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170.16
CHAIRMAN:
Vincent A. Wolfington
Chairman
Carey International, Inc
P R S Oberoi
Chairman
The Oberoi Group
Laurence Geller
Chairman & CEO
Strategic Hotel Capital
Dionsio Pestana
Chairman
Group Pestana
Daniela Wagner
Managing Director, International
octopustravel.com
Alan Parker
Chief Executive
Whitbread PLC
Naresh Goyal
Chairman
Jet Airways
Fernando Pinto
CEO
TAP Air Portugal
Philip Wolf
CEO
PhoCusWright, Inc.
Lalit Suri
Chairman & Managing Director
Bharat Hotels Ltd
Maurice H Greenberg
Chairman & CEO
American International Group, Inc
Wolfgang Prock-Schauer
Chief Executive Officer
Jet Airways
Peter Yesawich
Chairman & CEO
Yesawich, Pepperdine,
Brown & Russell
Jonathan Tisch
Chairman & CEO
Loews Hotels
Stelios Haji-Ioannou
Chairman & Founder
easyGroup (UK) Ltd.
David Radcliffe
Chief Executive
Hogg Robinson plc
Murray Hennessy
CEO
Avis Europe Plc
Kurt Ritter
President & CEO
Rezidor SAS Hospitality
Andr Jordan
GLOBAL MEMBERS:
Brent Hoberman
Co-Founder & CEO
lastminute.com
Christopher Rodrigues
CEO
Visa International
James Hogan
President & Chief Executive
Gulf Air
Peter Rogers
President & CEO
Diners Club International
Frank Olson
Chairman of the Board
The Hertz Corporation
Raimund Hosch
President & CEO
Messe Berlin GmbH
Carl Ruderman
Chairman
Universal Media
Grard Plisson
Co-Chairman, Supervisory Board
Accor SA
Mary Salfen
General Manager, Global Travel
& Transportation Industry
IBM
Henry Silverman
Chairman
Cendant Corporation
VICE CHAIRMEN:
Jean-Marc Espalioux
Chairman of Management Board
& CEO
Accor
Jonathan S Linen
Vice Chairman
American Express Company
EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE:
Akbar Al Baker
CEO
Qatar Airways
Peter Armstrong
President & CEO
Rocky Mountaineer Railtours
David Babai
Chairman
Gullivers Travel Associates
Sebastin Escarrer
Vice Chairman
Sol Meli
Manuel Fernando Esprito Santo
Chairman
Esprito Santo Tourism
Edouard Ettedgui
Group Chief Executive
Mandarin Oriental Hotel Group
Maurice Flanagan CBE
Vice Chairman & Group
President
The Emirates Group
Michael Frenzel
Chairman
TUI AG
Stephen P. Holmes
Vice Chairman
Cendant Corporation
David House
Group President
American Express Company
Giovanni Angelini
CEO & Managing Director
Shangri-La Hotels & Resorts
Ted Balestreri
Chairman & CEO
Cannery Row Company
Simn Barcel Vadell
Chairman & CEO
Barcel Hotels and Resorts
Henrik Bartl
Managing Director & Head of
Real Estate Structured Finance
Aareal Bank AG
Jrgen Baumhoff
CEO
Qatar National Hotels Company
Raymond Bickson
Managing Director
The Taj Group of Hotels
Regis Bulot
Chairman of the Board
Relais & Chateaux
Marilyn Carlson Nelson
Chairman & CEO
Carlson Companies
U Gary Charlwood
Founder, Chairman & CEO
Uniglobe Travel (International) Inc
Alex Christou
Partner, Travel Services
Accenture
Samuel Katz
Chairman & CEO
Travel Distribution Services
Division
Cendant Corporation
Nigel Knowles
Managing Partner
DLA
Eric J Speck
Executive Vice President
& Chief Marketing Officer
Sabre Holdings Corporation
Gerald Lawless
Chief Executive
Jumeirah International
Jean-Cyril Spinetta
Chairman & CEO
Air France
Dave Lucas
President & CEO
Blue Wave Solutions
David Stein
Chairman
The Stein Group
Lusotur S. A.
Barry Sternlicht
Chairman & CEO
Starwood Hotels & Resorts
Manuel Martin
Partner
CyberDodo Productions Ltd
Richard R Kelley
Chairman
Outrigger Enterprises, Inc
David Clifton
Managing Director, Europe & Asia
Interval International
Wolfgang Mayrhuber
CEO
Lufthansa German Airlines
Geoffrey J W Kent
Chairman & CEO
Abercrombie & Kent
Jim Compton
Senior VP, Marketing
Continental Airlines
Paul McManus
President & CEO
The Leading Hotels of the World
J W Marriott, Jr
Chairman & CEO
Marriott International, Inc
Fernando Conte
Chairman & CEO
Iberia, Airlines of Spain
Armin Meier
President & CEO
Kuoni Travel Holding Ltd
David Michels
Chief Executive
Hilton Group plc
Hilton International
Glen Davidson
Senior VP, Worldwide Travel
Insurance & Related Services
American International Group, Inc
Alan Mulally
Executive Vice President
The Boeing Company
Curtis Nelson
President & COO
Carlson Companies
Mike Ness
President
The Travel Corporation
Alain Demissy
President of the Executive
Committee
Mondial Assistance Group
Rod Eddington
Chief Executive
British Airways plc
Rakesh Gangwal
Chairman, President & CEO
Worldspan
Per Setterberg
CEO
Global Refund Group
Krishna Kumar
Vice Chairman
The Taj Group of Hotels
Jennie Chua
Chairman & CEO
Raffles International Ltd
David Mongeau
Vice Chairman
CIBC World Markets
Bruno Schpfer
Chairman of the Board
Mvenpick Hotels & Resorts
Ron Stringfellow
CEO
Tsogo Sun Group
Ian Swain
President
Swain Tours
Andrew C Taylor
President & CEO
Enterprise Rent-a-Car
HONORARY MEMBERS:
Tommaso Zanzotto
President
TZ Associates Ltd
CHAIRMAN EMERITUS:
James D Robinson III
General Partner
RRE Ventures
WTTC Chairman (1990-1994)
IMMEDIATE PAST
CHAIRMAN:
Sir Ian Prosser
Retired Chairman
InterContinental Hotels Group
WTTC Chairman (2001-2003)
FORMER CHAIRMEN
Harvey Golub
Retired Chairman & CEO
American Express Co
WTTC Chairman (1996 2001)
Robert H. Burns
Chairman
Robert H Burns Holdings Limited
WTTC Chairman (1994 1996)
PRESIDENT:
Jean-Claude Baumgarten
Kathleen Taylor
President, Worldwide Business
Operations
Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts
John M Noel
President & CEO
The Noel Group
Tom Nutley
Chairman
Reed Travel Exhibitions
Jeffrey Toffler
Chairman
Coventry Partners
Simon Vincent
CEO
Opodo
14 February 2004
Malawi
The 2005 Travel & Tourism Economic Research
Travel & Tourism is one of the world's highest priority industries and employers. This
Tourism Satellite Accounting Research quantifies the wide-ranging economic impact and
provides solid, credible and professional statistical information that can assist in informing
government policy and business decision processes.
Malawi Travel & Tourism is expected to generate
MWK26,050.4 mn (US$231.7 mn) of economic activity
(Total Demand) in 2005, growing (nominal terms) to
MWK77,686.5 mn (US$542.6 mn) by 2015. Travel &
Tourism Demand is expected to grow by 9.4% in 2005 and
by 4.6% per annum, in real terms, between 2006 and 2015.
2005 Total Demand represents 0.0% of world market share.
EMPLOYMENT
2005
Growth
Forecast*
GROSS
DOMESTIC
PRODUCT
VISITOR
EXPORTS
World Ranking
The Malawi Travel & Tourism
economy is ranked number:
154 in Absolute Size
worldwide, 135 in Relative
Contribution to national
economies; and 99 in Longterm (10-year) Growth. (174
countries are estimated by
WTTC/OEF)
Malawi
Rest of World
PERSONAL
TRAVEL &
TOURISM
CAPITAL
INVESTMENT
9.6%
12.1%
13.9%
7.5%
4.1%
5.7%
7.3%
12.5%
3.8%
5.5%
THE WORLD TRAVEL & TOURISM COUNCIL (WTTC) IS THE BUSINESS LEADERS FORUM FOR TRAVEL & TOURISM, WORKING WITH
GOVERNMENTS TO RAISE AWARENESS OF THE IMPORTANCE OF THE WORLDS LARGEST GENERATOR OF WEALTH AND JOBS.
2005 WORLD TRAVEL & TOURISM COUNCIL
1-2 QUEEN VICTORIA TERRACE, SOVEREIGN COURT, LONDON E1W 3HA, UNITED KINGDOM
TEL: +44 (0) 870 727 9882 or + 44 (0) 207 481 8007 FAX: +44 (0) 870 728 9882 or + 44 (0) 207 488 1008 enquiries@wttc.org www.wttc.org
Use of Information and Data from this Report is Authorized Provide Souce is Acknowledged.
