5 December 2008
Suite 1306
183 Kent Street
Sydney, NSW 20 000
Contents
Contents .............................................................................................................................. 2
Overview and Investment Comment ........................................................................................ 3
RCR December Quarter Featured Company Summary ................................................................ 5
[Industry Background and Analysis…………………………………………………………………………………………………………]
Comparative Charts ............................................................................................................... 7
Financial Data ....................................................................................................................... 9
Company Statistics ................................................................................................................ 9
Reserves, Resources and Historic Mineralisation ...................................................................... 10
Valuation and Performance Data ........................................................................................... 10
Exploration, Development and Production Companies
[This is the Abridged version of the September Quarter RCR Uranium Sector Review. The purchase price of the
Comprehensive Report (86 pages) is A$2,200. Sections in brackets above are included in the Comprehensive
Report. There is also a Subscriber Report version which is available for A$110. Contents and purchase details
can be found at www.rcresearch.com.au]
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In the past 1 month the majors have had negative share price
performance with the exception of ERA: Cameco (CCO) is down 12%,
Denison Mines (DML) down 53%, Uranium One (UUU) down 17%,
Energy Resources of Australia (ERA) up 8% and Paladin (PDN) down
16%.
The long term contract uranium price is US$70/lb down from US$95/lb
where it held firm for nearly 12 months from May ’07 to March ’08. The
long term and spot uranium prices are expected to converge over time.
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Energy and Minerals Australia Limited EMA Resource Definition, Early Exploration
EMA has accelerated its development of the multi-faceted Mulga Rock Deposits and
regional projects, supported by a lift of the ban on uranium mining in WA (Nov '08). High
grade historic (non-JORC) resource of 102.5mlbs U3O8 grading 0.11% – JORC statement
expected Dec '08.
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AUSTRALIA (cont.)
Company Code Comment
Toro Energy Limited TOE Advanced Exploration/Resource Definition/PFS
TOE is aiming for 2012 production from two projects. Wiluna (WA) calcrete project (24mlb
resource) - PFS completed, optimisation study underway, BFS to start mid 2009. Napperby
(NT) target 13mlb resource, scoping study and JORC upgrade at end 1Q09.
CANADA
Company Code Comment
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd CVV Advanced Exploration
CVV has a strategic land position (2.5m ac in the Athabasca Basin) with a pipeline of high
value exploration targets and funding from key strategic investors. Cree East (Hanwha JV)
confirmed substantial hydrothermal alteration - further drill results awaited.
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Comparative Charts
Uranex NL
Energy Metals Ltd
10
100
1000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
US$m (log) %
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Financial Data
da
pe
ns
d
2
Fully Market Enterprise
Cana
Liste
r
optio
Euro
USA
Aust
othe
COMPANY Share Price (LC$/share)3 Diluted Cap Book Value
C. Notes/
Code Status1 Yr End Exchanges 52 week Current Shares Opt+W 2 Other2 Shares (undiluted) Cash Debt Value (Undiluted)
5 December 2008 Hi Low (m) (m) (m) (m) (LC$m)3 (LC$m)3 (LC$m)3 (LC$m)3 (LC$m)3
AUSTRALIA (A$)
Aura Energy Limited AEE E June ASX No 0.51 0.11 0.17 43 24 0 67 7 6.2 0.0 11 7
Berkeley Resources Limited BKY E June ASX No 1.50 0.15 0.18 104 16 0 119 19 16.7 0.0 27 19
Black Range Minerals Limited BLR E June ASX BLRO 0.15 0.01 0.01 604 108 0 712 8 10.1 0.0 18 8
Deep Yellow Limited DYL E June ASX No 0.45 0.10 0.11 1121 70 0 1191 123 51.0 0.0 149 123
Energy and Minerals Australia Limited EMA E June ASX EMAO 0.85 0.17 0.17 232 9 128 369 39 5.3 0.0 7 39
