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Table of Contents

Rpt. 22203669
20-Jul-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


WRIGHT INVESTORS SERVICE
- WRIGHT REPORTS, ALEX, ET AL

2 - 35

Rpt. 22193146
17-Jul-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


SUN HUNG KAI FINANCIAL
- LI, HANNAH, ET AL

36 - 45

Rpt. 22193147
17-Jul-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


SUN HUNG KAI FINANCIAL
- LI, HANNAH, ET AL

46 - 56

Rpt. 22073482
21-Jun-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


WRIGHT INVESTORS SERVICE
- WRIGHT REPORTS, ALEX, ET AL

57 - 90

Rpt. 21973027
29-May-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


SUN HUNG KAI FINANCIAL
- SO, DANIEL, ET AL

91 - 100

Rpt. 21973032
29-May-2013

XINCHEN CHINA POWER HOLDINGS LTD


SUN HUNG KAI FINANCIAL
- SO, DANIEL, ET AL

101 - 111

These reports were compiled using a product of Thomson Reuters

www.thomsonreuters.com

Company FundamentalsCompany Fundamentals\Company Profile

A Wright Investors' Service Research Report:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

440 Wheelers Farms Road


Milford, CT 06461 U.S.A.

COMPANY PROFILE

Figures in Chinese Renmimbi


Key Data

Wright Quality Rating:DANN


Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Xinchen China Power Holdings Limited is an
investment holding company. The Company is a automotive engine manufacturer.
The Company operates in the three segments: gasoline engines segment, diesel
engines segment, as well as engine components and service income segment. The
Company's main products include light-duty gasoline and diesel engines, as well as
engine components. The Company manufactures and sells 36 models of automotive
engines, which are installed in a range of photovoltaic vehicles (PVs) and light
commercial vehicles (LCVs), including sedans, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), multipurpose vehicles (MPVs), small buses, minibuses, small and light-duty trucks.
Stock Chart

Officers
Chairman
Xiao An Wu

Secretary
Sam Ming Fung

2012 Sales:
2,572,741,000
Major Industry:
Aerospace
Sub Industry:
Engines, Components &
Parts Mfrs.

Executive Director & Chief


Executive
Yunxian Wang
Chief Financial Officer
Bingchu Xu

Ticker:
1148

Country:
China
Currency:
Chinese Renmimbi
Fiscal Year Ends:
December
Employees
1,020
Exchanges:
HKG

Stock Price (7/12/2013): 2.02


Recent stock performance
1 Week
-5.9%
4 Weeks
-1.0%
13 Weeks
27.1%
52 Weeks
%

Share Type:
Ordinary
Market Capitalization:
1,896,871,888

Earnings / Dividends (as of 12/31/2012)


Earnings
Dividends
Most Recent Qtr
0.07
Last 12 Months
0.31
Ratio Analysis
Price / Earnings Ratio 6.51 Dividend Yield
N/A
Price / Sales Ratio

0.74 Payout Ratio

Price / Book Ratio

1.43 % Held by Insiders N/A

Total Shares
Outstanding:
n.a. 940,199,794
Closely Held Shares:
N/A

N/A

Jianmen Road West Fucheng District


MIANYANG Sichuan 1-1108
CHINA

Address
Phone
Home Page
http://www.xinchenpower.com

Company Fundamentals\Comparative Business Analysis

Comparative Business Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Report Date: July 19, 2013


Company Description
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Xinchen China Power Holdings Limited is an investment holding company. The
Company is a automotive engine manufacturer. The Company operates in the three segments: gasoline engines
segment, diesel engines segment, as well as engine components and service income segment. The Company's
main products include light-duty gasoline and diesel engines, as well as engine components. The Company
manufactures and sells 36 models of automotive engines, which are installed in a range of photovoltaic vehicles
(PVs) and light commercial vehicles (LCVs), including sedans, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), multi-purpose
vehicles (MPVs), small buses, minibuses, small and light-duty trucks.
Competitor Analysis
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd operates in the Motor vehicle parts and accessories sector. This analysis
compares Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd with three other companies: Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd. (2011
sales of 2.58 billion Chinese Renmimbi [US$421.36 million] of which 78% was Car Parts), Guizhou Guihang
Automotive Components (2012 sales: 2.61 billion Chinese Renmimbi [US$425.84 million] of which 88% was
Motor Vehicle Industry), and China Automotive Systems Inc (2012 sales of 2.12 billion Chinese Renmimbi
[US$345.19 million] of which 56% was Henglong). Note: not all of these companies have the same fiscal year:
the most recent data for each company are being used.
Sales Analysis
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd reported sales of 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi (US$419.43 million) for the year
ending December of 2012. This represents an increase of 11.5% versus 2011, when the company's sales were
2.31 billion Chinese Renmimbi. This was the fourth straight year of sales growth at Xinchen China Power Holdings
Ltd. Sales of Gasoline Engines saw an increase of 14.2% in 2012, from 1.80 billion Chinese Renmimbi to 2.06
billion Chinese Renmimbi.
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd currently has 1,020 employees. With sales of 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi
(US$419.43 million) , this equates to sales of US$411,210 per employee. This is much higher than the three
comparable companies, which had sales between US$60,385 and US$95,437 per employee. Note that some of
the figures stated herein could be distorted based on exact classification of employees and subcontractors.
Sales Comparisons (Most Recent Fiscal Year)
Company

Year
Ended

Sales Sales
Sales/
(blns) Growth Emp (US$) Largest Region

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Dec 2012 2.573

11.5%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

Dec 2011 2.585

12.0%

84,644 N/A

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components Dec 2012 2.612

-1.7%

60,385 China (95.3%)

China Automotive Systems Inc

-5.6%

95,437 China (86.6%)

Dec 2012 2.117

411,210 China (100.0%)

Recent Stock Performance


The current (7/12/2013) price of this stock is 2.02 Chinese Renmimbi. During the past 13 weeks, the stock
has increased 27.1%. During the 12 months ending 12/31/2012, earnings per share totalled 0.31 Chinese
Renmimbi per share. Thus, the Price / Earnings ratio is 6.51. Note that the earnings number Includes Or Excludes
Extraordinary Charge Or Credit. The P/E ratio of 6.5 is lower than the P/E ratios of all three comparable
companies, which are currently trading between 7.2 and 22.3 times earnings. This company is currently trading
at 0.74 times sales. Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd is trading at 1.43 times book value.
Summary of company valuations (as of 7/12/2013).
Company
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd
Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

P/E

Price/ Price/
Book Sales

52 Wk
Pr Chg

6.5

1.43

0.74

N/A

18.9

2.84

0.74 -15.72%

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components


China Automotive Systems Inc

22.3

1.68

1.06

3.78%

7.2

1.01

0.57 67.32%

The market capitalization of this company is 1.90 billion Chinese Renmimbi (US$309.25 million) .
Dividend Analysis
This company has paid no dividends during the last 12 months. The company has not paid any dividends during
the previous 4 fiscal years.
Profitability Analysis
On the 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi in sales reported by the company in 2012, the cost of goods sold totalled
2.02 billion Chinese Renmimbi, or 78.3% of sales (i.e., the gross profit was 21.7% of sales). This gross profit
margin is lower than the company achieved in 2011, when cost of goods sold totalled 77.3% of sales. Xinchen
China Power Holdings Ltd's gross profit margin of 21.7% was fairly close to the gross profit margins of all three
comparable companies (which had gross profits in 2012 between 20.6% and 22.4% of sales). The company's
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amorization (EBITDA) were 428.30 million Chinese Renmimbi, or
16.6% of sales. This EBITDA to sales ratio is roughly on par with what the company achieved in 2011, when the
EBITDA ratio was 17.9% of sales. The three comparable companies had EBITDA margins that were all less
(between 7.2% and 13.2%) than that achieved by Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. In 2012, earnings before
extraordinary items at Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd were 290.11 million Chinese Renmimbi, or 11.3% of
sales. This profit margin is lower than the level the company achieved in 2011, when the profit margin was 11.3%
of sales. Earnings before extraordinary items have grown for each of the past 3 years (and since 2010, earnings
before extraordinary items have grown a total of 94%). The company's return on equity in 2012 was 28.1%. This
was significantly worse than the already high 40.2% return the company achieved in 2011. (Extraordinary items
have been excluded).
Profitability Comparison

Company

Gross
Earnings
Profit EBITDA before
Year Margin Margin extras

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2012

21.7%

16.6%

11.3%

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2011

22.7%

17.9%

11.3%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

2011

20.6%

8.9%

5.3%

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components 2012

22.4%

7.2%

4.4%

China Automotive Systems Inc

21.9%

13.2%

5.9%

2012

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd reports profits by product line. During 2012, the itemized operating profits at
all divisions were 517.79 million Chinese Renmimbi, which is equal to 20.1% of total sales. Of all the product lines,
Diesel Engines had the highest operating profits in 2012, with operating profits equal to 24.6% of sales. In fact,
during each of the previous 4 years, Diesel Engines has had the highest operating profits of all product lines at
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Gasoline Engines had the lowest operating profit margin in 2012, with the
operating profit equal to only 18.8% of sales. (This product line is the largest product line at Xinchen China
Power Holdings Ltd, accounting for approximately 80% of sales in 2012). This marks the fourth year in which
Gasoline Engines had the lowest operating profit margins.
Inventory Analysis
As of December 2012, the value of the company's inventory totalled 214.73 million Chinese Renmimbi. Since the
cost of goods sold was 2.02 billion Chinese Renmimbi for the year, the company had 39 days of inventory on
hand (another way to look at this is to say that the company turned over its inventory 9.4 times per year). In
terms of inventory turnover, this is an improvement over December 2011, when the company's inventory was
221.20 million Chinese Renmimbi, equivalent to 45 days in inventory. The 39 days in inventory is lower than the
three comparable companies, which had inventories between 41 and 101 days at the end of 2012.
Research and Development
Research and Development Expenses at Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd in 2012 were 15.66 million Chinese
Renmimbi, which is equivalent to 0.6% of sales. In 2012, R&D expenditures dropped both as a percentage of

sales and in actual amounts: In 2011, Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd spent 19.78 million Chinese Renmimbi on
R&D, which was 0.9% of sales.
Financial Position
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd does not appear to be very efficient in collecting payments: As of December
2012, the accounts receivable for the company were 1.49 billion Chinese Renmimbi, which is equivalent to 212
days of sales. This is an improvement over the end of 2011, when Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd had 251
days of sales in accounts receivable.
Financial Positions
Company

Days Days R&D/


Year AR
Inv. Sales

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2012

212

39 0.6%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

2011

117

41

N/A

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components 2012

108

101

N/A

China Automotive Systems Inc

240

60

N/A

2012

Company Fundamentals\Summary Analysis

SUMMARY ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi

Year

Price

Fiscal Yr
Ends:
December

Market
Price
Last

7/12/2013

2.02

Value Ratios

Equity Capital

Earnings

Dividends

Price/ Price/
%
% Profit
Book
12 Month
Earnings Book Dividend Earned
Rate
Value
Earnings
%
Ratio
Ratio
Yield
Growth (ROE) Begin Yr Per Share Change
6.5

1.4

0.0

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.31

n/c

%
12 Month
Payout Dividends
Ratio Per Share
n/c

0.00%

Company Fundamentals\Sales Analysis

SALES ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures in thousands of Chinese Renmimbi

Cost of
Goods Sold

Sales

Year

Amount
in
thousands

YearAmount
to-year
in
Growth thousands

% of
Sales

Earnings before
Interest,
Taxes,
Depreciation, and
Amortization
(EBITDA)
Amount
in
thousands

% of
Sales

After Tax Income


before
Extraordinary
Charges and
Credits
Amount
in
thousands

% of
Sales

Employees
Sales
Per
Number Employee

After Tax
Income
Per
Employee

2009 1,285,167

n/c

1,064,770 82.9%

118,668

9.2%

58,277

4.5%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2010 1,945,114

51.4%

1,587,422 81.6%

221,370 11.4%

149,457

7.7%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2011 2,307,748

18.6%

1,783,995 77.3%

384,242 16.7%

260,389 11.3%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2012 2,572,741

11.5%

2,015,308 78.3%

404,782 15.7%

290,109 11.3%

1,020 2,522,295

284,421

Company Fundamentals\Price Analysis

PRICE ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi

High
Price

Low
Price

Closing
Price

Jan - Mar

1.986

1.610

1.793

n/a

n/a

Apr - Jun

2.536

1.510

2.058

14.7%

n/a

2.018

27.1%

Quarter
2013

7/12/2013

Quarterly
%Change

12 months
%Change

Company Fundamentals\Earnings & Dividends Analysis

EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS:

Holdings Ltd

Xinchen China Power

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi


Fiscal Year Ends in December
Earnings Per Share
12 Months
Fiscal
%
Years Earnings Change
n/c

Dividends Per Share

Quarterly Reported Earnings

12 Months

Q1
Mar.

Q2
Jun.

Q3
Sep.

Q4
Dec.

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Quarterly Reported Dividends


Q1
Mar.

Q2
Jun.

Q3
Sep.

Q4
Dec.

%
Payout

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

%
Dividends Change

2009

0.07

2010

0.19 156.2%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

2011

0.32

69.0%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

2012

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.07

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

10

Financial Statement AnalysesFinancial Statement Analyses\Balance Sheet - Common Size

Balance Sheet - (Common Size): Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets.


Total Assets are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Assets
Total Assets

3,080.0

2,763.1

1,918.9

1,511.0

27.4%

19.9%

14.3%

20.2%

27.4%

19.9%

14.3%

20.2%

Receivables (Net)

48.5%

57.5%

55.9%

46.6%

Inventories -Total

7.0%

8.0%

13.1%

13.8%

Raw Materials

3.8%

3.4%

2.6%

3.5%

Work in Process

0.6%

0.7%

1.4%

1.2%

Finished Goods

2.6%

3.9%

9.1%

9.1%

Prepaid Expenses

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

Other Current Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Current Assets - Total

83.0%

85.6%

83.5%

81.0%

Long Term Receivables

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Investment in Associated Companies

1.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Other Investments

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

19.4%

19.3%

23.7%

27.8%

8.8%

8.7%

11.1%

11.4%

10.6%

10.5%

12.6%

16.4%

4.8%

3.8%

3.9%

2.5%

Deferred Charges

2.0%

2.3%

3.3%

1.0%

Tangible Other Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Intangible Other Assets

2.9%

1.6%

0.6%

1.6%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Cash & Short Term Investments


Cash
Short Term Investments

Progress Payments & Other

Property Plant and Equipment - Gross


Accumulated Depreciation
Property Plant and Equipment Net
Other Assets

Total Assets

11

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity


Total Liabilities & Shareholders'
Equity

3,080.0

2,763.1

1,918.9

1,511.0

23.8%

35.2%

35.9%

37.1%

6.5%

5.9%

9.2%

6.2%

1.6%

1.1%

Other Current Liabilities

23.9%

19.3%

19.3%

21.2%

Current Liabilities - Total

55.7%

61.5%

64.4%

64.5%

Long Term Debt

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

Long Term Debt Excluding


Capitalized Leases

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Deferred Income

1.3%

1.0%

1.6%

0.2%

Deferred Taxes

-0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Deferred Taxes - Credit

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Deferred Taxes - Debit

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Other Liabilities

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Liabilities

57.1%

62.6%

66.2%

66.7%

Non-Equity Reserves

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

42.9%

37.4%

33.8%

33.3%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Accounts Payable
Short Term Debt & Current Portion of
Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable
Dividends Payable

Capitalized Lease Obligations


Provision for Risks and Charges

Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed


Reserves

Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP


ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
Common Equity
Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

12

13

Financial Statement Analyses\Balance Sheet - Year-Year % Change

Balance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change): Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Assets
Total Assets

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Cash & Short Term Investments

53.0%

101.1%

-10.5%

53.0%

101.1%

-10.5%

Receivables (Net)

-6.0%

48.0%

52.4%

Inventories -Total

-2.9%

-12.0%

20.5%

Raw Materials

25.3%

85.8%

-4.2%

Work in Process

-7.3%

-22.6%

43.1%

Finished Goods

-26.5%

-38.5%

26.8%

-24.6%

62.1%

-49.6%

8.0%

47.7%

30.8%

12.3%

17.1%

8.2%

Accumulated Depreciation

12.6%

13.4%

23.4%

Property Plant and Equipment Net

12.0%

20.4%

-2.4%

40.6%

40.8%

95.6%

-2.3%

-2.2%

332.4%

101.7%

276.8%

-51.2%

Cash
Short Term Investments

Progress Payments & Other


Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets
Current Assets - Total
Long Term Receivables
Investment in Associated Companies
Other Investments
Property Plant and Equipment - Gross

Other Assets
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets
Intangible Other Assets

14

Total Assets

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Total Liabilities & Shareholders'


Equity

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Accounts Payable

-24.7%

41.3%

22.7%

21.3%

-7.3%

90.3%

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Short Term Debt & Current Portion of


Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable

64.4%

Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities

38.1%

43.6%

15.9%

Current Liabilities - Total

1.0%

37.5%

26.9%

Long Term Debt

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

Long Term Debt Excluding


Capitalized Leases

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

46.4%

-10.2%

727.5%

-46.4%

27.3%

-31.1%

1.5%

36.2%

26.0%

28.1%

59.2%

29.0%

Capitalized Lease Obligations


Provision for Risks and Charges
Deferred Income
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed
Reserves
Other Liabilities
Total Liabilities
Non-Equity Reserves
Minority Interest
Preferred Stock
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP
ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
Common Equity

15

Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

16

Financial Statement Analyses\Income Statement - Common Size

Income Statement - (Common Size): Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues.


Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Net Sales or Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold

2012

2011

2010

2009

2,572.7 2,307.7 1,945.1 1,285.2


78.3%

77.3%

81.6%

82.9%

1.4%

1.8%

2.8%

3.7%

20.3%

20.9%

15.6%

13.4%

Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

5.0%

4.8%

6.2%

7.5%

Other Operating Expenses

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Operating Expenses - Total

84.7%

83.9%

90.6%

94.1%

Operating Income

15.3%

16.1%

9.4%

5.9%

Extraordinary Credit - Pretax

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Extraordinary Charge - Pretax

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Non-Operating Interest Income

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Gross Income

Reserves - Increase/Decrease
Pretax Equity in Earnings
Other Income/Expense - Net

-1.1%

-1.4%

-1.2%

-1.0%

Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &


Amortization (EBITDA)

15.7%

16.7%

11.4%

9.2%

Earnings before Interest & Taxes(EBIT)

14.4%

14.8%

8.6%

5.5%

Interest Expense on Debt

1.2%

2.0%

0.9%

0.9%

Interest Capitalized

0.1%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

Pretax Income

13.3%

13.2%

7.7%

4.6%

Income Taxes

2.0%

1.9%

0.0%

0.1%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Equity in Earnings

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

After Tax Other Income/Expense

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Discontinued Operations

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Net Income before Extraordinary Items/Preferred


Dividends

17

Extraordinary Items & Gain/Loss Sale of Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Dividend Requirements

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Net Income after Preferred Dividends - available to


Common

18

Financial Statement Analyses\Income Statement - Year-Year % Change

Income Statement - (Year to Year Percent Change): Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year.

Fiscal Year

2012

Net Sales or Revenues

11.5%

18.6%

51.4%

Cost of Goods Sold

13.0%

12.4%

49.1%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization

15.9%

-21.8%

12.0%

8.4%

58.5%

76.3%

16.1%

-8.3%

25.8%

12.5%

9.9%

45.8%

Gross Income
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

2011

2010

2009

Other Operating Expenses


Operating Expenses - Total
Operating Income

6.1%

102.8% 140.4%

Extraordinary Credit - Pretax


Extraordinary Charge - Pretax
Non-Operating Interest Income

23.3%

-48.6%

9.5%

Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &


Amortization (EBITDA)

5.3%

73.6%

86.5%

Earnings before Interest & Taxes(EBIT)

8.0%

Reserves - Increase/Decrease
Pretax Equity in Earnings
Other Income/Expense - Net

104.2% 137.2%

Interest Expense on Debt

36.6%

Interest Capitalized

74.1%

Pretax Income

12.3%

Income Taxes

17.5% 12,023.3% -70.4%

164.5%

59.5%

103.3% 151.8%

Minority Interest
Equity in Earnings
After Tax Other Income/Expense
19

Discontinued Operations
Net Income before Extraordinary Items/Preferred
Dividends

11.4%

74.2% 156.5%

11.4%

74.2% 156.5%

Extraordinary Items & Gain/Loss Sale of Assets


Preferred Dividend Requirements
Net Income after Preferred Dividends - available to
Common

20

Financial Statement Analyses\Sources of Capital - Net Change

Sources of Capital: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Currency figures are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.


Year to year % changes pertain to reported Balance Sheet values.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Total Capital

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


1,322.5

1,036.4

652.5

534.5

Short Term Debt

15.0%

15.8%

27.1%

17.4%

Long Term Debt

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.0%

Other Liabilities

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Liabilities

132.9%

167.0%

194.7%

188.7%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

90.2%

87.1%

68.7%

56.6%

Common Equity

100.0%

99.6%

99.4%

94.0%

Total Capital

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Short Term Debt

3.5

-1.3

8.4

9.3

Long Term Debt

-0.4

0.0

-2.8

3.2

Other Liabilities

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Total Liabilities

2.7

46.0

26.2

100.8

Minority Interest

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Preferred Stock

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Retained Earnings

29.0

45.4

14.6

30.3

Common Equity

29.0

38.4

14.6

50.3

Total Capital

28.6

38.4

11.8

53.5

Short Term Debt

21.3%

-7.3%

90.3%

Long Term Debt

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

Percent of Total Capital

Retained Earnings

Year to Year Net Changes

Year to Year Percent Changes

Other Liabilities
21

Total Liabilities

1.5%

36.2%

26.0%

Retained Earnings

32.2%

101.2%

48.3%

Common Equity

28.1%

59.2%

29.0%

Total Capital

27.6%

58.8%

22.1%

1,757.5

1,730.7

1,270.4

1,008.5

1.5%

26.6%

20.6%

100.0%

1,322.5

1,032.4

648.5

502.5

21.9%

37.2%

22.5%

100.0%

Operating Activities

386.4

223.0

-23.0

142.8

Financing Activities

29.7

65.8

54.9

75.3

Investing Activities

79.1

27.8

2.2

199.6

Minority Interest
Preferred Stock

Total Liabilities & Common Equity


Total Liabilities
Net Change in Liabilities as
% of Total Liabilities
Common Equity
Net Change in Common Equity as
% of Common Equity
Cash Flow

22

Financial Ratio AnalysesFinancial Ratio Analyses\Accounting Ratios

Accounting Ratios: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Receivables Turnover

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


1.7

1.5

1.8

218.8

210.6

166.8

9.2

7.6

6.9

39.5

48.3

52.9

Gross Property, Plant & Equipment


Turnover

4.3

4.3

4.3

3.1

Net Property, Plant & Equipment


Turnover

7.9

7.9

8.0

5.2

5.9%

7.9%

11.8%

11.4%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Year to Year Change

-0.7

-1.2

0.6

4.8

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Year to Year % Change

-15.9%

-21.8%

12.0%

Receivables - Number of Days


Inventory Turnover
Inventory - Number of Days

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


% of Gross Property, Plant & Equipment

1.8

23

Financial Ratio Analyses\Asset Utilization

Asset Utilization: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales.


Net Sales are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Net Sales

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


2,572.7

2,307.7

1,945.1

1,285.2

32.7%

23.9%

14.1%

23.8%

58.1%

68.9%

55.2%

54.8%

Inventories

8.3%

9.6%

12.9%

16.2%

Other Current Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Current Assets

99.3%

102.5%

82.3%

95.3%

1.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Long Term Receivables

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Investments in Associated
Companies

1.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Property, Plant & Equipment - Gross

23.2%

23.1%

23.4%

32.7%

Accumulated Depreciation

10.6%

10.4%

10.9%

13.4%

Property Plant & Equipment - Net

12.7%

12.6%

12.4%

19.3%

Other Assets

5.8%

4.6%

3.9%

3.0%

Total Assets

119.7%

119.7%

98.7%

117.6%

Cash & Cash Equivalents


Short-Term Investments
Accounts Receivable

Total Long Term Receivables &


Investments

Other Investments

24

Financial Ratio Analyses\Employee Efficiency

Employee Efficiency: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Values per Employee are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Employees

2012
12/31/2012
1,020

Values per Employee


Sales

2,522,295

Net Income

284,421

Cash Earnings

344,975

Working Capital

821,845

Total Debt

195,049

Total Capital

1,296,570

Total Assets

3,019,645

Year to Year % Change per Employee


Employees
Sales
Net Income
Cash Earnings
Working Capital
Total Debt
Total Capital
Total Assets

25

Financial Ratio Analyses\Fixed Charges Coverage

Fixed Charges Coverage: Xinchen


Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

China Power Holdings Ltd


2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

EBIT/Total Interest Expense

12.4

7.3

9.4

6.3

EBIT/Net Interest

15.0

8.0

17.6

19.5

EBIT/(Total Interest Exp + Pfd Div)

12.4

7.3

9.4

6.3

EBITDA/Total Interest Expense

13.6

8.2

12.5

10.7

EBITDA/Net Interest

16.5

9.0

23.2

32.8

EBITDA/(Total Interest Exp + Pfd Div)

13.6

8.2

12.5

10.7

EBIT/Dividends on Common Shares


EBIT/(Dividends on Common + Pfd)

EBITDA/Dividends on Com Shares


EBITDA/(Dividends on Com + Pfd)

26

Financial Ratio Analyses\Leverage Analysis

Leverage Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Long Term Debt % of EBIT

0.0%

1.2%

2.4%

45.3%

Long Term Debt % of EBITDA

0.0%

1.0%

1.8%

27.0%

Long Term Debt % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

Long Term Debt % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.0%

Long Term Debt % of Com Equity

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.4%

Total Debt % of EBIT

53.9%

49.1%

108.0%

177.0%

Total Debt % of EBITDA

49.1%

43.7%

81.7%

105.3%

Total Debt % of Total Assets

6.5%

6.1%

9.4%

8.3%

Total Debt % of Total Capital

15.0%

16.2%

27.7%

23.4%

Total Debt % of Total Capital & Short


Term Debt

13.1%

14.0%

21.8%

19.9%

Total Debt % of Common Equity

15.0%

16.3%

27.9%

24.9%

Minority Interest % of EBIT

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of EBITDA

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Com Equity

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of EBIT

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of EDITDA

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Equity

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Common Equity % of Total Assets

42.9%

37.4%

33.8%

33.3%

Common Equity % of Total Capital

100.0%

99.6%

99.4%

94.0%

Total Capital % of Total Assets

42.9%

37.5%

34.0%

35.4%

Capital Expenditure % of Sales

1.4%

2.8%

4.7%

2.7%

27

Fixed Assets % of Common Equity

24.7%

28.2%

37.3%

49.3%

Working Capital % of Total Capital

63.4%

64.3%

56.0%

46.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

176.9%

191.3%

116.6%

86.1%

Dividend Payout
Funds From Operations % of Total Debt

28

Financial Ratio Analyses\Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Total Current Assets % Net Sales

99.3%

102.5%

82.3%

95.3%

Cash % of Current Assets

33.0%

23.3%

17.1%

25.0%

Cash & Equivalents % of Current Assets

33.0%

23.3%

17.1%

25.0%

1.4

1.3

1.1

1.0

58.5%

67.2%

67.0%

57.5%

Receivable Turnover - number of days

218.8

210.6

166.8

Inventories % of Current Assets

8.4%

9.3%

15.7%

39.5

48.3

52.9

1,412.6

896.4

392.3

527.9

48.5%

57.5%

55.9%

46.6%

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.3

Total Debt % of Total Capital

13.1%

14.0%

21.8%

19.9%

Funds from Operations % of Current


Liabilities

20.5%

18.9%

17.1%

11.1%

8,032.5%

5,273.1%

336.4%

176.9%

191.3%

116.6%

86.1%

26.6%

31.0%

32.3%

20.1%

Operating Activities

386.4

223.0

-23.0

142.8

Financing Activities

29.7

65.8

54.9

75.3

Investing Activities

79.1

27.8

2.2

199.6

Quick Ratio
Receivables % of Current Assets

Inventory Turnover - number of days


Inventory to Cash & Equivalents number of days
Receivables % of Total Assets
Current Ratio

Funds from Operations % of Long Term


Debt
Funds from Operations % of Total Debt
Funds from Operations % of Total
Capital

17.0%

Cash Flow (in milllions of Chinese


Renmimbi)

29

Financial Ratio Analyses\Per-Share Ratios

Per Share Data: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as per unit of respective shares.


Figures are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Sales

2.74

2.45

9.73

6.43

Operating Income

0.42

0.39

0.91

0.38

Pre-tax Income

0.36

0.32

0.75

0.30

Net Income (Continuing Operations)

0.36

0.32

0.75

0.30

Net Income Before Extra Items

0.31

0.28

0.75

0.29

Extraordinary Items

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Net Income After Extraordinary Items

0.31

0.28

0.75

0.29

Net Income Available to Common


Shares

0.31

0.32

0.19

0.07

Fully Diluted Earnings

0.31

0.32

0.19

0.07

Cash Earnings

0.37

0.39

0.26

0.13

Book Value

1.41

1.10

3.24

2.51

Retained Earnings

1.27

0.96

2.24

1.51

Assets

3.28

2.94

9.59

7.55

Common Dividends

30

Financial Ratio Analyses\Profitability Growth

Profitability Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Currency figures are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Gross Income Margin

20.3%

20.9%

15.6%

13.4%

Operating Income Margin

15.3%

16.1%

9.4%

5.9%

Pretax Income Margin

13.3%

13.2%

7.7%

4.6%

EBIT Margin

14.4%

14.8%

8.6%

5.5%

Net Income Margin

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Return on Equity - Total

24.6%

31.0%

26.0%

Return on Invested Capital

23.0%

28.8%

22.9%

Return on Assets

10.7%

12.5%

9.7%

0.8

0.8

1.0

0.9

15.0%

16.3%

27.9%

24.9%

Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
Interest Expense on Debt

29,774,000 46,951,000 17,753,000 11,130,000

Effective Tax Rate

15.2%

14.5%

0.2%

2.1%

Cash Flow % Sales

13.7%

13.9%

10.8%

8.4%

Selling, General & Administrative


Expenses % of Sales

5.0%

4.8%

6.2%

7.5%

Research & Development Expense

0.6%

0.9%

1.0%

1.0%

Operating Income Return On Total


Capital

27.6%

58.8%

22.1%

31

Wright Quality Rating AnalysesWright Quality Rating Analyses\Investment Acceptance

Wright Quality Rating - Investment Acceptance: Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Currency figures are in millions of U.S. Dollars.
Wright Quality Rating

Investment Acceptance Rating

DANN
DANN

Total Market Value of Shares Outstanding - Three Year Average


- Current Year

0
329

Public Market Value (Excludes Closely Held) - Three Year Average


- Current Year

0
329

Trading Volume - Three Year Average


- Current Year
Turnover Rate - Three Year Average
- Current Year
Stock Exchange Listings
Number of Institutional Investors

0.0%
0.0%
HKG
0

Number of Shareholders
Closely Held Shares as % of Total Shares Outstanding

0.0%

32

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Financial Strength

Wright Quality Rating - Financial Strength: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Wright Quality Rating
Financial Strength Rating
Total Shareholders' Equity (Millions of U.S. Dollars)
Total Shareholders' Equity as % Total Capital

ANN

ANN
212

100.0%

Preferred Stock as % of Total Capital

0.0%

Long Term Debt as % of Total Capital

0.0%

Long Term Debt (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Lease Obligations (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Long Term Debt including Leases (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Total Debt as % of Total Capital

13.1%

Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio: Pretax Income to Interest Expense & Preferred
Dividends

12.5

Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio: Pretax Income to Net Interest Income & Preferred
Dividends

15.1

Quick Ratio (Cash & Receivables / Current Liabilities)

1.4

Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities)

1.5

33

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Profitability & Stability

Wright Quality Rating - Profitability & Stability: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Wright Quality Rating
Profitability & Stability Rating

DA

NN

DA

NN

Profit Rate of Earnings on Equity Capital - Time-Weighted Normal


- Basic Trend
Cash Earnings Return on Equity - Time-Weighted Average
- Basic Trend
Cash Earnings Return on Equity - Stability Index
Return On Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Pre-Tax Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Capital (Adjusted Rate)

0.0%

Pre-Tax Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)


Operating Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Capital (Adjusted Rate)

0.0%

34

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Corporate Growth

Wright Quality Rating - Corporate Growth: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Figures are expressed on a Per Share Basis.

Wright Quality Rating

DAN

Growth Rating

DAN

Normal Earnings Growth

0.0%

Cash Earnings Growth

0.0%

Cash Earnings Stability Index

0.0%

Earned Equity Growth

0.0%

Dividend Growth

0.0%

Operating Income Growth

0.0%

Assets Growth

0.0%

Sales/Revenues Growth

0.0%

Copyright 2000-2012. Distributed by Wright Investors' Service, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Except for quotations by established news media, no pages in this report may be reproduced,
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investment advice, and should not be relied upon for investment decisions.
This report is provided as is, without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including, but
not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose or non-infringement.

