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Exhibit 6
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Income Statement: Grow th Financed w ith
The Privately-Placed Debt-and-Warrants Issue
Common Assumptions
Revenue Growth Rate =
COGS/Revenues =
SG&A/Revenues =
Tax Rate =
Depreciation/Gross Fixed Assets =
Cash/Revenues =
Accts. Receivable/Revenues =
Base Lending Rate =
10.30%
78.00%
13.00%
34.00%
5.60%
1.00%
20.00%
8.50%
Inventory/Revenues =
Other Curr. Assets/Revenues=
Gross Fixed Assets/Revenues=
Accts. Payable/Revenues=
Other. Curr. Liabs./Revenues=
Interest Rate =
Change in Def'd Tax/Taxes =
Primary Shares =
Fully-Diluted Shares =
Actual
1996
1997
1998
$38.38
(29.94)
(4.99)
3.45
(0.73)
(0.98)
1.75
(0.59)
$42.34
(33.02)
(5.50)
3.81
(0.70)
(0.98)
2.13
(0.72)
$1.15
$4.96
13.00%
1.00%
48.00%
14.00%
7.00%
10.00%
25.00%
233,000
273,000
Projected
1999
2000
2001
2002
$46.70
(36.43)
(6.07)
4.20
(0.65)
(0.98)
2.57
(0.88)
$51.51
(40.18)
(6.70)
4.64
(0.59)
(0.98)
3.07
(1.04)
$56.81
(44.32)
(7.39)
5.11
(0.51)
(0.98)
3.63
(1.23)
$62.67
(48.88)
(8.15)
5.64
(0.41)
(0.98)
4.26
(1.45)
$1.41
$1.70
$2.03
$2.40
$2.81
$6.04
$7.29
$8.70
$10.28
$12.06
Income Statement
Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold
Selling, Gen'l, & Admin.
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
Interest (Notes and Old Loans) (1)
Interest (New Loan @ 13%)
Profit Before Taxes
Taxes
Profit After Taxes
Profit With Extraord. Item
Earnings per Share
Note 1:
$34.80
(27.65)
(3.96)
3.19
(1.10)
2.09
0.00
$2.09
$1.76
$7.57
The firm is assumed to borrow at base rate plus two percent, and lend
at base rate less two percent.
Page 1
Exhibit 7
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Balance Sheets: Growth Financed with
The Privately-Placed Debt-and-Warrants Issue
Actual
1996
Projected
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Balance Sheet
Cash
$0.20
$0.38
$0.42
$0.47
$0.52
$0.57
$0.63
Accounts Receivable
6.80
7.68
8.47
9.34
10.30
11.36
12.53
Inventory
4.70
4.99
5.50
6.07
6.70
7.39
8.15
0.40
0.38
0.42
0.47
0.52
0.57
0.63
12.10
13.43
14.82
16.34
18.03
19.88
21.93
16.70
18.42
20.32
22.42
24.72
27.27
Accumulated Depreciation
(2.50)
(3.53)
(4.67)
(5.93)
(7.31)
(8.84)
30.08
(10.52)
14.20
14.89
15.65
16.49
17.41
18.43
Other Assets
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
Total Assets
$26.40
$28.43
$30.57
$32.93
$35.54
$38.42
$41.59
($0.76)
($0.84)
($0.81)
($1.00)
($1.44)
($2.17)
4.60
5.37
5.93
6.54
7.21
7.95
8.77
2.30
2.69
2.96
3.27
3.61
3.98
4.39
11.70
7.30
8.05
9.00
9.82
10.49
10.99
9.80
7.43
7.23
6.73
6.23
5.73
5.23
7.50
7.50
7.50
7.50
7.50
7.50
Accounts Payable
$4.80
19.56
1.30
1.45
1.63
1.85
2.11
2.42
2.78
Total Liabilities
22.80
23.67
24.41
25.07
25.66
26.14
26.50
Common Stock
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
Paid-in Surplus
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
Retained Earnings
3.20
4.35
5.76
7.46
9.49
11.88
14.69
$26.40
$28.43
$30.57
$32.93
$35.54
$38.42
$41.59
EBIT/Interest
2.90
2.03
2.27
2.58
2.96
3.45
4.08
EBIT/(Interest + Amort.)
