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30 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Under Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

404.10

270.90

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
585

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

280.60

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

338

0.66

COBHAM

284.20

190.10

287.70

Neutral

Neutral

290

0.82

MEGGITT

527.50

364.30

534.00

Neutral

Neutral

514

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1191.00

780.75

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1164

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1342.00

979.50

1384.00

Neutral

Sell

1128

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1795.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1663

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

300.30

173.60

311.90

Neutral

Neutral

300

2.02

INCHCAPE

558.00

305.20

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

573

1.48

LOOKERS

105.75

56.50

110.00

Neutral

Neutral

101

1.23

25.25

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

36

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

320.00

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-817

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

727.60

503.20

769.90

Neutral

Buy

865

1.17

60.64

25.29

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

326.00

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-134

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1545.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3393

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

568.50

348.00

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

601

0.55

DIAGEO

1982.50

1516.50

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1770

0.55

SABMILLER

3396.50

2348.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3909

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

361.90

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3472

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

316.50

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

1.23

CARCLO

375.50

356.00

503.00

Neutral

Sell

120

0.73

2539.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3418

1.04

239.80

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

302

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2595.00

2080.27

2696.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4505

VICTREX

1730.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1383

1.14

SYNTHOMER

195.10

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

340

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

200.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

254

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

93.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
282

Beta
0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

237.80

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

834

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

323.10

114.00

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

1.58

BELLWAY

1271.00

681.50

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2870

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2128.00

1202.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3280

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

191.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

407

0.83
1.20

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

735.50

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Buy

1051

CARILLION

254.20

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1564

1.12

CLARKE (T)

55.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

464

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

264.25

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1068

0.57

1398.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

868

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

970.50

583.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2999

1.01

KELLER

940.00

348.25

978.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2445

1.26

1244.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5445

0.97

66.75

49.75

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

140.00

76.00

140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

417

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

573.50

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4621

0.87

16.00

9.75

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

61

1.15

NORCROS

1242.00

496.69

1280.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1991

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

225.00

107.30

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

462

1.09

SIG

177.00

82.30

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

539

1.79

2.00

1.88

14.50

Sell

Strong Buy

37

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

98.90

40.28

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1561.00

906.50

1606.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4243

2.01

WOLSELEY

3338.00

2121.32

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6123

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1305.00

978.00

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

815

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

672.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

887

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

126.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

1.29

INVENSYS

395.90

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

348

1.41

LAIRD

211.50

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

325

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1598.00

1135.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1259

1.00

RENISHAW

1792.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2626

1.26

SPECTRIS

2070.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2793

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

173.75

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

316

1.58

XAAR

645.50

185.00

695.00

Neutral

Sell

234

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

83.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

123

1.28

BODYCOTE

547.50

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

664

1.60

CASTINGS

339.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

651

0.99

VESUVIUS

373.90

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

961

2.20

FENNER

343.40

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

530

1.42

HALMA

525.00

375.00

538.50

Neutral

Sell

372

0.75

HILL & SMITH

426.50

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

350

1.37

1319.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

735861

1.41

290.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Buy

357

1.82

2840.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1487

1.00

272.40

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

237

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

48.50

35.40

91.10

Neutral

Sell

39

SPIRAX-SARCO

2861.00

1900.00

2923.00

Neutral

Sell

2045

0.84

VITEC GROUP

605.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

426

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2307.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2121

