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New York City Mayoral Election Democratic Primary

August 22-27, 2013 600 Likely Democratic Primary Election Voters (MOE: +/- 4.0%)

Likelihood to Vote
What are the chances of you voting in the September Democratic PRIMARY election - are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances about 50-50, are you probably not going to vote, or are you definitely not going to vote?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Almost certain Probably 50-50 Probably not Definitely not Don't know VOL

85 83 15 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

87 13 0 0 0 0

75 92 87 25 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0

92 8 0 0 0 0

79 21 0 0 0 0

90 10 0 0 0 0

84 16 0 0 0 0

83 17 0 0 0 0

89 11 0 0 0 0

91 9 0 0 0 0

92 8 0 0 0 0

Direction of New York City


Would you say that things in New York City are generally headed in the right direction, or are things off on the wrong track?

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Right direction Wrong track Don't know/refused VOL

45 49 40 36 15 15

42 43 15

46 44 53 44 38 35 10 19 12

38 46 16

37 46 17

49 33 18

29 50 22

47 42 10

47 39 14

44 42 14

49 37 14

Penn Schoen Berland

Most Important Issue


Now I am going to read you a list of concerns that some people in the city have mentioned. Please tell me which one you personally want the next MAYOR OF NEW YORK CITY to focus on in the next few years? Under AfricanVery READ CHOICES All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

The economy and jobs Public education Affordable housing for all income groups Crime and safety Cost of living Income inequality Taxes and city fees City government spending and debt City services like sewers and garbage collection Traffic and congestion Condition of city streets and roads Other VOL Don't know VOL

20 22 19 15 17 13 9 8 6 4 3 2 1 1 5 3 11 8 8 6 4 1 2 2 6 2

19 23 20 8 8 4 3 3 2 1 1 5 3

22 19 14 21 18 20 14 20 13 8 11 6 4 2 2 2 1 5 0 10 11 6 5 5 4 1 1 1 5 4 9 7 7 5 3 2 2 4 2

27 19 19 8 6 5 2 2 0 1 1 7 3

16 20 29 9 8 6 1 2 3 0 0 5 1

14 19 23 5 8 8 4 4 4 2 0 4 3

20 22 18 4 4 8 6 3 2 2 1 8 2

24 21 17 10 6 3 6 3 1 2 2 4 2

23 18 13 14 12 6 2 3 1 0 0 6 2

19 22 15 5 10 7 4 3 3 1 1 7 2

20 23 21 3 8 9 2 4 2 2 1 4 2

Penn Schoen Berland

Mayoral Ballot
If the September 2013 Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor were held tomorrow and the candidates were: ## RANDOMIZE THE NAMES ## Christine Quinn, Bill de Blasio, Bill Thompson, Anthony Weiner, John Liu, Sal Albanese, AND Erick Salgado, for whom would you vote or are you undecided? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, toward which candidate do you lean? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not strongly?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Christine Quinn Anthony Weiner John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado Undecided Other Refused

29 24 17 10 5 1 1 13 0 0

28 25 15 13 5 1 1 11 0 1

29 24 19 8 5 1 0 14 0 0

27 30 35 20 27 22 20 15 21 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 5 1 1 0 1 7 4 1 0 9 0 1

29 35 10 9 4 0 1 13 0 0

18 20 22 15 6 1 1 17 0 0

32 19 24 8 5 0 1 11 0 0

28 28 12 15 7 0 0 10 0 1

30 26 12 8 6 2 1 16 0 0

24 24 21 13 4 1 0 11 0 1

27 33 13 10 6 1 1 10 0 0

45 16 19 10 4 0 0 6 0 1

17 10

Penn Schoen Berland

Mayoral Ballot: Complete Breakdown

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Quinn strong Quinn not strong undecided lean Quinn de Blasio strong de Blasio not strong undecided lean de Blasio Thompson strong Thompson not strong undecided lean Thompson Weiner strong Weiner not strong undecided lean Weiner Liu strong Liu not strong undecided lean Liu Albanese strong Albanese not strong undecided lean Albanese Salgado strong Salgado not strong undecided lean Salgado Undecided Other Refused

11 3 3

9 3 3

12 3 4 19 4 5 15 4 5 4 1 2 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0

