Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil-Resident Farmer Scenario Title YA-CALC-00-001-03 Calculation Number
Executive Summary: RESRAD version 6.21 was used to identify the parameters in the resident farmer model that are correlated to the dose. This calculation presents the methodology used to prioritize parameters and provides the results of the sensitivity analysis. RESRAD also calculates the peak of the mean dose per unit radionuclide concentration that will be used in subsequent calculation of the Derived Concentration Guideline Levels (DCGL) for YNPS site soil.
Approvals Preparer Ron Cardarelli Preparer: Estella Keefer iS,L E3t tes 114 Preparer: Pete Littlefield Reviewer: Reviewer: Reviewer: Approver (Cognizant Manager): G ,{ t
6,////3
4Ucg 05Nq
fLblJ
So
6 /hre/ /
_j*"
QDte:
'3
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page PURPOSE: .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
3 9 10
10 10 10 11 11 12
METHOD I BODY OF CALCULATION: .. 1. Parameter Selection Process ................................................... 2. Sensitivity Analyses ...................................................
TABLES
Table 1. YNPS Suite of Radionuclides ................... Table 2. Results of the Sensitivity Analysis ................................................... 3 4
FIGURES
Figure 1. Parameter Selection Process ................................................... 12
ATTACHMENTS
No. of Pages Attachment 1. Physical Parameters Assigned Site-Specific Values ................................................... 15 22 Attachment 2. Input Parameters for Sensitivity Analysis, Soil................................................... 2 CD ................................................... Attachment 3. YACALC-00-001-03
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termnination Plan Subject RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil PURPOSE:
The purpose of this calculation is to identify the stochastic parameters used in the RESRAD Resident Farmer Scenario that have the greatest influence on the peak of the mean dose. The RESRAD code, Version 6.21 includes probabilistic modules that perform "sensitivity analyses". Each parameter identified as stochastic is assigned a distribution based on NUREG/CR-6697 guidance. The distribution statistics are used as the input to the probabilistic module of RESRAD. The results of the sensitivity analysis include the peak of the mean dose and information that can be used to determine conservative values for "sensitive" parameters for use in subsequent RESRAD runs to determine nuclide Derived Concentration Guideline Levels (DCGL) for soil. SUMMARY OF RESULTS: The RESRAD results of the sensitivity analyses provide a Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) for each of the stochastic parameters. The PRCC is a measure of correlation of the resultant dose with the input parameters. Parameters were identified as sensitive if the absolute value of the PRCC was greater than or equal to 0.25 and non-sensitive if the absolute value of the PRCC was less than 0.25. The sensitivity runs were performed for a suite of 23 nuclides listed in Table 1. Table 2 summarizes the results of the sensitivity analyses as follows: 1. R-squared, the coefficient of determination, presents a measure of the variation in the peak dose, 2. The peak of the mean dose for each radionuclide of interest is based on the time that the dose, averaged over all samples, is the maximum. 3. The PRCC value for each sensitive parameter in order of rank, by nuclide. The parameter with the highest PRCC value (rank =1) has the strongest relationship with the total dose. Table I YNPS Suite of Radionuclides Ru-106 Ag-108m Sb-125 Cs-134 Cs-137 Eu-152, Eu-154, Eu-155 Pu-238, Pu-239, Pu-241 Am-241 Cm-243
H-3 C-14 Mn-54 Fe-55 Co-60 Ni-59, Ni-63 Sr-90 Nb-94 Tc-99
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table 2 Results of the Sensitivity Analysis Radionuclide Sensitive Parameters Units PRCC1 [R Squared] 2 Peak of the Mean Dose (
RepetXton I H-3 Depth of roots Kd of H-3 In contaminated zone Thickness of contaminated zone m cm3/g m -0.79 -0.52 0.44 [0.94] Repetition 2 -0.82 -0.45 0.51 10.94]
2.913E-02
mRem/yr)3
Repetition 3 -0.84 -0.55 0.56
[0.95]
2.947E-02
2.932E-02
C-14 Depth of roots Thickness of contaminated zone Thickness of evasion layer of C-14 m m m -0.86 0.63 0.37
10.97]
2.229E+00
[0.97]
2.219E+00
10.97]
2.227E+00
Mn-54
Extemal gamma shielding factor Plant transfer factor for Mn Depth of roots
0.98 0.68
(0.961
1.156E+00
Fe-55
Meat transfer factor for Fe Plant transfer factor for Fe Depth of roots
10.90]
6.907E-04
10-891
6.923E-04
(0.90]
6.904E-04
NI-S9
Plant transfer factor for Ni Milk transfer factor for Ni Depth of roots
6.010E-03
Ni-63 Plant transfer factor for Ni Milk transfer factor for Ni Depth of roots pCVg plant per pCI/g soil pCUI per pCVd m
0.90
0.83 -0.61
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table 2 Results of the Sensitivity Analysis Radionuclide Sensitive Parameters Units PRCC' [R Squaredj 2 Peak of the Mean Dose ( mRem/yr)3
Repetitlon
Repetitlon 2
Repetition 3
[0.90]
1.645E-02
[0.89]
1,649E-02
[0.90]
1.793E-02
Co-60
Extemal gamma shielding factor Plant transfer factor for Co Meat transfer factor for Co Depth of roots