35

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013
Equity Indices

IN TODAYS ISSUE
Stocks

Last

Power Xinchen
(1148.HK)

2.68

Zhongyu Gas
(3633.HK)

1.85

Target
3.00
2.20

Stop
losses
2.40
1.60

Positive Factors
BMWs transfer of engine
technology. Production
capacity growth
Adverse impact factored in.
Share price may catch up

QE-exit fears calmed by Bernankes comments. NASDAQ hit new high


Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said in his testimony to Congress
that the U.S. central banks asset purchases are by no means on a preset
course, and the pace of asset purchases would depend on the economic
health, while the accommodative monetary policy will remain appropriate.
The U.S. three major indices rallied, among which the Dow edged up 18
points, closing at 15,470. The NASDAQ hit a fresh high at closing. Hong
Kong ADRs gained in the U.S. market, with their closing prices effectively
putting the HSI at 21,465, up 93 points. New York gold futures in August
marched beyond the US$1,300/oz level in early trade, but it pared early gain
after Bernanke said the Fed would begin scaling back its asset purchases
later this year, and it closed at US$1,277.5/oz, down US$12.9/oz. Led by a
decline in U.S. crude inventory last week, New York crude oil futures in
August closed at US$106.48/bbl, up US$0.48/bbl.
HSI rose 59 pts as investors kept wait-and-watch attitude
Hong Kong stocks were in range-bound trading as the market stayed on the
sidelines ahead of Fed chairman Ben Bernankes congressional testimony
tonight. The Hang Seng Index opened 56-point higher but reversed part of
early gain in the afternoon session. The HSI closed at 21,371, up 59 points.
The HSCEI closed at 9,480, up 61 points. Market turnover was HK$48.47bn.
The Shanghai Composite fell ~1% at 2,044 points.
Jewelry retailers were driven up after Luk Fook (590.HK, HK$22.1) surged
~6% on a sharp rise of first-quarter same-store sales growth. King Fook
(280.HK, HK$0.67) soared 17.5% after it said it would close down the
losing-making securities arm by the end of July. China Shenhua (1088.HK,
HK$21.8) jumped 5.3% as both coal output and coal sales increased in June,
while the three major coal mining stocks rebounded. China Resources
(Holdings) chairman Song Lin was involved in graft accusations, which led
to a slump of the groups and subsidiaries share prices, among which CR
Power (836.HK, HK$17.98) plummeted 10%. Anhui Conch (914.HK,
HK$23.4) gained 6.1% after it sold its cement and clinker production line.

Close

d-d (%)

YTD
(%)

Hang Seng Index

21,371

0.3

(5.7)

HSCEI

9,480

0.7

(17.1)

DJIA

15,470

0.1

18.1

S&P 500

1,680

0.3

17.9

NASDAQ

3,610

0.3

19.6

DAX

8,254

0.7

8.4

CAC 40

3,872

0.5

6.3

FTSE 100

6,571

0.2

11.4

Nikkei 225

14,615

0.4

41.1

Taiwan weighted

8,258

(0.0)

7.3

Shanghai Comp.

2,044

(1.0)

(9.9)

Shenzhen Comp.

8,063

(1.5)

(11.5)

Hong Kong Market Turnover


HK$bn
HSI

% chg.

14.9

3.4

HSCCI

4.2

27.1

HSCEI

9.9

21.3

48.5

0.0

Main Board

Major ETF
Close

1D chg
(%)

5D chg
(%)

CSOP A50
(2822.HK)

9.17

(0.50)

2.60

ChinaAMC CSI
300 (3188.HK)

28.95

(0.50)

3.40

E Fund CSI 100


(3100.HK)

27.00

(0.60)

2.90

X WISE CSI 300


(2827.HK)

24.95

(1.00)

2.50

SPDR Gold Trust


(2840.HK)

964.00

(0.10)

2.80

Value Gold ETF


(3081.HK)

31.50

(0.30)

1.60

Value Japan ETF


(3084.HK)

12.60

0.20

1.80

C-SHS CSI 300


(3008.HK)

14.44

(0.10)

3.90

Source: Bloomberg

Reports available at:


http://www.shkfg.com
http://www.thomsonreuters.com
http://www.capitaliq.com
Bloomberg Code: <shkr>
Sun Hung Kai Financial

36

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

HSI consolidated while waiting for breakout of 250-day MA

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Power Xinchen to ride on BMWs tech transfer and new production capacity
China has seen strong vehicle sales in 2013 with vehicle sales up 12.3% yoy to
10.78mn units in 1H13. Demand for auto components improved on the back of positive
stock replenishment among automakers and rapid production of new vehicles. The
Ministry of Commerce said China recorded over 120mn units of total vehicles in use in
2012, almost a double from 2007. The auto industry will be under a high turnover
period amid a sharp rise of vehicles in use, which could be supportive for the
development of auto-component industry.
Power Xinchen (1148.HK, HK$2.68), a spin-off of BMWs authorized carmaker
Brilliance China (1114.HK, HK$9.10), is principally engaged in production and sales
of automotive engines for passenger and light-duty commercial vehicles in China.
Power Xinchens share price has recently gained the momentum and it is a good stock
pick for short-term speculation.
Power Xinchens CEO earlier confirmed that BMW agreed on the transfer of engine
technology and therefore Power Xinchen may start production by mid-2014. The new
engines shall be applied to BMW Brilliance 5-series and Brilliance Chinas light
commercial vehicle Jinbei. The technology transfer may bode well for Power
Xinchen to improve its engine quality and expand its market share. In addition, Power
Xinchens joint venture with Dongfeng Motor (486.HK, HK$9.59) may enhance
technological progress and business development in the future.
The production facilities have maintained a 100% utilization rate over the past four
years and the new production base in Mianyang would further expand production
capacity. On the other hand, the new production line (possibly commenced by 2014)
may lift gross margin as it enables production of high-end automotive engines with an
annual target of 50,000 units of BMW-authorized engines.
The valuation is appealing with a 7X historical P/E. Technically, the share price
yesterday rallied beyond the 10-day MA, 20-day MA and the short-term downtrend
and further uptrend is expected. Recommendation: Buy now, targeting HK$3.00, with
stop-losses at HK$2.40.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

37

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Xinchen Power (1148.HK) rallied beyond 10-day, 20-day MA and short-term downtrend

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Zhongyu Gas may catch up with adverse impact factored in


With rumors about Chinas natural gas price hike for non-household users, the
downstream natural gas suppliers have been under downside pressure, while some
industry peers such as ENN Energy (2688.HK, HK$43.90), China Gas (384.HK,
HK$8.70) rebounded and tested their highs following corrections. In our view,
Zhongyu Gas (3633.HK, HK$1.85) may catch up due to its recent underperformance.
Zhongyu Gas is a leading natural gas supplier in Shandong and Henan with business
operations in 34 cities as of the end of 2012. Net profit sharply rose 160% in FY12.
However, the natural gas providers share price was dragged down after it reported
disappointing 1Q13 results, with revenue up 13% to HK$710mn and net profit up 9%
only to HK$40.39mn during the period.
The forecast-missing results in 1Q13 may be attributable to an absence of large
natural-gas projects in operation during the period, and hence we believe there could be
a remarkable growth in gas projects when the West-East Gas Pipeline projects are put
into operation soon. Meanwhile, the share price may be driven higher if the
second-quarter results could improve from the first quarter. We remain our positive
view towards Zhongyu Gas as the central government is striving to promote the use of
clean energy to tackle pollution problems with policy support for the natural gas
industrys long-term development.
With negative impact fully factored in, the share price is technically staying flat and is
reasonably valued. Recommendation: Buy now, targeting HK$2.20, with stop-losses at
HK$1.60.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

38

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Zhongyu Gas (3633.HK) found support at 250-day MA

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

39

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

ECONOMIC DATA RELEASES AND EVENTS


Date
Thu 18 Jul

Fri 19 Jul
Mon 22 Jul

Tue 23 Jul

Wed 24 Jul

Thu 25 Jul

Country/region Event

Period

Survey

Prior

Jun

1.0%

0.3%

China

Actual FDI (YoY)

US

Initial Jobless Claims

Jul 12

US

Continuing Claims

Jul 6

US

Philadelphia Fed.

Jul

5.5

12.5

US

Leading Indicators

Jun

0.3%

0.1%

China

Property Prices

Jun

Japan

All Industry Activity Index (MoM)

May

1.2%

0.4%

US

Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index

Jun

-0.30

US

Existing Home Sales

Jun

5.27M

5.18M

US

Existing Home Sales MoM

Jun

1.6%

4.2%

US

House Price Index MoM

May

0.7%

US

Richmond Fed Manufact. Index

Jul

Euro-Zone

Consumer Confidence (Advance)

Jul

-18.8

China

HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

Jul

48.2

US

MBA Mortgage Applications

Jul 19

US

Markit US PMI Preliminary

Jul

US

New Home Sales

Jun

484K

476K

US

New Home Sales MoM

Jun

1.7%

2.1%

Euro-Zone

PMI Manufacturing (Advance)

Jul

48.8

Euro-Zone

PMI Services (Advance)

Jul

48.3

Euro-Zone

PMI Composite (Advance)

Jul

48.7

US

Initial Jobless Claims

Jul 19

US

Continuing Claims

Jul 13

US

Durable Goods Orders

Jun

1.0%

3.7%

Euro-Zone

M3 (YoY)

Jun

2.9%

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial; Note: Hong Kong time

Sun Hung Kai Financial

40

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

APPENDICES
MAJOR INDEX FORWARD P/E
HSI

HSCEI

Shanghai Composite

S&P 500

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Major Index Valuations and Estimated Earnings Growth


FY12E P/E
(X)

Long-term avg.
fwd. P/E (X)

Deviation
from avg. (%)

FY1 EPS growth


(%)

FY2 EPS growth


(%)

HSI

10.2

14.1

(27.8)

(2.8)

8.6

HSCEI

7.0

13.5

(47.6)

10.0

9.4

Shanghai
Composite

9.0

18.0

(50.0)

22.6

13.0

S&P 500

15.2

14.5

5.1

6.6

11.6

Index

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

41

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

MARKET DATA
Previous Days Best/Worst Performers
Stock
code

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

1W chg.
(%)

1M chg.
(%)

Ytd chg.
(%)

Turnover
(HK$m)

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)

Best
Anhui Conch

914.HK

23.400

6.1

13.6

6.6

(17.0)

810.3

11.7

10.1

China Shenhua

1088.HK

21.800

5.3

7.9

(7.4)

(35.8)

502.1

7.5

7.2

CNBM

3323.HK

6.930

3.6

8.8

(5.1)

(38.9)

373.2

4.6

3.8

China Coal

1898.HK

4.100

3.0

1.7

(12.4)

(51.3)

143.7

6.6

6.4

Minsheng Bank

1988.HK

8.250

2.5

8.3

(5.1)

(7.9)

594.4

4.5

4.1

China Res Power

836.HK

17.980

(10.0)

(10.8)

(2.4)

(9.1)

831.5

8.8

8.0

Tsingtao Brewery

168.HK

57.050

(3.1)

2.2

6.2

24.7

74.1

29.9

25.9

BYD Company

1211.HK

31.450

(2.9)

10.9

(4.6)

35.3

118.0

57.2

39.7

Weichai Power

2338.HK

24.050

(2.8)

4.8

(7.0)

(30.1)

38.1

10.6

9.0

916.HK

8.190

(2.7)

0.0

2.9

52.8

136.5

17.0

13.3

Worst

China Longyuan

Note: Best/worst performers from HSI, HSCEI and HSCCI.

HSCI Volume Filter


Company

Stock
code

HN Renewables

958.HK

2.820

(5.1)

China Res Power

836.HK

17.980

(10.0)

CITIC Resources

1205.HK

1.120

82.HK

0.590

171.HK

Vodone
Silver Grant Int'l

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

Avg. vol.
(m shares)

Prev. vol.
(m shares)

%
increase

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)

27.0

187.9

596.6

17.6

12.9

10.3

45.6

341.7

8.8

8.0

2.8

4.9

19.4

295.3

8.6

5.5

7.3

8.9

31.1

251.4

N/A

N/A

1.130

0.9

0.8

2.5

214.8

N/A

N/A

468.HK

4.660

(2.3)

2.9

8.6

193.0

14.7

11.7

China Dongxiang

3818.HK

1.340

1.5

19.1

55.2

188.7

29.4

25.8

China Power

GA Pack

2380.HK

3.020

3.8

14.1

40.4

187.1

8.4

7.7

Luk Fook

590.HK

22.100

6.0

2.7

7.4

174.2

9.7

8.0

AMVIG

2300.HK

3.200

2.9

0.6

1.5

169.6

7.6

7.0

* Volume filter applies to Hang Seng Composite Index constituents only


** Average volume is for the previous 30 trading days

Most Short Sold Stocks


Company

Stock
code

Tencent

700.HK

330.000

0.1

261.0

5.1%

Anhui Conch

914.HK

23.400

6.1

248.0

4.8%

1988.HK

8.250

2.5

198.7

5.HK

85.500

0.5

939.HK

5.490

0.4

Minsheng Bank
HSBC
CCB

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

Short sell
volume
(HK$m)

% of total
market turnover

% stock's
own turnover

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)

16.7%

29.0

23.9

30.6%

11.7

10.1

3.9%

33.4%

4.5

4.1

179.2

3.5%

27.6%

11.2

10.3

170.5

3.3%

17.8%

5.1

4.8

3.0%

18.7%

China Mobile

941.HK

81.950

0.7

154.1

10.3

10.7

PetroChina

857.HK

9.190

0.8

117.8

2.3%

24.2%

10.3

9.5

China Shenhua

1088.HK

21.800

5.3

98.6

1.9%

19.6%

7.5

7.2

AIA

1299.HK

34.400

(0.1)

86.7

1.7%

18.0%

17.9

15.7

883.HK

13.780

0.4

84.4

1.6%

16.2%

8.0

7.7

CNOOC

* Applies to Hang Seng Composite Index constituents only

Sun Hung Kai Financial

42

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Treasury Yields / Interest Rates


Latest (%)

5D chg. (bps)

30D chg. (bps)

Ytd chg. (bps)

yoy chg. (bps)

U.S. 2-year Treasury yield

0.2926

(3.65)

3.05

5.35

5.47

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield

2.4757

(9.64)

29.03

59.95

96.79

U.S. 30-year Treasury yield

3.5668

(6.29)

22.53

67.27

96.33

HK 1-month HIBOR

0.2079

0.07

0.14

(13.29)

(9.39)

HK 3-month HIBOR

0.3829

0.14

0.64

0.29

(1.96)

SH 1-month SHIBOR

4.5300

40.20

(275.20)

(147.00)

140.78

SH 3-month SHIBOR

4.6620

(2.90)

(65.70)

(80.71)

86.88

Exchange Rates
5D % chg.

30D % chg.

Ytd % chg.

yoy % chg.

USD/HKD

Latest
7.7574

0.0

(0.0)

(0.1)

(0.0)

EUR/USD

1.3116

0.1

(2.1)

(0.6)

6.9

GBP/USD

1.5213

0.2

(2.7)

(6.4)

(2.7)

USD/JPY

99.6700

0.7

4.6

(13.0)

26.4

AUD/USD

0.9213

0.3

(2.9)

(11.3)

(10.1)

NZD/USD

0.7890

0.5

(1.3)

(4.7)

(1.1)

USD/CAD

1.0408

0.4

1.9

(4.7)

2.6

USD Index

82.6760

(0.1)

2.6

3.6

(0.5)

Latest

5D % chg.

30D % chg.

Ytd % chg.

yoy % chg.

1,277.1

(0.7)

(6.6)

(23.7)

(19.6)

19.4

(3.9)

(10.6)

(36.0)

(29.1)

Aluminum (USD/t)

1,803.5

(0.8)

(2.2)

(13.0)

(5.9)

Copper (USD/t)

6,890.0

1.0

(2.7)

(13.1)

(10.4)

507.5

0.0

(1.9)

(4.7)

(6.9)

84.3

(3.5)

(5.2)

11.3

16.8

CRB Index

288.0

0.6

0.6

(2.4)

(2.7)

Brent (USD/barrel)

109.4

1.8

3.3

(1.1)

7.1

WTI (USD/barrel)

106.5

(0.0)

8.9

16.0

20.4

Energy and Raw Material Prices

Gold (USD/oz.)
Silver (USD/oz.)

Hot roll steel (USD/t)


Cotton (USD/lb.)

