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PRACTICAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND BUSINESS DECISION ANALYSIS IN PETROLEUM EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
With special reference to the Indonesian PSC system
Dates Instructor : : April 25-29, 2005 (five day course) H.L. Ong, D.Sc. - Lecturer, Institute Technology Bandung - Advisor to P.T. Geoservices Hotel Bali Padma - Legian, Bali US$ 1,600 US$ 1,700 (IPA Members) (Non-IPA Members)
Venue Cost
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PLEASE REGISTER AS SOON AS POSSIBLE TO THE IPA SECRETARIAT Wisma Kyoei Prince, 17th Floor (Suite 1701) Jln. Jendral Sudirman Kav.3 Jakarta 10220 Indonesia Phones : 572-4284, 572-4285, 572-4286 Fax. : 572-4259 E-mail address : ipa@cbn.net.id or riniipa@cbn.net.id
CONTENT Global economic outlook of the petroleum industry. Worldwide supply and demand.
Economic awareness in the divestment and investment of assets. Shareholders expectation. Economic characteristics of the petroleum industry. Country risk and cost of capital.
Exploration vs. Production costing (SE vs. FC). Reserve and rate of production. Cash Flow concepts including various depreciation allowances. Building cash flow models. Exploration sunk cost and depletion of reserves. Profit/Loss accounts and LCF. The time value of money. Understanding compounding and discounting concepts and the use of formulae or tables for calculations of PV, FV, and AV. Annuity (capital recovery and sinking fund) in day-to-day operations. Practical techniques for the ranking of investment proposals. The calculation and use of Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Benefit-to-Cost ratio, payback, Profit-to-Investment Ratio (PIR or DPIR), etc.
Decision analysis. How to identify and quantify project risks and uncertainties. Statistical and subjective probabilities. How to perform sensitivity analysis. Expected value and decision trees in exploration. Choosing the right discount rate.
The Indonesian Fiscal terms (Taxes, Bonus, DMO, etc.). Indonesian PSC vs. Royalty of
Austral-Asia. The role of oil and gas in the Indonesian economy. Evolution of the various types of agreements: PSC, JOB, EOR, and TAC. The new Laws on Oil and Gas and Autonomy of the regions.
INSTRUCTOR
H.L. Ong is a graduate of ITB and received a Government scholarship to pursue his graduate studies at the Colorado School of Mines where he earned his Doctor of Science degree. Dr. Ong has been teaching at ITB since graduating from Mines in 1968. He was instrumental in setting up P.T. Geoservices in 1971 and became the Principle Advisor of the company until his semi-retirement in 2002. This course is unique in that it is presented by a person with extensive teaching experience as well as running his own successful company for more than 30 years. As a result the speaker has the capability to explain the principles involved with many lively and topical examples throughout the course.
PREREQUISITES
No prior knowledge is assumed during the course and the subject matter is presented in a stimulating, logical, and practical manner. Just show interest, eagerness to learn, and willingness to work.
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Price
Mobile phone no. : ______________________________________________________ Contact Person Period stay Flight detail Payment Method : : ______________________________________________________ : ______________________________________________________ : ______________________________________________________ Cheque Cash Transfer addressed to IPA Secretariat addressed to IPA Secretariat addressed to Bangkok Bank Ltd. - Jakarta Branch US$: 0309-100763-401 RP. : 0309-100763-001
Please return this form together with payment to the: IPA SECRETARIAT Wisma Kyoei Prince, 17th Floor (Suite 1701) Jln. Jendral Sudirman Kav. 3 Jakarta 10220 Phones : 572-4284, 572-4285, 572-4286 Fax. : 572-4259 E-mail : ipa@cbn.net.id or riniipa@cbn.net.id