Energy Metals Limited EME E June ASX No 1.55 0.32 0.41 117 4 0 121 47 5.9 0.0 19 47
Energy Resources of Australia Ltd ERA P Dec ASX No 24.95 9.35 16.99 191 0 0 191 3241 34.8 98.3 664 3339
Extract Resources Limited EXT E June ASX TSX No 1.48 0.55 0.96 213 19 0 232 204 24.9 0.0 100 204
Globe Metals and Mining Limited GBE E June ASX No 0.58 0.10 0.12 68 6 0 73 8 5.5 0.0 13 8
Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited GGG E June ASX GGGO 1.35 0.17 0.28 193 169 0 362 53 15.2 0.0 34 53
3
Paladin Energy Ltd PDN P June ASX TSX NSX No 7.46 1.63 2.32 614 18 82 714 1424 271.8 581.2 1234 2006
PepinNini Minerals Limited PNN I June ASX No 1.35 0.20 0.22 68 1 0 68 15 11.8 14.8 18 30
Scimitar Resources Limited SIM E June ASX No 0.79 0.10 0.13 50 9 0 59 6 0.7 0.0 10 6
Toro Energy Limited TOE E June ASX No 0.53 0.10 0.11 556 11 0 566 61 13.1 0.0 145 61
Uranex NL UNX E June ASX No 0.99 0.11 0.14 83 0 6 89 12 7.4 0.0 11 12
W est Australian Metals Ltd. W ME E June ASX FSE:W TT No 0.39 0.05 0.08 332 16 0 348 26 0.9 0.0 2 26
W hite Canyon Uranium Limited W CU I June ASX W CUO 0.25 0.11 0.15 183 92 5 279 27 5.6 0.0 31 27
CANADA (C$)
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd CVV E Apr TSX.V OTC FSE No 0.44 0.05 0.06 138 35 0 172 8 8.5 0.0 47 8
Forsys Metals Corp FSY E Jan. TSX.V No 6.19 2.00 5.41 77 14 0 91 417 37.6 0.0 93 417
(1) P: Producer; E: Explorer; I: Imminent - includes companies with bankable feasibility studies and likely to be in production within 3 years; IHC: Investment Holding Company
(2) Fully Diluted (shares, options + warrants (opt. + w), convertible notes (Conv. N), other obligations)
(3) L.C. - Local Currency unit. PDN company financials USD.(4) AUD/USD: 0.64; CAN/USD: 0.78
Company Statistics
COMPANY
Code Land Drilling ('000 m) (A) Exploration (L.C.$m)7 (B) Corporate (L.C.$m)7 (A)/(A+B) %
5 December 2008 ('000 ha)6 Sep-08 Dec-08 2008 2009 Sep-08 Dec-08 2008 2009 Sep-08 Dec-08 2008 2009 Dec-08 2008 2009
AUSTRALIA (A$)
Aura Energy Limited AEE 1,200 7.0 1.0 4.9 22.8 1.0 0.1 2.0 2.6 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.8 33.3 67.5 76.1
Berkeley Resources Limited BKY 250 3.5 5.0 21.1 18.5 2.0 1.5 9.7 6.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.5 79.8 96.9 81.8
Black Range Minerals Limited BLR 6 12.5 12.5 37.0 25.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 4.0 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.1 67 84 78
Deep Yellow Limited DYL 6,427 40.0 30.0 100.0 130.0 5.0 3.0 9.6 14.0 0.6 0.7 2.1 2.6 82 82 85
Energy and Minerals Australia Limited EMA 325 5.0 11.0 10.0 20.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.1 63 55 65
Energy Metals Limited EME 400 12.5 15.0 30.6 47.5 2.1 0.5 4.0 6.6 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.8 74 77 90
Energy Resources of Australia Ltd ERA 8 14.6 10.0 57.7 45.0 4.2 4.2 16.4 10.0 5.0 5.1 20.1 20.3 45 45 33
Extract Resources Limited EXT 265 30.0 35.0 68.0 130.0 4.4 4.7 10.2 18.5 1.3 0.9 2.9 4.0 84 78 82
Globe Metals and Mining Limited GBE 275 4.0 2.0 16.7 12.0 1.3 0.8 3.8 4.6 0.6 0.4 1.5 1.6 70 71 74
Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited GGG 211 7.5 1.5 17.5 11.0 3.0 1.5 11.8 5.7 0.8 0.6 3.7 2.7 71 76 68
Paladin Energy Ltd3 PDN na 25.0 25.0 100.0 100.0 4.2 3.5 11.7 13.7 11.9 8.0 27.8 35.9 30 30 28
PepinNini Minerals Limited PNN 692 13.0 8.0 21.0 37.0 2.1 0.6 2.6 3.9 0.4 0.5 1.7 1.9 55 59 67
Scimitar Resources Limited SIM 2,144 3.5 8.5 34.9 29.0 1.1 0.6 4.1 3.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.0 71 81 77
Toro Energy Limited TOE 3,274 14.5 6.5 34.0 31.0 2.5 1.2 6.3 7.7 0.5 0.8 2.5 2.9 60 72 73
Uranex NL UNX 3,390 5.0 8.5 16.1 52.5 0.9 1.5 4.5 5.4 0.6 0.4 2.5 1.8 79 64 76
W est Australian Metals Ltd. W ME 100 11.7 0.0 27.4 19.7 1.4 0.4 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.4 1.9 2.1 50 61 53
W hite Canyon Uranium Limited W CU 3 3.5 3.5 5.0 14.0 0.4 0.8 1.9 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 80 72 79
CANADA (C$)
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd CVV 1,012 #REF! #REF! 13.5 10.0 1.5 3.8 14.4 12.8 0.6 0.6 2.9 2.4 86 83 84
Forsys Metals Corp FSY 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.5 6.2 7.5 1.0 1.0 3.5 3.5 60 64 68
Total: (US$)4 26 21 86 89