Unit-less pCVg plant per pCVg soil pCikg per pCVd m pCVg plant per pCVg
Sr-90
Plant transfer factor for Sr Depth of roots Milk transfer factor for Sr
Soil
m pCIA per pCVd
[0.901
9.270E+00
[0.91]
9.330E+00
10.921
9.653E+00
Nb-94
Unit-less cm3/g
1.00 0.25
1.00 0.33
0.99 0.29
[0.99]
2.927E+00 Tc-99 Plant transfer factor for Tc Depth of roots Kd of Tc-99 in contaminated zone pCi/g plant per pCUg 0.89 -0.58 0.25 (0.871
9.883E-01
[0.99]
2.931 E+00
[0.991
2.930E+00
soil
m cm3/g
Ru-106
Extemal gamma shielding factor Plant transfer factor for Ru Depth of Roots
Soil
m
3.665E-01
Ag-108m Extemal gamma shielding factor Kd of Ag-108m in contaminated zone Unit-less cm3/g 1.00 0.30
1.00
1.00 0.36
ProJect: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 8.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table 2 Results of the Sensitivity Analysis Radionuclide Sensitive Parameters Units PRCC' 2 [R SquaredJ Peak of the Mean Dose m em/yr)3
Repetition 1
Repetition 2 Repetition 3
0.31 [1.00]
2.934E+00
Sb-125
External gamma shielding factor Plant transfer factor for Sb Kd of Sb in contaminated zone
Unit-less pCVg plant per pCUg soil cmn3/g Unit-less pCilg plant per pCi/g soil m pCUI per pCVd pCIkg per pCVd
1.0 0.29 10.99] 6.619E-01 0.88 0.79 -0.38 0.32 [0.85] 3.751 E+00 0.86 0.81 -0.45 0.47 0.29 [0.861
2.042E+00
0.99 0.31 [0.991 6.626E-01 0.88 0.84 -0.46 0.41 0.34 [0.88] 3.728E+00 0.87 0.81 -0.54 0.44 10.87]
2.052E+o0
Cs-134
External gamma shielding factor Plant transfer factor for Cs Depth of roots Milk transfer factor for Cs Meat transfer factor for Cs
Cs-137
Plant transfer factor for Cs Extemal gamma shielding factor Depth of roots Milk transfer factor for Cs Meat transfer factor for Cs
Eu-162
Unit-less 3 cm /g
Eu-154
Unit-less
cm3lg
1.0
0.29 [1.001
[1.00]
1.0 0.28
[1.00]
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Units
.________________
__________________
PRCC' [R Squaredf Peak of the Mean Dose m em/yr Repetition I Repetition 2 Repetition 3
2.246E+00 2.247E+00 2.248E+00
Eu-155
External gamma shielding factor Unit-less Plant transfer factor for Eu pCVg plant per pCi/g soi Kd of Eu-155 in Contaminated Zone cm3/g
Pu-238
Plant transfer factor for Pu Depth of roots Thickness of the contaminated zone
0.93 -0.65
[0.911
4.714E-01
1[-0903
4.952E-01
0.921
4.839E-01
Pu-239
Plant transfer factor for Pu Depth of roots Thickness of the contaminated zone
0.94 -0.69
0.93 -0.69
Soil
m C
(0.901
5.462E-01
[0.911
5.445E-01
[0.911
5.275E-01
Pu-241
Plant transfer factor for Am Depth of roots Kd of Am-241 in contaminated zone Plant transfer factor for Pu
0.86 -0.52
0.89 -0.61
(0.84]
1.578E-02
[0.86]
1.581 E-02 .
1.624E-02
0.93 -0.69
Am-241
0.93 -0.70
0.93 -0.66
[0.911
5.637E-01
[0.90]
5.639E-01
[0.911
5.496E-01
Cm-243
0.91 0.66
0.91 0.66
0.91 0.65
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table 2 Results of the Sensitivity Analysis Radionuclide Sensitive Parameters Units PRCC' [R Squared] 2 Peak of the Mean Dose
Repetition 1 Repetition 2
mRem/yr)3
RepetItion 3
Depth of roots
-0.56 [0.891
5.493E401
-0.62 [0.88]
5.445E-01
-0.63 10.891
5.582E-01
Footnotes: 1. Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient from RESRAD sensitivity analyses. 2. R-Square value from RESRAD sensitivity analyses. 3. Dose Is the Peak Mean Dose from the RESRAD sensitivity analyses for a soil concentration of I pCi/g.
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Ternination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
REFERENCES:
1. NUREG/CR-5512, "Residual Radioactive Contamination From Decommissioning," Volume 1: 'Technical Basis for Translating Contamination Levels to Annual TEDE," October 1992 Volume 2: "Users Manual DandD Version 2.1," April 2001 Volume 3: "Parameter Analysis, Draft Report for Comment, " October 1999. 2. Code of Federal Regulations, Title 10, Section 20.1402, "Radiological Criteria for Unrestricted Uses." 3. NUREG-1 727. "NMSS Decommissioning Standard Review Plan," September 2000. 4. ANUEAD-4, "Users Manual for RESRAD Version 6.0." Yu, C. et al., July 2001. 5. NUREG/CR-6676, "Probabilistic Dose Analysis Using Parameter Distributions Developed for RESRAD and RESRAD-BUILD Codes", Kamboj S., et al. US Department of Energy- Argonne National Laboratory, May 2000. 6. NUREGlCR-6692, "Probabilistic Modules for the RESRAD 6.0 and RESRAD-BUILD 3.0 Computer Codes", LePoire, D., et al., US Department of Energy- Argonne National Laboratory, November 2000. 7. NUREG/CR-6697, "Development of Probabilistic RESRAD 6.0 and RESRAD-BUILD 3.0 Computer Codes", Yu, C. et al., US Department of Energy- Argonne National Laboratory, November 2000. 8. YA-REPT-00-002-03, "Hydrogeological Parameter Estimates for Radiation Dose Modeling," April 2003. 9. Data Collection Handbook to Support Modeling Impacts of Radioactive Material in Soil, Yu, C., et al, Argonne National Laboratory, April 1993.
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
ASSUMPTIONS: 1. Radionuclide Suite Sensitivity Analyses were performed for the radionuclides listed in Table 1. This suite of radionuclides was
developed by the License Termination team to encompass the significant radionuclides that may exist at the site at the time of the final status survey.
