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Strategic Management Journal

Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)


Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/smj.464

TYPES OF FIRMS GENERATING NETWORK EXTER-


NALITIES AND MNCs’ CO-LOCATION DECISIONS
SEA-JIN CHANG1 * and SEKEUN PARK2
1
School of Business Administration, Korea University, Seoul, Korea
2
The Export–Import Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea

This study identifies and examines sources of network externalities that influence MNCs to
agglomerate their foreign operations in specific regions. Using data for Korean firms that
invested in China, this study found that network externalities were sensitive to the types of firms
constituting a regional network. It also found stronger network externalities within firms than
across firms, from firms of the same nationality than from those of different nationalities, and
from firms in the same industry than from those of different industries. As we defined the types of
firms more precisely, distinctive curvilinear relationships between network externalities and the
likelihood of co-location emerged. Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Why do multinational corporations decide to locate countries consist of many regions, which differ
in one area rather than another? To date, research greatly from each other in terms of prevailing
on this question has examined firms’ motiva- wages, populations, technology bases, and infra-
tions for these decisions, the modes they use structures. Since MNCs presumably choose loca-
when entering an area, and the sequences of tions that seem to fit best with their strategic goals,
their entry decisions in that area. This work the location decision within a country (e.g., Shang-
has been guided by the theme of foreign direct hai or Beijing) may be more important than the
investment (Hymer, 1960; Dunning, 1988; Hen- decision at the country level is (e.g., opening a
nart and Park, 1994; Chang, 1995; Kogut and factory in China). Furthermore, one firm’s location
Chang, 1996). It has also considered such deci- decisions could be influenced by the presence of
sions at the national level, rather than assessing other firms in a region. Foreign and local incum-
why a firm might enter one region within a nation bents within a region can pose great threats and
rather than another. We argue that international challenges to new entrants. At the same time, they
business scholars should explore regional location can be great sources for complementary resources
decisions much more extensively, as these deci- and learning. In a country such as China, which
sions shed light on MNCs’ foreign entry strategies. comprises vastly heterogeneous regions, it is cru-
When MNCs announce they are investing in a cial to examine location decisions at the regional
country, they often specify a location they have level in order to understand MNCs’ entry strate-
decided upon prior to the announcement. Most gies.
Recently, several studies have focused on loca-
Keywords: network externalities; agglomeration; tion decisions within a country. Head, Ries, and
co-location; foreign direct investment Swenson (1995), Shaver and Flyer (2000), and

Correspondence to: Sea-Jin Chang, School of Business Admin-
istration, Korea University, Seoul, Korea 136-701. Chung and Song (2004) studied how Japanese
E-mail: schang@korea.ac.kr firms chose manufacturing locations in the United

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Received 4 June 2003
Final revision received 15 December 2004
596 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

States. They found that Japanese firms located Carroll, 1992). Thus, MNCs should evaluate the
their manufacturing facilities in states where many costs of both negative and positive externalities.
other Japanese firms had been located, although Third, these studies have ignored variations
this tendency depended upon these firms’ rela- among the types of firms that make up a regional
tive resource strengths and their prior investments. network. Although some studies considered the
These researchers suggested that positive network heterogeneity of investing firms (Shaver and Flyer,
externalities might explain this pattern of agglom- 2000; Chung and Song, 2004), most have exam-
eration. A network externality occurs when the ined only a subset of all the firms in a region (e.g.,
benefit or surplus that an economic agent derives Japanese investors and local firms in the United
from a good depends in part on changes in the States) and often considered only one industry
number of other agents consuming the same kind (e.g., electronics). We argue that the degree of
of good (Katz and Shapiro, 1985; Arthur, 1990; externalities is contingent upon the composition
Liebowitz and Margolis, 1995). It thus denotes sit- of regional networks. For instance, Korean firms
uations when a product or service becomes more investing in China may derive stronger network
valuable as more people or firms use it. For exam- externalities from other Korean firms than they
ple, when General Motors entered China in 1997 can from non-Korean firms, and from firms in the
via a joint venture with Shanghai Automotive same industries than they can from firms in other
Industry Corporation (SAIC), it was able to capi- industries.
talize on the infrastructure of qualified managers, This paper considers two empirical questions.
laborers, and suppliers that Volkswagen, SAIC’s First, it uses data for Korean firms that invested
other joint venture partner, had developed since in China to examine whether positive or nega-
1984. MNCs can also learn from earlier entrants’ tive network externalities are larger. Although we
experiences and avoid making similar mistakes. cannot distinguish empirically between network
This recent work has, however, been limited in externalities derived from real economic gains and
three important ways. First, in focusing exclusively those derived from legitimacy, we examine various
on economic reasons for agglomeration, it has not arguments for network externalities and develop a
considered the possibility that agglomeration might hypothesis that argues for a curvilinear relation-
occur even without obvious economic reasons. ship. We expect that the likelihood of experiencing
Firms might, for instance, imitate other firms in negative network externalities is more substantial
order to gain legitimacy or reduce uncertainty when firms’ agglomerative behaviors are moti-
(DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Levitt and March, vated by a desire to gain legitimacy rather than
1988). Foreign investments, especially in countries by real economic gains. Second, this study exam-
where the culture and language are distinct from ines how network externalities vary according to
that of an MNC’s home country, carry risks that the types of firms within a regional network. In
are captured by the term ‘liabilities of foreignness.’ other words, this study examines to what degree
Such risks are greater in transitional economies, network externalities are firm specific, nation spe-
such as China. It is possible that foreign firms cific, or industry specific. This study also explores
investing in China flocked to Shanghai or Beijing what choices by firms might maximize the net ben-
only because many other foreign firms had done efits of network externalities.
so already.
Second, most of this work has focused only
on positive forms of network externalities. When
NETWORK EXTERNALITIES
agglomeration occurs, competition in factor and
AND LOCATION DECISIONS
product markets increases costs. For instance, in
Network externalities
Shanghai, foreign firms now have to pay top
salaries to attract local managers, and housing for Economists have long emphasized the impor-
expatriates is extremely expensive. Local firms tance of network externalities (Marshall, 1920).
located near an MNC may be able to access tech- Porter (1998) summarizes the potential benefits
nology or know-how by hiring local managers and of agglomeration: (1) it improves accessibility to
engineers away. Organizational ecologists have specialized factors and workers; (2) it improves
long argued that increases in population density access to information about market and tech-
diminish new entrants’ survival rates (Hannan and nology trends; (3) it promotes complementarities
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 597

