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_
d
m
d
_
2
[(H
s
)sin()sin() +cos()cos()sin(H
s
)]
(1)
Using the preceding relationship, solar radiation can
be calculated for any point in the earths outer atmo-
sphere for each day of the year as a function of latitude
and solar declination. However, gases and clouds in-
troduce changes to both magnitude and spectral com-
position of solar radiation.
2.1. Angstrm model, 1924
Since the beginning of the century, efforts have
been made to estimate solar radiation as a function
of extra-terrestrial solar radiation and the state of the
atmosphere (Castillo and Santibez, 1981). The pa-
rameter most commonly used is hours of sunshine.
Usually, the ratio of global solar radiation to Angot ra-
diation is correlated to the ratio of effective sunshine
hours to total possible sunshine hours.
Effective sunshine hours (n) are measured with a
heliograph (Martnez-Lozano et al., 1984). Although
this instrument has a threshold, under which sunshine
is not recorded, this error is not signicant when esti-
mating daily solar radiation.
Angstrm (1924), suggested a simple linear re-
lationship to estimate global solar radiation (R
G
,
MJ m
2
day
1
) as a function of Angot radiation,
actual sunshine hours (n) and potential or theoretical
sunshine hours (N).
R
G
R
A
= a +b
n
N
(2)
Angstrm suggested values of 0.2 and 0.5 for
empirical coefcients a and b respectively. Other
authors, such as Bennett (1962), Davies (1965),
Table 1
Angstrm coefcients (a and b) recommended for Chilean locali-
ties. (Castillo and Santib aez, 1981)
Locality a b Latitude Longitude Altitude
(
S) (
W) (m)
Arica 0.28 0.57 18.29 70.19 035
Iquique 0.23 0.47 20.13 70.09 008
Antofagasta 0.23 0.47 23.28 70.20 122
Copiap o 0.26 0.51 27.21 70.20 283
Vallenar 0.22 0.46 28.35 70.46 469
La Serena 0.29 0.57 29.54 71.15 032
La Paloma 0.22 0.46 30.41 71.02 320
Quintero 0.22 0.45 32.47 71.32 002
Valparaiso 0.22 0.55 33.01 70.38 041
Santiago 0.22 0.44 33.27 70.42 520
Curic o 0.23 0.47 34.58 71.13 227
Constituci on 0.22 0.45 35.20 72.26 007
Chillan 0.23 0.47 36.36 72.02 124
Concepci on 0.26 0.51 36.47 73.07 009
Temuco 0.23 0.47 38.46 72.39 114
Osorno 0.23 0.47 40.35 73.09 027
Puerto Montt 0.26 0.51 41.28 72.56 110
Ancud 0.26 0.51 41.54 73.48 020
Puerto Ays en 0.26 0.51 45.24 72.42 010
Balmaceda 0.26 0.51 45.54 71.43 520
Punta Arenas 0.26 0.52 53.10 70.54 008
Monteith (1966), Penman (1948), and Turc (1961)
have calibrated this expression for different places.
Coefcients can vary signicantly as Doorenbos
and Pruitt (1975) show. In Chile, Castillo and San-
tibez (1981), have recommended the values given in
Table 1.
2.2. BristowCampbell model, 1984
Incoming solar radiation is determined by the state
of the atmosphere. However, the dynamics of the
atmosphere is very difcult to predict. Considering
transformations experienced by solar radiation, one
can expect to nd a relationship to express solar
radiation as a function of meteorological variables
commonly registered at climatological stations. When
solar radiations reaches the earth surface, part of it
is reected and part is absorbed. The same occurs
with long-wave radiation that each body emits as a
function of its temperature. As Chang (1968), reports,
there is usually a good relation between net radiation
and global solar radiation, since the latter one is the
principal source of energy.
F. Meza, E. Varas / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 100 (2000) 231241 233
Furthermore, if the heat ow towards the soil is
neglected, one can nd the ratio of sensible heat to
latent heat or Bowen ratio, on a daily basis (Campbell,
1977). Sensible heat is responsible for temperature
variations, so it is possible to obtain a relationship
between temperature differences and solar radiation,
being temperature a reection of radiation balance.
Using this argument, Bristow and Campbell (1984),
suggested the following relationship for daily R
G
, as
a function of daily R
A
and the difference between
maximum and minimum temperatures (T,
C):
R
G
R
A
= A
_
1 exp(BT
C
)
_
(3)
Athough coefcients A, B and C are empirical, they
have some physical meaning. Coefcient A represents
the maximum radiation that can be expected on a clear
day. Coefcients B and C control the rate at which A
is approached as the temperature difference increases.
Values most frequently reported for these coefcients
are 0.7 for A, the range 0.004 to 0.010 for B and 2.4
for C.
Since clear days present large temperature differ-
ences A tends to be the ratio between global solar radi-
ation and Angot radiation, hence the sum of Angstrm
coefcients a and b tends to be similar to A.
2.3. Allen model, 1997
Allen (1997), suggested the use of a self-calibrating
model to estimate mean monthly global solar radiation
following the work of Hargreaves and Samani (1982).
He suggested that the mean daily R
G
can be estimated
as a function of R
A
, mean monthly maximum(T
M
,
C)
and minimum temperatures (T
m
,
C).
R
G
R
A
= K
r
(T
M
T
m
)
0.5
(4)
Previously, Allen (1995), had expressed the empiri-
cal coefcient (K
r
) as a function of the ratio of atmo-
spheric pressure at the site (P, kPa) and at sea level
(P
0
, 101.3 kPa) as follows:
K
r
= K
ra
_
P
P
0
_
0.5
(5)
In his work, Allen suggested values of 0.17 for interior
regions and 0.20 for coastal regions for the empirical
coefcient K
ra
.
