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Comparative PV Pumping and Diesel Pumping Costing Tool for Namibia

Commissioned by Ministry of Mines and Energy for the Barrier Removal to Namibian Renewable Energy Programme (NAMREP) with acknowledgements to UNDP/GEF
developed by Emcon Consulting Group [Email: axel@emcongroup.com] Costing Tool for Solar & Diesel water pumping Ver 2006 Rev 0

USER INFORMATION
OUTPUT OF THE COSTING TOOL USING THE COSTING SPREADSHEET RESULTS MAINTENANCE AND REPLACEMENT GLOBAL PARAMETERS VARIABLES DATA LOCATION NOTES ON FORMULAE'S USED FINANCIAL DEFINITIONS ASSUMPTIONS ERRORS AND DISCREPANCIES ISSUES TO ADDRESS ONE FINE DAY COLOUR CODES Diagrammatic overview of spreadsheet

Performance

Capital cost
Function of: System selected Head Daily flowrate RWS or PRIVATE Distance to site Watt peak

Operating cost
Function of: RWS or PRIVATE Distance to pump

M&R cost
Function of: Years of operation RWS or PRIVATE Labour Transport

Results

Solar pump

Function of: PVP model Performance at heads of 10m, 20m, 30m 200m W peak as fn of daily flowrate 6kWh/m2/day

Function of: Project life Discount rate Inflation rate

Watt peak

Start

Selection of head & daily flowrate


Sheet: User info (10/16/2013)

Capital cost

Operating cost

M&R cost

Life Cycle Cost Breakeven Unit Water Cost 180699025.xls.ms_office

Engine size

Watt peak

Start

Selection of head & daily flowrate

Capital cost

Operating cost

M&R cost

Page 2 ofCost 14 Life Cycle Breakeven Unit Water Cost

Engine size

Diesel Pump

Function of: Pump efficiency Rising main losses Windage losses Derating Load factor

Function of: Quality selected Head Pumping schedule Hourly flowrate RWS or PRIVATE Distance to site Engine size

Function of: RWS or PRIVATE Fuel consumption Cost of fuel transport Distance to pump

Function of: Hours of operation RWS or PRIVATE Labour Transport

Function of: Project life Discount rate Inflation rate Diesel escalation rate

Sheet: User info (10/16/2013)

180699025.xls.ms_office

MAIN INPUTS
Pumping head: Select Daily pump volume Installation distance (adds to capital cost) Toggle for DRWS/PRIVATE system PVP Inputs PVP make: Select Multiple PVPs Irradiance and tracking inputs PVP RESULTS PVP Life Cycle Cost PVP: Unit water cost Diesel Pump Inputs Existing diesel installation? DP engine: Select Pumping interval: Every Pumping hours per pump cycle Cost per litre of diesel Diesel price real escalation Diesel Transport Inputs and Results Cost of fuel transport Cost of transport to remote pump site DIESEL PUMP RESULTS Diesel pump Life Cycle Cost DP: Unit water cost Carbon emission per annum

Values 80 8.0 300 Private installation

Units m m/day km

Grundfos SQFlex [200m] 1


6kWh/m/day with 0% tracking

105,453 3.41

N$/project N$/m

No Short life engine 2 4 6.70 4%

day(s) hours N$/litre

816 2,190

N$/pa N$/pa

307,990 9.96 1.6

N$/project N$/m tons/pa

Breakeven

2.0 years

Comments 10 to 200m 1 to 60 cubicmeter/day Distance: Supplier to site Impacts on capex and on maintenance transport cost

Number of PVP systems in the same borehole: SQF only - ignores for others! Note that irradiance and tracking impact on size of array instead of water delivery

No: New installation; Yes: Existing installation (diesel pump capital cost = zero) Restricted input: 1 to 4 days Restricted input: 1 to 24 hours Restricted input: 3 to 20 N$/litre

Only applicable to PRIVATE installations

Life Cycle Cost Comparison: Current result


400,000

Life Cycle Cost [N$]

Solar PV Water Pump 300,000

350,000

200,000

All-inclusive costs [N$]