among firms and promotes cooperation among other firms (Levitt and March, 1988). Empirical
firms; (4) it improves access to infrastructure and work has indicated that legitimacy and uncertainty
public goods; and (5) it increases competitive pres- influence MNCs’ expansions into foreign coun-
sure among firms. Henderson (1986) empirically tries. Guillen (2002) found that emerging multi-
demonstrated that agglomeration increases fac- nationals that were in the early stages of inter-
tor productivity. Saxenian (1994) documented how nationalization imitated other firms. Henisz and
microelectronics firms clustered in Silicon Val- Delios (2001) demonstrated that Japanese firms
ley. Krugman (1991) developed a formal model in that lacked international experience relied more
which agglomeration results from manufacturing heavily on the past international expansion deci-
firms’ desire to locate in a place of larger demand sions of other firms in their reference group as
in order to exploit scale economies and minimize cues for their own entry decisions. Knickerbocker
transportation costs, while the location of demand (1973) also pointed out that MNCs in oligopolis-
depends on the location of manufacturers. tic industries tend to imitate each other when they
Several studies of MNCs’ regional agglomera- expand into foreign markets.
tion patterns were based upon this economic ratio- In addition, some research has found that agglo-
nale.1 Smith and Florida (1994) and Head et al. meration can lead to negative externalities. For
(1995) observed that Japanese firms co-located example, firms can benefit from the spillover of
with other Japanese firms. They pointed to tech- other firms’ knowledge and technologies, but their
nological spillovers, specialized labor, and other own knowledge and technologies can spill over to
inputs as the main reasons for agglomeration. other firms. Appold (1995) found that agglomer-
Chung and Song (2004) found that Japanese elec- ation was negatively associated with performance
tronics firms in the United States tended to co- in the U.S. metalworking sector. Shaver and Flyer
locate with other Japanese firms when they had (2000) argue that benefits and costs firms derived
less prior experience. At the country level, Song from co-location could differ according to their
(2002) showed how Japanese firms’ prior invest- own core competences. They contend that firms
ment in technological and sourcing capabilities led with relatively more resources avoid agglomer-
to subsequent investment in the same countries. ation because, for them, the potential costs of
Chung and Alcacer (2002) also found that firms spillovers are greater than the potential benefits.
in research-intensive industries are more likely to Agglomeration can also lead to intensified com-
locate in regions with high R&D intensities. petition in both product and factor markets among
Although economists generally attribute regional adjacently located firms. Baum and Mezias (1992)
agglomeration to real economic gains, organiza- demonstrated that hotels located in Manhattan that
tional theorists have argued that agglomeration were similar in terms of location, price, and size
might occur for non-economic reasons. Agglom- posed greater threats to each other and reduced
eration might occur, for instance, when firms each other’s chances of survival as the area became
wish to improve their legitimacy in order to more crowded. Agglomeration also drives up the
access resources they need for survival and growth costs of locally sourced inputs, such as wages
(DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Suchman, 1995). A of local managers and engineers and housing
firm might locate in a popular place simply because expenses for expatriates.
so many other firms have located there already, Agglomeration can also reduce innovation via
thus legitimizing the location. This mimetic behav- groupthink (Porter, 1998), thereby creating nega-
ior has been observed in various contexts: adop- tive externalities. It can make firms in a regional
tion of the M-form organization structure (Flig- cluster look only inward and reject ideas from
stein, 1985) and the poison pill (Davis, 1991), other areas. Detroit’s attachment to gas-guzzling
and acquisition decisions (Haunschild, 1993). Fur- automobiles in the 1970s amidst oil shortages is a
ther, the risk and uncertainty of venturing into a prime example of such rigidity.
foreign country could increase firms’ imitation of We expect that multinational corporations will
consider both positive and negative network exter-
1
Early work in economic geography studied the impact of nalities. Population ecologists have long argued
income, tax incentives, wage, and unionization on attracting that population density influences startups’ perfor-
more foreign direct investment (Coughlin, Terza, and Arromdee,
1991; Wheeler and Mody, 1992; Friedman, Gerlowski, and mance. They have found that an increase in popu-
Silberman, 1992). lation density is initially positively correlated with
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
598 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

the founding rate of startups because it provides network externalities were curvilinear as a function
legitimacy and acceptance. After a certain level, of the number of firms.
however, population density is negatively associ- There is, however, a possibility that marginal
ated with the founding rate due to increased com- costs from agglomeration might not increase when
petition in that particular niche (Hannan and Car- an additional firm locates in a region. Porter
roll, 1992). By a similar logic, we expect that firms (1998) and Porter and Stern (2001) argue that
will agglomerate up to a point, but that increases intensified competition in a regional cluster can
in negative network externalities outweigh any promote innovation, which may lower the marginal
increase in positive ones after that level is reached. cost curve in the long run. Some regional clusters,
We expect that marginal benefits from agglomer- such as Silicon Valley, have been extremely inno-
ation will decline since knowledge or experience vative and cost efficient despite intense competi-
spillovers and legitimacy gained from an additional tion and high levels of agglomeration may neutral-
firm in a region would become redundant and neg- ize any cost increasing pressures. Similarly, some
ligible. On the other hand, marginal costs from firms can manage better the hazard of groupthink.
agglomeration will increase since the competition In our study, we test for this relationship by
in both product and factor markets will become inserting both a monotonic and a quadratic term for
more severe and potential hazards from groupthink the intertemporal population of firms constituting a
would become larger. Above that level, marginal regional network. An alternative hypothesis is that
costs exceed marginal benefits and the likelihood network externalities are monotonically positive or
of co-location will decline (see Figure 1). negative.
The likelihood that marginal costs exceed margi-
nal benefits is greater when firms decide to co- Hypothesis 1: The likelihood that a firm chooses
locate in order to gain legitimacy rather than for a location increases as the number of firms
economic reasons. When there are no real eco- already present in the same region increases to
nomic gains, the marginal benefits of legitimacy a certain point, and declines after that point.
drop quickly and will be completely offset by the
marginal costs of both intensified competition and Types of firms generating network externalities
the hazard of groupthink. Since Korean firms were
at an early stage of internationalization and China Most of the agglomeration benefits identified by
posed great uncertainty as a transitional economy Porter (1998) originate from flows of experience-
during the period we studied, their agglomera- based knowledge among firms. By hiring spe-
tion was substantially motivated by the desire to cialized workers and purchasing other inputs, a
gain legitimacy and avoid uncertainty. Given this firm can tap the knowledge embedded in such
assumption, we also believe it is more likely that resources. Firms can also share knowledge by
detecting market and technological trends and pro-
moting cooperation. The international business lit-
Net of positive & negative erature has stressed that it is important for firms
network externalities
to transfer and seek knowledge or experience
when they invest in foreign countries and decide
what entry mode to use. Johanson and Vahlne
Positive externalities (1977), Kogut (1983), Barkema and Vermeulen
(1998), Chang (1995), Kogut and Chang (1996),
Negative externalities and Chang and Rosenzweig (2001) demonstrated
how the knowledge or experience firms gained
from their prior entries affected their subsequent
MC entries and their choices of entry mode. Shaver,
Mitchell, and Yeung (1997) argue that subsequent
foreign entrants observe and learn from the success
MB or failure of earlier entrants.
Density Such benefits are, however, neither automatic
nor guaranteed. Kogut and Zander (1992) and Zan-
Figure 1. Rationale for a curvilinear relationship der and Kogut (1995) showed that knowledge that
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 599

is less codifiable and teachable and more com- invest more than once in a foreign country. It may
plex is more difficult to transfer even within a locate its investments in the same region to bene-
firm. They also demonstrated that, due to this dif- fit from the experience it has gained. Since many
ficulty, firms often hire workers away from the firms are diversified and are organized into prod-
target firm to facilitate knowledge diffusion. Szu- uct divisions, co-locating investments for multiple
lanski (1996) similarly observes that causal ambi- divisions helps firms share plants, equipment, and
guity and the absorptive capacity of the recipient, workers. Expatriate managers can add more busi-
among other factors, lead to ‘stickiness’ and inhibit nesses at the same location without hiring more
the transfer of knowledge to other parts of an managers. Business groups in many countries,
organization. Hansen (1999) also shows that weak where many legally independent firms are under
inter-unit ties among various product development the same ownership and administrative control,
teams in a firm help a project team search for use- facilitate resource sharing among member firms
ful knowledge in other subunits, but strong ties (Granovetter, 1995). For instance, Samsung Group
enable the transfer of complex knowledge. Accord- uses regional organizations to facilitate knowledge
ing to these studies, knowledge transfer and shar- sharing by its affiliates. Samsung China coordi-
ing can be difficult even within a firm or among nates various activities by the subsidiaries of its
affiliates within the same business group. This affiliate firms in China. In turn, these affiliates fre-
study thus treats a firm’s own prior experience, quently emulate other affiliates when they expand
which has been conventionally taken for granted, into a new region. For instance, when Samsung
as a source of network externalities for itself. Electronics is located in Tianjin, other affiliates
Agglomeration may facilitate flows of knowl- of the Samsung Group such as Samsung Corpo-
edge among firms or within a firm, as it increases ration and Samsung SDI are more likely to locate
a firm’s ability to communicate with or hire people in Tianjin than they are in other regions since they
working for other firms or other divisions. The pos- can learn from Samsung Electronics’ experience in
sibility of these flows might also be contingent on the same location and since Samsung Electronics’
other factors, such as the identities of the firms tar- presence legitimizes their own location choices.
geted as sources of knowledge. We expect that it is For his sample of Korean firms that invested in
easier to transfer knowledge among firms of simi- China, Guillen (2002) found strong evidence that
lar background since there is less causal ambiguity a firm’s rate of entry increased as its affiliates
and higher levels of absorptive capacity among set up their own plants. Martin, Swaminathan,
such firms. Chung and Kalnins (2001) found that and Mitchell (1998) showed that Japanese automo-
hotels that were similar in size and were affili- bile suppliers followed their buyers, competitors,
ated with a chain derived greater agglomeration and suppliers into the United States. Bastos and
benefits. Greve (2003) also found that industry affiliation
The extent to which firms co-locate to gain legit- and board interlocking ties were strong predic-
imacy also depends upon the types of firms that tors for Japanese firms’ mimetic entry behaviors
it can imitate (Haunschild and Miner, 1997). For in Europe. We thus expect that marginal benefits
example, trait-based imitation occurs when a firm from an additional firm in a region will be greater
imitates the behavior of high-status organizations if the new firm is in the same boundary than they
(Fombrun and Shanley, 1990; Haveman, 1993). are if the new firm is unrelated.
Guillen (2002) argues that firms expanding into On the other hand, the marginal cost increase
foreign markets tend to imitate other firms whose associated with agglomeration will be smaller
experience, history, or location is relevant to their when the same firm or affiliated firms are co-
own situation. As a consequence, emerging multi- locating investments than it is when unaffiliated
nationals tend to imitate other firms with which firms co-locate, since a firm or a business group
they are familiar because they are in the same should be more able to coordinate its location deci-
industry or part of the same business group. sions to avoid any competition among its own
In this study, we test whether network external- foreign operations. A firm or a group’s delib-
ities are firm specific, nation specific, and industry erate effort to avoid any pitfalls of groupthink
specific. First, we expect that knowledge sharing can also lower the marginal costs of agglomer-
and transfer are easiest and imitation is most preva- ation. For instance, the LG Group deliberately
lent when they occur inside a firm. A firm may spread the operations of its individual affiliates
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
600 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

