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Examining the success of the London Overground and using council tax data to reveal how the line has potentially brought prosperity to its surroundings.
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The Influence of the London Overground Network on Economic Growth and Prosperity
Examining the success of the London Overground and using council tax data to reveal how the line has potentially brought prosperity to its surroundings.
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Examining the success of the London Overground and using council tax data to reveal how the line has potentially brought prosperity to its surroundings.
Авторское право:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Доступные форматы
Скачайте в формате PDF, TXT или читайте онлайн в Scribd
Research for Spatial Planning 1 Contents Introduction 2 Growth of the Overground 2 The Impact of the Overground 4 Conclusion 6 Glossary 7 Bibliography 8 Appendices 9 2 Introduction With London Overground network just over four years old it is possible to look back over the infant years of the network and attempt to assess its impacts on London. The growth of the network has been rapid, with lines proliferating around north London from Richmond and Clapham Junction in the west to Crystal Palace and West Croydon in the East, with the full circle connection around London from Surrey Quays to Clapham Junction south of the Thames under construction and due for completion in 2012. The London Overground network that exists today is a combination of existing lines transferred into TfL operation (with varying degrees of increased service levels) as well as the newly constructed East London Line extension (henceforth ELLX) from Highbury & Islington to Whitechapel in the north via the former East London underground line to New Cross Gate, Crystal Palace and West Croydon in the south. 1 Because of its varied origins there are varying levels to which the development of the network has changed the landscape of transportation along its route. At a general scale in recent years the East London property market has been heavily infuenced by the Olympics development, however a 2010 report by LloydsTSB shows that of the 14 nearest Olympic postal districts only 4 have exceeded the Greater London average price increase since the Olympics were announced 2 . These four postal districts were Homerton, Shoreditch, Dalston and Clapton, with Homerton and Shoreditch signifcantly higher than the other districts. It is perhaps no surprise that these are the two districts most heavily infuenced by the ELLX, with Dalston also seeing a large beneft with the new terminus station at Dalston Junction. Whilst these fgures show the overall trend they may also start to hint at the varying infuence the different parts of the Overground, whether for example the ELLX as a new line has had more signifcant impact than the places where the route merely improved and re-branded an existing service, or whether increased services, the Overground branding and its inclusion on the tube map have lead to as big a change in areas where a service already existed as where it did not. This essay will attempt to look at a number of different stations on the Overground network and look at the change in value of the housing stock directly around them in the period before and after the opening of the Overground network. By utilising data for the council tax banding of the housing stock by output area, it should be possible to see not only the growth in volume of the housing stock as a result of the Overground but also any shift in breakdown towards higher value properties. A signifcant growth in volume of the housing stock would indicate that the area has seen signifcant growth in population as a result of the rail links. At the same time the percentage breakdown of the housing stock may show a trend towards higher value properties at the expense of more affordable ones, indicating perhaps gentrifcation is on its way and also a potential for pricing some of the existing population out of the market. Growth of the Overground With the different elements of the Overground network it is relevant to give a brief synopsis of the events leading to its creation in order to see the extent to which services changed before and after the TfL takeover. 1 Appendix 1: Overground Map showing current lines and southern extension to Clapham Junction 2 Appendix 3: LloydsTSB survey 3 The Overground network we have today was created from the remnants of a number of partial radial rail routes created in the late 19th and early 20th centuries by independent train companies in the wake of the successful inner circle underground railway. Unfortunately though the inner circle line (the Circle Line on the underground today) was successful, the outer routes never really became proftable, London was much smaller then than now and there simply werent the passenger numbers to support the routes. Over the years the radial routes were cut back, though by the time British Rail was privatised a number of radial routes still existed. The most London centric of the new franchises created as a result of the privatisation of British Rail was the North London franchise operated by Silverlink whose services were as follows: London Euston to Birmingham New Street (stopping services via Northampton) Bletchley to Bedford Watford Junction to St Albans London Euston to Watford Junction Richmond to North Woolwich (via Stratford) Clapham Junction to Willesdon Junction The franchise operated the long distance services as Silverlink County and the London services as Silverlink Metro. Though the Silverlink franchise was recorded as having PPM fgures in excess of 83% in Q3 2005 (up from 77.7% the previous year) 3 , which on paper made it one of the most reliable railways in the south east, it was seen by passengers as Shabby, unreliable, unsafe, overcrowded 4 . Following changes made in the Railways Act 2005 (as a result a government review in July 2004 5
and proposals by TfL for a London Regional Rail Authority 6 ) it became possible for TfL to have an infuence over the London rail network in a way that was previously handled at a national level. The result of this was that in February 2006 it was announced that the Silverlink Franchise would be split, with the longer distance routes transferring to another franchise and the London routes transferring into to TfL control. In September 2006 the London Overground branding was unveiled and it was announced that the ELLX (which already had some preparatory work underway) would also form part of this new transport network. On 11 November 2007 the WLL, NLL, GOBLIN and Watford-Euston DC lines transferred into TfL control under the branding of London Overground. Oystercards were immediately accepted on all routes, service levels were increased and a deep cleaning and renewal programme began, alongside a re-branding and marketing campaign. The ELLX itself fnally opened in April 2010 between Dalston Junction and New Cross/New Cross Gate with the southern extensions to Crystal Palace & West Croydon opened the following month. Subsequently in February 2011 the western curve north of Dalston Junction opened, taking the line to its present Northern terminus of Highbury & Islington, running alongside the NLL route to Stratford via Dalston Kingsland. 2012 should see the opening of the Inner South London Line, creating a southern route to Clapham Junction and achieving a full orbital rail network 7 . 3 Network Rail (2005), Cross London Route Utilization Strategy, pp.26-27, 4 Greater London Authority (2006), Londons Forgotten Railway, p.2, March. 5 Department for Transport (2004), The Future of Rail, White Paper, Cm 6233, July. 6 TfL (2004). Bob Kiley outlines proposals for London Regional Rail Authority. Press release, issued 23 March 2004. 7 Appendix 1: Overground Map showing current lines and southern extension to Clapham Junction 4 The Impact of The Overground Methodology The Overground network has rapidly grown since its creation in 2007 to now serve 78 stations (this will rise to 83 following the opening of the Inner South London Line), with a view to looking at the impacts the network has had on East London, and specifcally the A10 corridor a number of stations were chosen to focus upon. As mentioned above the Overground has grown from a varied mix of existing infrastructure so it was important to select stations that represent this varied ancestry. With the focus on the A10 corridor the completely new ELLX stations from Whitechapel to Dalston Junction were critical, so all have been investigated. The A10 corridor also cuts through the two other Overground routes in East London (NLL and GOBLIN) providing a number of stations to focus upon. In addition to the Overground network some rail stations that are not part of the Overground have been chosen to act as a control to compare the Overground network stations against. The full list of stations chosen are as follows: Cannonbury (NLL & ELLX, formerly Silverlink) Dalston Junction (ELLX, new station) Dalston Kingsland (NLL, formerly Silverlink) Hackney Central (NLL, formerly Silverlink) Haggerston (ELLX, new station) Highbury & Islington (NLL, ELLX and Victoria Line, formerly Silverlink & Victoria Line) Hoxton (ELLX, new station) Rectory Road (East Anglia - non-Overground) Shoreditch High Street (ELLX, new station) South Tottenham (GOBLIN, formerly Silverlink) Stamford Hill (East Anglia - non-Overground) Stoke Newington (East Anglia - non-Overground) Whitechapel (ELLX, H&C and District Lines, formerly part of the old East London Line) The initial source of data for each of the stations above was Council Tax Banding data produced by the VOA annually since 2001 8 . The council tax banding data is available for every property in an output area regardless of whether it has been sold or not, this allows it to give more area specifc information than is possible by using house sale prices which may have only one or two sales in a small area making conclusions hard to draw. The data isnt without limitations that will be covered later 9 but act as a reasonable indicator of the state of the property market in the specifc area of a station. The Council Tax Banding data for each station has been combined into summary sheets and attached as Appendix 4. Analysis The data shows quite clearly that the ELLX has had a signifcant impact on the areas around the new stations, all of the new stations on the route show clear jumps in the number of properties since the Overground was announced, these increases in general have a particular focus on the C & D bands. The speed of the increase varies from Dalston Junction which shows an extremely sharp rise in 2010 to Shoreditch High Street that has the largest growth in 2005 & 2006 but has 8 Appendix 4A: Council Tax Banding data set information 9 Appendix 4, summary sheet 5 continued to grow steadily since. Part of the reason for the two types of growth is likely related to the type of development that has (and still is) taking place around the stations. Dalston Junction has been the site of major construction work, the lead time of which would inevitably be quite long, resulting in apartments only coming to market in 2010. The data also shows that the southern stations (Shoreditch High Street & Hoxton) have shown a steady continuous growth since 2006 whilst Dalston Junction and Haggerston further north have had larger more abrupt rises indicative perhaps of fewer larger developments compared with numerous smaller projects in the Shoreditch and Hoxton areas. In looking at the top banding with properties in each of the station areas it is possible to make a judgement into gentrifcation in the different areas, Dalston for example shows a growth in Band E dwellings from 0% to 13% in 2010, this would seem to ft well with the new developments in the area. For stations elsewhere on the Overground network the change to Overground has had mixed impacts, Highbury & Islington saw a signifcant jump in Band E properties in 2010 from 26% to 42% of the housing stock, a physical increase of 67 dwellings. Dalston Kingsland has also seen a steady rise in housing volumes (though the distribution has remained relatively consistent), the data shows a small jump in 2004 (a 31% increase in dwellings) and again a smaller one in 2010 (10% increase). Highbury & Islington and Dalston Kingsland however seem to be the exceptions for existing stations, with areas such as Cannonbury and Hackney Central showing little signifcant change in the housing stock as a result of the Overground. The non-Overground stations investigated show a similar steady distribution, though Stoke Newington has seen a small but steady growth over the 10 year period it would seem this is more indicative of the area in general being on the rise rather than anything else. The two jumps that are seen in the Dalston Kingsland data might well be linked to the ELLX as the station is extremely close to Dalston Junction and its associated development. Some spill over into the neighbouring areas would seem likely considering the scale of development around Dalston Junction. At Highbury and Islington the 2010 jump would seem to tie in with the timing of the ELLX extension that opened early in 2011. Other Data Alongside the council tax data it is important to look at the actual usage of the Overground network both before and after TfL control. Station passenger number data is available for all national rail stations annually. 10 Whilst TfL publish fgures for London Underground stations, they do not do so for the Overground, as a result none of the Stations on the ELLX or the former ELL are available within this data set, just the stations that were previously served by national rail. There are some also variations in the data collection over the years, particularly with regard to Oyster PAYG users not being counted until 2009/10 when coverage became universal. Whilst the data may not be perfect it does show passenger entries and exits increasing sharply following the Overground takeover followed by a decrease, this decrease is due to the increased use of Oyster PAYG following its blanket acceptance on the Overground. In comparison the non- Overground stations show steady growth without the sharp rise seen at the Overground stations. Stoke Newington again shows a growth pattern slightly more in tune with the Overground stations than the non-Overground ones, this could as in the case of the council tax data be attributed to an area becoming increasingly popular. Though there are no individual station data, the Overground as a whole has far exceeded estimates by TfL 11 with the ELLX particularly being successful. 