2. Dose Model: The Resident Farmer Scenario of RESRAD 6.21 The dose model used to perform the sensitivity analyses (and to calculate the corresponding soil DCGLs) is based upon the Resident Farmer Scenario defined in NUREG/CR Volumes 1, 2 and 3, (Ref. 1). The dose model translates residual soil radioactivity into potential radiation dose and is defined by the scenario, exposure pathways and the critical group. The resident farmer scenario is a reasonably conservative bounding scenario, which generally overestimates (rather than underestimates) potential dose. The residual radioactivity in this scenario is assumed to be contained in a soil layer on the property that can be used for residential and light farming activities. The residential farming family is expected to live onsite, raise crops and livestock for consumption and drink water from a ground water source onsite. The dose from residual radionuclides in the soil is evaluated for the average member of the critical group as required by IOCFR Part 20, Subpart E and described in NUREG-1727, Appendix C (Ref. 2, Ref. 3). The critical group represents the group reasonably expected to receive the greatest exposure, given the scenario, to residual radioactivity The potential exposure pathways that define the residential farmer scenario are: 1. Direct exposure to extemal radiation from radionuclides in the soil 2. Intemal dose from inhalation of airbome radionuclides, and 3. Intemal dose from ingestion of radionuclides in a. Crops grown on the property and irrigated with water obtained onsite, b. Meat and milk obtained from livestock fed fodder and water produced onsite, c. Drinking water from an onsite well, d. Fish from an onsite pond and e. Soil. 3. Conceptual Model underlying the dose model The conceptual model used in the code was based on the site characteristics expected at the time of release of the site. The model is comprised of a contaminated zone underlain by an unsaturated zone underlain by a saturated zone. The contaminated zone is assumed to be at the ground surface with no cover material and the ground water is initially uncontaminated. The model as described is consistent with that described by Yu et al. (Ref. 4).
Project Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Treatment The parameters were treated as either 'deterministic" or 'stochastic" depending on parameter type, priority, availability of site-specific data and the relevance of the parameter in dose calculations. The "Deterministic" modules of the code use a single value for input parameters and generate a single value for dose. The 'Probabilistic' modules of the code use probability distributions for input parameters and generate a range of doses. The "Stochastic" parameters are parameters that are defined by a probabilistic distribution. The bases for the values assigned to the input parameters are outlined in Attachment 2, Table 1. * The behavioral and metabolic parameters were treated as deterministic and were assigned values from NUREG/CR-5512, Volume 3, NUREG/CR-6697, or the RESRAD default library. . The physical parameters for which site-specific data were available were also treated as deterministic. The basis for calculated physical parameter values is provided in Attachment 1 and YA-REPT-00-002-003 (Ref. 8). * The remaining physical parameters, for which no site-specific data were available to quantify, were classified as either priority 1, 2, or 3. Priority 1 and 2 parameters were treated as stochastic and were assigned a probability distribution from NUREG/CR-6697. The priority 3 physical parameters were treated as deterministic and were assigned values from NUREG/CR5512, Volume 3, NUREG/CR-6697, or the RESRAD default library. 2. Sensitivity Analyses The probabilistic module of the RESRAD code was used to perform the analyses to determine which stochastic parameters have the greatest influence on the resultant dose and the associated DCGLs. The code performs regression analyses to determine the correlation of the dose with the input parameter distributions and the Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) is provided for each parameter. The PRCC is ranked and can be used to determine the relative importance of each input parameter in influencing the dose. To perform the sensitivity analyses, the following input information is entered into the code. A detailed summary of this information is provided in Attachment 2, Table 1. Sample Specifications The analyses were run using 300 observations and 3 repetitions. The Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) technique was used to sample the probability distributions for each of the stochastic input parameters. The correlated or uncorrelated grouping option was used to preserve the prescribed correlations, and a random seed of 1000 was used to preserve the prescribed sampling technique. Input Rank Correlations Correlation coefficients were assigned between correlated parameters. The values of the input correlations between parameters are based on guidance provided in NUREG-6676 and NUREG-6697 (Ref. 5, Ref. 7). Output Specifications All of the output options were specified. A sensitivity analysis was performed for each radionuclide. The Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) for the peak of the mean dose was used as the measure of the sensitivity of each parameter to the peak of the mean dose. For the resident farmer scenario, a parameter was Identified as sensitive If the absolute value of Its PROC (IPRCCI) was greater than or equal to 0.25 and non-sensitive if the IPRCCI value was less than 0.25. These thresholds were selected based on the guidance included in NUREG/CR-6676.
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
. -I
Paqe
1. Area of the Contaminated Zone ..................................................................... 2. Contaminated Zone Erosion Rate ..................................................................... 3. Humidity in Air..................................................................... 4. Average Annual Wind Speed ..................................................................... 5. Precipitation ...................................................................... 6. lrrigation Rate (Evapotranspiration and Runoff Coefficients) ....................................... 7. Field Capacity: Contaminated Zone, Unsaturated Zone 1 and Saturated Zone .............. 8. Saturated zone Hydraulic Gradient ..................................................................... 9. Well Pumping Rate ..................................................................... 10. Watershed for Nearby Stream or Pond ...................................................................
3 4 6 6 8 9 11 12 14 15
Project Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
1. Area of the Contaminated Zone Figure 1-1, (YR Drawing: 9699-FY-6BA Originao Rowe Site Closure Base Map was geflerated with AutoCAD Version 6. The area of the contaminated zone was drawn and calculated by the AutoCAD soflware. Converting to 0: (140174 f 2 ) * (9.29E-02 m2) = 13022m2 . The Area of the contaminated zone was assigned a value of 13022m 2. Figure 1- 1 Area of the RCA
S
"Ii
II i
i'
I.
.
7
..1
q--1i.
ft
K
};t\'.
1%
II iI
(
y
\-4
:
.!
t11 Ix!,
\s',
1 , .
--'
WI.
4 51
*
\
p
.