over many regions, including several remote areas, costs, such as the costs of nation-specific inputs
while avoiding too much concentration in a few and the hazards of groupthink, than would an
popular coastal areas. By doing so, it achieved agglomeration of firms from several nations. We
balanced growth in the Chinese markets and max- expect, however, that the proportion of nation-
imized knowledge sharing at the group level. We specific inputs to overall costs is low relative to the
therefore expect: potential benefits from spillovers of nation-specific
experience or knowledge, especially for firms in
Hypothesis 2: Network externalities are stronger which ethnocentrism is strong. Since Korean firms
within firms and among firms associated with the are as ethnocentric as Japanese firms are, we
same business groups than they are for unaffili- hypothesize:2
ated firms.
Hypothesis 3: Network externalities are stronger
We also expect that a firm’s country of origin for firms from the same nation than they are for
significantly affects the degree of network exter- firms from different nations.
nalities it can derive from other firms. Since each
country has its own culture, national origin may In addition, some network externalities may be
affect the types of experiential knowledge a firm industry specific. Although components of infras-
creates (Hofstede, 1980). As a consequence, some tructure, such as roads, transportation, and housing
knowledge or experience may be nation specific, for expatriates, are shared by all firms, it may be
and firms may be able to learn more from the expe- easier to share other resources, like specialized
rience of firms from the same nation than they suppliers and workers, within an industry bound-
can from firms that are from different nations. For ary. Shanghai General Motors probably benefited
instance, a Japanese firm that transfers labor rela- more from Shanghai Volkswagen than it did from
tionship practices commonly used in Japan may be any other company in Shanghai.
uniquely qualified to learn from the past experience An industry also provides a frame of reference
of other Japanese firms that implemented similar to all firms in it. It is a social structure that affects
practices in the same foreign location. A Korean the flow of information and legitimacy from one
firm may be relatively more able to recruit a local firm to another (Guillen, 2002). Firms also measure
manager who can speak Korean from a subsidiary their internal processes and performance against
of another Korean firm. Also, when there is a large others in the same industry (Porac and Rosa, 1996).
community of firms from the same country, these Therefore, firms tend to imitate other firms in
firms often create country-specific infrastructures the same industry to gain legitimacy or to reduce
such as a Swedish school for Swedish expatriates’ uncertainty, revealing another type of trait-based
children. imitation. Guillen (2002) found that Korean firms
A firm may also pay more attention to the are more likely to invest in China when more of
actions of other firms from the same nation than their domestic competitors have already invested
it does to those of different nations, revealing in China. Henisz and Delios (2001) showed sim-
another type of trait-based imitation. Such imita- ilar results for Japanese firms. We thus expect
tive behavior among firms from the same nation that marginal benefits from agglomeration will be
might be even stronger for firms from countries higher when firms in the same industry co-locate
that have strong ethnocentric orientations, such as investments than they are when firms in different
Korea and Japan. Various researchers have shown industries co-locate.
that Korean and Japanese firms frequently emu-
late each other (Guillen, 2002; Head et al., 1995; 2
Henisz and Delios (2001), Guillen (2002), and Chung and Song
Henisz and Delios, 2001; Chung and Song, 2004; (2004) argue that network externalities could be stronger for
Alcacer, 2004). We thus expect the marginal ben- firms that had little or no international investment experience.
efits from agglomeration to be higher when firms They propose that network externalities from other firms would
be weaker or non-existent after firms had such experience. We
of the same nationality co-locate investments than experimented with various interaction effects between a firm or
they are when firms of different nationalities co- group’s prior entry experience and the count of other types
locate. of firms. The interaction terms were generally insignificant,
suggesting that our sample firms derived substantial network
It is also possible that an agglomeration of firms externalities from other firms even after they had investment
from the same nation might increase marginal experience.

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 601

On the other hand, negative network externali- are associated with business groups, also known
ties, such as groupthink and competition in product as chaebols. Within chaebols, individual affiliates
and factor markets, may be also industry spe- share considerable know-how and expertise. Thus,
cific, and thus shift marginal costs upward. It Korean firms provide an interesting setting to
is not clear whether the marginal benefits and gauge how strong network externalities are within
marginal costs schedules would intersect at a the boundaries of a firm or a group.
higher level of agglomeration for firms in the same The sample for this study consists of Korean
industry or firms in different industries. Porter firms’ direct investments in China between 1988
(1998) and Porter and Stern (2001) argue that and September 2002. Korean firms started to invest
intensified rivalry among firms in the same region in China through Hong Kong in 1988. Over
actually promotes innovation, and cite regional time, Korean firms have increased their invest-
clusters such as Silicon Valley for semiconduc- ments in China. By September 2002, Korean
tors as an example. We argue that the innovation- firms had invested 6000 times in China, for a
promoting effects of intensified rivalry among total of $4.1 billion in the manufacturing sec-
firms of the same industry within a regional clus- tor.4 When Korean firms invest overseas, they
ter are greater than the negative consequences of are required by law to report their investments
intensified competition in the factor and product to the government-owned Import–Export Bank of
markets are. We thus propose: Korea, which maintains a database on the names of
investors, dates, amounts, and locations of invest-
Hypothesis 4: Network externalities are stronger ing firms’ activities. For our sample, we selected
among firms in the same industry than they are Korean firms’ investments in China in the manu-
across industries. facturing sector whose declared investment amount
exceeded $1 million. We focused only on man-
ufacturing investments since manufacturing and
RESEARCH METHODS non-manufacturing sectors require rather differ-
ent types of experience, knowledge, workers, and
Sample other inputs. We also dropped small investments
(i.e., those less than $1 million) since we wanted
Korean firms’ investment activities in China pro- to have investments of comparable size by Korean
vide an interesting empirical setting to study our firms and the other foreign firms, as well as local
research questions. First, Korea ranked as the firms in our database. During 1988–2002, there
fifth largest investor in China, after the United were 661 investments that met our criteria. Among
States, Japan, Taiwan, and Singapore.3 Second, these cases, we dropped 121 cases from our sample
compared to U.S., European and Japanese multi- since the identities of investors were either individ-
nationals, Korean firms entered China relatively uals, rather than firms, or could not be confirmed
late. Most Korean investments in China took place due to bankruptcies or closures. We also deleted
after China and Korea established a diplomatic cases where the intended investment amount was
relationship in 1992. As a late entrant, Korean reported but did not materialize into an actual
firms had many opportunities to evaluate network investment by September 2002. The 540 invest-
externalities when they decided which locations ments in our sample were worth $3.2 billion, rep-
to enter. Third, Korean firms have a reputation resenting more than 78 percent of Korean firms’
for being ethnocentric and often emulating each total investment in the manufacturing sector in
other (Guillen, 2002). Thus, China provides a good China, as reported to the Import–Export Bank of
setting to test whether network externalities are Korea.
stronger among Korean firms than they are for Several firms in our sample invested in China at
other foreign firms. Fourth, many Korean firms least twice during our time study period. Samsung
Electronics and LG Electronics each invested 10
3
According to the official statistics, investments from Hong times, LG Chemical invested nine times, Hyundai
Kong and the U.S. Virgin Islands exceeded those from Korea. A
large portion of these countries’ investments, however, actually
4
came from firms in other nations that used Hong Kong and U.S. This figure excludes announced but unrealized investments and
Virgin Islands as tax havens or as a beachhead for entry into those that were liquidated or bankrupt from the Export-Import
China. Bank of Korea statistics, as of September 2002.

