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14 October 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over
Valued ......................................................................6
Automobiles & Parts
Over Valued .........................................................................................6
Banks
Under Valued ...................................................................................6
Beverages
Under Valued ..................................................................................7
Chemicals
Under Valued ......................................7
Construction - Building Materials & Fittings
Construction - Heavy Construction

Over Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ..................................................7

Construction Home Construction


Under Valued ..................................................8
Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Under Valued ...............................................................8
Engineering & Machinery
Over
Valued .......................................................................8
Food & Drug Stores
Over Valued ........................................................8
Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Household Goods & Textiles
Over Valued ...............................................9
Information Technology & Hardware
Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Under Valued .................................................................... 10
Life Assurance
Under Valued ................................................................ 11
Media & Entertainment
Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Personal Care & Household Products
Under Valued ................................................ 12
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
Under
Valued
Real Estate - REIT
...................................................................... 12
Under
Valued
Real Estate REIS
..................................................................... 13
Under
Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Speciality & Other Finance
Under
Valued ..................................................................... 14
Support Services
Over Valued ....................................................... 15
Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under
Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

543.50

305.25

550.50

Neutral

Sell

488

0.86

BAE SYSTEMS

436.30

300.80

468.00

Neutral

Buy

591

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

220.00

217.00

353.30

Buy

Buy

314

0.65

COBHAM

280.30

190.10

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

281

0.76

MEGGITT

541.00

366.20

564.00

Neutral

Sell

493

1.24

QINETIQ GROUP

190.40

179.00

211.10

Neutral

Sell

117

0.63

1120.00

835.76

1240.00

Neutral

Buy

1473

0.95

256.70

185.90

288.40

Neutral

Neutral

261

1.63

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1379.00

1018.00

1419.00

Neutral

Sell

1162

0.70

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1846.00

1505.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1640

0.49

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

GKN

362.30

201.00

362.30

Neutral

Sell

-1778

1.98

INCHCAPE

618.00

356.50

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2912

1.35

LOOKERS

121.75

71.50

128.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

655

1.17

PENDRAGON

34.50

13.50

35.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

258

0.96

TOROTRAK

27.00

23.50

35.50

Neutral

Sell

12

0.68

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

278.00

210.15

308.39

Neutral

Sell

Target
-644

Beta
2.12

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

689.60

595.30

769.90

Neutral

Buy

833

1.35
1.90

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

76.02

39.70

78.00

Neutral

Sell

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

376.90

266.10

384.90

Neutral

Sell

-91

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1487.50

1395.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3325

1.79

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

520.50

432.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

415

0.52

BRITVIC

575.50

349.10

592.00

Neutral

Buy

804

0.67

DIAGEO

1973.00

1746.50

2136.50

Sell

Buy

2272

0.52

SABMILLER

3014.00

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4955

0.92

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

338.20

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3638

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

293.10

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

530

1.11

CARCLO

388.75

342.75

501.00

Neutral

Sell

124

0.73

2477.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3113

1.06

238.70

204.20

275.00

Neutral

Buy

288

1.01
1.41

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2821.00

2190.00

2985.00

Neutral

Buy

3905

VICTREX

1598.00

1380.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1286

1.17

SYNTHOMER

238.10

146.00

249.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

366

1.05

ZOTEFOAMS

191.50

186.50

225.00

Neutral

Buy

281

1.01

Under Valued

Construction - Building Materials & Fittings


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

126.50

79.50

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

446

1502.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

1042

0.97

75.50

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

552

1.11

MARSHALLS

180.00

85.00

184.00

Neutral

Neutral

176

1.37

NORCROS

19.88

11.75

21.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

221

1.02

186.70

102.00

193.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

975

1.61

44.00

22.00

45.50

Neutral

Sell

39

0.91

1678.00

1060.00

1713.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15245

1.93

211.00

143.13

240.00

Neutral

Neutral

221

1.01

3169.00

2636.64

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10266

1.32

ALUMASC GROUP
CRH
LOW & BONAR

SIG
TITON HOLDINGS
TRAVIS PERKINS
TYMAN
WOLSELEY

Target

0.54

Over Valued

Construction - Heavy Construction


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BALFOUR BEATTY

268.50

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1064

0.68

BOOT (HENRY)

183.00

123.50

201.00

Neutral

Sell

112

0.71

CARILLION

303.50

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Buy

365

0.98

CLARKE (T)

65.75

40.00

68.50

Neutral

Buy

84

0.68

COSTAIN GROUP

Target

Beta

262.50

226.25

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

410

0.50

GALLIFORD TRY

1098.00

678.00

1098.00

Neutral

Sell

718

0.76

KELLER

1010.00

560.50

1161.00

Neutral

Sell

528

1.25

KIER GROUP

1740.00

1106.00

1740.00

Neutral

Sell

1582

0.82

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

817.00

508.00

819.00

Neutral

Buy

981

0.60

NORTH MIDLAND CON.