1.93
0.36
1.95
2.00
2.06
2.11
2.16
Liabilities/Equity
6.33
4.98
3.96
3.19
2.59
2.13
1.76
(Debt+Notes)/Equity
4.06
2.98
2.25
1.71
1.29
0.96
0.70
Profit/Revenues
Profit/Equity
5.1%
3.0%
3.3%
3.6%
3.9%
4.2%
4.5%
49.0%
24.3%
22.8%
21.6%
20.5%
19.5%
18.6%
Exhibit 8
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Free Cash Flows: Growth Financed with
The Privately-Placed Debt-and-Warrants Issue
Projected
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
3.45
(1.17)
2.28
1.03
(1.72)
(0.17)
1.41
3.81
(1.30)
2.51
1.14
(1.90)
(0.55)
1.20
4.20
(1.43)
2.77
1.26
(2.09)
(0.61)
1.33
4.64
(1.58)
3.06
1.38
(2.31)
(0.67)
1.46
5.11
(1.74)
3.37
1.53
(2.55)
(0.74)
1.61
5.64
(1.92)
3.72
1.68
(2.81)
(0.82)
1.78
Exh.9
Exhibit 9
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Income Statement:
Growth Financed with Equity
Shares Are Sold at $9.00 Each
Common Assumptions
Revenue Growth Rate =
COGS/Revenues =
SG&A/Revenues =
Tax Rate =
Depreciation/Gross Fixed Assets =
Cash/Revenues =
Accts. Receivable/Revenues =
Base Lending Rate =
10.30%
78.00%
13.00%
34.00%
5.60%
1.00%
20.00%
8.50%
Inventory/Revenues =
Other Curr. Assets/Revenues=
Gross Fixed Assets/Revenues=
Accts. Payable/Revenues=
Other. Curr. Liabs./Revenues=
Interest Rate =
Change in Def'd Tax/Taxes =
1996 Primary Shares =
1997+ Primary Shares =
Actual
1996
Income Statement
Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold
Selling, Gen'l, & Admin.
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
Interest (on Notes and Old Loans) (1)
Interest (New Loan @ 13%)
Profit Before Taxes
Taxes
Profit After Taxes
Profit With Extraord. Item
Earnings per Share
Note 1:
$34.80
(27.65)
(3.96)
3.19
(1.10)
2.09
0.00
$2.09
$1.76
$7.57
1997
1998
$38.38
(29.94)
(4.99)
3.45
(0.68)
0.00
2.77
(0.94)
$1.83
$42.34
(33.02)
(5.50)
3.81
(0.60)
0.00
3.21
(1.09)
$2.12
$1.72
$1.99
The firm is assumed to borrow at base rate plus two percent, and lend
at base rate less two percent.
Page 4
13.00%
1.00%
48.00%
14.00%
7.00%
10.00%
25.00%
233,000
1,066,333
Projected
1999
2000
2001
2002
$46.70
(36.43)
(6.07)
4.20
(0.50)
0.00
3.71
(1.26)
$2.45
$51.51
(40.18)
(6.70)
4.64
(0.37)
0.00
4.26
(1.45)
$2.81
$56.81
(44.32)
(7.39)
5.11
(0.23)
0.00
4.88
(1.66)
$3.22
$62.67
(48.88)
(8.15)
5.64
(0.07)
0.00
5.57
(1.89)
$3.68
$2.29
$2.64
$3.02
$3.45
Debt
1996
$7.57
EPS
ROA
Net Income/Total Assets7.91%
ROE
Debt Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
1997
$4.96
1998
$6.04
1999
$7.29
4.06%
IPO
1996
$7.57
EPS
EBIT/No of Shares
ROA
Net Income/Total Assets
ROE
Debt Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
1997
$1.72
1998
$1.99
1999
$2.29
2000
$8.70
2000
$2.64
2001
$10.28
2001
$3.02
2002
$12.06
2002
$3.45