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

43

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Companies Listed on both the A-share and H-share Markets

H share
code

Price
(HK$)

A share
code

Price
(RMB)

A-share
premium to
H-share (%)

H share
code

Price
(HK$)

A share
code

Price
(RMB)

A-share
premium to
H-share (%)

Yizheng Chem

1033

2.090

600871

8.470

412.4

SZ Expressway

548

2.640

600548

2.740

31.2

Shandong Molong

568

2.360

002490

8.720

367.1

CEA

670

2.390

600115

2.450

29.6

Luoyang Glass

1108

1.410

600876

4.640

316.0

CSCL

2866

1.930

601866

1.930

26.4

Shanghai Petrochem

338

2.500

600688

8.190

314.2

Dongfang Electric

1072

10.580

600875

10.370

23.9

Chongqing Iron

1053

1.050

601005

2.850

243.2

Anhui Expressway

995

3.590

600012

3.510

23.6

Tianjin Capital

1065

2.890

600874

7.770

239.9

China Oilfield

2883

15.560

601808

14.840

20.6

Beiren Printing

187

3.390

600860

8.780

227.4

Maanshan Iron

323

1.760

600808

1.630

17.1

NE Electric

42

0.930

000585

2.320

215.4

CSA

1055

3.020

600029

2.730

14.3

Kunming Machine

300

2.000

600806

4.780

202.2

CM Bank

3968

13.160

600036

11.400

9.5

Nanjing Panda

553

3.560

600775

8.010

184.5

Huadian Power

1071

3.560

600027

3.080

9.4

Shandong Xinhua

719

1.900

000756

4.120

174.1

PetroChina

857

9.190

601857

7.920

9.0

Yanzhou Coal

1171

5.630

600188

10.110

127.0

A-H PREMIUM

-----

-----

-----

-----

8.2

Beijing N Star

588

1.720

601588

2.990

119.8

China COSCO

1919

3.410

601919

2.910

7.9

Jingwei Textile

350

4.780

000666

7.760

105.2

Bank of China

3988

3.170

601988

2.680

6.9

Zijin Mining

2899

1.560

601899

2.530

105.0

ABC

1288

3.120

601288

2.540

2.9

Datang Power

991

3.350

601991

5.380

103.0

ICBC

1398

4.930

601398

3.950

1.3

Hisense Kelon

921

5.040

000921

7.760

94.7

Sinopec

386

5.560

600028

4.450

1.2

Dalian Port

2880

1.500

601880

2.250

89.6

CCB

939

5.490

601939

4.370

0.6

Guangzhou Ship

317

6.560

600685

9.530

83.7

BoComm

3328

4.970

601328

3.950

0.5

Sichuan Expressway

107

1.970

601107

2.690

72.6

CSR

1766

4.880

601766

3.790

(1.8)

Chenming Paper

1812

2.960

000488

3.900

66.6

China Shenhua

1088

21.800

601088

16.280

(5.6)

Jiangxi Copper

358

12.840

600362

16.600

63.4

Air China

753

5.350

601111

3.990

(5.7)

CHALCO

2600

2.520

601600

3.240

62.5

Sh Pharma

2607

15.320

601607

11.260

(7.1)

SH Electric

2727

2.630

601727

3.350

61.0

Weichai Power

2338

24.050

000338

17.600

(7.5)

MCC

1618

1.350

601618

1.630

52.6

China Life

2628

18.680

601628

13.540

(8.4)

China Coal

1898

4.100

601898

4.920

51.7

Guangshen Railway

525

3.230

601333

2.290

(10.4)

Guangzhou Phar

874

29.550

600332

35.290

51.0

Tsingtao Brewery

168

57.050

600600

38.800

(14.0)

Xinjiang Goldwind

2208

4.730

002202

5.640

50.8

China Railway

390

3.750

601390

2.550

(14.0)

ZTE

763

11.580

000063

13.690

49.5

Ping An

2318

50.650

601318

34.380

(14.2)

BYD Company

1211

31.450

002594

35.020

40.8

Huaneng Power

902

8.230

600011

5.450

(16.3)

Minsheng Bank

1988

8.250

600016

9.040

38.5

Jiangsu Expressway

177

7.840

600377

5.130

(17.3)

Guangzhou Automobile

2238

7.570

601238

8.280

38.3

Angang Steel

347

4.210

000898

2.740

(17.7)

China Ship Dev

1138

3.300

600026

3.540

35.6

CPIC

2601

25.750

601601

16.690

(18.1)

BBMG

2009

4.640

601992

4.930

34.3

China Rail Cons

1186

7.180

601186

4.550

(19.9)

CITIC Bank

998

3.600

601998

3.820

34.2

Anhui Conch

914

23.400

600585

14.390

(22.3)

Company

Company

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

44

Investment Daily Note

18 July 2013

Address:

42/F, The Lee Gardens, 33 Hysan Avenue, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong

Phone:

(852) 3920 2888

Fax:

(852) 3920 2789

Web:

http://www.shkfg.com

Analysts
Hannah Li, CAIA
Minnie Li
Disclosure of Interests
Research Analyst Certification
The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst(s)
primarily responsible for this report; and the analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Sun Hung Kai Investment Services Limited
("SHKIS") and its affiliates (collectively called "SHKF") which includes revenue from investment banking activities.
Research Analyst Conflicts
Financial Interests:
The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and/or his/her/their associates has/have no financial interests in relation to listed corporation(s)
covered in this report.
Relevant Relationships:
The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and his/her/their associates do not serve as officer(s) of listed corporation(s) covered in this report.
SHKF's Financial Interests and Business Relationships
SHKF may make a market in, or may, as principal or agent, buy or sell securities (or derivatives thereon) of issuer(s) mentioned in this report. SHKF
may have a financial interest in the issuer(s) mentioned in this report, including a long or short position in its/their securities and/or options, futures or
other derivative instruments based thereon, or vice versa. Likewise, SHKF, including its officers or employees may serve or have served as an officer,
director or in an advisory capacity for any issuer(s) mentioned in this report. SHKF may also, from time to time, solicit, perform or have performed
investment banking, underwriting or other services (including acting as adviser, manager, underwriter or lender) within the last 12 months for any
issuer(s) referred to in this report. Information about conflicts of interest relevant to this report is available at this SHKF website:
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Disclaimer
This report is provided for information and discussion purposes only. None of the views contained in this report constitute a solicitation or an offer by
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Sun Hung Kai Financial

10

45

2013 7 18

2013 7 18

1148.HK

2.68

3.00

2.40

(%)

(%)

21,371

0.3

(5.7)

9,480

0.7

(17.1)

15,470

0.1

18.1

500

1,680

0.3

17.9

3,610

0.3

19.6
8.4

DAX

8,254

0.7

CAC40

3,872

0.5

6.3

100

6,571

0.2

11.4

225

14,615

0.4

41.1

8,258

(0.0)

7.3

2,044

(1.0)

(9.9)

8,063

(1.5)

(11.5)

3633.HK

1.85

2.20

1.60

18 15,470
ADR 21,465 93
8 1,300
1,277.5 12.9
8 106.48

(%)

14.9

3.4

4.2

27.1

9.9

21.3

48.5

0.0

ETF

48

1
(%)

5
(%)

A50
(2822.HK)

9.17

(0.5)

2.6

(3188.HK)

28.95

(0.5)

3.4

56 21,371 59

(3100.HK)

27

(0.6)

2.9

9.33

(0.4)

3.2

24.95

(1.0)

2.5

59

9,480 61 484.7
2,044 1%

X A50
(2823.HK)
X 300
(2827.HK)
SPDR ETF
(2840.HK)
ETF
(3081.HK)

964

(0.1)

2.8

31.5

(0.3)

1.6

17.5%

ETF
(3084.HK)

12.6

0.2

1.8

1088.HK 21.8 6

(3008.HK)

14.44

(0.1)

3.9

590.HK22.1 6%
280.HK0.67

5.3%

836.HK 17.98
914.HK23.4
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http://www.shkfg.com
http://www.thomsonreuters.com
http://www.capitaliq.com
<shkr>

46

2013 7 18

250

12.3% 1,078


1.2 2007

1114.HK9.10
1148.H2.68


5

489.HK9.59

4

5

47

2013 7 18


7
10 20
3.00 2.40

1148.HK 10 20

48

2013 7 18



2688.HK43.90
384.HK
8.70
3633.HK 1.85

34 160%
13% 7.1 9%
4,039.4







2.20 1.60

3633.HK250

49

2013 7 18

7 18

6 12

76

FED

5.5

12.5

0.3%

0.1%

()

1.2%

0.4%

-0.30

5.27M

5.18M

()

1.6%

4.2%

()

0.7%

()

-18.8

PMI

48.2

MBA

7 19

Markit PMI

484K

476K

()

1.7%

2.1%

- ()

48.8

- ()

48.3

- ()

48.7

7 19

7 22

7 23

7 24

7 25

7 19

7 13

50

2013 7 18

1.0%

3.7%

M3 ()

2.9%

51

2013 7 18

500

2012

2012

2013

()

()

(%)

(%)

(%)

10.2

14.1

(27.8)

(2.8)

8.6

7.0

13.5

(47.6)

10.0

9.4

9.0

18.0

(50.0)

22.6

13.0

500

15.2

14.5

5.1

6.6

11.6

52

2013 7 18

()

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

()

914.HK

23.400

6.1

13.6

6.6

(17.0)

810.3

11.7

10.1

1088.HK

21.800

5.3

7.9

(7.4)

(35.8)

502.1

7.5

7.2

3323.HK

6.930

3.6

8.8

(5.1)

(38.9)

373.2

4.6

3.8

1898.HK

4.100

3.0

1.7

(12.4)

(51.3)

143.7

6.6

6.4

1988.HK

8.250

2.5

8.3

(5.1)

(7.9)

836.HK

17.980

(10.0)

(10.8)

(2.4)

(9.1)

831.5

8.8

8.0

168.HK

57.050

(3.1)

2.2

6.2

24.7

74.1

29.9

25.9

1211.HK

31.450

(2.9)

10.9

(4.6)

35.3

118.0

57.2

39.7

2338.HK

24.050

(2.8)

4.8

(7.0)

(30.1)

38.1

10.6

9.0

916.HK

8.190

(2.7)

0.0

2.9

52.8

136.5

17.0

13.3

()

(%)

594.4

4.5

4.1

()

()

958.HK

2.820

(5.1)

27.0

187.9

596.6

17.6

12.9

836.HK

17.980

(10.0)

10.3

45.6

341.7

8.8

8.0

1205.HK

1.120

2.8

4.9

19.4

295.3

82.HK

0.590

7.3

8.9

31.1

251.4

171.HK

1.130

0.9

0.8

2.5

214.8

468.HK

4.660

(2.3)

2.9

8.6

193.0

14.7

11.7

3818.HK

1.340

1.5

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188.7

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40.4

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7.7

590.HK

22.100

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7.4

174.2

9.7

8.0

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3.200

2.9

0.6

1.5

169.6

7.6

7.0

8.6

5.5

* ** 30

()

700.HK

330.000

0.1

261.0

914.HK

23.400

6.1

248.0

1988.HK

8.250

2.5

5.HK

85.500

0.5

939.HK

5.490

941.HK

857.HK

(%)

5.1%

16.7%

29.0

23.9

4.8%

30.6%

11.7

10.1

198.7

3.9%

33.4%

4.5

4.1

179.2

3.5%

27.6%

11.2

10.3

0.4

170.5

3.3%

17.8%

5.1

4.8

81.950

0.7

154.1

3.0%

18.7%

10.3

10.7

9.190

0.8

117.8

2.3%

24.2%

10.3

9.5

1088.HK

21.800

5.3

98.6

1.9%

19.6%

7.5

7.2

1299.HK

34.400

(0.1)

86.7

1.7%

18.0%

17.9

15.7

883.HK

13.780

0.4

84.4

1.6%

16.2%

8.0

7.7

(%)

53

2013 7 18

(%)

()

()

()

()

0.2926

(3.65)

3.05

5.35

5.47

2.4757

(9.64)

29.03

59.95

96.79

3.5668

(6.29)

22.53

67.27

96.33

0.2079

0.07

0.14

(13.29)

(9.39)

0.3829

0.14

0.64

0.29

(1.96)

4.5300

40.20

(275.20)

(147.00)

140.78

4.6620

(2.90)

(65.70)

(80.71)

86.88

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

7.7573

0.0

(0.0)

(0.1)

(0.0)

1.3115

0.1

(2.1)

(0.6)

6.9

1.5213

0.2

(2.7)

(6.4)

(2.7)

99.6800

0.7

4.6

(13.0)

26.4

0.9212

0.3

(2.9)

(11.3)

(10.1)

0.7892

0.5

(1.2)

(4.7)

(1.1)

1.0409

0.4

1.9

(4.7)

2.6

82.6820

(0.1)

2.6

3.6

(0.5)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

1,277.6

(0.7)

(6.6)

(23.7)

(19.6)

19.4

(3.7)

(10.4)

(36.0)

(29.0)

(/)

1,803.5

(0.8)

(2.2)

(13.0)

(5.9)

(/)

6,890.0

1.0

(2.7)

(13.1)

(10.4)

507.5

0.0

(1.9)

(4.7)

(6.9)

84.3

(3.5)

(5.2)

11.3

16.8

CRB

288.0

0.6

0.6

(2.4)

(2.7)

(/)

109.4

1.8

3.3

(1.1)

7.1

WTI (/)

106.5

(0.0)

8.9

16.0

20.4

(/)
(/)

(/)
(/)

54

2013 7 18

A H

()

()

A
H
() (%)

1033

2.090

600871

8.470

568
1108

2.360
1.410

002490
600876

8.720
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()

412.4

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670

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600115

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2866

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26.4

()

A
H
()
(%)

338

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243.2

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600036

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184.5

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9.4

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9.190

601857

7.920

9.0

1171

5.630

600188

10.110

127.1

AH

-----

-----

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8.2

119.8

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105.3

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2.540

2.9

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601991

5.380

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1398

4.930

601398

3.950

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5.040

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7.760

94.7

386

5.560

600028

4.450

1.2

2880

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601880

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89.7

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5.490

601939

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0.6

317

6.560

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83.7

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601328

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0.5

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601107

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63.5

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5.350

601111

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601600

3.240

62.6

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11.260

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(7.5)

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51.7

525

3.230

601333

2.290

(10.4)

874

29.550

600332

35.290

51.0

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57.050

600600

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(14.0)

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1138

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600026

3.540

35.6

2601

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601601

16.690

(18.0)

2009

4.640

601992

4.930

34.3

1186

7.180

601186

4.550

(19.9)

998

3.600

601998

3.820

34.2

914

23.400

600585

14.390

(22.2)

10

55

2013 7 18

33 42

852 3920 2888

852 3920 2789

www.shkfg.com

, CAIA

""""

http://www.shkresearch.com/rp/
disclosureOfInterests.html

2013

11

56

Company Fundamentals\Company Profile

A Wright Investors' Service Research Report:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

440 Wheelers Farms Road


Milford, CT 06461 U.S.A.