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
602 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

Motors invested six times, etc. Many of the firms of a region as a manufacturing base. Although
in our sample were associated with large business we acknowledge that highly skilled workers can
groups (Chang, 2003). The Export–Import Bank of be expensive in China and that wages are less
Korea uses the Korean Fair Trade Commission’s important in the capital and technology-intensive
definition of affiliation with a business group to industries, we assume that wages of skilled labors
determine whether individual firms belonged to will correlate with those of unskilled labors across
such groups.5 If we use this definition, for instance, regions. We thus expect that average wages are
affiliates of the LG Group, such as LG Electronics a proxy, albeit an imperfect one, for the relative
and LG Chemical, made a total of 27 investments cost of regional labor in China. Our Highway/area
in China. variable denotes the length of the highways in a
China is officially organized into 22 provinces, region in km divided by the size of the region
four special cities (Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and in km2 in order to gauge the quality of physical
Chongqing), and five autonomous regions, such as infrastructure. We expect the more well developed
Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang. We adopted China’s the highway system is, the more likely it is that
classification of regions since all vital statistics a firm prefers the location. The number of patents
in China are organized by region. Our sample of (in thousands) granted by the Chinese patent office
firms invested in 18 of these 31 regions. Figure 2 was included to reflect the technical skills of orga-
shows the geographic distribution of Korean firms’ nizations in a region. As documented by Sun
investments in China. Korean firms show some (2000), state and local research institutes as well
agglomeration in regions such as Beijing, Tian- as corporations in China have aggressively filed
jin, Liaoning, Shangdong, Jiangsu, Guangdong,
for local patents. Foreign firms are more likely to
and Shanghai. Compared to other foreign firms,
favor a location where there are a large number of
which concentrated heavily in Shanghai, Guang-
local patents. We collected all vital social statistics
dong, Beijing, and Tianjin, Korean firms dispersed
for the above variables from the China Statisti-
more into the northern provinces and other inner
cal Yearbook, 1988–2001, and matched these data
regions.
Although Koreans and Chinese are culturally with the year that each investment occurred. Since
similar, Korean firms are not free from the liabili- there are many ethnic Koreans in China who have
ties of foreignness. These firms reported various worked as translators and middle-level managers
difficulties, such as their relationships with the for the Chinese subsidiaries of Korean firms, we
government, motivating workers, and protecting included the number of ethnic Koreans in a region
their intangible resources (Export–Import Bank of (in thousands). We expect that the more ethnic
Korea, 2002). Therefore, transfers and spillovers Koreans there are in a region, the more attractive
of experience-based knowledge were critical to those regions are to Korean firms. We collected
improving the performance of these firms’ oper- the distribution of ethnic Koreans from the Popu-
ations. lation Survey. Not all statistics were available for
every year. The length of highway was not avail-
able until 1995, and the number of ethnic Koreans
Measures was available only for 1990 and 1998. We substi-
In order to reflect the location choices faced by tuted data for these variables with data from the
Korean firms at the time of investment, we col- closest year.
lected descriptive data for each region. We mea- In order to gauge the degree of network external-
sured the population of each region (in increments ities, we measured the cumulative counts of prior
of 10 million), expecting that firms would pre- investments by different types of firms at the time
fer locations with large markets. We included the of each investment. Prior studies using count vari-
average wage in the manufacturing sector (in thou- ables noted that the level of locally accumulated
sands RMB) to reflect the relative attractiveness experience, not just the binary variable noting the
mere presence of experience, was more critical to
5
The Korea Fair Trade Commission legally defines a business subsequent location decisions (Song, 2002). Count
group as ‘a group of companies, more than 30% of whose shares of a firm’s own prior entry measured the number
are owned by some individuals or by companies controlled by
those individuals, or those that are practically controlled by them of a focal firm’s own prior entries into each region
despite lower ownership control.’ up to the time of an entry event. Count of entry by
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 603

Distribution of Korean, foreign, and local firms in China


Figure 2.

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
604 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

firms within the same group reflected the cumu- We further classified our count measures into
lative count of entries by firms associated with two parts, reflecting the number of firms in the
the same business groups in each region up to the same industry and those in different industries.
time of each entry event. For firms with no group We used the Korean 2-digit Standard Industry
affiliation, this variable is coded as zero. Count of Classification (SIC) code to determine whether
other Korean firms was measured as the number firms were in the same industry as a focal firm.
of Korean firms not associated with the same busi- Dun & Bradstreet classified foreign and local firms
ness groups that were operating in each region at in China according to the 2-digit U.S. SIC, which
the time of each entry. we converted to the 2-digit Korean SIC. In some
It is hard to keep track of how many foreign and models, we used variables that aggregated the
local Chinese firms existed in each year. During various count variables defined above. Count of
the last decade, the number of foreign firms setting all unrelated firms is defined as the sum of count
up their operations in China exploded. There was variables for other Korean firms, other foreign
also substantial restructuring among local firms in firms, and local Chinese firms in a region. Count
China. Many formerly state-owned firms and coop- of all firms in a regional network adds a firm’s
eratives were transformed into joint stock compa- own entries and entries by firms affiliated with the
nies and were privatized. During this transforma- same group on top of count of all unrelated firms,
tion process, there were many mergers and acqui- thus comprising all types of firms in a regional
sitions among local firms. At the same time, the network. In order to measure the joint effects of
Chinese government encouraged foreign firms to positive and negative network externalities, we
form joint ventures with local firms in order to measured the monotonic and squared terms of
transfer technology or know-how and to maintain these count variables. If a squared term has a
employment. We collected data for prior entries by negative coefficient and a monotonic term has a
non-Korean foreign firms and local firms from Dun positive one, that discrepancy may indicate an
& Bradstreet’s Major Corporations in P.R. China inverted U-shaped relationship.
2001. This directory consists of two volumes. Vol-
ume 1 contains a total of 2953 major foreign firms’
Methodology
own subsidiaries and their joint ventures in the
manufacturing sector in China. Volume 2 contains This study uses a conditional logit model to test
information on a total of 1341 major Chinese firms our hypotheses (McFadden, 1974). Our sample
in the manufacturing sector. The directory does firm faces a set of location choices, each of which
not supply any other information apart from the has different attributes. Since the conditional logit
number of employees, the names of parent firms, model requires all choices to be selected at least
the year of entry, and the addresses and contact once, we included only 18 regions, all of which
information of operations.6 The average number were invested in at least once.7
of employees of foreign firms in this directory was The conditional logit model has been widely
246, while it was 1580 for local firms. The average used to analyze how agents choose from a large
number of employees for the 540 Korean firms in set of alternatives. It is relevant for location
our sample was 817, suggesting that the Korean choices in foreign direct investment (Head et al.,
firms in our database were somewhat larger than 1995; Shaver and Flyer, 2000). It focuses on
the foreign firms but smaller than the Chinese firms the attributes of each location in the choice set.
listed in Dun & Bradstreet’s directory. Count of Attributes for each region, including population,
other foreign firms and count of local firms were average wage, highway/area, ethnic Koreans, and
measured as the number of manufacturing oper- number of patents, were the same for all Korean
ations of non-Korean multinationals and Chinese firms investing in China at time t. Count variables
local firms, respectively, operating in each region reflecting the number of incumbent firms that were
at the time of each entry. sources of network externalities were measured
according to the identities of investing firms. This
6
According to our telephone interview with managers at Dun
7
& Bradstreet, this publication used various criteria such as sales Refer to our discussion of the robustness tests in which we
and number of employees to select ‘major’ foreign and local examined the independence of irrelevant alternatives in the
firms to be included in the directory. results section.