THE WORLD TRAVEL & TOURISM COUNCIL (WTTC) IS THE BUSINESS LEADERS
FORUM FOR TRAVEL & TOURISM, WORKING WITH GOVERNMENTS TO RAISE
AWARENESS OF THE IMPORTANCE OF THE WORLDS LARGEST GENERATOR OF
WEALTH AND JOBS.
With the Chief Executives of more than one hundred of the worlds leading companies in
membership, WTTC has a unique mandate and overview on all matters related to success in Travel &
Tourism.
This 2005 report for Malawi is the fifth set of
Tourism Satellite Accounting research that Oxford
Economic Forecasting (OEF) has prepared for
WTTC.
The first, commissioned in 2001, re-engineered the
models previously developed during the 1990s. The
second, prepared in 2002, served an important role in
helping to quantify the tragic events of September 11,
2001 on Travel & Tourism. The third in 2003,
significantly upgraded and enhanced the quality,
sophistication and precision of the TSA research and
presented a second (worse case) scenario for the Iraq
War. The fourth in 2004, increased the world
coverage by adding 13 countries not previously
included in the TSA research, and presented even
greater analysis of the results in this report.
Jean-Claude Baumgarten
President, World Travel & Tourism Council
Vincent A. Wolfington
Chairman, World Travel & Tourism Council
Chairman Emeritus, Carey International, Inc.
CONTENTS
TRAVEL & TOURISM SOWING THE SEEDS OF GROWTH
WTTC MEMBERSHIP
ONE PAGE SUPER SUMMARY NEW
PRESIDENT AND CHAIRMANS MESSAGE
ECONOMIC IMPACT...............................................................................................................................................................6
GROWTH .................................................................................................................................................................................................7
TRAVEL & TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNT
TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNTING ..........................................................................................................................................................8
WTTCS APPROACH TO TSA RESEARCH ...................................................................................................................................................9
TSA CONCEPTS & STRUCTURE IMPROVED ................................................................................................................................ 10-11
T&T DEMAND AND SUPPLY IMPROVED ...............................................................................................................................................12
TRAVEL & TOURISMS ECONOMIC IMPACT IMPROVED ...............................................................................................................14
NATIONAL, REGIONAL, AND WORLD SUMMARY TABLES ...............................................................................................................15
TOTAL DEMAND......................................................................................................................................................................................... 16-17
EMPLOYMENT ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 18-19
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT................................................................................................................................................................ 20-21
CAPITAL INVESTMENT ............................................................................................................................................................................. 22-23
PERSONAL & BUSINESS ............................................................................................................................................................................ 24-25
EXPORTS ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26-27
GOVERNMENT NEW ............................................................................................................................................................................. 28-29
RANKING AND RANGE ..................................................................................................................................................................................30
CONTRIBUTION AND GROWTH ...............................................................................................................................................................31
SATELLITE ACCOUNT TABLES............................................................................................................................................................... 32-33
2005/2004 VARIANCE CHARTS ............................................................................................................................................................... 34-35
WORLD AT A GLANCE IMPROVED ................................................................................................................................................... 36-38
ECONOMIC IMPACT
IN 2005, MALAWI'S TRAVEL & TOURISM IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE MWK26,050.4
MN (US$231.7 MN) OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (TOTAL DEMAND). THE INDUSTRY'S
DIRECT IMPACT INCLUDES:
67,232
MWK
7,952.0
mn
132,861
MWK
MWK
10,257.7
mn
15,507.1
mn
MWK
1,159.3
mn
MWK
562.4
mn
GROWTH
IN 2005 TRAVEL & TOURISM IN MALAWI IS FORECAST TO SEE REAL GROWTH (REAL
DECLINE) OF 9.4% IN TOTAL TRAVEL & TOURISM DEMAND TO MWK26,050.4 MN
(US$231.7 MN) AND
13.0%
10.5%
OVER THE NEXT TEN YEARS, MALAWI'S TRAVEL & TOURISM IS EXPECTED TO
ACHIEVE ANNUALIZED REAL GROWTH (REAL DECLINE) OF:
4.6%
4.2%
1.9%
4.4%
4.2%
4.6%
in terms of GOVERNMENT
EXPENDITURES to MWK1,668.0 mn
(US$11.7 mn) in 2015.
WTTCS RESEARCH
WTTC and its economic consultants/research partners Oxford Economic Forecasting,
(OEF), since 1999, and Global Insight (previously known as DRIWEFA), from 1990-1999
have developed and published research on the economic contribution of Travel & Tourism to
the world, regional and national economies.
Starting in 1990,WTTCs research team has been working to develop practical, real-world
models to illustrate Travel & Tourisms economic contribution based on the needs of private
sector leaders, public sector policy-makers and industry researchers, and on the interpretation
of the system of national accounts. The research is now firmly anchored in the international
standard for tourism satellite accounting that was developed by WTO, OECD and Eurostat,
and approved by the United Nations Statistical Commission in 2000. It was launched at the
TSA Conference held in Vancouver in May 2001 and published as The Tourism Satellite
Account: Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA:RMF) in 2001.
Since 1999, WTTC's research has assumed the conceptual framework of the UNapproved standard with a number of discretionary extensions, and it combines the most
sophisticated economic modelling and forecasts available with the most up-to-date, publicly
available data to generate a comprehensive implementation of Travel & Tourism satellite
accounting.
The 2005 update of the WTTC TSA research is the fifth annual update undertaken for
WTTC by OEF. In carrying out the work, OEF has drawn extensively on the methodology
developed over the years by WTTC to develop TSAs as operational tools. OEF has also taken
the opportunity in a number of areas to review and enhance the modelling techniques,
assumptions used and data sources applied, and this research for 2005 is no exception.
WTTCS APPROACH TO
TSA RESEARCH
WTTC HAS ENDEAVOURED TO IMPLEMENT AND PRODUCE THE MOST
COMPREHENSIVE TSA PROVIDED FOR WITHIN THE TSA:RMF, BY
DEVELOPING THE SPECIFIC CONCEPT OF THE TRAVEL & TOURISM
INDUSTRY IN ADDITION TO THE BROADER CONCEPT OF THE TRAVEL &
TOURISM ECONOMY.
WTTC advocates full implementation of the TSA as defined in the TSA:RMF in order to
achieve the highest level of benefits for industry and governments. These include:
A wealth of customer and consumer information on tourism-related purchases (before,
during and after trips whether domestic or international, imported or exported as well
as services, durables and non-durables) that has never been identified until now;
Comprehensive documentation and analysis of the full tourism-product service chain and
governments ability to deliver quality and timely service to visitors;
Linkages between Travel & Tourism and other sectors of the economy such as agriculture
and manufacturing to illustrate the flow-through of spending;
Complete outlook for public works that benefit visitors and Travel & Tourism companies
in order to leverage public sector plans and priorities for growth;
Focused opportunities for domestic production, as well as incentives from the public
sector, to aid in the growth of businesses that help alleviate trade balance issues;
Demand- and supply-side information on employment that allows for human resource
planning and development.
WTTC has worked towards developing a comprehensive TSA not because it is eager to
exaggerate the size of Travel & Tourisms impact, but because the information that can be
garnered from the exercise by governments and industry is crucial for making intelligent and
informed policy and business decisions. WTTC believes that history will document its
pioneering implementation of the simulated TSA as one of the most important turning points
for Travel & Tourisms long overdue economic recognition.
In the WTTC research, no country receives special treatment or favours. WTTC uses
internationally available data sources and the same scope of tourism satellite accounting for all
countries, as well as the same basic assumptions through the same system of models. WTTCs
TSA research utilizes a universal and internally consistent modelling framework and generates
harmonized results and forecasts for more than 174 countries around the world. Details of the
methodology used by WTTC/OEF in its TSA research are available on WTTC's website
(www.wttc.org).
TSA CONCEPTS
& STRUCTURE
Demand Side Accounts
MWK mn
Personal Travel & Tourism
6,756.6
More formally known as Travel & Tourism Personal Consumption, this category includes all
personal spending by an economy's residents on Travel & Tourism services (lodging,
transportation, entertainment, meals, financial services, etc) and goods (durable and nondurable)
used for Travel & Tourism activities. Spending may occur before, during or after a trip. Spending
covers all Travel & Tourism, outbound and domestic.
Business Travel
7,314.5
Formally know as Intermediate Consumption of Travel & Tourism or more simply business
travel, this category of expenditures by government and industry includes spending on goods and
services (transportation, accommodation, meals, entertainment, etc) for employee business travel
purposes.
Government Expenditures (Individual)
168.7
Formally known as Non-Market Services (Individual), this category includes expenditures
(transfers or subsidies) made by government agencies to provide Travel & Tourism services such
as cultural (eg. art museums), recreational (eg national park) or clearance (eg immigration/
customs) etc to visitors.
Visitor Exports
7,893.8
Expenditures by international visitors on goods and services within the resident economy.
26,050.4
The Travel & Tourism Satellite Account is based on a demand-side concept of economic activity, because the industry does not
produce or supply a homogeneous product or service like traditional industries (agriculture, electronics, steel, etc). Instead, Travel &
Tourism is an industrial activity defined by the diverse collection of products (durables and non-durables) and services
(transportation, accommodation, food and beverage, entertainment, government services, etc) that are delivered to visitors. There
are two basic aggregates of demand (Travel & Tourism Consumption and Total Demand) and by employing input/output modelling
separately (yellow arrows) to these two aggregates the Satellite Account is able to produce two different and complementary
aggregates of Travel & Tourism Supply: the Travel & Tourism Industry and the Travel & Tourism Economy. The former captures the
explicitly defined production-side industry contribution (ie direct impact only), for comparison with all other industries, while the
latter captures the broader economy-wide impact, direct and indirect, of Travel & Tourism.