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

408.20

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

704

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

278.10

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

165

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

377.00

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

199

0.57

TESCO

373.00

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

264

0.68

94.63

18.88

100.50

Neutral

Sell

67

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1874.00

1167.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2145

0.62

CRANSWICK

1099.00

732.50

1115.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2117

0.43

DAIRY CREST

496.80

312.70

503.50

Sell

Neutral

517

0.94

DEVRO

331.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

523

0.32

70.50

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-179

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

849.00

633.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1576

0.71

2828.00

2013.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2801

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.63

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

34

0.69

458.50

224.40

465.60

Neutral

Sell

348

0.54

1504.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

948

1.27

622.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

283

0.95

41.65

12.67

42.90

Neutral

Neutral

44

1.51

160.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

58

1.13

31.00

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

105

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

300.00

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

491

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

905.00

606.50

905.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1509

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

72.00

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Buy

102

1.25

KINGFISHER

327.80

254.10

335.50

Neutral

Buy

363

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

472.00

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Neutral

513

0.65

55.50

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

62

1.04

353.75

189.25

364.00

Neutral

Buy

439

0.47

NEXT

4638.00

2991.00

4749.00

Neutral

Neutral

4532

0.67

TED BAKER

1457.00

842.00

1490.00

Neutral

Sell

640

0.55

68.00

36.00

70.00

Neutral

Sell

54

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

141.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
116

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

781.50

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

571

0.39

OPTOS

123.00

122.25

222.75

Neutral

Buy

156

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

770.50

590.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

697

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

717.50

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

698

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

368.38

263.00

372.50

Neutral

Sell

314

0.92

77.00

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

107

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

977.50

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

501

0.74

CSR

545.00

200.30

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1586

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

62.00

25.00

83.25

Neutral

Sell

26

0.90

362.70

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Neutral

381

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

132.50

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

484

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

216.00

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-648

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1297.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-557

0.53

AMLIN

417.00

312.90

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1596

0.46

BEAZLEY

236.20

132.50

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

991

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

511.00

399.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

470

0.30

HISCOX

560.50

393.97

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1981

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

894.50

671.00

914.50

Neutral

Buy

1254

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

114.30

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

759

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

507.50

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3585

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2236.00

2062.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4097

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

115.00

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Neutral

111

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

359.60

158.00

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

796

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

850.00

700.00

850.00

Neutral

Sell

691

0.39

GREENE KING

755.50

478.20

789.50

Neutral

Sell

666

0.93

LADBROKES

206.20

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

258

0.93

1903.00

1439.68

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1510

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

555.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

632

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

383.10

217.40

408.50

Neutral

Sell

325

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

129.70

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

44

1.25

13.25

5.61

13.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

52

1.27

150.00

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

514

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

512.00

279.90

531.00

Neutral

Sell

401

WETHERSPOON (JD)

650.50

385.00

661.50

Neutral

Buy

759

0.69

WHITBREAD

2858.00

1824.00

2897.00

Sell

Sell

2039

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

433.40

246.35

452.80

Neutral

Sell

262

0.87

MARSTON'S

143.60

94.70

154.70

Neutral

Sell

19

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

329.00

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

324

1.25

CHESNARA

260.00

155.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

478

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

181.10

106.00

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

458

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

210.50

138.70

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

405

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1138.00

660.00

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1155

1.71

589.00

306.90

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6626

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

130.00

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-651

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

784.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1774

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

33.50

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-21

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

752.00

363.50

769.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4265

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

923.50

708.00

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7830

1.00

INFORMA

517.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-61

1.53

ITE GROUP

293.90

180.00

299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

283

1.45

ITV

130.40

69.45

134.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1320

1.54

17.75

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

815

1.27

1225.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

352

0.63

82.00

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2736

0.79

274.25

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

943

0.16

35.90

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Sell

-637

0.50

STV GROUP

135.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

273

0.79

ST.IVES

160.25

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

258

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

120.50

25.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-298

1.59

UBM

737.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1963

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

161.75

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1406

WPP

1148.00

743.00

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-531

1.35

HIBU

0.39

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

841

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1538.00

1538.00

2215.00

Neutral

Sell

1161

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

227.25

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

229

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

946.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

833

1.41

1930.00

1694.50

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2865

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

327.75

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

961

#NA

LONMIN

271.00

240.84

421.26

Neutral

Buy

350

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4941.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2967

0.34

RIO TINTO

2860.50

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2281

1.50

3.38

10.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2032

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1282.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1210.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

881

BP

477.50

394.90

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

992

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

279.40

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-13

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.80

8.10

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Buy

10

0.82

881.50

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

559

1.31
1.36

56.50

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Sell

-64

365.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

404

1.43

2304.00

2059.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8273

0.84

386.20

276.50

404.30

Neutral

Buy

512

0.53

1029.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

701

1.04

833.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

727

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

101.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

376.70

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

306

0.69

4825.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4868

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.43

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-2

1.01

3453.50

2592.00

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6570

0.47

BTG

359.40

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

170

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

692.50

469.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

751

0.25

1726.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1706

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.30

1.55

2.88

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2187.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1457

