Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
By
Amber Oldfield
St. John’s University- MBA
New York, NY
Amber.oldfield08@my.stjohns.edu
(570) 407-0224
I. Introduction
+ -
R2 = .363
+ + -
R2= .694
+ +
R2= .431
- - -
R2= .575
III. Methodology
increase it will be assumed that the obesity rate will increase as well. As in
the case of the obesity rate and per capita income; the percent of High
School graduates (over age 25), and population density will have a negative
effect on the obesity rate. The data for this research was obtained from
statemaster.com, U.S. Department of Commerce, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics, the Center for disease Control (CDC), and the U.S. Census Bureau.
A more detailed description of these sources can be found in the appendix of
this report. All of the data analysis was performed using SPSS. The
techniques that will be used in this research are Graphical presentations-
scatterplots and histograms, Descriptive Statistics, Correlation and
Regression Analysis.
Eqn. 1
- + - +
- +
Obesity Rate= f (Per Cap. Income, Unemployment %, % Grads HS, Diabetes Rate, Population
Density, % Uninsured)
IV. Results
14
12
10
Frequency
2
Mean =25.656
Std. Dev. =2.8188
0
N =50
18.0 20.0 22.0 24.0 26.0 28.0 30.0 32.0
ObesityRate
Table 1, below, confirms what was shown in the histogram that the
dependent variable, Obesity Rate, is skewed to left with a skewness equal to
-.194. Also, the kurtosis for the population density shows that the data is
leptokurtic, meaning that the data for population density if thin in the mid-
region but is greater in the tail regions – where there is high and low
population density.
6
32.0
30.0
28.0
ObesityRate
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
PerCapitaIncome
32.0
30.0
28.0
ObesityRate
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
UnemploymentRate
Scatterplot of Obesity Rate v. High School Grads (25 yrs. and older), r = -.513
32.0
30.0
ObesityRate
28.0
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
32.0
30.0
28.0
ObesityRate
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
DiabetesRate
32.0
30.0
ObesityRate
28.0
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
32.0
30.0
ObesityRate
28.0
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
Table 3, below, shows the regression analysis for the research. The
independent variables were entered stepwise with the probability to enter
set at .200 and the probability to remove set at .250. After entering stepwise,
the resulting independent variables that remained were the diabetes rate,
population density and the unemployment rate. Therefore the variables that
were removed were per capita income, % grads from HS (25 years and
older), and the percent uninsured. The resulting R Square is moderately
strong at .663.
r (.626) (-.369)
(.281)
T-Statistics
Ho= B = 0
The alternative was accepted for each of the independent variables as the
(p-value/2) is equal to approximately .00 for each. These independent
variables are significant at the 1% level of significance.
For each percentage increase in the diabetes rate the obesity rate would
increase by 1.413, on average with all things equal.
For each increase in population density (population per sq. mile) the obesity
rate would decrease by .004, on average with all things equal.
For each percentage increase in the unemployment rate the obesity rate
would increase by .719, on average with all things equal.
15
F- Statistic
Ho= B =B
Diabetes Rate Population Density =B Unemployment Rate =0
Histogram of Residuals
10
8
Frequency
Mean =6.3976602E-15
Std. Dev. =1.63519572
0
N =50
-2.50000 0.00000 2.50000
RES_1
32.0
30.0
28.0
ObesityRate
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
PRE_1
Figure 10, below, presents the scatterplot of the residuals v. per capita
income. Correlation exists as there appears to be linear relationship with no
visible curves.
17
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
PerCapitaIncome
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
Scatterplot of Residuals v. Percent of High School Grads (25 years and older)
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
DiabetesRate
20
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
2.50000
RES_1
0.00000
-2.50000
PercentageUninsured
V. Conclusions
The research presented was fairly successful, but may need some
changes before being presented to a panel of professionals. The explanatory
power of .663 proves to be moderately strong therefore validity may be
found from this research. The greatest effect on obesity from this research
proved to be the diabetes rate. This may warrant further investigation as
there may be a question of causality. Is it diabetes that increases obesity, or
does obesity increase diabetes? This is an issue that may be of some interest
to healthcare professionals and they may need to do further research to
draw any definitive conclusions. The multicollinearity presented in the
correlation matrix may have biased the coefficients presented in Eqn. 2.
Therefore the interpretation of this sample regression line may not be very
accurate. The research may be improved by investigating other independent
variables that were not used in this research and not used in prior research
as outlined in Section II- Prior Research. This research can be utilized as a
starting point for healthcare professionals in further investigating the link
between diabetes and obesity. Also, government and public policy advocates
may have an interest in the link between the unemployment rate and the
resulting increase in obesity.