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Commitments of Traders (COT)

Eduardo Petazze
Los informes de los Compromisos de los Traders de la US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) desglosa las posiciones abiertas de cada martes en los mercados de futuros y opciones en los que 20 ms operadores tienen posiciones iguales o superiores a
ciertos niveles de referencia (non-reportable positions).
Los das viernes, la CFTC publica el resultado de los informes individuales remitido por los operadores bajo la FORM 40 - STATEMENT OF REPORTING TRADER (pdf, 9 pages)
Un operador es clasificado como
"Comercial" si est predominantemente involucrado en actividades de produccin, procesamiento, etc. de commodities y usa los mercados de futuros y opciones para gestionar o cubrir los riesgos asociados a dichas actividades.
"No comercial", incluyen:
"Swap Dealer" quienes utilizan los mercados de futuos y opciones para administrar o gestionar el riesgo asociado con operaciones de permutas que realizan con otros traders especulativos (como los hedge funds) o con clientes comerciales.
Money Manager son entidades registradas ante la CFTC como Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA); o como Commodity Pool Operator (CPO); u otros fondos no registrados identificados por la CFTC.
Ntese que la clasificacin no elimina la posibilidad que un comercial realice operaciones especulativas, y viceversa.
El objetivo del presente, es resumir las posiciones netas semanales reportadas (como nmero neto de contratos comprados o vendidos) para el conjunto de inversores especulativos (no comerciales), en los mercados (slo) de futuros para un conjunto de ocho monedas, entre
julio de 2010 a julio de 2013 (ambos meses inclusive).
Un inversor especulativo mantendr una posicin comprada (o posicin larga) en una moneda si espera que dicha moneda se revalorice frente al dolar durante el plazo de su inversin.
Las posiciones semanales netas compradas para cada moneda aparecen en el cuadro como un nmero positivo (en negro)
Un inversor especulativo mantendr una posicin vendida (o posicin corta) en una moneda si espera que dicha moneda se devae frente al dolar durante el plazo de su inversinn.
Las posiciones semanales netas vendidas para cada moneda aparecen en el cuadro como un nmero negativo (en rojo)
Ntese que un inversor podra mantener tambin opciones de compra (call) o venta (put) (igualmente son reportadas por la CFTC), y cuyo equivalente en terminos de contratos de futuro podra neutralizar o potenciar una determinada posicin neta (slo) tomando en
cuenta los contratos de futuros
Para el conjunto de las ocho monedas se determina el valor agregado neto (en dlares), valorizando los contratos a la tasa de cambio respecto del dlar de cada da viernes en que se d a conocer el reporte.
Un valor agregado neto positivo (en negro), indicar que el conjunto de inversores, espera que el conjunto de monedas se revalorice frente al dlar, es decir, se mantiene corto o vendido en dlares
Un valor agregado neto negativo (en rojo) indicar que el conjunto de inversores, espera que el conjunto de monedas se deprecie frente al dlar, es decir se mantiene largo o comprado en dlares.
En la ltima columna del cuadro se agrega un indicador del valor del dlar (julio 2010/2013 = 100.0) resultado de ponderar las tasas de cambio de los das viernes por la participacin que cada moneda ha mantenido en la cartera de los inversores especulativos (para el perodo
analizado).
Un indicador mayor a 101.54 (resaltados con color azul) indica que el dlar se encuentra claramente en una zona de revaluacin (sobre el valor promedio) respecto de las 8 monedas analizadas,
una buena noticia para los especuladores si el valor agregado neto es rojo
Un indicador menor a 98.46 (resaltados con color rojo) indica que el dlar se encuentra claramente en una zona de devaluacin (sobre el valor promedio) respecto de las 8 monedas analizadas,
una buena noticia para los especuladores si el valor agregado neto es negro
En un 33% de los casos (entre 98.46 / 101.54 del indicador) resaltado en gris, indica una zona de estabilidad, neutralidad o transicin.
Las zonas de concordancia se han enmarcado
Los dos ltimos cuadros muestran:
la apertura de los contratos de futuros para los inversores no comerciales tal como se resume en la pgina web de la CFTC, para las ltimas 8 semanas
algunas de las tasas de cambio de los das viernes utilizadas en este anlisis, con indicacin del mximo y mnimo de 52 semanas, volatilidad y valor promedio de las ltimas 52 semanas
IMM