COMPANY PROFILE

Figures in Chinese Renmimbi


Key Data

Wright Quality Rating:DANN


Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Xinchen China Power Holdings Limited is an
investment holding company. The Company is a automotive engine manufacturer.
The Company operates in the three segments: gasoline engines segment, diesel
engines segment, as well as engine components and service income segment. The
Company's main products include light-duty gasoline and diesel engines, as well as
engine components. The Company manufactures and sells 36 models of automotive
engines, which are installed in a range of photovoltaic vehicles (PVs) and light
commercial vehicles (LCVs), including sedans, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), multipurpose vehicles (MPVs), small buses, minibuses, small and light-duty trucks.
Stock Chart

Officers
Chairman
Xiao An Wu

Secretary
Sam Ming Fung

2012 Sales:
2,572,741,000
Major Industry:
Aerospace
Sub Industry:
Engines, Components &
Parts Mfrs.

Executive Director & Chief


Executive
Yunxian Wang
Chief Financial Officer
Bingchu Xu

Ticker:
1148

Country:
China
Currency:
Chinese Renmimbi
Fiscal Year Ends:
December
Employees
1,020
Exchanges:
HKG

Stock Price (6/14/2013): 2.04


Recent stock performance
1 Week
-8.5%
4 Weeks
18.6%
13 Weeks
10.7%
52 Weeks
%

Share Type:
Ordinary
Market Capitalization:
1,916,258,808

Earnings / Dividends (as of 12/31/2012)


Earnings
Dividends
Most Recent Qtr
0.07
Last 12 Months
0.31
Ratio Analysis
Price / Earnings Ratio 6.57 Dividend Yield
N/A
Price / Sales Ratio

0.74 Payout Ratio

Price / Book Ratio

1.45 % Held by Insiders N/A

Total Shares
Outstanding:
n.a. 940,199,794
Closely Held Shares:
N/A

N/A

57

Jianmen Road West Fucheng District


MIANYANG Sichuan 1-1108
CHINA

Address
Phone
Home Page
http://www.xinchenpower.com

58

Company Fundamentals\Comparative Business Analysis

Comparative Business Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Report Date: June 20, 2013


Company Description
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Xinchen China Power Holdings Limited is an investment holding company. The
Company is a automotive engine manufacturer. The Company operates in the three segments: gasoline engines
segment, diesel engines segment, as well as engine components and service income segment. The Company's
main products include light-duty gasoline and diesel engines, as well as engine components. The Company
manufactures and sells 36 models of automotive engines, which are installed in a range of photovoltaic vehicles
(PVs) and light commercial vehicles (LCVs), including sedans, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), multi-purpose
vehicles (MPVs), small buses, minibuses, small and light-duty trucks.
Competitor Analysis
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd operates in the Motor vehicle parts and accessories sector. This analysis
compares Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd with three other companies: Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd. (2011
sales of 2.58 billion Chinese Renmimbi [US$421.36 million] of which 78% was Car Parts), Guizhou Guihang
Automotive Components (2011 sales: 2.66 billion Chinese Renmimbi [US$433.33 million] of which 37% was
Seal), and China Automotive Systems Inc (2012 sales of 2.12 billion Chinese Renmimbi [US$345.19 million] ).
Note: not all of these companies have the same fiscal year: the most recent data for each company are being
used.
Sales Analysis
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd reported sales of 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi (US$419.43 million) for the year
ending December of 2012. This represents an increase of 11.5% versus 2011, when the company's sales were
2.31 billion Chinese Renmimbi. This was the fourth straight year of sales growth at Xinchen China Power Holdings
Ltd. Sales of Gasoline Engines saw an increase of 14.2% in 2012, from 1.80 billion Chinese Renmimbi to 2.06
billion Chinese Renmimbi.
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd currently has 1,020 employees. With sales of 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi
(US$419.43 million) , this equates to sales of US$411,210 per employee. This is much higher than the three
comparable companies, which had sales between US$58,820 and US$92,150 per employee. Note that some of
the figures stated herein could be distorted based on exact classification of employees and subcontractors.
Sales Comparisons (Most Recent Fiscal Year)
Company

Year
Ended

Sales Sales
Sales/
(blns) Growth Emp (US$) Largest Region

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Dec 2012 2.573

11.5%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

Dec 2011 2.585

12.0%

84,644 N/A

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components Dec 2011 2.658

16.0%

58,820 N/A

China Automotive Systems Inc

-5.6%

92,150 N/A

Dec 2012 2.117

411,210 China (100.0%)

Recent Stock Performance


The current (6/14/2013) price of this stock is 2.04 Chinese Renmimbi. During the past 13 weeks, the stock
has increased 10.7%. During the 12 months ending 12/31/2012, earnings per share totalled 0.31 Chinese
Renmimbi per share. Thus, the Price / Earnings ratio is 6.57. This company is currently trading at 0.74 times
sales. Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd is trading at 1.45 times book value.
Summary of company valuations (as of 6/14/2013).
Company
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

P/E

Price/ Price/
Book Sales

52 Wk
Pr Chg

6.6

1.45

0.74

N/A

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

20.3

3.05

0.80 -12.40%

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components

32.4

2.02

1.23

9.71%

59

China Automotive Systems Inc

5.2

0.71

0.41 12.56%

The market capitalization of this company is 1.92 billion Chinese Renmimbi (US$312.41 million) .
Dividend Analysis
This company has paid no dividends during the last 12 months. The company has not paid any dividends during
the previous 4 fiscal years.
Profitability Analysis
On the 2.57 billion Chinese Renmimbi in sales reported by the company in 2012, the cost of goods sold totalled
2.02 billion Chinese Renmimbi, or 78.3% of sales (i.e., the gross profit was 21.7% of sales). This gross profit
margin is lower than the company achieved in 2011, when cost of goods sold totalled 77.3% of sales. The
company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amorization (EBITDA) were 428.30 million Chinese
Renmimbi, or 16.6% of sales. This EBITDA to sales ratio is roughly on par with what the company achieved in
2011, when the EBITDA ratio was 17.9% of sales. The three comparable companies had EBITDA margins that
were all less (between 8.9% and 11.1%) than that achieved by Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. In 2012,
earnings before extraordinary items at Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd were 290.11 million Chinese Renmimbi, or
11.3% of sales. This profit margin is lower than the level the company achieved in 2011, when the profit margin
was 11.3% of sales. Earnings before extraordinary items have grown for each of the past 3 years (and since
2010, earnings before extraordinary items have grown a total of 94%). The company's return on equity in 2012
was 28.1%. This was significantly worse than the already high 40.2% return the company achieved in 2011.
(Extraordinary items have been excluded).
Profitability Comparison

Company

Gross
Earnings
Profit EBITDA before
Year Margin Margin extras

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2012

21.7%

16.6%

11.3%

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2011

22.7%

17.9%

11.3%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

2011

20.6%

8.9%

5.3%

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components 2011

24.4%

11.0%

4.2%

China Automotive Systems Inc

22.2%

11.1%

5.9%

2012

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd reports profits by product line. During 2012, the itemized operating profits at
all divisions were 517.79 million Chinese Renmimbi, which is equal to 20.1% of total sales. Of all the product lines,
Diesel Engines had the highest operating profits in 2012, with operating profits equal to 24.6% of sales. In fact,
during each of the previous 4 years, Diesel Engines has had the highest operating profits of all product lines at
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd. Gasoline Engines had the lowest operating profit margin in 2012, with the
operating profit equal to only 18.8% of sales. (This product line is the largest product line at Xinchen China
Power Holdings Ltd, accounting for approximately 80% of sales in 2012). This marks the fourth year in which
Gasoline Engines had the lowest operating profit margins.
Inventory Analysis
As of December 2012, the value of the company's inventory totalled 214.73 million Chinese Renmimbi. Since the
cost of goods sold was 2.02 billion Chinese Renmimbi for the year, the company had 39 days of inventory on
hand (another way to look at this is to say that the company turned over its inventory 9.4 times per year). In
terms of inventory turnover, this is an improvement over December 2011, when the company's inventory was
221.20 million Chinese Renmimbi, equivalent to 45 days in inventory. The 39 days in inventory is lower than the
three comparable companies, which had inventories between 41 and 111 days at the end of 2012.
Research and Development
Research and Development Expenses at Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd in 2012 were 15.66 million Chinese
Renmimbi, which is equivalent to 0.6% of sales. In 2012, R&D expenditures dropped both as a percentage of
sales and in actual amounts: In 2011, Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd spent 19.78 million Chinese Renmimbi on
R&D, which was 0.9% of sales.
Financial Position

60

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd does not appear to be very efficient in collecting payments: As of December
2012, the accounts receivable for the company were 1.49 billion Chinese Renmimbi, which is equivalent to 212
days of sales. This is an improvement over the end of 2011, when Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd had 251
days of sales in accounts receivable.
Financial Positions
Company

Days Days R&D/


Year AR
Inv. Sales

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

2012

212

39 0.6%

Dongfeng Elec. & Tech., Ltd.

2011

117

41

N/A

Guizhou Guihang Automotive Components 2011

122

111

N/A

China Automotive Systems Inc

240

60

N/A

2012

61

Company Fundamentals\Summary Analysis

SUMMARY ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi

Year

Price

Fiscal Yr
Ends:
December

Market
Price
Last

6/14/2013

2.04

Value Ratios

Equity Capital

Earnings

Dividends

Price/ Price/
%
% Profit
Book
12 Month
Earnings Book Dividend Earned
Rate
Value
Earnings
%
Ratio
Ratio
Yield
Growth (ROE) Begin Yr Per Share Change
6.6

1.4

0.0

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.31

n/c

%
12 Month
Payout Dividends
Ratio Per Share
n/c

0.00%

62

Company Fundamentals\Sales Analysis

SALES ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures in thousands of Chinese Renmimbi

Cost of
Goods Sold

Sales

Year

Amount
in
thousands

YearAmount
to-year
in
Growth thousands

% of
Sales

Earnings before
Interest,
Taxes,
Depreciation, and
Amortization
(EBITDA)
Amount
in
thousands

% of
Sales

After Tax Income


before
Extraordinary
Charges and
Credits
Amount
in
thousands

% of
Sales

Employees
Sales
Per
Number Employee

After Tax
Income
Per
Employee

2009 1,285,167

n/c

1,064,770 82.9%

118,668

9.2%

58,277

4.5%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2010 1,945,114

51.4%

1,587,422 81.6%

221,370 11.4%

149,457

7.7%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2011 2,307,748

18.6%

1,783,995 77.3%

384,242 16.7%

260,389 11.3%

n/a

n/a

n/a

2012 2,572,741

11.5%

2,015,308 78.3%

404,782 15.7%

290,109 11.3%

1,020 2,522,295

284,421

63

Company Fundamentals\Price Analysis

PRICE ANALYSIS:

Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi

Quarter
2013

Jan - Mar

6/14/2013

High
Price

Low
Price

Closing
Price

Quarterly
%Change

1.986

1.610

1.793

n/a

2.038

10.7%

12 months
%Change
n/a

64

Company Fundamentals\Earnings & Dividends Analysis

EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS:

Holdings Ltd

Xinchen China Power

Per Share- Chinese Renmimbi


Fiscal Year Ends in December
Earnings Per Share
12 Months
Fiscal
%
Years Earnings Change
n/c

Dividends Per Share

Quarterly Reported Earnings

12 Months

Q1
Mar.

Q2
Jun.

Q3
Sep.

Q4
Dec.

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Quarterly Reported Dividends


Q1
Mar.

Q2
Jun.

Q3
Sep.

Q4
Dec.

%
Payout

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

%
Dividends Change

2009

0.07

2010

0.19 156.2%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

2011

0.32

69.0%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

2012

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.07

n/a

n/c

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.0%

65

Financial Statement AnalysesFinancial Statement Analyses\Balance Sheet - Common Size

Balance Sheet - (Common Size): Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets.


Total Assets are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Assets
Total Assets

3,080.0

2,763.1

1,918.9

1,511.0

27.4%

19.9%

14.3%

20.2%

27.4%

19.9%

14.3%

20.2%

Receivables (Net)

48.5%

57.5%

55.9%

46.6%

Inventories -Total

7.0%

8.0%

13.1%

13.8%

Raw Materials

3.8%

3.4%

2.6%

3.5%

Work in Process

0.6%

0.7%

1.4%

1.2%

Finished Goods

2.6%

3.9%

9.1%

9.1%

Prepaid Expenses

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

Other Current Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Current Assets - Total

83.0%

85.6%

83.5%

81.0%

Long Term Receivables

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Investment in Associated Companies

1.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Other Investments

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

19.4%

19.3%

23.7%

27.8%

8.8%

8.7%

11.1%

11.4%

10.6%

10.5%

12.6%

16.4%

4.8%

3.8%

3.9%

2.5%

Deferred Charges

2.0%

2.3%

3.3%

1.0%

Tangible Other Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Intangible Other Assets

2.9%

1.6%

0.6%

1.6%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Cash & Short Term Investments


Cash
Short Term Investments

Progress Payments & Other

Property Plant and Equipment - Gross


Accumulated Depreciation
Property Plant and Equipment Net
Other Assets

Total Assets

66

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity


Total Liabilities & Shareholders'
Equity

3,080.0

2,763.1

1,918.9

1,511.0

23.8%

35.2%

35.9%

37.1%

6.5%

5.9%

9.2%

6.2%

1.6%

1.1%

Other Current Liabilities

23.9%

19.3%

19.3%

21.2%

Current Liabilities - Total

55.7%

61.5%

64.4%

64.5%

Long Term Debt

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

Long Term Debt Excluding


Capitalized Leases

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Deferred Income

1.3%

1.0%

1.6%

0.2%

Deferred Taxes

-0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Deferred Taxes - Credit

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Deferred Taxes - Debit

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Other Liabilities

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Liabilities

57.1%

62.6%

66.2%

66.7%

Non-Equity Reserves

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

42.9%

37.4%

33.8%

33.3%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Accounts Payable
Short Term Debt & Current Portion of
Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable
Dividends Payable

Capitalized Lease Obligations


Provision for Risks and Charges

Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed


Reserves

Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP


ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
Common Equity
Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

67

68

Financial Statement Analyses\Balance Sheet - Year-Year % Change

Balance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change): Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Assets
Total Assets

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Cash & Short Term Investments

53.0%

101.1%

-10.5%

53.0%

101.1%

-10.5%

Receivables (Net)

-6.0%

48.0%

52.4%

Inventories -Total

-2.9%

-12.0%

20.5%

Raw Materials

25.3%

85.8%

-4.2%

Work in Process

-7.3%

-22.6%

43.1%

Finished Goods

-26.5%

-38.5%

26.8%

-24.6%

62.1%

-49.6%

8.0%

47.7%

30.8%

12.3%

17.1%

8.2%

Accumulated Depreciation

12.6%

13.4%

23.4%

Property Plant and Equipment Net

12.0%

20.4%

-2.4%

40.6%

40.8%

95.6%

-2.3%

-2.2%

332.4%

101.7%

276.8%

-51.2%

Cash
Short Term Investments

Progress Payments & Other


Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets
Current Assets - Total
Long Term Receivables
Investment in Associated Companies
Other Investments
Property Plant and Equipment - Gross

Other Assets
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets
Intangible Other Assets

69

Total Assets

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Total Liabilities & Shareholders'


Equity

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

Accounts Payable

-24.7%

41.3%

22.7%

21.3%

-7.3%

90.3%

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Short Term Debt & Current Portion of


Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable

64.4%

Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities

38.1%

43.6%

15.9%

Current Liabilities - Total

1.0%

37.5%

26.9%

Long Term Debt

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

Long Term Debt Excluding


Capitalized Leases

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

46.4%

-10.2%

727.5%

-46.4%

27.3%

-31.1%

1.5%

36.2%

26.0%

28.1%

59.2%

29.0%

Capitalized Lease Obligations


Provision for Risks and Charges
Deferred Income
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed
Reserves
Other Liabilities
Total Liabilities
Non-Equity Reserves
Minority Interest
Preferred Stock
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP
ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
Common Equity

70

Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

11.5%

44.0%

27.0%

71

Financial Statement Analyses\Income Statement - Common Size

Income Statement - (Common Size): Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues.


Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Net Sales or Revenues
Cost of Goods Sold

2012

2011

2010

2009

2,572.7 2,307.7 1,945.1 1,285.2


78.3%

77.3%

81.6%

82.9%

1.4%

1.8%

2.8%

3.7%

20.3%

20.9%

15.6%

13.4%

Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

5.0%

4.8%

6.2%

7.5%

Other Operating Expenses

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Operating Expenses - Total

84.7%

83.9%

90.6%

94.1%

Operating Income

15.3%

16.1%

9.4%

5.9%

Extraordinary Credit - Pretax

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Extraordinary Charge - Pretax

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Non-Operating Interest Income

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Gross Income

Reserves - Increase/Decrease
Pretax Equity in Earnings
Other Income/Expense - Net

-1.1%

-1.4%

-1.2%

-1.0%

Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &


Amortization (EBITDA)

15.7%

16.7%

11.4%

9.2%

Earnings before Interest & Taxes(EBIT)

14.4%

14.8%

8.6%

5.5%

Interest Expense on Debt

1.2%

2.0%

0.9%

0.9%

Interest Capitalized

0.1%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

Pretax Income

13.3%

13.2%

7.7%

4.6%

Income Taxes

2.0%

1.9%

0.0%

0.1%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Equity in Earnings

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

After Tax Other Income/Expense

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Discontinued Operations

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Net Income before Extraordinary Items/Preferred


Dividends

72

Extraordinary Items & Gain/Loss Sale of Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Dividend Requirements

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Net Income after Preferred Dividends - available to


Common

73

Financial Statement Analyses\Income Statement - Year-Year % Change

Income Statement - (Year to Year Percent Change): Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year.

Fiscal Year

2012

Net Sales or Revenues

11.5%

18.6%

51.4%

Cost of Goods Sold

13.0%

12.4%

49.1%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization

15.9%

-21.8%

12.0%

8.4%

58.5%

76.3%

16.1%

-8.3%

25.8%

12.5%

9.9%

45.8%

Gross Income
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

2011

2010

2009

Other Operating Expenses


Operating Expenses - Total
Operating Income

6.1%

102.8% 140.4%

Extraordinary Credit - Pretax


Extraordinary Charge - Pretax
Non-Operating Interest Income

23.3%

-48.6%

9.5%

Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &


Amortization (EBITDA)

5.3%

73.6%

86.5%

Earnings before Interest & Taxes(EBIT)

8.0%

Reserves - Increase/Decrease
Pretax Equity in Earnings
Other Income/Expense - Net

104.2% 137.2%

Interest Expense on Debt

36.6%

Interest Capitalized

74.1%

Pretax Income

12.3%

Income Taxes

17.5% 12,023.3% -70.4%

164.5%

59.5%

103.3% 151.8%

Minority Interest
Equity in Earnings
After Tax Other Income/Expense
74

Discontinued Operations
Net Income before Extraordinary Items/Preferred
Dividends

11.4%

74.2% 156.5%

11.4%

74.2% 156.5%

Extraordinary Items & Gain/Loss Sale of Assets


Preferred Dividend Requirements
Net Income after Preferred Dividends - available to
Common

75

Financial Statement Analyses\Sources of Capital - Net Change

Sources of Capital: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Currency figures are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.