9,422.7
22,133.6
000s of Jobs
10,543.3
26,050.4
Personal T&T
Gov't Expenditures (Indiv)
Gov't Expenditures (Coll)
Other Exports
Business T&T
Visitor Exports
Capital Investment
US$ mn
Personal T&T
60.1
Business T&T
Gov't Expenditures
(Indiv)
65.1
Visitor Exports
Gov't Expenditures
(Coll)
Capital Investment
Other Exports
T&T Demand
70.2
US$ mn
T&T Industry GDP
(Direct)
T&T Industry GDP
(Indirect)
42.3
1.5
3.5
10.3
21.0
231.7
70.7
83.8
15.6
9.3
10.0
231.7
T&T Supply
60.1
Business T&T
Gov't Expenditures
(Indiv)
Visitor Exports
T&T Consumption
65.1
1.5
70.2
196.9
70.7
42.3
83.8
196.9
12
70.7
70.7
42.3
15.6
9.3
137.9
14
2015
MWK mn
% of Tot
Growth1
MWK mn
% of Tot
Growth2
6,756.6
3.8
7.5
22,282.3
4.7
5.7
Business Travel
7,314.5
---
9.0
19,948.6
---
3.7
562.4
1.3
4.7
1,668.0
1.4
4.6
Capital Investment
1,159.3
5.5
4.1
3,317.8
5.6
4.2
Visitor Exports
7,893.8
9.6
13.9
23,101.5
8.7
4.4
Other Exports
2,363.9
2.9
5.4
7,368.2
2.8
5.1
26,050.4
---
9.4
77,686.5
---
4.6
7,952.0
3.7
13.0
22,708.9
3.8
4.2
15,507.1
7.3
12.1
44,826.7
7.5
4.3
67.2
2.9
10.5
80.8
2.9
1.9
132.9
5.7
9.6
161.7
5.9
2.0
Malawi
Government Expenditures
2005 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); 22006-2015 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); '000 of Jobs
2015
Sub-Saharan Africa
US$ mn
% of Tot
Growth1
US$ mn
% of Tot
Growth2
22,571.0
5.8
7.4
46,001.0
6.5
5.9
Business Travel
10,650.0
---
8.6
19,056.0
---
5.0
1,557.0
1.5
4.6
2,789.8
1.6
4.3
Capital Investment
12,320.0
11.9
5.8
23,332.0
12.0
6.1
Visitor Exports
16,405.0
7.9
11.0
35,853.0
8.2
6.7
Other Exports
10,116.0
4.9
8.0
20,120.0
4.6
5.0
73,618.0
---
7.9
147,150.0
---
5.8
18,764.0
3.3
9.3
36,423.0
3.6
5.7
49,584.0
8.8
8.0
95,834.0
9.4
5.7
3,877.2
2.5
5.9
5,441.4
2.8
3.4
10,647.0
6.8
4.2
14,222.0
7.2
2.9
Government Expenditures
2005 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); 22006-2015 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); '000 of Jobs
2015
US$ mn
% of Tot
Growth1
US$ mn
% of Tot
Growth2
2,833,110
10.4
5.1
4,601,960
11.0
3.9
Business Travel
652,898
---
4.6
962,707
---
3.1
Government Expenditures
285,287
3.8
2.9
417,368
4.1
2.8
Capital Investment
918,005
9.4
5.3
1,673,070
10.0
4.8
Visitor Exports
818,349
6.5
7.3
1,513,010
5.5
5.7
Other Exports
694,144
5.5
6.3
1,510,470
5.5
7.4
6,201,490
---
5.4
10,678,500
---
4.6
1,712,430
3.8
5.2
2,660,630
3.9
3.5
4,745,690
10.6
5.1
7,798,680
11.3
4.0
74,223.0
2.8
2.9
85,520.8
2.8
1.4
221,568.0
8.3
3.0
269,556.0
8.9
2.0
2005 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); 22006-2015 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); '000 of Jobs
1.2
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.4
15
1.2
0.2
0
TSA Concepts
TSA Concepts
TOTAL DEMAND
Malawi
Total Demand 2005
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Total Demand
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
400.0
300
350.0
250
300.0
200
250.0
200.0
150
150.0
100
100.0
50
50.0
Personal T&T
Business T&T
Gov't Expenditures
Capital Investment
Visitor Exports
Other Exports
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
-50
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Total Demand
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
300
0.60%
250
0.50%
200
0.40%
150
0.30%
100
0.20%
50
0.10%
Malawi
0.00%
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Rest of Region
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Malawi
World
Travel & Tourism Total Demand
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
300
0.01%
250
0.00%
200
0.00%
150
0.00%
100
0.00%
50
0
0.00%
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Rest of World
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
32
43
49
68
92
102
118
120
154
164
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
Kenya
Tanzania
Senegal
Namibia
Malawi
Gambia
30,331.7
16,032.4
10,676.2
5,984.9
2,443.2
1,858.4
1,022.9
1,004.4
231.7
132.5
7
11
18
33
37
39
52
61
80
114
Morocco
Tunisia
Tanzania
Kenya
Malawi
Gambia
Egypt
Namibia
South Africa
Senegal
14.1
12.9
11.5
9.7
9.4
9.3
8.6
8.2
7.1
5.6
26
41
45
46
50
71
91
99
113
139
Namibia
Egypt
Tunisia
Senegal
South Africa
Morocco
Tanzania
Malawi
Kenya
Gambia
6.4
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.3
4.8
4.6
4.3
3.4
17
EMPLOYMENT
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Employment
(% of Total Employment)
140.0
7.0
120.0
6.0
100.0
5.0
80.0
4.0
60.0
3.0
40.0
2.0
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Employment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
300
250
200
150
100
50
1.0
20.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Light Blue Bar is T&T Industry Jobs; Light/Dark Blue Combination is T&T Economy Jobs
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Employment
(% of Total Employment)
2005
2010
2015
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Economy Employment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
8.0
300
7.0
10,000.0
2000
Light Blue Line is T&T Industry Jobs; Dark Blue is T&T Economy Jobs
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Employment
('000s of Jobs)
12,000.0
1995
-50
250
6.0
8,000.0
200
5.0
4.0
6,000.0
150
3.0
4,000.0
100
2.0
2,000.0
50
1.0
0.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
World
Travel & Tourism Employment
('000s of Jobs)
0
1990
World
Travel & Tourism Employment
(% of Total Employment)
250,000.0
150,000.0
6.0
2015
200
5.0
150
4.0
100
50,000.0
3.0
2.0
50
1.0
2010
250
100,000.0
0.0
2005
300
9.0
8.0
7.0
2000
World
Travel & Tourism Economy Employment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
10.0
200,000.0
1995
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
-50
12
26
31
44
50
51
95
106
109
126
37
44
48
58
73
85
102
112
136
148
15
16
36
41
43
81
93
100
103
137
Egypt
Morocco
South Africa
Tanzania
Kenya
Tunisia
Senegal
Malawi
Gambia
Namibia
3,267.9
1,526.2
1,100.5
672.6
548.0
501.4
165.2
132.9
118.6
64.8
Gambia
Tunisia
Morocco
Egypt
Namibia
Kenya
South Africa
Tanzania
Senegal
Malawi
18.6
16.5
14.7
13.0
11.3
9.9
8.3
7.7
6.6
5.7
South Africa
Namibia
Tanzania
Kenya
Senegal
Tunisia
Egypt
Morocco
Malawi
Gambia
4.5
4.4
3.6
3.5
3.5
2.5
2.2
2.1
2.0
1.4
19
GROSS
DOMESTIC
PRODUCT
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Gross Domestic Product
(% of Total GDP)
8.0
250.0
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Economy GDP
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
300
7.0
250
200.0
6.0
150.0
100.0
5.0
200
4.0
150
3.0
100
2.0
50.0
50
1.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Light Blue Bar is T&T Industry GDP; Light/Dark Blue Combination is T&T Economy GDP
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Gross Domestic Product
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Gross Domestic Product
(% of Total GDP)
2002
2003
2004
2005
World
Travel & Tourism Gross Domestic Product
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
4,000.0
300
8.0
7.0
250
2010
2015
200
150
100
50
1.0
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
0
1990
World
Travel & Tourism Gross Domestic Product
(% of Total GDP)
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
World
Travel & Tourism Economy GDP
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
12.0
300
10.0
250
