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28 October 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over
Valued ......................................................................6
Automobiles & Parts
Over Valued .........................................................................................6
Banks
Under Valued ...................................................................................6
Beverages
Under Valued ..................................................................................7
Chemicals
Under Valued ......................................7
Construction - Building Materials & Fittings
Construction - Heavy Construction

Over Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ..................................................7

Construction Home Construction


Under Valued ..................................................8
Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Under Valued ...............................................................8
Engineering & Machinery
Over
Valued .......................................................................8
Food & Drug Stores
Over Valued ........................................................8
Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Household Goods & Textiles
Over Valued ...............................................9
Information Technology & Hardware
Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Under Valued .................................................................... 10
Life Assurance
Under Valued ................................................................ 11
Media & Entertainment
Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Personal Care & Household Products
Under Valued ................................................ 12
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
Under
Valued
Real Estate - REIT
...................................................................... 12
Under
Valued
Real Estate REIS
..................................................................... 13
Under
Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Speciality & Other Finance
Under
Valued ..................................................................... 14
Support Services
Over Valued ....................................................... 15
Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under
Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

549.50

316.50

550.50

Neutral

Sell

507

0.86

BAE SYSTEMS

451.70

300.80

468.00

Neutral

Buy

612

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

223.20

210.70

321.10

Neutral

Buy

327

0.65

COBHAM

282.90

190.10

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

292

0.76

MEGGITT

561.50

366.20

564.00

Neutral

Sell

512

1.24

QINETIQ GROUP

200.30

179.00

211.10

Neutral

Sell

123

0.63

1171.00

829.44

1230.62

Neutral

Buy

1528

0.95

289.10

185.90

289.10

Neutral

Sell

271

1.63

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1415.00

1018.00

1455.00

Neutral

Sell

1206

0.70

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1916.00

1505.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1700

0.49

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

GKN

372.20

201.00

376.20

Neutral

Sell

-1817

1.98

INCHCAPE

640.50

391.60

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2998

1.35

LOOKERS

127.00

71.50

128.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

674

1.17

PENDRAGON

38.50

13.50

38.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

266

0.96

TOROTRAK

27.63

23.50

35.50

Neutral

Sell

13

0.68

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

267.90

210.15

308.39

Neutral

Sell

Target
-651

Beta
2.12

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

680.00

595.80

769.90

Neutral

Buy

832

1.35
1.90

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

80.37

40.46

80.37

Sell

Sell

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

368.40

266.10

384.90

Neutral

Sell

-98

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1525.50

1395.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3323

1.79

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

520.00

432.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

425

0.52

BRITVIC

610.50

358.60

617.50

Neutral

Buy

836

0.67

DIAGEO

2017.50

1769.00

2136.50

Sell

Buy

2333

0.52

SABMILLER

3250.00

2619.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5173

0.92

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

341.50

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3736

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

277.90

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

542

1.11

CARCLO

386.00

342.75

501.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.73

2597.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3306

1.06

266.40

204.20

275.00

Sell

Buy

299

1.01
1.41

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2958.00

2190.00

2997.00

Neutral

Buy

3973

VICTREX

1672.00

1413.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1347

1.17

SYNTHOMER

255.60

146.00

257.80

Neutral

Buy

373

1.05

ZOTEFOAMS

182.00

180.50

224.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

286

1.01

Under Valued

Construction - Building Materials & Fittings


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

136.50

81.00

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

454

1513.00

1090.00

1580.00

Neutral

Sell

1074

0.97

73.00

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

559

1.11

MARSHALLS

178.00

87.50

184.00

Neutral

Neutral

180

1.37

NORCROS

20.25

11.75

21.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

223

1.02

197.70

102.00

200.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

990

1.61

42.50

22.00

45.50

Neutral

Sell

37

0.91

1804.00

1060.00

1815.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15409

1.93

238.25

143.13

240.00

Neutral

Neutral

230

1.01

3301.00

2636.64

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10422

1.32

ALUMASC GROUP
CRH
LOW & BONAR

SIG
TITON HOLDINGS
TRAVIS PERKINS
TYMAN
WOLSELEY

Target

0.54

Over Valued

Construction - Heavy Construction


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BALFOUR BEATTY

285.20

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1100

0.68

BOOT (HENRY)