Year to year % changes pertain to reported Balance Sheet values.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Total Capital

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


1,322.5

1,036.4

652.5

534.5

Short Term Debt

15.0%

15.8%

27.1%

17.4%

Long Term Debt

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.0%

Other Liabilities

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Liabilities

132.9%

167.0%

194.7%

188.7%

Minority Interest

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

90.2%

87.1%

68.7%

56.6%

Common Equity

100.0%

99.6%

99.4%

94.0%

Total Capital

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Short Term Debt

3.5

-1.3

8.4

9.3

Long Term Debt

-0.4

0.0

-2.8

3.2

Other Liabilities

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Total Liabilities

2.7

46.0

26.2

100.8

Minority Interest

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Preferred Stock

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Retained Earnings

29.0

45.4

14.6

30.3

Common Equity

29.0

38.4

14.6

50.3

Total Capital

28.6

38.4

11.8

53.5

Short Term Debt

21.3%

-7.3%

90.3%

Long Term Debt

-100.0%

0.0%

-87.5%

Percent of Total Capital

Retained Earnings

Year to Year Net Changes

Year to Year Percent Changes

Other Liabilities
76

Total Liabilities

1.5%

36.2%

26.0%

Retained Earnings

32.2%

101.2%

48.3%

Common Equity

28.1%

59.2%

29.0%

Total Capital

27.6%

58.8%

22.1%

1,757.5

1,730.7

1,270.4

1,008.5

1.5%

26.6%

20.6%

100.0%

1,322.5

1,032.4

648.5

502.5

21.9%

37.2%

22.5%

100.0%

Operating Activities

386.4

223.0

-23.0

142.8

Financing Activities

29.7

65.8

54.9

75.3

Investing Activities

79.1

27.8

2.2

199.6

Minority Interest
Preferred Stock

Total Liabilities & Common Equity


Total Liabilities
Net Change in Liabilities as
% of Total Liabilities
Common Equity
Net Change in Common Equity as
% of Common Equity
Cash Flow

77

Financial Ratio AnalysesFinancial Ratio Analyses\Accounting Ratios

Accounting Ratios: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Receivables Turnover

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


1.7

1.5

1.8

218.8

210.6

166.8

9.2

7.6

6.9

39.5

48.3

52.9

Gross Property, Plant & Equipment


Turnover

4.3

4.3

4.3

3.1

Net Property, Plant & Equipment


Turnover

7.9

7.9

8.0

5.2

5.9%

7.9%

11.8%

11.4%

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Year to Year Change

-0.7

-1.2

0.6

4.8

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


Year to Year % Change

-15.9%

-21.8%

12.0%

Receivables - Number of Days


Inventory Turnover
Inventory - Number of Days

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization


% of Gross Property, Plant & Equipment

1.8

78

Financial Ratio Analyses\Asset Utilization

Asset Utilization: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales.


Net Sales are in millions of Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Net Sales

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009


2,572.7

2,307.7

1,945.1

1,285.2

32.7%

23.9%

14.1%

23.8%

58.1%

68.9%

55.2%

54.8%

Inventories

8.3%

9.6%

12.9%

16.2%

Other Current Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Current Assets

99.3%

102.5%

82.3%

95.3%

1.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Long Term Receivables

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Investments in Associated
Companies

1.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Property, Plant & Equipment - Gross

23.2%

23.1%

23.4%

32.7%

Accumulated Depreciation

10.6%

10.4%

10.9%

13.4%

Property Plant & Equipment - Net

12.7%

12.6%

12.4%

19.3%

Other Assets

5.8%

4.6%

3.9%

3.0%

Total Assets

119.7%

119.7%

98.7%

117.6%

Cash & Cash Equivalents


Short-Term Investments
Accounts Receivable

Total Long Term Receivables &


Investments

Other Investments

79

Financial Ratio Analyses\Employee Efficiency

Employee Efficiency: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Values per Employee are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date
Employees

2012
12/31/2012
1,020

Values per Employee


Sales

2,522,295

Net Income

284,421

Cash Earnings

344,975

Working Capital

821,845

Total Debt

195,049

Total Capital

1,296,570

Total Assets

3,019,645

Year to Year % Change per Employee


Employees
Sales
Net Income
Cash Earnings
Working Capital
Total Debt
Total Capital
Total Assets

80

Financial Ratio Analyses\Fixed Charges Coverage

Fixed Charges Coverage: Xinchen


Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

China Power Holdings Ltd


2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

EBIT/Total Interest Expense

12.4

7.3

9.4

6.3

EBIT/Net Interest

15.0

8.0

17.6

19.5

EBIT/(Total Interest Exp + Pfd Div)

12.4

7.3

9.4

6.3

EBITDA/Total Interest Expense

13.6

8.2

12.5

10.7

EBITDA/Net Interest

16.5

9.0

23.2

32.8

EBITDA/(Total Interest Exp + Pfd Div)

13.6

8.2

12.5

10.7

EBIT/Dividends on Common Shares


EBIT/(Dividends on Common + Pfd)

EBITDA/Dividends on Com Shares


EBITDA/(Dividends on Com + Pfd)

81

Financial Ratio Analyses\Leverage Analysis

Leverage Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Long Term Debt % of EBIT

0.0%

1.2%

2.4%

45.3%

Long Term Debt % of EBITDA

0.0%

1.0%

1.8%

27.0%

Long Term Debt % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

2.1%

Long Term Debt % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.0%

Long Term Debt % of Com Equity

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

6.4%

Total Debt % of EBIT

53.9%

49.1%

108.0%

177.0%

Total Debt % of EBITDA

49.1%

43.7%

81.7%

105.3%

Total Debt % of Total Assets

6.5%

6.1%

9.4%

8.3%

Total Debt % of Total Capital

15.0%

16.2%

27.7%

23.4%

Total Debt % of Total Capital & Short


Term Debt

13.1%

14.0%

21.8%

19.9%

Total Debt % of Common Equity

15.0%

16.3%

27.9%

24.9%

Minority Interest % of EBIT

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of EBITDA

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Minority Interest % of Com Equity

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of EBIT

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of EDITDA

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Assets

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Capital

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Preferred Stock % of Total Equity

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Common Equity % of Total Assets

42.9%

37.4%

33.8%

33.3%

Common Equity % of Total Capital

100.0%

99.6%

99.4%

94.0%

Total Capital % of Total Assets

42.9%

37.5%

34.0%

35.4%

Capital Expenditure % of Sales

1.4%

2.8%

4.7%

2.7%

82

Fixed Assets % of Common Equity

24.7%

28.2%

37.3%

49.3%

Working Capital % of Total Capital

63.4%

64.3%

56.0%

46.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

176.9%

191.3%

116.6%

86.1%

Dividend Payout
Funds From Operations % of Total Debt

83

Financial Ratio Analyses\Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Total Current Assets % Net Sales

99.3%

102.5%

82.3%

95.3%

Cash % of Current Assets

33.0%

23.3%

17.1%

25.0%

Cash & Equivalents % of Current Assets

33.0%

23.3%

17.1%

25.0%

1.4

1.3

1.1

1.0

58.5%

67.2%

67.0%

57.5%

Receivable Turnover - number of days

218.8

210.6

166.8

Inventories % of Current Assets

8.4%

9.3%

15.7%

39.5

48.3

52.9

1,412.6

896.4

392.3

527.9

48.5%

57.5%

55.9%

46.6%

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.3

Total Debt % of Total Capital

13.1%

14.0%

21.8%

19.9%

Funds from Operations % of Current


Liabilities

20.5%

18.9%

17.1%

11.1%

8,032.5%

5,273.1%

336.4%

176.9%

191.3%

116.6%

86.1%

26.6%

31.0%

32.3%

20.1%

Operating Activities

386.4

223.0

-23.0

142.8

Financing Activities

29.7

65.8

54.9

75.3

Investing Activities

79.1

27.8

2.2

199.6

Quick Ratio
Receivables % of Current Assets

Inventory Turnover - number of days


Inventory to Cash & Equivalents number of days
Receivables % of Total Assets
Current Ratio

Funds from Operations % of Long Term


Debt
Funds from Operations % of Total Debt
Funds from Operations % of Total
Capital

17.0%

Cash Flow (in milllions of Chinese


Renmimbi)

84

Financial Ratio Analyses\Per-Share Ratios

Per Share Data: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Figures are expressed as per unit of respective shares.


Figures are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Sales

2.74

2.45

9.73

6.43

Operating Income

0.42

0.39

0.91

0.38

Pre-tax Income

0.36

0.32

0.75

0.30

Net Income (Continuing Operations)

0.36

0.32

0.75

0.30

Net Income Before Extra Items

0.31

0.28

0.75

0.29

Extraordinary Items

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Net Income After Extraordinary Items

0.31

0.28

0.75

0.29

Net Income Available to Common


Shares

0.31

0.32

0.19

0.07

Fully Diluted Earnings

0.31

0.32

0.19

0.07

Cash Earnings

0.37

0.39

0.26

0.13

Book Value

1.41

1.10

3.24

2.51

Retained Earnings

1.27

0.96

2.24

1.51

Assets

3.28

2.94

9.59

7.55

Common Dividends

85

Financial Ratio Analyses\Profitability Growth

Profitability Analysis: Xinchen

China Power Holdings Ltd

Currency figures are in Chinese Renmimbi.

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year End Date

2012

2011

2010

2009

12/31/2012 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2009

Gross Income Margin

20.3%

20.9%

15.6%

13.4%

Operating Income Margin

15.3%

16.1%

9.4%

5.9%

Pretax Income Margin

13.3%

13.2%

7.7%

4.6%

EBIT Margin

14.4%

14.8%

8.6%

5.5%

Net Income Margin

11.3%

11.3%

7.7%

4.5%

Return on Equity - Total

24.6%

31.0%

26.0%

Return on Invested Capital

23.0%

28.8%

22.9%

Return on Assets

10.7%

12.5%

9.7%

0.8

0.8

1.0

0.9

15.0%

16.3%

27.9%

24.9%

Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
Interest Expense on Debt

29,774,000 46,951,000 17,753,000 11,130,000

Effective Tax Rate

15.2%

14.5%

0.2%

2.1%

Cash Flow % Sales

13.7%

13.9%

10.8%

8.4%

Selling, General & Administrative


Expenses % of Sales

5.0%

4.8%

6.2%

7.5%

Research & Development Expense

0.6%

0.9%

1.0%

1.0%

Operating Income Return On Total


Capital

27.6%

58.8%

22.1%

86

Wright Quality Rating AnalysesWright Quality Rating Analyses\Investment Acceptance

Wright Quality Rating - Investment Acceptance: Xinchen

China Power

Holdings Ltd
Currency figures are in millions of U.S. Dollars.
Wright Quality Rating

Investment Acceptance Rating

DANN
DANN

Total Market Value of Shares Outstanding - Three Year Average


- Current Year

0
346

Public Market Value (Excludes Closely Held) - Three Year Average


- Current Year

0
346

Trading Volume - Three Year Average


- Current Year
Turnover Rate - Three Year Average
- Current Year
Stock Exchange Listings
Number of Institutional Investors

0.0%
0.0%
HKG
0

Number of Shareholders
Closely Held Shares as % of Total Shares Outstanding

0.0%

87

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Financial Strength

Wright Quality Rating - Financial Strength: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Wright Quality Rating
Financial Strength Rating
Total Shareholders' Equity (Millions of U.S. Dollars)
Total Shareholders' Equity as % Total Capital

ANN

ANN
212

100.0%

Preferred Stock as % of Total Capital

0.0%

Long Term Debt as % of Total Capital

0.0%

Long Term Debt (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Lease Obligations (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Long Term Debt including Leases (Millions of Chinese Renmimbi)

Total Debt as % of Total Capital

13.1%

Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio: Pretax Income to Interest Expense & Preferred
Dividends

12.5

Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio: Pretax Income to Net Interest Income & Preferred
Dividends

15.1

Quick Ratio (Cash & Receivables / Current Liabilities)

1.4

Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities)

1.5

88

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Profitability & Stability

Wright Quality Rating - Profitability & Stability: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Wright Quality Rating
Profitability & Stability Rating

DA

NN

DA

NN

Profit Rate of Earnings on Equity Capital - Time-Weighted Normal


- Basic Trend
Cash Earnings Return on Equity - Time-Weighted Average
- Basic Trend
Cash Earnings Return on Equity - Stability Index
Return On Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Pre-Tax Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Capital (Adjusted Rate)

0.0%

Pre-Tax Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)


Operating Income as % of Total Assets (Time-Weighted Average)
Operating Income as % of Total Capital (Adjusted Rate)

0.0%

89

Wright Quality Rating Analyses\Corporate Growth

Wright Quality Rating - Corporate Growth: Xinchen

China Power Holdings

Ltd
Figures are expressed on a Per Share Basis.

Wright Quality Rating

DAN

Growth Rating

DAN

Normal Earnings Growth

0.0%

Cash Earnings Growth

0.0%

Cash Earnings Stability Index

0.0%

Earned Equity Growth

0.0%

Dividend Growth

0.0%

Operating Income Growth

0.0%

Assets Growth

0.0%

Sales/Revenues Growth

0.0%

Copyright 2000-2012. Distributed by Wright Investors' Service, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Except for quotations by established news media, no pages in this report may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted for commercial purposes, in any form or by any
means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without prior written
permission. Information is believed reliable, but accuracy, completeness and opinions are not
guaranteed. This report is provided for general information only, is not to be considered
investment advice, and should not be relied upon for investment decisions.
This report is provided as is, without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including, but
not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose or non-infringement.

90

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

IN TODAYS ISSUE
Stocks
Xinchen Power
(1148.Hk)
Beijing Airport
(694.HK)

Last
2.51

5.49

Target
2.80

6.00

Equity Indices

Stop
losses
2.37

4.90

Positive Factors
Strong growth potential come from
the authorized production of BMW
engines. Valuation is appealing
FY13 results may see steady
growth. Share price may find
support at current level

Dow surged 106 pts amid U.S. forecast-beating data


The U.S. consumer confidence reached the highest level since Feb 2008 as
the Conference Boards index of consumer sentiment jumped to 76.2 in
May, topping market estimates at 71.0. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of
property values in 20 cities jumped 10.9% in March, the most since April
2006. The Dow closed at 15,409, up 106 points. Hong Kong ADRs declined
in the U.S. market, with their closing prices effectively putting the HSI at
22,843, down by 80 points. Crude oil prices rallied as the U.S. recovery
sparked expectations about rising demand, while the Middle East political
situation also lent support. New York oil futures in June advanced
US$0.86/bbl to settle at US$95.01/bbl. New York gold futures found
resistance at US$1,400, closing at US$1,378.9/oz, down US$7.7/oz.
SHCOMP rallied for third day. HSI rose 238 points
The Hang Seng Index opened 24-point higher and was in range-bound
trading in early trade. The benchmark index was underpinned by Chinese
financials after the midday break, mainly because the A-share market rallied
and the Shanghai Composite reclaimed the 2,300 level, and hence the HSI
closed at 22,924, up 238 points. The HSCEI closed at 10,920, up 1.6%.
Market turnover reached HK$51.3bn. The SHCOMP rallied for a straight
third day, closing at 2,321, up 1.2%.
China Taiping (966.HK, HK$14.20) rocketed 14.9% (after the trading
resumed) after it spent RMB10.6bn to acquire the life and P&C insurance
business from its parent. Haitong Securities (6837.HK, HK$11.54) and
China Everbright (165.HK, HK$13.16) surged 4.7% and 5.1%
respectively amid fund inflow to brokerages. China Gas (384.HK,
HK$7.96) jumped 6.1% amid its positive profit alert, while the natural gas
sector advanced. Meanwhile, the home appliances, environmental-protection
water, power utilities and coal mining sectors outperformed. Goldwind
(2208.HK, HK$6.14) and C. Transmission (658.HK, HK$4.27) slumped
6.1% and 3.4% respectively. Belle (1880.HK, HK$12.32) rebounded 4.8%.
The government announced that a launch of the third batch of
inflation-linked bond by next Tuesday (4 June) and the subscription would
end on 13 June.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

Close

d-d (%)

YTD
(%)

Hang Seng Index

22,924

1.0

1.2

HSCEI

10,920

1.6

(4.5)

DJIA

15,409

0.7

17.6

S&P 500

1,660

0.6

16.4

NASDAQ

3,488

0.9

15.5

DAX

8,480

1.2

11.4

CAC 40

4,050

1.4

11.2

FTSE 100

6,762

1.6

14.7

Nikkei 225

14,311

0.9

38.9

Taiwan weighted

8,263

(0.2)

7.3

Shanghai Comp.

2,321

1.2

2.3

Shenzhen Comp.

9,441

2.0

3.6

Hong Kong Market Turnover


HK$bn
HSI

% chg.