8.0
200
2,000.0
6.0
150
1,500.0
4.0
100
2.0
50
3,500.0
2005
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Economy GDP
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
10.0
9.0
3.0
2.0
2001
2000
Light Blue Line is T&T Industry GDP; Dark Blue is T&T Economy GDP
6.0
5.0
4.0
2000
1995
-50
3,000.0
2,500.0
1,000.0
500.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
31
40
47
63
93
102
119
121
154
162
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
Kenya
Tanzania
Namibia
Senegal
Malawi
Gambia
21,582.8
13,061.8
8,666.9
4,946.1
1,825.3
1,180.2
753.9
726.5
137.9
103.1
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
27
39
42
48
71
78
94
109
123
135
Gambia
Tunisia
Morocco
Egypt
Kenya
Namibia
Tanzania
South Africa
Senegal
Malawi
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
23.2
17.7
17.0
15.4
12.2
11.2
9.7
9.0
8.0
7.3
20
32
46
56
65
73
89
95
115
148
Namibia
South Africa
Egypt
Senegal
Tunisia
Morocco
Tanzania
Malawi
Kenya
Gambia
6.2
5.7
5.4
5.2
5.0
4.8
4.5
4.3
3.9
2.8
21
CAPITAL
INVESTMENT
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(% of Total Capital Investment)
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(% of Total Capital Investment)
14.0
300
12.0
250
10.0
10.0
8.0
8.0
6.0
6.0
2000
2005
2010
2015
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
16.0
12.0
1995
-100
18.0
14.0
1990
-50
200
150
4.0
100
2.0
50
4.0
2.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
World
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
800.0
0
1990
World
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(% of Total Capital Investment)
2000
2005
2010
2015
World
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
12.0
300
10.0
250
8.0
200
400.0
6.0
150
300.0
4.0
100
2.0
50
700.0
1995
600.0
500.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
27
43
52
63
85
101
110
127
164
167
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
Kenya
Tanzania
Senegal
Namibia
Gambia
Malawi
5,721.7
2,627.4
1,669.8
1,181.1
484.1
302.0
202.3
117.9
11.7
10.3
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
29
42
44
47
61
64
67
87
129
164
Kenya
Egypt
Tunisia
Gambia
South Africa
Morocco
Tanzania
Senegal
Namibia
Malawi
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
23.3
17.5
17.0
16.6
14.1
13.5
13.0
11.2
8.1
5.5
25
30
56
61
64
79
80
91
97
122
Morocco
Egypt
South Africa
Tunisia
Senegal
Malawi
Kenya
Gambia
Namibia
Tanzania
6.3
6.2
4.9
4.6
4.6
4.2
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.4
23
PERSONAL
& BUSINESS
Malawi
Personal Travel & Tourism
(% of Total Personal Consumption)
Malawi
Personal Travel & Tourism
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
7.0
250.0
300
6.0
200.0
250
5.0
150.0
200
4.0
150
3.0
100.0
100
2.0
50.0
50
1.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
-50
Light Blue Bar is Personal Travel & Tourism; Dark Blue Bar is Business Travel
Sub-Saharan Africa
Personal & Business Travel & Tourism
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
Sub-Saharan Africa
Personal Travel & Tourism
(% of Total Personal Consumption)
Sub-Saharan Africa
Personal Travel & Tourism
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
30.0
7.0
300
25.0
6.0
250
5.0
20.0
200
4.0
15.0
150
3.0
10.0
2.0
100
5.0
1.0
50
0.0
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
World
Personal & Business Travel & Tourism
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
0
1990
World
Personal Travel & Tourism
(% of Total Personal Consumption)
12.0
300
2,500.0
10.0
250
2,000.0
8.0
200
1,500.0
6.0
150
1,000.0
4.0
100
500.0
2.0
50
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
34
48
61
76
92
96
122
129
156
168
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
Kenya
Tanzania
Senegal
Namibia
Malawi
Gambia
9,764.8
3,792.1
2,175.6
1,041.8
597.4
543.4
230.9
200.7
60.1
23.5
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Morocco
Gambia
South Africa
Egypt
Tunisia
Tanzania
Kenya
Namibia
Malawi
Senegal
2005
2010
2015
1990
96
100
103
105
113
116
123
125
158
162
2000
World
Personal Travel & Tourism
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
3,000.0
0.0
1995
6.6
6.4
6.3
6.1
5.9
5.8
5.4
5.2
3.8
3.4
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
9
12
38
41
58
59
62
69
95
115
Tunisia
Egypt
Senegal
Gambia
Namibia
Malawi
Morocco
Tanzania
South Africa
Kenya
7.6
7.4
6.2
6.2
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.4
4.8
4.1
25
EXPORTS
VISITOR EXPORTS PLAY AN IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENT ROLE FOR THE RESIDENT TRAVEL
& TOURISM ECONOMY. MALAWI TRAVEL & TOURISM IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE 12.5% OF
TOTAL EXPORTS (MWK10,257.7 MN OR US$91.2 MN) IN 2005, GROWING (NOMINAL TERMS)
TO MWK30,469.7 MN OR US$212.8 MN (11.5% OF TOTAL) IN 2015.
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Exports
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Exports
(% of Total Exports)
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Visitor Exports
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
160.0
12.0
300
140.0
10.0
250
8.0
200
120.0
100.0
150
80.0
6.0
60.0
4.0
100
40.0
50
2.0
20.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Light Blue Bar is Visitor Exports; Dark Blue Bar is Other Exports
1990
-50
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
-100
Light Blue Line is Visitor Exports; Dark Blue Line is Other Exports
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Exports
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Exports
(% of Total Exports)
25.0
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Visitor Exports
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
9.0
300
8.0
20.0
250
7.0
6.0
15.0
200
5.0
150
4.0
10.0
3.0
100
2.0
5.0
50
1.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
World
Travel & Tourism Exports
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
0
1990
World
Travel & Tourism Exports
(% of Total Exports)
1,200.0
6.0
2015
200
5.0
150
4.0
3.0
400.0
2010
250
7.0
600.0
2005
300
8.0
800.0
2000
World
Travel & Tourism Visitor Exports
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
9.0
1,000.0
1995
100
2.0
200.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
27
28
39
52
81
87
102
111
142
146
50
1.0
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
Kenya
Tanzania
Namibia
Senegal
Gambia
Malawi
7,290.2
6,983.0
5,231.4
2,517.0
861.5
683.6
444.4
354.9
81.4
70.2
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
28
31
35
36
48
51
53
61
82
87
Tanzania
Gambia
Egypt
Morocco
Kenya
Namibia
Tunisia
Senegal
South Africa
Malawi
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
33.0
30.6
29.2
27.7
19.8
18.9
18.1
16.2
11.0
9.6
9
17
53
90
104
112
115
126
134
168
South Africa
Namibia
Senegal
Tunisia
Tanzania
Egypt
Kenya
Morocco
Malawi
Gambia
8.8
8.3
6.5
5.6
5.3
5.0
5.0
4.6
4.4
2.4
27
GOVERNMENT
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(% of Total Government Expenditures)
2.5
300
2.0
250
8.0
7.0
6.0
Malawi
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
200
1.5
5.0
150
4.0
1.0
100
3.0
0.5
2.0
50
1.0
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Light Blue Bar is Govt Individual; Dark Blue Bar is Govt Collective
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