12 10 10 3 3 5 6 1 5

7 1 2 21 5 3 25 3 6 5 1 3 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 0 0

19 3 0 12 4 2 13 4 2 10 5 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 17 0 0

13 6 5 22 7 3 11 5 2 5 3 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 0 0

9 2 1 25 3 0 22 3 3 7 4 4 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 1

8 2 2 16 5 9 19 2 5 4 1 3 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 16 0 0

16 2 3 15 6 2 15 3 6 9 1 2 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 1

9 1 2 18 5 4 23 6 4 6 3 1 5 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0

14 4 0 33 8 3 12 2 3 5 1 4 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 1

19 18 6 4 7 2

17 20 21 4 6 7 3 8 6

16 18 4 4 6 2 2 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 8 2 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1

13 19 13 5 2 6 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 2 2 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 4 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 1

13 11 0 0 0 1

17 10 0 0 0 1

Penn Schoen Berland

Mayoral Ballot Based on the Issues

All

Economy and jobs Top Issue

Public Education Top Issue

Affordable Housing Top Issue

Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Christine Quinn Anthony Weiner John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado Undecided Other Refused

29 24 17 10 5 1 1 13 0 0

30 21 13 14 6 1 0 16 0 0

33 34 16 5 5 0 1 6 0 0

30 20 21 9 5 0 2 12 0 1

IF SUPPORT A CANDIDATE: Are you supporting this candidate mainly because: READ RESPONSES

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

You like the candidates ideas and proposals You think the candidate can get things done You like the candidates experience The candidate represents change There is no better alternative You like the candidates personality Don't know VOL

29

31

27

31 27 30

21

30

29

29

25

33

29

43

26

24

27

28 25 24

34

18

27

26

26

25

25

20

15 12 12 5 2

15 10 13 4 2

14 13 12 5 2

10 18 16 14 11 4

11 18 8 4 3

19 21 6 4 2

14 8 16 3 3

18 18 4 3 2

16 15 11 6 2

13 8 14 6 1

17 15 12 1 1

10 8 8 6 5

12 12 19 4 1 5 3 6 1

Penn Schoen Berland

IF SUPPORT A CANDIDATE: Are you supporting this candidate mainly because: READ RESPONSES

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

You like the candidates ideas and proposals You think the candidate can get things done You like the candidates experience The candidate represents change There is no better alternative You like the candidates personality Don't know VOL

29 26 15 12 12 5 2

39 17 6 15 15 5 2

24 23 21 14 12 4 2

18 36 19 9 13 2 2

35 32 19 4 8 4 1

Mayoral Ballot Based Reasons to Support a Candidate.

All

Like Ideas Candidate and can get Candidates Represents Proposals Things Done Experience Change

No Better Alternative

Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Christine Quinn Anthony Weiner John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado

29 24 17 10 5 1 1

45 23 13 14 4 0 0

22 25 28 14 9 1 1

12 41 26 15 4 3 0

42 32 15 4 6 0 1

41 27 22 5 4 1 0

IF SUPPORT A CANDIDATE: And is this candidate your original choice for the Democratic nominee for Mayor, or have you changed your mind over the course of the primary Under AfricanVery campaign? All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Original choice Don't know VOL

55 54 4 3

55 41 4

60 38 2

51 48 45 48 5 5

55 42 3

62 35 3

48 49 4

57 36 7

56 41 3

61 36 3

49 49 2

53 43 3

Changed my mind 42 43

Penn Schoen Berland

IF SUPPORT A CANDIDATE: And is this candidate your original choice for the Democratic nominee for Mayor, or have you changed your mind over the course of the primary campaign?

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Original choice Changed my mind Don't know VOL

55 42 4

36 62 2

56 41 4

72 23 6

70 27 3

IF CHANGED MIND: Which of the candidates did you support before changing your mind?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Anthony Weiner Christine Quinn Bill Thompson Bill de Blasio John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado None was UNDECIDED Other Don't know VOL

27 27 23 18 12 11 9 9 0 0 12 12 0 0

27 26 13 7 7 1 1 16 1 2

26 28 31 26 21 22 7 11 8 1 0 15 8 9 0 1 8 9 5 1 0

31 19 15 8 11 0 0 15 0 2

16 30 14 13 13 0 2 9 0 2

21 22 9 11 6 0 1 26 1 1

25 21 27 3 7 0 0 13 0 5

33 28 9 8 11 1 0 9 1 1

33 19 13 3 13 0 0 14 2 2

26 24 12 10 12 0 1 13 0 1

17 27 15 11 6 1 0 21 2 0

17 17 1 2 1 2

18 16 20 1 2 1 2 2 2

Current mayoral ballot among voters who have changed their mind over the course of the campaign.

