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Prepared To Accompany
Patrick Dunne
Texas Tech University
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PREFACE
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House, which is a family clothing store. You will be provided with an
electronic spreadsheet which you will use to simulate the effects of the
decisions made or phenomena occurring in The House.
Once you become familiar with the spreadsheet models introduced
in The House, you can use them to further your understanding and study
of retailing. For example, the models presented can be used in a variety
of ways.
• The models can be used to help you design and simulate a retail
store that you might consider opening.
• The models can be used to help you develop your own problems
that allow you to explore the many interrelationships found in
retailing.
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SPREADSHEET ANALYSIS
Fundamental Concepts
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Entering Data
Entering Formulas
Entering Percents
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INTRODUCTION
Anne and Fred Harris are owners and operators of The House. The
House is a family apparel store in Hamilton, a small midwestern
community of 6,237 households (excluding college students) comprising
16,529 permanent residents. Hamilton is located at the crossroads of
State Highway #43 and #62. In addition to the permanent residents
there are 2,800 full-time students who attend a small private college.
These college students, many of whom have roommates, occupy 1650
separate apartments, dormitory rooms, or other residences that are
separate from the permanent resident population. Thus, the total
households consist of 6,237 permanent and 1,650 nonpermanent, or
college student households, for a total of 7,887 households. On the other
hand the total population is 19,329, which consists of 16,529 permanent
residents and 2,800 college students.
Background
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Purchase of Business
Mr. Henderson offered to sell The House to Anne and Bill for the
book value of its fixtures, equipment and inventory or $575,000. The
fixtures and equipment were valued at $75,000. The House occupied a
7000 square foot building in downtown Hamilton. The building was owned
by Mr. Henderson who agreed to lease the building to Anne and Bill for
$3,000 per month. In addition, he agreed to take a downpayment of
$125,000 on the $575,000 purchase price and to finance the remaining
$450,000 on a three year 8% interest only note with interest of $3000
due the first of each month. At the end of three years they would need to
obtain permanent financing from a source other than Mr. Henderson.
After some serious thought Anne and Fred agreed to purchase The
House from Anne's father. They took possession of the store on
November 1, 2001 just in time for the Christmas season. In 2001 sales
were $1,325,132 and of this amount $348,200 occurred during November
and December. Total assets at year-end 2001 were $585,100, which
included $158,700 in cash and $351,400 in inventory (at cost).
The House is open Monday through Wednesday from 10:00 a.m. to
6 p.m. and on Thursday through Saturday from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. The
House is closed on Sunday and also on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas and
New Years Day. Fred and Anne work in the store daily. However, Friday
and Saturday are their busiest days. They have four full-time
salespeople, four part-time salespeople, one full-time janitor, one
bookkeeper, an accounts payable and accounts receivable clerk, a
secretary who also serves as a receptionist, and a full-time buyer who
buys womenswear and children's apparel. Mr. Henderson, in addition to
running the store the last forty years, also served as the menswear
buyer. He has agreed to continue to perform this activity for the next 12
months for a retainer of $12,000 and to take Fred along on three buying
trips. After the 12-month transition, Fred will perform the buying function
for the menswear line.
Operating Characteristics
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Importantly, not all store visits result in a purchase. In 2001 only 62% of
store visits resulted in a purchase.
The House has been operating on a 38% gross margin and Fred and
Anne expect this to continue for 2002. They have carefully analyzed their
expected costs for 2002 and estimate fixed operating costs per month at
$25,640 and variable operating costs at 11.2% of sales. The fixed
operating costs include a $1200 monthly salary each for Fred and Anne.
Variable operating costs include advertising costs of 3.2% of sales.
Retail Environment
Special Note
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PHASE ONE SPREADSHEET MODEL:
BASIC CONCEPTS
• Total Assets is the value of the things the retailer owns, which
it uses to operate its business. Examples of assets include
fixtures, equipment, cash and inventory.