-50
Light Blue Line is Visitor Exports; Dark Blue Line is Other Exports
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
1.4
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(% of Total Exports)
2.0
Sub-Saharan Africa
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
300
1.8
1.2
1.0
1.6
1.4
0.8
1.2
250
200
1.0
0.6
0.8
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
150
100
50
0.2
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
World
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(1990 Constant US$ mn)
250.0
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
0
1990
World
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(% of Total Exports)
4.5
3.0
2015
World
Travel & Tourism Government Expenditures
(Cumulative Real Growth, %)
150
2.0
1.5
100
1.0
50.0
50
0.5
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
35
47
52
61
67
84
99
108
162
163
2010
200
2.5
100.0
2005
250
3.5
150.0
2000
300
4.0
200.0
1995
Egypt
Morocco
Tunisia
South Africa
Kenya
Tanzania
Namibia
Senegal
Malawi
Gambia
639.1
371.2
308.4
251.4
192.4
105.4
64.6
46.7
5.0
4.6
0.0
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
1990
29
40
41
42
52
82
83
86
156
173
Gambia
Tunisia
Kenya
Egypt
Tanzania
Senegal
Namibia
Morocco
Malawi
South Africa
9.3
7.2
6.9
6.6
5.5
3.7
3.7
3.6
1.3
0.5
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
21
33
34
39
40
60
84
94
98
133
Egypt
Morocco
Malawi
Gambia
Tunisia
Namibia
Tanzania
Senegal
Kenya
South Africa
5.0
4.6
4.6
4.4
4.3
4.0
3.6
3.3
3.3
2.3
29
Absolute Size
Relative Size
156
132
162
167
146
130
154
150
154
89
106
158
--156
164
87
71
--81
135
104
148
2015
Growth1 Absolute Size
59
95
58
112
37
77
37
28
20
36
27
Relative Size
Growth2
147
--156
164
93
71
--86
136
108
147
59
95
34
79
134
111
99
95
95
109
103
150
123
158
165
143
128
151
148
152
91
107
2005 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation; 22006-2015 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation
Total 174 Countries or 13 Regions (Largest/Highest/Best is Number 1; Smallest/Lowest/Worst is Number 174 or 13; 0 is Aggregate Region no Ranking)
Year 2005 % of Total Estimates for Malawi within World Countries Range
120
% of Total Category
100
80
60
40
20
0
T&T Economy
Employment
T&T Industry
Employment
T&T Economy
GDP
T&T Industry
GDP
Other Exports
Visitor Exports
Capital
Investment
Government
Expenditures
Personal Travel
& Tourism
TSA Concepts
Ten Year (2006-2015) Growth Estimates for Malawi Within World Countries Range
20
15
10
-5
T&T Economy
Employment
T&T Industry
Employment
T&T Economy
GDP
T&T Industry
GDP
Other Exports
Visitor Exports
Capital
Investment
Government
Expenditures
Business Travel
Personal Travel
& Tourism
30
TSA Concepts
Low Growth
High Contribution
35%
High Growth
High Contribution
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
High Growth
Low Contribution
Low Growth
Low Contribution
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Travel & Tourism Industry Employment Contribution and Growth - All Countries
50%
Low Growth
High Contribution
45%
High Growth
High Contribution
40%
% of Total Empl (2005)
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Low Growth
Low Contribution
0%
-2%
High Growth
Low Contribution
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Travel & Tourism Capital Investment Contribution and Growth - All Countries
100%
Low Growth
High Contribution
High Growth
High Contribution
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
Low Growth
Low Contribution
-4%
-2%
10%
High Growth
Low Contribution
0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
31
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004E
2005E
2015P
4,374.80
5,290.50
8,343.02
4,924.64
5,759.58
6,756.61
22,282.30
2,471.25
3,739.56
4,609.39
5,141.29
6,148.32
7,314.47
19,948.60
2,141.26
3,202.01
3,946.39
4,320.60
5,169.11
6,153.18
16,810.70
329.99
537.55
663.00
820.69
979.21
1,161.29
3,137.91
67.73
84.46
102.07
130.71
149.81
168.71
495.90
Visitor Exports
1,857.77
3,082.81
3,443.25
4,717.02
6,351.94
7,893.80
23,101.50
8,771.55
12,197.30
16,497.70
14,913.70
18,409.70
22,133.60
65,828.40
147.77
199.64
238.16
301.65
342.43
393.67
1,172.13
Capital Investment
610.56
776.84
673.16
889.66
1,020.99
1,159.28
3,317.82
Exports (Non-Visitor)
920.37
1,172.41
1,048.00
1,653.44
2,055.72
2,363.86
7,368.24
10,450.30
14,346.20
18,457.10
17,758.40
21,828.80
26,050.40
77,686.50
Corporate
Government
Gov't Expenditures - Individual
39.23
55.56
57.76
53.64
60.82
67.23
80.77
2,442.26
4,063.02
4,951.16
5,102.51
6,452.21
7,951.96
22,708.90
82.84
112.93
111.74
107.71
121.18
132.86
161.70
5,069.86
8,135.62
9,462.82
10,101.10
12,679.10
15,507.10
44,826.70
5.00
4.72
6.53
3.52
3.65
3.81
4.74
Gov't Expenditures
1.27
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.29
1.29
1.37
Capital Investment
4.79
5.63
4.85
5.43
5.48
5.48
5.57
Exports
10.18
11.91
11.83
11.31
11.91
12.50
11.51
T&T Imports
14.36
13.37
14.75
9.68
9.72
9.96
10.98
1.86
2.58
2.62
2.39
2.66
2.88
2.93
2.40
3.33
3.40
3.09
3.44
3.73
3.79
3.92
5.24
5.08
4.80
5.29
5.70
5.86
4.99
6.68
6.49
6.12
6.76
7.28
7.48
Travel & Tourism Real Growth (per annum except 2015 = 10-year annualized)
32
6.92
-3.41
34.21
-44.78
5.37
7.53
5.67
26.62
20.86
4.90
4.35
7.74
9.05
3.68
Gov't Expenditures
38.63
5.29
1.92
18.88
2.57
4.72
4.55
Capital Investment
-0.47
1.62
-26.25
23.64
3.39
4.08
4.18
Visitor Exports
37.70
32.54
-4.94
28.16
21.32
13.91
4.42
Other Exports
6.29
1.74
-23.93
47.60
12.01
5.40
5.08
17.90
11.06
15.11
-15.43
11.21
10.20
5.11
15.76
9.64
9.49
-9.99
10.74
9.39
4.61
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004E
2005E
2015P
33.72
32.87
3.71
-3.59
13.92
12.97
4.16
Employment
35.03
41.62
3.95
-7.13
13.38
10.54
1.85
28.81
28.17
-1.01
-0.14
13.08
12.11
4.29
Employment
29.81
36.32
-1.06
-3.61
12.51
9.64
1.99
73.47
73.28
108.79
50.54
53.24
60.10
155.64
41.50
51.80
60.11
52.77
56.83
65.06
139.34
35.96
44.35
51.46
44.34
47.78
54.73
117.42
5.54
7.45
8.65
8.42
9.05
10.33
21.92
1.14
1.17
1.33
1.34
1.38
1.50
3.46
31.20
42.70
44.90
48.41
58.71
70.22
161.36
147.31
168.95
215.13
153.07
170.16
196.88
459.79
Corporate
Government
Gov't Expenditures - Individual
Visitor Exports
Travel & Tourism Consumption
Gov't Expenditures - Collective
2.48
2.77
3.11
3.10
3.17
3.50
8.19
Capital Investment
10.25
10.76
8.78
9.13
9.44
10.31
23.17
Exports (Non-Visitor)
15.46
16.24
13.67
16.97
19.00
21.03
51.47
175.51
198.71
240.68
182.26
201.76
231.72
542.62
39.23
55.56
57.76
53.64
60.82
67.23
80.77
41.02
56.28
64.56
52.37
59.64
70.73
158.62
82.84
112.93
111.74
107.71
121.18
132.86
161.70
85.14
112.69
123.40
103.67
117.19
137.94
313.10
113.50
109.63
147.13
81.25
85.61
92.05
159.79
64.12
77.49
81.29
84.82
91.39
99.65
143.05
1.76
1.75
1.80
2.16
2.23
2.30
3.56
48.20
63.88
60.72
77.82
94.41
107.55
165.66
227.58
252.75
290.95
246.05
273.63
301.55
472.05
3.83
4.14
4.20
4.98
5.09
5.36
8.41
15.84
16.10
11.87
14.68
15.18
15.79
23.79
23.88
24.29
18.48
27.28
30.56
32.21
52.84
271.13
297.28
325.50
292.99
324.46
354.91
557.08
63.36
84.19
87.32
84.18
95.90
108.34
162.84
131.54
168.59
166.88
166.65
188.46
211.27
321.45
33
7.0
160.00
160.00
6.0
140.00
140.00
5.0
180.00
120.00
120.00
100.00
4.0
100.00
80.00
80.00
3.0
60.00
2.0
40.00
60.00
40.00
