Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
ANLISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1. Completar el dato faltante para el ao 1955 de la tabla 8.4, haciendo la correlacin
de los datos de la tabla 8.4 y 8.5 para los aos comunes.
AO
SANTO DOMINGO
VENTANILLA
1939
16.949
22.802
1940
12.812
22.386
1941
16.010
28.268
1942
14.080
13.736
1943
26.704
31.352
1944
13.872
25.602
1945
8.373
27.134
1946
14.733
23.199
1947
13.848
22.960
1948
15.664
28.324
1949
11.827
34.369
1950
10.583
15.523
1951
20.459
13.689
1952
19.416
28.123
1953
19.684
72.637
1954
17.690
20.793
1955
DATO FALTANTE
23.595
1956
11.485
30.560
1957
10.112
34.191
1958
9.872
22.688
1959
14.276
25.087
1960
12.270
22.306
1961
21.189
18.445
1962
17.023
29.043
1963
22.148
18.330
1964
18.188
23.679
1965
18.055
27.359
1966
10.480
14.599
1967
30.106
34.778
1968
8.250
6.695
1969
13.641
21.972
1970
18.306
22.073
1971
15.935
38.698
1972
33.480
24.518
1973
25.139
43.620
1974
20.321
27.522
1975
13.632
39.454
1976
15.395
23.153
1977
15.277
29.701
1978
10.026
6.462
1979
11.300
16.494
1980
9.613
6.395
PNormal
16.054
25.335
1955/PNormal
0.931
16.054*PNormal
SANTO
DOMINGO
16.949
12.812
16.010
14.080
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.684
17.690
14.952
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.270
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.480
30.106
VENTANILLA
22.802
22.386
28.268
13.736
31.352
25.602
27.134
23.199
22.960
28.324
34.369
15.523
13.689
28.123
72.637
20.793
23.595
30.560
34.191
22.688
25.087
22.306
18.445
29.043
18.330
23.679
27.359
14.599
34.778
ACUMULADO
Sto Domingo
16.949
29.761
45.771
59.851
86.555
100.427
108.800
123.533
137.381
153.045
164.872
175.455
195.914
215.330
235.014
252.704
267.656
279.141
289.253
299.125
313.401
325.671
346.860
363.883
386.031
404.219
422.274
432.754
462.860
ACUMULADO
Ventanilla
22.802
45.188
73.456
87.192
118.544
144.146
171.280
194.479
217.439
245.763
280.132
295.655
309.344
337.467
410.104
430.897
454.492
485.052
519.243
541.931
567.018
589.324
607.769
636.812
655.142
678.821
706.180
720.779
755.557
ACUMULADO
PROMEDIO
19.876
37.475
59.614
73.522
102.550
122.287
140.040
159.006
177.410
199.404
222.502
235.555
252.629
276.399
322.559
341.801
361.074
382.097
404.248
420.528
440.210
457.498
477.315
500.348
520.587
541.520
564.227
576.767
609.209
1985
1980
1975
1970
1965
1960
1955
1950
1945
1940
1935
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
8.250
13.641
18.306
15.935
33.480
25.139
20.321
13.632
15.395
15.277
10.026
11.300
9.613
20.690
6.695
21.972
22.073
38.698
24.518
43.620
27.522
39.454
23.153
29.701
6.462
16.494
6.395
471.110
484.751
503.057
518.992
552.472
577.611
597.932
611.564
626.959
642.236
652.262
663.562
673.175
762.252
784.224
806.297
844.995
869.513
913.133
940.655
980.109
1003.262
1032.963
1039.425
1055.919
1062.314
616.681
634.488
654.677
681.994
710.993
745.372
769.294
795.837
815.111
837.600
845.844
859.741
867.745
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
PROMEDIOS ACUMULADOS
Ventanilla
Santo Domingo
De acuerdo con el nmero de quiebres, la estacin ms idnea para ser la estacin
base es la estacin VENTANILLA
SANTO DOMINGO
VENTANILLA
ACUMULADO STO
DOMINGO
1939
16.949
22.802
16.949
1940
12.812
22.386
29.761
1941
16.010
28.268
45.771
1942
14.080
13.736
59.851
1943
26.704
31.352
86.555
1944
13.872
25.602
100.427
1945
8.373
27.134
108.800
1946
14.733
23.199
123.533
1947
13.848
22.960
137.381
1948
15.664
28.324
153.045