Yen
12,500,000

FX

Number of Only Future Contracts - Non-Commercial Large (Short) Net Positions


Pound
Swiss Franc
Canadian
Australian
62,500
125,000
100,000
100,000

Euro
125,000

Mexican
500,000

Aggregated Net Position

N. Zealand
100,000

FX Rate Index

(million US$)

Aug 06, 2013

-80,213

6,061

-46,033

-325

-10,436

-76,779

32,125

-1,539

Jul 30, 2013

-82,135

-8,504

-49,463

-1,261

-11,434

-72,573

24,888

Jul 23, 2013

-87,496

-27,900

-49,653

-5,433

-16,758

-63,982

Jul 16, 2013

-85,762

-37,165

-37,446

-4,969

-20,043

Jul 09, 2013

-80,305

-40,900

-34,259

-1,776

-520

-20,795.7
-23,289.9

104.49
106.23

19,799

-1,846

-28,172.5

105.16

-70,686

11,366

-2,744

-29,228.3

106.13

-23,829

-63,255

8,035

-1,008

-28,021.9

106.83

Jul 02, 2013

-70,736

-16,090

-31,324

-116

-16,250

-70,515

2,847

-1,174

-22,189.4

108.21

Jun 25, 2013

-61,462

17,357

-19,429

2,464

-10,638

-61,644

4,981

-711

-12,967.3

106.85

Jun 18, 2013

-61,890

20,030

-20,416

5,791

-26,087

-63,521

20,949

2,126

-13,226.5

106.30

Jun 11, 2013

-72,906

-7,533

-53,687

-20,738

-35,907

-63,277

63,774

2,653

-25,859.6

103.20

Jun 04, 2013

-82,744

-51,621

-77,738

-25,803

-39,776

-58,550

82,871

6,013

-35,925.6

104.47

May 28, 2013

-99,769

-84,644

-74,525

-28,972

-33,359

-42,307

120,864

14,011

-38,408.3

106.12

May 21, 2013

-95,186

-80,949

-76,976

-19,930

-33,852

-32,409

136,863

17,782

-34,240.8

106.02

May 14, 2013

-88,407

-46,921

-65,355

-15,410

-44,417

-13,450

140,319

23,216

-24,488.3

106.45

May 07, 2013

-78,560

-33,533

-63,086

-6,235

-51,916

6,630

138,444

28,536

-18,339.9

104.92

Apr 30, 2013

-71,127

-30,149

-58,607

-8,264

-67,848

30,234

138,551

29,050

-16,123.4

103.03

Apr 23, 2013

-79,730

-34,275

-60,112

1,179

-71,679

31,257

146,911

27,705

-16,872.6

103.26

Apr 16, 2013

-93,411

-29,764

-61,975

-3,253

-75,913

53,175

151,288

30,808

-16,104.5

103.68

Apr 09, 2013

-77,697

-50,858

-69,969

-10,014

-71,133

77,879

142,542

25,149

-16,993.9

102.88

Apr 02, 2013

-78,171

-65,701

-65,020

-12,015

-64,544

83,971

142,755

18,387

-18,854.9

103.12

Mar 26, 2013

-89,149

-49,095

-66,555

-12,198

-62,645

85,515

128,162

16,916

-18,256.0

103.05

Mar 19, 2013

-79,993

-44,884

-61,480

-10,996

-65,331

54,055

109,376

12,477

-20,377.4

102.97

Mar 12, 2013

-93,763

-24,787

-49,800

-13,488

-53,397

23,266

113,770

19,350

-19,472.7

102.99

Mar 05, 2013

-73,351

-26,116

-43,849

-11,450

-46,663

7,149

93,521

19,044

Feb 26, 2013

-65,344

-9,394

-36,130

-8,191

-21,433

25,695

104,804

20,297

-18,230.3
-8,425.3

103.12
103.34

Feb 19, 2013

-65,891

19,103

-23,365

-675

19,379

43,981

116,165

24,693

5,027.0

102.43

Feb 12, 2013

-61,306

24,181

-16,776

4,552

26,565

54,114

124,579

21,338

9,755.3

101.22