1.0
20.00
0.0
0.00
20.00
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
14.00
1992
1990
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1988
0.00
12.00
2.0
10.00
8.00
1.5
6.00
1.0
4.00
0.5
2.00
0.00
0.0
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
180.00
14.0
160.00
500.00
450.00
12.0
400.00
140.00
10.0
350.00
100.00
8.0
300.00
80.00
6.0
200.00
4.0
150.00
120.00
250.00
60.00
40.00
100.00
2.0
20.00
0.00
50.00
0.0
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
35.00
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
0.00
12.0
600.00
10.0
500.00
8.0
400.00
6.0
300.00
4.0
200.00
2.0
100.00
0.0
0.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
34
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
180.00
4.5
160.00
4.0
140.00
3.5
120.00
3.0
100.00
2.5
80.00
2.0
60.00
1.5
40.00
1.0
20.00
0.5
0.00
0.0
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
350.00
8.00
300.00
7.00
6.00
250.00
5.00
200.00
4.00
150.00
3.00
100.00
2.00
50.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
90.00
3.5
80.00
3.0
70.00
2.5
60.00
50.00
2.0
40.00
1.5
30.00
1.0
20.00
0.5
10.00
0.0
0.00
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
180.0
5.0
100.0
4.0
80.0
3.0
60.0
6.0
140.0
120.0
Malawi
Notes for 2005
7.0
160.0
2.0
40.0
20.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
WORLD AT A GLANCE
Data Source Confidence and Forecast Margin of Error
2005 Personal T&T (% Total Consumption)
2005 T&T Demand (US$ mn)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Demand (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Total Exports)
2005 T&T Demand Market Share (% of Total World Demand)
2005 T&T Govt Expd. (% Total Govt)
2005 T&T Industry GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Economy GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% of Total Investment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% Real Growth)
WORLD
6,201,490
5.4
100.0
3.8
10.6
74,223
221,568
8.3
9.4
5.3
6.5
7.3
10.4
3.8
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Low
45,535
111
837
2,072
3,883
1,686
991
459
671
4,921
843
99
7,026
154
1,046
375
3,914
1,407
9,802
172
493
194
2,042
2,338
3.3
7.8
9.0
5.8
11.0
10.7
6.8
10.7
-1.6
4.9
7.3
9.8
-14.4
8.6
3.1
1.2
10.0
1.4
4.8
9.3
9.2
6.5
5.9
7.9
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.7
24.6
25.0
21.3
18.4
16.1
6.0
38.0
9.4
4.1
2.1
9.6
7.5
5.0
8.4
2.2
10.8
2.0
1.6
7.8
15.0
10.3
2.4
9.8
15.4
71.4
86.0
70.9
54.7
48.0
20.4
95.2
29.9
13.2
6.5
26.0
22.9
24.3
27.3
6.0
36.2
8.9
5.8
28.6
42.8
31.8
10.7
33.7
781
2
11
18
43
27
3
3
3
158
2
3
233
2
25
58
121
6
24
2
11
4
15
6
5
29
35
30
26
20
8
38
13
4
3
9
7
5
8
2
10
3
2
9
16
10
3
14
2,380
5
29
51
116
74
9
8
9
497
4
9
696
9
78
159
394
24
81
6
30
13
59
18
15.1
77.3
95.0
85.8
68.7
55.3
24.5
94.1
36.8
11.3
8.0
23.8
19.8
22.0
25.5
4.7
31.9
9.3
6.0
29.1
43.2
28.6
10.4
40.3
20.7
54.4
51.8
76.4
66.1
62.9
45.8
51.1
58.8
16.5
17.6
15.8
24.7
24.2
21.0
4.7
33.7
17.6
8.0
25.2
40.2
28.3
17.1
58.0
7.5
2.9
3.8
3.6
17.8
4.5
2.4
-1.3
13.1
1.5
1.8
4.5
3.5
56.9
-0.9
12.9
17.7
4.3
6.7
6.2
6.9
1.5
4.3
3.2
17.3
79.2
71.9
30.1
69.2
56.6
22.9
65.6
38.7
40.4
10.1
36.4
36.6
21.7
19.1
10.5
44.7
12.2
5.0
38.5
77.4
48.1
7.1
38.0
2.2
10.1
13.5
7.1
11.4
15.2
10.9
13.6
-8.5
8.5
10.7
13.8
-22.5
-22.0
7.1
-0.7
10.1
4.2
6.4
14.0
11.0
9.5
7.2
12.5
6.4
10.9
22.5
22.5
23.2
11.5
7.5
54.3
5.9
4.8
14.5
11.6
4.7
11.8
7.0
3.8
7.6
5.1
5.2
10.9
12.3
9.2
7.1
9.9
8.7
13.5
27.8
16.3
13.8
15.6
17.6
26.7
27.7
5.7
4.8
6.1
20.9
11.9
20.5
3.0
16.7
7.7
4.1
14.2
16.9
11.9
4.1
19.6
234,750
1,898
2,994
642
6,862
11,106
602
427
8,218
87,066
14,178
1,664
3.6
15.9
8.6
0.7
7.3
4.9
1.6
8.5
5.8
3.3
3.6
9.7
3.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.4
0.2
0.0
2.2
4.7
1.9
1.3
4.6
9.0
1.7
8.5
1.3
1.6
3.2
1.2
9.6
14.1
8.2
5.8
15.6
19.6
6.9
14.8
5.8
9.0
12.8
4.8
2,846
55
79
12
139
117
11
13
115
979
566
43
2
4
2
1
4
10
2
9
1
1
3
1
12,272
165
344
55
474
256
43
23
492
5,250
2,316
160
8.3
11.4
6.7
4.7
13.3
22.9
6.4
15.8
4.9
7.7
10.3
4.3
11.8
7.0
6.8
7.8
13.7
10.2
9.6
16.2
8.0
15.8
18.2
8.3
9.1
13.9
9.6
5.8
11.2
3.4
7.4
-10.3
10.2
11.1
1.5
13.3
6.9
41.0
3.5
2.2
17.5
29.3
4.8
35.3
3.4
4.0
12.8
1.3
0.8
19.9
9.8
0.4
4.0
6.2
2.3
13.6
-8.9
-1.5
3.5
17.4
7.8
10.9
8.6
4.3
10.8
12.2
4.4
6.0
4.3
9.1
9.5
4.1
3.0
3.8
1.0
1.1
3.2
1.4
1.3
2.8
3.4
2.7
5.0
0.8
2,271,900
78,651
76,124
5,120
24,668
38,417
3,337
28,023
365,350
439,766
38,858
15,261
31,765
272,851
1,805
3,985
7,603
2,152
96,200
34,461
42,709
9,195
6,810
245,554
49,789
353,440
4.1
4.4
2.8
3.5
1.8
4.8
1.7
6.0
3.7
3.5
11.6
3.1
7.0
3.4
4.9
6.5
6.3
4.4
3.2
-0.5
5.1
7.0
5.2
4.0
6.8
5.1
36.6
1.3
1.2
0.1
0.4
0.6
0.1
0.5
5.9
7.1
0.6
0.2
0.5
4.4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
1.6
0.6
0.7
0.1
0.1
4.0
0.8
5.7
4.2
6.1
3.6
10.4
2.5
3.5
4.9
3.7
4.9
2.8
7.2
4.2
2.8
4.9
1.3
1.6
3.4
14.7
3.6
1.6
7.2
1.9
2.9
7.3
2.7
3.9
11.5
16.7
10.5
22.7
13.8
9.4
20.3
10.4
12.5
9.6
16.2
9.3
9.3
11.4
6.2
8.5
10.5
28.4
9.5
7.6
17.3
12.4
12.4
18.9
8.1
10.1
8,926
284
165
54
124
92
30
89
1,528
1,172
324
214
54
1,159
14
23
7
30
258
239
425
48
37
1,379
101
1,076
4
7
4
15
3
3
4
4
6
3
8
5
3
5
1
1
4
21
4
2
8
2
4
8
2
4
24,301
764
469
108
611
254
122
261
3,671
3,959
750
345
161
2,749
63
118
23
51
655
1,035
1,036
288
135
3,492
323
2,857
12.1
18.6
11.2
28.9
12.9
9.3
17.7
10.9
15.1
10.3
18.2
8.9
8.5
12.2
5.3
7.2
12.4
35.0
9.2
7.1
20.2
11.0
14.4
20.3
7.6
9.3
8.8
13.5
6.4
21.4
11.5
10.1
21.3
12.1
7.4
6.1
10.7
7.4
16.1
7.9
9.7
10.1
6.4
33.1
6.6
8.1
10.8
11.9
10.5
14.5
7.1
8.5
3.4
2.4
-4.6
4.7
8.6
0.8
-7.0
8.7
2.8
-0.3
1.7
7.2
11.0
2.8
-6.6
-5.1
14.1
3.7
0.4
4.9
2.9
8.5
6.7
6.6
10.5
4.1
7.2
13.9
3.1
43.9
6.4
6.3
12.9
4.9
10.1
3.7
37.0
7.1
4.0
9.5
5.8
7.0
2.8
20.7
4.7
7.0
15.5
3.2
8.4
15.7
4.7
6.7
6.0
8.5
4.8
1.5
1.6
9.2
2.9
8.4
3.0
5.1
23.3
2.8
6.2
7.8
1.2
1.8
9.1
5.2
7.5
-8.3
9.4
5.7
-0.2
-0.5
10.4
10.6
12.2
16.8
14.0
8.3
7.7
11.3
10.1
11.4
12.7
11.4
9.3
7.2
8.6
11.3
6.9
7.6
18.6
7.1
12.3
6.0
13.3
7.4
9.7
15.0
10.3
13.5
3.2
4.8
3.2
9.2
3.7
2.5
8.1
3.1
3.2
2.2
3.7
5.2
3.6
3.5
3.0
3.0
2.5
11.3
2.2
2.7
6.5
2.1
4.2
6.4
2.2
2.9
Caribbean
Anguilla
Antigua and Barbuda
Aruba
Bahamas
Barbados
Bermuda
British Virgin Islands
Cayman Islands
Cuba
Curaao
Dominica
Dominican Republic
Grenada
Guadeloupe
Haiti
Jamaica
Martinique
Puerto Rico
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Saint Lucia
St Vincent and the Grenadines
Trinidad and Tobago
Virgin Islands
European Union
Austria
Belgium
Cyprus*
Czech Republic*
Denmark
Estonia*
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary*
Ireland
Italy
Latvia*
Lithuania*
Luxembourg
Malta*
Netherlands
Poland*
Portugal
Slovakia*
Slovenia*
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
High
High
Moderate
High
High
Moderate
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High confidence in data sources.
Moderate Countries with moderate confidence in data sources.
Low
Countries with forecast subjust to high uncertainty and/or with limited access to data.
36
*The new EU accession countries are presented, analyzed and compared in this report within the European Union "Region" although their estimates
are also included within their geographic regional totals of Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and North Africa respectively.