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 605

model estimates how each attribute increases or independent variable, Xl , can be calculated by dif-
decreases the chance that a location will be cho- ferentiating Equation 3:
sen rather than all other potential locations. Let
us define an underlying latent variable, Vij t , to ∂ Prob (Yit = j ) Xl
Elasticity1ij t =
represent the utility a firm i derives from open- ∂Xl Prob (Yit = j )
ing a manufacturing operation in region j at time = βl [1 − Prob (Yit = j )] (4)
t. Since there were m regions where firms could
enter during our time study period, each observa- Summing over all firms and choices, the relation-
tion (i.e., a firm choosing a location) has m rows ship between the average probability elasticity and
of data, each corresponding to a specific region. the coefficient estimate, βl , is:
Assuming a linear relationship with the latent vari-
able, we can write:    m−1
Elasticity1 = Elasticity1ij t = βl
i j t m
Vij t = βXij t + eij t (1) (5)
The above expression discounts the coefficient
X is a vector of independent variables that affect by (m − 1)/m. Since we have 18 regions in our
choices. If a firm makes choice j in particular, then dataset, we have to multiply individual coefficients
we assume that Vij t is the maximum among the m by 0.94 (=17/18) to calculate the average proba-
utilities. Hence, the statistical model is driven by bilities elasticity.
the probability that choice j is made, which is:
RESULTS
Prob(Vij t > Vikt ) for all other k = j (2)
Tables 1 and 2 show, respectively, descriptive
Let Yit be a random variable that indicates a choice statistics and results from conditional logit models.
made by firm i at time t. Assuming independence The odd-numbered models in Table 2 include only
of irrelevant alternatives, the probability that a firm monotonic variables, while the even-numbered
i chooses j location at time t can be written as models include both monotonic and squared terms
follows: to test for curvilinear relationships. Model 1 shows
a baseline model, in which the count of all firms
Prob(Yit = j ) = exp(βXij t )/ in a regional network was included in addition
[k=1...m exp(βXikt )] (3) to regional attributes such as population, average
wage, highway/area, number of ethnic Koreans,
The maximum likelihood method is used to esti- and patents. The results showed that Korean firms
mate β, which we can use to test whether various preferred regions that were characterized by large
independent variables significantly affect the prob- populations, low wages, a well-developed high-
ability that one region will be chosen among all way system, a large population of ethnic Kore-
the regions in the choice set. In this conditional ans, and a large number of patents. The count
logit model, β cannot be interpreted as marginal of all firms in a region was positive and signifi-
effects as it could be in a linear regression. The cant, suggesting the existence of positive network
marginal effects can be derived by differentiating externalities. The chi-square statistic shows the
Equation 3 with respect to the independent vari- model to be highly significant, with p < 0.001.
ables, X. In order to interpret the magnitude of the The pseudo R 2 is 0.1826, suggesting reasonable
coefficient, we can calculate the ‘average probabil- model fit.9
ities elasticity,’ as reported in Head et al. (1995), In Model 2, we added a squared term of the
which referred to an independent variable’s proba- count of all types of firms in a region to test for a
bility elasticity for the average option in the choice curvilinear relationship. When we added this term,
set.8 The elasticity of the probability of a partic- both the monotonic and the squared terms of the
ular firm i choosing region j with respect to an
9
Pseudo R-squared is defined as one minus the ratio of the
maximum likelihood functions of a model without any explana-
8
See the appendix of Head et al. (1995) for more details about tory variable divided by the model that includes all explanatory
how to derive for the average probability elasticity. variables.

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
606 S.-J. Chang and S. Park
Table 1. Descriptive statistics

Mean S.D. Minimum Maximum

(1) Population (10 million) 4.05 2.32 0.64 9.04


(2) Average wage (thousands RMB) 5.68 3.05 1.34 20.41
(3) Highway (km)/area (km2 ) 40.38 48.35 1.06 277.27
(4) Ethnic Koreans (thousands) 105.03 284.45 0.07 1181.96
(5) Patents (thousands) 2.13 2.32 0.01 18.26
(6) Count of all firms in a regional network 182.96 334.97 0.00 1965.00
(7) Count of a firm’s own prior entry 0.002 0.19 0.00 4.00
(8) Count of entry by firms within the same group 0.01 0.45 0.00 10.00
(9) Count of all unrelated firms 182.85 334.91 0.00 1963.00
(10) Count of other Korean firms 13.28 26.53 0.00 185.00
(11) Count of other Korean firms in the same industry 1.06 3.11 0.00 34.00
(12) Count of other Korean firms in different industries 12.22 24.54 0.00 184.00
(13) Count of other foreign firms 117.25 292.71 0.00 1651.00
(14) Count of other foreign firms in the same industry 6.71 21.44 0.00 206.00
(15) Count of other foreign firms in different industries 110.53 277.04 0.00 1651.00
(16) Count of local firms 52.31 56.59 0.00 281.00
(17) Count of local firms in the same industry 3.24 5.74 0.00 55.00
(18) Count of local firms in different industries 49.07 53.43 0.00 281.00

Correlation matrix

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18)

(1) 1.00
(2) −0.13 1.00
(3) −0.30 0.65 1.00
(4) −0.15 −0.14 −0.20 1.00
(5) 0.32 0.54 0.32 −0.11 1.00
(6) −0.16 0.63 0.62 −0.17 0.35 1.00
(7) 0.05 0.08 0.09 −0.02 0.08 0.06 1.00
(8) 0.04 0.14 0.16 −0.03 0.14 0.08 0.61 1.00
(9) −0.16 0.63 0.62 −0.17 0.35 0.99 0.06 0.08 1.00
(10) 0.38 0.26 0.34 −0.07 0.37 0.24 0.13 0.15 0.24 1.00
(11) 0.23 0.20 0.28 −0.06 0.28 0.18 0.18 0.26 0.18 0.67 1.00
(12) 0.38 0.25 0.33 −0.07 0.36 0.24 0.12 0.13 0.24 0.99 0.60 1.00
(13) −0.30 0.59 0.60 −0.14 0.26 0.98 0.03 0.06 0.98 0.07 0.07 0.07 1.00
(14) −0.23 0.45 0.46 −0.11 0.20 0.73 0.06 0.08 0.73 0.05 0.13 0.04 0.74 1.00
(15) −0.30 0.59 0.60 −0.14 0.26 0.97 0.03 0.06 0.97 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.99 0.71 1.00
(16) 0.40 0.51 0.42 −0.22 0.57 0.73 0.11 0.12 0.73 0.57 0.37 0.57 0.59 0.43 0.59 1.00
(17) 0.25 0.30 0.22 −0.13 0.38 0.41 0.11 0.14 0.41 0.31 0.34 0.29 0.33 0.38 0.32 0.58 1.00
(18) 0.39 0.51 0.42 −0.22 0.56 0.73 0.10 0.11 0.73 0.58 0.36 0.58 0.59 0.42 0.59 0.99 0.51 1.00

N = 9720 (= 540 × 18).

count variable lost significance. We performed a was very small, indicating that we could not reject
log-likelihood test by taking the ratio of the maxi- the null hypothesis. Thus, Hypothesis 1 was not
mum probability under the constraint of the null supported when we lumped all different types of
hypothesis (i.e., the coefficient for the squared
firms into a single category and measured net-
term equals zero) to the maximum likelihood
with that constraint relaxed. The −2 log-likelihood work externalities. The network externalities from
has an asymptotic distribution of chi-square. The all types of firms combined into a single measure
difference in chi-square at the bottom of Table 2 seemed monotonic rather than curvilinear.
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 607