1,
I\
I
6
II II
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
2. Contaminated Zone Erosion Rate The slope of the contaminated zone was determined from the Rowe Site Closure Base'map (YR Drawing: 9699-FY-6BB Original generated by AutoCAD Map Version 6. The line extending from the vicinity of CB-2 to the vicinity of CB-3 Is a run of 700 feet with a decreasing change in elevation from 1140 to 1120 feet. The slope at the Rowe site is 20' per 700', which corresponds to a 2.86% slope. The following YR site drawing provides a transferable scale to the Vapor Containment VC Site Drawing Number 9699-FV-la Reference: Outer Diameter of VC sphere = 125' Scale: Figure 2-1 Rowe Site Closure Base Map
I ,,X
f:
J.
.I
9
r
'.
Project: Yankee Rowe License Ternination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Data from NUREG/CR-6697, Attachment C, Section 3.8, 2nd paragraph of the Discussion Section on pages 3-25 & 3-26, was used to select the appropriate Erosion Rate that corresponds to the Rowe Site slope of 2.86%. The data in Table 2-1 below was generated using NUREG/CR-6697's row-crop Erosion Rate of 6.0 E-4 for a 2 % slope. Erosion Rates where then calculated for 6, 10 and 15 percent slopes using their rate increase factors as specified in the Discussion of Section 3.8 referenced above. As recommended in this section of NUREG/CR-6697, the Erosion Rate of 6.0 E-4 for a 2% slope was assumed based on a farm-garden scenario where the dose contribution from the food ingestion pathway is expected to be significant. Table 2-1 Erosion Rate Percent Slope 2 5 10 15 Erosion Rate (mhyr) 6.OE-4 1.8E-3 4.2E-3 9.OE-3
Plotting the above Erosion Rate/Slope data and then selecting a value which corresponds to the Rowe site slope of - 2.9 %, yields an 8.5 E-4 n/yr Erosion Rate. Figure 2-2 Erosion Rate vs. Slope Erosion Rate for Row Crops
1.OOE+O00
1i.OOE-01
.....
Eu
I .OOE-02
c
I .OOE-03
I .OOE-04
%Slope
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
3. Humidity in Air The reference, "Regional and Site-Specific Absolute Humidity Data for Use in Tritium Dose Calculations", Health Physics, Vol.39, pp31 8-320, 1980 provides a table of absolute humidity for selected locations in the US. These values were calculated from data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 1977, Climatological Data, Annual Summary, volume 28(13), US Dept of Commerce.
3 was chosen for the RESRAD humidity parameter corresponding to the Northeast The value of 6.1 g/m region in the vicinity of Albany, NY.
4. Average Annual Wind Speed The wind speed and direction, joint frequency distributions from Table 3.3-2 of the YNPS Environmental Decommissioning were used to calculate the average annual windspeed. The mid-range value was calculated for each of the ranges for which data was available. An average windspeed was calculated by summing the product of the mid-range value for each range and the percentage of time the wind was recorded to be within that range. A value of 2.03 mIs was assigned to this parameter. Table 4- 1 Wind Speed Min. Wind Speed (mph) 0.00 0.95 4.00 8.00 13.00 19.00 Max. Wind Speed (mph) 0.95 3.00 7.00 12.00 18.00 24.00 Mid-Range Wind Speed (mph) 0.48 1.98 5.50 10.00 15.50 21.50 Percent of Time in Range 0.00 47.11 38.98 12.72 1.16 0.02
Average:
Mid-Range (weighted by percentage of time) 0.00 0.93 2.14 1.27 0.18 0.00
4.53 mph
c-
YNPS 35-Foot Wind Speed and Direction Joint Frequency Distributions 1988-1992
WIND DIRECTION FROM SPEED(MPH) CALM (1) N 0 .00 NNE 0 .00 HE 0 .00 EWE 0 .00 E 0 .00 ESE 0 .00 SE 0 .00 SSE 0 .00 S 0 .00 SSU 0 .00 SW 0 .00 WSW 0 .00 W 0 .00 WW 0 .00 NW NNW VRBL 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 TOTAL 0 .00 O 0 o o-. I
M;
(2)
.00.
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
>
.00 283 .66 .66 773 1.81 1.81 179 .42 .42 1 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
.00 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
.00 20137 47.11 47.11 16664 38.98 38.98 5439 12.72 12.72 496 1.16 1.16 10 .02 .02 0
.00
S @ 1J
C-3 570 1010 1351 1672 (1) 1.33 2.36 3.16 3.91 (2) 1.33 2.36 3.16 3.91
2941 3952 2556 6.88 9.25 5.98 6.88 9.25 5.98 374 455 .87 1.06 .87 1.06 2 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
1741 1284 942 763 4.07 3.00 2.20 1.78 4.07 3.00 2.20 1.78
2 -n
o -
_O X c a o 1
4-7 1468 1363 975 727 761 Ci) 3.43 3.19 2.28 1.70 1.78 (2) 3.43 3.19 2.28 1.70 1.78 8-12 1137 952 (1) 2.66 2.23 (2) 2.66 2.23 13-18 Cl) (2) 19 24 (1) (2) CT 24
(1)
773 1230 2046 2570 1176 1.81 2.88 4.79 6.01 2.75 1.81 2.88 4.79 6.01 2.75 13 .03 .03 0 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
565 625 783 1.32 1.46 1.83 1.32 1.46 1.83 137 .32 .32 1 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
2.
96 483 1159 481 .22 1.13 2.71 1.13 .22 1.13 2.71 1.13 1 .00 .00 0 .00 .00 0
.00
C)
;a 0
m
W
0
CD
cl c
Z .