All voters who have changed their mind

Used to support Quinn

Used to support Weiner

Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Christine Quinn Anthony Weiner John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado

48 27 11 7 5 1 1

59 23 7 5 0 0

57 24 12 3 0 2

Penn Schoen Berland

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Democratic NOMINATION for New York City Mayor?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Christine Quinn Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Anthony Weiner John Liu Erick Salgado Sal Albanese Other Don't know VOL

31 32 23 25 16 17 5 2 1 0 2 5 4 0 0 1

31 22 15 4 1 1 0 3 23

32 31 41 24 23 23 14 17 12 5 3 1 0 2 5 2 1 0 3 1 1 0 0 3

19 29 19 6 1 1 0 2 24

29 16 20 10 6 1 0 3 14

34 29 13 4 1 1 0 2 16

17 28 22 6 4 2 0 5 16

30 20 16 4 1 0 0 2 27

39 19 14 5 4 0 0 1 17

30 22 19 5 3 1 0 3 18

34 31 8 5 1 1 0 5 15

20 15

20 19 19

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Democratic NOMINATION for New York City Mayor?

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Christine Quinn Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Anthony Weiner John Liu Erick Salgado Sal Albanese Other Don't know VOL

31 23 16 5 2 1 0 2 20

29 49 4 1 1 0 0 4 13

20 11 41 2 2 0 0 2 22

70 7 4 3 0 0 0 2 14

17 22 16 26 2 0 1 0 14

Penn Schoen Berland

Regardless of who you may support for mayor, which Democratic candidate would you trust to do a better job leading the city through a natural disaster like Hurricane Sandy or a Under AfricanVery terrorist attack? All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Christine Quinn Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Anthony Weiner John Liu Sal Albanese Erick Salgado Other None VOL

21 15 18 22 16 18 9 11 4 0 0 8 6 5 0 0 5 5

26 15 14 8 4 0 0 10 7 15

21 22 24 17 19 19 12 19 12 11 5 0 0 7 5 8 4 0 0 9 7 8 3 0 0 11 8

15 18 21 9 5 0 0 9 8 15

24 15 19 14 4 0 1 4 2 17

25 23 8 8 2 0 1 9 10 14

16 18 25 9 3 0 0 8 4 16

18 16 16 10 7 1 0 6 6 21

26 12 19 11 3 0 0 11 4 12

20 17 24 12 5 0 0 10 6 7

24 32 12 9 1 0 0 8 3 11

Don't know/refused 16 18

21 13 15

Regardless of who you may support for mayor, which Democratic candidate would you trust to do a better job leading the city through a natural disaster like Hurricane Sandy or a terrorist attack?

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Christine Quinn Bill de Blasio Bill Thompson Anthony Weiner John Liu Erick Salgado Sal Albanese Other None VOL Don't know/refused VOL

21 18 16 9 4 0 0 8 6 16

11 51 5 6 3 0 0 10 6 9

10 7 53 4 0 0 0 7 6 12

74 1 0 2 0 0 0 5 4 14

6 2 3 63 0 0 0 2 8 15

Penn Schoen Berland

And if your preferred candidate were to lose the Democratic nomination, how likely would you be to consider voting for a Republican, Independent, or third-party candidate in the November general election for Mayor?

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Don't know VOL

14 17 22 23 13 15 47 43 4 2

12 21 11 50 6

16 13 20 28 17 26 14 12 15 38 53 36 3 5 4

8 19 7 60 6

15 13 16 54 3

17 21 10 49 4

6 16 19 54 5

17 24 13 43 4

13 23 13 49 3

13 17 19 48 3

9 16 12 57 6

Likely Not Likely

36 40 60 58

33 61

45 30 45 52 65 51

27 67

27 70

37 58

22 73

41 55

35 62

30 67

24 69

And if your preferred candidate were to lose the Democratic nomination, how likely would you be to consider voting for a Republican, Independent, or thirdparty candidate in the November general election for Mayor?