3. Climatic data
In order to compare the behavior of the different
models, monthly climatological data of 21 stations
representing different climatic regions of Chile were
collected. Data ranged from Arica (latitude 18.3
S) to
Punta Arenas (53.1
_
1
B
i
_
1/2.4
1
6.8
_
ln
_
1
R
Gij
0.7R
Aij
__
1.4/2.4
_
1
1 R
Gij
/0.7R
Aij
_
1
R
Aij
(10)
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is ob-
tained by integrating the probability density function.
The CDF was evaluated numerically, using very small
intervals and the trapezoidal integration method, to
dene condence intervals for global solar radia-
tion. Results for two locations Arica and Vallenar are
shown graphically in Fig. 2 (a,b).
4.6. Allens model
Similarly, for Allens model, 1997, the probability
density function is obtained using Eq. (4) and replac-
ing T
ij
for its expression in terms of annual T in
each location and the corresponding Fourier series co-
efcients (Eq. (6)). Residuals in this case were also
found to be well represented by a normal distribution
model, so the probability distribution of errors was
assumed known.
The probability density function for solar radiation
is shown in Eq. (8).The residuals are given in this case
by Eq. (11) and the rst derivative by Eq. (12):
E
ij
=
_
R
Gij
(R
Aij
)K
rai
(P/P
0
)
0.5
_
T
i
C
i
cos
_
2j
12
_
D
i
sin
_
2j
12
_
(11)
The Jacobian is:
|J| =
2R
Gij
(P
0
)
K
2
ra i
(R
Aij
)
2
P
(12)
The CDF is obtained integrating the probability den-
sity function. It was evaluated numerically to dene
condence intervals for global solar radiation. Re-
sults for Arica and Vallenar are shown graphically
in Fig. 2(c,d). The expected value for global solar
radiation given by the CDF using Allens model
are higher than the Angot radiation because the
limits of integration derived in this case were zero
and innite. On the other hand, the CDF using
Bristow-Campbell model have clear and dened limits
which are zero and A times the Angot radiation. For
this reason the CDF obtained with BristowCampbell
model is more accurate and has smaller condence
intervals.
5. Models applied to daily data
5.1. Allens model
Allens model, 1997 includes a correction term for
barometric pressure which in fact represents the alti-
tude of the station above sea level, since the pressure
as a function of elevation can be expressed in terms of
the pressure at sea level, the temperature gradient, the
temperature at station elevation and the Avogadro air
constant. This correction termis small compared to the
inuence of the temperature difference on radiation.
F. Meza, E. Varas / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 100 (2000) 231241 239
Fig. 2. (a) Expected values and condence limits (5 and 95%) of daily mean global radiation using Bristow-Campbell model and Angot
radiation for Arica; (b) Expected value and condence limits (5 and 95 %) of daily mean global radiation using Bristow-Campbell model
and Angot radiation for Vallenar; (c) Expected value and condence limits (5 and 95 %) of daily mean global radiation using Allen model
and Angot radiation for Arica; (d) Expected value and condence limits (5 and 95%) of daily mean global radiation using Allen model
and Angot radiation for Vallenar.
This model tends to over estimate global solar ra-
diation in a daily basis, and frequently estimates radi-
ation in excess of the extra-terrestrial radiation, since
the condition expressed by Eq. (13) is fullled. This
model does not have a limit for the estimated solar
radiation.
T >
P
0
(K
ra
)
2
P
(13)
This condition is frequently true when the model is
applied to points located in interior regions which
usually experience large daily temperature variations.
Even though Allens model has a larger coef-
cient of determination, the slope is clearly less than
unity, indicating that the model over-estimates solar
radiation.
5.2. BristowCampbell model
This model is dened solely in terms of temperature
differences and is thus simpler to apply. The value for
A coefcient is 0.7, which is a reasonable value for
clear days. This type of day usually is associated to
large temperature differences.
240 F. Meza, E. Varas / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 100 (2000) 231241
Fig. 2 (Continued).
Table 6
Regression between calculated and observed daily global solar
radiation at Santiago station
Model Slope Upper Lower R
2
limit. (95%) limit. (95%)
Allen 0.561 0.549 0.571 0.85
BristowCampbell 1.090 0.979 1.202 0.79
The behavior of the BristowCampbell model is
more consistent and reliable, since it has an upper limit
given by parameter A. The regression analysis shows
that the BristowCampbell model performs better
(Table 6). On the other hand, BristowCampbell
model gives consistently a better estimate when
applied to daily data.
6. Conclusions
Empirical models to estimate global solar radia-
tion are a convenient tool if the parameters can be
calibrated for different locations. These models have
the advantage of using meteorological data which are
commonly available.
For Chile, the models proposed by Allen and
BristowCampbell are adequate and allowestimates of
mean average global solar radiation as a function of air
temperature variation. Allens model has a larger coef-
cient of determination but requires both atmospheric
pressure and temperature variation measurements.
Models were calibrated for 20 locations in Chile which
represent a wide variation in climatic characteristics
and hence the procedure described is considered to be
F. Meza, E. Varas / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 100 (2000) 231241 241
of general application. Temperature variation can be
modelled by Fourier series and condence intervals for
global solar radiation estimates can be obtained using
derived distribution procedures. Both the models have
limitations when applied to daily data. Solar radiation
at locations with large temperature differences are
not correctly modelled using Allen procedure and the
BristowCampbell model had a better performance.
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