(2)
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
ALL SPEEDS 3318 3525 2602 2435 3706 4328 3013 2527 2611 Cl) 7.76 8.25 6.09 5.70 8.67 10.12 7.05 5.91 6.11 (2) 7.76 8.25 6.09 5.70 8.67 10.12 7.05 5.91 6.11
(1)xPERCENT OF ALL GOOD OBSERVATIONS FOR THIS PAGE (2)-PERCENT OF ALL GOO OHSERVATIONS FOR THIS PERIOD
3483 4610 2051 1236 924 982 8.15 10.78 4.80 2.89 2.16 2.30 8.15 10.78 4.80 2.89 2.16 2.30
,
Q
*
o
r.
(D
0
0
Project: Yankee Rowe Uoense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
5. Precipitation Table 3.3-4 of the YNPS Environmental Decommissioning Report provides monthly mean precipitation totals for Readsboro, Vt (located within 5 miles of the YNPS). This information is based on data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Figure 5- 1 Precipitation Rate
Readsboro Monthly Mean Precipitation Totals (inches of water) Period:1 961-1990 Month Precipitation (inches) Jan 3.49 Feb 3.43 Mar 3.86 April 4.32 May 4.59 Jun 4.54 Jul 4.08 Aug 4.29 Sept 3.79 Oct 3.8 Nov 4.61 Dec 4.28 Year Total 49.08
Converting to meters/year 49.08 inches/year x 2.54 cm/inch x meter/I 00 cm = 1.2 meters/year. The precipitation rate was assigned a value of 1.2 meters/year
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitiity Analysis for Soil
6.
NUREG/CR-6697 Attachment C, Section 4.3 discusses the Irrigaton Rate in terms oethe Evapotranspiration Coefficient Equation 4.3-1 expresses the Evapotranspiration Coefficient as:
Ce=
= the Evapotransporation Rate (mly) = the Precipitation Rate (mly) = the Irrigabon Rate (m/y) and = the Runoff Coefficient
The input values for the variables in the equation above follow: 1. YA-REPT-00-002-03, (Ref. 8), cites a value for the average annual Evapotranspiration Rate, ETr, in the upper Housatonic River basin of 21.6 in/yr or 0.549 m/yr from 1931 to 1960. 2. The Precipitation Rate, Pr, has been assigned a site-specific value of 1.2 m/yr as discussed in Section 5 of this Attachment.
3. Appendix E, Table E.1 of Ref. 4 provides the equation below to calculate the Runoff Coefficient, Cr. for an agricultural environment. Table E.1, Runoff Coefficient Values, also lists values for c1 , c 2 and c 3 for various environments:
Cr= 1-C 1 -C 2 -C
3
c, = 0.1 for hilly land with an average slopes of 46 m/mi (Refer to secbon 2 of this Attachment for the site slope determinabon- 20' drop per 700' run or 46 mImi). c2 = 0.2 for intermediate combinations of clay and loam as identified at the site in Ref. 8. c 3 = 0.1 for cultvated lands which also fits the scenario for the site. Cr = 1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 = 0.6 4. NUREG/CR-6697, Attachment C, Section 4.3-Evapotranspiration Coefficient, Ce, defines this parameter as the ratio of the total volume of water (a combinabon of evaporation from soil surfaces and transpiration from vegetation) transferred to the atmosphere to the total volume of water available within the root zone of the soil. The NUREG recommends the use of a uniform distribution with minimum and maximum values of 0.5 and 0.75, respectively and with 0.625 as median. Any selected value for the irrigation rate should satisfy the Ce minimum to maximum range
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Making the appropriate substitution of minimum and maximum values of Ce into the rearranged Equation 4.3-1 results in the following range for the Irrigation Rate, lRr.
I.max!
%1i1 *O
Inl,=
UlIlILQ
ETr Pr Cr Ce lRr
rn/yr m/yr
m/yr
mlyr
Based on the calculated minimum and maximum lRr values, the median value is 0.435 m/y. A uniform distribution was assigned to this parameter and a positive input correlation to the Well Pumping Rate was assigned based on guidance in NUREG-6697 and NUREG- 6676.
Project Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
7. Field Capacity: Contaminated Zone, Unsaturated zone I and Saturated zone The "Data Collection Handbook to Support Modeling the Impacts of Radioactive MateHial in Soil," (Ref. 9) defines the relationship of field capacity (residual water content) to effective porosity. The field capacity is the ratio of the volume of water retained in the soil sample, after all drainage has ceased, to the total volume of the soil sample. Equation 4.4 of Ref. 9 relates Total and Effective Porosity to Field Capacity as follows:
Effective Porosity = Total Porosity - Field Capacity
Reference 8 provides site-specific values for the total and effective porosity for the soil types found at the site. These values are listed below along with the calculated Field Capacity.
Table 7- 1 Field Capacity Zone I Soil Type Contaminated/ loamy sand Unsaturated/loamy sand Saturated/sandy loam Total Porosity 0.35 0.35 0.30 Effective Porosity 0.25 0.25 0.21 Field Capacity 0.10 0.10 0.09
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Where hi and h2 represent the hydraulic heads or the water level elevations at location 1 and 2, and Ax is the distance between the two locations. The water level elevations are referenced to mean sea level, msl. This methodology was followed in YA -REPT-00-002-03, Hydrogeological Parameter Estimates for Radiation Dose Modeling, (Ref. 8) to determine the average hydraulic gradient across the site. An average value for the site was calculated from three separate hydraulic gradient determinations as follows in Table 8.1. Figure 8.1 shows the well locations.
(1135-1020)/1000 = 0.115
CW-3 CB-1
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
a..
NJ
i
I.d
*<i
'4.
-1 1
4) 14 C: co -5
IC'
0<
I8C,
0 0
C SC
'a14)
l
c C
'C
I I
I
'O
ci 0
Dam
Oa
D
p
EJ a
~jD
Ii~~~~~~~i
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
9.