Diesel Water Pump

300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 12,480

100,000

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Operating life [years]

Breakeven occurs after


Scenario: Head Daily flow RWS/PRIVATE PVP selected PVP quantity Irradiance Tracking DP selected DP interval DP hours 80 m 8.0 m/day Private installation Grundfos SQFlex [200m] Single 6 kWh/m/day 0% Short life engine 2 days 4 hours

2.0

years
Main outputs LCC Solar Pump Diesel Pump Savings Factor: DP/PVP

Solar Pump

[N$] 105,453 307,990 202,537 2.9

Replacement cost Maintenance cost Operating cost Initial cost

37,173

83,535 143,222

18,836

12,480

7,127 44,060 67,009

Solar Pump

Diesel Pump

UWC [N$/m] 3.41 9.96 N$

Power 788 3.3 W peak kW

Efficiency [%] 49.2% subsystem 12.3% overall

Head: Flow:

80 8.0

80 8.0

m m3/day

Solar Pump Diesel Pump Initial cost 67,009 44,060 Operating cost 12,480 143,222 Maintenance cost 7,127 83,535 Replacement cost18,836 37,173 Total 105,453 307,990

GLOBAL VARIABLES
FINANCIAL PARAMETERS Project life Nominal rates nominal discount rate = investment rate nominal loan rate inflation rate VAT nominal escalation rate: general nominal escalation rate: diesel Escalation trend: SELECT Real rates real discount rate = investment rate real loan rate real escalation rate: general real escalation rate: diesel RWS/Private installation Factor of price reduction: Private as opposed to RWS TRANSPORT COST TECHNICAL Carbon credits (click '+' to view) Historical diesel price (Namibia) Historical inflation development (Namibia) None 20 8.5% 11.5% 4.5% 15% 4.5% 8.5% Linear 4.0% 7.0% 0.0% 4.0% years

SELECT

50%

Comments 10 to 25 years

Not utilised in this costing analysis Leave at Linear - Non-linear not recommended - too many uncertainties

Selected RWS prices are reduced by this factor if PRIVATE is selected E.g.: Engine foundation, borehole accessories, installation, transport for installation and M&R

Maintenance and Replacement Costs and Intervals


Prices: VAT inclusive Recurring costs: PVP RC2: Replacement of main components RC3: Recurring cost: Service of PVP Click '+' to unhide Recurring costs: DP RC2: Replacement of engine RC3: Recurring cost: Minor service RC4: Recurring cost: Major service RC5: Recurring cost: Overhaul RC6: Recurring cost: Pump and pipes Click '+' to unhide Determine position in array Transport related to M&R PVP transport cost DP transport cost Maintenance and Replacement Costs & Intervals: Database Range: pvp_m&r Labour & Grundfos BOS 1 Replacement of motor/pump/controller unit 1,700 2 Service 3 4 Lorentz 5 Replacement of motor/pump & controller unit 1,700 6 Service 7 8 9 Total TSP 1000 10 Replacement of motor/pump & controller unit 1,700 11 Service 12 13 14 Total TSP 2000+ 15 Replacement of motor/pump & controller unit 2,200 16 Service 17 18 19 Watermax 20 Replacement of motor/pump & controller unit 1,500 21 Service 22 23 Range: dp_m_r 1 1 1 1 1 Active 1 1 Cost Interval [N$] [Years] 16,641 10 5,175 5

Cost Interval [N$] [Years] 14,950 13 2,300 1 3,094 1 9,430 6 11,237 5

1,500 500

Cost [N$] 11,470 3,000

Interval [years] 10 5 1 7 3 1

11,000 3,000

26,700 8,000

10 5 1

36,200 15,000

10 5 1

10,400 1,000

5 1 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Long life engine 8 Replacement 9 Minor service 10 Major service 11 Overhaul 12 Pump and pipes 13 14

Short life engine Replacement Minor service Major service Overhaul Pump and pipes

3,000 3,000

Cost [N$] 12,000 2,000 2,190 7,200 9,271

Interval [years] 13.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0

Interval [hours] 10,000 1,000 5,000

3,000 4,000

12,000 2,000 2,920 3,600 9,271

47.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 5.0

35,000 1,000 10,000

Comments Transport included here, VAT added here; Multi PVP here Transport included here, VAT added here; Multi PVP here

Transport included here, VAT added here No transport - done with local skills Transport included here, VAT added here Transport included here, VAT added here Transport is double counted here if it coincides with a major service!

