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EVALUASI AKHIR SEMESTER GANJIL 2011-2012 JURUSAN TEKNIK LINGKUNGAN, FTSP - ITS MATA KULIAH HARI/TGL WAKTU/SIFAT DOSEN

: STATISTIKA (KELAS A) : RABU , 4 JANUARI 2012 : 100 MENIT/ OPEN BOOK : AGUS SUHARSONO

1. Does product competition always result in lower prices to consumer? Some marketing specialist have suggested that the relationship between price and the number of competing products is of second order-that is, that price are high in the presence of either few or many competitors and lowest when there is a moderate numbers of competitors. In a study of this issue a record was made of the average price for a six pack of beer and the number of competing brands sold in a certain chain of supermarkets in 12 different cities. The data are shown in table. Price ($), y 12.5 14.5 16.7 15.2 14.2 13.5 Number of Competing Brand , x 4 7 9 7 5 6 Price ($), y 15.6 13.4 14.2 13.5 12.5 14.5 Number of Competing Brand , x 10 5 7 9 9 7

a. Fit the first order and the second order to these data by using an available regression analysis. b. Calculate the correlation coefficient r for this data. Is the correlation between Price and Number of Competing Brand significantly different from zero ? Use = 0.05 c. Plot the data points and simple linear regression graph . 2. Sales force management requires the proper adjustment of sales territories to equalize sales potential among territories as well as the establishment of sales force goals and compensation plan. To examine this issue, the sales manager for a company that sells office machines and supplies has recorded the territory sales y for the past month, the number of accounts, and the number of years of work experience for a random sample of n = 20 of her firms sales personal. The data are shown in the table. It was assumed that a second order model for k = 2 independent variable appropriately describes the relationship between sales potential and the independent variables number of accounts and sales potential. Fit the model to these data by using an available regression analysis. Carefully interpret the result of this analysis. y(x $1.000) 36.70 34.74 22.95 46.76 61.26 21.35 50.32 33.67 65.19 48.76 x1 (x $100) 15 14 12 18 24 12 22 14 25 21 x2 (years) 1.9 1.7 1.5 2.6 4.7 1.3 2.5 1.8 4.3 2.4 y(x $1.000) 23.37 45.87 33.67 65.19 28.01 32.64 34.54 17.41 21.35 50.32 x1 (x $100) 10 19 12 18 13 13 13 15 14 8 x2 (years) 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.3 2.5

3. With hopes of reducing its massive 350 million gallons a year gasoline bill, the U.S. Portal Service has ordered a number electric mail trucks on an experimental basis. Official estimate that savings will result if they use electric trucks on flat routes and use a special of peak hours rate of recharging. In an experiment to compare operating costs, = 100 conventional gasoline mail trucks and = 100 electric mail trucks were placed in service for a period of time. The cost per mile for operating the gasoline trucks averaged = $ 11.70 per mile with variance , while the electric trucks the mean and variance of the cost per mile were = $ 10.25 and . Do these data present sufficient evidence to indicate a difference in the mean operating cost between conventional gasoline and electric powered mail trucks ? Use = 0.05

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