Also you will need to know that the notation used is as follows: (+)
designates addition, (-) designates subtraction, (/) designates division, (*)
designates multiplication. Incidentally, this is the only level of math you
will need to work the simulation exercises. When multiplication occurs
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you can round off your answer to the nearest one-hundredth of a decimal
(i.e. have two digits to the right of the decimal point) or you should feel
free to use higher precision if you desire. Naturally, when a series of
multiplications occur a rounding error will occur. You should not be
worried about such minor differences in computations.
In addition to the preceding, you need to understand some
important relationships between the preceding concepts. These
relationships are best understood in terms of three basic financial ratios.
Repeatedly throughout the simulations you will see that the impact of
changes in the retail business have an ultimate effect on these three
financial ratios.
You also need to know that the net profit margin multiplied by the rate of
asset turnover yields return on assets. This basic relationship is
illustrated with the following equation:
OR
The simulation model you will be working with in phase one will
look like the following:
SAMPLE SPREADSHEET
PHASE ONE
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Baseline Model Model-A Model-B
net sales $1,325,132
cost of merchandise sold $821,582
gross margin $503,550
variable operating cost $148,415
fixed operating cost $307,680
total operating cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
If you double click on this spreadsheet you will bring up the Excel
software. You can click on the different cells in this spreadsheet and see
how each of the elements is defined. Note that for each cell we either
entered a number or a formula. For example for net sales we entered
$1,325,132, however, for cost of merchandise sold we entered the
formula: Net Sales * (1 - gross margin %) or B2 * (1 - .38). B2 is the
location of net sales and .38 represents the 38% gross margin percent
The House experienced.
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PHASE ONE
EXERCISE ONE-A
.
EXERCISE ONE-A
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Baseline Model 3% sales drop 4% sales drop 5% sales drop
net sales $1,325,132
cost of mdse sold $821,582
gross margin $503,550
var operating cost $148,415
fixed operating cost $307,680
total operating cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
QUESTIONS
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PHASE ONE
EXERCISE ONE-B
Anne and Fred just learned that the local gift and jewelry store is
cutting back its line of women’s apparel and giftware. The apparel
consisted largely of scarves, silk blouses, nightwear, and sweaters. As a
result, they expect that sales at The House will rise 1% or 2% in 2002
compared to 2001.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the three scenarios (1%, 1.5%, and 2% sales increase) in the
simulation. If the formula or number does not change from the baseline,
you can simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty cells
under the various scenarios. HINT--one way to do this is to simply
copy all of the data or formulas in column one (baseline model)
into the following three columns. Once this is done you can go
into the sales cells (B2, C2, D2) and alter the level of sales. All of
the remaining changes will be made automatically due to the
simulation nature of this software. Be sure to save your work and
print a copy once you are satisfied with its correctness. After you
complete your simulation there are two questions you need to answer.
These can be answered by typing your responses below the questions,
saving your work, printing a copy and handing it in to the instructor if
required.
EXERCISE ONE-B
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QUESTIONS
competition? Why?
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PHASE ONE
EXERCISE TWO-A
Anne and Fred Harris have decided that in 2002 they will pursue a
new marketing and financial strategy in which their goal will be a higher
market share. They have noted that many households have been
shopping for apparel out of town, especially in Troy, which has a 400,000
square foot covered mall that includes two department stores and 18
specialty stores. Anne and Fred have developed two alternative
strategies: (a) they would increase store hours by being open seven days
a week and thus fixed costs would rise from $25,640 monthly to $30,000
per month, but as a result they expect a 15% sales increase; (b) they
would keep store hours the same but would introduce a mail order
catalog to be mailed four times a year to all households in town and to
the five outlying towns. Under this alternative the fixed operating costs
would rise to $40,000 and variable operating costs would increase by
1.2% of sales. Sales would be projected to increase 36%. Under either
strategy they do not expect a rise in total assets. With the increased
store hours Fred and Anne Harris have no need to invest in additional
inventory, store fixtures, or other assets. In the case of the direct mail
program the production and mailing of the catalog will be contracted out,
therefore no additional investment in assets will be required. Which
alternative should they pursue?
