CHL001-1016 NS Polling CH Results Provided On October 4

The Chronicle Herald
Nova Scotia Election Polling

Interviewing: September 27 - October 3
TABLE 1:
Gender: BY OBSERVATION
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Male
48
48
47
48
100
46
53
53
49
48
46
52
54
45
Female
52
52
53
52
100
54
47
47
51
52
54
48
46
55
55
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
45
TABLE 2:
In which of the following age categories do you fall? Are you :
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
18 to 24
10
14
36
25 to 34
16
20
15
12
17
15
12
19
22
35 to 44
16
17
14
15
16
16
10
19
22
45 to 54
21
20
20
21
21
20
15
26
55 to 64
18
16
21
20
19
18
18
17
65 years or over
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
15
14
64
11
20
21
44
12
18
19
26
56
20
17
11
24
16
47
24
19
19
17
20
16
24
23
19
22
30
13
53
44
25
18
13
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
1
Corporate Research Associates Inc., 2013
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 3:
A provincial election will be held on October 8th. For which party do you intend to vote in the upcoming Nova Scotia provincial election?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Liberal
25
25
33
23
27
24
24
24
34
25
27
24
20
29
29
24
Progressive Conservative (PC)

/Conservative/Tory
10
13
New Democratic Party (NDP)
13
17
15
12
14
15
11
13
19
14
10
13
16
Green Party
Other
None/Do not plan to vote
10
16
Don't know/Undecided
36
34
28
40
34
38
35
36
30
31
41
33
39
39
24
37
Refused to state
13
10
10
13
12
10
10
14
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
2
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 3: DECIDED
A provincial election will be held on October 8th. For which party do you intend to vote in the upcoming Nova Scotia provincial election?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Liberal
53
50
61
53
55
51
50
51
60
46
63
50
55
65
52
48

/Conservative/Tory
17
14
11
23
18
16
15
20
15
14
17
20
26
23
18
27
34
28
19
25
29
31
25
24
34
18
30
19
23
23
32
Green Party
Other
372
165
62
145
182
190
128
56
145
106
121
144
36
78
44
205
371
160
63
148
186
185
128
55
144
79
125
167
38
80
43
201
3
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 5: LEANERS WITH DK/REFUSED
[POSE Q.5 ONLY IF CODE 7 OR CODE 8 IN Q.3] Even though you may not have made up your mind, which party are you leaning towards?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Liberal
21
18
26
21
23
19
19
26
26
30
19
17
23
25
21

/Conservative/Tory
10
11
13
17
14
21
12
13
15
17
11
17
12
16
12
10
13
16
Green Party
Other
35
30
35
40
36
35
34
29
31
38
35
33
41
36
28
35
Refused to state
18
19
19
18
19
18
15
21
16
10
17
24
11
16
36
17
357
146
48
164
157
200
115
55
100
68
146
144
46
85
29
189
360
143
51
166
159
201
118
58
99
52
148
160
48
87
30
188
4
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 5: LEANERS WITH DK REMOVED
[POSE Q.5 ONLY IF CODE 7 OR CODE 8 IN Q.3] Even though you may not have made up your mind, which party are you leaning towards?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Liberal
47
38
61
53
54
42
39
55
51
58
44
44
48
58
16
47

/Conservative/Tory
18
16
11
23
12
22
23
18
15
15
19
19
26
12
48
15
32
44
28
20
30
33
35
23
33
24
37
31
21
30
26
36
Green Party
10
Other
156
70
21
66
67
90
55
26
51
35
64
57
23
36
11
86
158
67
24
67
68
90
56
29
50
27
67
64
23
37
11
86
TABLE 3/5: DECIDED AND LEANING
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
Liberal
52
46
61
54
55
49
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

47
53
58
18- 34 35- 54
50
57
55+
49

53
63
45
48
PC
17
15
11
23
17
18
18
20
15
14
18
20
26
28
17
NDP
29
37
28
20
27
31
33
25
26
32
24
31
20
26
23
33
Green
523
234
83
206
247
276
181
81
196
141
184
198
57
114
54
289
523
226
87
210
253
270
182
82
194
105
190
228
60
116
54
284
5
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 3/5: DECIDED AND LEANING
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
Liberal
35
33
44
34
37
33
32
35
44
36
37
32
31
41
31
34
PC
12
11
14
11
12
12
13
12
10
12
13
16
19
12
NDP
19
27
20
12
18
21
22
16
20
23
16
20
12
17
16
23
Green
Other
10
10
10
16
16
13
14
20
15
17
15
13
12
13
18
16
19
17
11
16
Refused to state
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
12
14
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
6
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 6:
[POSE Q.6 ONLY IF CODES 1-4 IS SELECTED IN Q.3 OR Q.5] And which party would be your second choice to vote for in the upcoming provincial election?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Liberal
26
29
22
25
24
29
27
23
26
27
26
26
19
20
32
29