117.50

95.00

147.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

261

#NA

33.50

20.00

34.00

Sell

Sell

-11

0.45

POCHIN'S

Under Valued

Construction Home Construction


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

331.80

177.00

355.20

Neutral

Buy

371

1.60

BELLWAY

1355.00

934.50

1502.00

Neutral

Buy

1924

0.93

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2232.00

1420.00

2340.00

Neutral

Neutral

2134

0.47

767.00

489.30

851.50

Neutral

Buy

969

1.05

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

Target

Beta

CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS

346.00

220.00

360.00

Neutral

Sell

276

#NA

GLEESON (MJ) GROUP

340.00

141.50

354.75

Neutral

Sell

193

0.49

1197.00

689.95

1305.00

Sell

Sell

1080

1.06

REDROW

248.00

152.90

255.10

Neutral

Neutral

258

0.84

TAYLOR WIMPEY

109.00

56.65

113.80

Neutral

Buy

125

1.45

PERSIMMON

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1185.00

999.50

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

1063

0.63

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

659.50

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

892

0.99

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

142.00

105.50

148.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

290

1.29

INVENSYS

503.00

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

294

1.33

LAIRD

221.80

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

451

1.99

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1384.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1163

1.22

RENISHAW

1729.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2090

1.31

SPECTRIS

2234.00

1549.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2852

1.48

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

187.50

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-433

0.70

TT ELECTRONICS

192.50

114.00

200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

440

1.64

XAAR

795.50

247.50

898.00

Neutral

Sell

423

1.00

DIALIGHT

Beta

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

130.50

54.38

130.50

Sell

Buy

147

1.06

BODYCOTE

653.00

345.10

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

646

1.51

CASTINGS

418.50

291.00

450.00

Neutral

Buy

574

0.93

VESUVIUS

460.10

263.19

487.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1197

2.20

FENNER

398.30

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Buy

571

1.44

HALMA

536.00

410.40

578.00

Neutral

Sell

417

0.84

HILL & SMITH

452.25

364.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

555

1.25

1488.00

902.00

1513.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4298

1.31

298.30

220.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

500

1.82

2782.00

2229.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2621

0.97

60.13

35.40

76.91

Neutral

Sell

51

0.76

SPIRAX-SARCO

2911.00

1932.53

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1813

0.69

VITEC GROUP

683.00

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

486

1.33

WEIR GROUP

2313.00

1688.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2257

1.31

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

436.70

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
805

0.40

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

275.60

248.60

302.50

Buy

Buy

380

0.35

SAINSBURY (J)