(6) To convert hectares to acres, multiply by 2.47; eg 100 thousand hectares ('000 ha) = 247 thousand acres ('000 ac)
(7) L.C. - Local Currency unit
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AUSTRALIA
Aura Energy Limited AEE E 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.2 0.2
Berkeley Resources Limited BKY E 0.0 0.0 26.1 11.8 0.0 0.0 26.1 11.8 1.9
Black Range Minerals Limited BLR E 0.0 0.0 86.4 39.2 58.8kt (Cu) 0.0 0.0 86.4 39.2 6.2
Deep Yellow Limited DYL E 0.0 0.0 38.8 17.6 39.2 17.8 78.0 35.4 5.6
Energy and Minerals Australia Limited EMA E 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 102.5 46.5 102.5 46.5 7.3
Energy Metals Limited EME E 0.0 0.0 15.5 7.0 19.8kt (Vn) 0.0 0.0 15.5 7.0 1.1
Energy Resources of Australia Ltd ERA P 239.1 108.4 279.3 ^ 126.7 ^ 0.0 0.0 518.4 ^ 235.2 ^ 37.0
Extract Resources Limited EXT E 0.0 0.0 25.1 11.4 0.0 0.0 25.1 11.4 1.8
Globe Metals and Mining Limited GBE E 0.0 0.0 8.9 4.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 4.0 0.6
Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited GGG E 0.0 0.0 135.8 61.6 0.0 0.0 135.8 61.6 9.7
Paladin Energy Ltd PDN P 90.7 41.1 310.9 141.0 35.1 15.9 346.0 157.0 24.7
PepinNini Minerals Limited PNN E 0.0 0.0 7.6 3.4 0.0 0.0 7.6 3.4 0.5
Scimitar Resources Limited SIM E 0.0 0.0 4.8 2.2 0.0 0.0 4.8 2.2 0.3
Toro Energy Limited TOE E 0.0 0.0 27.0 12.3 19.5 8.8 46.5 21.1 3.3
Uranex NL UNX E 0.0 0.0 29.3 13.3 0.0 0.0 29.3 13.3 2.1
West Australian Metals Ltd. WME E 0.0 0.0 27.4 12.4 0.0 0.0 27.4 12.4 2.0
White Canyon Uranium Limited WCU I 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.9 1.9 0.9 0.1
Average: Australia
CANADA
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd CVV E 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
Forsys Metals Corp FSY E 30.6 13.9 62.1 28.2 0.0 0.0 62.1 28.2 4.4
(1) P: Producer; E: Explorer; I: Imminent - includes companies with bankable feasibility studies and likely to be in production within 3 years; IHC: Investment Holding Company
(2) Reserves, resources and mineralised material published by the relevant company.
The applicable mineral resource codes are by country: Australian: JORC, Canadian: NI 43-101, South Africa: SAMREC
(3) For uranium only. Assumes a uranium price of US$55/lb and a gold price of US$770/oz * Mineral resource estimates are inclusive of the mineral reserve. ^ ERA reserves are in addition to resources.
AUSTRALIA
Aura Energy Limited AEE 0.6 1.2 na 0.3 0.3 na -29 -26 -38 -63 67 55
Berkeley Resources Limited BKY 0.7 1.1 na 0.0 0.0 na -8 -70 -75 -87 88 24
Black Range Minerals Limited BLR 0.5 0.8 na -0.01 -0.01 na -26 -66 -82 -90 91 27
Deep Yellow Limited DYL 0.8 2.4 na 1.19 0.59 na -31 -54 -63 -73 80 0
Energy and Minerals Australia Limited EMA 6.1 7.5 na na 0.21 na -17 -51 -73 na 80 0
Energy Metals Limited EME 2.5 8.0 na 1.72 1.72 na -1 -61 -69 -69 74 27
Energy Resources of Australia Ltd ERA 4.9 -51.0 8.85 7.57 7.57 1981 8 -8 -26 -13 32 82
Extract Resources Limited EXT 2.0 8.2 na 4.57 4.57 na -1 -4 -13 9 35 75
Globe Metals and Mining Limited GBE 0.6 1.4 na 0.16 0.16 na -26 -52 -68 -78 80 17
Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited GGG 1.5 3.5 na 0.18 0.18 na 10 -19 -62 -79 80 62
Paladin Energy Ltd PDN 1.2 -4.6 19.12 5.58 5.01 2008 -16 -54 -57 -66 69 42
PepinNini Minerals Limited PNN 1.2 -4.6 na 1.52 1.52 na -31 -58 -75 -83 84 10
Scimitar Resources Limited SIM 0.6 9.3 na 0.75 0.75 na 0 -50 -63 -82 84 25
Toro Energy Limited TOE 0.4 4.7 na 1.14 0.66 na -21 -43 -65 -79 79 12
Uranex NL UNX 1.1 1.6 na 0.09 0.09 na -10 -39 -67 -85 86 27
W est Australian Metals Ltd. W ME 13.6 29.0 na 0.59 0.59 na -7 -55 -73 -79 80 55
W hite Canyon Uranium Limited W CU 0.9 4.8 na na 7.06 2Q09 7 -3 -22 na 42 32
CANADA
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd CVV 0.2 1.0 na na -0.42 na -25 -67 -79 -85 86 33
Forsys Metals Corp FSY 4.5 11.1 9.66 4.77 4.77 1H10 20 18 16 47 13 171
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AEE.AU
Aura Energy Limited
Aura Energy Limited A$ 0.17
5 December 2008 AEE's Storsjön Project (Alum Shale, Sweden) has a near-term resource
Uranium target of >100mlbs U3O8 and a sale agreement with Sino King worth up to
Sweden, Australia, Mauritania, Niger
Advanced Exploration, Early Exploration A$460m. It is also advancing uranium projects in Australia, West Africa.
