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September 2012
Corporate Profile
Venture Exchange Listed Basic Shares Outstanding Performance Warrants (Strike Price @ $0.56/share) Options (Average Strike Price @ $0.84/share) Fully Diluted Shares Market Capitalization (Fully Diluted) NVS 189.7 million 4.2 million 18.1 million 212.0 million $157 million
Enterprise Value
Average Daily Trading Volume Credit Facility Net Debt (Q2 2012) Tax Pools (Q2 2012)
(H1 2012)
$205 million
1.4 million $65 million $48 million $240 million
Key Figures
2012 FORECAST PRODUCTION (boe/d) Average Production Exit Production Target 2011 RESERVES (mmboe) 3,300 boe/d (84% Oil) 4,500 boe/d (85% Oil)
Total Proved
Total Proved plus Probable KEY RESOURCE LAND Dodsland Viking Oil Lands Provost Viking Oil Lands Wapiti Cardium and Dunvegan Lands TOTAL NET UNDRILLED OIL & LIQUIDS INVENTORY
124 net sections 79,360 acres 46 net sections 29,440 acres 9.5 net sections 6,080 acres
Over the last 3 years Novus has successfully implemented a plan to continually: Increase its focus on light oil production Materially increase its production on an absolute and per share basis Maximize efficiencies by decreasing operating costs Increase the value of each barrel it produces by focusing on high netback production Significantly increase corporate funds flow on a total and per share basis
Looking ahead, the future looks as good as our past. These positive trends will continue.
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Proved Plus Probable Reserves (@10% Before Tax) Net Undeveloped Land ($250/acre) Dilutive Proceeds Net Debt Total Net Asset Value Fully Diluted Shares NAV/Fully Diluted Share Recent Share Price
Impressive Growth
2009 Actual Average Production (boe/d) 324 2010 Actual 1,115 2011 Actual 1,971 2012 Forecast 3,300
9.2
26% 7.43 1.5
7.2
54% 23.52 4.8
11.6
76% 47.17 8.8
17.4
84% 53.04 -
P + P Reserves (mmboe)
P + P Reserves per M Shares
2.5
16
9.2
43
14.6
69
14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
9.2
7.2
1,115
1,971
2009
Gas
2010
Oil
2011
2012(F)
18 16
80 72 64 56 48 40 32 24 16 8 0
2009
2010
Proven Reserves
2011
Probable Reserves
MMBOE
30
20 10 0 -10
Funds Flow Funds flow/share
-0.1 -4 4 0.02
0.1
26
0.05 0 -0.05
2009
2010
2011
2012(F)
-0.1 -0.15
Note: The Companys IFRS transition date was January 1, 2010, therefore, the 2009 figures have not been restated and are pres ented in accordance with Canadian GAAP.
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Flaxcombe
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(1)
BOPD
Well Economics
NPV 10% Before Tax P/I Ratio Recycle Ratio Reserve Addition Costs Production Addition Costs $1.1mm 1.2x 3.0x $18.24/boe $17,885/boepd
Well Cost
Assumptions
$0.93mm 51,000 boe (2) 52 boe/d (3) 1.5 years Recoverable Reserves One Month IP Payout
Novus typical horizontal Viking well is estimated to have an NPV of $1.1 million, a recycle ratio of 3.0x, and a P/I ratio of 1.2x
(1) Internal Estimates. Prices based on Sproule Associated Limited August 31, 2012 Price Deck (WTI = $92.25 2012; $93.57 2013; $91.20 2014; $91.79 2015). (2) 88% oil. (3) 87% oil.
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(1)
Well Economics
NPV 10% Before Tax P/I Ratio Recycle Ratio Reserve Addition Costs Production Addition Costs $1.9mm 2.1x 4.6x $11.92/boe $12,400/boepd Well Cost
Assumptions
$0.93mm 78,000 boe (2) 75 boe/d (3) 1.1 years Recoverable Reserves One Month IP Payout
Novus typical horizontal Flaxcombe well is estimated to have an NPV of $1.9 million, a recycle ratio of 4.6x, and a P/I ratio of 2.1x
(1) Internal Estimates. Prices based on Sproule Associated Limited August 31, 2012 Price Deck (WTI = $92.25 2012; $93.57 2013; $91.20 2014; $91.79 2015). (2) 83% oil. (3) 87% oil.
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11.8
11.3
0.9
Dec 31, 2011 Reserves on Novus Lands (mmbbls) Oil Produced on Novus Lands (mmbbls)
11.8 mmbbls of additional recoverable oil which can be converted to reserves based on 12 wells per section booking
Contingent Resource Assessment prepared by Sproule Associates Limited effective December 31, 2011 in accordance with Section 5.9 of National Instrument 51-101 Please See full disclosure under Measurements slide in presentation
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Summary
VIKING LIGHT OIL DRIVES SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
Pure play light oil producer, with repeatable organic growth Material increase in production and reserves on a per share basis High netback low decline production
Analyst Coverage
Recommendation Canaccord Genuity CIBC World Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Desjardins Securities Dundee Capital Markets Fraser Mackenzie GMP Securities L.P. Haywood Securities Inc. Buy Sector Perform Buy Buy Buy Strong Buy Buy Sector Out Perform Target Price $1.30 $0.95 $1.40 $1.25 $1.35 $1.40 $1.15 $1.35 Date August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012 September 4, 2012 August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012
Out Perform
Buy Out Perform Hold Buy
$1.35
$1.50 $1.25 $0.90 $1.20
September 4, 2012
August 14, 2012 August 15, 2012 August 14, 2012 August 14, 2012
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Directors
Michael H. Halvorson
President, Halcorp Capital Ltd.
(2)(4)(5)
(1)(3)
Larry C. Mah
(1)(3)
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Corporate Advisors
Evaluation Engineers Bank Auditor Solicitor Transfer Agent Sproule Associates Limited National Bank of Canada Collins Barrow Calgary LLP Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP Olympia Trust Company
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Measurements
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASUREMENTS Included in this Presentation are references to certain financial measures commonly used in the oil and gas industry, such as operating netbacks and recycle ratios. These measures have no standardized meanings, are not defined by Canadian generally accepted accounting principle (GAAP), and accordingly are referred to as non-GAAP measures. These measures are used by management to assess operating results between periods and between peer companies as they provide an indication of the results generated by the Companys principal business activities before they are taxed and how efficiently its resources are replaced. Novus determines operating netbacks as production revenue less royalty, transportation and operating expenses. Novus determines recycle ratios as operating netbacks per boe divided by finding costs per boe. Novus reported amounts may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. These terms should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash provided by operating, investing and financing activities or net income as determined by Canadian GAAP as an indicator of the Companys performance or liquidity. Included in this Presentation are references to Original Oil in Place (OOIP) which is equivalent to Discovered Petroleum InitiallyIn-Place (DPIIP). DPIIP, also known as discovered resources, is defined as that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered petroleum initially-in-place includes production, reserves and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. A recovery project cannot be defined for this volume of discovered petroleum initially-in-place at this time. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. OTHER MEASUREMENTS The reporting and measurement currency of this Presentation is the Canadian dollar. Reported production represents Novus ownership share of sales before the deduction of royalties. Where amounts are expressed on a barrel of oil equivalent (boe) basis, natural gas has been converted at a ratio of six thousand cubic feet to one boe. This ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. References to natural gas liquids (liquids) include condensate, propane, butane and ethane and one barrel of liquids is considered equivalent to one boe.
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