1949
11.827
34.369
164.872
1950
10.583
15.523
175.455
1951
20.459
13.689
195.914
1952
19.416
28.123
215.330
1953
19.684
72.637
235.014
1954
17.690
20.793
252.704
1955
14.952
23.595
267.656
1956
11.485
30.560
279.141
1957
10.112
34.191
289.253
1958
9.872
22.688
299.125
1959
14.276
25.087
313.401
1960
12.270
22.306
325.671
1961
21.189
18.445
346.860
1962
17.023
29.043
363.883
1963
22.148
18.330
386.031
1964
18.188
23.679
404.219
1965
18.055
27.359
422.274
1966
10.480
14.599
432.754
1967
30.106
34.778
462.860
1968
8.250
6.695
471.110
1969
13.641
21.972
484.751
1970
18.306
22.073
503.057
1971
15.935
38.698
518.992
1972
33.480
24.518
552.472
1973
25.139
43.620
577.611
1974
20.321
27.522
597.932
1975
13.632
39.454
611.564
1976
15.395
23.153
626.959
1977
15.277
29.701
642.236
1978
10.026
6.462
652.262
1979
11.300
16.494
663.562
1980
9.613
6.395
673.175
1981
20.690
ANALIS ESTADISTICO
PERIODOS
De acuerdo a los datos de la estacin se tiene los periodos
Periodo1 1939-1951
n1 = 13
Periodo2 1952-1957
n2 = 6
CALCULAMOS LOS PARAMETROS DE CADA
PERIODO
X1
S1
(S1)2
= 15.070
= 4.598723562
= 21.1482584
X2 = 15.557
S2 = 4.076001263
(S2)2 = 16.6137863
= 4.451358235
= 2.196959474
Tc
= -0.221302356
EVALUACIN DE LA CONSISTENCIA DE LA
ESTNDAR
Fc
GLN
= 1.273
= 12
GLD
=5
DESVIACIN
Ft
= 4.68
Estadsticamente NO NECESITA CORRECCIN porque el Ft es mayor
NUEVOS DATOS CORREGIDOS
AO
SANTO
DOMINGO
CORRECCIN
1939
16.949
19.283
1940
12.812
13.070
1941
16.010
17.873
1942
14.080
14.974
1943
26.704
33.935
1944
13.872
14.662
1945
8.373
6.403
1946
14.733
15.955
1947
13.848
14.626
1948
15.664
17.353
1949
11.827
11.590
1950
10.583
9.722
1951
20.459
24.555
1952
19.416
22.989
1953
19.684
23.391
1954
17.690
20.396
1955
14.952
16.284
1956
11.485
11.077
1957
10.112
9.015
1958
9.872
10.683
1959
14.276
13.615
1960
12.270
12.279
1961
21.189
18.218
1962
17.023
15.444
1963
22.148
18.856
1964
18.188
16.220
1965
18.055
16.131
1966
10.480
11.088
1967
30.106
24.155
1968
8.250
9.603
1969
13.641
13.192
que el Fc
1970
18.306
16.298
1971
15.935
14.720
1972
33.480
26.401
1973
25.139
20.848
1974
20.321
17.640
1975
13.632
13.186
1976
15.395
14.360
1977
15.277
14.282
1978
10.026
10.785
1979
11.300
11.634
1980
9.613
10.510
1981
20.690
ANALIS ESTADISTICO
PERIODOS
De acuerdo a los datos de la estacin se tiene los periodos
Periodo1: 1939 - 1951
n1 = 19
Periodo2: 1952 - 1957
n2 = 23
CALCULAMOS LOS PARAMETROS DE CADA
PERIODO
X1
= 15.224
S1
= 4.332169373
(S1)2
= 18.76769147
EVALUAMOS LA CONSISTENCIA EN LAS
X2 = 16.692
S2 = 6.506661162
(S2)2 = 42.33663947
MEDIAS
CALCULO DEL Tc
Sp = 5.632993243
Sd = 1.746317302
Tc = -0.840865954
2)CALCULO DEL t TABULAR
Grado de liberta
y
Tt
3)CRITERIO DE DECISIN
40
1.96
= 2.255
= 22
GLD
Ft
= 18
= 2.2
que el Ft
SANTO DOMINGO
16.949
12.812
16.010
14.080
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.684
17.690
14.952
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.270
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.480
30.106
8.250
13.641
18.306
15.935
33.480
25.139
20.321
13.632
15.395
15.277
10.026
11.300
9.613
CORRECCIN
22.789
13.457
20.671
16.317
44.795
15.848
3.443
17.790
15.794
19.891
11.235
8.429
30.707
28.355
28.959
24.461
18.285
10.464
7.366
11.223
13.175
12.286
16.240
14.393
16.665
14.909
14.850
11.492
20.192
10.504
12.894
14.962
13.910
21.688
17.991
15.855
12.890
13.671
13.619
11.291
11.856
11.108
ANLISIS DE TENDENCIAS
1. Graficar los datos de esta serie, observe visualmente e indique si se presenta
tendencia.