Exchanges: ASX:AEE CY09 exploration budget A$5-8m, majority funded by partners.
Alum Shale uranium province in northern Sweden. The deposits are also enriched in vanadium,
Sweden, Storsjön - Alum Shale - potential for very large molybdenum and nickel (typically 0.01-0.03% U3O8, 0.13-0.61% V2O5 and 0.025-0.06% MoO3). The
scale, near surface uranium-moly-vanadium deposit. adjacent Viken licence (TSX:CZQ) has an Inferred Resource of 437mlbs U3O8 (grading 0.016% U3O8),
900mlbs MoO, and 7.14blb VO, and Indicated of 6mlbs U3O8. AEE drilling at Häggån licence (Storsjön
Typical U3O8 grades 0.01-0.03%. Resource likely 1Q09. West Project, 4,000m diamond ended Aug ‘08) intercepted 116m av. thicknesses of mineralised shal e
(17 holes) – eg 180m @ 0.015% U3O8, 0.032% MoO3 and 0.25% V2O5 with 70m @ 0.02% U3O8. Drilling
Long-term target ~330mlbs-1200mlbs U3O8 - nearby in Aug-Sep ’08 at northern Marby Licence (7 holes) found av. thickness 96m, including 126m @
0.014% U3O8, 0.003% MoO3 and 0.367% V2O5. Mineralisation is near surface - potential open pit
Continental Precious Metals (TSX:CZQ) Viken, Sweden mining. Metallurgy is being tested by ANSTO (extraction of U, V, Mo and Ni) - historic work recovered
Alum Shale project has 443mlbs U3O8 grading 0.016%. 80-93% U3O8. Winter drilling could begin Dec ’08 (~5,000m). Near-term resource target at Storsjön East
>100mlbs U3O8, focused on thick, higher-grade zones. Long-term target (Nov ’08) is 1bt-3bt @ 0.015%-
AEE is exploring prospective uranium districts of WA 0.018% U3O8 ie ~330mlbs-1200mlbs. In Oct ’08, AEE signed a Heads of Agreement with China-based
Sino King Enterprise Investment to fund A$15m of exploration (due diligence Nov-Dec ’08). A JORC-
targeting calcrete near Lake Way and lignite/sandstone compliant resource of >1bt @ 0.016% U3O8 (~350mlbs) entitles Sino to an 80% interest for A$460m.
Mulga Rock style (Gunbarrel). Drilling 1H09. Mauritania (West Africa, AEE 50%/30%, GCM (AIM) can earn up to 70% by sole funding exploration) –
2
3 exploration licences covering 3,600km in the uranium-bearing Requibat Shield, as well as 11
2 applications. Uranium mineralisation (uranium vanadate) found by AEE in 7 shallow pits (1.2m deep).
Mauritania - over 20km of radiometric anomalies. Grades 2
Airborne radiometric has shown individual uranium anomalies up to 3.5km and the company indicates a
to 0.33% U3O8 at surface. Trenching Dec '08. 2
site visit suggests 10-30km of material grading 0.017-0.33% U3O8 at surface, depth untested.
Trenching expected from Dec ‘08. AEE does not expect a recent military coup to affect operations.
2
Gunbarrel Basin JV (WA) – 3750km . Prospective for lignite sediment-hosted uranium mineralisation
Significant uranium alliances with Sino King (Sweden),
with AEE targeting palaeochannels draining from the Yilgarn into the Eucla Basin. Region includes the
Global Coal Management (Mauritania/Niger, AIM:GCM). Mulga Rock (ASX:EMA) and Ponton deposits. Phase 1 drilling at Kirgella in 2Q08 included 0.26m @
0.014% e U3O8. Phase 2 drilling (~6,800m air core) approved by JV partner Mega (TSX:MGA) for 2009.
AEE - Aura Energy Limited Other uranium projects: Wondinong (AEE 100%, WA) calcrete-hosted uranium resource (2.6mlbs,
0.60
Apr ‘08). Drilling Porcupine Well (AEE 100%, WA) 2H08, between Lake Maitland and Lake Way –
calcrete samples to 0.01-0.02% U3O8. Niger (West Africa, AEE 50%, GCM (AIM) sole funding) - 3
licence applications (1500km 2) in the underexplored Tim Mersoi Basin, prospective for sandstone-
0.50 hosted uranium. Virka (Sweden, AEE 100%) – targeting vein hosted uranium. Fieldwork under way.
Investment Comment: AEE’s projects are in proven uranium districts prospective for large scale
Share Price ($/Share)
0.40 deposits. Exploration in CY09 will be supported by a A$5-8m budget, with the majority from JV partners.
While the Alum Shale (Sweden) resource base and extraction technology are yet to be demonstrated,
further drilling (Dec ’08) could lead to a significant initial resource 1Q09. Trenching in Mauritania is
0.30
expected Dec ’08, over large radiometric anomalies with confirmed U mineralisation, and could be a
near-term value driver for AEE. Drilling Gunbarrel Basin (WA) 2009.