388.50

321.90

400.80

Neutral

Buy

457

0.58

TESCO

357.90

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

193

0.74

THORNTONS

103.25

28.63

103.25

Neutral

Sell

64

0.83

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1911.00

1326.00

2031.00

Neutral

Sell

1618

0.57

CRANSWICK

1066.00

733.00

1189.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1727

0.35

DAIRY CREST

477.50

342.90

528.50

Neutral

Sell

394

0.83

DEVRO

305.00

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

484

0.37

PREMIER FOODS

158.00

59.75

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

1.22

TATE & LYLE

753.50

692.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1287

0.62

2376.00

2262.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2059

0.57

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

25.25

24.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

44

0.65

502.00

267.00

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

515

0.56

1605.00

1125.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1238

1.28

663.50

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

252

0.85
1.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP

Target

Beta

46.28

20.36

47.67

Neutral

Neutral

45

236.25

108.00

253.75

Neutral

Sell

148

0.90

30.38

23.00

34.00

Sell

Sell

12

1.09
0.68

381.10

299.00

406.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

588

1098.00

670.00

1098.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2063

0.59

74.50

39.00

88.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

123

1.10

KINGFISHER

370.20

268.50

420.00

Neutral

Buy

548

0.98

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

477.70

359.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

741

0.50

69.75

53.50

74.88

Neutral

Buy

86

0.78

JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP

386.50

221.25

492.75

Neutral

Sell

135

0.28

NEXT

MOTHERCARE

5040.00

3542.00

5205.00

Neutral

Neutral

5275

0.63

TED BAKER

1696.00

920.00

2017.00

Neutral

Sell

1036

0.60

85.00

47.00

94.00

Neutral

Sell

80

1.55

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

151.50

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

121

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

899.00

660.50

899.00

Sell

Sell

689

0.37

OPTOS

154.75

106.75

215.25

Neutral

Buy

176

1.09

SMITH & NEPHEW

771.50

638.00

800.00

Neutral

Sell

669

0.33

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

780.00

601.00

823.50

Neutral

Neutral

756

HEADLAM GROUP

382.75

302.50

415.00

Neutral

Buy

446

0.75

78.75

55.25

87.50

Neutral

Sell

48

0.70

HORNBY

Target

0.29

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

984.00

577.50

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

435

CSR

500.50

330.90

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1493

1.06

66.25

30.75

83.25

Neutral

Buy

73

1.00

FILTRONIC

Target

Beta
0.63

IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

275.80

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

221

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

128.10

118.00

169.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

394

0.88

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

153.75

140.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-33

0.95

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14 October 2013
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Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1226.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-485

0.58

AMLIN

406.50

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1544

0.47

BEAZLEY

209.40

167.30

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

957

0.61

CATLIN GROUP

486.90

455.30

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

477

0.29

HISCOX

664.50

463.32

670.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1915

0.43

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

949.50

723.00

949.50

Neutral

Buy

1218

0.28

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

118.90

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

735

0.36

NOVAE GROUP

497.50

345.00

520.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3463

0.39

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock
CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

2058.00

2030.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
3303

Beta
0.96

150.20

63.75

153.80

Neutral

Sell

97

1.51

TUI TRAVEL

369.60

246.40

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

691

1.06

FULLER SMITH 'A'

870.50

726.00

969.00

Neutral

Sell

571

0.24

GREENE KING

800.00

587.00

897.50

Neutral

Sell

584

0.87

LADBROKES

190.70

167.40

243.10

Neutral

Buy

249

0.85

1815.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1612

1.10

MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

573.50

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

557

1.33

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

396.00

296.00

460.00

Neutral

Sell

255

0.89

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

122.00

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.28

ICTL.HTLS.GP.

PUNCH TAVERNS

14.75

6.15

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

66

0.98

RANK GROUP

162.00

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

549

1.01

RESTAURANT GROUP

548.50

364.00

575.00

Neutral

Sell

372

0.66

WETHERSPOON (JD)

714.50

491.80

767.00

Neutral

Sell

655

0.55

WHITBREAD

3210.00

2300.00

3303.00

Neutral

Sell

2076

1.05

WILLIAM HILL

412.20

302.37

494.50

Neutral

Sell

347

0.79

MARSTON'S

146.70

117.70

165.50

Neutral

Sell

10

1.08

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

426.60

294.10

428.20

Neutral

Sell

390

1.23

CHESNARA

291.00

176.50

291.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

549

0.62

LEGAL & GENERAL

195.90

132.40

203.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

514

1.82

OLD MUTUAL

190.40

166.10

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

404

1.54

PRUDENTIAL

1178.00

834.50

1232.00

Neutral

Neutral

1215

1.82

620.00

374.90

641.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6853

0.88

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

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www.intellisys.uk.com
17

Target

Beta

14 October 2013
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Page 10 of

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

169.00

102.00

169.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

873.00

709.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.42

51.00

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.00
1.04

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'

Target

Beta
0.39

754.50

451.25

835.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1060.00

747.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.87

INFORMA

518.00

380.50

545.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.51

ITE GROUP

282.10

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Buy

201

1.38

ITV

183.90

85.65

184.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.54

13.25

9.88

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1.11
0.60

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON

1292.00

1119.00

1350.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

PHOTO-ME INTL.

116.50

47.25

116.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.81

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

297.50

269.00

299.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.06

THOMSON REUTERS

35.94

26.85

36.59

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.39

STV GROUP

266.50

92.50

266.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.86

ST.IVES

171.25

98.50

180.50

Neutral

Sell

159

1.34

TRINITY MIRROR

122.25

51.25

128.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.53
1.33

UBM

716.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

WILMINGTON GROUP

218.50

127.75

218.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.83

1238.00

788.00

1296.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.25

WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
GLENCORE XSTRATA
LONMIN

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1512.00

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
1241

Beta
1.74

193.00

161.00

289.00

Neutral

Neutral

201

1.03
1.27

859.00

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

814

1815.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2820

1.41

335.90

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

988

#NA

315.30

240.84

380.10

Sell

Buy

432

1.86

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4304.00

3972.00

7745.00

Neutral

Sell

2768

0.51

RIO TINTO

3079.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2445

1.44

VEDANTA RESOURCES

1020.00

992.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2695

2.17

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1190.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