14.8

16.0

HSCCI

4.2

18.1

HSCEI

10.5

27.8

Main Board

51.3

(28.5)

Major ETF
Close

1D chg
(%)

5D chg
(%)

CSOP A50
(2822.HK)

10.46

1.9

0.8

ChinaAMC CSI 300


(3188.HK)

32.85

2.0

1.9

E Fund CSI 100


(3100.HK)

31.00

2.1

1.3

X iShares FTSE A50


(2823.HK)

43.20

(0.2)

(2.7)

X WISE CSI 300


(2827.HK)

28.40

2.3

0.0

SPDR Gold Trust


(2840.HK)

1,041

(0.5)

0.0

Value Gold ETF


(3081.HK)

34.25

0.1

0.3

Value Japan ETF


(3084.HK)

12.58

0.6

(5.4)

Source: Bloomberg

Reports available at:


http://www.shkfg.com
http://www.thomsonreuters.com
http://www.capitaliq.com
Bloomberg Code: <shkr>

91

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

HSI rallied beyond 100-day MA and tests resistance at 10-day and 20-day MAs

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Xinchen Power sees growth on authorized BMW engine production


Xinchen Power (1148.HK, HK$8.86), a spin-off and a subsidiary of Brilliance
China Automotive (1114.HK, HK$2.51), mainly produces and sells vehicle engines
(passenger and commercial) in China. Xinchen Powers share price fell below its
IPO price earlier, but the company has strong growth potential amid the authorized
production of BMW engines. The share price reclaimed the IPO price level at
HK$2.23 and hit its record high.
Chinas automobile output climbed 13.4% yoy to 7.3mn units for the first four
months in 2013 while the auto sales jumped 13.2% yoy to 7.27mn units. The positive
sales data may lift engine demand as car markers need to refill its inventory. Xinchen
Power confirmed that the company has been authorized to produce BMW engines
and the operation may start from June 2014. The engines will be used in BMW
Brilliance Series 5 and BMW Brilliance Jinbei vans. Xinchen Power attained ~100%
utilization rate for its production facilities in recent four years. The new production
plant in Mingyang may increase the capacity by 73%. In addition, the new
production line, which is expected to be in operation by 2014, can deliver an annual
output of BMW engines up to 500,000 units.
The stock has an appealing valuation, trading at 6.5X FY13E P/E, which are more
attractive compared with auto-component maker Minth Group (425.HK, HK$13.72)
at 14.1X and Xingda Intl (1899.HK, HK$3.50) at 22.7X. Technically, the share
price reached a record high with larger trade volume.
Recommendation: Buy, targeting HK$2.80, with stop-losses at HK$2.37.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

92

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Xinchen Power (1148.HK) rallied beyond previous wave-top

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Beijing Airport may see steady growth in 2013


Beijing Airport (694.HK, HK$5.49) is Chinas busiest and the worlds second busiest
airport by passenger traffic in 2012, and the airport looks set to leverage on the
long-term development of the aviation industry, mainly led by the sustainable growth
of Chinese tourists and cargo turnover.
Beijing Airport is expected to deliver steady growth for this years business results and
the aircraft movement rose ~1.5% yoy to 182,100, while the passenger traffic jumped
4.2% yoy to 26.9mn. Beijing Airports expansion projects target at tackling the
overcrowding and severe flight-delay problems. The airport reopened its Terminal 3D
in mid-April, and the upgrading project of Terminal 2 would soon be completed.
However, the positive factors were not reflected as the share price recently retreated to
last years level.
The catalyst may come from the proposed construction of the second airport in Beijing
and the project could be confirmed by 2H13, according to the management. The new
airport is set to become a crucial growth driver if the company decides to participate in
the new project. Technically, the share price fell to the flat-zone of last year-end and
found support, while it rallied beyond the 50-day MA yesterday with a larger trade
volume.
Recommendation: Buy for short-term speculation at HK$5.42, targeting HK$6.00, with
stop-losses at HK$4.90.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

93

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Beijing Airport (694.HK) rallied beyond 50-day MA

Source: Bloomberg and SHK Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

94

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

ECONOMIC DATA RELEASES AND EVENTS


Date
Wed 29 May

Thu 30 May

Fri 31 May

Sat 1 Jun
Mon 3 Jun

Tue 4 Jun

Wed 5 Jun

Country/region Event

Period

US

MBA Mortgage Applications

May 24

Canada

Bank of Canada Rate

Euro-Zone

Economic Confidence

Euro-Zone

Consumer Confidence (Final)

US

Survey

Prior

-9.8%

1.00%

1.00%

May

89.4

88.6

May

-21.9

-21.9

GDP QoQ (Annualized) (Second)

1Q

2.5%

2.5%

US

Personal Consumption (Second)

1Q

3.3%

3.2%

US

Initial Jobless Claims

May 24

340K

340K

US

Continuing Claims

May 18

2970K

2912K

US

Pending Home Sales MoM

Apr

1.5%

1.5%

Japan

Jobless Rate

Apr

4.1%

4.1%

Euro-Zone

CPI Estimate (YoY)

May

1.4%

1.2%

Euro-Zone

Jobless Rate

Apr

12.2%

12.1%

US

Personal Income

Apr

0.1%

0.2%

US

Personal Spending

Apr

0.0%

0.2%

US

Chicago Purchasing Manager

May

50.0

49.0

US

University. of Michigan Confidence


(Final)

May

83.7

83.7

China

Manufacturing PMI

May

49.9

50.6

China

Non-manufacturing PMI

May

54.5

China

HSBC Manufacturing PMI

May

49.7

50.4

Euro Zone

PMI Manufacturing (Final)

May

47.8

US

Construction Spending MoM

Apr

0.8%

-1.7%

US

ISM Manufacturing

May

50.5

50.7

US

Trade Balance

Apr

-$41.2B

-$38.8B

Euro Zone

PPI (Mom)

Apr

-0.2%

Euro Zone

PPI (YoY)

Apr

0.7%

Japan

Monetary Base Average Amount


(YoY)

May

23.1%

Euro-Zone

GDP s.a. (QoQ) (Preliminary)

1Q

-0.2%

Euro-Zone

GDP s.a (YoY)) (Preliminary)

1Q

-1.0%

Euro-Zone

PMI Composite (Final)

May

47.7

Euro-Zone

PMI Services (Final)

May

47.5

US

MBA Mortgage Applications

May 31

US

ADP Employment Change

May

170K

119K

US

Factory Orders

Apr

1.0%

-4.9%

US

ISM Non-Manufacturing. Composite

May

53.2

53.1

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial; Note: Hong Kong time

Sun Hung Kai Financial

95

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

APPENDICES
MAJOR INDEX FORWARD P/E
HSI

HSCEI
29

21

24
18

19

15

14

12

6
Jan06

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

4
Jan06

Jan13

Jan07

Mean

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Shanghai Composite

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

Jan13

Jan12

Jan13

Mean

S&P 500
20

45

18

37
16

29

14
21

12

13

5
Jan06

10

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

8
Jan06

Jan13

Jan07

Mean

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11
Mean

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Major Index Valuations and Estimated Earnings Growth


FY13E P/E
(X)

7-year avg. fwd.


P/E (X)

Deviation
from avg. (%)

FY13E EPS
growth (%)

FY14E EPS
growth (%)

HSI

10.9

13.6

(20.0)

(4.4)

8.8

HSCEI

8.0

12.7

(37.0)

11.8

20.5

Shanghai
Composite

10.0

17.3

(42.1)

24.3

29.6

S&P 500

15.1

14.3

5.5

7.5

22.6

Index

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

96

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

MARKET DATA
Previous Days Best/Worst Performers
Stock
code

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

1W chg.
(%)

1M chg.
(%)

Ytd chg.
(%)

Turnover
(HK$m)

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)

Best
China Taiping

966.HK

14.200

14.9

11.5

8.1

(9.6)

444.3

15.8

12.2

Shangdong Weigao

1066.HK

8.740

8.3

7.6

17.6

13.4

75.7

25.3

21.1

COSCO Pacific

1199.HK

11.380

6.6

1.2

12.5

3.1

112.1

8.7

9.8

BYD Company

1211.HK

33.400

5.9

(0.1)

19.9

43.7

202.6

58.7

42.1

China Resources

291.HK

25.800

5.3

7.5

(1.3)

(7.7)

116.5

32.2

25.9

Beijing Ent

392.HK

63.600

(1.2)

(1.5)

10.4

25.9

82.6

18.6

15.5

Franshion Properties

817.HK

2.840

(0.7)

(0.7)

7.2

1.8

15.4

8.8

7.4

CNBM

3323.HK

8.690

(0.7)

(5.4)

(6.7)

(23.4)

458.4

5.4

4.5

China Comm Cons

1800.HK

7.430

(0.7)

(4.0)

2.6

(0.7)

87.7

6.9

6.2

Guangzhou Automobile

2238.HK

8.620

(0.6)

11.4

37.5

25.5

263.7

17.4

12.1

Worst

Note: Best/worst performers from HSI, HSCEI and HSCCI.

HSCI Volume Filter


Stock
code

Company
China Taiping
Hengdeli
China Gas
Guangzhou Automobile
Ch Automation

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

Avg. vol.
(m shares)

Prev. vol.
(m shares)

%
increase

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)

966.HK

14.200

14.9

3.2

31.8

891.1

15.8

12.2

3389.HK

2.240

7.2

9.1

38.6

325.4

10.5

8.8

384.HK

7.960

6.1

7.4

23.1

212.1

25.1

20.8

2238.HK

8.620

(0.6)

11.7

30.2

157.9

17.4

12.1

569.HK

2.070

4.0

1.3

3.2

149.5

7.7

6.8

715.HK

0.630

0.0

1.8

4.5

148.1

N/A

N/A

Sinopharm

1099.HK

21.650

3.3

6.0

14.8

147.5

17.7

14.5

Sino Biopharm

1177.HK

5.350

3.7

22.1

54.2

145.8

24.3

19.5

882.HK

4.780

(1.0)

4.3

10.5

145.0

11.7

9.7

2789.HK

0.840

3.7

10.0

24.4

143.3

6.6

5.5

Hutchison Harbour Ring

Tianjin Development
Yuanda China

* Volume filter applies to Hang Seng Composite Index constituents only


** Average volume is for the previous 30 trading days

Most Short Sold Stocks


Company

Stock
code

Bank of China

Price
(HK$)

1D chg.
(%)

Short sell
volume
(HK$m)

% of total
market turnover

% stock's
own turnover

FY1
P/E (X)

FY2
P/E (X)
5.4

3988.HK

3.770

2.2

239.0

5.4%

22.0%

5.8

CCB

939.HK

6.410

1.4

158.0

3.6%

19.2%

6.0

5.5

China Mobile

941.HK

83.600

0.6

121.0

2.8%

14.7%

10.5

10.9

3968.HK

16.340

1.2

91.9

2.1%

20.0%

6.2

5.7

700.HK

304.200

1.3

83.4

1.9%

9.9%

26.6

21.9

Belle Int'l

1880.HK

12.320

4.8

64.1

1.5%

19.1%

17.1

14.9

Ping An

2318.HK

60.050

1.7

57.4

1.3%

9.1%

13.3

11.5

Minsheng Bank

1988.HK

9.920

2.5

55.9

1.3%

21.6%

5.4

5.0

Hengan Int'l

1044.HK

88.700

3.4

53.4

1.2%

34.6%

27.0

22.1

688.HK

23.750

2.4

49.2

1.1%

13.3%

10.2

8.7

CM Bank
Tencent

China Overseas

* Applies to Hang Seng Composite Index constituents only

Sun Hung Kai Financial

97

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Treasury Yields / Interest Rates


Latest (%)

5D chg. (bps)

30D chg. (bps)

Ytd chg. (bps)

yoy chg. (bps)

U.S. 2-year Treasury yield

0.2970

5.07

8.98

5.79

1.17

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield

2.1554

11.59

48.53

27.92

41.74

U.S. 30-year Treasury yield

3.3147

9.52

43.62

42.06

47.35

HK 1-month HIBOR

0.2071

0.00

0.00

(13.36)

(9.54)

HK 3-month HIBOR

0.3771

(0.07)

0.00

(0.29)

(2.57)

SH 1-month SHIBOR

4.1457

(48.93)

70.37

(184.43)

114.24

SH 3-month SHIBOR

3.8848

0.01

0.27

(159.01)

(36.52)

Exchange Rates
5D % chg.

30D % chg.

Ytd % chg.

yoy % chg.

USD/HKD

Latest
7.7642

0.0

0.0

(0.2)

0.0

EUR/USD

1.2855

(0.0)

(1.9)

(2.6)

2.7

GBP/USD

1.5030

(0.1)

(3.0)

(7.5)

0.0

USD/JPY

102.2100

(0.9)

4.6

(15.1)

28.3

AUD/USD

0.9570

(1.3)

(7.5)

(8.0)

(1.9)

NZD/USD

0.8066

(0.1)

(5.8)

(2.7)

7.0

USD/CAD

1.0411

0.4

3.0

(4.7)

1.1

USD Index

84.2500

(0.1)

2.6

5.6

2.2

Energy and Raw Material Prices


Latest
Gold (USD/oz.)
Silver (USD/oz.)

5D % chg.

30D % chg.

Ytd % chg.

1,385.5

1.1

(6.1)

(17.4)

(11.9)

22.4

0.5

(8.8)

(26.2)

(21.5)

yoy % chg.

Aluminum (USD/t)

1,852.5

(0.4)

(1.4)

(10.6)

(8.0)

Copper (USD/t)

7,323.0

(1.0)

4.2

(7.7)

(4.1)

517.5

(4.2)

(4.2)

(2.8)

(12.7)

81.4

(2.4)

(2.8)

7.6

12.5

CRB Index

285.9

(1.0)

0.2

(3.1)

1.4

Brent (USD/barrel)

102.5

(2.0)

0.2

(7.3)

(3.8)

WTI (USD/barrel)

95.0

(1.1)

2.2

3.5

4.8

Hot roll steel (USD/t)


Cotton (USD/lb.)

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

98

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Companies Listed on both the A-share and H-share Markets

H share
code

Price
(HK$)

A share
code

Price
(RMB)

A-share
premium to
H-share (%)

H share
code

Price
(HK$)

A share
code

Price
(RMB)

A-share
premium to
H-share (%)

Shandong Molong

568

3.010

002490

11.500

384.6

Huadian Power

1071

3.890

600027

4.020

31.1

Yizheng Chem

1033

1.800

600871

6.400

351.0

Dongfang Electric

1072

12.920

600875

13.300

30.6

Luoyang Glass

1108

1.760

600876

5.600

303.6

China Oilfield

2883

16.680

601808

17.130

30.3

Tianjin Capital

1065

3.300

600874

9.510

265.5

Maanshan Iron

323

1.920

600808

1.940

28.2

NE Electric

42

1.020

000585

2.890

259.4

Anhui Expressway

995

4.070

600012

4.070

26.8

Beiren Printing

187

3.580

600860

9.670

242.6

China COSCO

1919

3.450

601919

3.440

26.5

Kunming Machine

300

2.400

600806

6.060

220.3

CITIC Bank

998

4.480

601998

4.450

26.0

Chongqing Iron

1053

1.140

601005

2.780

209.3

ZTE

763

12.980

000063

12.340

20.6

Shanghai Petrochem

338

2.650

600688

6.280

200.6

Zoomlion

1157

7.920

000157

7.290

16.7

Shandong Xinhua

719

2.100

000756

4.960

199.6

CSA

1055

3.860

600029

3.540

16.3

Nanjing Panda

553

3.710

600775

8.520

191.3

PetroChina

857

9.550

601857

8.600

14.2

Jingwei Textile

350

5.260

000666

10.160

145.0

CM Bank

3968

16.340

600036

13.760

6.8

Yanzhou Coal

1171

8.240

600188

14.770

127.3

A-H PREMIUM

-----

-----

-----

-----

6.4

Beijing N Star

588

1.900

601588

3.320

121.6

Sh Pharma

2607

15.180

601607

12.670

5.9

Hisense Kelon

921

5.250

000921

8.120

96.2

Air China

753

6.650

601111

5.510

5.1

Guangzhou Ship

317

7.290

600685

11.190

94.7

Sinopec

386

8.310

600028

6.800

3.8

Dalian Port

2880

1.750

601880

2.660

92.8

China Life

2628

21.050

601628

16.870

1.6

Zijin Mining

2899

2.140

601899

3.120

84.9

Guangshen Railway

525

3.500

601333

2.780

0.7

Datang Power

991

3.380

601991

4.760

78.6

China Shenhua

1088

26.350

601088

20.840

0.3

Jiangxi Copper

358

15.540

600362

21.320

74.0

Bank of China

3988

3.770

601988

2.980

0.3

CHALCO

2600

3.080

601600

4.160

71.3

BoComm

3328

6.100

601328

4.800

(0.2)

SH Electric

2727

2.950

601727

3.960

70.3

Huaneng Power

902

8.340

600011

6.530

(0.7)