10 The data is collated by Delta Rail for the Ofce for Rail Regulation 11 TfL, Rail and Underground Panel. (2011). London Overground Impact Study. 16 November 2011. 6 Conclusions Whilst the effect of the ELLX can be seen from the Council Tax Banding data it is hard to discern any consistent change elsewhere. It could be that it was obvious that the new rail line would increase demand in the areas it served and the areas where a service already existed the improvement was not so obvious, leading to less property speculation and development. It would be interesting to go back to the same data set in a couple of years to see if now that the Overground has settled in and become the runaway success that it has, whether it will act as a driver for development in areas that were previously served by existing rail lines. Looking at the station usage fgures 12 and the Overground usage as a whole 13 shows that local residents are using it in signifcant numbers. The 2011 census data will provide information on travelling to work, I would expect, given the Overground data, to see many more people using this to travel to work and quite possibly travelling further afeld for work. Leading on from this I would expect the Overground to have impacted on worklessness in the areas, though the effects of the 2008 recession have had such a large global effect it is hard to discern at this point the true impacts of The Overground on employment. The lower impact of the Overground where existing services have been improved would seem to attract signifcantly less of the large scale development seen along the ELLX, yet the increased passenger numbers show there has been signifcant improvement for local residents. Assuming as mentioned above that development and investment will follow The Overground, albeit at a slower pace than the ELLX it would seem to suggest that The Overground will provide signifcant economic gains at a pace that does not displace the existing residents. Looking to the future and TfLs aspirations for The Overground 14 it wouldnt be surprising to see more of the Lea Valley Lines (namely the Southbury loop to Enfeld Town and Cheshunt and the Chingford Line) under Overground control in future years. The Upper Lea Valley Opportunity Area Planning Framework (ULV OAPF) highlights the A10/A1010 corridor as a key growth areas, the Southbury loop serves this linear growth area far better than the busy mainline to the east (which is the focus of proposed infrastructure improvements). If these services under Overground control saw the same increase in passengers it could help achieve the growth desired in the ULV OAPF. Additionally minor track works west of South Tottenham could enable trains to run from Stratford to Enfeld Town linking the Upper Lea Valley quickly and directly with the large developments in Stratford. 12 Appendix 5 13 TfL, Rail and Underground Panel. (2011). London Overground Impact Study. Figure 3. Growth in LO Demand. 14 TfL, Rail and Underground Panel. (2011). Tfs Recommendations For The High Level Output Specifcation For 2014 2019 (HLOS2), 12 July 2011 7 ELL East London Line (London Underground Line, extended with the ELLX to become part of the Overground) ELLX East London Line Extension (See ELL) GOBLIN Gospel Oak to Barking Line (Former Silverlink line that became part of the London Overground network) NLL North London Line (Former Silverlink line that became part of the London Overground network) PPM Public Performance Measure (Operational effciency score determined by the SRA) SRA Strategic Rail Authority WLL West London Line (Former Silverlink line that became part of the London Overground network) Glossary 8 Haswell A. (2010). New report shows mixed picture for house prices despite promise of Olympics boom. Available from: http://www.eastlondonlines.co.uk/2010/08/mixed-picture-for-house- prices-despite-olympic-promises/. [Accessed: 10/01/2012]. Headicar, P. (2009). Transport policy and planning in Great Britain. London, Routledge. Offce for National Statistics. Available from: http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/ dissemination/LeadHome.do;jessionid=lNSGPMnbsJvTrwTzB9phQHGcB3xKQlBlhKG0HzCn32 RlxJDL1PBZ!-1055568020!1326198491704?m=0&s=1326198491704&enc=1&nsjs=true&nsck =true&nssvg=false&nswid=1680. [Accessed: 28/12/2011]. Offce for Rail Regulation. (2011). Station usage. Available from: http://www.rail-reg.gov.uk/ server/show/nav.1529. [Accessed: 10/01/2012]. Transport for London. (2004). Bob Kiley outlines proposals for London Regional Rail Authority. Available from: http://www.tf.gov.uk/static/corporate/media/newscentre/archive/4359.html. [Accessed: 10/01/2012]. Valuation Offce Agency. How your home is banded. Available from: http://www.voa.gov.uk/ corporate/CouncilTax/howYourHomeIsbanded.html. [Accessed: 10/01/2012]. Bibliography 9 Appendix 1 10 London Overground Geographic Map Appendix 2 12 TfL Rail & Underground Group Report: The Impacts of the London Overground Appendix 3 34 LloydsTSB Olympic Housing report Appendix 4 37 Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band (2001-2011) Appendix 5 58 National Rail Passenger Usage Figures Appendices A p p e n d i x
1 10 Appendix 1 Current London Overground Geographic Network Map And Inner South London Line Opening 2012 HERTFORDSHI RE HI LLI NGDON WESTMI NSTER TOWER HAMLETS BARKI NG & DAGENHAM BARNET I SLI NGTON WALTHAM FOREST LAMBETH GREENWI CH H A M M E R S M I T H &
F U L H A M KENSI NGTON & CHELSEA HARROW RI CHMOND UPON THAMES REDBRI DGE MERTON BEXLEY SOUTHWARK CI TY OF LONDON KI NGSTON UPON THAMES EALI NG BROMLEY HOUNSLOW WANDSWORTH LEWI SHAM CROYDON BRENT HARI NGEY CAMDEN HACKNEY NEWHAM ENFI ELD ESSEX River Thames River Thames Harrow & Wealdstone Watford Junction Bushey Carpenders Park Hatch End Headstone Lane Watford High Street Kenton North Wembley South Kenton Wembley Central Shadwell Whitechapel Wapping Rotherhithe Blackhorse Road Gospel Oak South Hampstead Highbury & Islington Stratford Willesden Junction Harlesden Queens Park Stonebridge Park Gunnersbury Shepherds Bush Kensington (Olympia) West Brompton Wandsworth Road Kew Gardens Richmond New Cross Gate Surrey Quays New Cross Canada Water West Hampstead Shoreditch High Street Hoxton Haggerston Dalston Junction Homerton Hackney Wick Hackney Central Dalston Kingsland Canonbury Imperial Wharf Kilburn High Road Leyton Midland Road South Tottenham Harringay Green Lanes Crouch Hill Upper Holloway Hampstead Heath Finchley Road & Frognal Kentish Town West Camden Road Caledonian Road & Barnsbury Euston Barking Wanstead Park Woodgrange Park Leytonstone High Road Kensal Green Kensal Rise Brondesbury Park Brondesbury South Acton Acton Central Clapham Junction Clapham High Street Denmark Hill Peckham Rye Queens Road Peckham Brockley Honor Oak Park Crystal Palace West Croydon Norwood Junction Penge West Anerley Sydenham Forest Hill Walthamstow Queens Road Key Tramlink Interchange stations Step-free access fromstreet to train National Rail London Underground London Overground DLR Step-free access fromstreet to platform MAYOR OF LONDON Transport for London London Overground Geographic Map August 2011 London Overground geographic map A p p e n d i x
1 11 A p p e n d i x
2 12 Appendix 2 London Overground Impact Study A p p e n d i x
2 13 1 AGENDA ITEM 5 TRANSPORT FOR LONDON RAIL AND UNDERGROUND PANEL SUBJECT: LONDON OVERGROUND IMPACT STUDY DATE: 16 NOVEMBER 2011 1 PURPOSE AND DECISION REQUIRED 1.1 The purpose of this paper is to advise the Panel of the results of TfLs analysis of demand patterns on the London Overground network and to highlight the fact that rapid demand growth has led to increasing levels of crowding on the network despite investment in new capacity. This is attached to the paper as Appendix 1 1.2 The paper is written in two parts. The first part looks at the network that transferred to TfL in 2007 and explains the growth in demand on that network. The second part looks at the extended East London Line and its impact on transport in London. 1.3 The Panel is asked to note the paper and appendix. 2 BACKGROUND 2.1 TfL took over the concession to operate the London Overground in November 2007. Since then it has transformed the network from a neglected railway into the best performing train operator in Great Britain. This has been achieved through a major infrastructure upgrade to deliver increased train frequency, new trains, station enhancements and service quality improvements. 2.2 The extended East London Line was opened in May 2010 with new trains and new and refurbished stations. It was further extended to Highbury & Islington in February 2011 and now forms an integrated part of the London Overground network. 2.3 Passenger demand on London Overground increased from 0.6 million journeys per week in 2007 to almost two million journeys in September 2011. In July 2011, the Panel asked for an explanation of recent growth on the North and West London Lines. The attached report reviews demand trends on the London Overground network and the impact of the East London Line one year after opening. 3 LONDON OVERGROUND IMPACTS 3.1 London Overground passenger volumes are now two and a half times the level when TfL took over management of the concession. The opening of the extended East London Line has contributed a large part of the growth but the existing Overground network also experienced an increase in demand of 80 per cent. A p p e n d i x
2 14 2 3.2 Economic and demographic factors, fares and service levels are key drivers of rail demand and demand would normally be flat during an economic downturn. However, London and South East rail demand has grown strongly over the last two years despite the lack of growth in the economy and this forms the background to strong London Overground demand growth. The other main drivers of growth on the London Overground network are service frequency; operational performance; service quality including stations and rolling stock, connectivity and marketing. These factors contributed to extremely strong growth in demand during 2010/11 even without East London Line opening. 3.3 0.6 million passengers per week use East London Line. Demand on the route is in line with forecasts despite the poor economic situation and peak services are already crowded from the south of the route in to Canada Water. 3.4 Operational performance is excellent and customer satisfaction on London Overground is now rated very good at 82 out of 100. 4 CONCLUSION AND NEXT STEPS 4.1 Enhancements to the London Overground network resulted in a dramatic increase in passenger demand in 2009/10 and 2010/11. Demand continues to grow with the full effects of the infrastructure upgrade still to impact fully. Crowding is already a concern on part of the West London, East London and Gospel Oak Barking routes and, as no further capacity enhancements are planned, this is likely to become an increasing problem. 4.2 TfLs report Delivering the Mayors Transport Strategy: National Rail in London sets out the case for enhancement in capacity on the routes including train lengthening on North and West London Lines, East London Line and Gospel Oak Barking route and additional peak services where feasible. The recommendations are reflected in Network Rails London and South East Route Utilisation Strategy and the Initial Industry Plan. 5 RECOMMENDATION 5.1 The Panel is asked to NOTE the paper and appendix. 6 CONTACT 6.1 Contact: Howard Smith, Chief Operating Officer, London Rail Number: 020 7918 3453 Email: HowardSmith@tfl.gov.uk A p p e n d i x
2 15
APPENDIX 1 London Overground Impact Study Part 1 Existing London Overground network 1 Introduction 1.1 TfL took over the management of the London Overground (LO) concession (formerly Silverlink Metro services) in November 2007. Services at the time were of low quality with old rolling stock, neglected stations and low levels of customer service. Since taking over the network, TfL has made significant enhancements to the level and quality of services through a programme of introducing new rolling stock, upgrading infrastructure to deliver more frequent services, refurbishing stations and delivering higher standards of customer service. The extended East London Line was opened in May 2010 and a further phase to run services from Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction will be completed in 2012 completing the orbital network. 1.2 This paper describes the changes that have taken place and the impact of those changes on demand and customer satisfaction. 2 Background 2.1 TfL manages the operation of services on the LO under a seven year concession. Unlike a standard franchise, TfL takes revenue risk on LO services and works closely with the concessionaire, LOROL to manage service quality and performance. 2.2 At the time of takeover, LO operated up to six peak trains per hour between Stratford and Richmond and three peak trains per hour between Willesden and Clapham. In the off peak, frequencies were lower at four trains per hour between Stratford and Richmond and two trains per hour between Clapham and Willesden. The timetable was improved in 2010 to provide three Stratford- Clapham trains per peak hour serving the increasingly popular Willesden Clapham section of route, and three trains per hour from Stratford to Richmond. This improved performance and helped generate additional demand. 2.3 A major infrastructure upgrade project led to the introduction of the May 2011 timetable which enables provision of four trains per hour from Stratford to Richmond and four trains per hour from Stratford to Willesden. This timetable has resulted in a further increase in demand as all parts of the route have a turn up and go service and the central section benefits from eight peak trains per hour. 2.4 Gospel Oak Barking services had a service frequency of two trains per hour when TfL took over the concession. Frequency has now increased to four trains per hour on the route with extra early morning services and an additional peak train has recently been introduced.