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (expanded store hours or direct mail catalog) in
the simulation. If the formula or number does not change from the
baseline, you can simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty
cells under the various scenarios. Be sure to save your work and print a
copy once you are satisfied with its correctness. After you complete your
simulation there are two questions you need to answer. These can be
answered by typing your responses below the questions, saving your
work, printing a copy, and handing it in to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE TWO-A
QUESTIONS
1. Should The House change its financial and marketing strategy? Why?
2. What are some of the reasons that the projections made for either the
expanded store hours scenario or the direct mail catalog scenario may
not materialize as projected? Is one option more risky?
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PHASE ONE
EXERCISE TWO-B
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EXERCISE TWO-B
QUESTIONS
2. What are some of the other factors that need to be considered when
making this decision? Please explain.
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PHASE TWO SPREADSHEET MODEL:
BASIC CONCEPTS
The problems you will work in phase two relate to Part Two--"The
Retailing Environment" of Retailing by Dunne, Lusch and Griffith. For
Phase Two of The House you need to understand concepts related to the
retailing environment. These concepts deal with the customer,
competition, channel, and the legal environment. The following concepts
are important to understand:
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For example, if a retailer has a market coverage of 20,000 households,
has a penetration level of 60%, and the typical household visits the store
six times annually, then the traffic will be (20,000)*(60%)*(6) or 72,000.
In brief, the store has 72,000 household visits a year. Now consider that
the closure on these visits is 50% then the number of transactions on an
annual basis is (72,000)*(50%) or 36,000. Finally, if the average
transaction size is $10 then the annual net sales would be (36,000)*($10)
or $360,000.
SAMPLE SPREADSHEET
PHASE TWO
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE THREE-A
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EXERCISE THREE-A
QUESTIONS
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE THREE-B
Anne and Fred have noted that many of their customers are middle
age households in the community. These are good loyal customers,
however, The House could do a better job of attracting college students
and encouraging them to purchase their entire, or most, of their college
wardrobe needs at The House. Fred decided to invite to lunch five college
males who were active in fraternities. Similarly, Anne invited to lunch five
coeds who were active in their sorority. At the lunch both Fred and Anne
asked them why they don't purchase more of their wardrobe needs at
The House. Both groups felt The House was a good choice for fill in and
staple purchases such as underwear and hose and an occasional sport
shirt or casual dress. However, the students (both male and female)
believed that The House had a very poor selection of casual clothing for
college students. In addition, they did not like shopping at a store that
catered to all family members.
That evening Anne and Fred brainstormed while they had dinner.
They decided that one possible way to serve the college market would be
to develop a special area within their store called the College Shop. In
this shop within the store they would feature cotton twill slacks and
dresses, polo style sport shirts, belts, Bass loafers, and moderately priced
tweed and navy blazers for men, white oxford dress shirts, and a
selection of ties.
To help promote the College Shop they would also appoint a fashion
advisory board of three college males and three college females, meet
with them monthly, and pay them $50 per meeting. In addition, they
would commit to advertising weekly in the college newspaper, but this
cost would be reallocated from their existing advertising budget. Finally,
it was estimated that a total inventory investment of $85,000 would be
needed for the College Shop, however, $35,000 of this amount could be
reallocated from current merchandise lines that would be phased out.