Chenming Paper

1812

3.150

000488

4.200

69.1

Weichai Power

2338

30.500

000338

23.790

(1.1)

MCC

1618

1.580

601618

2.070

66.2

ICBC

1398

5.500

601398

4.190

(3.4)

Sichuan Expressway

107

2.470

601107

3.180

63.3

CCB

939

6.410

601939

4.860

(3.8)

Guangzhou Phar

874

30.450

600332

38.890

62.0

CSR

1766

5.920

601766

4.450

(4.7)

China Ship Dev

1138

3.520

600026

4.370

57.5

ABC

1288

3.720

601288

2.740

(6.6)

China Coal

1898

5.360

601898

6.630

56.9

Angang Steel

347

4.550

000898

3.350

(6.6)

CSCL

2866

2.020

601866

2.270

42.5

China Railway

390

4.120

601390

2.880

(11.3)

BBMG

2009

5.720

601992

6.400

41.9

CPIC

2601

27.600

601601

19.240

(11.6)

CEA

670

2.830

600115

3.120

39.8

Tsingtao Brewery

168

56.000

600600

38.930

(11.8)

Xinjiang Goldwind

2208

6.140

002202

6.750

39.4

Ping An

2318

60.050

601318

40.720

(14.0)

Minsheng Bank

1988

9.920

600016

10.740

37.3

China Rail Cons

1186

7.780

601186

5.190

(15.4)

SZ Expressway

548

3.020

600548

3.260

36.9

Jiangsu Expressway

177

9.120

600377

6.000

(16.6)

Guangzhou Automobile

2238

8.620

601238

9.210

35.5

Anhui Conch

914

27.000

600585

17.470

(17.9)

Company

Company

Sources: Bloomberg and Sun Hung Kai Financial

Sun Hung Kai Financial

99

Investment Daily Note

29 May 2013

Address:

42/F, The Lee Gardens, 33 Hysan Avenue, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong

Phone:

(852) 3920 2888

Fax:

(852) 3920 2789

Web:

http://www.shkfg.com

Analysts
Daniel So, CFA
Minnie Li

Disclosure of Interests
Research Analyst Certification
The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst(s)
primarily responsible for this report; and the analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Sun Hung Kai Investment Services Limited
("SHKIS") and its affiliates (collectively called "SHKF") which includes revenue from investment banking activities.
Research Analyst Conflicts
Financial Interests:
The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and/or his/her/their associates has/have no financial interests in relation to listed corporation(s)
covered in this report.
Relevant Relationships:
The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and his/her/their associates do not serve as officer(s) of listed corporation(s) covered in this report.
SHKF's Financial Interests and Business Relationships
SHKF may make a market in, or may, as principal or agent, buy or sell securities (or derivatives thereon) of issuer(s) mentioned in this report. SHKF
may have a financial interest in the issuer(s) mentioned in this report, including a long or short position in its/their securities and/or options, futures or
other derivative instruments based thereon, or vice versa. Likewise, SHKF, including its officers or employees may serve or have served as an officer,
director or in an advisory capacity for any issuer(s) mentioned in this report. SHKF may also, from time to time, solicit, perform or have performed
investment banking, underwriting or other services (including acting as adviser, manager, underwriter or lender) within the last 12 months for any
issuer(s) referred to in this report. Information about conflicts of interest relevant to this report is available at this SHKF website:
http://www.shkresearch.com/rp/disclosureOfInterests.html
Disclaimer
This report is provided for information and discussion purposes only. None of the views contained in this report constitute a solicitation or an offer by
any member of SHKIS, their directors, representatives and / or employees to buy or sell, whether as principal or agent, any securities, futures, options
or other financial instruments.
This report is intended for receipt by those to whom it is supplied by SHKIS and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in
any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation, or which would subject SHKIS to any regulatory
requirement within such jurisdiction or country. Any person or entity who is in possession of this report and who intends to act or rely upon the
information contained in it must satisfy himself / herself that he / she is not subject to any local requirement which restricts or prohibits him / her from
doing so.
Although the information in this report is obtained or compiled from sources that SHKIS believes to be reliable, it does not represent or warrant,
whether expressly or impliedly, the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any such information. SHKIS expressly disclaims any warranties
whether express or implied, of fitness for a particular purpose, or duties of care, in favor of any third party relying upon this report. Information
contained in this report may change at any time and SHKIS gives no undertaking to provide notice of any such change. Opinions and estimates stated
in this report are a reflection of the views of the relevant analysts as at the date of this report and may also change at any time. SHKIS gives no
undertaking to provide notice of any such change. If in doubt, you should consult your qualified financial and/ or other professional adviser.
The instruments and investments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, and this report has no regard to the specific investment
objectives, investment experience, financial situation or needs of any particular recipient. Investors must make their own investment decisions based
on their own investment objectives and financial position. The value of, and income from, an investment may vary because of changes in interest rates
or foreign exchange rates, changes in the price of securities or indices, changes in operational or financial conditions of companies and other factors.
There may be time limitations on the exercise of, or the exercise of rights associated with, the instruments and investments discussed in this report.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
In no event will SHKIS or any other member of SHKF be liable or have any responsibility for loss of any kind, whether direct, indirect, consequential
or incidental, resulting from the act or omission of any third party occurring in reliance upon the contents of this report even if SHKF is aware of such
act or omission at the time that it occurs.
2013 SHKIS. All rights reserved. This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of SHKIS
and SHKIS accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

Sun Hung Kai Financial

10

100

2013 5 29

2013 5 29

(%)

(%)

22,924

1.0

1.2

10,920

1.6

(4.5)

15,409

0.7

17.6

500

1,660

0.6

16.4

3,488

0.9

15.5

DAX

8,480

1.2

11.4

CAC40

4,050

1.4

11.2

100

6,762

1.6

14.7

225

14,311

0.9

38.9

8,263

(0.2)

7.3

2,321

1.2

2.3

5 76.2 71.0 2008 2

9,441

2.0

3.6

3 S&P/Case-Shiller 20

1148.HK

694.HK

2.51
5.49

2.80
6.00

2.37
4.90

106

10.9% 2006 4 106 15,409


ADR 22,843 80

86 95.01 1,400
7.7 1,378.9

(%)

14.8

16.0

4.2

18.1

10.5

27.8

51.3

(28.5)

ETF

1
(%)

5
(%)

A50
(2822.HK)

10.46

1.9

0.8

24 A

(3188.HK)

32.85

2.0

1.9

2,300 22,924 238

(3100.HK)

31.00

2.1

1.3

10,920 1.6% 513

XA50
(2823.HK)

43.20

(0.2)

(2.7)

X300
(2827.HK)

28.40

2.3

0.0

SPDRETF
(2840.HK)

1,041

(0.5)

0.0

ETF
(3081.HK)

34.25

0.1

0.3

ETF
(3084HK)

12.58

0.6

(5.4)

3 238

3 2,321 1.2%966.HK14.20
106 14.9%
6837.HK11.54 165.HK
13.16 4.7% 5.1%384.HK7.96
6.1%
2208.HK6.14

658.HK4.27 6.1% 3.4%


1880.HK12.32 4.8% 3
iBond6 4 13

http://www.shkfg.com
http://www.thomsonreuters.com
http://www.capitaliq.com
<shkr>

101

2013 5 29

100 10 20


1114.HK8.86
1148.HK2.51

2.23

4 729.65 13.4% 726.62


13.2%
6
5
4
73%
5
6.5
425.HK13.72 1899.HK3.50 14.1
22.7
2.80 2.37

102

2013 5 29

1148.HK

694.HK
5.49

18.21 1.5% 2,689.8 4.2%

D T3D 4
T2

50
5.42 6.00 4.90

103

2013 5 29

694.HK 50

104

2013 5 29

5 24

-9.8%

1.00%

1.00%

5 29

MBA

5 30

89.4

88.6

()

-21.9

-21.9

()

2.5%

2.5%

3.3%

3.2%

5 24

340K

340K

5 18

2970K

2912K

()

1.5%

1.5%

4.1%

4.1%

CPI ()

1.4%

1.2%

12.2%

12.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.0%

0.2%

50.0

49.0

()

83.7

83.7

49.9

50.6

54.5

49.7

50.4

()

47.8

()

0.8%

-1.7%

ISM

50.5

50.7

-$41.2B

-$38.8B

5 31

6 1

6 3

6 4

105

2013 5 29

()

-0.2%

()

0.7%

()

23.1%

6 5

()

-0.2%

()

-1.0%

47.7

47.5

MBA

5 31

ADP

170K

119K

1.0%

-4.9%

ISM

53.2

53.1

106

2013 5 29

29

21

24
18

19

15

14

12

6
Jan06

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

Jan13

4
Jan06

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Mean

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

Jan13

Jan12

Jan13

Mean

500
20

45

18

37
16

29

14
21

12

13

5
Jan06

10

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11

Jan12

Jan13

8
Jan06

Mean

Jan07

Jan08

Jan09

Forward P/E (X)

Jan10
+/- 1 s.d.

Jan11
Mean

2013

2013

2014

()

()

(%)

(%)

(%)

10.9

13.6

(20.0)

(4.4)

8.8

8.0

12.7

(37.0)

11.8

20.5

10.0

17.3

(42.1)

24.3

29.6

500

15.1

14.3

5.5

7.5

22.6

107

2013 5 29

()

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

()

444.3

15.8

12.2

966.HK

14.200

14.9

11.5

8.1

(9.6)

1066.HK

8.740

8.3

7.6

17.6

13.4

75.7

25.3

21.1

1199.HK

11.380

6.6

1.2

12.5

3.1

112.1

8.7

9.8

1211.HK

202.6

58.7

42.1

33.400

5.9

(0.1)

19.9

43.7

291.HK

25.800

5.3

7.5

(1.3)

(7.7)

116.5

392.HK

63.600

(1.2)

(1.5)

10.4

25.9

82.6

18.6

15.5

817.HK

2.840

(0.7)

(0.7)

7.2

1.8

15.4

8.8

7.4

3323.HK

8.690

(0.7)

(5.4)

(6.7)

(23.4)

458.4

5.4

4.5

1800.HK

7.430

(0.7)

(4.0)

2.6

(0.7)

87.7

6.9

6.2

2238.HK

8.620

(0.6)

11.4

37.5

25.5

263.7

17.4

12.1

32.2

25.9

()

()

()

(%)

966.HK

14.200

14.9

3.2

31.8

891.1

15.8

12.2

3389.HK

2.240

7.2

9.1

38.6

325.4

10.5

8.8

384.HK

7.960

6.1

7.4

23.1

212.1

25.1

20.8

2238.HK

8.620

(0.6)

11.7

30.2

157.9

17.4

12.1

569.HK

2.070

4.0

1.3

3.2

149.5

7.7

6.8

715.HK

0.630

0.0

1.8

4.5

148.1

1099.HK

21.650

3.3

6.0

14.8

147.5

17.7

14.5

1177.HK

5.350

3.7

22.1

54.2

145.8

24.3

19.5

882.HK

4.780

(1.0)

4.3

10.5

145.0

11.7

9.7

2789.HK

0.840

3.7

10.0

24.4

143.3

6.6

5.5

* ** 30

()

3988.HK

3.770

2.2

239.0

5.4%

22.0%

5.8

5.4

939.HK

6.410

1.4

158.0

3.6%

19.2%

6.0

5.5

941.HK

83.600

0.6

121.0

2.8%

14.7%

10.5

10.9

3968.HK

16.340

1.2

91.9

2.1%

20.0%

6.2

5.7

700.HK

304.200

1.3

83.4

1.9%

9.9%

26.6

21.9

1880.HK

12.320

4.8

64.1

1.5%

19.1%

17.1

14.9

2318.HK

60.050

1.7

57.4

1.3%

9.1%

13.3

11.5

1988.HK

9.920

2.5

55.9

1.3%

21.6%

5.4

5.0

1044.HK

88.700

3.4

53.4

1.2%

34.6%

27.0

22.1

688.HK

23.750

2.4

49.2

1.1%

13.3%

10.2

8.7

(%)

(%)

108

2013 5 29

(%)

()

()

()

()

0.2970

5.07

8.98

5.79

1.17

2.1554

11.59

48.53

27.92

41.74

3.3147

9.52

43.62

42.06

47.35

0.2071

0.00

0.00

(13.36)

(9.54)

0.3771

(0.07)

0.00

(0.29)

(2.57)

4.1457

(48.93)

70.37

(184.43)

114.24

3.8848

0.01

0.27

(159.01)

(36.52)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

7.7642

0.0

0.0

(0.2)

0.0

1.2853

(0.0)

(1.9)

(2.6)

2.7

1.5029

(0.1)

(3.0)

(7.5)

0.0

102.2100

(0.9)

4.6

(15.1)

28.3

0.9567

(1.4)

(7.6)

(8.0)

(2.0)

0.8061

(0.2)

(5.9)

(2.7)

6.9

1.0413

0.4

3.0

(4.7)

1.2

84.2490

(0.1)

2.6

5.6

2.2

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

1,384.6

1.0

(6.2)

(17.4)

(12.0)

22.4

0.5

(8.8)

(26.2)

(21.5)

(/)
(/)
(/)

1,852.5

(0.4)

(1.4)

(10.6)

(8.0)

(/)

7,323.0

(1.0)

4.2

(7.7)

(4.1)

517.5

(4.2)

(4.2)

(2.8)

(12.7)

81.4

(2.4)

(2.8)

7.6

12.5

CRB

285.9

(1.0)

0.2

(3.1)

1.4

(/)

102.5

(2.0)

0.2

(7.3)

(3.8)

95.0

(1.1)

2.2

3.5

4.8

(/)
(/)

WTI (/)

109

2013 5 29

A H
A
H
()
(%)

()

()

A
H
() (%)

568

3.010

002490

11.500

384.4

1071

3.890

600027

4.020

31.0

350.8

1072

12.920

600875

13.300

30.5

303.4

2883

16.680

601808

17.130

30.2

1033
1108

1.800
1.760

600871
600876

6.400
5.600

()

()

1065

3.300

600874

9.510

265.3

323

1.920

600808

1.940

28.1

42

1.020

000585

2.890

259.2

995

4.070

600012

4.070

26.8

187

3.580

600860

9.670

242.4

1919

3.450

601919

3.440

26.4

300

2.400

600806

6.060

220.1

998

4.480

601998

4.450

25.9

1053

1.140

601005

2.780

209.2

763

12.980

000063

12.340

20.5

338

2.650

600688

6.280

200.4

1157

7.920

000157

7.290

16.7

719

2.100

000756

4.960

199.4

1055

3.860

600029

3.540

16.3

553

3.710

600775

8.520

191.1

857

9.550

601857

8.600

14.2

350

5.260

000666

10.160

144.9

3968

16.340

600036

13.760

6.8

127.2

AH

-----

-----

-----

-----

6.4

1171

8.240

600188

14.770

588

1.900

601588

3.320

121.5

2607

15.180

601607

12.670

5.8

921

5.250

000921

8.120

96.1

753

6.650

601111

5.510

5.0

317

7.290

600685

11.190

94.6

386

8.310

600028

6.800

3.7

2880

1.750

601880

2.660

92.7

2628

21.050

601628

16.870

1.6

2899

2.140

601899

3.120

84.8

525

3.500

601333

2.780

0.7

991

3.380

601991

4.760

78.5

1088

26.350

601088

20.840

0.3

358

15.540

600362

21.320

73.9

3988

3.770

601988

2.980

0.2

2600

3.080

601600

4.160

71.2

3328

6.100

601328

4.800

(0.2)

2727

2.950

601727

3.960

70.2

902

8.340

600011

6.530

(0.7)

1812

3.150

000488

4.200

69.0

2338

30.500

000338

23.790

(1.1)

1618

1.580

601618

2.070

66.1

1398

5.500

601398

4.190

(3.4)

63.2

939

6.410

601939

4.860

(3.9)

107

2.470

601107

3.180

874

30.450

600332

38.890

61.9

1766

5.920

601766

4.450

(4.7)

1138

3.520

600026

4.370

57.4

1288

3.720

601288

2.740

(6.6)

1898

5.360

601898

6.630

56.8

347

4.550

000898

3.350

(6.7)

2866

2.020

601866

2.270

42.5

390

4.120

601390

2.880

(11.4)

2009

5.720

601992

6.400

41.8

2601

27.600

601601

19.240

(11.6)

670

2.830

600115

3.120

39.8

168

56.000

600600

38.930

(11.9)

2208

6.140

002202

6.750

39.4

2318

60.050

601318

40.720

(14.0)

1988

9.920

600016

10.740

37.3

1186

7.780

601186

5.190

(15.4)

548

3.020

600548

3.260

36.8

177

9.120

600377

6.000

(16.6)

2238

8.620

601238

9.210

35.5

914

27.000

600585

17.470

(18.0)

10

110

2013 5 29

33 42

852 3920 2888

852 3920 2789

www.shkfg.com

, CFA

""""

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111

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