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2 16 Figure 1: Frequency of peak LO services 2.5 LO provides both radial routes into central London on the Watford Euston route and orbital services around London allowing passengers to make local journeys or to travel without interchanges in central London. It serves locations which have historically been poorly served by public transport. 2.6 In 2007, Silverlink Metro carried 0.6 million passengers per week. That figure has now increased to 1.2 million, excluding East London Line services which add a further 0.6 million journeys. In 2011/12, a total of 100m journeys are expected to be made on LO services. 3 Capacity 3.1 LO services are increasingly becoming crowded despite increased capacity from new and longer trains and higher frequency as more passengers are attracted to the improved services. The busiest parts of the network in the morning peak are between Clapham Junction and Shepherds Bush, Barking and Blackhorse Road and Sydenham and Canada Water. 3.2 Figure 2 shows forecast crowding on the Overground network in 2016 where black and purple lines show demand exceeding TfLs planning standard of three passengers per square metre standing in the morning peak. TfL is looking at options for relieving crowding. 2
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2 17 Figure 2: Forecast crowding in 2016 3.3 Most LO routes are served by new four-car Class 378 trains with longitudinal seating and high capacity layout. Trains have capacity of 700 and are designed to carry large numbers of passengers comfortably over relatively short distances. Walk-through carriages and wide doors ease passenger flow onto and through the train. The new trains are popular with passengers as reflected in high customer satisfaction scores for train attributes. Trains were introduced in three-car formation first on North and West London Lines and extended to four cars in 2010. They represent a 33 per cent increase in capacity compared with the old rolling stock. On Watford Euston services, class 378s were introduced as four car trains. 3
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2 18 3.4 On the Gospel Oak Barking line, new two-car class 172 trains were introduced in 2010 with capacity of up to 400 people per train, a third higher than the original rolling stock. Demand for Gospel Oak Barking services has increased rapidly and services are crowded. 4 Stations 4.1 TfL has undertaken a major programme of refurbishment at stations along the Overground network. It manages most of the stations it serves and has a policy of staffing stations to ensure that staff are visible and available to help passengers, improving personal security. 4.2 Passenger facilities at stations have been improved with the installation of ticket machines, help points, cycle parking and passenger information. Eleven stations were gated shortly after the concession started to reduce fraudulent travel and to improve security and over 95 per cent journeys pass through a gated station at one or both ends. The volume of passenger journeys made without valid tickets fell from 10 per cent to three per cent within a year of the network being under TfL management. The volume of passenger journeys made without a valid ticket is currently two per cent. 4.3 Two new stations were opened on the Clapham to Willesden route. Shepherds Bush station was opened in 2008 to serve the new Westfield shopping centre and to provide interchange with the Central Line; and Imperial Wharf was opened in 2009. This section of line has been the fastest growing part of the network with increasing peak loads despite an increase in capacity. 5 Operational Performance 5.1 LO performance across all routes has increased dramatically from PPM (Public Performance Measure) of 91 per cent at the time TfL took over the concession to the current level of 95 per cent. PPM measures the percentage of trains arriving within five minutes of scheduled time. This is the highest performance level of all train operators and represents a turnaround from below average to excellent performance which is exceptional on a mixed use railway. 6 Fares 6.1 Oyster Pay as You Go was introduced on LO in 2007 making travel easier and cheaper. The product gained popularity and now accounts for almost 40 per cent of journeys on LO. PAYG was rolled out to National Rail services in London in January 2010, allowing passengers to make through journeys on LO and other National Rail operators services such as South West Trains services with an interchange at Clapham Junction. Through ticketing for Overground and London Underground (LU) means that a fully integrated journey can be made for no extra cost. 6.2 Euston and Shoreditch High Street are the only LO stations in Zone 1. Passengers are able to reach a range of destinations without travelling into Zone 1 and pay lower fares than people travelling via central London. 4
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2 19 Use of the route 7 Passenger numbers 7.1 160 million passengers have used LO since its opening. Figure 2 shows growth in demand since 2007/08 compared with growth on other TfL services and London and South East National Rail services. Figure 3: Growth in LO demand 7.2 LO growth has been consistently higher than that on other services but a step change took place in 2010/11. Passenger volumes are two and a half times the level when TfL took over services. Excluding the East London Line, demand has increased by over 80 per cent. 7.3 Since 2009, demand on the existing Overground network (North and West London Lines, Gospel Oak Barking and Watford Euston) has increased by 1.5 million journeys per four week period. The main drivers of rail demand are economic factors, service quality and performance and fares. The impact of these drivers on demand has been calculated using industry elasticities where possible to generate a waterfall chart of demand drivers (figure 4). 7.4 Despite the recent downturn in the economy, rail demand in London and the South East has remained buoyant and LO has benefitted from that growth. However, background growth only accounts for a quarter of the growth experienced. Between 2009 and 2011, service frequency was the largest contributor to demand. Service quality was another significant driver. New trains, higher capacity, station upgrades and performance improvements all contributed to better service quality. Connectivity was another important factor 5
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2 20 with the ending of a long programme of engineering works which had disrupted travel, especially at weekends, and the opening of the East London Line enabling orbital journeys to be made between north, east and south London. 7.5 Other factors such as marketing also contributed to demand and this was most apparent around the time of the East London Line opening when demand on the rest of the LO network increased by more than the growth in interchanging passengers. Figure 4: Drivers of Overground Growth 8 Journey purpose 8.1 LO has a high proportion of regular passengers. 61 per cent of passengers on the route are using it to travel to or from work and the breakdown of journey purposes is shown in Figure 5. The Watford Euston Line serves employment centres in central London with interchange at Queens Park or Euston. The orbital routes serve central London via interchanges at key locations such as Blackhorse Road, Highbury & Islington and Shepherds Bush as well as serving Docklands via an interchange at Stratford. In addition, Stratford and other locations along the routes are employment centres in their own right. 8.2 LO has a higher proportion of educational travel than most rail operators with schoolchildren using the routes and five per cent of passengers travelling to or from education. This means the evening peak period is extended with high volumes of travel in the late afternoon. 8.3 Average journey length is relatively short at 7kms, reflecting the metro style nature of the service. 6
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2 21 Figure 5: LO journey purpose 9 Integration 9.1 20 per cent of LO passengers interchange with Underground or Docklands Light Railway (DLR) and a further 20 per cent use bus and Overground. This compares with 50 per cent of National Rail passengers arriving in London in the morning peak who use Underground or DLR for their onward journey. 9.2 TfL has estimated that, of the increase in passengers using LO since 2007, the largest share have switched from bus or LU helping to reduce congestion on radial routes into Central London. Around 12 per cent have switched from car or are making new journeys. Figure 6: Modes previously used by additional LO passengers 7
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2 22 10 Customer satisfaction 10.1 Current performance following TfLs investment has delivered an overall customer satisfaction rating on LO of 82 out of 100, with particularly high scores for train and service level attributes. This compares with a rating of 71 out of 100 in 2007 and reflects the step change in quality that has taken place. A satisfaction rating of over 80 means the perception of service quality is very good. Figure 7: LO Customer Satisfaction 10.2 The National Passenger Survey undertaken by Passenger Focus compares satisfaction with train operators performance on a consistent basis. During its last year of operation, Silverlink Metro scored 71 per cent for overall satisfaction under this survey. In contrast LO scored 89 per cent for overall satisfaction under the most recent National Passenger Survey conducted during Spring 2011, demonstrating the impact of the improvements delivered by TfL. 11 Equality and inclusion 11.1 LO has improved accessibility to public transport through works to implement step free access. Step free access from street to platform is available at 44 per cent of stations, and trains are designed to be accessible. This compares with 22 per cent of LU stations and 31 per cent of National Rail stations in London which are step free from street to platform. The new LO trains have accessibility features such as on board audio and visual train running information, wider doors for improved accessibility and more grab rails and handles Staff are trained to assist people using wheelchairs. Eight per cent of passengers surveyed have a long term mental or physical disability and one per cent passengers are wheelchair users. 8
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2 23 12 Conclusions on the existing LO network 12.1 Enhancements to the existing Overground network including better management and service quality resulted in a dramatic increase in passenger demand in 2009/10 and 2010/11. Demand continues to grow with the full effects of the 2011 North London Railway Infrastructure Project (NLRIP) timetable still to be reflected in demand. Peak crowding is a concern on part of the West London and North London Lines and Gospel Oak Barking routes and, as no further capacity enhancements are planned, this is likely to become an increasing problem. 12.2 TfLs report Delivering the Mayors Transport Strategy: National Rail in London sets out the case for enhancement in capacity on the routes including train lengthening on Gospel Oak Barking and North and West London Lines and additional peak services where feasible. The recommendations are reflected in Network Rails London and South East Route Utilisation Strategy. 12.3 TfL continues to monitor demand patterns on LO for management reporting and results are published in Travel in London. 9
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2 24 Part 2 East London line one year after opening 1 Background 1.1 The extended East London Line carries 0.6 million passengers per week, 3.5 times as many as the old East London Line that it replaced and more than double the volume of usage in June 2010. Passenger revenue has also doubled and is forecast to be 32m in 2011/12. This report describes the key impacts of the extended line on passengers and on London. 1.2 The East London Line operated as a London Underground (LU) service between Shoreditch and New Cross/New Cross Gate until it was closed in 2007. The route has been enhanced through a combination of conversion to National Rail standards, extension and use of existing tracks to create a new rail route. TfL upgraded the route at a total cost of approximately 1 billion and provided new electric trains and new and refurbished stations. This was followed by the second phase which extended the route to Highbury & Islington in February 2011 and will be followed by a third phase in late 2012. The first two phases of the project were completed several months ahead of schedule 1.3 The East London Line runs from Highbury & Islington in the north to New Cross, West Croydon and Crystal Palace in the south. Five per cent of Londons population live within a kilometre of an East London Line station and this figure will increase to over seven per cent with the extension to Clapham Junction. The route passes through some of the most deprived areas of London, serves a station at Shoreditch with direct access to the City, and provides interchanges with LU at Highbury & Islington, Whitechapel and Canada Water and with DLR at Shadwell. 1.4 The extended route reopened as far as Dalston Junction in May 2010 and was further extended to Highbury & Islington in February 2011. LUs East London Line operated 10 trains per hour between New Cross/New Cross Gate and Shoreditch until 2006 when Shoreditch station was closed. In 2007 the route operated as far as Whitechapel and carried nine million passengers per year before its closure. The new route carried around approximately 16 million passengers in its first year to May 2011, a figure that will increase to 38 million passengers in the financial year 2011/12. 10
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2 25 2 Improved accessibility 2.1 The East London Line serves parts of northeast London that were previously poorly served by public transport and links them to key employment centres in the City, Docklands and West End as well as leisure and social facilities. Services are fast and frequent and integrated with the TfL network. 2.2 On the central section of the route, passengers have a greater choice of public transport routes and interchanges to reach their destinations. The route also provides an important river crossing linking north east and south east London. 2.3 The new route forms part of an orbital network allowing passengers to travel around London without having to travel through the centre. From stations in the Boroughs of Bromley, Croydon and Lewisham, passengers can travel without needing to interchange at London Bridge or Victoria, helping to relieve crowding on radial rail routes into central London and at congested London termini. 2.4 Passengers from the north, including those travelling on National Rail services from Hertfordshire and Essex, can travel to the City and Docklands without travelling through central London. Use of orbital routes also relieves crowding on LU services and at stations. The final link in the orbital network, from Clapham Junction to Surrey Quays will be completed in late 2012 enabling passengers to travel between east and west London to the south of the city.