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

49.63

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

32

0.73

VERNALIS

22.50

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

412.50

276.30

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-651

1.18

BRITISH LAND

621.50

475.40

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1774

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.75

22.75

37.00

Sell

Sell

-21

0.85

990.00

595.00

995.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4265

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2401.00

1740.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7830

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

201.00

121.75

201.00

Neutral

Sell

-61

0.99

GRAINGER

154.60

83.10

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

283

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

554.00

367.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1320

1.10

HAMMERSON

513.50

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

815

1.19

HELICAL BAR

272.00

167.50

297.50

Neutral

Buy

352

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

946.00

704.00

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2736

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

330.10

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

943

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

153.25

127.00

153.25

Neutral

Sell

-637

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

385.50

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

273

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

319.25

311.17

363.53

Neutral

Sell

258

0.35

75.00

32.50

79.25

Sell

Sell

-298

1.19

SAVILLS

578.00

315.00

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1963

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

622.50

492.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1406

1.05

SEGRO

282.00

209.40

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-531

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

290.00

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

841

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

211.00

147.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

1.01

UNITE GROUP

365.80

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2280

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1141

1.03

411.80

217.00

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1346

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

123.30

112.25

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

126

0.73

2385.00

1550.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1350

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

453.80

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1329

1.00

KOFAX

325.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

332

1.11

27.25

18.25

27.50

Neutral

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

684.50

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Buy

1014

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

153.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

320

0.74

72.00

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-96

0.52

1926.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2165

0.76

361.40

247.70

368.10

Neutral

Buy

429

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

472.60

237.30

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

230.30

136.30

230.30

Sell

Strong Buy

677

0.73

9790.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

98370

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

388.50

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1333

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

182.00

141.00

190.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1182

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1006.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5206

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.25

71.10

110.40

Neutral

Sell

75

0.89

3.29

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Sell

-123

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

171.20

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

810

1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
ICAP

349.50

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1831

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

475.40

241.10

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3346

1.70

INVESTEC

476.40

326.50

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1834

1.56

1380.00

930.00

1426.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5281

1.15

122.60

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4457

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1529.00

1186.00

1557.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5687

0.75

SCHRODERS

2393.00

1180.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8607

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1865.00

966.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11405

1.27

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ACAL

219.25

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1286

0.92

AGGREKO

1800.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3506

1.05

AMEC

1034.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3421

1.04

649.50

212.20

671.00

Neutral

Buy

920

1.63

1174.00

840.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2307

0.48

561.50

324.00

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

2062

0.76

1302.00

999.50

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2901

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

497.50

214.00

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1488

0.39

CAPITA

991.00

605.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

240

0.51

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

54.00

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

491

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

876.50

622.00

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2046

0.74

BERENDSEN

771.50

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2955

1.05

DE LA RUE

946.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1813

#NA

DIGNITY

1334.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2145

0.22

DIPLOMA

548.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1427

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

269.00

195.20

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1079

1.04

FILTRONA

712.00

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1336

1.13

G4S

248.60

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

933

0.58

HAYS

93.80

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

438

1.10

HOMESERVE

265.00

137.50

265.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

0.94

INTERSERVE

488.00

294.50

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3453

1.28

3190.00

2558.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4612

0.78

46.38

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

361

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.75

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

220

MENZIES (JOHN)

713.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2252

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

379.30

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

839

1.42

MITIE GROUP

259.40

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1313

0.55

86.00

86.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

731

0.33

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

940.50

614.00

940.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1776

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

215.60

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

789

1.33

REGUS

162.50

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

67

1.46

91.25

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

322

1.25

REXAM

522.00

395.69

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1801

0.90

RICARDO

400.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1672

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

233.00

176.25

233.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1182

1.24

RPC GROUP

406.80

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1896

0.78

RPS GROUP

217.20

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1067

1.51

SERCO GROUP

625.00

516.50

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2410

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

84.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

715

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

57.00

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

262

1.26

166.00

82.00

166.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

560

0.63

58.75

39.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

339

0.93

343.88

245.50

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

2086

0.86

79.88

42.00

80.38

Sell

Strong Buy

539

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

305.40

200.70

322.30

Neutral

Buy

356

0.91

45.39

27.28

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

90

0.70

630.50

419.10

749.00

Neutral

Sell

488

0.53

86.40

67.00

88.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

139

1.24

1310.00

733.00

1310.00

Sell

Sell

777

0.09

192.95

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Neutral

187

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

283.70

178.00

288.40

Neutral

Sell

Target
180

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

410.00

309.50

428.00

Neutral

Buy

458

0.98

CLARKSON

1635.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1172

0.80

EASYJET

1258.00

484.90

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

695

0.77

FIRST GROUP

118.00

118.00

260.50

Buy

Strong Buy

578

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

964.50

545.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

415

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1510.00

1086.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1862

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

201.70

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

260

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

328.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

690

STAGECOACH GROUP

299.00

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

381

0.89

65.25

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-47

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

378.60

306.30

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

597

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

797.00

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

903

0.50

PENNON GROUP

688.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

825

0.59

SSE

1569.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2212

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2035.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1616

0.35

755.00

642.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

735

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

30 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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