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Morning Note

28 Oct 2013

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DATA MATRIX OF LAST SESSION


INDEX Sensex Nifty Midcap Smallcap Close 20684 6145 5965 5826 %Chg -0.20 -0.31 -0.52 -0.46

FIRST LIGHT HEADINGS

VALUE TRADED (Rs Crs)


BSE NSE F& O Total Total Volume 1744 9820 161169 172733

%Chg
-15.87 -18.07 -21.41 -21.18

MARKET INSIGHT
On 25 Oct 2013, Closer home, downgrade of India's GDP growth forecast by yet another rating agency, ICRA, to 4.7-4.9% for FY14 from 4.9-5.1%, also added to negative environment. Meanwhile, sentiment failed to get a fillip after global financial services major HSBC lowered India's current account deficit (CAD) forecast for this financial year to 3.4% of GDP from 4.1% earlier. Back on Dalal Street, stocks from Realty, Capital Goods and Fast Moving Consumer Goods counters were the negative forces. While, those from Information Technology, Technology and Consumer Durable counters, limited their losses. The market breadth on the BSE ended in red; advances and declining stocks were in a ratio of 1035: 1402, while 164 scrips remained unchanged. On the global front, European shares slipped back in red on Friday hit by some weak earnings from leading blue-chip companies. Asian pacific shares too ended downbeat, affected by mixed bag of earnings reports.

NET INFLOWS (Rs Crs)


FIIs DIIs 627.0 (498.0)

%Chg
-36.78 -32.29

FII OPEN INTEREST (Crs)


FII Index Futures FII Index Options FII Stock Futures FII Stock Options 16356.54 64870.50 28931.49 3221.49

%Chg
1.66 1.26 -0.78 -0.24

World Indices
Dow Jones Nasdaq FTSE 100 15570 3943 6721

%Chg
0.39 0.36 0.12

Commodity
Crude (US$/bl)

%Chg
97.9 1351.8 0.41 0.39

and a low of 20782.16 and 20622.55 respectively. Among the 30-share Sensex, 7 stocks gained, while 23 stocks declined. The BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices ended lower by 0.66% and 0.53% respectively. On the BSE Sectoral front, IT up by 1.46%, Teck up by 0.90% and Consumer Durables up by 0.24%, were the only gainers, while Realty down by 2.37%, Capital Goods down by 1.63%, FMCG down by 1.41%, Metal down by 1.33% and Auto down by 1.26% were the top losers in the space. (Provisional) from its previous close of 20.20 on Thursday. The CNX Nifty lost 30.75 points or 0.50% to settle at 6,133.60. The index touched high and low of 6,174.75 and 6,125.95 respectively. Out of the 50 stocks on the Nifty, 14 ended in the green, while 36 ended in the red. cautious by the end of the session. Indonesia's rupiah led advances in emerging-market currencies this week on speculation that Federal Reserve will delay cutting stimulus. Malaysia is expected to introduce an unpopular consumption tax in its 2014 budget along with other measures to address soaring debt that has raised the specter of a credit downgrade.

Gold (US$/oz) Top 5 Movers TCS HCLTECH WIPRO NTPC SSLT

Close Price
2,065.00 1,080.80 482 145.5 201.45

%Chg
2.8 2.48 2.37 1.54 1.33

Top 5 Loser
HINDALCO DLF NMDC CAIRN TATASTEEL

Close Price
108.9 151.6 134.8 313.25 321.85

%Chg
-4.93 -4.83 -3.68 -3.53 -3.1

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Morning Note
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MARKET OUTLOOK- CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC

QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS: Extending last session's somber run, benchmark equity indices ended the final trading session of the week in red, lacking any positive trigger that could take the markets higher. Although, benchmarks momentarily broke out in green in the afternoon deals, ferocious selling pressure soon followed and dragged the markets to lowest point by the close. Both, Sensex and Nifty lost over quarter of a percent to shut shop below the crucial 20,700 and 6,150 levels respectively. Meanwhile, broader indices too witnessed intense selling pressure and ended down with cut of over half a percent. Prevailing caution ahead of RBI's policy next week, mainly made investors finicky about investing into local equities amidst negative global set-up. Further, Finance Minister asking for being prepared for US tapering to regulators, also added to the underlying weakness of the bourses, which for the week ended with cut of over half a percent (Sensex lower by 0.70%, Sensex down by 1.1%). For the upcoming sessions spot index may continue its range bound journey however 6230-6260 could be the near term resistance zone. Any substantial break out above this range with decisive volumes may further strengthens the current sentiment and we might se 6360-6390 in a short span of time. On the flip side any spiral selling below 5860-5830 may attract some bears and we might see 5630-5650 though any correction could be used as a decent opportunity to go long.....

Index
SENSEX NIFTY BANK NIFTY

Support 2
20360 6056 10412

Support 1
20505 6105 10605

Previous Close
20684 6145 10893

Resistance 1
20805 6196 11022

Resistance 2
20995 6236 11212

Trend
Rangebound Rangebound Rangebound

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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: research@moneysukh.com, Website: www.moneysukh.com

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Morning Note
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NAME
Varun Gupta Mohit Taneja

DESIGNATION
Head - Research Research Analyst

E-MAIL
varungupta@moneysukh.com

mohit.t@moneysukh.com

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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

For Private circulation Only

For Our Clients Only

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: research@moneysukh.com, Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. INB010985834 / 010985834 NSE: INB230781431 SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INBBSE: 010985834, F&O: INF PMS Regn No. INP000002387 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293