WORLD AT A GLANCE
Data Source Confidence and Forecast Margin of Error
2005 Personal T&T (% Total Consumption)
2005 T&T Demand (US$ mn)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Demand (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Total Exports)
2005 T&T Demand Market Share (% of Total World Demand)
2005 T&T Govt Expd. (% Total Govt)
2005 T&T Industry GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Economy GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% of Total Investment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% Real Growth)
Latin America
Argentina
Belize
Bolivia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Guyana
Honduras
Nicaragua
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Suriname
Uruguay
Venezuela
High
Moderate
Moderate
High
High
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
133,420
17,729
316
1,100
55,104
9,213
9,756
3,618
3,717
2,032
2,778
160
1,428
640
2,716
851
7,740
187
2,060
12,276
5.8
8.5
9.4
9.3
5.1
6.2
2.4
9.7
6.5
6.7
8.3
4.5
7.3
8.8
7.4
5.6
6.2
8.7
5.7
0.2
2.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.9
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.2
2.9
2.6
7.8
3.5
3.1
2.4
2.3
5.5
2.3
3.2
2.9
2.7
4.4
2.7
5.2
2.1
3.4
2.0
4.1
2.0
7.6
7.8
20.0
9.2
7.2
6.5
6.6
13.7
8.6
7.8
6.9
9.3
10.4
6.9
13.5
7.3
8.2
5.4
9.8
8.8
4,910
531
6
100
2,475
161
380
90
104
80
124
7
96
45
60
38
332
3
67
210
3
4
8
3
3
3
2
6
2
3
3
2
4
2
5
2
3
2
5
2
12,305
1,321
15
266
5,828
397
1,042
211
379
194
289
24
227
117
150
128
773
8
149
787
7.3
9.1
19.7
7.6
7.0
6.8
5.9
13.3
7.4
6.8
6.0
7.7
8.5
5.6
12.9
6.4
7.6
4.9
10.7
8.1
9.5
10.0
24.5
15.9
8.2
8.7
11.2
16.8
14.3
11.7
9.3
22.1
9.8
7.1
13.8
14.9
10.6
7.8
14.3
11.9
8.3
12.1
3.9
7.0
8.6
9.4
3.5
3.1
8.0
3.6
4.8
2.2
6.8
5.7
4.0
3.2
4.3
5.4
13.7
4.4
6.8
7.2
22.3
15.3
5.4
4.9
7.0
18.0
5.4
16.2
18.6
4.2
14.9
11.2
13.4
3.3
9.3
4.2
13.6
1.8
8.9
12.2
14.1
16.1
6.1
6.7
2.9
12.5
10.1
10.6
13.8
11.2
5.1
12.4
10.7
11.4
8.8
15.8
6.0
17.0
5.7
6.4
7.3
5.1
6.0
5.2
5.1
5.4
5.2
4.3
4.3
7.4
8.0
6.3
7.5
4.3
6.4
11.8
5.4
4.4
2.9
2.4
12.1
3.1
2.8
4.1
2.0
6.1
3.7
2.5
4.6
5.9
4.0
2.1
4.8
7.9
2.7
1.7
5.0
3.5
Middle East
Bahrain
Iran
Israel
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Syria
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Low
128,610
3,206
21,494
15,093
3,059
8,926
4,329
4,049
5,599
27,353
8,133
20,743
1,509
4.8
9.1
6.7
6.7
8.3
6.4
5.7
7.6
8.1
0.7
5.9
2.4
5.9
2.1
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.3
0.0
2.7
7.6
3.6
2.4
6.3
1.5
3.6
1.8
4.2
2.2
2.1
1.3
1.9
9.7
20.4
10.0
7.1
16.1
7.3
12.8
10.3
18.7
9.1
6.0
12.5
8.5
1,388
29
647
95
89
24
58
18
19
99
132
28
96
3
10
3
3
6
2
4
2
6
3
2
2
2
3,998
69
1,710
231
218
82
194
75
71
306
333
184
417
9.1
23.4
8.9
8.3
14.7
7.6
12.4
10.3
21.8
9.7
6.1
12.4
7.2
10.4
4.2
4.4
13.3
18.5
10.9
11.1
8.8
11.1
7.7
7.0
30.4
12.8
5.1
7.5
8.1
4.3
3.5
4.8
4.5
5.9
7.6
6.3
3.2
3.5
6.0
5.8
11.9
6.9
4.5
20.5
1.4
51.1
1.1
11.7
3.2
17.7
2.7
2.9
8.5
10.1
13.3
11.2
10.3
9.8
10.1
16.7
8.7
4.9
7.8
9.1
2.7
9.3
20.0
13.8
7.7
9.3
23.3
8.9
13.4
15.3
5.9
4.5
10.7
2.8
2.3
3.8
2.9
2.1
10.3
1.2
9.1
1.2
5.4
0.9
3.1
1.9
1.2
North Africa
Algeria
Egypt
Libya
Morocco
Tunisia
Low
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
47,322
7,834
16,032
4,642
10,676
5,985
9.0
6.5
8.6
6.3
14.1
12.9
0.8
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.1
6.2
1.8
8.3
3.2
9.5
8.8
13.1
6.4
15.4
14.1
17.0
17.7
3,137
148
1,776
54
866
262
6
2
7
4
8
9
5,999
482
3,268
170
1,526
501
12.4
5.6
13.0
14.2
14.7
16.5
13.2
5.9
17.5
31.2
13.5
17.0
6.8
10.4
4.8
7.5
9.0
5.3
14.7
1.1
29.2
0.8
27.7
18.1
13.1
10.7
9.6
9.3
20.4
19.6
6.3
4.8
6.1
11.6
6.6
5.9
4.1
1.1
6.6
2.6
3.6
7.2
1,880,200
179,963
113,259
1,586,990
5.7
4.1
11.6
5.6
30.3
2.9
1.8
25.6
4.2
3.8
5.2
4.1
11.0
11.8
14.5
10.8
8,634
736
1,310
6,588
5
5
5
5
23,012
2,070
4,120
16,821
12.3
12.8
14.2
11.9
10.3
8.1
10.4
10.5
4.1
6.0
16.0
3.4
6.8
3.6
5.9
7.9
7.4
8.9
18.5
6.1
10.5
12.9
12.2
10.2
5.0
4.0
4.8
5.1
North America
Canada
Mexico
United States
High
High
High
Northeast Asia
China
Chinese Taipei
Hong Kong
Japan
Korea, Republic of
Macau
High
High
High
High
High
Moderate
974,200
265,059
35,621
48,196
531,584
87,985
5,762
6.0
10.1
8.2
11.4
3.1
6.3
14.6
15.7
4.3
0.6
0.8
8.6
1.4
0.1
3.0
2.4
1.6
2.0
3.5
1.6
20.1
9.8
11.7
5.7
12.5
9.6
7.3
54.6
17,941
14,296
223
101
2,737
518
66
2
2
2
3
4
2
28
74,819
64,625
662
352
7,180
1,837
164
8.8
8.6
6.6
10.4
11.3
8.0
69.6
8.1
9.9
9.5
14.9
5.9
8.6
86.9
7.3
10.4
10.5
10.8
2.6
5.6
9.5
3.1
3.6
2.9
2.6
2.4
2.5
41.7
9.4
7.5
9.8
13.5
14.8
-0.2
17.0
10.2
10.8
6.9
15.4
10.4
7.8
10.0
3.9
3.8
1.7
7.5
4.1
2.5
12.3
High
Low
Low
High
Low
Low
Low
Low
128,632
99,629
966
28
21,001
6,762
45
34
166
8.1
9.1
14.7
12.6
3.3
4.7
10.5
9.5
14.7
2.1
1.6
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
6.0
5.6
12.0
9.7
7.1
12.0
3.1
4.9
17.2
13.3
12.4
29.7
26.0
14.9
32.4
9.7
14.0
42.5
848
572
41
2
155
62
5
1
9
7
6
12
8
8
17
3
4
16
1,894
1,274
97
6
327
146
17
4
22
14.8
13.0
27.7
21.3
16.7
39.8
8.0
12.1
38.3
12.1
11.2
39.3
15.8
12.2
72.5
22.9
25.0
37.7
6.5
7.4
3.9
2.4
1.2
4.2
5.0
3.6
5.5
18.0
15.3
35.0
21.1
19.7
50.5
6.1
31.4
50.2
15.1
19.5
22.4
19.3
4.6
4.8
12.8
17.9
20.7
12.0
12.0
8.5
7.2
13.1
5.7
8.3
3.6
15.6
4.1
3.8
12.8
2.4
3.5
19.4
2.7
5.7
13.7
Oceania
Australia
Fiji
Kiribati
New Zealand
Other Oceania
Solomon Islands
Tonga
Vanuatu
High
High confidence in data sources.
Moderate Countries with moderate confidence in data sources.
Low
Countries with forecast subjust to high uncertainty and/or with limited access to data.