0.20
Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material
0.10 Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian: (JORC)
Uranium Classification/ Project Ore U3O8 Cut Off U3O8 U3O8 U3O8 Eqty
0.00 U3O8 Geology Equity Mt % ppm Kt Mlb Mlb
Mar-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
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Alum Shale, Häggån, Sweden: location of AEE reconnaissance drilling to Oct ’08. Average thickness of
shale intersected 1H08 is 116m (17 holes), assays include 180m @ 0.015% U3O8. Neighbouring Viken
licence (TSX:CZQ) has an Inferred Resource of 437mlbs U3O8 and Indicated Resource of 6mlbs U3O8.
2
Gunbarrel Basin, WA: (3750km ) AEE has a JV with Mega Redport (TSX:MGA) in this highly prospective
region, host to the Mulga Rock and Ponton uranium projects (combined >100mlbs U3O8). Phase 1 drilling
(4,000m) detected anomalous uranium at palaeochannel targets – Phase 2 planned for 2009.
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BLR.AU
Black Range Minerals Limited
A$ 0.014
Black Range Minerals Limited
5 December 2008 New drilling at Taylor Ranch (CO) has located high-grade uranium
Uranium, Copper mineralisation in an 800m corridor between the Boyer and North Hansen
USA (WY,CO), Australia (NSW)
Advanced Exploration, Scoping deposits. Taylor Ranch zones aggregate 23.5mlbs U3O8 (grading 0.12%,
Exchanges: ASX:BLR 750ppm cutoff, Jul '08) - potential 2.2mlbspa underground production.
0.14
Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material
Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian: (JORC)
0.12 Uranium (U3O8) Classification Project Ore Grade Cut Off Eqty
Share Price ($/Share)
Feb-08
Dec-07
Sep-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Taylor Ranch district uranium projects (CO, 100% BLR): aggregate resource of 83.9mlbs U3O8 (100ppm cut-
off). The Boyer deposit has a high grade zone of 9mlbs grading 0.13% U3O8 (Nov. ’07). Recent exploration
has located mineralisation in the previously undrilled Boyer North Hansen corridor, more assays pending.
Red Desert: (WY) BLR has JV’s with Uranerz at Eagle and Cyclone Rim uranium projects. The Red Desert
Basin has a long history of uranium production. Combined project resource 5.1mlbs U3O8.
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EMA.AU
Energy and Minerals Australia Limited Energy and Minerals Australia Limited
A$ 0.17
5 December 2008 EMA has accelerated its development of the multi-faceted Mulga Rock
Uranium, Base Metals, Gold Deposits and regional projects, supported by a lift of the ban on uranium
Australia (WA)
Resource Definition, Early Exploration mining in WA (Nov '08). High grade historic (non-JORC) resource of
Exchanges: ASX:EMA 102.5mlbs U3O8 grading 0.11% – JORC statement expected Dec '08.
Nov-08
Sep-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
2
EMA holds 3,397km in the Yilgarn Craton and Eucla Basin region of WA. Its tenements are prospective for
uranium, base and precious metals, specialty metals and lignite. The polymetallic Mulga Rock Deposits
(MRD), part of the Narnoo project, has uranium mineralisation of 46.5kt U3O8 (non JORC compliant).
EMA’s projects - development stages and sequences. Initial focus on Mulga Rock (MRD), to be followed by
other projects (Narnoo, Gunbarrel, Minigwal). Approx timescale from May ’08 IPO – MRD uranium resource,
6 months (Dec ’08); MRD nickel-cobalt, 12 months; MRD/Narnoo lignite ± MRD gold, 12-18 months.
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EME.AU
Energy Metals Limited
Energy Metals Limited A$ 0.41
5 December 2008 Bigrlyi (NT) extension and infill drilling underway (20,000m) - results to date
Uranium include 5.3m @ 0.52% eU3O8 (from 77m) and 4.8m @ 0.47% eU3O8 (from
Australia (NT, WA)
Advanced Exploration 123m). Revised resource expected 1Q09. Accelerated drilling programs
Exchanges: ASX:EME 2H08 at regional Ngalia (NT) and also at 3 WA projects.
which is ongoing with EME indicating interest from majors, notwithstanding the current financial crisis.
1.00
0.80
Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material
Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian: (JORC)
0.60 Uranium (U3O8) Classification Project Ore U3O8 Cut Off U3O8 V2O5 Eqty U3O8
Equity Mt % ppm Kt Kt Mlb
0.40 Reserves 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0
Resources
0.20
Bigrlyi (A4, 15, 2, 3, 7)* Indicated and Infer. 54% 7.56 0.14 500 10.6 19.8 12.5
0.00 (Includes high grade zone at 1000ppm cut off 4.04 0.20 1,000 8.0 13.6 9.5 )
May-08
Mar-08
Sep-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Dec-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Lake Mason Inferred 100% 7.90 0.017 100 1.3 0.0 3.0
Total 11.9 19.8 15.5
* Bigrlyi contains 19.81kt V2O5 (500ppm cut-off) grading 0.26%; or 13.6kt V2O5 (1000ppm cut-off) grading 0.34%.
Source: Bloomberg
Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC) 0.0 0.0 0.0
EME - Total 11.9 19.8 15.5
Location map: EME’s most advanced project is Bigrlyi (NT) - PFS expected 2H09.