NUREG/CR-6697, Attachment C, Section 3.10 states that "A site-specific input distribution for well pumping rate can be determined as the sum of individual water needs." The household use component is taken from YA-REPT-00-002-03, Ref. 8. To support the assumption that irrigation of pasture is not a common practice in New England, the USDA 1992 Census of Agriculture, State Data, was reviewed and showed that in 1992 in all of Massachusetts 19622 total acres of cropland was irrigated and 287 total acres of pastureland was irrigated. In1997 only one farm, in Franklin County, claimed irrigation of pasture.
Water Use Component Household Livestock Median 374 76.7 fD = min (Area/2000, 0.5) Ir (rnh) f, x I, x 2000 fm = Areal20,000 <= 1. I, (mh) f. x 1,x 20,000 1 0.435 870 Minimum 374 76.7 1 0.252 504 Maximum 374 76.7 1 0.618 1236 _ _ m/y m
1
0 0 1.91 957
1 0 0 1.91
1
m m MI
1689
m4ty
A uniform distribution was assigned to this parameter with a positive correlation to the Irrigation Rate.
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
10. Watershed for Nearby Stream or Pond The figure below is taken from a letter to the USNRC from Yankee Atomic Electric Co., FYR 82-59, 6/16/82 that delineates the watersheds to Wheeler Brook and to the site. An evaluation of this topograhic map and the drainage areas is also included in Ref. 8. The watershed area to the site is 0.3 square miles. Converting to square meters yields a total watershed area of 0.3 mi2x (1609.3 m/mi )2 = 7.77E+05 M2 . This parameter was assigned a value of 7.77E+05m 2. Figure 10- 1 Local Site Drainage Area
Project: Yankee Rowe Llcense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 SensHitvity Analysis for Soil
Attachment 2 RESRA D 6.21- Input Parameters to Sensitivity Analysis for Soil Scenario: Resident Farmer
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
I
| |Median |
|
_
I Types |PrtoritylalTreatmenteIValue/Distrlbutlonl
Basis
w 1
3 2
1 |
D D
|
I
25
I
NR NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
S S S S S S S S S S S S
_ ___ __
Truncated
lognormal-n
6.72 5.38 7.28 7.28 2.4 8.82 5.46 6.1 6.1 6.72 6.72 6.72
__ ______
3.22 2.1 3.15 3.15 3.22 1.82 2.53 2.33 2.33 3.22 3.22 3.22
__ ________
825 216 1445 1445 11 6781 235 446 446 825 825 825 209 825 0.06
Truncated
lognormnal-n
NUREG/CR-6697, AK. C
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
lognormal-n
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
(Ref
4)
NUREG/CR-6697, At. C
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
losnormal-n
Truncated
lognomial-n
(Ref. 4) (Re.
4)
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated Truncated
io
NUREG/CR-6697, AUt. C
(R ef. 4)
S S S
Truncated
lognonal-n
NUREG/CRa697, Att. C
(Ref 4)
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated lognonnal-n
Project: Yankee Rowe License Terminafton Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Type, P P
1
Truncated
l________ 1ognorm al-n
Median
Nb-94 NI-59 Ni-63 Np-237.D Pa-231 Pb-210+D Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241+D Ra-226+D Ru-106 Sb-125 Sr-90+D Tc-99 Th-229+D Th-230 U-233 U-234
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
_
158 380 424 424 17 380 2392 953 953 953 3533 1588 380 32 0.51 5884 5884 126 126
Truncated
locnormal-n
___________________________ _________
Truncated
lognormal-n
P P P P P
-
1 1 1 1 1
_
-
Truncated
lognornal-n
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
1ognormal-n
lognormal-n iognormal-n
Truncated lognormal-n Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
NUREG/CR-6697, At. C
(Ref.4)
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
Truncated
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
P P
_
1 1 1 1 1 1
S S S S S S S S
______ .
P P P
Truncated
lognormnawn
1.89 1.89 1.7 3.13 3.22 2.12 3.16 3.62 3.62 3.13 3.13
Truncated
lognormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, AU. C
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
lognormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, AU. C
fRet. 4)
Truncated
_ognormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, At. C
(Ref. 4)
P P P P P
1 1 1 1 1
Truncated
lognormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, An. C
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
_lognormal-n
5 S S
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
lognornal-n
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
0.001 0.001
Truncated lognormal-n
II !I
-----Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil Calculation No. YA-CALC4O0-001-03 Sheet No. Attachment 2-4
Il
P P
1 3
S D
1I________________ {
Basis Distribution's Statistical Parameters 8
2 3 4 1 M edian
4.84 NR
3.13 NR
0.001 NR
0.999 NR
126
P P
3 3
D D
o
0, 1, 3, 10, 30,
_-100,
300, 1000
RESRAD Defaut
NR NR
NR NR
NR NR
NR NR
P P
2 2
D S
13022 Uniform
Site-specific- radiation
control area (Att.l)
NR 0.15
_
NR 3
NR
NR 1.575
Minimum equal depth of soil mixng layer (0.15m); maximum equal depth to
(3m)
129
NR
NR
NR
NR
2 (Att. I) 13022 m
Cover and Contaminated Zone Hydrological Data
P p
_
2 1
_
D D
_
0 1.86
8.5E-04
NR
NR
___ __ __
NR
NR
NR I
_
NR
I
_I_ _I
on site-specIfic slope of
2.9% (Att.I)
NR
NR
Site-specific loamy sand NR _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ so _ il _typ _e _(R _ef. 5) 1 P 3 D 0.10 Site-specific value NR calculated using
Equation 4.4 from Ref. I
(Aft. 1)
_
0.35
NR NR
NR
_1_1
NR NR
NR
_
__
__
2
_
D
__
555
_
Site-specifi
loamy sand
NR
NR 1
___ ____
NR NR
1
_ ___ _ _
NR NR
1
__
NR NR
1 NR |
Oilt y p e (R ef .5 )
NR
NR
NR
---~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~al
Basis
______
Median
NUREGICR-6697 AtL C, 1distribution (Ref. 4, Att.I) Slte-spedfic value calc. from site meteorological
data (Att.I) _
NR NR
NR NR
NR NR
NR NR
PrecipKation (mJyr)
1.2
NR
NR
NR
NR
B B
3 3
S D
Uniform Overhead
NUREG/CR-6697, AK C
methodology,Ref. 4, AK. I
0.252 NR
0.618 NR
NR NR
NR NR
0.435
P P
2 3 3 1D
D D
0.6
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
NR
NR
NR
NR
7.77E+05
_
1.OOE-03 2.12 D D
________ _soil
Ste-speciflc- drainage area (Att. I, Ref. 5) _ RESRAD Defauit SKte-specific Sandy Loam
soil type (Ref. 5)
NR NR NR NR NR
___
NR NR NR NR NR NR
NR HR NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR
Density of saturated zone (g/cm"3) Saturated zone total porosity Saturated zone effecUve porosity Saturated zone field capacity P P P
1 1 3
(Ref.5)
_ _
NR
(At. .)