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Don't know VOL

14 22 13 47 4

15 20 13 48 4

17 21 17 44 1

11 22 8 56 3

10 17 14 53 6

Likely Not Likely

36 60

35 61

38 61

33 64

27 67

Penn Schoen Berland

10

Comptroller Ballot
Let me ask about the comptroller race. If the September 2013 Democratic Primary for New York City Comptroller were held tomorrow and the candidates were: ## RANDOMIZE THE NEXT 2 NAMES ## Eliot Spitzer AND Scott Stringer, for whom would you vote or are you undecided? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, toward which candidate do you lean? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not strongly?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Spitzer Stringer Undecided Other Refused

46 46 43 44 10 1 0 9 0 1

47 41 11 1 0

45 47 29 40 45 65 15 0 0 7 1 0 6 0 1

59 25 15 1 0

57 31 11 0 0

40 52 8 0 0

50 37 12 1 0

47 40 11 1 0

49 39 11 1 1

43 50 7 0 0

44 51 5 0 0

Penn Schoen Berland

11

Comptroller Ballot: Complete Breakdown

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Spitzer strong Spitzer not strong undecided lean Spitzer Stringer strong Stringer not strong undecided lean Stringer Undecided Other Refused

31 28 9 7 12 6

32 7 7 24 11 6 11 1 0

26 12 7 22 14 4 15 0 0

34 21 7 6 5 3

40 10 9 17 3 5 15 1 0

32 17 9 19 8 4 11 0 0

23 10 7 36 10 6 8 0 0

34 4 13 22 10 5 12 1 0

32 10 5 20 16 4 11 1 0

37 7 5 20 12 6 11 1 1

32 7 4 28 16 6 7 0 0

31 8 5 28 14 9 5 0 0

25 26 12 14 5 10 1 0 4 9 0 1

27 36 11 23 6 7 1 0 6 6 0 1

Penn Schoen Berland

12

Leader Favorability
Leader Favorability: Summary Showing % Favorable/ %Unfavorable

All

Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Bill Thompson

74/12 77/8 73/15 70/12 77/13 73/13 79/12 73/13 73/15 70/6 61/15 69/15

78/8 75/12 72/14 80/12 71/13 74/6 65/14 60/17 69/15 76/8

Bill de Blasio 66/15 65/18 66/12 56/16 72/13 67/22

Eliot Spitzer 46/44 50/42 43/44 43/43 48/44 41/55 55/35 42/43 48/49 47/38 41/41 50/45 46/49 50/48 Michael Bloomberg Scott Stringer John Liu Christine Quinn Anthony Weiner 46/52 50/48 43/54 45/54 46/50 53/45 33/61 40/58 52/45 32/63 40/58 51/47 38/59 56/42

46/17 55/11 39/22 36/19 53/16 64/12 30/18 31/30 59/14 43/24 39/14 37/22 51/21 52/20 45/31 46/38 45/26 45/26 45/34 40/38 48/24 51/26 49/31 48/21 44/28 43/38 54/32 45/26 43/44 40/47 45/43 41/41 45/47 43/53 44/40 42/43 40/51 44/35 40/44 51/42 40/52 48/43

27/64 32/60 23/66 27/62 27/65 21/75 29/61 34/53 19/74 33/56 29/59 30/62 30/64 17/78 7/12 13/18 10/14 10/12 14/9 9/8 9/11 12/8 14/15 16/16 13/20 7/11 7/10 8/17

Sal Albanese 12/13 17/14 10/13 9/13 15/14 15/12 Erick Salgado 9/10 11/9 8/10 9/10 10/10 5/6

12/10 15/15

Penn Schoen Berland

13

Individual Favorability
Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Michael Bloomberg

Very favorable

15 14

16 27 18 36 3 0

13 16 20 33 29 34 16 16 16 38 34 29 1 0 4 0 1 0

6 27 17 43 6 1

15 25 13 45 2 0

19 33 13 32 2 0

7 25 23 40 5 0

13 27 16 42 1 0

17 34 15 31 3 0

12 26 16 43 3 0

15 41 14 28 2 0

Somewhat favorable 31 36 Somewhat 16 14 unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL 36 35 3 0 2 0