Feb 05, 2013

-68,413

37,952

1,174

3,876

27,761

80,940

141,502

22,700

16,322.6

101.45

Jan 29, 2013

-71,246

27,472

10,622

4,148

35,057

85,296

148,871

21,816

16,722.2

100.11

Jan 22, 2013

-64,068

21,381

17,938

6,384

57,952

97,011

150,037

23,532

21,169.2

100.58

Jan 15, 2013

-65,727

7,315

28,338

12,770

68,668

89,057

151,665

22,262

20,705.8

100.41

Jan 08, 2013

-74,096

-8,035

25,949

10,261

64,005

80,315

139,523

19,220

14,386.1

99.74

Dec 31, 2012

-80,517

5,126

36,308

11,631

65,926

79,522

141,752

17,082

16,616.2

99.81

Dec 24, 2012

-85,608

-2,549

37,321

11,435

63,352

75,433

149,355

14,739

13,631.6

100.07

Dec 18, 2012

-89,163

-9,736

28,036

4,280

74,278

97,496

147,749

14,230

13,077.2

99.54

Dec 11, 2012

-94,401

-31,623

27,954

3,209

62,533

103,376

149,271

24,600

9,108.4

99.05

Dec 04, 2012

-90,326

-32,795

27,270

636

57,071

92,229

118,962

21,088

5,403.6

99.18

Nov 27, 2012

-79,466

-66,693

10,278

-3,367

62,379

76,806

93,858

18,710

-2,846.4

99.65

Nov 20, 2012

-51,389

-91,400

730

-12,488

61,446

64,711

86,787

17,858

-6,452.3

99.77

Nov 13, 2012

-30,447

-83,646

8,228

-8,888

66,119

68,146

96,994

19,194

533.1

100.64

Nov 06, 2012

-40,104

-67,141

19,279

-303

74,762

60,317

114,422

19,388

4,540.0

100.23

Oct 30, 2012

-37,020

-58,204

23,403

2,366

78,771

52,090

126,009

16,745

7,111.2

99.80

Oct 23, 2012

-18,196

-55,219

18,397

2,361

89,088

45,651

132,402

16,349

10,463.2

99.41

Oct 16, 2012

10,086

-53,495

19,599

-1,192

93,750

38,444

135,456

16,284

14,687.8

99.03

Oct 09, 2012

12,914

-72,570

22,572

-306

95,628

39,814

136,392

16,710

13,034.0

98.92

Oct 02, 2012

29,335

-50,265

30,094

-984

101,176

63,743

135,865

21,381

23,351.7

98.58

Sep 25, 2012

21,111

-50,238

27,137

-904

105,346

89,562

141,256

19,965

25,089.2

98.89

Sep 18, 2012

15,476

-73,482

14,412

-4,527

111,881

69,246

118,147

16,605

16,101.3

98.29

Sep 11, 2012

32,773

-93,658

-4,366

-8,967

101,860

68,259

122,243

10,032

11,525.0

97.67

Sep 04, 2012

24,007

-102,306

-6,868

-13,112

66,555

62,439

90,881

11,401

2,773.1

99.25

Aug 28, 2012

21,556

-101,561

1,968

-11,461

60,936

78,072

94,626

14,229

5,087.9

100.25

Aug 21, 2012

11,171

-123,932

7,833

-15,662

50,867

86,882

97,981

16,372

310.8

100.43

Aug 14, 2012

30,704

-137,810

-288

-18,854

28,593

66,679

83,511

15,247

-4,581.4

101.29

Aug 07, 2012

27,539

-131,711

-8,275

-17,915

19,122

52,894

69,378

14,588

-7,600.1

100.83

Jul 31, 2012

32,254

-138,994

-1,810

-18,808

12,449

37,235

47,556

10,347

-11,155.4

100.71

Jul 24, 2012

25,061

-155,066

-2,934

-25,945

-2,432

26,443

49,662

7,779

-18,598.1

101.14

Jul 17, 2012

11,121

-167,249

-7,453

-23,090

-1,208

13,931

34,989

6,939

Jul 10, 2012