187.00

123.50

201.00

Neutral

Sell

115

0.71

CARILLION

305.40

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Buy

375

0.98

CLARKE (T)

67.00

40.00

72.25

Neutral

Buy

86

0.68

COSTAIN GROUP

Target

Beta

281.25

226.25

306.00

Neutral

Buy

422

0.50

GALLIFORD TRY

1131.00

678.00

1157.00

Neutral

Sell

737

0.76

KELLER

1030.00

565.00

1161.00

Neutral

Sell

542

1.25

KIER GROUP

1785.00

1106.00

1797.00

Neutral

Sell

1630

0.82

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

816.50

508.00

828.00

Neutral

Buy

1005

0.60

NORTH MIDLAND CON.

121.00

95.00

147.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

268

#NA

39.50

20.00

39.50

Sell

Sell

-9

0.45

POCHIN'S

Under Valued

Construction Home Construction


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

334.20

181.30

355.20

Neutral

Neutral

366

1.60

BELLWAY

1508.00

951.00

1534.00

Neutral

Buy

1983

0.93

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2400.00

1482.00

2442.00

Neutral

Neutral

2387

0.47

782.00

489.30

851.50

Neutral

Buy

993

1.05

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

Target

Beta

CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS

382.00

220.00

385.00

Neutral

Sell

304

#NA

GLEESON (MJ) GROUP

324.00

148.00

354.75

Neutral

Sell

191

0.49

1243.00

695.55

1305.00

Neutral

Sell

1114

1.06

REDROW

254.10

154.00

257.10

Neutral

Neutral

260

0.84

TAYLOR WIMPEY

111.20

56.65

113.90

Neutral

Buy

129

1.45

PERSIMMON

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1149.00

999.50

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

1063

0.63

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

692.50

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

894

0.99

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

144.50

105.50

148.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

290

1.29

INVENSYS

504.50

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

297

1.33

LAIRD

246.00

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

455

1.99

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1293.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1166

1.22

RENISHAW

1621.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2091

1.31

SPECTRIS

2296.00

1703.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2856

1.48

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

188.50

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-444

0.70

TT ELECTRONICS

202.00

114.00

202.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

442

1.64

XAAR

813.50

258.00

898.00

Neutral

Sell

423

1.00

DIALIGHT

Beta

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

132.00

54.38

135.75

Neutral

Buy

152

1.06

BODYCOTE

663.00

362.70

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

658

1.51

CASTINGS

422.50

291.00

450.00

Neutral

Buy

587

0.93

VESUVIUS

485.00

280.31

490.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1251

2.20

FENNER

409.00

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Buy

585

1.44

HALMA

553.00

411.50

578.00

Neutral

Sell

422

0.84

HILL & SMITH

483.75

372.00

483.75

Neutral

Buy

571

1.25

1509.00

929.00

1537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4268

1.31

298.90

240.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

505

1.82

2860.00

2229.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2078

0.97

63.50

35.40

76.91

Neutral

Sell

53

0.76

SPIRAX-SARCO

2908.00

1933.53

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1849

0.69

VITEC GROUP

710.00

559.00

721.25

Neutral

Sell

503

1.33

WEIR GROUP

2318.00

1710.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2304

1.31

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

447.40

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
826

0.40

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

282.00

248.60

302.50

Buy

Buy

392

0.35

SAINSBURY (J)