11
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2 26 3 Capacity provision 3.1 Rail services on the Sydenham corridor were crowded before the East London Line opening with over five per cent passengers in excess of capacity in the morning peak. Southern services on the route now experience lower levels of crowding. The route provides much needed rail capacity for commuters from south London to help them access jobs in central London and Docklands and has increased capacity of services to London by 70 per cent. 3.2 The East London Line is served by new four car Class 378 trains with longitudinal seating and high capacity layout. Trains have capacity of up to 700 and are designed to carry large numbers of passengers comfortably over relatively short distances. Walk-through carriages and wide doors ease passenger flow onto and through the train. The new trains are popular with passengers as reflected in high customer satisfaction scores for train attributes. 4 Stations 4.1 TfL managed stations along the route are either refurbished or new. Four new stations were built as part of the project: Dalston Junction, Haggerston, Hoxton and Shoreditch High Street which will contribute to regeneration of a deprived part of east London. 4.2 Stations between West Croydon, Crystal Palace and Surrey Quays transferred to LO management in September 2009. These stations already served Southern Trains passengers on services into London Bridge but now offer a choice of operators and destinations with Overground providing 75 per cent of services and Southern 25 per cent. The former LU stations on the central section were refurbished during a two year closure period and four new stations opened north of the river. Stations meet TfLs standards of customer services, information and security. Most stations on the route are gated to ensure revenue is collected in full and to improve passenger security. 5 Service patterns 5.1 LO operates a minimum of four trains per hour on any East London Line route for most of the day and 12 trains per hour run on the central section from Surrey Quays to Dalston Junction. On weekdays and Saturdays, first trains start before 06.00 and last trains are around 23.30. 5.2 The new route has improved accessibility from areas such as Hackney which were previously relatively poorly served by public transport, providing access to a high quality, high frequency rail service. Passengers have benefited from greatly reduced journey times on many journeys since the opening of the route. 5.3 Shoreditch High Street is within walking distance of the City and Bishopsgate and the station enables some commuters from north and south London to reach the City without travelling through Central London. 5.4 The route provides a convenient Thames river crossing. Half of passengers cross the river on the East London Line, significantly increasing accessibility 12
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2 27 between north and south London and allowing more direct journeys to be made. 6 Fares 6.1 A range of TfL and National Rail tickets are accepted on the East London Line. Oyster Pay as You Go is retailed and accepted along the route. PAYG usage is particularly high on the northern and central sections and accounts for 40 per cent journeys overall on the East London Line. Travelcards account for the majority of other journeys. 6.2 Although Shoreditch High Street is in Zone 1, the rest of the line is in Zones 2- 5. This means that many journeys between south London and Docklands or east London can be made without passing through Zone 1, reducing the cost of travel. Journeys on Overground, Underground and DLR are charged at TfL fares which are lower than equivalent rail plus Underground fares. Table 1 Oyster peak fares from Sydenham Destination Zone LO LO/LU Rail Rail/LU Season fare per journey London Bridge 123 2.80 2.10 Shoreditch High Street 123 2.90 2.90 3.22 Green Park 123 2.90 4.10 3.22 Canary Wharf 23 1.40 4.10 2.08 Season fare assumes 10 journeys per week Use of the route 7 Passenger numbers 7.1 23 million passengers have used the extension since its opening. Volumes are expected to continue to grow as people become aware of new journey opportunities and as regeneration takes place. For an infrastructure project, TfL usually assumes 35 per cent of steady state demand is achieved in the first year and 75 per cent in the second year. Initial growth on the East London Line was much faster than the standard growth profile with 50 per cent of forecast demand achieved in the first year of operation. The annual forecast is 38 million passengers and the project is in line to achieve its forecast benefit cost ratio. 7.2 Demand has doubled since the first week of operation. 17,000 passengers per day use the newest section of the route between Dalston Junction and Highbury & Islington. 13
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2 28 7.3 The busiest station is Canada Water with 30,000 Overground passengers per day, many of them interchanging with the Jubilee Line. This is followed by Whitechapel with 15,000, and Highbury & Islington and New Cross Gate with 12,000. Figure 8: Passenger Loads Figure 9: Comparison of East London Line demand 14
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2 29 7.4 Figure 9 compares demand by station on the core section of the route which was served by LU until 2007. Demand at the key interchanges (Canada Water, Whitechapel and Shadwell) has increased significantly with passengers from the north and south of the route interchanging at these stations. This chart shows that, following a closure of over two years, demand has returned to above pre-closure levels. 8 Time of travel 8.1 Average loads on the route are highest during the weekday peaks with the largest flows being into Canada Water from the south in the morning for interchange to the Jubilee Line service to Docklands and the West End and the reverse flow in the evening. Other key commuting flows are into Shoreditch High Street and from both directions to Whitechapel. The profile of demand is similar to that of radial rail routes into London. 8.2 The busiest section of line is between New Cross Gate and Canada Water where 50,000 people per day travel by LO in both directions. The route has already become crowded in peak periods with loads over three passengers per square meeting standing in the peak hour. The extension to Clapham Junction will provide more capacity on the central section of the route but not on the crowded section south of New Cross Gate. Figure 10: Loads by time of day 9 Journey purpose 9.1 The route has a relatively high proportion of regular passengers. 60 per cent of passengers on the route are using it to travel to or from work, a similar proportion to that of the rest of LO. The East London Line serves employment centres both in central London and in Croydon although commuting accounts for a slightly lower share of demand than for other LO routes. 15
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2 30 9.2 The route also serves a range of leisure destinations including Surrey Quays shopping centre, Geffrye Museum, Crystal Palace Park and Shoreditch. At weekends, shopping, leisure and visiting friends and relatives account for a large proportion of journeys on the line. Both the Geffrye Museum at Hoxton and the Brunel museum at Rotherhithe have reported increases in visitor numbers since the extended East London Line opened. 9.3 Average journey length is relatively short at 6kms, reflecting the metro style nature of the service and the large number of interchanging passengers. 10 Integration 10.1 Integration between modes is key to the design of the East London Line. More than half of passengers on the route interchange with LU or DLR services. Canada Water is the largest interchange followed by Whitechapel, Highbury & Islington and Shadwell. National Rail passengers interchange at stations such as New Cross and Highbury & Islington and West Croydon provides an interchange with Tramlink. Research has also shown that passengers from south London interchange between Southern and Overground services at intermediate stations along the route. A survey of passengers using the Highbury & Islington extension and interchanging to DLR showed that seven per cent had started their journey on other National Rail services. Some 15 per cent of passengers access LO services by bus. 10.2 Research has shown that simplification of the customer proposition makes services more convenient to use. Turn up and go services make interchange easier than with many traditional rail routes and through ticketing for Overground and LU means that a fully integrated journey can be made for no extra cost. Figure 11: Modes used by passengers before the East London Line opening 10.3 Figure 11 shows the modes used by passengers before the East London Line opened following a survey of public transport users along the route. The largest switch was from rail use at the southern end of the route, followed by 16
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2 31 significant switches from LU/DLR and bus services. Almost 10 per cent of people have switched from car use. 10.4 There have been changes in demand on a number of bus routes in the Dalston and Shoreditch areas that suggest that changes in frequency and/or structure may be warranted. These are being reviewed by London Buses and appropriate schemes may be brought forward in due course. 11 Customer satisfaction 11.1 Customer satisfaction with the route averages 85 out of 100, higher than the results for other Overground routes and with particularly high scores for train and service level attributes. Figure 12 shows the overall customer satisfaction scores for the current and old East London Line. Customer satisfaction has increased from an average of 77 before closure. Figure 12: Customer satisfaction 12 Operational Performance 12.1 Operational performance on the whole of is a key driver of satisfaction and has increased since opening to reach 97.5 per cent by the end of 2010/11. The routes performance has contributed to LO being the best performing train operator in summer 2011. 13 Equality and inclusion 13.1 The route has increased accessibility of the public transport network in east London. Step free access is available at 52 per cent of stations served by the route and the trains have been designed to be accessible. This compares with 22 per cent of LU stations and 31 per cent of National Rail stations in London which are step free from street to platform. The new LO trains have accessibility features such as on board audio and visual train running information, wider doors for improved accessibility and more grab rails and handles Staff are trained to assist people using wheelchairs. Research 17
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2 32 shows that eight per cent of users of the route have a long term mental or physical disability. 13.2 The route serves many of the most deprived boroughs in London, improving access to jobs and facilities, as shown in the map. Crystal Palace, Norwood and Croydon have areas of high deprivation as do New Cross and the area from Whitechapel to Dalston. This is reflected in passengers incomes along the route with the most affluent passengers living in the area around Wapping and those with the lowest incomes just north of that area. The extension to Clapham Junction will also run through areas of high deprivation. Figure 13: Opportunity areas and most deprived areas 14 House prices 14.1 Data from the Land Registry shows that house prices have increased by more than the average for east and south east London over the last two years as a result of the impact of the East London Line on accessibility of the surrounding areas. A number of newspapers have featured articles on the growth in house prices. Particular property hotspots are at the northern end of the route where the line provides completely new journey opportunities, Wapping and the area around New Cross and New Cross Gate. 18
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2 33 15 Progress against Mayors objectives Support economic development and population growth