The additional $50,000 inventory investment would be financed with
existing cash balances and trade payables. Anne and Fred expected that
penetration among college students would rise to 55%, thus increasing
the market penetration to 70% from 65%. To be conservative in their
estimates they assumed that closure and average transaction size would
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be unaffected but that average shopping frequency would rise to eight
times per year.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (70% penetration & average shopping frequency
7.8 or 70% penetration & average shopping frequency 8.0) in the
simulation. If the formula or number does not change from the baseline,
you can simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty cells
under the various scenarios. Be sure to save your work and print a copy
once you are satisfied with its correctness. After you complete your
simulation there are two questions you need to answer. These can be
answered by typing your responses below the questions, saving your
work, printing a copy and handing it in to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE THREE-B
Baseline Model 70% Pen & Avg Frq 7.8 70% Pen & Avg Frq 8.0
market coverage 7887
penetration level 0.65
avg shopping frequency 7.8
traffic 39987
closure 0.62
transactions 24792
avg transaction size $53.45
net sales $1,325,132
cost of mdse sold $821,582
gross margin $503,550
variable op cost $148,415
fixed op cost $307,680
total op cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
QUESTIONS
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE FOUR-A
Anne’s father, the prior owner of The House, left a complete set of
books for 20 years. Fred was able to enter the annual sales data into his
personal computer and graph annual sales over time. What became very
clear was that sales increases would almost identically match the general
rate of inflation. This suggested that The House probably had not
experienced any real growth in sales since 1980. During this period the
competitive situation has also been quite stable. However, recently the
local Dollar General store reconfigured its store layout to devote more
space to womenswear. At the same time the local Wal*Mart has devoted
more space to womenswear. As a consequence, more women are
shopping locally for clothing at these two stores. Fred and Anne estimate
that average shopping frequency could drop to 7.5 or possibly as low as
7.0 times a year. What would be the impact on store performance?
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (average shopping frequency 7.5 or average
shopping frequency 7.0) in the simulation. If the formula or number does
not change from the baseline, you can simply copy these formulas or
numbers into the empty cells under the various scenarios. Be sure to
save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy and handing it in
to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE FOUR-A
Baseline Model Avg Shopping Frq = 7.5 Avg Shopping Frq = 7.0
market coverage 7887
penetration level 0.65
avg shopping frequency 7.8
traffic 39987
closure 0.62
transactions 24792
avg transaction size $53.45
net sales $1,325,132
cost of mdse sold $821,582
gross margin $503,550
variable op cost $148,415
fixed op cost $307,680
total op cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
QUESTIONS
1. Why did the drop in average shopping frequency have such a dramatic
impact on store performance?
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE FOUR-B
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EXERCISE FOUR-B
Baseline Model Avg Frq & Trn Sze Drp 5% Avg Frq & Trn Sze Drp 10%
market coverage 7887
penetration level 0.65
avg shop frequency 7.8
traffic 39987
closure rate 0.62
transactions 24792
avg transaction size $53.45
net sales $1,325,132
cost of mdse sold $821,582
gross margin $503,550
variable op cost $148,415
fixed op cost $307,680
total op cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
QUESTIONS
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2. What actions might The House take to combat this direct mail
competition?
PHASE TWO
EXERCISE FIVE-A
Anne and Fred have been traveling twice a year to the Apparel
Market in New York City. Recently they learned of an apparel wholesaler
who sells primarily via an electronic catalog. Customers of this wholesaler
can use their personal computer and their telephone to access this
catalog and receive color pictures of all merchandise. All orders can be
placed and paid electronically. To purchase the proper modem and
software will cost $500 and telephone charges would be $50 monthly.
This $500 for software and modem should be treated as an increased
cost vs. an asset since it is likely that regular software updates and new
modems that are faster will be purchased annually. The wholesaler sells
apparel at the same prices as could be obtained by purchasing direct
from manufacturers. In addition this wholesaler pays all freight charges
on orders over $4,500. Currently Fred and Anne are paying all freight
charges, therefore they expect to save 2% of sales. Since Anne and Fred
will only need to take one trip a year to New York City to observe apparel
trends, they will also save $5,850 per year in travel costs. What would be
the impact on store performance of switching to this wholesaler?
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the new wholesaler scenario in the simulation. If the formula or
number does not change from the baseline, you can simply copy these
formulas or numbers into the empty cells under the new scenario. Be
sure to save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy, and handing it in
to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE FIVE-A
QUESTIONS
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2. What other advantages might accrue to The House as a result of
dealing with this wholesaler? How might these impact other variables in
the simulation model?