8,952

-165,705

-7,622

-17,584

4,338

19,065

25,222

5,591

Jul 03, 2012

4,175

-146,177

-5,353

-19,060

8,698

9,348

17,475

4,320

-24,105.9
-23,153.5
-21,945.8

Jun 26, 2012

4,542

-159,880

-758

-23,836

9,277

-2,159

-7,647

576

-27,369.1

Jun 19, 2012

15,137

-141,066

-17,153

-7,007

8,201

-3,458

-14,674

-2,213

Jun 12, 2012

12,307

-195,187

-23,112

-33,301

9,620

-45,459

-22,004

-3,885

-22,609.5
-40,265.2

102.38
101.63

Jun 05, 2012

12,073

-214,418

-2,867

-33,648

14,906

-51,172

-30,396

-5,530

-41,316.2

103.00

May 29, 2012

-11,330

-203,415

1,475

-30,596

34,085

-35,527

-12,995

-5,208

-38,195.4

103.57

May 22, 2012

-18,015

-195,361

11,340

-34,851

38,555

-16,898

-16,116

-1,509

May 15, 2012

-34,315

-173,869

25,021

-26,694

51,005

4,734

14,445

2,597

-35,407.5
-27,952.4

102.97
101.93

May 08, 2012

-41,093

-143,984

25,339

-16,494

60,095

25,104

36,928

6,224

-18,985.3

100.50

May 01, 2012

-50,173

-106,990

16,493

-14,311

70,223

52,280

42,045

8,025

-11,029.5

99.40

Apr 24, 2012

-55,903

-113,367

7,536

-16,641

44,224

46,041

40,208

9,486

-17,350.6

98.19

Apr 17, 2012

-57,803

-118,125

-13,051

-13,762

38,028

48,421

46,101

11,939

-19,991.5

99.05

Apr 10, 2012

-66,084

-101,364

-18,784

-9,919

27,967

39,429

68,600

7,170

-19,866.3

99.48

Apr 03, 2012

-65,108

-79,480

-8,807

-14,676

29,487

49,319

84,503

5,846

-14,078.1

99.54

Mar 27, 2012

-67,622

-89,129

-11,110

-15,096

23,737

59,574

82,833

3,984

-16,201.9

98.84

Mar 20, 2012

-25,821

-82,954

-15,852

-11,191

42,315

45,191

24,329

4,210

-10,526.7

98.95

Mar 13, 2012

-42,380

-99,336

-41,848

-14,798

26,721

66,756

78,892

13,223

-14,910.5

99.05

Mar 06, 2012

-19,358

-116,473

-37,099

-19,478

26,032

61,720

66,347

16,788

-15,080.0

98.98

Feb 28, 2012

-1,203

-109,674

-23,235

-19,391

22,480

78,201

60,750

22,114

-8,332.4

98.29

Feb 21, 2012

17,257

-142,159

-31,350

-19,846

14,112

74,700

49,425

24,211

-13,781.9

97.71

Feb 14, 2012

29,459

-148,641

-40,599

-15,863

9,566

73,741

41,239

23,870

-13,522.8

98.19

Feb 07, 2012

55,171

-140,593

-33,122

-9,795

2,184

75,095

34,107

23,335

-7,380.5

97.82

Jan 31, 2012

56,669

-157,546

-26,214

-11,222

-19,409

78,044

21,481

14,797

-12,226.7

97.49

Jan 24, 2012

44,367

-171,347

-31,361

-12,514

-18,909

69,486

7,418

12,932

-18,954.7

97.74

Jan 17, 2012

58,862

-160,030

-41,634

-12,822

-28,730

54,306

-17,328

9,455

-19,141.4

99.23

Jan 10, 2012

59,657

-155,195

-35,853

-12,097

-28,649

53,526

-22,332

5,029

-17,628.1

100.79

Jan 03, 2012

56,481

-138,909

-31,899

-12,355

-23,371

46,537

-25,829

2,436

-15,881.7

100.87

Dec 27, 2011

22,585

-127,879

-29,172

-10,798

-21,812

32,637

-25,685

1,405

-20,949.8

100.15

Dec 20, 2011

24,476

-113,697

-25,939