396.80

321.90

400.80

Neutral

Buy

471

0.58

TESCO

370.15

315.00

387.75

Neutral

Sell

199

0.74

THORNTONS

107.25

28.63

111.75

Neutral

Sell

67

0.83

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

2133.00

1365.00

2133.00

Sell

Sell

1729

0.57

CRANSWICK

1079.00

733.00

1189.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1836

0.35

DAIRY CREST

522.00

342.90

528.50

Sell

Sell

438

0.83

DEVRO

308.90

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

503

0.37

PREMIER FOODS

180.50

59.75

185.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

283

1.22

TATE & LYLE

791.00

723.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1352

0.62

2493.00

2290.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2123

0.57

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

26.50

24.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

46

0.65

517.00

325.30

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

528

0.56

1532.00

1153.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1264

1.28

620.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

254

0.85
1.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP

Target

Beta

47.34

20.36

48.28

Neutral

Sell

44

258.25

108.00

258.25

Neutral

Sell

153

0.90

37.50

23.00

37.50

Sell

Sell

1.09
0.68

410.00

299.00

410.00

Neutral

Buy

604

1135.00

670.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2115

0.59

84.00

39.00

88.25

Neutral

Buy

125

1.10

KINGFISHER

370.10

268.90

420.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

562

0.98

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

475.80

359.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

761

0.50

74.25

53.50

75.00

Neutral

Buy

87

0.78

JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP

389.25

271.00

492.75

Neutral

Sell

131

0.28

NEXT

MOTHERCARE

5205.00

3542.00

5250.00

Neutral

Neutral

5393

0.63

TED BAKER

1720.00

935.00

2017.00

Neutral

Sell

1061

0.60

87.50

47.00

94.00

Neutral

Sell

82

1.55

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

149.50

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

118

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

885.00

660.50

902.50

Neutral

Sell

685

0.37

OPTOS

159.25

106.75

215.25

Neutral

Buy

177

1.09

SMITH & NEPHEW

798.00

638.00

803.00

Neutral

Sell

686

0.33

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

789.00

601.00

823.50

Neutral

Neutral

764

HEADLAM GROUP

384.00

302.50

415.00

Neutral

Buy

450

0.75

79.75

55.25

87.50

Neutral

Sell

48

0.70

HORNBY

Target

0.29

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

983.00

656.50

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

431

CSR

540.50

332.00

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1489

1.06

65.25

30.75

83.25

Neutral

Neutral

71

1.00

FILTRONIC

Target

Beta
0.63

IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

290.80

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

217

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

116.50

116.50

169.20

Buy

Strong Buy

389

0.88

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

147.00

140.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-34

0.95

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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28 October 2013
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Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1240.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-539

0.58

AMLIN

427.00

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1614

0.47

BEAZLEY

217.20

167.30

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

999

0.61

CATLIN GROUP

508.00

455.30

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

494

0.29

HISCOX

675.00

463.32

686.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1998

0.43

1006.00

723.00

1007.00

Neutral

Buy

1263

0.28

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

126.80

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

770

0.36

NOVAE GROUP

536.00

345.00

537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3621

0.39

ADMIRAL GROUP

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock
CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

2207.00

2030.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
3385

Beta
0.96

155.90

65.75

157.80

Neutral

Sell

101

1.51

TUI TRAVEL

385.20

246.70

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

706

1.06

FULLER SMITH 'A'

893.50

726.00

969.00

Neutral

Sell

585

0.24

GREENE KING

839.00

589.00

897.50

Neutral

Sell

600

0.87

LADBROKES

189.80

167.40

243.10

Neutral

Buy

253

0.85

1865.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1626

1.10

MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

580.00

456.00

615.50

Neutral

Neutral

569

1.33

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

400.50

296.00

460.00

Neutral

Sell

263

0.89

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

122.00

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

61

1.28

ICTL.HTLS.GP.