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE FIVE-B
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EXERCISE FIVE-B
QUESTIONS
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE SIX-A
Recently, legislation was passed and will take effect in early 2002
that will require commercial buildings to have sprinkler systems for fire
control purposes. The building The House occupies is 45 years old and is
not equipped with a sprinkler system. Anne and Fred recently received a
letter from Bill Henderson (Anne's father) informing them that he can't
afford the $42,000 to install the sprinkler at the current lease rate of
$3,000 monthly. The Harris’ lease expires at the end of 2001 and Bill
Henderson has presented them two options. Option one is to extend their
lease until 2006 and have The House pay the leasehold improvement
costs, and then write these leasehold improvements off over the five
years of the new lease. Under this option their rent would remain at
$3000 monthly. The House would use its line of credit at the bank to
borrow $42,000 at 10% interest. The sixty monthly principal and interest
payments on this loan would be $892.38 and the entire amount could be
written off as a business expense. Option two would be to enter into a
new annual lease at $4000 per month. Which option should they take?
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (increased rent vs. making leasehold
improvements) in the simulation. HINT: For the leasehold
improvement option, assume that total assets rise by $42,000,
which is the amount of leasehold improvements. If the formula or
number does not change from the baseline, you can simply copy these
formulas or numbers into the empty cells under the various scenarios. Be
sure to save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy and handing it in
to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE SIX-A
QUESTIONS
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PHASE TWO
EXERCISE SIX-B
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EXERCISE SIX-B
QUESTIONS
1. Which financial ratio was most impacted by the national sales tax? Why?
2. Should The House attempt to absorb all of the national sales tax into its
cost of doing business and not pass on any increase to the customer? Why or
why not?
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PHASE THREE SPREADSHEET MODEL:
BASIC CONCEPTS
• trade radius is the number of miles from the store from which
customers are attracted. This concept assumes that a store's
trade area is represented by a circle surrounding the store. The
trade radius would be the radius of that circle.
To understand the preceding you need to recall that the formula for
the area of a circle is pi times the square of the radius of the circle.
Where pi is the mathematical constant of 22/7 or 3.142857. Recall that
we are assuming that the trade area is circular. If we take pi times the
radius squared we get the number of square miles in a circle or the
number of square miles in the trade area. If we then multiply this by the
population or household density we obtain the total number of people or
households in the trade area, or what we refer to as market coverage.
The spreadsheet model you will be working with in the phase three
exercises is as follows:
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SAMPLE SPREADSHEET
PHASE THREE
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PHASE THREE
EXERCISE SEVEN-A
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Since you are starting a new store there is no base of comparison. Thus
for the first year you need to enter the formula and/or data for each row.
HINT: You can refer back the phase three prototype model to see
how some of the formulas are set up. If the formula or number does
not change from the baseline you can simply copy these formulas or
numbers into the empty cells under the various scenarios. Be sure to
save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy and handing it in
to the instructor if required
EXERCISE SEVEN-A
QUESTIONS
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2. Do you have any suggested strategies that would make The House
more profitable in the first year of operation?
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PHASE THREE
EXERCISE SEVEN-B
Fred and Anne are concerned with how their proposed new store
may impact the performance of their existing store. Both believe their
trade area will continue to be a three-mile radius within which the
population density is 278.833 households per square mile. However,
because their new store will somewhat cannibalize their existing store,
they have predicted that their penetration would drop to 62% and
average shopping frequency would decline to 7.5 times. On the other
hand, they believe that they can partially counteract this cannibalization
by working more diligently to improve closure. They believe that closure
can rise from 62% to 65% with more selling effort.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the cannibalization scenario. If the formula or number does not
change from the baseline, you can simply copy these formulas or
numbers into the empty cells under the cannibalization scenario. Be sure
to save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy and handing it in
to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE SEVEN-B
QUESTIONS
1. What is the financial impact of the proposed new store on the existing
store?
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2. Can you think of any other things that might be done to minimize the
cannibalization effect of the new store?
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PHASE FOUR SPREADSHEET MODEL:
BASIC CONCEPTS
The problems you will work in phase four relate to chapters 8 and 9
in Part Four--"Managing Retail Operations" of Retailing (2002) by Dunne,
Lusch and Griffith.