887

BP

439.65

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

982

1.04

CAIRN ENERGY

265.50

251.80

296.10

Neutral

Sell

-40

1.25
0.76

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS

Target

Beta
0.81

8.01

5.44

9.51

Neutral

Strong Buy

89

790.00

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

573

1.25

72.25

48.50

80.38

Neutral

Sell

-59

1.21
1.45

331.90

321.30

400.20

Neutral

Buy

402

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2115.00

2077.50

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8247

0.78

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

406.70

290.14

417.00

Neutral

Neutral

436

0.53

TULLOW OIL

997.00

975.50

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

685

1.08

WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

783.50

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

717

1.40

PREMIER OIL

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17

14 October 2013
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Page 11 of

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock
MCBRIDE
PZ CUSSONS
RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

123.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Buy

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA
BTG
DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS
GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA
PHYTOPHARM

Beta

164

0.85

407.40

314.60

432.50

Neutral

Sell

364

0.75

4349.00

3610.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4472

0.33

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.32

0.32

3.58

Buy

Sell

Target
-4

Beta

3176.50

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

7922

0.47

377.10

317.50

397.90

Neutral

Sell

175

0.38
0.18

0.89

691.50

569.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

666

1554.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1678

0.49

2.31

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-3

0.38
0.79

58.00

51.50

568.75

Buy

Sell

-255

2445.00

1727.00

2593.00

Neutral

Sell

1256

0.69

SKYEPHARMA

90.25

43.50

101.75

Neutral

Sell

28

0.51

VERNALIS

29.25

19.38

31.00

Neutral

Sell

0.76

SHIRE

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

461.00

322.90

462.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

768

1.24

BRITISH LAND

591.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

880

1.14

2462.00

1985.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5400

1.32

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

567.50

446.50

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1250

1.07

HAMMERSON

507.00

458.70

554.00

Neutral

Buy

594

1.41
1.22

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

329.70

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

612

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

945.00

762.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1895

1.22

29.38

24.25

38.50

Neutral

Sell

-182

0.78

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

121.20

103.20

121.90

Neutral

Sell

-9

0.33

MCKAY SECURITIES

179.50

131.50

179.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

304

0.50

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

474.00

341.50

500.00

Neutral

Sell

252

0.57

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

317.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

119

0.22

47.50

30.75

47.50

Neutral

Sell

-420

0.43
1.96

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

REDEFINE INTL.REIT
SEGRO

318.00

221.60

318.00

Neutral

Sell

-340

SHAFTESBURY

600.50

522.50

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

912

1.13

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

226.50

178.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

0.95

WORKSPACE GROUP

466.50

281.90

481.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1516

1.10

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17

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Page 12 of

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock
CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.
CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

347.30

223.50

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
682

Beta
0.72

41.50

22.75

42.00

Neutral

Sell

-53

0.55
0.80

CLS HOLDINGS

1200.00

656.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2936

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

3944.00

2706.00

4200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

14765

0.56

202.00

143.00

209.00

Neutral

Neutral

195

1.14

DEVELOPMENT SECS.
GRAINGER

178.50

105.10

187.50

Neutral

Sell

112

1.64

HELICAL BAR

295.00

178.00

302.50

Neutral

Sell

205

0.83

35.25

21.50

35.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

0.60

6462.50

4350.00

6512.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14563

0.69

88.00

51.75

92.00

Sell

Sell

-211

1.10
1.56

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.
RAVEN RUSSIA
SAVILLS
SMART (J)

79.00

61.50

79.75

Sell

Strong Buy

210

620.50

392.80

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1875

0.68

85.00

72.50

90.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

373

0.42

ST MODWEN PROPS.

330.70

194.00

333.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

631

1.68

UNITE GROUP

385.60

260.70

403.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1643

1.93

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

113.25

109.50

162.00

Neutral

Buy

142

0.66

2537.00

1975.75

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1499

1.49

COMPUTACENTER

536.50

333.29

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1477

0.85

KOFAX

370.50

260.75

388.00

Neutral

Sell

346

1.11
0.78

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

31.00

20.75

31.00

Sell

Sell

27

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

770.50

543.00

812.50

Neutral

Buy

1043

0.84

PHOENIX IT GROUP

160.00

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-228

0.59
0.58

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

113.50

64.00

114.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

269

1959.00

1275.00

2190.00

Neutral

Buy

2169

0.62

322.90

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

439

0.70

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

393.40

318.20

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1287

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

268.50

169.80

283.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

648

0.85

8550.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

81297

0.85

454.75

264.38

474.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1414

0.89
0.64

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

Target

Beta

210.00

155.00

228.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1628

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1275.00

830.00

1275.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4799

0.78

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.60

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

77

0.77

CHARLES TAYLOR

5.50

0.75

5.70

Neutral

Sell

-124

0.77

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

197.10

109.10

197.10

Sell

Strong Buy

793

1.44

ICAP

365.00

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

822

0.94

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

456.90

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2253

1.77

INVESTEC

420.20

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2605

1.54

1577.00

930.00

1652.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6862

1.32

78.75

71.80

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4791

1.23

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1520.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5417

