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EMPLOYMENT
Over the year to February 2011, trend employment increased by a robust 327 200 (or 2.9%) and employment grew by 13 300 jobs in February 2011. While this was slightly down from its most recent peak (38 000 jobs per month in September 2010), a number of forward indicators suggest employment should continue to expand in the period ahead. Over the 12 months to February 2011, employment (in trend terms) increased in all States and Territories (the States) with the largest employment growth in New South Wales (NSW, 4.0%), Victoria (3.4%) and the Northern Territory (NT, 2.7%). Employment opportunities and growth varied across industries. Over the 12 months to February 2011, the largest increases in trend employment occurred in Health Care and Social Assistance (up 98 700), Retail Trade (up 52 400), Accommodation and Food Services (up 35 000) and Administrative and Support Services (up 32 100). The strongest rates of employment growth were in Mining (16.7%), Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (16.2%), Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services (13.6%) and Administrative and Support Services (8.4%). Employment growth rates by industry are shown in Figure 1. Figure 1: Percentage change in trend employment by industry February 2010 to February 2011
Decrease Increase
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manuf acturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Inf ormation Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Prof essional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Saf ety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Source: ABS, Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly, February 2011, ABS Cat. No. 6291.0.55.003.
April 2011
UNEMPLOYMENT
The trend rate of unemployment was 5.0% in February 2011, compared with 5.4% in February 2010. In the past year, the trend unemployment rate increased slightly in South Australia (SA, up 0.4 percentage points) and Queensland (up 0.1 percentage points) and was unchanged in Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). In February 2011, the trend unemployment rate was highest in Tasmania (5.8%) and Queensland (5.7%) and lowest in the NT (2.3%). See Figure 2. Generally, people in the more highly-skilled occupational groups are less likely to experience unemployment. For the four quarters to February 2011, the unemployment rate for those who were formerly employed as Labourers was about four times that of former Professionals.
6
5
4 3
2
1
0
QLD TAS WA NT
AUST
1
VIC
SA
MIGRANT UNEMPLOYMENT
The unemployment rates for people who migrate to Australia vary appreciably. Several factors influence migrant unemployment rates including the period since arrival in Australia (data consistently show recently-arrived migrants have a higher unemployment rate than those who have lived in Australia for some years), skill level, age, English proficiency, and recent and relevant work experience. Figure 3 below shows unemployment rates (original data average of the last 12 months to February 2011) for people resident in Australia who were born in selected overseas countries. For example, people born in the Netherlands and Italy have low unemployment rates (2.6% and 3.4% respectively), while unemployment rates for people born in Lebanon and Vietnam are relatively high (7.1% and 6.9% respectively). Figure 3: Unemployment rates (%) by selected countries of birth 12 months to February 2011
8 7 6 5
4
3 2 1 0
UK and Ireland
NSW
Australia
Netherlands
New Zealand
Malaysia
Greece
Philippines
China
India
Germany
Vietnam
Lebanon
ACT
MESC: Main English Speaking Countries2 OTMESC: Other Than Main English Speaking Countries
1 2
The estimates for individual countries in Figure 3 may be subject to high sampling variability. MESC are the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, South Africa, Canada, the United States of America and New Zealand.
OTMESC
Italy
MESC
April 2011
Additional information on Professional and Trade occupations is provided in the following section on internet vacancy trends.
The Internet Vacancy Index (IVI) is based on a count of online vacancies newly lodged on SEEK, MyCareer, CareerOne and Australian JobSearch during the month. The data are seasonally adjusted and trended, and then indexed (January 2006 = 100). IVI vacancies have been coded by DEEWR to occupations based on the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO), First Edition (ABS Cat. No. 1220.0). In view of the trending procedure, figures for the six months prior to the current month are subject to revision. 4 Available for download from www.skillsinfo.gov.au/skills/lmi/vacancyreport.
April 2011
140
120 100
80
60
40 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11
Source: Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations, Internet Vacancy Index (March 2011), www.skillsinfo.gov.au/skills/lmi/vacancyreport.
Technicians and Trades Workers Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanics Automotive Electricians Bricklayers and Stonemasons Carpenters and Joiners Civil Engineering Draftspersons and Technicians Electricians Motor Mechanics Plasterers Plumbers Sheetmetal Trades Workers Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers Wall and Floor Tilers Community and Personal Service Workers Dental Hygienists, Technicians and Therapists
The Australian Labour Market Update uses the latest available detailed and consistent data at time of production. However, the labour market can change quickly and should be re-assessed prior to making a decision to lodge a visa application. Queries relating to this publication should be emailed to migration@deewr.gov.au.
5 6
Job prospect ratings are based on ANZSCO, First Edition (ABS Cat. No. 1220.0). This table does not identify all skilled occupations eligible for temporary or permanent migration to Australia. The lists of skilled occupations may include occupations with average, below average or poor future job prospects.
April 2011
NSW
Population Share of Australian Population (%) Capital City Balance of State Aged 15 years and over Aged 65 years and over 7 232 589 32.4 20.5 11.9 26.3 4.6
VIC
5 545 932 24.8 18.3 6.6 20.3 3.4
QLD
4 513 850 20.2 9.2 11.1 16.2 2.5
SA
1 644 582 7.4 5.4 2.0 6.1 1.2
WA
2 293 510 10.3 7.6 2.7 8.3 1.2
TAS
507 643 2.3 1.0 1.3 1.8 0.4
NT
229 711 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.1
ACT
358 571 1.6 1.6 0.0 1.3 0.2
AUST
22 328 847 100.0 64.0 36.0 81.1 13.5 1.7
Population 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.2 2.2 0.9 1.5 1.8 growth (%)** * Estimated resident population at 30 June 2010 is preliminary. ** Percentage growth in the 12 months from 30 June 2009 to 30 June 2010. Estimated resident population at 30 June 2009 is revised. Source: ABS (2011), Australian Demographic Statistics, September Quarter 2010, ABS Cat. No. 3101.0; and ABS (2011), Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2009-10, ABS Cat. No. 3218.0.
Figure B: Employment for Skilled Occupations by State/Territory February 2010 to February 2011
2000
'000 persons
February 2010
February 2011
2000 1000 0
NSW QLD TAS ACT WA NT SA VIC
NSW
QLD
TAS
ANZSCO Major Groups 1 to 3 include most, but not all, skilled occupations where the entry requirement for employment in the Australian labour market is an Australian Qualifications Framework Certificate III or higher qualification.
ACT
WA
VIC
SA
NT
April 2011
VIC
WA
SA
QLD
NSW
ACT
TAS
NT
February 2010
February 2011
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey original data for the 4 quarters to February 2011. * This estimate may be subject to high sampling variability.
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From April 2011, this section is based on ABS trended data, instead of ABS original data (which was used for previous editions).
AUST