-3,136

-26,868

25,742

-18,802

612

-18,222.6

100.31

Dec 13, 2011

35,600

-116,457

-39,509

-10,481

-13,385

34,429

-22,894

5,383

-16,992.8

100.11

Dec 06, 2011

38,271

-95,814

-43,560

-11,158

-20,171

29,824

-20,862

3,857

-15,027.3

99.19

Nov 29, 2011

40,547

-104,302

-46,660

-9,327

-26,869

12,542

-36,240

3,718

-19,163.4

99.06

Nov 22, 2011

43,180

-85,068

-36,634

-5,870

-22,144

17,960

-31,582

7,916

-12,411.3

100.99

Nov 15, 2011

33,680

-76,147

-32,864

-1,904

-17,215

24,330

-15,021

10,614

-9,879.4

98.99

Nov 08, 2011

28,077

-54,257

-29,122

2,162

-15,568

27,016

-18,067

11,550

-5,986.7

97.14

Nov 01, 2011

25,904

-60,060

-47,092

-1,746

-14,820

25,866

-26,588

10,655

-10,069.0

97.62

Oct 25, 2011

54,279

-76,512

-50,147

-1,203

-17,923

23,071

-27,055

9,219

-9,417.3

94.88

Oct 18, 2011

26,907

-77,720

-53,226

-2,243

-24,795

20,353

-24,129

8,225

-15,262.4

96.92

Oct 11, 2011

35,119

-73,795

-61,972

13

-24,913

10,753

-24,878

6,838

-14,776.0

97.90

Oct 04, 2011

43,462

-82,697

-68,724

-1,109

-15,682

12,911

-25,431

5,566

-14,526.2

99.08

Sep 27, 2011

42,322

-82,473

-64,010

2,424

-20,550

5,167

-20,626

9,591

-14,400.4

99.82

Sep 20, 2011

45,617

-79,460

-59,755

4,221

-5,458

23,095

-16,890

13,565

-8,888.6

99.70

Sep 13, 2011

34,955

-54,459

-26,193

5,493

-6,303

36,934

-1,209

17,664

-890.1

96.41

Sep 06, 2011

32,787

-36,443

-13,220

7,549

2,081

48,041

13,246

17,670

Aug 30, 2011

41,185

-384

444

9,342

13,939

47,569

20,880

16,565

6,033.0
16,882.1

96.65
94.15

Aug 23, 2011

47,139

2,539

10,961

9,637

8,804

43,574

21,835

16,876

18,555.8

93.76

Aug 16, 2011

47,348

6,726

-3,096

9,008

4,121

29,723

22,634

18,417

16,030.3

93.72

Aug 09, 2011

42,149

-8,273

245

4,655

23,704

29,016

41,293

20,427

14,949.6

94.35

Aug 02, 2011

58,833

1,763

5,139

12,341

41,037

75,598

88,484

24,126

29,933.5

94.55

Jul 26, 2011

51,302

17,038

1,222

7,877

36,141

81,438

91,913

23,291

31,453.7

92.39

Jul 19, 2011

42,155

9,246

-6,714

11,494

27,764

77,795

89,266

21,438

26,515.6

92.97

Jul 12, 2011

28,288

12,416

-24,801

8,081

15,334

67,623

98,447

19,584

20,071.6

94.06

Jul 05, 2011

14,327

43,194

-31,669

5,291

6,821

63,336

82,944

18,986

20,199.8

94.31

Jun 28, 2011

13,623

32,987

-18,349

9,948

-1,863

46,897

46,077

18,364

16,082.3

93.81

Jun 21, 2011

32,594

29,771

-11,360

11,813

2,204

54,571

41,423

18,849

20,184.9

95.37

Jun 14, 2011

24,768

49,894

11,226

13,287

18,855

67,670

48,163

19,218

28,578.0

94.70

Jun 07, 2011

17,631

51,836

-1,750

16,865

13,522

65,205

90,198

16,004

27,788.6

94.53

May 31, 2011

-1,648

21,970

-1,829

21,119

26,402

60,015

108,268

15,724

21,801.8

93.59

May 24, 2011

8,006

19,129

-14,143

14,725

21,277

53,043