Michael Bloomberg

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

15 31 16 36 3 0

9 34 18 39 1 0

11 27 14 42 5 1

33 32 17 17 0 0

10 31 10 49 0 0

Favorable Unfavorable

46 52

42 57

38 56

65 35

40 60

Penn Schoen Berland

14

John Liu

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

12 12

11 33 17 10 18 11

14 11

11 37 19 5 18 10

15 36 17 9 15 8

14 34 16 15 16 4

10 38 13 8 21 10

9 34 19 9 19 9

13 30 30 8 13 5

16 37 23 9 11 3

14 31 16 10 23 6

Somewhat favorable 33 33 21 26 10 12 17 14 7 2

36 32 29 17 23 24 9 12 15

18 15 19 10 5 3

Christine Quinn

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

16 13

18 27 19 24 8 4

14 17 14 27 27 29 19 22 24 22 25 29 13 5 5 3 3 1

14 30 17 23 10 6

22 20 20 23 9 6

20 20 24 26 7 3

15 29 19 16 16 5

12 29 18 27 10 6

18 33 22 20 5 3

16 24 22 30 6 2

15 34 18 25 4 5

Somewhat favorable 27 27 21 23 24 24 9 4 10 3

Penn Schoen Berland

15

Bill Thompson

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

27 30

25 48 10 5 7 5

24 29 26 47 48 47 9 3 12 6 9 4 9 1 10 3 12 2

35 44 9 4 7 1

24 49 7 6 10 5

24 49 10 5 9 3

30 48 6 3 12 1

28 46 11 2 9 4

27 44 8 6 12 3

34 46 7 5 7 1

22 49 10 3 14 2

Somewhat favorable 47 47 9 4 7 2

10 14 3 1

Bill de Blasio

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

29 28

30 36 8 5 16 6

28 31 33 28 42 34 10 10 17 7 3 5

32 38 4 1 20 5

21 40 5 10 20 4

33 36 9 6 14 2

26 48 6 0 15 5

29 36 11 3 17 4

27 33 11 6 16 7

28 41 11 4 13 2

48 28 5 3 12 3

Somewhat favorable 36 36 10 13 5 5

16 15 4 2

22 11 10 6 3 1

Penn Schoen Berland

16

Anthony Weiner

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

11

8 16 18 48 8 2

9 20 25 36 9 1

14 20 16 38 11 2

8 11 22 52 7 0

6 27 22 34 9 1

9 19 19 40 9 3

12 18 20 41 6 1

10 20 18 46 4 1

9 8 28 50 3 2

Somewhat favorable 18 21 20 23 43 36 8 2 8 1

19 17 15 21 20 20 41 45 54 8 2 7 1 3 1

Sal Albanese

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

2 8 9 4 42 35

2 8

1 6 9 3 40 40

3 11 14 4 34 35

3 7 11 4 45 30

2 8 6 6 37 40

2 11 8 1 40 37

2 12 11 4 43 27

1 15 14 2 39 29

2 11 15 4 41 27

Somewhat favorable 10 13 10 11 3 3

12 12

10 10 10 3 4 2

42 41 33 29

43 41 45 35 31 27

Penn Schoen Berland

17

Erick Salgado

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

1 7 6 5 40 41

1 7 6 4

1 9 5 5

1 4 4 2

2 10 5 5 36 42

0 15 9 6 41 29

0 9 5 3 43 39

2 7 5 6 41 38

2 10 4 4 36 44

1 6 6 5 48 34

1 6 4 5 41 42

0 8 11 6 39 37

8 10 6 4 6 3

41 43 40 37

39 43 45 43 37 44

Penn Schoen Berland

18

Eliot Spitzer

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

17 15

18 25 17 27 7 6

10 22 19 34 27 23 19 20 21 24 24 35 7 7 5 3 3 1

20 35 20 15 10 0

8 34 24 19 7 8

24 24 23 26 3 0

13 34 20 18 13 3

13 28 21 20 8 10

17 33 16 30 1 4

21 25 17 32 5 0

21 29 22 26 2 0

Somewhat favorable 29 35 20 23 24 19 6 4 5 2

Scott Stringer

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Don't know VOL Never heard of the person VOL