The company also has 5 calcrete uranium prospects (all have historic mineralisation) in
WA where increased exploration activity, including drilling is underway.
Ngalia Region (NT) deposits and prospects: EME holds a strategic position (mostly 100%) over 200km of
uranium/vanadium prospective stratigraphy along strike from the Bigrlyi uranium deposit. Drilling
expected 2H08 at the Bigrlyi deposit and Ngalia regional (Camel Flat and Cappers).
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GBE.AU
Globe Metals & Mining Limited
A$ 0.12
Globe Metals and Mining Limited
5 December 2008 GBE has found additional high-grade, near-surface material at the
Uranium, Specialty Metals uranium/ specialty-metal Kanyika Project (Malawi). JORC resource 56mt
Malawi, Argentina
Early to advanced exploration with 321mlbs Nb2O5 and 9mlbs U3O8, upgrade expected Feb'09 as part of
Exchanges: ASX:GBE PFS. Nb and Ta prices, demand remains high.
0.50 study. With high leverage to niobium, encouraging metallurgy and high-grade intercepts, GBE has
started a pre-feasibility study. With current infill drilling completed at Kanyika, GBE expects a period of
0.40 low expenditure (including the PFS) and should have sufficient capital to reach 2010. Kanyika has
considerable upside potential as milestones are met (scoping study derived NPV of >A$250m).
0.30
0.20
Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material
Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian: (JORC)
0.10 Uranium, Niobium Classification/ Project Ore Cut off U3O8 U3O8 Nb2O5 Nb2O5
U3O8, Ta2O5 Geology Equity Mt Nb2O5 % Mlb % Mlb
0.00 ppm
May-08
Nov-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Sep-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Proposed process flowchart for GBE’s Kanyika Project, Malawi, from the scoping study (Coffey, Jun ’08).
Note that uranium reports to waste during FeNb production but could be recovered by expanding the plant
to produce high purity metal oxides (Phase 2).
Niobium price sensitivities and NPVs for the Kanyika Project. Modelling does not include potential
revenues from a possible Phase 2 expansion to produce uranium.
* Includes a scoping study stage project discount of 50% of the project valuation: 50%
^Niobium prices are modelled as flat line for 20 years. Spot US$55/kg.
RESOURCE ESTIMATES
Year 1 Year 20
PRODUCTION RATE :mtpa 2.2 3.5 Head grade falls from >0.25% Nb2O5 to ~0.25% Nb2O5
:tpa Nb 4,000 4,000
:strip ratio 0.5 0.9
CAPITAL COSTS :US$ 177m (+97m) Two expansions, in yrs 3 & 6. Sustaining capex $5.2mpa.
RECOVERIES TO CONCENTRATE :%
Nb2O5 72.9
Ta2O5 65.9
U3O8 72.9
ZrSiO4 85
DOWNSTREAM RECOVERY 90
OPERATING COSTS :US$/t 17 to 24
TAX :% 30 Company tax in Malawi
ROYALTY :% 3 ASX:PDN at Kayelekera pays 1.5% for first 3 yrs, then 3%
MINE LIFE :Years 20
COMMISSION DATE : Post 2012
* These figures are preliminary in nature and are intended to provide only a general indication of project potential scale and economic robustness. Considerable
refinement may result from subsequent pre-feasibility study, expected in 3Q09.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 20
Resource Capital Research
GGG.AU
Greenland Minerals and Energy Ltd
A$ 0.28
5 December 2008 GGG has the rights for up to 100% of the Kvanefjeld uranium and rare
Rare Earth Elements, Uranium earths deposit in SW Greenland. JORC resource 223mlb U3O8 and 2.6mt
Greenland
Advanced exploration REO with upside potential. Scoping study commencing 1Q09. Govt
Exchanges: ASX:GGG indicates support for by-product uranium production (Nov '08).
1.20 Crown to Greenland as part of the self-governing transition with Nov ’08 referendum in Greenland. With
further resource upgrades supported by ongoing infill and regional drilling, confirmation of metallurgy and
1.00
political intent clarified, the company’s market cap could be re-rated to over A$500m (>US$3/lb U3O8
0.80 resource) mid term. Complex mineralogy and metallurgical recoveries require further study.
0.00
Reserves 0.0 0.0 0.0
May-08
Nov-08
Mar-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Sep-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Resources
Kvanefjeld Inferred 61% 334.0 0.03 150 101.0 222.6 135.8
Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Additional mineralisation includes REO (2.59mt contained metal @ 1.21% REO) and NaF (2.21mt contained @ 1.11% NaF).
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright © 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 21
Resource Capital Research
Schematic map of the Ilimaussaq intrusive complex showing the location of Kvanefjeld deposit and the
new multi-element targets. Current resource is 223mlbs U3O8, 2.6mt of rare earth oxides and
2.2mt of NaF – midterm upside >100%.