Saturated zone hydraulic conductivity
(mrr)
P p P P
1 2 2 3
D 0 D D I
Saturated zone hydraulic gradient Saturated zone b parameter Water table drop rate (m/yr)
Site-specific Sandy Loam soil type (Ref. 5) Site gradient (An. I) SKe-specific Sandy Loam
;sol type
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR
_
(Ref. 5)
RESRAD Defaul
I'
I-.
Project: Yankee Rowe License Ternination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Median 14.51
Well pump Intake depth (m below p water table ' _ Model: Nondispersion (ND) or Massp Balance (MB) Well pumping rate (m**3/yr) P
Uniform
957
1689
1323
Unsaturated Zone Hydrological Data Number of unsaturated zone strata P Unsat. zone 1, thickness (m) P
3 1
D S
I Uniform
NR 0.01
NR 2.85
NR
NR 1.430
_
Unsat zone 1. soil density (g/cmr*3) Unsat. zone 1, total porosity Unsat zone 1, effective porosity Unsat. zone 1, field capacRty
P p P p
2 2 2 3
D 0 D D
NR NR NR NR
NR
_
NR NR NR NR
NR
_
NR NR NR
NR NR NR
Unsat. zone 1, hydraulic conductivity (m/yr) Unsat zone 1, soil-specific b parameter Occupancy Inhalation rate (m^*3/yr) Mass loading for inhalation (g/m*3) Exposure duration Indoor dust filtration factor
2 2
D D
555 4.38
NR NR
NR
_ _
NR NR
NR NR
NR
B p B p
3 2 3 2
D S D S
NUREGICR-6697, Att C (Ref. 4) Continuous linear NUREGICR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) 30 RESRAD Defauit Uniform NUREGICR-6697, Att C (Ref. 4)
8400
NR
_ _ _
NR
NR
NR 2.33E-05
NR 0.15
_
NR 0.95
NR
_
NR
_
| 0.55
------ - --
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table I
Bounded NUREGICR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) lognormal-n 3 D 0.6571 NUREGICR-5512, Vol. 3 ___________________________ Table 6.87 (R ef. 2) 3 D 0.1181 NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (outdoors + gardening) (Ref. 2) 3 D Circular RESRAD Default Circular contaminated zone assumed 2 NUREGlCR-5512, Vol. 3 (other vegetables + fruits + grain) (Ref. 2) 3 D 21.4 NUREGICR-5512, Vol. 3 -Ref. 2) 2 D 233 NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 _Ref. 2) 3 D 65.1 NUREGICR55i2, Vol. 3 (beef + poultry) (Ref. 2) 3 D 20.6 NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 (Ref. 2) 3 D 0.9 RESRAD Delault 2 D 18.26 NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 __ _ __ __ _ __ _ __ _ (Ref. 2) 2 0 478.5 NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) 3 D I RESRAD Default - all water assumed .__ _ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____ ___ ___conta minate d 3 HA D 3 RESRAD Default - all water assumed _________ _______________ contam inated D 1 RESRAD Default - all water assumeda contaminate D I 112
Median 0.2725
NR
NR
NR
NR
Ingestion, Dietary Fruits, vegetables, grain consumption (kglyr) Leafy vegetable consumption (kg/yr) Milk consumption (LUyr) Meat and poultry consumption (kglyr) Fish consumption (kg/yr) Other seafood consumption (kg/yr) Soil Ingestion rate (glyr) Drinking water Intake (UJyr) Contaminaton fraction of drnking water Contamination fraction of household water (if used) Contamination fraction of livestock water Contamination fraction of irrigation water B NR NR NR NR _ NR NR _ NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
_
B B B B B B B P
NR NR NR NR NR
P P
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
HR
HR
Il
-----Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
-
___ __ ___ _ _ _ _
NUREG/CR-5512, _ (Ref. 2) 3 D 1 NUREG/CR-5512, I__ ______________________ _ __ ___ __ _ __ __ __ _ (Re f. 2) 3 D I NUREG/CR-5512, _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ _ __ ___ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (Ref. 2) 3 D 1 NUREGICR-5512, I_(Ref. 2)
1 NR NR NR NR .
2 NR NR NR NR
3 NR NR NR
_ _
4 NR NR NR NR
Medlan
NR
Ingestion, Non-Dietary
Livestock fodder Intake for meat (kglday) M 3 D 27.1 NUREGICR5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87, beef cattle + poultry +layer hen (Ref: NR NR NR NR
2)
Livestock fodder intake for milk (kg/day) Livestock water Intake for meat (1/day) M 3 D 63.2 M 3 D 50.6
. ______________
NUREG/CR5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87, forage + grain + hay (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87, beef cattle + poultry + layer hen (Ref.