108,681

13,876

19,004.8

94.50

May 17, 2011

15,373

41,645

-928

15,661

26,291

50,919

104,912

12,624

25,487.9

95.26

May 10, 2011

13,054

61,447

18,118

16,336

37,203

60,321

118,065

13,714

33,311.9

95.39

May 03, 2011

-18,819

99,516

30,807

18,381

54,041

73,421

124,260

12,800

40,804.9

93.90

Apr 26, 2011

-36,997

68,279

33,583

17,841

59,063

80,867

131,806

11,457

34,829.0

92.64

Apr 19, 2011

-52,983

62,195

30,175

17,374

65,035

84,961

134,129

9,339

31,258.2

94.09

Apr 12, 2011

-52,877

64,985

26,671

14,657

63,741

90,651

124,846

6,336

30,590.3

95.10

Apr 05, 2011

-43,231

59,857

32,414

10,843

65,030

90,938

119,062

2,695

30,870.9

95.67

Mar 29, 2011

7,052

56,630

743

18,957

51,245

85,565

88,075

239

31,701.9

96.46

Mar 22, 2011

34,525

48,353

29,724

21,301

45,977

51,734

87,548

-1,482

33,210.0

96.75

Mar 15, 2011

30,230

46,316

-225

27,640

56,991

47,951

121,575

-2,809

32,060.1

96.97

Mar 08, 2011

16,656

62,294

33,906

23,661

77,544

73,695

113,165

4,346

40,477.9

97.31

Mar 01, 2011

41,274

51,308

25,809

18,017

72,827

71,853

97,202

7,411

39,647.5

97.25

Feb 22, 2011

-27,746

45,598

36,009

12,291

68,348

66,064

114,276

8,101

Feb 15, 2011

-18,548

32,464

52,572

10,518

72,090

65,514

109,096

9,810

27,898.0
28,758.0

97.72
98.21

Feb 08, 2011

36,731

34,734

24,475

8,181

39,790

71,979

103,812

10,857

31,259.0

99.07

Feb 01, 2011

31,481

39,934

22,659

10,441

33,814

60,077

103,117

10,270

29,052.3

101.12

Jan 25, 2011

32,218

22,901

7,888

6,594

31,719

45,458

95,245

8,627

22,734.3

98.82

Jan 18, 2011

20,529

4,109

5,794

6,992

44,055

53,508

90,202

11,247

19,610.2

98.98

Jan 11, 2011

24,736

-45,182

-5,090

10,818

47,757

53,497

83,572

9,620

11,394.7

99.62

Jan 04, 2011

39,065

-24,201

-14,133

13,032

38,348

62,513

74,310

10,731

16,208.8

100.85

Dec 28, 2010

29,641

-26,479

-13,121

14,002

34,787

64,316

82,246

8,115

14,525.2

99.95

Dec 21, 2010

12,529

-14,093

-7,432

12,527

24,948

60,550

78,002

7,366

12,701.1

100.79

Dec 14, 2010

12,735

-10,304

-8,186

10,716

33,396

53,778

77,168

12,521

13,445.7

101.01

Dec 07, 2010

23,288

-15,290

-12,920

8,987

33,722

43,352

59,482

18,261

12,178.3

100.80

Nov 30, 2010

30,006

-7,248

-4,864

7,824

19,155

26,643

78,906

18,445

12,911.1

100.89

Nov 23, 2010

27,192

-8,293

10,197

8,511

22,499

28,471

87,246

21,069

14,752.9

101.52

Nov 16, 2010

22,858

8,606

23,771

7,803

38,441

36,202

93,217

23,445

21,214.1

99.58

Nov 09, 2010

36,654

23,283

21,266

12,615

37,338

47,616

88,746

22,250

27,074.5

98.92

Nov 02, 2010

46,455

38,610

15,182

12,465

23,365

51,180

82,272

19,148

29,492.9

Oct 26, 2010

43,129

40,505

5,089

12,519

19,875

55,115

80,143

15,871

27,624.1

98.63

Oct 19, 2010

45,856