14 17

13 26 11 11 25 14

10 18 22 26 35 42 12 7 7 9 6 6

10 20 8 10 32 20

4 27 17 13 20 18

26 33 6 8 22 4

11 32 14 11 11 21

13 27 5 8 30 17

5 31 15 7 29 12

22 29 9 12 23 5

26 25 9 12 15 13

Somewhat favorable 31 38 9 8 7 4

24 23 13 11

30 20 21 15 11 3

Penn Schoen Berland

19

Mayor Bloomberg
Thinking in general, would you say you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Michael Bloomberg has been doing as Mayor?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know Approve Disapprove

20 24 35 31 18 19 24 24 2 1

17 38 18 25 3 54 43

14 24 26 39 33 32 20 17 21 27 22 21 0 4 0

11 38 16 31 3 49 48

16 38 15 26 5 54 41

26 34 16 22 2 60 38

16 29 20 28 7 45 48

15 36 22 27 1 51 49

23 37 16 22 2 60 38

17 33 18 31 1 50 49

24 37 17 21 1 61 38

55 56 43 43

53 57 58 47 40 42

Overall, do you want the next mayor of New York to generally continue the policies of Mayor Bloomberg OR do you think it is time Under AfricanVery for a change? All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Continue the Bloomberg policies Don't know/refused VOL

18 20

17 78 5

17 19 31 80 76 64 3 5 5

5 91 4

12 84 4

26 67 7

15 79 7

14 84 2

18 79 4

16 79 5

19 74 6

Time for a change 77 76 5 4

Penn Schoen Berland

20

Now let me read you some specific policies that were passed during Michael Bloombergs time as mayor. For each one, please tell me whether you think it is an excellent, good, just fair, or poor policy for the city. Showing % Excellent or good/ Just fair or poor

All

Under AfricanVery Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Banning smoking in public places Expanding the city affordable housing plan Ending the policy of overnight jail stay for those arrested with small amounts of marijuana Adding bike lanes throughout the city The mayor taking direct control over public education Trying to ban the sale of sweetened drinks larger than 16 ounces

76/22 74/24 77/20 74/25 77/20 80/19 68/27

74/26

81/16

64/32 79/20

75/23 78/19 80/20

68/28 72/26 66/30 70/28 67/28 72/25 67/29

60/38

68/28

57/40 71/25

72/27 75/22 66/32

57/38 53/43 60/35 57/40 57/36 65/28 45/50

48/48

53/41

59/37 55/40

60/35 59/38 64/33

45/51 48/49 43/52 48/51 44/51 51/47 37/59

40/53

49/46

43/51 40/57

50/47 42/54 62/36

30/67 36/62 26/70 34/65 27/68 35/61 20/77

28/68

33/60

29/69 24/72

31/69 34/65 38/55

29/69 34/66 26/71 32/67 27/70 29/70 24/72

32/68

41/59

26/73 25/72

25/70 28/70 39/61

Penn Schoen Berland

21

Implementing the stop-andfrisk program

23/70 27/66 21/73 18/77 27/66 28/66 22/71

15/81

20/79

22/64 25/68

29/65 26/72 20/78

Candidate Traits
On a scale from ZERO to TEN, how important it is to have a mayor who Showing % of respondents who ranked trait as TEN (Extremely Important)

All

Under AfricanVery Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Is honest and trustworthy Will manage the city budget effectively Cares about people like you Will prioritize education and good public schools Will fight for the middle class Will make New York City more affordable Is a problem solver Will focus on each of the five boroughs equally Will be tough on crime and improve public

72 68 68

62 60 54

79 74 77

68 72 64

74 66 70

68 59 59

78 79 82

75 72 70

69 70 64

79 70 78

77 74 72

66 61 62

63 69 65

62 64 56

65

52

74

70

61

50

79

78

66

74

65

58

65

68

65 65 63

54 51 53

73 74 70

60 62 58

69 67 67

57 54 60

79 80 73

62 64 51

60 62 69

66 71 50

71 72 73

65 56 52

65 64 54

61 58 57

61

56

64

63

59

49

75

62

46

73

67

63

66

51

58

46

66

52

62

44

78

61

43

61

70

56

54

38

Penn Schoen Berland

22

safety Will prioritize jobs and the economy Will make the rich pay higher taxes Has strong family values Shares your values Will improve city traffic and transportation issues Will end the citys STOPAND-FRISK program Has served in the City Government 56 45 63 57 55 49 72 48 49 55 69 49 50 43