High frequency services provide access to employment in central London and Docklands. Enhance the quality of life for all Londoners High quality trains, customer satisfaction of 85/100 and reduced journey times improve quality of life. Improve the safety and security of all Londoners New trains with CCTV and refurbished stations with CCTV and help points combined with staffing throughout hours of operation make services safer for customers. Improve transport opportunities for all Londoners Step free access at half of the stations on the route and accessible trains improve access for passengers with disabilities. The route also serves some severely deprived areas as shown in Figure 13. Reduce transports contribution to climate change and improve its resilience Mode switch from car to rail has helped to reduce CO 2 emissions. Support the delivery of the London 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games The link to Highbury & Islington enables passengers on the route to access services to the Olympic Park at Stratford and forms part of the Olympic Transport Plan. 16 East London Line Conclusions 16.1 The East London Line has succeeded in meeting its objectives. Demand has grown faster than anticipated, despite the downturn in the economy and peak services are already crowded. Demand will continue to grow and further capacity will be needed in the next few years. TfLs report Delivering the Mayors Transport Strategy: National Rail in London sets out TfLs recommendations for rail capacity in 2014-19. This includes a recommendation to increase the East London Line trains to five cars in length as well as lengthening Southern trains on the Sydenham corridor to provide sufficient capacity to meet demand. Recent trends show that this capacity increase is essential. 19
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3 34 Appendix 3 LloydsTSB East London House Price Report A p p e n d i x
3 35 NOT FOR BROADCAST OR PUBLICATION BEFORE 00.01 HRS TUES 27 th JULY 2010 East London house prices up 26% since London 2012 victory announcement As 27 th July marks two years until the opening ceremony for the London 2012 Olympic Games, Lloyds TSB research has measured house price performance in the fourteen postal districts located close to the Olympic Park. . Some parts of London close to the main site for the London 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games have seen a sharp rise in house prices since the capital was awarded the Games in July 2005. Homerton and Shoreditch both in the borough of Hackney - have seen average property prices rise by 69% and 53% respectively, significantly above the Greater London average of 36%. There has, however, been a mixed performance in property prices with Stratford, the home of the Olympic Stadium, seeing only a 3% increase in average prices, slower than any of the other postal districts. 1 Suren Thiru, housing economist, Lloyds TSB, said: "Some areas close to the Olympic Park have experienced a sharp rise in property prices since London's successful bid to host the 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games. Part of this rise is likely to have been due to an increased interest in property in these locations from both buyers and investors as a result of the associated regeneration taking place. The picture, however, is mixed. Looking forward, property prices across East London are likely to receive a boost from the legacy of improved infrastructure and transport links left by the London 2012." KEY FINDINGS: Average prices in the fourteen postal districts located close to the Olympic Park have risen by over a quarter (26%) since July 2005. This exceeded the average rise of 20% across England, but was below the London average of 36%. Four out of the 14 postal districts near Olympic Park saw house prices rise by more than the average for London (36%). House prices in the Olympic Park areas have bounced back strongly from the downturn in the housing market, rising by 13% between April 2009 and April 2010. This was almost three times the average rise across England (5%), but slightly lower than the London average (16%). The average house price among the postal districts near Olympic Park is 262,953. The least expensive postal district is Plaistow with an average house price of 196,426, followed by East Ham (203,500) and Leyton (209,769). 1 'Postal districts' used to define the following fourteen postal districts that are located close to the site of the 2012 Olympic Park: Bethnal Green, Bow, Clapton, East Ham, Forest Gate, Dalston, Homerton, Leyton, Leytonstone, Manor Park, Plaistow, Shoreditch, Stratford and Walthamstow. A p p e n d i x
3 36 % change in house prices in postal districts near Olympic Park since London was awarded the 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games. Jul-05 Apr-10 Postal District Average Price % Change Homerton 210,119 355,522 69% Shoreditch 225,441 345,827 53% Dalston 218,190 303,243 39% Clapton 207,805 288,720 39% Bethnal Green 234,960 317,888 35% Bow 222,269 292,805 32% Leytonstone 237,187 297,002 25% Walthamstow 193,314 224,327 16% Leyton 186,369 209,769 13% Forest Gate 203,717 219,241 8% East Ham 189,368 203,500 7% Plaistow 187,222 196,426 5% Manor Park 206,207 214,850 4% Stratford 206,211 212,217 3% East London Average 209,170 262,953 26% Source: Land Registry Contact for press enquiries: Emma Partridge, tel 01902 325180 or 07824 471951 Editors' Notes 1. The London house prices quoted in this release are taken from the Land Registry database and refer to 3 month averages. Prices are arithmetic average prices of houses - otherwise known as crude averages and are based on Land Registry completions. These prices are not standardised and therefore can be affected by changes in the sample from year to year therefore, care should be taken when comparing prices. 2. London house price performance has been measured over the period July 2005 to April 2010 (the latest available Land Registry data). 3. On July 6th 2005 the International Olympic Committee announced London as the winning city to host the 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games. 4. East London will see a massive upgrade in facilities from hosting the Olympic and Paralympic Games. The area will benefit from a 500 acre Olympic Park reaching from the Hackney Marshes to the Thames, which will include an Olympic stadium, aquatic centre, along with several other sporting complexes and a 17,800 person Olympic village. Significant transport improvements are also taking place. Investment is trebling the capacity of Stratford Regional Station - the main transport hub for London 2012 - and which is expected accommodate 120,000 passengers and enable 200 trains every hour to call there during the Games. A range of other transport improvements serving the Park are already underway, including an extension to the Docklands Light Railway (DLR) and increasing capacity on the Jubilee Line. http://www.london2012.com/index.php This report is prepared from information that we believe is collated with care, however, it is only intended to highlight issues and it is not intended to be comprehensive. We reserve the right to vary our methodology and to edit or discontinue/withdraw this, or any other report. Any use of this report for an individual's own or third party commercial purposes is done entirely at the risk of the person making such use and solely the responsibility of the person or persons making such reliance. A p p e n d i x
4 37 Appendix 4: Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band (2001-2011) About the data: The following pages are sheets that collate the data available from the VOA with a key plan of the Output Area as well as a brief summary of the station information and its confguration both before and after TfL takeover. Council Tax banding data is a useful way to get signifcant data for an area as small as an OA, the more reliable method of house sale prices is hard to apply to small individual station areas due to the small number of house sales over the time period. The methodology of council tax banding is a based on the value of the property in 1991, for new developments their banding is determined by an estimate of the value of the property in 1991 and it is banded based on this price. Whilst the data is available for all properties it does have limitations, notably the use of a prices in 1991 for the basis of the data is limiting despite the extrapolation of the equivalent values today. There are also some anomalies with regard to improvements to properties that may change the band within which they fall, the banding for these properties is only adjusted following the sale of the property - if for example a landlord signifcantly changes a property yet doesnt sell it or divide it, it will remain under the existing band. Further data on the limitations of Council Tax banding and how it is calculated can be found online here: http://bit.ly/Ab6N4i Subsections: Appendix 4a 38 Information about the data set Appendix 4b 45 Collated data summary sheets A p p e n d i x
4 A 38 General Details Dataset Title: Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band, 2006 Domain(s): Housing, Indicators: Housing Time Period of Dataset(s): 31 March 2006 Geographic Coverage: England, Wales Lowest Area Output: Output Area (OA) Supplier: Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG) Department: Housing Data and Statistics National Statistics Data? Not National Statistics - this information based on administrative data does not comply fully with the National Statistics Code of Practice No. of Variables (excluding area names and codes): 21 Scope and Purpose NB: Ownership of this dataset remains with the Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG). Information can only be reproduced if the source is fully acknowledged.
This dataset, drawn from Council Tax valuation lists, has been provided by the Value Office Agency (VOA) and the Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG) to facilitate assessment of the overall number of domestic properties and their distribution across specific Council Tax bands.
The number of dwellings in a given area is the most fundamental statistic in this domain, providing the context for all other statistical information on the dwelling stock. It is the denominator for calculating proportions such as tenure, or as in this case Council Tax band, for the purpose of meaningful comparison between areas that vary in the number of dwellings they contain. The time series provides basis for monitoring change, in the dwelling stock.
The information provides a breakdown of the number of dwellings in specific Council Tax bands for individual Output Areas (OAs) across England and Wales at 31 March 2006. Details are given of the number of properties allocated to each of the standard Council Tax bands. An additional Council Tax band (Band I) is included with this data year when compared with the previous years available on the Neighbourhood Statistics (NeSS) website. The additional band only applies to dwellings located in Wales.
The dataset covers a total number of 23,407,896 dwellings in England and Wales where postcodes could be matched to a specific OA.
Please note, the figures exclude business premises but include composite dwellings i.e. properties used for both domestic and business purposes. Administrative Procedures - Background Information The source for this data is the Valuation List for Council Tax, which is a register of domestic properties administered by the VOA and used by Local Authorities (LAs) for local taxation purposes. These lists have been maintained and updated in their present form since the introduction of the Council Tax on 1 April 1993.
Although Council Tax came into effect on 1 April 1993 the process of valuing every domestic property in England and Wales started some time before this. In order to ensure that all dwellings A p p e n d i x
4 A 39 are valued on a common basis as they existed on 1 April 1993, the open market value is based on a fixed valuation date of 1 April 1991. Detailed decisions about value are based on a number of standard assumptions including: the sale was with vacant possession; the interest sold was freehold, except for flats where a lease for 99 years at a nominal rent has been assumed; the dwelling had no potential for any building work or other development requiring planning permission; the dwelling is in a state of reasonable repair; and the use of the dwelling would be permanently restricted to private residential purposes.
The original 1993 Valuation Lists were prepared using existing survey data held by the VOA, supplemented by external inspection of dwellings by surveyors and the matching of property size, type and age to transactions evidence, indexed to 1991. 50% of bandings were done in-house by the VOA. The valuations carried out by other private agencies were quality controlled and supervised by each Listing Officer. Taxpayers had a right of appeal within eight months of 1 April 1993 and appeals not resolved by agreement were determined by an independent tribunal. An appeals procedure has remained in place for all subsequent new bandings or rebandings.
While the size, layout or character of a dwelling may be altered by conversion, demolition, extension or general improvement, the banding cannot be amended until there is a change of ownership. For example, if a property has been improved since 1 April 1993 there is the possibility that it will be moved to a higher Council Tax band when it changes hands.