/Conservative/Tory
24
24
24
24
27
21
21
27
26
17
28
25
24
22
15
26
22
17
25
25
24
20
25
19
22
27
19
20
25
27
23
18
Green Party
Other
11
10
11
10
13
13
13
13
16
12
15
12
13
11
14
20
12
16
11
Refused to state
523
234
83
206
247
276
181
81
196
141
184
198
57
114
54
289
523
226
87
210
253
270
182
82
194
105
190
228
60
116
54
284
7
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 7:
Which one of the provincial party leaders do you personally prefer as the next premier of Nova Scotia? Would it be :
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Stephen McNeil of the Liberal Party
36
32
40
37
36
35
34
35
43
38
37
32
29
44
38
33
Darrell Dexter of the New

Democratic Party
20
23
24
17
21
20
24
20
19
21
16
24
15
19
19
22
Jamie Baillie of the Progressive

Conservative Party
14
15
11
13
14
14
13
16
15
12
14
14
11
16
16
John Percy of the Green Party
Other
None of the above
10
10
14
Dont know/No answer
19
19
14
20
16
21
16
15
15
16
21
18
22
12
17
21
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
8
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 9:
Will you definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not be voting in the upcoming provincial election on October 8th?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Definitely
67
69
71
65
65
70
63
71
73
56
64
78
55
55
76
74
Probably
13
13
10
15
15
12
14
11
11
19
15
14
23
11
Probably not
Definitely not
15
15
14
15
17
14
18
13
14
18
16
12
24
18
12
12
Refused
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
TABLE 15:
What is the highest level of education you have completed?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
Elementary school (Grades 1-8)
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

2
18- 34 35- 54
1
55+
4

17
Some high school
10
13
15
11
10
18
18
83
Graduated high school/vocational
23
19
25
26
25
20
33
20
13
24
18
26
100
Some community/technical college
42
Graduate community/technical
college
20
18
22
21
20
19
19
26
21
17
26
15
37
Some university
58
Graduated university
33
43
31
24
29
37
15
35
53
39
37
26
63
Other
Refused
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
9
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 15:
What is the highest level of education you have completed?
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Elementary school (Grades 1-8)
17
Some high school
10
13
15
11
10
18
18
83
Graduated high school/vocational
23
19
25
26
26
20
34
20
13
24
18
26
100
Some community/technical college
42
Graduate community/technical
college
20
18
22
21
21
19
19
26
21
17
27
15
37
Some university
58
Graduated university
33
43
32
24
29
37
15
35
53
39
38
26
63
Other
770
325
113
332
368
402
264
121
255
194
278
298
97
175
78
410
770
316
118
336
372
398
266
122
252
147
284
339
101
178
77
404
'Refused' responses removed
10
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 17:
In which of the following broad categories is your total household income before taxes in 2012? Was it :
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Up to $25,000
14
22
17
14
13
40
18
18
30
22
14
At least $25,000, but less than

$50,000
20
17
24
22
18
22
60
18
17
25
25
29
23
16

$75,000
16
16
13
17
17
14
100
15
19
12
12
13
15
18
At lease $75,000, but less than

$100,000
14
16
16
11
15
13
43
14
18
10
17
19
$100,000 or more
19
27
13
12
22
16
57
22
25
11
11
13
27
Refused
13
13
10
15
11
15
12
20
17
11
12
13
Don't know/No opinion
11
777
329
115
333
371
406
266
121
255
194
282
301
97
175
78
410
777
319
120
338
375
402
268
122
253
147
288
342
101
178
77
404
11
[CHL001-1016]

TABLE 17:
In which of the following broad categories is your total household income before taxes in 2012? Was it :
REGION
GENDER
HH INCOME
AGE
EDUCATION
OVERALL %
HRM
Cape Breton
Rest of mainland
L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+
18- 34 35- 54
55+
Up to $25,000
17
10
25
21
16
17
40
20
23
42
26
17

$50,000
25
20
28
28
21
28
60
20
20
33
35
35
28
18

$75,000
19
18
14
21
20
18
100
18
22
16
17
16
18
21
At lease $75,000, but less than

$100,000
17
19
18
14
17
17
43
16
21
13
21
22
$100,000 or more
23
32
15
16
25
20
57
25
29
14
13
16
31
642
278
100
264
322
320
266
121
255
169
244
229
70
145
64
352
643
268
107
268
326
317
268
122
253
129
252
262
73
148
63
347
'Refused' and 'Don't know' responses removed
12
[CHL001-1016]

CHL001-1016 NS Polling CH Results Provided On October 4

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CHL001-1016 NS Polling CH Results Provided On October 4

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The Chronicle Herald

Nova Scotia Election Polling

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

Progressive Conservative (PC)

New Democratic Party (NDP)

None/Do not plan to vote

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

Progressive Conservative (PC)

New Democratic Party (NDP)

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

Progressive Conservative (PC)

New Democratic Party (NDP)

None/Do not plan to vote

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

Progressive Conservative (PC)

New Democratic Party (NDP)

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

TABLE 3/5: DECIDED AND LEANING

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

None/Do not plan to vote

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.

Progressive Conservative (PC)

New Democratic Party (NDP)

None/Do not plan to vote

WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)

The Chronicle Herald

L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+

L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.