46,748

5,796

11,235

30,740

59,181

82,125

15,331

30,456.0

98.97

Oct 12, 2010

48,285

41,511

8,066

19,947

43,786

67,691

86,218

16,573

33,787.9

102.07
102.25
102.48
101.13

97.28

98.44

Oct 05, 2010

49,206

48,243

9,403

22,599

42,678

69,036

85,764

16,334

35,451.7

98.76

Sep 28, 2010

28,666

35,330

-2,194

19,993

27,870

69,533

66,591

17,270

26,133.3

99.96

Sep 21, 2010

23,100

5,097

-8,989

14,462

29,815

64,324

26,376

18,408

16,671.0

101.26

Sep 14, 2010

47,642

-9,644

-9,127

14,236

17,695

56,669

14,957

16,839

15,079.1

103.31

Sep 07, 2010

52,183

-23,699

-16,068

16,627

452

56,966

14,064

9,377

11,020.6

104.26

Aug 31, 2010

49,904

-25,569

-15,266

14,281

-4,764

43,808

21,004

6,957

8,394.0

104.71

Aug 24, 2010

51,069

-21,603

-4,365

13,868

16,147

47,017

59,370

10,683

14,127.1

105.60

Aug 17, 2010

49,969

-14,627

-4,431

11,750

29,514

57,697

70,553

12,139

17,526.9

105.52

Aug 10, 2010

52,478

-3,731

5,021

10,901

41,179

54,370

72,369

12,544

21,333.5

105.39

Aug 03, 2010

47,998

-7,297

-250

16,223

34,182

48,715

55,141

15,059

18,823.1

102.88

Jul 27, 2010

29,921

-21,339

-17,940

6,216

23,868

40,533

45,318

13,674

8,597.6

104.03

Jul 20, 2010

40,911

-24,251

-26,767

15,113

16,424

32,886

35,886

8,973

7,743.9

105.10

Jul 13, 2010

47,359

-27,050

-34,671

14,590

22,038

23,480

28,135

5,452

6,512.8

105.88

Jul 06, 2010

37,926

-38,909

-38,077

-7,455

8,094

7,246

22,725

2,577

Jun 29, 2010

27,427

-73,670

-34,771

-12,848

15,894

12,854

42,496

2,486

-2,772.8
-8,097.4

Average

-4,485

-42,355

-11,587

-504

19,146

41,328

66,707

12,430

100.00

Std. Deviation
FX Rate Index

49,628
18.89%

68,855
30.71%

29,363
7.24%

13,753
4.62%

39,560
10.83%

39,861
15.91%

54,230
8.72%

7,998
3.08%

3.50
100.00%

106.76
108.18

CFTC Non-Commercial Only Future Contracts Position in the IMM


Contracts of
FX
12,500,000

125,000

62,500

125,000

100,000

100,000

500,000

100,000

USD

CFTC data

Aug 6

Non-Commercial Positions - International Monetary Market Report date


Jul 23
Jul 16
Jul 9
Jul 2

Jul 30

Jun 25

Jun 18

129,614 JAPANESE YEN


Long
Short
Net

19,421
99,634
-80,213

18,216
100,351
-82,135

22,513
110,009
-87,496

20,220
105,982
-85,762

25,117
105,422
-80,305

27,336
98,072
-70,736

24,376
85,838
-61,462

23,010
84,900
-61,890

Long
Short
Net

85,239
79,178
6,061

78,211
86,715
-8,504

63,130
91,030
-27,900

53,228
90,393
-37,165

52,159
93,059
-40,900

59,270
75,360
-16,090

87,192
69,835
17,357

91,304
71,274
20,030

Long
Short
Net

22,097
68,130
-46,033

20,155
69,618
-49,463

19,135
68,788
-49,653

24,634
62,080
-37,446

31,311
65,570
-34,259

32,562
63,886
-31,324

34,419
53,848
-19,429

47,377
67,793
-20,416

8,756
9,081
-325

9,531
10,792
-1,261

6,339
11,772
-5,433

10,754
15,723
-4,969

12,307
14,083
-1,776