LAs report all changes to the dwelling stock of which they are aware, through new building, demolition or conversion to the VOA. A new or changed banding is subsequently produced by the VOA based on the valuation assumptions stated previously. This new banding however will not become operational until the property changes ownership. A valuation band will not normally be altered on appeal without a full inspection of the property, but other changes may be made on the basis of information provided by the Billing Authority and external inspection only. Concepts and Definitions Dwelling Accommodation normally lived in by one or more households and includes houses, flats, bungalows and maisonettes. Temporary structures such as caravans and houseboats are counted as dwellings if they are the sole or main residence of a household. The precise definition that applies to this dataset is set out in Section 3 of The 1992 Local Government Finance Act. It is based on the definition of a 'hereditament' contained in the legislation for rates. This definition differs from the 2001 Census in the way that it treats shared accommodation. While the Census defines a dwelling as accommodation that is physically self-contained, the definition used for Council Tax purposes is concerned with establishing ownership, occupation and liability for Council Tax. These differences are compounded by variations in the treatment of communal establishments. As a result, the dwelling counts will not be directly comparable.
Council Tax Band Council Tax valuations are based on the price of a property as it exists from time to time and would have fetched if it had been sold on the open market on 1 April 1991. The Council Tax band of a property is related to its market value at the valuation base date and not the value at March 2006. Each dwelling in England and Wales is assigned to one of the following eight bands:
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4 A 40 England Band A ... up to 40,000 Band B ... 40,001 to 52,000 Band C ... 52,001 to 68,000 Band D ... 68,001 to 88,000 Band E ... 88,001 to 120,000 Band F ... 120,001 to 160,000 Band G ... 160,001 to 320,000 Band H ... 320,001 and above
Wales pre 1 April 2006 Band A ... up to 30,000 Band B ... 30,001 to 39,000 Band C ... 39,001 to 51,000 Band D ... 51,001 to 66,000 Band E ... 66,001 to 90,000 Band F ... 90,001 to 120,000 Band G ... 120,001 to 240,000 Band H ... 240,001 and above
Since April 1st 2006, Wales has introduced different bands to those used previously. This means that along with property prices falling in different bands, a new band I has been introduced. The new bands for Wales are detailed below:
Wales with effect from 1 April 2006 Band A... up to 44,000 Band B... 44,001 up to 65,000 Band C... 65,001 up to 91,000 Band D... 91,001 up to 123,000 Band E... 123,001 up to 162,000 Band F... 162,001 up to 223,000 Band G... 223,001 up to 324,000 Band H... 324,001 up to 424,000 Band I... 424,001 and above
The unallocated records (Band X) are dwellings expected to become available for occupation in the near future but have not yet been verified or allocated to a band by the VOA. This is a purely administrative category and is not part of the statutory Council Tax list. Data Classifications Standard Classifications used (if any): Not Applicable. Further Details about Classifications: Not Applicable. Edit and Imputation Procedures Not Applicable. Validation and Quality Assurance The data were validated by calculating the change in number of properties year-on-year for all sub- regional levels of geography covered within the dataset and assessing whether this change was feasible. The thresholds of feasible change in the count of properties were defined by the Office for A p p e n d i x
4 A 41 National Statistics (ONS) and are as follows: LA level 6250 Middle Layer Super Output Area (MSOA) 1250 Lower Layer Super Output Area (LSOA) 250 OA 50
The reason for using these amounts was due to the OA classification and the numbers of dwellings that each level of geographic classification should include, therefore changes such as these represent a significant difference year-on-year. For example, as OAs are based on containing a minimum of 100 dwellings, a change of 50 in the total of dwellings at OA level would represent a change of around 50%.
If any areas are of concern are highlighted, LAs are contacted to establish whether the information is accurate or not. Issues related to actual large changes in dwelling stocks typically include large housing development projects, and large housing stock removals/redevelopment projects.
For this year of data, all figures for the Rochdale LA, (data for this LA were removed in the 2005 dataset) were reinstated, as the data met quality standards.
Geographic Referencing Geographic referencing was carried out by CLG using the appropriate methods and tools to allocate individual addresses to OAs and the current 2006 NeSS geographic hierarchy: OA, LSOA, MSOA, Local Authority/Unitary Authority (LA/UA), Government Office Region (GOR) and Country.
NeSS Geography Policy states that data for years up to 2000 should be referenced to 1998 statutory wards and corresponding higher geographies, whilst data for 2001 onwards must be referenced to OAs and higher geographies derived from OAs.
In accordance with agreed practice, the following approved sources were utilised: NeSS Postcode Directory For Data Suppliers England And Wales May 2006 - this links postcodes to the codes of administrative geographies derived from OAs in England and Wales, i.e. OAs, LSOAs, MSOAs, LA/UA, GORs and Countries. The directory was derived from the May 2006 Gridlink All Fields Postcode Directory. Standard Names and Codes for Geographies on the NeSS Boundary Sets and Postcode Directory Great Britain May 2006 - this links OA codes to the names and codes of the 2003 administrative geographies derived from OAs in Great Britain.
The Valuation List for England and Wales contains both the address and postcode for every dwelling. The VOA is informed of changes to these details by LAs and undertakes regular audits to check and update postcode details.
Since the addresses forming each small unit postcode do not necessarily correspond to administrative areas, some postcodes inevitably straddle boundaries. This will have implications for record matching. Nevertheless, the majority of allocations will be accurate.
A summary of the overall record matching results for England and Wales is detailed in Table 1 below:
A p p e n d i x
4 A 42 Table 1: Outcomes of Different Stages in the Postcode Matching Procedures for England and Wales.
Record Description Number Percentage Records received from VOA 23,414,784 100.00 Number of records successfully matched to a geographic code 23,407,896 99.97 Final count of unmatched records (no geographic code added) 6,888 0.03
CLG aggregated the matched data using the OA code and tax band fields. Using the Standard Names and Codes for Geographies on the NeSS Boundary Sets and Postcode Directory file for 2006, LSOA, MSOA, LA/UA, GOR and country names and codes were added to the datasets. The data was then aggregated further to include each of these higher geographic levels.
The Standard Names and Codes for Geographies on the NeSS Boundary Sets and Postcode Directory file was used to check for missing SOAs and LAs and all were found to be included. A similar check revealed a small number of OAs containing no matched records. To ensure the geographic coverage was complete, blank dummy records were added to the datasets for these OAs.
Analysis of the unmatched records relied on an administrative code from the VOA raw data. This code relates to the Billing Authority that collected the record and is based on LA areas from the CLG. The LA relationship is less reliable in Wales where recent LA boundary changes have been made between the date of data collection and the date of the introduction of the OA based geography. Aggregations of unmatched records were made to LA and GOR level, based upon VOA geography codes.
Despite the high overall match rates recorded for England and Wales, further investigations of the overall distribution of unmatched records showed that unmatched cases were not distributed evenly. Analysis at GOR level data showed that Wales accounts for 15% of the unmatched records even though the share of the dataset in Wales is only 7% as a whole.
In England, the proportion of matched records for individual GORs ranged from 99.88% to 99.95%. The equivalent figure for Wales was 99.78%.
Detailed analysis of LA records showed that match rates ranged from 99.02% to 100% in England and from 99.20% to 99.97% in Wales.
The LAs with the lowest proportion of matched records in Wales were Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire and the Isle of Anglesey with between 99.08% and 99.72%. The LA in England with the lowest proportion of matched records was the Isles of Scilly with 99.02%.
A summary of matched record rates for England and Wales is presented in Table 2 below:
Table 2: Summary of percentage match rates by LA in England and Wales
Percentage value of matched records Geographic Area Maximum Minimum Mean Median England & Wales 100.00 99.02 99.90 99.94 A p p e n d i x
4 A 43 England 100.00 99.02 99.91 99.95 Wales 99.97 99.20 99.76 99.82
The information outlined in table 2 confirmed the uneven distribution of unmatched records; however, it does not give cause for concern at LA or GOR level, due to the small numbers involved and the accuracy of the VOA coding applied at these levels.
Further analysis of the unmatched records revealed clustering within streets and there is a possibility of bias occurring due to the likelihood of some of the clusters falling within a single OA.
Data Quality Relevance: The number of dwellings in a given area is the most fundamental housing statistic, providing the context for all other statistical information on dwelling stock. Accuracy: The VOA has a duty to provide a consistent service, across the whole of England and Wales and aims to provide information for all relevant dwellings. Timeliness and Punctuality: The Valuation Lists are updated every two weeks. However, VOA staff input changes to the data on a daily basis. All bands are determined on the basis of 1991 property values. It is important to realise that these datasets cannot be used for monitoring change in house prices. Other datasets will be provided specifically for that purpose.
The VOA has now completed a comprehensive revaluation and rebanding of all dwellings in Wales, the new bandings came into effect from 1st April 2006. At a future time, the VOA may carry out a similar exercise for dwellings in England. Accessibility and Clarity: Information on Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band is freely available on the NeSS website. In accordance with standard procedures, basic information on data collection, processing and validation has been provided to enable users to understand and make appropriate use of the information. Moreover, sources of further information or advice have been provided where appropriate. Comparability: The VOA has a responsibility for ensuring consistency in bandings within England and within Wales.
When comparing counts for separate years of Council Tax data at OA level, it is recommended that users check extreme findings with relevant LAs and/or related agencies such as New Deal for Communities or Market Renewal Pathfinder Managing Bodies.
Because of the changes to Council Tax bands in Wales, the 2005 and onward data for Wales will not be directly comparable to all previous years of data. Please see the Concepts and Definitions section in this document for more information on the new and old Council Tax bands for Wales. Coherence: Not Applicable. A p p e n d i x
4 A 44
Disclosure Control The National Statistics Code of Practice requires that reasonable steps should be taken to ensure that all published or disseminated statistics produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) protect confidentiality.