Debt Value has high EPS and so can add more value to the firm
Profit per dollar of assets
Exhibit 10
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Free Cash Flows:
Growth Financed with Equity
Shares Are Sold at $9.00 Each
Actual
1996
1997
1998
Projected
1999
2000
2001
2002
Balance Sheet
Cash
Accounts Receivable
Inventory
Other Current Assets
Total Current Assets
$0.20
6.80
4.70
0.40
12.10
$0.38
7.68
4.99
0.38
13.43
$0.42
8.47
5.50
0.42
14.82
$0.47
9.34
6.07
0.47
16.34
$0.52
10.30
6.70
0.52
18.03
$0.57
11.36
7.39
0.57
19.88
$0.63
12.53
8.15
0.63
21.93
16.70
(2.50)
14.20
0.10
26.40
18.42
(3.53)
14.89
0.10
$28.43
20.32
(4.67)
15.65
0.10
$30.57
22.42
(5.93)
16.49
0.10
$32.93
24.72
(7.31)
17.41
0.10
$35.54
27.27
(8.84)
18.43
0.10
$38.42
30.08
(10.52)
19.56
0.10
$41.59
4.80
4.60
2.30
11.70
9.80
1.30
22.80
($1.53)
5.37
2.69
6.54
7.43
0.00
1.54
15.50
($2.40)
5.93
2.96
6.49
7.23
0.00
1.81
15.52
($3.21)
6.54
3.27
6.59
6.73
0.00
2.12
15.44
($4.29)
7.21
3.61
6.53
6.23
0.00
2.49
15.24
($5.66)
7.95
3.98
6.27
5.73
0.00
2.90
14.89
($7.37)
8.77
4.39
5.79
5.23
0.00
3.37
14.39
0.20
0.20
3.20
$26.40
1.20
6.70
5.03
$28.43
1.20
6.70
7.15
$30.57
1.20
6.70
9.59
$32.93
1.20
6.70
12.41
$35.54
1.20
6.70
15.63
$38.42
1.20
6.70
19.30
$41.59
Comparative Ratios
EBIT/Interest
EBIT/(Interest + Amort.)
2.90
1.93
5.08
0.37
6.32
2.27
8.45
2.32
12.37
2.38
21.95
2.43
81.14
2.48
Liabilities/Equity
(Debt+Notes)/Equity
6.33
4.06
1.20
0.46
1.03
0.32
0.88
0.20
0.75
0.10
0.63
0.00
0.53
-0.08
5.1%
49.0%
4.8%
14.2%
5.0%
14.1%
5.2%
14.0%
5.5%
13.8%
5.7%
13.7%
5.9%
13.5%
Common Stock
Paid-in Surplus
Retained Earnings
Total Liabilities and Equity
Profit/Revenues
Profit/Equity
Exhibit 11
Rosario Acero S.A.
Forecast of Free Cash Flows:
Growth Financed with Equity
Shares Are Sold at $9.00 Each
Projected
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
3.45
(1.17)
2.28
1.03
(1.72)
(0.17)
1.41
3.81
(1.30)
2.51
1.14
(1.90)
(0.55)
1.20
4.20
(1.43)
2.77
1.26
(2.09)
(0.61)
1.33
4.64
(1.58)
3.06
1.38
(2.31)
(0.67)
1.46
5.11
(1.74)
3.37
1.53
(2.55)
(0.74)
1.61
5.64
(1.92)
3.72
1.68
(2.81)
(0.82)
1.78
Exhibit 12
Rosario Acero
Selected 1995 Data on Publicly-Listed Peer Firms
Sales
Operating Margin
Net Income
Operating Margin/Sales
Net Income/Sales
AD
CSA
GA
VAZ
PI
$ 381.0 $ 362.8 $ 397.4 $ 755.2 $ 117.1
55.6
11.7
26
144.9
-1.1
16.9
7.5
10.3
46.4
-5.1
14.6%
3.2%
6.5%
19.2%
-0.9%
4.4%
2.1%
2.6%
6.1%
-4.4%
LT Debt/Capital (Book)
Total Debt/Capital (Book)
Total Debt/Equity (Book)
Market Equity/Book Equity
Total Debt/Equity (Market)
40%
57%
1.33
1.85
0.72
56%
66%
1.94
1.25
1.55
22%
40%
0.67
1.50
0.44
33%
37%
0.59
2.10
0.28
42%
65%
1.86
0.90
2.06
27%
3%
0%
0%
15%
3%
12%
1%
0%
0%
P/E Ratio
Beta
9.5
1.35
15.9
1.05
11.3
1.00
15.0
1.15
7.3
2.50