Chapters 8 and 9 deal with financial planning but focus primarily on
developing a six-month merchandise budget. For the problems in this
section you need to understand the following concepts which will allow
you to develop a six-month merchandise budget.
• planned BOM stock for the month. There are three methods
we will deal with:
2. the basic stock method. The planned BOM stock for the
month = basic stock + planned monthly sales. Where the
basic stock = average stock for the season - average
monthly sales for the season
• planned EOM stock for the month = (planned BOM stock for
the following month)
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• planned purchases at cost for the month = (planned
purchases at retail for the month) * (100% - planned initial mark
up percentage)
SAMPLE
SIX-MONTH MERCHANDISE BUDGET
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Planned
Sales
Percentage
Planned
Retail
Reduction
Percentage
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PHASE FOUR
EXERCISE EIGHT-A
• planned BOM stock for the month = (planned sales for the
month)*(planned BOM Stock-to-Sales Ratio for the month)
• planned EOM stock for the month = (planned BOM stock for
the following month)
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• planned purchases at cost for the month = (planned
purchases at retail for the month) * (1.0 - planned initial mark up
percentage)
EXERCISE EIGHT-A
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PHASE FOUR
EXERCISE EIGHT-B
• planned BOM stock for the month = (planned sales for the
month)*(planned BOM Stock-to-Sales Ratio for the month)
• planned EOM stock for the month = (planned BOM stock for
the following month)
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• planned purchases at cost for the month = (planned
purchases at retail for the month) * (1.0 - planned initial mark up
percentage)
EXERCISE EIGHT-B
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PHASE FOUR
EXERCISE NINE-A
• average stock for the season = total planned sales for the
season/estimated inventory turnover rate for the season
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• planned EOM stock for the month = (planned BOM stock for
the following month)
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EXERCISE NINE-A
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PHASE FOUR
EXERCISE NINE-B
• average stock for the season = total planned sales for the
season/estimated inventory turnover rate for the season
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• planned EOM stock for the month = (planned BOM stock for
the following month)
EXERCISE NINE-B
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PHASE FIVE SPREADSHEET MODEL:
BASIC CONCEPTS
The problems you will work in phase five relate to chapters 9-13 in
Part Four--"Managing Retail Operations" of Retailing (2002) by Dunne,
Lusch and Griffith. These decisions are primarily merchandising, pricing,
advertising and promotion, store design and layout, and personal selling.
To complete the problems in this section you need to understand
the following concepts:
The spreadsheet model you will be working with in the phase five
exercises is as follows:
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SAMPLE SPREADSHEET
PHASE FIVE
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE TEN-A
Fred and Anne have built a very loyal group of customers that
patronize The House. Although only 62% of visitors actually make a
purchase, they purchase an average of five items. These items have an
average item price of $10.69, which results in an average transaction
size of $53.45. The cost of goods is 62% of sales and the gross margin
return on sales is 38%. Anne has argued that they should be less
concerned with closure and more concerned with higher prices and thus a
higher gross margin percent. She has proposed that they raise prices by
10%. Under this scenario the cost of goods sold as a percent of sales
would be (.62/1.1) or 56.36% and the gross margin return on sales would
be 43.64% (100% - 56.36%).
Fred has argued that if they raise prices by 10% that average items
sold per customer would drop 20%. On the other hand, Anne argues that
their customers are not that aware of prices and that although some
customers will decide not to buy due to the higher prices, that this will
not be large. She believes that a 10% price increase will result in a 12%
drop in average items purchased.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (10% price increase and 12% or 20% reduction
in average number of items purchased) in the simulation. If the formula
or number does not change from the baseline, you can simply copy these
formulas or numbers into the empty cells under the various scenarios. Be
sure to save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied with its
correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two questions
you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your responses
below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy, and handing it in
to the instructor if required
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EXERCISE TEN-A
Baseline Model Av Itms Purch Drp 12% Av Itms Purch Drp 20%
trade radius 3
population density 278.833
market coverage 7887
penetration 0.65
avg shopping frequency 7.8
traffic 39987
closure 0.62
transactions 24792
avg no. of items purchs 5
total items purchs 123960
average item price $10.69
average tranaction size $53.45
net sales $1,325,131
cost of mdse $821,581
gross margin $503,550
variable op cost $148,415
fixed op cost $307,680
total op cost $456,095
net profit $47,455
net profit margin 3.58%
asset turnover 2.265
return on assets 8.11%
QUESTIONS
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE TEN-B
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EXERCISE TEN-B
QUESTIONS
2. What other considerations should be taken into account other than the
impact on closure of the proposed price decrease? Why are these other
considerations important?