The Council Tax banding of any dwelling can be freely obtained on request to the LA or the VOA. More details can be obtained from the following VOA website
The ONS carries out a number of checks to safeguard confidentiality. In accordance with standard procedures, this dataset has been reviewed and approved for release. Sources for Further Information or Advice General information and advice about the Council Tax Band data may be obtained from the following websites: Valuation Office Agency VOA website Department for Communities and Local Government Communities website
Specific information about these datasets can be obtained from the following sources: Council Tax technical information: Justin Giles Valuation Office Agency New Court Carey Street London WC2A 2JE Telephone Number: 020 7506 1893 Email Giles.Justin.G@voa.gsi.gov.uk
Statistical housing information in England Mick Johnston Department for Communities and Local Government Eland House Telephone Number: 020 7944 3302 Email: mick.johnston@communities.gsi.gov.uk
Statistical housing information in Wales Brian Pickett Local Government Data Unit Wales Telephone Number: 029 2090 9500 Email: brian.pickett@lgdu-wales.gov.uk
Geographic referencing information Office for National Statistics Nick Richardson ONS Geography Telephone Number: 01329 813254 Email: nick.richardson@ons.gov.uk
A p p e n d i x
4 B 45 Station: Canonbury Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: N1 2PG Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0 3 2 46 39 12 9 0 0 111 2002 0 2 20 46 39 12 9 0 0 128 2003 0 2 20 49 41 11 9 0 0 132 2004 0 3 18 47 39 18 9 0 0 134 2005 0 3 18 49 41 15 8 0 0 134 2006 0 3 20 52 41 16 8 0 0 140 2007 0 4 19 53 45 14 8 0 0 143 2008 0 4 19 53 45 14 8 0 0 143 2009 0 4 20 58 45 13 8 0 0 148 2010 0 4 20 58 46 13 8 0 0 149 2011 0 4 20 58 46 13 8 0 0 149 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0.00 2.70 1.80 41.44 35.14 10.81 8.11 0.00 0.00 100 2002 0.00 1.56 15.63 35.94 30.47 9.38 7.03 0.00 0.00 100 2003 0.00 1.52 15.15 37.12 31.06 8.33 6.82 0.00 0.00 100 2004 0.00 2.24 13.43 35.07 29.10 13.43 6.72 0.00 0.00 100 2005 0.00 2.24 13.43 36.57 30.60 11.19 5.97 0.00 0.00 100 2006 0.00 2.14 14.29 37.14 29.29 11.43 5.71 0.00 0.00 100 2007 0.00 2.80 13.29 37.06 31.47 9.79 5.59 0.00 0.00 100 2008 0.00 2.80 13.29 37.06 31.47 9.79 5.59 0.00 0.00 100 2009 0.00 2.70 13.51 39.19 30.41 8.78 5.41 0.00 0.00 100 2010 0.00 2.68 13.42 38.93 30.87 8.72 5.37 0.00 0.00 100 2011 0.00 2.68 13.42 38.93 30.87 8.72 5.37 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) NLL Overground ELLX Overground Silverlink (6tph) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 46 Station: Dalston Junction Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: E8 3DE Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 22 40 43 30 8 0 0 0 4 147 2002 21 43 43 30 9 0 0 0 1 147 2003 21 47 44 30 9 0 0 0 1 152 2004 21 51 39 29 0 0 0 0 1 141 2005 37 49 39 29 0 0 0 0 0 154 2006 38 60 40 29 0 0 0 0 0 167 2007 39 61 40 29 0 0 0 0 0 169 2008 41 57 40 29 0 0 0 1 0 168 2009 49 57 41 27 0 0 0 1 0 175 2010 53 58 114 141 55 0 0 1 0 422 2011 55 59 117 137 55 0 0 1 0 424 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 14.97 27.21 29.25 20.41 5.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.72 100 2002 14.29 29.25 29.25 20.41 6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 100 2003 13.82 30.92 28.95 19.74 5.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66 100 2004 14.89 36.17 27.66 20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 100 2005 24.03 31.82 25.32 18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 22.75 35.93 23.95 17.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 23.08 36.09 23.67 17.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 24.40 33.93 23.81 17.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 100 2009 28.00 32.57 23.43 15.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.00 100 2010 12.56 13.74 27.01 33.41 13.03 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00 100 2011 12.97 13.92 27.59 32.31 12.97 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) ELLX Overground N/A 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 47 Station: Dalston Kingsland Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: E8 2JS Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 11 70 65 35 28 0 0 1 5 215 2002 5 77 58 37 26 0 0 1 5 209 2003 13 87 56 35 27 0 0 1 5 224 2004 19 92 117 47 14 0 0 1 5 295 2005 16 110 111 50 15 3 0 1 0 306 2006 14 113 113 50 15 4 0 2 0 311 2007 13 114 116 51 14 4 1 2 0 315 2008 14 113 120 55 14 4 1 3 0 324 2009 18 110 119 55 14 4 1 2 0 323 2010 27 111 132 60 21 4 1 1 0 357 2011 29 110 135 62 21 4 1 1 0 363 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 5.12 32.56 30.23 16.28 13.02 0.00 0.00 0.47 2.33 100 2002 2.39 36.84 27.75 17.70 12.44 0.00 0.00 0.48 2.39 100 2003 5.80 38.84 25.00 15.63 12.05 0.00 0.00 0.45 2.23 100 2004 6.44 31.19 39.66 15.93 4.75 0.00 0.00 0.34 1.69 100 2005 5.23 35.95 36.27 16.34 4.90 0.98 0.00 0.33 0.00 100 2006 4.50 36.33 36.33 16.08 4.82 1.29 0.00 0.64 0.00 100 2007 4.13 36.19 36.83 16.19 4.44 1.27 0.32 0.63 0.00 100 2008 4.32 34.88 37.04 16.98 4.32 1.23 0.31 0.93 0.00 100 2009 5.57 34.06 36.84 17.03 4.33 1.24 0.31 0.62 0.00 100 2010 7.56 31.09 36.97 16.81 5.88 1.12 0.28 0.28 0.00 100 2011 7.99 30.30 37.19 17.08 5.79 1.10 0.28 0.28 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) NLL Overground Silverlink (6tph) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 48 Station: Hackney Central Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: E8 1LL Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 12 6 44 69 5 3 0 0 0 139 2002 12 6 43 70 4 3 0 0 0 138 2003 12 6 43 70 4 3 0 0 0 138 2004 13 11 42 70 4 3 0 0 0 143 2005 13 11 36 70 4 3 0 0 0 137 2006 14 11 40 70 4 2 0 0 0 141 2007 14 11 40 70 4 2 0 0 0 141 2008 14 11 40 70 4 2 0 0 0 141 2009 14 11 40 70 4 2 0 0 0 141 2010 13 15 47 70 4 2 0 0 0 151 2011 15 15 46 70 4 2 0 0 0 152 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 8.63 4.32 31.65 49.64 3.60 2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2002 8.70 4.35 31.16 50.72 2.90 2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2003 8.70 4.35 31.16 50.72 2.90 2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2004 9.09 7.69 29.37 48.95 2.80 2.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2005 9.49 8.03 26.28 51.09 2.92 2.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 9.93 7.80 28.37 49.65 2.84 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 9.93 7.80 28.37 49.65 2.84 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 9.93 7.80 28.37 49.65 2.84 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 9.93 7.80 28.37 49.65 2.84 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 8.61 9.93 31.13 46.36 2.65 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 9.87 9.87 30.26 46.05 2.63 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) NLL Overground Silverlink (6tph) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 49 Station: Haggerston Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: E8 4DY Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 4 20 28 26 28 13 0 0 0 119 2002 4 20 28 26 28 13 0 0 0 119 2003 4 21 29 26 30 13 0 0 1 124 2004 19 20 30 26 32 11 0 0 1 139 2005 20 20 50 27 32 11 0 0 0 160 2006 21 23 110 45 35 12 0 0 0 246 2007 25 23 110 45 35 12 0 0 0 250 2008 28 25 109 48 37 13 0 0 0 260 2009 29 25 109 48 37 14 0 0 0 262 2010 13 19 114 50 40 13 0 0 0 249 2011 14 19 115 55 42 12 0 0 0 257 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 3.36 16.81 23.53 21.85 23.53 10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2002 3.36 16.81 23.53 21.85 23.53 10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2003 3.23 16.94 23.39 20.97 24.19 10.48 0.00 0.00 0.81 100 2004 13.67 14.39 21.58 18.71 23.02 7.91 0.00 0.00 0.72 100 2005 12.50 12.50 31.25 16.88 20.00 6.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 8.54 9.35 44.72 18.29 14.23 4.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 10.00 9.20 44.00 18.00 14.00 4.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 10.77 9.62 41.92 18.46 14.23 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 11.07 9.54 41.60 18.32 14.12 5.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 5.22 7.63 45.78 20.08 16.06 5.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 5.45 7.39 44.75 21.40 16.34 4.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) ELLX Overground N/A 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 50 Station: Highbury & Islington Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: N5 1RA Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0 2 49 37 37 3 0 0 1 129 2002 0 6 49 38 35 3 0 0 1 132 2003 0 6 49 39 35 10 5 1 1 146 2004 0 6 48 39 38 10 5 1 1 148 2005 0 6 42 39 38 10 5 1 0 141 2006 0 6 47 39 38 10 5 1 0 146 2007 0 6 47 39 38 10 5 1 0 146 2008 0 6 42 39 38 10 10 1 0 146 2009 0 6 42 39 38 10 10 1 0 146 2010 0 7 47 58 105 14 13 1 0 245 2011 0 7 47 58 108 24 21 8 0 273 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0.00 1.55 37.98 28.68 28.68 2.33 0.00 0.00 0.78 100 2002 0.00 4.55 37.12 28.79 26.52 2.27 0.00 0.00 0.76 100 2003 0.00 4.11 33.56 26.71 23.97 6.85 3.42 0.68 0.68 100 2004 0.00 4.05 32.43 26.35 25.68 6.76 3.38 0.68 0.68 100 2005 0.00 4.26 29.79 27.66 26.95 7.09 3.55 0.71 0.00 100 2006 0.00 4.11 32.19 26.71 26.03 6.85 3.42 0.68 0.00 100 2007 0.00 4.11 32.19 26.71 26.03 6.85 3.42 0.68 0.00 100 2008 0.00 4.11 28.77 26.71 26.03 6.85 6.85 0.68 0.00 100 2009 0.00 4.11 28.77 26.71 26.03 6.85 6.85 0.68 0.00 100 2010 0.00 2.86 19.18 23.67 42.86 5.71 5.31 0.41 0.00 100 2011 0.00 2.56 17.22 21.25 39.56 8.79 7.69 2.93 0.00 100 Victoria Line Silverlink (6tph) Band (Count) Band (Percentage) Victoria Line NLL Overground ELLX Overground 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 51 Station: Hoxton Travelcard Zone: 1 & 2 Postcode: E2 8FF Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 65 16 13 64 4 1 0 0 2 165 2002 71 18 13 78 16 1 0 0 4 201 2003 71 39 13 82 21 1 0 0 3 230 2004 72 42 29 87 32 1 0 0 2 265 2005 68 40 31 93 28 1 0 0 0 261 2006 71 47 34 91 32 1 0 0 0 276 2007 71 49 36 108 33 1 0 0 0 298 2008 75 44 33 108 33 1 0 0 0 294 2009 76 44 37 111 33 1 0 0 0 302 2010 75 39 56 146 36 1 0 0 0 353 2011 78 38 57 147 36 1 0 0 0 357 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 39.39 9.70 7.88 38.79 2.42 0.61 0.00 0.00 1.21 100 2002 35.32 8.96 6.47 38.81 7.96 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.99 100 2003 30.87 16.96 5.65 35.65 9.13 0.43 0.00 0.00 1.30 100 2004 27.17 15.85 10.94 32.83 12.08 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.75 100 2005 26.05 15.33 11.88 35.63 10.73 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 25.72 17.03 12.32 32.97 11.59 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 23.83 16.44 12.08 36.24 11.07 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 25.51 14.97 11.22 36.73 11.22 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 25.17 14.57 12.25 36.75 10.93 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 21.25 11.05 15.86 41.36 10.20 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 21.85 10.64 15.97 41.18 10.08 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) ELLX Overground N/A 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 52 Station: Rectory Road Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: N16 7SJ Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0 46 54 23 12 2 0 0 0 137 2002 0 46 54 23 12 2 0 0 1 138 2003 0 50 55 23 12 2 0 0 1 143 2004 0 50 58 23 12 2 0 0 1 146 2005 0 44 56 22 12 2 0 0 0 136 2006 0 50 58 23 12 2 0 0 0 145 2007 0 49 61 24 12 2 0 0 0 148 2008 0 43 60 22 12 2 0 0 0 139 2009 0 43 60 22 12 2 0 0 0 139 2010 3 43 60 22 12 2 0 0 0 142 2011 3 43 61 23 12 2 0 0 0 144 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0.00 33.58 39.42 16.79 8.76 1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2002 0.00 33.33 39.13 16.67 8.70 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.72 100 2003 0.00 34.97 38.46 16.08 8.39 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.70 100 2004 0.00 34.25 39.73 15.75 8.22 1.37 0.00 0.00 0.68 100 2005 0.00 32.35 41.18 16.18 8.82 1.