PUNCH TAVERNS

14.00

6.16

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

68

0.98

RANK GROUP

150.50

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

554

1.01

RESTAURANT GROUP

572.50

364.00

575.00

Neutral

Sell

378

0.66

WETHERSPOON (JD)

729.00

493.80

767.00

Neutral

Sell

669

0.55

WHITBREAD

3372.00

2301.00

3372.00

Neutral

Sell

2114

1.05

WILLIAM HILL

391.40

305.06

494.50

Neutral

Sell

352

0.79

MARSTON'S

155.00

118.80

165.50

Neutral

Sell

12

1.08

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

438.60

294.10

441.70

Neutral

Sell

400

1.23

CHESNARA

294.50

176.50

296.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

574

0.62

LEGAL & GENERAL

212.90

132.50

214.10

Sell

Strong Buy

543

1.82

OLD MUTUAL

204.60

166.10

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

435

1.54

PRUDENTIAL

1270.00

834.50

1276.00

Sell

Neutral

1309

1.82

670.50

377.40

679.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7379

0.88

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com
17

Target

Beta

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 10 of

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

177.75

102.00

177.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

928.50

709.00

950.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.42

55.75

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.00
1.04

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'

Target

Beta
0.39

797.50

451.25

835.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1028.00

747.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.87

INFORMA

550.50

380.50

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.51

ITE GROUP

316.10

183.50

316.10

Neutral

Buy

201

1.38

ITV

191.80

85.65

195.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.54

13.00

9.88

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1.11
0.60

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON

1364.00

1119.00

1364.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

PHOTO-ME INTL.

131.50

49.00

133.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.81

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

302.50

269.00

302.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.06

THOMSON REUTERS

36.97

26.85

36.97

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.39

STV GROUP

321.50

100.00

321.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.86

ST.IVES

185.00

98.50

187.00

Neutral

Sell

159

1.34

TRINITY MIRROR

132.00

51.25

132.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.53
1.33

UBM

681.00

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

WILMINGTON GROUP

219.50

127.75

219.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.83

1344.00

788.00

1344.00

Sell

Sell

-827

1.25

WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
GLENCORE XSTRATA
LONMIN

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1508.00

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
1306

Beta
1.74

231.50

161.00

289.00

Neutral

Neutral

221

1.03
1.27

875.50

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Neutral

891

1953.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3126

1.41

342.50

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

1060

#NA

327.20

240.84

380.10

Sell

Buy

431

1.86

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4639.00

3972.00

7435.00

Neutral

Sell

3022

0.51

RIO TINTO

3222.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2539

1.44

VEDANTA RESOURCES

1068.00

992.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3013

2.17

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1254.50

1000.50

1329.50

Neutral

Sell

920

BP

451.15

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1038

1.04

CAIRN ENERGY

281.00

251.80

296.10

Neutral

Sell

-36

1.25
0.76

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS

Target

Beta
0.81

10.25

5.44

10.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

90

917.50

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

598

1.25

71.25

48.50

80.38

Neutral

Sell

-60

1.21
1.45

347.70

321.30

400.20

Neutral

Buy

417

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2237.50

2077.50

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8541

0.78

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

403.40

297.04

417.00

Neutral

Buy

456

0.53

TULLOW OIL

978.50

959.00

1445.00

Neutral

Sell

706

1.08

WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

821.50

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

746

1.40

PREMIER OIL

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

28 October 2013
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Page 11 of

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock
MCBRIDE
PZ CUSSONS
RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

113.00

101.00

144.60

Buy

Buy

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA
BTG
DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS
GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA

Beta

147

0.85

394.40

336.20

432.50

Neutral

Sell

363

0.75

4780.00

3704.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4860

0.33

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.36

0.32

3.58

Buy

Strong Buy

Target
1

Beta

3248.50

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

10470

0.47

407.30

317.50

412.50

Neutral

Sell

296

0.38
0.18

0.89

688.00

569.00

780.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1532

1604.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2476

0.49

2.60

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-2

0.38
0.79

IXICO

59.50

51.50

568.75

Buy

Sell

-158

SHIRE

2776.00

1727.00

2776.00

Neutral

Sell

2174

0.69

SKYEPHARMA

92.00

43.50

101.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

221

0.51

VERNALIS

28.75

19.38

31.00

Neutral

Sell

15

0.76

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

485.00

322.90

489.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

770

1.24

BRITISH LAND

628.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

881

1.14

2563.00

1999.00

2574.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5452

1.32

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

592.50

451.50

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1247

1.07

HAMMERSON

536.50

458.70

554.00

Neutral

Buy

595

1.41
1.22

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

344.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

616

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

991.00

762.50

994.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1899

1.22

31.63

24.25

37.50

Neutral

Sell

-172

0.78

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

130.20

103.20

130.20

Sell

Sell

-5

0.33

MCKAY SECURITIES

187.00

131.50

187.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

310

0.50

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

456.00

347.75

500.00

Neutral

Sell

261

0.57

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

318.25

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

125

0.22

49.25

30.75

50.00

Neutral

Sell

-398

0.43
1.96

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

REDEFINE INTL.REIT
SEGRO

333.30

221.60

336.70

Neutral

Sell

-311

SHAFTESBURY

615.50

524.50

668.00

Neutral

Buy

915

1.13

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

225.00

178.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

12

0.95

WORKSPACE GROUP

477.00

293.90

482.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1516

1.10

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

28 October 2013
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Page 12 of

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock
CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.
CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

356.70

225.00

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
721

Beta
0.72

44.75

22.75

45.25

Neutral

Sell

-57

0.55
0.80

CLS HOLDINGS

1206.00

656.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3128

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4040.00

2706.00

4200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15627

0.56

220.00

143.00

225.00

Neutral

Sell

207

1.14

DEVELOPMENT SECS.
GRAINGER

192.60

109.60

192.60

Sell

Sell

120

1.64

HELICAL BAR

308.00

178.00

308.00

Neutral

Sell

220

0.83

38.00

21.50

38.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

0.60

6750.00

4350.00

6975.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15388

0.69

95.50

51.75

95.50

Sell

Sell

-223

1.10
1.56

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.
RAVEN RUSSIA
SAVILLS
SMART (J)

77.25

61.50

79.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

223

649.00

403.20

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2022

0.68

85.00

72.50

90.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

388

0.42

ST MODWEN PROPS.