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE ELEVEN-A
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typing your responses below the questions, saving your work, printing a
copy, and handing it in to the instructor if required
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EXERCISE ELEVEN-A
QUESTIONS
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE ELEVEN-B
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EXERCISE ELEVEN-B
QUESTIONS
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2. How might other promotional efforts be tied into this advertising
strategy?
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE TWELVE-A
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depreciated over five years. Be sure to save your work and print a
copy once you are satisfied with its correctness. After you complete your
simulation there are two questions you need to answer. These can be
answered by typing your responses below the questions, saving your
work, printing a copy, and handing it in to the instructor if required
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EXERCISE TWELVE-A
QUESTIONS
1. What is the financial impact of the store layout and design strategy?
2. Do you see any ways that The House could reduce the risk of this store
layout and design strategy? Please explain.
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE TWELVE-B
Anne contacted Larry Jones, the instructor she had in the "High
Performance Retailing" executive development seminar. Larry lived 150
miles north and agreed to drive down to visit Anne and Fred on Friday
morning to hear about their plans. He said he would like to visit with
them for about an hour and also spend some time visiting other stores on
the Town Square and driving around town. He hoped to accomplish all of
this in 4-5 hours so he could leave town by 4 p.m. Anne and Fred agreed
to pay him $2000 for his services and billed this expense to the year end
2001 financial statements.
Larry was very impressed with the plans that Anne had developed.
Based on his prior experience and the target market of The House, he
estimated that closure would rise to 70%. He explained that they were
correct in assuming that all of the benefit of the remodeling would occur
once people had entered the store. However, he did believe, based on
the large number of people visiting the Town Square to go to the U.S.
Post Office, local government offices, and obtain other services, that if
they could also remodel the exterior of the store that penetration could
be expected to rise. Also he felt the dark brown wooden storefront
projected an image that was inconsistent with the remodeled interior. He
suggested that they use a red brick front, utilizing old or used brick, and
that a new sign be installed to call attention to the store. With these
additional changes he felt that not only would closure rise, but that
penetration would easily rise to 67% or 68%. Larry also mentioned that if
other businesses on the town square could remodel their store or building
exteriors, that more people might find it pleasant to visit the Town
Square.
After Larry left town, Anne called their landlord, Bill Henderson,
who was also Anne's father. She told him of her plans to remodel the
store and suggested that if Fred and her do the interior remodeling, that
Bill should pay for the exterior remodeling. Anne had obtained a cost
estimate of $15,000 which she mentioned to her dad. After some
negotiating, Bill Henderson and Anne decided to split the cost of the
exterior remodeling. Like the interior remodeling, they decided to write
this expenditure off over 60 months.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
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under the two scenarios (penetration = 67% or 68%) in the simulation. If
the formula or number does not change from the baseline, you can
simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty cells under the
various scenarios. HINT--Treat the amount of the exterior
remodeling as a permanent increase in assets even though these
assets will be depreciated over five years. Also be sure to include
the interior remodeling into the simulation model (see Exercise
12-a). Be sure to save your work and print a copy once you are satisfied
with its correctness. After you complete your simulation there are two
questions you need to answer. These can be answered by typing your
responses below the questions, saving your work, printing a copy, and
handing it in to the instructor if required
EXERCISE TWELVE-B
QUESTIONS
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2. Are there any other things that could be done with The House to
further enhance the store's atmosphere?