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 0.00 34.48 40.00 15.86 8.28 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 0.00 33.11 41.22 16.22 8.11 1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 0.00 30.94 43.17 15.83 8.63 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 0.00 30.94 43.17 15.83 8.63 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 2.11 30.28 42.25 15.49 8.45 1.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 2.08 29.86 42.36 15.97 8.33 1.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) N/A East Anglia 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 53 Station: Shoreditch High Street Travelcard Zone: 1 Postcode: E1 6GJ Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 10 44 60 52 4 9 2 0 0 181 2002 10 46 66 53 10 12 2 0 0 199 2003 9 51 65 56 10 12 3 0 0 206 2004 4 47 73 72 21 11 1 0 0 229 2005 2 48 107 118 22 11 2 0 0 310 2006 2 52 104 122 35 15 2 0 0 332 2007 2 51 115 137 36 18 2 0 0 361 2008 3 51 118 137 35 18 3 0 0 365 2009 4 56 118 137 35 19 2 0 0 371 2010 2 49 123 154 35 19 4 0 0 386 2011 3 50 121 164 35 20 3 0 0 396 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 5.52 24.31 33.15 28.73 2.21 4.97 1.10 0.00 0.00 100 2002 5.03 23.12 33.17 26.63 5.03 6.03 1.01 0.00 0.00 100 2003 4.37 24.76 31.55 27.18 4.85 5.83 1.46 0.00 0.00 100 2004 1.75 20.52 31.88 31.44 9.17 4.80 0.44 0.00 0.00 100 2005 0.65 15.48 34.52 38.06 7.10 3.55 0.65 0.00 0.00 100 2006 0.60 15.66 31.33 36.75 10.54 4.52 0.60 0.00 0.00 100 2007 0.55 14.13 31.86 37.95 9.97 4.99 0.55 0.00 0.00 100 2008 0.82 13.97 32.33 37.53 9.59 4.93 0.82 0.00 0.00 100 2009 1.08 15.09 31.81 36.93 9.43 5.12 0.54 0.00 0.00 100 2010 0.52 12.69 31.87 39.90 9.07 4.92 1.04 0.00 0.00 100 2011 0.76 12.63 30.56 41.41 8.84 5.05 0.76 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) ELLX Overground N/A 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 54 Station: South Tottenham Travelcard Zone: 3 Postcode: N15 6UJ Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0 38 20 41 4 7 0 0 0 110 2002 0 38 20 41 4 7 0 0 0 110 2003 0 38 20 41 4 7 0 0 0 110 2004 0 39 20 48 4 6 0 0 0 117 2005 0 39 20 48 5 5 0 0 0 117 2006 2 42 22 71 4 5 0 0 0 146 2007 2 42 22 71 4 5 0 0 0 146 2008 2 42 21 63 4 5 0 0 0 137 2009 2 42 23 62 4 5 0 0 0 138 2010 2 46 25 70 4 5 0 0 0 152 2011 3 45 25 70 4 5 0 0 0 152 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0.00 34.55 18.18 37.27 3.64 6.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2002 0.00 34.55 18.18 37.27 3.64 6.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2003 0.00 34.55 18.18 37.27 3.64 6.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2004 0.00 33.33 17.09 41.03 3.42 5.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2005 0.00 33.33 17.09 41.03 4.27 4.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 1.37 28.77 15.07 48.63 2.74 3.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 1.37 28.77 15.07 48.63 2.74 3.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 1.46 30.66 15.33 45.99 2.92 3.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 1.45 30.43 16.67 44.93 2.90 3.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 1.32 30.26 16.45 46.05 2.63 3.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 1.97 29.61 16.45 46.05 2.63 3.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) GOBLIN Overground Silverlink (2tph) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 55 Station: Stamford Hill Travelcard Zone: 3 Postcode: N16 5AG Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0 14 48 44 12 10 2 0 0 130 2002 0 14 48 44 12 10 2 0 0 130 2003 0 14 46 44 13 10 2 0 0 129 2004 0 16 47 48 13 6 2 0 0 132 2005 0 16 48 44 13 3 2 0 0 126 2006 0 16 50 47 13 6 2 0 0 134 2007 0 16 50 47 13 6 2 0 0 134 2008 0 17 51 56 16 6 2 0 0 148 2009 0 17 51 56 16 7 2 0 0 149 2010 0 15 49 53 16 11 2 0 0 146 2011 0 15 49 53 16 11 2 0 0 146 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 0.00 10.77 36.92 33.85 9.23 7.69 1.54 0.00 0.00 100 2002 0.00 10.77 36.92 33.85 9.23 7.69 1.54 0.00 0.00 100 2003 0.00 10.85 35.66 34.11 10.08 7.75 1.55 0.00 0.00 100 2004 0.00 12.12 35.61 36.36 9.85 4.55 1.52 0.00 0.00 100 2005 0.00 12.70 38.10 34.92 10.32 2.38 1.59 0.00 0.00 100 2006 0.00 11.94 37.31 35.07 9.70 4.48 1.49 0.00 0.00 100 2007 0.00 11.94 37.31 35.07 9.70 4.48 1.49 0.00 0.00 100 2008 0.00 11.49 34.46 37.84 10.81 4.05 1.35 0.00 0.00 100 2009 0.00 11.41 34.23 37.58 10.74 4.70 1.34 0.00 0.00 100 2010 0.00 10.27 33.56 36.30 10.96 7.53 1.37 0.00 0.00 100 2011 0.00 10.27 33.56 36.30 10.96 7.53 1.37 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) N/A East Anglia 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 56 Station: Stoke Newington Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: N16 6YA Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 15 52 81 28 26 0 0 0 1 203 2002 15 52 82 32 27 0 0 0 0 208 2003 15 54 84 32 26 0 0 0 0 211 2004 15 57 83 31 27 0 0 0 1 214 2005 16 55 81 32 25 0 0 0 0 209 2006 16 69 82 34 26 0 0 0 0 227 2007 21 74 88 38 29 0 0 0 0 250 2008 22 76 88 38 29 0 0 0 0 253 2009 28 81 90 38 30 0 0 0 0 267 2010 28 80 88 39 32 0 0 0 0 267 2011 29 80 86 40 32 0 0 0 0 267 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 7.39 25.62 39.90 13.79 12.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 100 2002 7.21 25.00 39.42 15.38 12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2003 7.11 25.59 39.81 15.17 12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2004 7.01 26.64 38.79 14.49 12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 100 2005 7.66 26.32 38.76 15.31 11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 7.05 30.40 36.12 14.98 11.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 8.40 29.60 35.20 15.20 11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 8.70 30.04 34.78 15.02 11.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 10.49 30.34 33.71 14.23 11.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 10.49 29.96 32.96 14.61 11.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 10.86 29.96 32.21 14.98 11.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 Band (Count) Band (Percentage) N/A East Anglia 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
4 B 57 Station: Whitechapel Travelcard Zone: 2 Postcode: E1 1BY Transport Links (Pre Overground): Transport Links (Post Overground): Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 2 4 58 71 19 0 0 0 0 154 2002 2 5 59 71 19 1 0 0 0 157 2003 2 9 64 83 19 1 0 0 0 178 2004 5 10 64 81 19 1 0 0 0 180 2005 4 7 58 69 19 1 0 0 0 158 2006 5 11 62 82 19 1 0 0 0 180 2007 5 11 62 82 19 1 0 0 0 180 2008 5 11 62 82 48 30 0 0 0 238 2009 5 11 68 82 48 30 0 0 0 244 2010 4 8 64 72 19 1 0 0 0 168 2011 4 8 65 73 19 1 0 0 0 170 Year A B C D E F G H X Total 2001 1.30 2.60 37.66 46.10 12.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2002 1.27 3.18 37.58 45.22 12.10 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2003 1.12 5.06 35.96 46.63 10.67 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2004 2.78 5.56 35.56 45.00 10.56 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2005 2.53 4.43 36.71 43.67 12.03 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2006 2.78 6.11 34.44 45.56 10.56 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2007 2.78 6.11 34.44 45.56 10.56 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2008 2.10 4.62 26.05 34.45 20.17 12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2009 2.05 4.51 27.87 33.61 19.67 12.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2010 2.38 4.76 38.10 42.86 11.31 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 2011 2.35 4.71 38.24 42.94 11.18 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 H&C Line District Line East London Line Band (Percentage) Band (Count) ELLX Overground District Line H&C Line 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H G F E D C B A A p p e n d i x
5 58 Appendix 5: Station Ridership Data A p p e n d i x
5 59 ..88 a88 a88 888 8eea88 end8 u..4888 8aea88 |||1||||\ ||\I1|||||\||| |||||\|||I|| |||||||\|\||||I1| \I1||||W|||I1| \IM|1|||||| \1|I|I1II|||M |||I1|\|1| Station Usage Trends (2002/3 2009/10) Actual volumes of passengers are shown on the following page, this summary sheet indicates percentage change over time for each station. Orange indicates station is part of the London Overground Network 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Canonbury 243,368 127,763 164,672 789228 718793 561,388 472,010 Dalston(Kingsland) 1,192,428 777,867 821,558 2538141 2445308 2,018,220 1,755,312 HackneyCentral 746,159 456,772 513,943 1895979 1905788 1,564,086 1,344,364 HackneyDowns 1,229,049 944,125 868,010 1076624 1442806 1,277,974 1,286,394 HackneyWick 287,862 68,367 79,617 366586 372903 334,422 333,890 Highbury&Islington 4809098 4751391 4,173,338 5,668,133 RectoryRoad 286,542 193,570 171,522 278779 307297 350,046 379,466 SouthTottenham 135,208 45,834 42,090 243519 293742 232,748 225,126 StamfordHill 171,140 115,272 101,296 265335 312509 275,968 266,550 StokeNewington 606,579 224,144 203,512 314821 382136 414,856 439,528 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 P a s s e n g e r
E n t r i e s
&
E x i t s StationUsageData20022009 A p p e n d i x