Models 1 and 2 assumed that the firms consti- somewhat tricky to test Hypothesis 2 in a non-
tuting a regional network were homogeneous. In linear model such as Model 4. Since only the
subsequent models, we relaxed this assumption by count of entry by firms affiliated with the same
disaggregating firms into different types and test- business groups turned significant in a curvilinear
ing hypotheses that corresponded to these types. model, we found some support for Hypothesis 2
Models 3 and 4 tested Hypothesis 2 by identifying in Model 4.
within a region a focal firm’s own prior entries, It is worth noting that network externalities from
entries by affiliated firms, and entries by firms not a firm’s own prior entries seemed monotonically
related to a focal firm in any way. In Model 3, positive, while the impact of entries by firms affil-
which assumes linear relationships, all three count iated with the same business groups was inverted.
variables were significantly positive, suggesting The results may suggest that a firm does not
positive network externalities. The coefficients for expect much conflict or competition among its own
a firm’s own entry and the count of firms affiliated investments in the same region. In contrast, affili-
with the same business group were much greater ated firms, which transfer their own local managers
than was the count of all unrelated firms. When to other affiliates or share other resources with each
we calculate the average probability elasticity, a other, may incur some costs. It is also possible that
100 percent increase in the number of a firm’s business groups discourage too much agglomera-
prior entries in a region increases the likelihood of tion from occurring in any one region in order to
choosing that region by 46.6 percent (i.e., 0.496 × guard against the harmful effects of agglomeration
0.94 × 100). Similarly, a 100 percent increase in and achieve a well-balanced approach to the entire
the number of prior entries within a region by Chinese market. LG Group’s actions provide some
affiliate firms increases the likelihood of choosing anecdotal evidence for this conjecture.
that region by 47.7 percent (0.508 × 0.94 × 100). Models 5 and 6 subdivided the category of
In contrast, a 100 percent increase in the num- unrelated firms by the national origin of firms in
ber of unrelated firms in that region increases the order to test Hypothesis 3. Model 5 showed that the
likelihood that a focal firm chooses this region by counts of other Korean firms and local firms in a
only 0.1 percent (= 0.001 × 0.94 × 100). We per- region were positively related to the likelihood that
formed a log-likelihood test to determine whether a firm located in this region, suggesting positive
these differences in the size of coefficients were network externalities. In contrast, the count of
statistically significant by positing Model 1 as a other foreign firms was negative and significant,
null hypothesis, where coefficients for these three suggesting negative network externalities. When
types of firms were constrained to be equal. The we calculate the average probability elasticities,
log-likelihood test comparing Models 1 and 3 a 100 percent increase in the number of other
rejected the null hypothesis at p < 0.001, suggest- Korean firms in a region increases the likelihood
ing that the differences in coefficients were signif- that a firm located in this region by 0.8 percent,
icant. Thus, we found strong support for Hypoth- while the same increase in the number of foreign
esis 2. firms decreases the likelihood that a firm located
Model (4) added the squared terms of three in this region by 0.1 percent. The log-likelihood
count variables to test for curvilinear relationships. test comparing Models 3 and 5 rejected the null
The results for it showed that the coefficient for hypothesis that coefficients for these three count
count of entries by affiliate firms was positive and variables were equal. Thus, we found support for
significant, while the coefficient for its squared Hypothesis 3.
term was negative and significant, suggesting a Model 6 added the squared terms of count
curvilinear relationship. Both the monotonic and variables. Compared to Model 4, curvilinear pat-
the squared terms for the count of a firm’s own terns emerged more strongly when we disag-
prior entries and the count of unrelated firms in that gregated the category of unrelated firms. Both
region were insignificant in Model 4, suggesting the count of other Korean firms and local Chi-
monotonic rather than curvilinear relationships. nese firms showed inverted U-shaped relation-
The log-likelihood test comparing Models 3 and ships, consistent with our expectation, while the
4 rejected the null hypothesis that coefficients count of other foreign firms showed a U-shaped
for all squared terms were zero. Thus, Model 4 relationship, contrary to our expectation. The log-
provided some support for Hypothesis 1. It is likelihood test comparing Models 5 and 6 rejected
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
608

Table 2. Conditional logit model of location choices by Korean firms in China

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
S.-J. Chang and S. Park

Population (10 million) 0.406 (0.027)∗∗∗ 0.404 (0.029)∗∗∗ 0.383 (0.028)∗∗∗ 0.382 (0.029)∗∗∗ 0.149 (0.043)∗∗∗ 0.060 (0.047) 0.139 (0.043)∗∗ 0.059 (0.047)
Average wage (thousands −0.156 (0.043)∗∗∗ −0.156 (0.043)∗∗∗ −0.195 (0.045)∗∗∗ −0.194 (0.045)∗∗∗ −0.027 (0.055) −0.085 (0.063) 0.019 (0.056) −0.079 (0.063)
RMB)
Highway (km)/area (km2 ) 0.025 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.025 (0.001)∗∗∗ 0.022 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.023 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.015 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.013 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.014 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.013 (0.002)∗∗∗
Number of ethnic Koreans 0.001 (0.000)∗∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗
(thousands)
Patents (thousands) 0.136 (0.027)∗∗∗ 0.132 (0.033)∗∗∗ 0.138 (0.027)∗∗∗ 0.135 (0.033)∗∗∗ 0.101 (0.028)∗∗∗ 0.130 (0.034)∗∗∗ 0.098 (0.028)∗∗ 0.132 (0.034)∗∗∗
Count of all firms in a 0.001 (0.000)∗ 0.001 (0.001)
regional network
Count of a firm’s own prior 0.496 (0.195)∗ 0.571 (0.369) 0.387 (0.197)∗ 0.320 (0.371) 0.393 (0.198)∗ 0.239 (0.368)
entries
Count of entry by firms in 0.508 (0.108)∗∗∗ 0.899 (0.192)∗∗∗ 0.542 (0.108)∗∗∗ 0.941 (0.193)∗∗∗ 0.495 (0.106)∗∗∗ 0.920 (0.193)∗∗∗
the same group
Count of all unrelated firms 0.001 (0.000)∗∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)
(other Korean, foreign,
locals)
Count of other Korean firms 0.009 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.033 (0.004)∗∗∗
—in the same industry 0.062 (0.014)∗∗∗ 0.127 (0.030)∗∗∗
—in different industries 0.005 (0.002)∗ 0.025 (0.004)∗∗∗
Count of other foreign firms −0.001 (0.000)∗ −0.002 (0.001)∗
—in the same industry 0.006 (0.003)∗ 0.012 (0.007)†
—in different industries −0.001 (0.000)∗∗ −0.003 (0.001)∗∗
Count of local firms 0.008 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.015 (0.004)∗∗∗
—in the same industry 0.010 (0.009) 0.024 (0.026)
—in different industries 0.008 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.015 (0.005)∗∗
Count of all firms in a 0.000 (0.000)
regional network2
Count of a firm’s own prior −0.085 (0.131) −0.035 (0.130) −0.008 (0.126)
entries2
Count of entry by affiliate −0.064 (0.026)∗ −0.069 (0.026)∗∗ −0.075 (0.026)∗∗
firms2
Count of all unrelated firms2 0.000 (0.000)

Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)


Count of other Korean −0.133 (0.025)∗∗∗
firms2 /1000
—in the same −3.085 (1.103)∗∗∗
industry2 /1000
—in different −0.123 (0.029)∗∗∗
industries2 /1000
Count of other foreign 0.001 (0.001)∗
firms2 /1000
—in the same −0.031 (0.038)
industry2 /1000
—in different 0.002 (0.001)∗∗
industries2 /1000
Count of local firms2 /1000 −0.046 (0.020)∗

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


—in the same −0.872 (0.765)
industry2 /1000
—in different −0.048 (0.022)∗
industries2 /1000
Log-likelihood −1275.8 −1125.8 −1245.2 −1240.2 −1219.0 −1188.1 −1210.0 −1175.7
Chi-square (d.f.) 569.9(6)∗∗∗ 570.0(7)∗∗∗ 631.2(8)∗∗∗ 641.3(11)∗∗∗ 683.5(10)∗∗∗ 745.3(15)∗∗∗ 701.5(13)∗∗∗ 770.1(21)∗∗∗
Pseudo R 2 0.1826 0.1826 0.2022 0.2054 0.2190 0.2388 0.2247 0.2467
Log-likelihood test: (2) vs. (1) (3) vs. (1) (4) vs. (3) (5) vs. (3) (6) vs. (5) (7) vs. (5) (8) vs. (7)
Comparing models
Differences in chi-squares 0.1 (1) 61.3 (2)∗∗∗ 10.1 (3)∗ 7.3 (2)∗ 61.8 (5)∗∗∗ 18.0 (3)∗∗∗ 64.6 (8)∗∗∗
(d.f.)