Kvanefjevld exploration, schematic sections – holes were drilled in 3Q08 and assay results are expected in
1Q09. Mineralised lujavrite is likely to be continuous between Kvanefjeld and K2 (top section), highlighting
the resource potential. Holes V001 and S001 (lower section) also intersected mineralised lujavrite.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 22
Resource Capital Research
PDN.AU
Paladin Energy Ltd
A$ 2.32
Paladin Energy Limited*
Kayelekera Proved and Prob. 85% 12.6 0.105 400 13.3 29.3 24.9
5.00
Sub total 50.6 0.06 43.2 95.1 90.7
4.00 Resources (includes proved and probable reserves)
Langer Heinrich M.Ind.Inf../calcrete 100% 127.1 0.06 250 74.4 164.0 164.0
3.00
Kayelekera M.Ind.Inf../sndst-rf 85% 26.1 0.08 300 19.9 43.8 37.2
2.00 Valhalla (Mt Isa Uranium) Ind & Inf../Ir ox vein 91% 33.3 0.08 230 25.9 57.0 51.8
Skal (Mt Isa Uranium) Inf./ Iron oxide vein 91% 7.6 0.05 250 3.8 8.5 7.7
1.00
Bigrlyi Ind. & Inf./sndst 42.1% 7.6 0.14 500 10.6 23.3 9.8
0.00 Other (4 projects)^ 19.9 43.8 40.4
Nov-08
Mar-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Sep-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 23
Resource Capital Research
PRODUCTION STATISTICS
Langer Heinrich 100%
Ore Treated (kt) 0 167 1255 1593 2180
Head Grade (%) 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.08
Recovery (%) 0 67 88 88 88
Recovered grade (%) 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.07 0.07
U3O8 Produced (t) 0.0 40.6 782.3 1191.1 1601.9
Equity Production (t) 0 41 782 1191 1602
Cash Costs (US$/lb) 0.00 49.22 35.54 23.92 16.31
Production Costs ($/t) 0.00 26.40 48.84 39.43 26.43
PDN Share EBIT (US$m) 0 3 10 72 132
DIRECTOR'S INTERESTS Shares
Kayelekera 85% (m shares) %
Ore Treated (kt) 0 0 0 200 1300 Mr. John Borshoff Managing Director 18.1 2.9%
Head Grade (%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.11
Recovery (%) 0 0 0 90 90
Recovered grade (%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10
U3O8 Produced (t) 0.0 0.0 0.0 196.2 1275.3
Equity Production (t) 0 0 0 167 1084
Cash Costs (US$/lb) 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.01 18.29
Production Costs ($/t) 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.46 39.55
PDN Share EBIT (US$m) 0 0 0 17 106
* 2006 stated in A$. PDN converted to US$ reporting Dec. '06.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 24
Resource Capital Research
TOE.AU
Toro Energy Limited Toro Energy Limited
A$ 0.11
5 December 2008 TOE is aiming for 2012 production from two projects. Wiluna (WA)
Uranium calcrete project (24mlb resource) - PFS completed, optimisation study
Australia (WA,NT,SA), Namibia
Advanced Exploration/Resource Definition/PFS underway, BFS to start mid 2009. Napperby (NT) target 13mlb resource,
Exchanges: ASX:TOE scoping study and JORC upgrade at end 1Q09.
Uranium Classification Project Ore U3O8 Cut Off U3O8 U3O8 Eqty
0.40
U3O8 Equity Mt % ppm Kt Mlb Mlb
0.30
Reserves 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.20 Resources
Wiluna uranium Indicated & Inferred 100% 25.8 0.042 200 10.8 23.9 23.9
0.10 Napperby Inferred 0/100% 4.60 0.031 200 1.42 3.1 3.1
12.26 27.0 27.0
0.00 Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC, inclusive of the Napperby Inferred Resource)
Nov-08
Mar-08
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Toro has a strong uranium project pipeline from extensive grassroots and brownfields exploration projects
in highly prospective uranium ground in Australia and Namibia, to its two advanced development projects
(Wiluna and Napperby) aiming to be in production in 2012.
TOE valuation is strongly geared to Wiluna uranium project economics. Current optimisation study for
improving Wiluna head grades (mid 2009) and Napperby scoping study (1Q09) will be key to driving the
share price to our A$0.30/share (medium term) target.
Capital Structure
Shares 555.8 555.8 555.8
Fully Diluted Shares 566.3 566.3 566.3
TOE NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE :A$/share 0.25 0.11 0.45
TOE NET ASSET VALUE DILUTED :A$/share fully diluted 0.26 0.11 0.45
*NOTE: Wiluna target NPV is based on high probability of 20% mined grade increases and even weighting of probability of achieving spot prices or long term contract prices for uranium sales.
WILUNA URANIUM PROJECT NPV @10% nominal - based on TOE Sep '08 prefeasibility parameters - Option D
Equity NPV Sensitivity
LONG TERM URANIUM PRICE^ :US$/lb 40 60 80 100
LONG TERM EXCHANGE RATE :AU/US 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78
** Includes a pre prefeasibility study project discount of 30% of the project valuation: 30%
The PFS Option D (conventional alkaline leach and direct precipitation) which we have modelled is still at scoping study level. See "Company Comment" for summary of key parameters
^Long term uranium price forecasts are from 1Q10.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 26
Resource Capital Research
UNX.AU
Uranex NL Uranex NL
A$ 0.14
5 December 2008 Aggregate resources of 29mlbs U3O8 at Bahi (15mlbs, Tanzania) and
Uranium
Tanzania, Australia (NT, WA)
Thatcher Soak (14mlbs, WA). PFS now expected at Manyoni (Bahi) Mar '09.