48 45 42

38 38 40

56 49 44

45 49 47

51 42 39

36 27 30

69 66 58

46 56 45

53 36 35

54 52 45

43 52 52

50 45 41

52 40 39

54 39 41

38

39

38

44

34

29

48

41

30

41

44

37

35

34

36

31

40

33

39

23

56

34

35

44

37

35

44

47

25

20

29

17

31

11

34

40

18

28

30

27

18

17

Penn Schoen Berland

23

On a scale from ZERO to TEN, how important it is to have a mayor who Showing % of respondents who ranked trait as TEN (Extremely Important)

All

De Blasio Supporters

Thompson Supporters

Quinn Supporters

Weiner Supporters

Is honest and trustworthy Will manage the city budget effectively Cares about people like you Will prioritize education and good public schools Will fight for the middle class Will make New York City more affordable Is a problem solver Will focus on each of the five boroughs equally Will be tough on crime and improve public safety Will prioritize jobs and the economy Will make the rich pay higher taxes Has strong family values Shares your values Will improve city traffic and transportation issues Will end the citys STOP-ANDFRISK program Has served in the City Government

72 68 68 65 65 65 63 61 58 56 48 45 42 38 36 25

68 67 72 66 64 65 67 53 44 50 54 49 40 38 44 16

71 70 69 69 71 64 60 71 66 60 46 50 45 44 33 29

81 68 67 63 59 69 82 54 64 71 51 45 43 45 35 28

75 66 70 77 80 74 56 67 59 56 35 48 51 30 35 29

Penn Schoen Berland

24

Demographics

Gender

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Male Female

41 100 59 0

0 100

43 57

40 44 60 56

28 72

47 53

42 58

40 60

37 63

44 56

43 57

40 60

Borough

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island

28 15 31 23 3

29 14 28 25 4

28 15 33 22 2

23 32 38 12 16 6 38 26 30 23 23 22 5 2 3

13 18 44 24 1

33 24 18 22 3

100 0 0 0 0

0 100 0 0 0

0 0 100 0 0

0 0 0 100 0

27 14 26 31 3

45 11 23 20 1

Age group

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

15 18 11 10 15 15 28 30 31 27

14 11 14 27 34

38 26 36 0 0

0 0 0 48 52

16 8 15 31 30

13 9 12 24 42

13 15 17 33 22

7 4 22 31 36

11 9 14 35 31

23 14 12 18 33

15 14 10 36 24

9 8 14 38 32

13 9 19 36 24

Penn Schoen Berland

25

And do you consider yourself very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

All

Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Very liberal Somewhat liberal Moderate Somewhat conservative Very conservative Don't know VOL

21 29 24 15 8 4

20 30 25 15 7 4

21 28 24 15 8 4

21 21 28 28 29 32 21 26 24 17 13 10 8 5 8 3 3 3

13 27 27 15 11 6

19 21 24 23 12 1

34 28 24 8 5 1

16 28 26 17 9 3

15 26 25 18 8 8

18 33 23 15 9 2

18 33 28 14 6 2

100 0 0 0 0 0

In the November 2009 election for New York mayor, did you vote for:

All

Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Michael Bloomberg Bill Thompson Other VOL Did not vote VOL Don't know/ refused VOL

38 44 2 10 7

39 45 2 10 4

36 43 2 9 9

34 40 48 40 46 38 2 17 7 2 4 8 2 6 5

23 58 2 10 7

34 44 1 12 8

46 44 1 3 6

37 40 3 7 13

33 49 1 11 6

33 41 2 17 6

32 50 2 8 8

39 44 2 11 4

Penn Schoen Berland

26

Are you or anyone in your household a member of a labor union?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Yes No Don't know VOL

32 68 1

33 66 0

30 68 1

24 75 2

37 34 63 66 0 0

34 65 1

32 68 0

30 69 0

30 69 1

26 72 2

42 58 0

100 0 0

27 73 0

What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you have received?