∗∗∗ ∗∗
p < 0.001; p < 0.01; ∗ p < 0.05; † p < 0.10. Standard deviations are in parentheses. N = 9720
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities

Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)


609
Table 3. Robustness tests of the independence from irrelevant alternatives

Excluding Shanghai Excluding regions with 610


less than 3 entries
Variable (1) (2) (3) (4)

Population (10 million) 0.123 (0.047)∗∗ −0.042 (0.055) 0.130 (0.044)∗∗ 0.066 (0.048)
Average wage (thousands RMB) −0.044 (0.084) −0.327 (0.092)∗∗∗ −0.015 (0.056) −0.101 (0.063)
Highway (km)/area (km2 ) 0.018 (0.003)∗∗∗ 0.011 (0.003)∗∗∗ 0.012 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.011 (0.003)∗∗∗
Number of ethnic Koreans (thousands) 0.001 (0.000)∗∗ 0.001 (0.000)∗ 0.000 (0.000)† 0.000 (0.000)
Patents 0.134 (0.042)∗∗ 0.107 (0.038)∗∗ 0.081 (0.029)∗∗ 0.122 (0.034)∗∗∗

Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Count of a firm’s own prior entry 0.432 (0.203)∗ 0.264 (0.375) 0.369 (0.197)† 0.218 (0.368)
Count of entry by firms in the same group 0.502 (0.112)∗∗∗ 0.876 (0.197)∗∗∗ 0.491 (0.106)∗∗∗ 0.913 (0.193)∗∗∗
S.-J. Chang and S. Park

Count of other Korean firms in the same 0.058 (0.015)∗∗∗ 0.130 (0.031)∗∗∗ 0.067 (0.014)∗∗∗ 0.125 (0.030)∗∗∗
industry
Count of other Korean firms in different 0.003 (0.003) 0.020 (0.005)∗∗∗ 0.004 (0.002)† 0.024 (0.005)∗∗∗
industries
Count of other foreign firms in the same 0.013 (0.006)∗ 0.002 (0.019) 0.007 (0.003)∗ 0.012 (0.007)†
industry
Count of other foreign firms in different −0.002 (0.001)∗ 0.003 (0.003) −0.001 (0.000)∗ −0.003 (0.001)∗
industries
Count of local firms in the same industry 0.006 (0.010) 0.036 (0.031) 0.009 (0.009) 0.018 (0.026)
Count of local firms in different industries 0.009 (0.003)∗∗∗ 0.035 (0.007)∗∗∗ 0.007 (0.002)∗∗∗ 0.011 (0.004)∗
Count of a firm’s own prior entry2 −0.001 (0.126) 0.001 (0.126)
Count of entry by the same group firms2 −0.071 (0.027)∗∗ −0.075 (0.026)∗∗
Count of other Korean firms in the same −3.085 (1.103)∗∗∗ −2.845 (1.112)∗∗
industry2 /1000
Count of other Korean firms in different −0.123 (0.029)∗∗∗ −0.121 (0.029)∗∗∗
industries2 /1000
Count of other foreign firms in the same 0.270 (0.344) −0.028 (0.038)
industry2 /1000
Count of other foreign firms in different −0.009 (0.006) 0.002 (0.001)∗
industries2 /1000
Count of local firms in the same industry2 /1000 −1.510 (0.957) −0.669 (0.756)
Count of local firms in different −0.121 (0.029)∗∗∗ −0.035 (0.022)
industries2 /1000
Log-likelihood −1081.8 −1038.8 −1162.0 −1131.8
Chi-square (d.f.) 720.6(13)∗∗∗ 806.6(21)∗∗∗ 579.1(13)∗∗∗ 639.4(21)∗∗∗
Pseudo R 2 0.2498 0.2797 0.1995 0.2467
N 8653 8653 8040 8040

∗∗∗ ∗∗
p < 0.001; p < 0.01; ∗ p < 0.05; † p < 0.10. Standard deviations are in parentheses.

Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)


Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 611

the null hypothesis that all the coefficients for network externalities by co-locating with foreign
squared terms equaled zero. Model 6 provided sup- firms from different industries, perhaps because
port for Hypothesis 1. of increased competition in factor markets. In
The results for Model 6 showed that the number contrast, the presence of local firms in the same
of unrelated Korean firms initially increased the industry did not seem to attract Korean firms in
likelihood of co-location up to a certain level (the China. Since many local Chinese firms trailed
estimated inflection point seemed to be around 124 Korean firms in terms of technological know-how,
entries) but depressed it after that level. Korean the net flow of knowledge was from Korean firms
firms may compete with each other for some to local firms. A Korean firm might derive more
Korean-specific inputs. For instance, Korean firms benefits from locating in a region where local
may compete to hire managers who understand firms in industries different from the Korean firm’s
the local culture and speak Korean. The intensified had already created an industrial infrastructure and
competition in factor markets associated with in- an ample supply of workers. The log-likelihood
creased co-location could outweigh any additional test comparing Models 5 and 7 rejected the null
positive externalities derived from agglomeration. hypothesis that the coefficients for count variables
On the other hand, the results for foreign firms were the same regardless of industry. Thus, we
were initially negative, but turned positive after a found support for Hypothesis 4.
certain level (the estimated inflection point seemed Model 8 tested for curvilinear relationships by
to be around 1000 entries). Again, it is hard to adding the squared terms of the count variables
test Hypothesis 3 in a non-linear model. Yet the in Model 7. All these variables showed inverted
fact that network externalities from other Korean U-shaped relationships in Model 6 except for the
firms were positive up to 124 entries but were count of foreign firms in different industries, which
negative for other foreign firms up until 1000 showed a U-shaped relationship, the count of for-
entries provides some support for Hypothesis 3. eign firms in the same industry, which was mono-
This result seemed consistent with the distribu- tonically positive, and the count of local firms in
tion of Korean and foreign firms. Korean firms the same industry, which was insignificant. The
entered both regions where many foreign firms log-likelihood test comparing Models 7 and 8
were present and regions where very few foreign rejected the null hypothesis that the coefficients for
firms entered. all squared terms were zero, providing additional
Models 7 and 8 used industry classification to support for Hypothesis 1.
distinguish firms. For Model 7, where monotonic In order to check the robustness of our results,
relationships are assumed, the coefficient for the we implemented several alternative formulations.
count of Korean firms in the same industry was The conditional logit model relies on the assump-
much larger than that of Korean firms in differ- tion of independence of irrelevant alternatives,
ent industries was. If we calculate the average which means that the relative probability of choos-
probability elasticities, a 100 percent increase of ing two alternatives does not depend on the avail-
other Korean firms in the same industry in a region ability of other alternatives (McFadden, 1974;
increases the likelihood that a firm locates in this Hausman and McFadden, 1984). To demonstrate
region by 5.8 percent. On the other hand, the same robustness regarding the assumption of indepen-
increase in other Korean firms in different indus- dence from irrelevant alternatives, we experimen-
tries increases the likelihood a firm locates in that ted with different subsamples. Models 1 and 2 of
region by only 0.5 percent. This result suggests Table 3 showed the same specifications as Models
that Korean firms in the same industries created 7 and 8 of Table 2, while we dropped Shanghai
large network externalities among themselves by from our choice set. Shanghai received a total
sharing technology or know-how and providing of 1651 foreign entries, which represented more
legitimacy. than 55 percent of all foreign entries. We dropped
The results for Model 7 also demonstrated that Shanghai from the choice set in order to see
the negative coefficient for the count of other whether negative network externalities from for-
foreign firms in Model 5 was driven by foreign eign firms in different industries might disappear.
firms in different industries. Korean firms derived As in Model 1 of Table 3, the negative impact
positive network externalities from foreign firms in of foreign firms in different industries was sus-
the same industries. These firms derived negative tained even after we dropped Shanghai from the
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
612 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