0.83

SCHRODERS

2644.00

1518.00

2644.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8084

1.42

SCHRODERS NV

2209.00

1193.00

2209.00

Sell

Strong Buy

11250

1.38

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

14 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 13 of

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

285.00

157.75

285.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

607

0.79

AGGREKO

1477.00

1442.00

2302.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3178

1.04

AMEC

1085.00

965.50

1127.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3187

0.98

630.50

342.60

730.00

Neutral

Buy

942

1.69

1177.00

940.00

1218.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2494

0.40

647.00

372.50

647.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2254

0.84

1334.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2666

0.49

599.00

265.00

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1571

0.47

1005.00

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1820

0.57

59.00

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

421

0.79
0.78

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

855.00

671.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1909

BERENDSEN

912.00

563.00

939.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3250

1.02

DE LA RUE

946.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2246

#NA
0.21

DIGNITY

1400.00

922.31

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1677

DIPLOMA

615.00

435.00

661.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

1.00

ELECTROCOMP.

272.90

203.90

282.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

853

1.03

ESSENTRA PLC

725.50

510.00

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1229

1.13

G4S

243.00

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

884

0.42

HAYS

121.60

76.70

121.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

386

0.99

HOMESERVE

252.70

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

898

0.93

INTERSERVE

586.00

349.10

591.50

Sell

Strong Buy

3013

1.15

3270.00

2773.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4299

0.74

51.75

33.63

51.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

225

1.03
0.61

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

180

MENZIES (JOHN)

804.00

573.00

809.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1973

1.37

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

494.50

346.40

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

776

1.19

MITIE GROUP

290.90

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

994

0.50

39.25

33.75

132.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

631

0.28

1044.00

750.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1791

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

211.70

165.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

537

1.40

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT
REGUS

192.70

96.00

195.70

Neutral

Sell

69

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

109.90

85.00

111.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

436

1.31

REXAM

478.00

432.56

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1734

0.90

RICARDO

585.00

349.63

585.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1565

1.04

ROBERT WALTERS

325.00

191.00

335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

918

1.11

RPC GROUP

453.90

378.00

477.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1571

0.72

RPS GROUP

268.70

195.50

274.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

877

1.49

SERCO GROUP

542.00

522.50

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2163

0.52

SHANKS GROUP

94.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

349

1.55

66.00

30.00

66.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

323

1.17

181.25

92.25

206.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

513

0.64

67.63

40.50

70.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

311

0.81

VP

498.50

313.00

499.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2193

0.65

WYG

105.50

51.00

110.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

188

0.78

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

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Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

348.10

212.50

350.90

Neutral

Buy

Target
436

0.92

40.82

34.31

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

81

0.66

702.00

542.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

258

0.52

92.25

68.25

92.25

Neutral

Buy

123

0.97

1396.00

830.00

1403.00

Neutral

Sell

837

0.05

219.80

154.45

222.00

Neutral

Sell

129

0.46

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

308.70

195.70

326.00

Neutral

Sell

223

1.17

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

505.00

350.00

520.00

Neutral

Buy

561

0.91

CLARKSON

2343.00

1150.00

2350.00

Sell

Sell

1266

0.77

EASYJET

1272.00

597.50

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

849

0.78

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

120.70

92.00

182.47

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

0.85

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1100.00

750.00

1148.00

Neutral

Sell

797

0.69

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1673.00

1220.00

1697.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2881

0.94

NATIONAL EXPRESS

255.50

164.50

274.90

Neutral

Neutral

244

1.33

NORTHGATE

442.25

247.75

442.25

Neutral

Sell

350

1.22

STAGECOACH GROUP

333.70

265.90

337.60

Neutral

Buy

461

0.87

WINCANTON

108.00

43.75

108.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

275

0.83

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

363.30

310.80

402.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

564

0.51

NATIONAL GRID

748.00

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

966

0.49

PENNON GROUP

693.50

598.00

734.50

Neutral

Sell

615

0.66

SSE

1451.00

1364.00

1676.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2239

0.44

SEVERN TRENT

1786.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1486

0.39

700.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

748

0.51

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

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Beta

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