RWS (install_distance): full transport cost; Private - transport contribution: 50% RWS (service_distance): full transport cost; Private - transport contribution: 50%

Labour and components Part and Labour

Labour and components Part and Labour

Labour and components Part and Labour

Labour and components Part and Labour

Labour and components Part and Labour

Includes parts & labour Minor service - 4 pa, incl oil, air & fuel filters, done by local operator Involved arrangement here to change major service cost if interval less 1.37 than 2 yrs to be more accurate in the annual allocation of Overhaul cost 60% of new value RWS/PRIV factor is incorporated in Labour

Includes parts & labour Minor service - 4 pa, incl oil, air & fuel filters, done by local operator Involved arrangement here to change major service cost if interval less 1.37 than 2 yrs to be more accurate in the annual allocation of Overhaul cost 30% of new value RWS/PRIV factor is incorporated in Labour

Summary of variables in tool


Head Daily flowrate RWS or Private installation Distance to site (install_distance) PVP PVP make Multiple PVPs Irradiance levels Tracking factor DP New or existing diesel installation Diesel engine Diesel pumping schedule Diesel pumping schedule Diesel price Distance to next nearest fuel depot (service_distance) Number of trips per year Cost contribution towards fuel transport Cost of time Distance of operator to diesel pump (operator_distance) % contribution to trip costs for starting of DP Cost of time Capital cost PVP component cost DP component cost Maintenance and replacement PVP maintenance costs: Parts PVP maintenance costs: Labour PVP maintenance interval PVP replacement cost: Components PVP replacement cost: Labour PVP replacement interval DP maintenance costs DP maintenance intervals Diesel pumping sizing Specific fuel consumption Fuel consumption Pump element efficiency curve Rising main loss curve Rising main losses - non-linearity Windage losses Derating Load factor Minimum diesel engine size Maximum diesel engine size GLOBAL Financial Project life Discount rate Loan rate Inflation rate Diesel escalation rate Percentage cost reduction between RWS & Private installation Transport Transport: Installation of diesel pump: Truck Transport rate for outsourced services Local transport rate to start diesel pump Percentage trip costs for maintenance: RWS Percentage trip costs for maintenance: PVP: Private Percentage trip costs for maintenance: PVP: RWS Technical Rising main: 40mm: Maximum flowrate Rising main: 50mm: Maximum flowrate Rising main: Percentage replacement Rising main: Additional % cost for lifting/reinstalling pipes Maintenance interval for steel pipes PVP factors Lorentz PVP Grundfos PVP Total PVP Watermax PVP

Value 80 8 Private installation 300 Grundfos SQFlex [200m] 1 6 0% No Short life engine 2 4 6.70 100 6 20% 40 3 50% 40

Impact na na High Small Medium High High Medium High Medium High High Medium Medium Medium Medium Small High High Small

Sheetname MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN

Various Various

Various Various

PVP cost DP cost

Various Various Various fixed thru PVP prices Various Various Various Various

Various Various Various Various Various Various Various Various

M&R M&R M&R M&R M&R M&R M&R M&R M&R

0.24 Fitted curve Fitted curve Fitted curve 5% 10% 20% 70% 2.6 16.8

Not used Medium Small Small Medium Small Small Small Small Small

GLOBAL DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel DP size & fuel

20 8.5% 11.5% 4.5% 8.5% 50%

Medium Small Small Medium Medium Medium

GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL

9.00 5.00 3.00 100% 50% 50%

Small Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium

GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL

3 12 20% 50% 5

Small Small Medium Medium Medium

GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL

0% 0% 0% 0%

Medium Medium Medium Medium

GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL GLOBAL

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