37
WORLD AT A GLANCE
Data Source Confidence and Forecast Margin of Error
2005 Personal T&T (% Total Consumption)
2005 T&T Demand (US$ mn)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Demand (% Real Growth)
2005 T&T Visitor Exports (% Total Exports)
2005 T&T Demand Market Share (% of Total World Demand)
2005 T&T Govt Expd. (% Total Govt)
2005 T&T Industry GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Economy GDP (% of Total GDP)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Industry Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs ('000)
2005 T&T Economy Jobs (% of Total Employment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% of Total Investment)
2005 T&T Capital Investment (% Real Growth)
Moderate
High
High
High
165,330
3,689
39,342
76,400
45,896
5.9
6.1
7.2
3.9
7.8
2.7
0.1
0.6
1.2
0.7
5.0
7.1
2.7
6.2
5.5
12.0
19.4
8.9
14.3
11.4
1,239
11
68
353
807
4
7
3
8
4
2,717
36
248
779
1,655
9.6
22.0
10.8
18.5
7.7
7.9
18.7
6.9
7.9
8.2
-7.9
0.9
10.3
-1.4
-20.2
10.2
15.7
4.4
8.6
19.9
13.1
9.6
10.2
9.7
15.9
12.1
13.2
11.7
16.2
7.9
5.0
13.0
5.5
7.5
0.6
South Asia
Bangladesh
India
Maldives
Nepal
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
Moderate
High
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
59,328
3,194
44,713
574
919
7,022
2,906
10.0
7.3
10.9
-14.2
8.4
10.0
2.9
1.0
0.1
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
2.2
1.6
2.1
32.3
4.4
2.6
3.8
5.5
3.8
5.3
62.6
9.1
5.9
9.5
13,547
959
10,762
32
366
1,174
255
2
1
2
28
3
2
3
30,795
2,352
24,266
61
774
2,689
654
5.2
3.0
5.5
54.2
7.1
4.8
7.8
7.5
4.5
7.3
29.5
12.4
11.3
11.5
13.6
5.0
14.2
19.2
2.6
11.6
18.9
4.0
0.9
3.3
64.7
16.1
4.7
9.4
3.4
11.8
5.5
-21.9
10.8
15.0
-11.3
4.6
3.2
4.7
34.5
4.6
4.7
6.1
1.2
2.1
0.9
14.8
5.0
1.9
4.4
Southeast Asia
Brunei Darussalam
Burma
Cambodia
Indonesia
Laos
Malaysia
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Vietnam
Low
Low
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
High
High
Moderate
165,450
989
22,532
1,033
34,452
376
28,711
1,021
10,035
26,850
31,997
7,451
6.3
1.0
0.8
7.6
8.6
14.6
14.9
13.4
7.5
7.0
-2.4
8.9
2.7
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.1
2.8
3.3
1.6
7.3
3.1
5.5
5.3
5.8
2.7
2.6
5.2
2.2
7.5
13.4
3.4
17.2
8.9
11.4
15.6
14.5
7.3
10.6
11.7
8.7
6,961
8
323
396
2,445
108
560
121
917
55
1,397
632
3
5
2
6
3
4
5
5
3
2
4
2
19,306
24
652
949
7,090
227
1,443
305
2,837
183
2,984
2,613
7.9
14.3
3.1
13.5
7.4
8.9
13.7
11.9
9.4
8.3
8.4
7.0
10.6
13.0
4.8
16.0
11.9
9.1
16.9
20.5
10.8
17.6
9.7
8.8
9.1
5.0
1.2
3.1
13.3
6.6
10.8
4.1
6.0
1.7
12.3
6.6
4.9
1.2
1.5
17.9
5.7
26.3
5.8
10.0
4.6
2.3
8.9
1.0
1.1
5.1
10.6
9.8
1.6
21.5
18.1
20.3
8.7
13.1
-14.9
14.1
6.7
5.6
4.3
3.3
6.0
2.4
9.7
15.5
5.6
16.0
11.7
8.4
5.1
2.3
2.8
9.1
8.9
7.8
1.7
3.2
3.5
10.1
2.7
1.4
Sub-Saharan Africa
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Congo, Democratic Republic
Cote d'Ivoire
Dem Rep of the Congo
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Kenya
Lesotho
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritius
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Reunion
Rwanda
Sao Tome and Principe
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
South Africa
Sudan
Swaziland
Tanzania
Togo
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
High
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
73,618
2,391
340
1,421
398
71
1,425
373
76
615
75
504
1,745
528
1,112
1,457
132
1,641
298
2,443
223
534
232
626
2,506
1,004
250
8,469
3,962
191
24
1,023
510
83
30,332
2,396
340
1,858
208
840
620
342
7.9
13.5
4.1
12.8
6.8
8.3
7.6
5.8
6.7
10.3
8.0
4.2
5.1
6.8
4.8
5.2
9.3
10.9
7.8
9.7
3.2
11.2
9.4
7.3
12.7
8.2
4.6
8.7
1.8
12.5
-6.2
5.6
14.0
6.4
7.1
7.9
3.9
11.5
6.8
9.1
1.3
-3.2
1.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.3
3.3
2.3
4.8
2.1
2.7
1.8
11.1
1.6
1.5
4.1
1.2
1.8
1.2
4.7
3.3
12.3
5.4
3.2
5.3
2.6
3.0
3.7
3.5
14.5
5.6
1.7
1.5
1.8
3.3
14.4
3.5
33.0
2.9
3.9
1.1
2.4
4.3
1.8
4.6
1.9
1.4
8.8
27.7
5.1
10.3
4.7
4.9
5.0
19.2
3.0
9.1
10.6
7.9
4.5
3.0
9.5
12.7
23.2
10.8
5.8
12.2
7.5
7.5
7.3
7.2
31.6
11.2
4.3
7.7
5.8
6.5
25.4
8.0
60.2
5.7
9.0
8.7
6.6
9.7
4.7
9.2
4.5
3.3
3,877
85
32
20
41
33
61
11
9
21
6
8
67
128
664
15
62
230
54
235
9
88
67
87
85
34
14
409
7
48
5
72
16
24
522
59
3
293
10
206
24
13
2
3
2
7
2
2
2
10
1
1
3
1
1
1
4
4
10
4
3
4
2
2
3
3
17
6
1
1
3
3
11
3
44
2
4
1
3
3
1
4
2
1
10,647
758
70
39
94
61
166
19
18
135
15
51
173
312
1,349
48
119
465
100
548
27
222
133
185
171
65
36
2,108
18
96
9
165
27
47
1,100
485
7
673
27
420
55
30
6.8
22.7
4.1
12.7
3.7
3.8
4.2
17.5
2.4
7.4
8.6
6.7
3.8
2.3
7.3
12.7
18.6
8.7
4.8
9.9
6.2
6.0
5.7
5.7
33.9
11.3
3.5
6.4
6.5
5.2
20.2
6.6
76.7
4.5
8.3
7.2
6.9
7.7
3.8
7.3
3.7
2.9
11.9
8.6
6.6
6.8
7.6
8.7
7.3
4.7
6.8
10.9
29.7
7.2
6.7
5.1
8.8
10.1
16.6
8.9
5.6
23.3
11.4
11.6
5.5
8.0
25.8
8.1
9.1
2.4
11.3
6.2
4.7
11.2
12.5
3.4
14.1
40.3
12.8
13.0
10.2
7.2
11.4
8.4
5.8
8.2
6.2
5.2
5.3
0.9
4.5
11.1
5.0
11.0
6.2
6.2
5.4
5.5
2.9
3.5
4.7
4.9
4.0
5.6
3.3
7.1
4.1
2.3
6.5
3.7
5.7
6.1
3.3
5.0
-10.1
4.3
1.9
19.5
5.2
6.3
1.3
9.3
4.8
5.3
5.3
-2.6
7.9
0.5
9.1
13.4
13.2
2.6
3.2
48.8
2.6
3.0
17.9
0.9
1.8
0.2
22.5
5.2
30.6
17.3
5.5
19.8
6.8
13.4
9.6
15.7
32.9
18.9
7.8
1.2
3.0
30.6
52.0
16.2
47.4
20.2
11.0
2.5
2.9
33.0
3.6
23.4
9.0
3.6
11.0
18.4
3.0
17.1
1.7
-3.9
0.0
1.9
-8.5
4.9
9.6
0.4
8.7
15.0
-2.3
6.3
10.1
16.0
15.9
17.4
11.3
14.7
13.9
6.4
16.8
11.9
-5.8
12.0
10.3
20.6
-6.7
8.5
18.6
1.7
11.8
2.9
7.8
12.4
8.9
8.5
1.5
-16.4
5.8
6.6
3.2
10.3
3.1
5.6
4.4
12.8
2.2
5.9
7.5
4.8
7.0
3.2
4.8
15.5
6.4
6.1
4.0
5.4
3.5
3.9
3.8
5.5
8.8
5.2
3.1
5.1
9.3
4.3
5.9
3.4
16.3
3.0
6.3
1.8
6.3
5.8
4.2
5.1
4.6
3.3
1.5
1.1
3.0
2.3
1.9
0.7
1.7
6.2
1.6
3.8
6.1
2.5
1.4
0.8
2.3
3.8
9.3
3.2
2.9
6.9
1.2
5.4
1.3
1.7
15.8
3.7
1.8
0.3
2.9
1.6
2.4
3.7
22.1
2.3
0.5
1.2
3.0
5.5
2.5
2.3
2.1
2.3
High
High confidence in data sources.
Moderate Countries with moderate confidence in data sources.
Low
Countries with forecast subjust to high uncertainty and/or with limited access to data.
38
OXFORD ECONOMIC
FORECASTING
ASSISTING WTTC PROVIDE TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS,
BENCHMARKING, FORECASTING AND PLANNING
An elite provider of economic analysis, forecasting and modelling, OEF possesses the skills and experience to assist you get to
grips with the drivers of your business. Projects undertaken in recent years in tourism related fields include:
Detailed country and regional appraisals of the impact of tourism on the economy
Preparation of scenarios to assess the potential impact of outside events, such as War in Iraq, on tourism flows and spending
Development of a forecasting framework for a hotel chain to analyse and predict occupancy rates and revenue across their
properties
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WTTC would like to express its sincere appreciation to the entire research and economics team
associated with this 2005 Tourism Satellite Accounting Research
Oxford Economic Forecasting