choice set. The relationship between the count of attention. Our study confirmed a regional agglom-
foreign firms in different industries and the likeli- eration pattern for our sample of Korean firms
hood of co-location seemed to be monotonic rather in China. It is consistent with prior research that
than curvilinear after we dropped Shanghai. We observes the agglomeration of Japanese firms in
also experimented with different cut-off points in the United States (Head et al., 1995; Shaver and
determining the number of regions to be included Flyer, 2000; Chung and Song, 2004), and the
in the choice set. For instance, when we dropped innovation-promoting aspects of regional clusters
regions that received fewer than three entries, Xin- (Porter, 1998; Porter and Stern, 2001). Those
jian, Anhui, and Hubei were excluded from this works treated network externalities as location spe-
choice set. Models 3 and 4 showed results with cific but not as firm specific. By doing so, they
only 15 choice sets. These results seemed consis- might have erred in treating all firms within the
tent with the ones in Table 2. network as homogeneous. This study enhances our
We also tested whether multiple entries by the theoretical understanding by defining and measur-
same firms could affect our estimations. In a linear ing network externalities as specific to a focal firm
regression, it is relatively easy to include either in question. It highlights the fact that investing
fixed effects or random effects to account for firms derive levels of network externalities that
such panel data. Including such effects is trickier, vary according to firm boundaries, nationality, and
however, for the conditional logit model, as this industry affiliation. This new perspective on net-
model calculates the conditional likelihood for work externalities as firm specific generates several
each choice set. We therefore experimented by implications for further research.
dropping firms that invested more than once in First, we empirically confirmed that the compo-
China. The results of this test were consistent with sition of a network influences what network exter-
those reported in this study. We also experimented nalities exist. The types of firms that constituted a
with a model where we grouped multiple entries regional network were heterogeneous and created
and their other alternatives in the choice sets by the varying degrees of network externalities. We found
same firm (or group) into a single choice set and that network externalities were stronger among
calculated the conditional likelihood. For example, firms in the same business group, among firms
when a firm (or group) invested twice during the of the same nationalities, and among firms in the
time study period, there were two regions that the same industries.
firm (group) entered and 34 (i.e., 2 × 17) regions Second, while prior work portrayed network
that it did not enter in the new choice set. Such externalities as monotonic, we found they were
specification generated results very similar to those curvilinear, especially when we defined network
reported in this study.10 externalities as firm specific and classified the
types of firms constituting a regional network more
precisely. We argued that negative network exter-
DISCUSSION nalities occur when firms have spillovers of their
own technology or knowledge, when there is inten-
Multinational corporations’ location choices within sified competition in factor markets, and when the
a foreign country have only recently received potential for groupthink exists, and that these costs
outweighed any positive network externalities after
10
We also experimented with alternative specifications of attri- a certain level. It is interesting to note that agglom-
butes. Several prior works that studied agglomeration patterns,
such as Head et al. (1995) and Chung and Song (2004), included eration of firms of the same type is subject to a
‘alternative specific constants’ instead of various attributes for curvilinear relationship, suggesting that agglom-
each region, which we used in this study. Alternative specific eration of the same type of firms is not benefi-
constants are equivalent to region-specific dummy variables.
Although such regional dummy variables may be able to cap- cial beyond a certain point. On the other hand,
ture unspecified regional attributes other than the five attribute agglomeration of other foreign firms in the same
variables specified in this study, they have the great limita- industry shows a monotonically increasing pattern.
tion of being time-invariant. In a dynamic country such as
China, such variables seemed inappropriate. When we added This finding is consistent with Porter and Stern’s
these region-specific dummy variables to the regional attributes (2001) argument that agglomeration of firms with
in our study, however, most of these regional attribute variables diverse backgrounds facilitates innovation.
turned insignificant. Since we were interested in observing which
attributes explained location choices, we preferred using attribute Third, this study found that a firm’s own prior
variables rather than regional dummy variables. entry, as well as entries by firms associated with
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
Types of Firms Generating Network Externalities 613

the same business groups, created the greatest net- learn Chinese and absorb Chinese culture. Kore-
work externalities. The impact of a firm’s own ans also share some cultural heritage with China.
prior entry or entries by firms in the same busi- Korean firms might thus feel more confident about
ness groups, gauged by average elasticity, was 470 operating in China relative to firms from other
times higher than that of an unrelated firm’s entry countries, which may explain why Korean firms
(i.e., 46.7–47.7% vs. 0.1%). This result suggests spread into many geographic regions while foreign
that experience-based knowledge is best trans- firms tended to concentrate in a few locations.
ferred or spilled over within the boundaries of a Third, there might be strong network externali-
firm, confirming that it is difficult to transfer tacit ties among Korean firms because of ethnocentrism.
knowledge across firm boundaries (Kogut and Zan- Future research should examine whether MNCs
der, 1992; Szulanski, 1996). The results may also originating in other countries show similar patterns
indicate that firms imitate other firms in the same of strong network externalities with firms of the
business group to gain legitimacy or reduce uncer- same nationalities. Fourth, this study lumped all
tainty. This study therefore provides a rationale other foreign companies into one category. MNCs
for the regional patterns of agglomeration by busi- from other nations may derive stronger network
ness groups that have been observed for Japanese externalities from firms of similar culture than they
vertical keiretsu in the United States (Head et al., do from those of dissimilar ones. Disaggregating
1995). This study also reconfirms the findings of the ‘foreign firms’ category into subgroups accord-
Chung and Song (2004) that agglomeration occurs ing to cultural similarities may show much stronger
more within firms than between firms. relationships from foreign firms than the ones we
Fourth, it advances our understanding of network documented. Similarly, this study did not explicitly
externalities by integrating literature from orga- consider relatedness/complementarities of indus-
tries. Considering industries at a more disaggre-
nizational theory and economics. Our hypotheses
gated level and examining relatedness among them
reflected economists’ arguments that agglomera-
would help capture network externalities more
tion occurs because of phenomena like knowledge
precisely.
spillovers and the sharing of various infrastructures
Fifth, this study focused only on the hetero-
(Marshall, 1920; Krugman, 1991). Our hypothe-
geneity of firms that were already in China and
ses were also consistent with organizational the-
had created network externalities, but it did not
ory, namely in arguing that network externali-
address the heterogeneity of investing firms them-
ties occurred because firms wished to gain legit- selves. Shaver and Flyer (2000) and Chung and
imacy and reduce uncertainty through imitation Song (2004) argued that investing firms’ hetero-
(DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Levitt and March, geneity also affects co-location decisions. Further
1988; Guillen, 2002; Henisz and Delios, 2001). We studies to assess the effects of such heterogeneity
argued that the curvilinear relationship between the are warranted.
number of firms and the likelihood of co-location This study demonstrated that firms tended to co-
would be more apparent when agglomeration was locate with others to benefit from network external-
motivated by a desire to gain legitimacy rather ities. Our results suggest, however, that this gen-
than by real economic gains. In demonstrating this eralization is misleading. Because network exter-
relationship, our study improves understanding of nalities showed curvilinear patterns as we defined
co-location. types of firms within the network more narrowly,
This study has several limitations. First, we above a certain threshold, negative network exter-
could not empirically distinguish economic rea- nalities could outweigh positive ones. Since a
sons for agglomeration from reasons proposed by regional network comprises many types of firms,
organizational theorists, such as uncertainty avoid- managers who make location decisions should bal-
ance and legitimacy. Researchers should develop ance between positive and negative network exter-
measures that can empirically distinguish these two nalities.
sets of reasons other than simple count-based mea- Furthermore, this study showed that some firms
sures. Second, it is possible that the results of this coordinated location decisions to hedge against the
study may reflect idiosyncrasies of Korean firms. possible negative impacts of agglomeration in a
Korea is closely located to China, and Koreans few locations. LG Group’s strategy to spread the
use Chinese characters, so it is easier for them to operations of its individual affiliates over many
Copyright  2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 26: 595–615 (2005)
614 S.-J. Chang and S. Park

regions is a good example. Business divisions in Chang S. 2003. Financial Crisis and Transformation
an affiliate may be attracted to the immediate ben- of Korean Business Groups: The Rise and Fall of
efits from locating near its own previous invest- Chaebols. Cambridge University Press: New York.
Chang S, Rosenzweig P. 2001. The choice of entry
ment. Since most diversified MNCs are organized mode in sequential foreign direct investment. Strategic
into semi-autonomous business divisions that make Management Journal 22(8): 747–776.
their own foreign entry decisions, the hazards of Chung W, Alcacer J. 2002. Knowledge seeking and
negative network externalities that come from too location choice of foreign direct investment in the
much agglomeration can be substantial. Thus, our United States. Management Science 48: 1534–1554.
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Financial support from the Korea Research Foun- Dunning J. 1988. Explaining International Production.
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Research Award is also gratefully acknowledged. Export–Import Bank of Korea: Seoul, Korea.
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