361.50

200.00

361.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

671

1.68

UNITE GROUP

408.50

260.70

408.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1744

1.93

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

86.50

76.75

162.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

143

0.66

2577.00

1975.75

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1503

1.49

COMPUTACENTER

570.00

333.29

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1464

0.85

KOFAX

359.50

260.75

388.00

Neutral

Neutral

345

1.11
0.78

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

31.75

20.75

31.75

Sell

Sell

26

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

809.00

544.73

816.09

Neutral

Buy

1078

0.84

PHOENIX IT GROUP

162.00

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-237

0.59
0.58

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

116.62

64.00

124.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

2018.00

1275.00

2190.00

Neutral

Neutral

2169

0.62

331.90

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

440

0.70

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

459.10

319.90

492.10

Sell

Strong Buy

1328

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

281.50

169.80

283.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

699

0.85

8545.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

87733

0.85

455.00

288.00

474.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1534

0.89
0.64

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

Target

Beta

219.00

155.00

228.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1737

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1263.00

833.50

1300.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5208

0.78

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

105.20

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

83

0.77

CHARLES TAYLOR

5.19

0.82

5.70

Neutral

Sell

-135

0.77

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

209.00

109.10

209.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

853

1.44

ICAP

375.80

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

892

0.94

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

492.40

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2411

1.77

INVESTEC

441.00

364.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2862

1.54

1682.00

930.00

1682.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7130

1.32

90.30

71.80

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-5207

1.23

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1665.00

1208.00

1691.00

Sell

Strong Buy

5823

0.83

SCHRODERS

2688.00

1518.00

2690.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8711

1.42

SCHRODERS NV

2217.00

1220.00

2217.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12024

1.38

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com
17

28 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 13 of

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

305.50

157.75

312.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

652

0.79

AGGREKO

1517.00

1442.00

2254.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3369

1.04

AMEC

1164.00

965.50

1164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3369

0.98

665.00

356.40

730.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

998

1.69

1248.00

953.00

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2641

0.40

670.00

372.50

670.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2382

0.84

1357.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2817

0.49

UK MAIL GROUP

599.00

265.00

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1665

0.47

CAPITA

966.50

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1931

0.57

62.50

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

450

0.79
0.78

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

907.00

680.00

910.50

Sell

Strong Buy

2023

BERENDSEN

955.00

563.00

962.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3442

1.02

DE LA RUE

845.00

845.00

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2342

#NA
0.21

DIGNITY

1384.00

922.31

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1789

DIPLOMA

690.00

435.00

690.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1363

1.00

ELECTROCOMP.

295.60

203.90

298.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

905

1.03

ESSENTRA PLC

797.50

543.00

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1305

1.13

G4S

258.50

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

939

0.42

HAYS

122.80

76.70

124.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

412

0.99

HOMESERVE

233.00

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

953

0.93

INTERSERVE

617.00

349.10

625.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3187

1.15

3309.00

2819.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4543

0.74

53.50

33.63

53.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

239

1.03
0.61

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.25

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

192

MENZIES (JOHN)

797.50

573.00

841.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2063

1.37

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

472.10

346.40

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

823

1.19

MITIE GROUP

311.70

248.00

314.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1057

0.50

39.75

33.75

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

673

0.28

OFFICE2OFFICE

1041.00

765.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1897

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

223.00

165.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

572

1.40

REGUS

209.80

96.00

214.10

Neutral

Sell

71

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

112.80

85.00

112.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

460

1.31

REXAM

511.00

432.56

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1837

0.90

RICARDO

629.00

349.63

661.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1661

1.04

ROBERT WALTERS

335.00

191.00

335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

976

1.11

RPC GROUP

501.00

378.00

501.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1665

0.72

RPS GROUP

288.20

195.50

291.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

933

1.49

SERCO GROUP

557.50

516.50

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2294

0.52

SHANKS GROUP

106.50

73.00

107.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

373

1.55

63.75

32.00

70.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

343

1.17

194.00

92.25

206.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

546

0.64

78.75

40.50

78.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

332

0.81

VP

505.00

313.00

510.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2326

0.65

WYG

110.00

52.75

111.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

203

0.78

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

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Page 14 of

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

359.10

212.50

367.40

Neutral

Buy

Target
458

0.92

44.41

34.31

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

86

0.66

725.00

542.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

278

0.52

98.85

68.25

100.70

Neutral

Buy

131

0.97

1517.00

830.00

1518.00

Neutral

Sell

896

0.05

226.75

154.45

229.30

Neutral

Sell

139

0.46

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

330.00

195.70

336.60

Sell

Sell

230

1.17

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

540.00

350.00

540.00

Neutral

Neutral

579

0.91

CLARKSON

2308.00

1150.00

2370.00

Neutral

Sell

1295

0.77

EASYJET

1329.00

617.50

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

874

0.78

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

118.10

92.00

182.47

Neutral

Strong Buy

281

0.85

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1122.00

773.75

1148.00

Neutral

Sell

817

0.69

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1715.00

1220.00

1715.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2976

0.94

NATIONAL EXPRESS

259.80

164.50

274.90

Neutral

Neutral

253

1.33

NORTHGATE

458.75

249.00

458.75

Neutral

Sell

364

1.22

STAGECOACH GROUP

337.10

265.90

342.50

Neutral

Buy

472

0.87

WINCANTON

139.00

43.75

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

288

0.83

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

356.10

310.80

402.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

571

0.51

NATIONAL GRID

782.00

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

987

0.49

PENNON GROUP

700.00

598.00

730.00

Neutral

Sell

622

0.66

SSE

1440.00

1364.00

1676.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2261

0.44

SEVERN TRENT

1881.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1532

0.39

718.50

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

768

0.51

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

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Beta

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