omit if IANAL
B- 3 is positive, (NSTA-l) pairs of L andM cards.
l. ISTA(K) - Cols 2-4, Numberof station, progressing fromK = 2
through NSTA( B- I O) statlons ondifferent sets of L
a.nd Mcards ,
ISTA(L) Cols 5-8, Numberof station, progressing ondlfferent
ca.rds through all statlons fromL = 1to K-l.
RA(I,K,L) - Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Corre1atlon coefficlent for
each successive calendar monthbetweenf10wsat statlon
K andconcurrent flows at station L (12 1tems). I
I GNRL (C-4) = 1, only generalized coefficient in c01s
9-14 18 given.
2.
3.
M* Preceding-month corre1atlon coefflcients for remainlng
stations, omit if IANAL (B-3) ts positive. Pa.iredwith
Lcardo
l. ISTA(K) Cols 2-4, SaInestation numcer-as oncorrespond1ng L
caro (L-l).
2. IsrA(L) Co1s5-8, Numberof stat1on, progressing in samearder
ondlfferent caros through a11stations fromL = 1to
NSTA(B-10). If IGNRL(C-4) = 1, only ca.rdw1thL =K
1s used.
3. RA(r,K,LX)- Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Correlation coefficient for each
successive calendar monthbetveen flows at station K
and flovs in preceding monthat station L (12 items).
If IGNRL(C-4) = 1, or~y general1zed coefficient in
Cols 9-14 15 given.
N General:i.zedfrequency statistics, om1tif IAlIIAL(B-3) 1s
positive or IGNRL(C-4) does not equal l.
l. ISTA(K) Cols 2-8, station number for NSTA(B-10) stations on
successive caros in samearder as supplied by L cards
(1.-1)
2. AVMX(K)
-
Cols 9-14, Averagemeanlogaritbm for wet season (3
months).
3. AVMN(K) Cols 15-20, Averagemeanlogarithm for dry season (3
months).
4. SDAV(K) Cols 21-26, Averagestandard deviation for the 12months.
-lE. Sets of L and Mcard.s are required for each station fromK= 2to NSTA.
4
EXHI BI T 7
CARD VARI ABLE
N(Cont'd)
5. MOMX(K)
6. MOMN(K)
O
1. I srA(K)
2. AV(I ,K)
p
l. I srA(K)
- r
2. SD(I ,K)
Q
C OMME :NTS
- Calendar number of last montho wet season.
- Calendar numberof last montho dryseason.
Mean logarithms, omit if !ANAL (B-S) is positive or I GNRL
(C-4) equals l.
- Same as (M-l).
- Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Meanlogarithrns for successive
calendar months.
standard dev:!..ations, omit if I ANAL (B-S) is positive or
I GNRL (C-4) equals l.
- Same as (M-l).
- CoLs 9-14, 15-20, etc., standard deviations for suc-
cessive calendar months.
Skewcoeffic:!..ents, omit if I ANAL(B-S) is positive or
I GNRL(C-4) equals l.
1. I &rA(K) - Same as (M-l).
2. SKEW(I ,K) - Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Skewcoefficients for suc-
cessivecalendar months.
R F10wincrements, omit :!..fI ANAL(B-3) 1s positive or
I GNRL(C-4) equal.s 1.
1. rSl'A(K)
2. DQ(I ,K)
- S ame as (x-r),
- Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Flowincrements for successive
calendar months.
FivebLankcards with A inCol 1of first shouldfollow last job.
Note: Cards K through R are not required if cards Hand1are supplied. Cards
K throughR are as punchedby computer whenI PCHSis positive.
5
EXHI BI T 7
NPASS-1
sets (1)
( 1)
(1) H
NCSTY cards G
NTNDM carda F
A
A
A
SUMMARY OF REQUI RED CARDS
723-X6-L2340
Not es :
(1) Supplyon1yti'!ANAL (B3) 16pos1t1ve. BepeatHcs.rdfor eacn
stat1on-year af data before supp1y1ng1card.
1
EXHIBn' 8
NSTAset8
(4) N
(2)(3)(4~M
(2)( 4) K
SUMMARY OF REQUI RED CAROS
Continued..
723-X6-L2340
(2) L designates eorrelation w1th eurrent monthand LX w1thpreeed1ng month. I f
I GNRL(c4)=1,only one(generalized) eoeffieient i8 given following station
numbersoneach card and only 1 K and Mcard Ls used for each K station, with
L = Ko Usesameformat as H eard.
(3) Re:peatset of L snd M cards for each K station except first.
(4) Omit ir I ANAL (B3) 1s positi ve
2
EXHI BlT 8