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62
The probability that any single yt is greater than is 1 . Thus, for n independent observations, the probability that every one of them is greater 1 , the smallest yt , must be than is (1 )n. This is the probability that greater than . Therefore, 1 ) = 1 (1 )n, Pr( as we were asked to show. 1 and let z denote n. Since For the second part, let Z denote n 1 ), Pr(Z z ) = Pr( we have just shown that the CDF of Z is F (z ) = 1 (1 z/n)n. By the result alluded to in the hint, the limit of this as n is F (z ) lim F (z ) = 1 ez,
n
(S10.04)
(S10.05)
(S10.06)
which is the CDF of the exponential distribution with = 1. The PDF that corresponds to this CDF is then f (z ) = ez = ez , z
which is just a special case of (10.03) with = 1. Copyright c 2003, Russell Davidson and James G. MacKinnon
63
When 10 and 20 are arbitrary, the probability that any single yt is greater than is 1 ( 10 ), where (20 10 )1. Therefore, the equivalent of equation (S10.04) is 1 ) = 1 1 ( 10 ) , Pr( and the equivalent of equation (S10.05) is F (z ) = 1 (1 z/n)n. 1 10 ). By the same result that led to Here we have redened Z as n( (S10.06), we nd that F (z ) lim F (z ) = 1 ez,
n n
which is the CDF of the exponential distribution with arbitrary . The PDF that corresponds to this CDF is then f (z ) = ez = ez , z
which is the density (10.03), namely, the PDF of the exponential distribution. Since we have already dened as (20 10 )1, this is the result we were required to show.