All

Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

1-11 Grade High school diploma or the equivalent Some college College graduate Graduate school Technical school Don't know/refused VOL

5 17 18 30 27 2 1

6 18 15 35 23 2 1

4 16 20 26 29 1 2

10 22 24 23 19 2 1

6 23 23 21 21 4 3

4 9 14 38 33 1 2

11 14 22 26 24 0 3

6 24 18 27 21 3 1

3 16 22 27 29 2 1

3 12 16 29 38 2 1

4 8 12 41 34 0 0

17 17 10 19 18 15 33 27 34 24 28 39 2 2 2 1 1 0

Penn Schoen Berland

27

Typically, how do you get to work or school? Do you walk, ride a bike, take the subway, take a bus, take a taxi, or drive a car? MULTIPUNCH

All

Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Subway Bus Drive a car Walk Bike Taxi Don't know VOL

43 27 25 16 3 3 14

45 21 26 16 4 3 12

42 31 25 15 3 3 15

51 38 42 27 27 23 28 24 24 20 13 19 5 3 4 2 3 5 1

43 31 26 10 3 4 18

42 31 27 17 1 3 16

49 30 11 23 7 3 15

38 38 28 16 1 2 9

46 19 23 17 4 4 16

40 27 42 5 0 1 13

45 28 35 11 1 4 10

53 27 15 15 3 1 9

20 10

Do you currently own or rent your primary residence?

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Own Rent Don't know VOL

45 52 3

44 53 3

45 51 4

37 50 52 58 48 46 6 2 2

42 54 5

33 66 1

37 62 1

46 48 6

42 55 3

56 39 5

50 48 2

44 53 4

Penn Schoen Berland

28

Race: Are you of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanishspeaking background? [IF NO] What is your race white, black, Asian, or something else?

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

White Black/AfricanAmerican Asian Native American Pacific Islander Arab American Other Don't know/Refused

40 28

43 19 24 8 0 2 0 2 3

38 34 19 4 0 0 0 3 1

39 41 100 23 31 23 20 9 0 0 0 4 2 3 0 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0

55 13 25 4 0 0 0 2 1

17 35 35 4 0 3 0 2 4

39 39 12 5 0 0 0 3 2

38 29 20 8 0 1 1 3 2

43 30 22 1 0 0 1 2 1

54 18 19 5 0 0 1 2 1

Latino/Hispanic 21 6 0 1 0 3 2

Penn Schoen Berland

29

What is your religion?

Under AfricanVery Base Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Protestant Catholic Jewish Non-traditional (include Christian Science, Jehovah's Witness) Muslim Other No religion Don't Know/ No Response/ Refused

27 28 18

24 25 19

29 31 18

23 29

65 17 0

16 70 3

20 25 20

32 40 10

30 24 25

28 28 14

28 31 19

12 24 18

28 28 21 20 17 43

3 3 13 6

3 4 16 8

2 2 12 4

5 3

1 3

1 2

2 1 9 3

0 1 8 2

0 4 23 6

4 1 6 4

4 2 10 4

3 4 13 8

1 2 13 5

3 5 26 7

14 13 18 6 6 8

For statistical purposes only, which of the following categories best represents your current total HOUSEHOLD income before taxes?

Under AfricanVery All Male Female 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Less than $25,000 $25,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 and more DK/refused

16 21 24 11 10 18

13 17 26 11 12 21

19 23 23 10 8 16

17 16

22 24 27 7 3 16

23 30 24 8 6 9

12 19 23 9 13 24

30 17 26 8 4 15

18 25 23 8 9 16

11 21 26 16 10 16

5 14 37 15 10 19

12 20 20 12 17 19

21 20 13 21 26 22 12 10 15 15 7 19

15 21 22

Penn Schoen Berland

30

And this is my final question, for research purposes only. Are you, a family member of yours, or a close friend gay or lesbian? Please select all that apply.

All Male Female

Under AfricanVery 50 50+ White American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor Liberal

Yes, myself Yes, family member Yes, close friend No Don't know/ refused VOL

4 16 24 60 5

6 14 21 59 8

2 17 25 60 4

3 17 28 58 5

2 14 19 65 6

4 15 24 60 4

6 20 31 48 6

2 13 17 65 7

4 15 21 62 5

2 14 23 64 4

4 22 33 47 7

6 24 33 45 5

15 20 20 27 61 57 6 4

Penn Schoen Berland

31

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