8,919
9,035
-116

9,932
7,468
2,464

14,977
9,186
5,791

22,629
33,065
-10,436

20,729
32,163
-11,434

22,262
39,020
-16,758

32,187
52,230
-20,043

37,260
61,089
-23,829

35,398
51,648
-16,250

27,186
37,824
-10,638

15,470
41,557
-26,087

16,566
93,345
-76,779

19,527
92,100
-72,573

17,344
81,326
-63,982

19,222
89,908
-70,686

20,955
84,210
-63,255

21,521
92,036
-70,515

21,403
83,047
-61,644

28,769
92,290
-63,521

62,230
30,105
32,125

61,049
36,161
24,888

55,501
35,702
19,799

40,809
29,443
11,366

31,282
23,247
8,035

27,516
24,669
2,847

31,068
26,087
4,981

43,007
22,058
20,949

4,595
6,134
-1,539

5,593
6,113
-520

4,517
6,363
-1,846

4,224
6,968
-2,744

5,390
6,398
-1,008

5,288
6,462
-1,174

5,377
6,088
-711

8,469
6,343
2,126

$2,287
-$23,083
-$20,796

$987
-$24,844
-$23,856

$785
-$29,202
-$28,417

$451
-$30,284
-$29,833

$319
-$29,006
-$28,687

$113
-$23,050
-$22,937

$3,434
-$16,593
-$13,159

$5,136
-$18,360
-$13,224

167,163 EURO

97,044 POUND STERLING

135,870 SWISS FRANC


Long
Short
Net
97,172 CANADIAN DOLLAR
Long
Short
Net
91,659 AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR
Long
Short
Net
39,664 MEXICAN PESO
Long
Short
Net
80,173 NEW ZEALAND
Long
Short
Net
Aggregate $ millon at Aug 9
Net long
Net short
Aggregated net positions
FX Rates of Friday
Aug 10, 12
Sep 14, 12
Sep 28, 12

USD/JPY

EUR/USD

GBP/USD

USD/CHF

USD/CAD

USD/AUD

78.2411
78.2167
77.9180

1.2298
1.3141
1.2856

1.5678
1.6244
1.6132

0.9764
0.9251
0.9400

0.9917
0.9710
0.9835

0.9463
0.9470
0.9627

USD/MXN
13.0976
12.7421
12.8645

USD/NZD
1.2308
1.2063
1.2060

Jan 4, 13

87.3210

1.3185

1.6253

0.9179

0.9858

0.9521

12.7449

1.1993

Feb 1, 13

91.7431

1.3611

1.5872

0.9088

0.9976

0.9605

12.6368

1.1816

Apr 12, 13

98.9800

1.3094

1.5373

0.9290

1.0134

0.9521

12.0871

1.1666

May 17, 13

102.9800

1.2818

1.5173

0.9731

1.0268

1.0270

12.3153

1.2373

Jun 21, 13

97.4800

1.3113

1.5373

0.9354

1.0467

1.0880

13.4147

1.2965

Jul 5, 13

100.9400

1.2831

1.4910

0.9624

1.0566

1.1025

13.0440

1.2968

Jul 12, 13

99.3900

1.3048

1.5108

0.9468

1.0393

1.1051

12.8295

1.2852

Jul 19, 13

100.3000

1.3142

1.5260

0.9401

1.0362

1.0870

12.5525

1.2585

Jul 26, 13

98.2400

1.3269

1.5368

0.9289

1.0292

1.0820

12.7120

1.2389

Aug 2, 13

99.0400

1.3268

1.5277

0.9293

1.0379

1.1235

12.6805

1.2783

Aug 9, 13

96.4400

1.3373

1.5527

0.9200

1.0291

1.0910

12.6060

1.2473

52-Friday Average

89.9222

1.3030

1.5655

0.9379

1.0082

0.9906

12.7468

1.2207

Std. Dev. 52-Fri. Avg

9.59%

1.97%

2.58%

1.67%

2.13%

5.18%

2.42%

2.61%

Last Friday Yr/Yr

-18.87%

8.74%

-0.96%

6.13%

-3.63%

-13.27%

3.90%

-1.33%

Chg 52-week lower


chg from 52-week high

6.78%
-19.21%

8.74%
-1.75%

4.14%
-4.47%

6.13%
-1.22%

2.67%
-5.65%

2.98%
-13.27%

6.42%
-4.12%

3.97%
-6.47%

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