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE THIRTEEN-A
Several years before Bill Henderson sold The House to Anne and
Fred he started maintaining a database on regular customers. This
database revealed that about 60% of the business is from a core of 900
households. Many of these households are two income households where
both husband and wife work full time. These individuals are always
pressed for time and put off shopping until the last moment, however,
when they purchase, their average transaction size is $181. Fred and
Anne both believe that these customers would be very supportive of a
personal shopping service.
Fred and Anne believe that as part of their database they could
record the birth dates, anniversaries, and other significant dates for all
family members, relatives, and significant friends. They could then offer
to customers a personal shopping service where gifts for friends could be
purchased and the apparel needs of the household could be handled.
Fred and Anne are quite uncertain about the impact of this personal
shopping service. They believe that it might increase total transactions
by 1,000 to 1,600 per year and that the average transaction size for
these transactions will be $65 (excluding delivery charges). To do a
promotional mailing to the 900 target households with an enclosed
questionnaire and participation form would cost $2,000. They anticipate
sending out this questionnaire annually so customers can provide
information to update the database. Furthermore, they plan to spend
$5,000 annually promoting this new shopping service.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (1,000 or 1,600 personal shopping transactions)
in the simulation. If the formula or number does not change from the
baseline, you can simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty
cells under the various scenarios. Be sure to save your work and print a
copy once you are satisfied with its correctness. After you complete your
simulation there are two questions you need to answer. These can be
answered by typing your responses below the questions, saving your
work, printing a copy, and handing it in to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE THIRTEEN-A
QUESTIONS
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PHASE FIVE
EXERCISE THIRTEEN-B
The House employs several clerks that work full or part-time while
either Anne or Fred are in the store. Neither Fred, Anne, nor the clerks
attempt to do any selling. If someone needs help, they are there to assist
but otherwise no type of selling occurs. Fred recently read an article in a
trade publication that emphasized the role of order getters vs. order
takers. Fred initially thought that given the low average item price in the
store that any selling effort would not be worth the effort or would be
ineffective. However, one of the things the article emphasized was the
role of suggestion selling. He thought this had some real possibility. For
example, if a customer bought a shirt the clerk could suggest a tie or
slacks. After Fred visited with Anne about his ideas she mentioned that
one of the reasons that closure might be low (62%) was because of
virtually no selling effort in the store. She argued that by being a bit
more aggressive, but still polite and courteous, that the closure rate
would rise.
Fred became aware of a retail personal selling seminar being
offered in New York. This course was tied in with one of the major apparel
shows and was a day in length and cost $395 per person. For an
additional $100 each participant would receive a weekly newsletter with
helpful selling tips. The course was taught by Martha Hernandez, who
had 20 years experience as an apparel buyer, salesperson, and business
owner. Martha had launched a chain of 12 womenswear stores in the late
1970s, which she subsequently sold for $6.5 million.
Fred and Anne decided to both attend and to take their four full-
time clerks. The total cost including travel, registration, lodging, and the
one-year subscription for the weekly newsletter was $12,000. Based on
the brochures promoting the program and some of his own analysis and
projections, Bill set a goal of increasing closure to 68% and the average
number of items purchased to 5.3. He also thought that a possibility
existed of closure reaching 70%.
The spreadsheet you will need to run this simulation is attached.
You will need to double click on this spreadsheet which will bring up the
Excel software. Please note that all rows and columns have been labeled,
however, you need to enter the formula for each row item that occurs
under the two scenarios (closure = 68% and 70%) in the simulation. If
the formula or number does not change from the baseline, you can
simply copy these formulas or numbers into the empty cells under the
various scenarios. Be sure to save your work and print a copy once you
are satisfied with its correctness. After you complete your simulation
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there are two questions you need to answer. These can be answered by
typing your responses below the questions, saving your work, printing a
copy, and handing it in to the instructor if required.
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EXERCISE THIRTEEN-B
QUESTIONS
1. Should Fred and Anne follow through with the personal selling seminar
as planned? Why?
2. Are there any other suggestions you have to improve the personal
selling strategy of The House?
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