AO
CAUDAL
AO
CAUDAL
AO
CAUDAL
AO
CAUDAL
1911
7.91
1930
18.93
1949
30.06
1968
4.76
1912
8.01
1931
16.15
1950
9.67
1969
12.7
1913
13.27
1932
38.3
1951
10.42
1970
16.19
1914
16.39
1933
54.54
1952
23.99
1971
30.14
1915
80.83
1934
59.4
1953
42.17
1972
30.57
1916
60.08
1935
24.58
1954
16
1973
42.38
1917
21.55
1936
28.49
1955
22.78
1974
18.91
1918
27.71
1937
10.05
1956
32.69
1975
34.99
1919
28.63
1938
28.01
1957
34.28
1976
21.49
1920
30.27
1939
34.92
1958
20.24
1977
29.26
1921
33.43
1940
31.36
1959
22.88
1978
4.58
1922
35.16
1941
42.74
1960
17.57
1979
12.46
1923
27.21
1942
12.94
1961
14.6
1980
3.14
1924
15.58
1943
41.16
1962
31.14
1925
64.81
1944
35.9
1963
18.2
1926
51.26
1945
33.76
1964
24.69
1927
33.48
1946
29.28
1965
22.99
1928
25.79
1947
19.77
1966
11.78
1929
25.8
1948
29.37
1967
32.26
90.00
80.00
CAUDAL (m3/S)
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
1985
1980
1975
1970
1965
1960
1955
1950
1945
1940
1935
1930
1925
1920
1915
1910
0.00
AO
b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm
El estadstico tc se calcula mediante la siguiente expresin:
c.
Clculo de t
El valor crtico de t, se obtiene de la tabla de t de Student (tabla A.5 del
apndice), con 95% de probabilidad o con un nivel de significacin del 5 %, es
decir:
AO
CAUDAL T
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
7.91
8.01
13.27
16.39
80.83
60.08
1
2
3
4
5
6
CORREGIDO
0.7184
1.0268
6.4952
9.8236
74.472
53.9304
1917
1918
1919
1920
1921
1922
1923
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928
1929
1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
21.55
27.71
28.63
30.27
33.43
35.16
27.21
15.58
64.81
51.26
33.48
25.79
25.80
18.93
16.15
38.30
54.54
59.40
24.58
28.49
10.05
28.01
34.92
31.36
42.74
12.94
41.16
35.90
33.76
29.28
19.77
29.37
30.06
9.67
10.42
23.99
42.17
16.00
22.78
32.69
34.28
20.24
22.88
17.57
14.60
31.14
18.20
24.69
22.99
11.78
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
15.6088
21.9772
23.1056
24.954
28.3224
30.2608
22.5192
11.0976
60.536
47.1944
29.6228
22.1412
22.3596
15.698
13.1264
35.4848
51.9332
57.0016
22.39
26.5084
8.2768
26.4452
33.5636
30.212
41.8004
12.2088
40.6372
35.5856
33.654
29.3824
20.0808
29.8892
30.7876
10.606
11.5644
25.3428
43.7312
17.7696
24.758
34.8764
36.6748
22.8432
25.6916
20.59
17.8284
34.5768
21.8452
28.5436
27.052
16.0504
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
32.26
4.76
12.70
16.19
30.14
30.57
45.38
18.91
34.99
21.49
29.26
4.58
12.46
3.14
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
36.7388
9.4472
17.5956
21.294
35.4524
36.0908
51.1092
24.8476
41.136
27.8444
35.8228
11.3512
19.4396
10.328
60
50
40
30
20
10
AO
1976
1971
1966
1961
1956
1951
1946
1941
1936
1931
1926
1921
1916
0
1911
CAUDAL CORREGIDO
70