Advanced Exploration Manyoni resource upgrade expected 2Q09 - potential >25mlbs U3O8 – late
Exchanges: ASX:UNX 2010-11 production potential. Drilling prospective Mkuju region 4Q08.
1.00 2 near surface projects (Thatcher Soak and Manyoni) to production decision – valuation will be st rongly
influenced by ability to secure long term offtake agreements or attract strategic partners.
Share Price ($/Share)
Nov-08
Mar-08
Jan-08
Dec-07
Feb-08
Sep-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 27
Resource Capital Research
Mukuju (Tanzania): Highly prospective Karoo Basin sediments – target deposits >10kt U3O8. Radiometric
anomalies over large 16km x 2km trend - confirmed mineralisation including 1.4m @ 0.18% U3O8. Adjacent
to Mtonya (ASX:WMT) and also near Mantra’s (ASX:MRU) Mkuju deposit. Drilling 4Q08-1Q09 (13,000m).
Uranex work schedule 2008/09. Pre-feasibility study expected at Manyoni March ’09 and resource
upgrade 2Q09 - potential for fast track development. Thatcher Soak PFS expected 2Q09.
Exploration drilling at Bremer and Mkuju 4Q08-1Q09 with results expected 2Q09.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 28
Resource Capital Research
WCU.AU
White Canyon Uranium Limited White Canyon Uranium Limited
A$ 0.15
5 December 2008 WCU is a near term uranium producer, with a mine permit application
Uranium submitted for underground operations at Daneros (Utah) – high grade
USA
Development core >0.2ft.% U3O8. Mining and toll treatment contracts pending,
Exchanges: ASX:WCU potential mine production 1Q09. Combined project target 10mlbs U3O8.
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 29
Resource Capital Research
Project Locations: WCU has five sandstone hosted uranium projects in two major uranium districts in
Utah. Utah has active/permitted uranium mines and the operating White Mesa uranium mill (Denison).
Daneros Project: WCU’s intial focus is on Daneros, which has an “historical reserve” (non JORC) of
1.7mlbs U3O8. Assays from 2008 drilling to 3.43% U3O8, high-grade core extended and a new mineralised
channel found 200m to the north. Mine permit submitted Aug ’08, resource and production expected 1Q09.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 30
Resource Capital Research
Report Contributors
John Wilson: John has a background in mining, finance and equity research. He worked on Wall
Street for 6 years and has covered US, Australian and Latin American mining stocks. He has also
worked with BHP in their minerals division. Qualifications include an MBA from the Wharton School
of the University of Pennsylvania and a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydney.
Tony Parry: Tony has extensive experience in metallurgical process development, (working with MIM
Limited for five years) and in mining equity research, equity sales and mining corporate finance
(working in London for five years and subsequently Perth). He was a founding Director and CEO of
an ASX listed exploration company and has been engaged extensively as a strategic planning
consultant to many small-medium enterprises. Tony’s qualifications include a BSc (Hons) in
Metallurgy and a PhD in Metallurgy from the University of NSW.
Trent Allen: Trent has a BSc (Hons) and a PhD from the University of Sydney, specialising in the
petrology, trace-element geochemistry and economic geology of alkaline igneous rocks. His
Australian mining industry experience includes several years with Newcrest’s Cadia Valley
gold/copper mines, where he was engaged in resource definition and geotechnical engineering.
Trent has also worked as an exploration consultant, university lecturer in geology and civil
engineering, and as a newspaper editor with Fairfax in Sydney.
Kim Wright: Kim has worked in the Australian minerals industry for 40 years, half of which was with
Geopeko which found the Ranger ore bodies, and 4 years with Getty Oil (minerals division) which
was directly involved in Jabiluka. He was personally involved with the calculation of the ore reserves
of both deposits. He also worked at Rum Jungle for a short time when it was producing uranium
products and has visited several operations in the South Alligator Valley.
Maran Clark: Maran spent 10 years with Rio Tinto's US Borax Inc. in a variety of roles in sales,
marketing, and global business unit management. She then worked for Rio Tinto's Australia-
based Energy Marketing Services for 2 years, managing market analysis and strategic marketing
projects in the coal sector. She holds a B. Sci. in Agricultural Science and Management from the
University of California Davis, and an MBA from Marshall School of Business, University of Southern
California.
©
December Quarter, 2008 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright 2008 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 31
Resource Capital Research
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investment banking or other business from, entities mentioned in this report. Aura Energy Limited, Black Range Minerals Limited, Energy and Minerals
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Uranium Limited commissioned RCR to compile respective company reviews in this report. In consideration, RCR received from each company a cash
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Fund owns shares in BHP, Rio Tinto, shares in Energy Metals Limited, Berkeley Resources Limited, Uranex NL, Curnamona Energy Limited, Contact Uranium
Limited, Extract Resources Limited, Energy Resources of Australia Ltd., Equinox Minerals Limited, West Australian Metals Limited, White Canyon Uranium
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