,2)
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
Livestock water Intake for milk (Wday) Livestock soil Intake (kg/day) Mass loading for follar deposition (g/m^*3) Depth of soil mixing layer (m)
M M P
3 3 3
D D D
60 0.5 4.OOE-04
Triangular
NUREG/CR5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) RESRAD Default NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87, gardening (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4)
NR NR NR
NR NR NR
NR NR NR
NR NR NR
0.15
0.6
0.23
Depth of roots (m) Drinking water fraction from ground water Household water fraction from ground water (if used)
P P
1 3
S D
Uniform I
(Ref. 4)
NUREG/CR-6697, Att C
0.3 NR
4 NR NR NR
2.15
NA
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
-
Median
roundwater
NR
NR
NR
NR
________
________________
groundwater
(kg/m'2) (kg/mI2)
P P P P P P P P P P _ P P P
2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 3 3
S D D D D
_
Wet weight crop yield for Leafy Wet weight crop yield for Fodder
Truncated lognormal-n 2.88921 1.8868 0.246 0.123 0.082 0.1 1 1 Triangular 0.35 Triangular 0.35 0.35
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4)
0.48 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 18 HR 0.67 NR HR
0.001 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR I 84 NR 0.95 NR HR
0.999 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
1.75
(kg/m*2) years)
Growing Season for Non-Leafy Growing Season for Leafy Growing Season for Fodder (years) (years)
__________________________ ________
D D D D S D S D D D
Transiocation Factor for Non-Leafy Translocation Factor for Leafy Translocation Factor for Fodder Weathering Removal Constant for Vegetation (1/yr) Wet Follar Interception Fraction for
__________________________ ________ _
Non-Leafv
Leafy
Wet Foliar Interception Fraction for Fodder Dry Follar Interception Fraction for
Hon-Leafy
NUREG/CR-5512. Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 T Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 8.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREGICR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREGICR-5512. Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) ( NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) UREG/CR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3
Table
33 NR 0.58 HR HR
6.87 (Ref. 2)
D 0.35 P 3 0.35
HR
NR
HR
NR
HR~~~~~~~~~~N NR HR
Project: Yankee Rowe License Terninafion Plan Calculation No. YA-CALC-00-001-03 Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil Sheet No. Attachment 2-10 p~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
lI
Median
Type' P
grain
Storage times of contaminated foodstuffs (days): Fruits, non-leafy vegetables, and B 3 Leafy vegetables Milk Meat and poultry B B B 3 3 3
D D D D
14 1 I 20
Fish
Crustacea and mollusks Well water Surface water
B B B
B B P P
-
D D
7 7
NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREGtCR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) _ NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (Ref. 2) NUREG/CR-5512, Vol. 3 Table 6.87 (holdup period for beef) (Ref. 2) RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Deault RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default NUREGtCR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) RESRAD Default RESRAD Default NUREG/CR-697, AK. B
_ _
NR NR _ NR NR
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0.2 NR NR NR
__ _
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0.3 NR NR NR
_ _ _ _ _ _
NR NR NR NR NR NR I NR NR NR
I
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0.36 NR NR NR NR
_
3 3 3
3 3 3
-
Livestock fodder
Special Radionuclides (C-14) C-1 2 concentration in water
D D D
D D D D S D D D
_ _ _ _ _ _ __
1 I
45 2.00E-05 3.OOE-02 2.OOE-02 9.80E-01 Triangular 7.OOE-07 I.OOE-10 0.2500
0.1000
(g/cm"3)
soil (gsg)
C-12 concentration in contaminated Fraction of vegetation carbon from sol Fraction of vegetaton carbon from air C-14 evasion layer thickness In soil (m) C-14 evasion flux rate from soil (1/sec) C-12 evasion flux rate from soil
P P P P
-
3 3 2 3
-
0.6 NR NR NR
(1/sec)
P B
3 3
_ _
Frcinofgan_.ml_o Fracfion of
__ __ _ _ ___
fe
_ _
_ __ _
-- 3
0.1 0
__
(R ef . 4)
NR
HRH
NR
RH
NR
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
I I I I Dose Conversion Factors (Inhalation mrem/pCI) Ac-227+D1 M 3 D 6.72E+O0 FGR1 I (RESRAD Dose I__ __________ ___ ___ _ __ __ __ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ C on versio n L ib rary ) Ag-108m M 3 D 2.83E-04 FGRII Am-241 M 3 D 4.44E-01 FGRl1 Am-243+D C-14 M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Median
3
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
4.40E-01 2.09E-06 3.07E-01 2.19E-04 4.63E-05 3.19E-05 2.21E-04 2.88E-04 4.14E-05 2.69E-06 2.43E-01 6.40E-08 6.70E-06 4.14E-04 2.70E-06 6.29E-06 5.40E-01 1,28E+00 1.38E-02 3.92E-01 4.29E-01 8.25E-03 8.60E-03 4.77E-04 1.22E-05 1.31E-03
FGRI1 FGRII FGRI1 FGRII FGR11 FGRl FGR11 FGRII FGR11 FGR11 FGR1l FGRI1 FGRII FGR1I FGR11 FGRI1 FGRII FGRl1 FGRII FGRI FGR11 FGR1I FGR1I FGR11 FGR1I FGRII
Cm-243
Co-60 Cs-134 Cs-137+D Eu-152 Eu-154 Eu-155 Fe-55 Gd-152 H-3 Mn-54 Nb-94 Ni-59 Ni-63 Np-237+D Pa-231 Pb-210+D Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241i+D Ra-226+1D Ru-106 Sb-125 Sr-90+D
M
M M M M M
0
D D D D
M
M M M
HR HR
HR
Project: Yankee Rowe License Terminatlon Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
7
S.-
U.
Basis
_ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _
1
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
2
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
3
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
4
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
_
M edian
M M M M M M M M
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
D D D D D D D D
FGRII FGR11 FGRI1 FGRI I FGRI I FGR1I1 FGRlI (RESRAD Dose Conversion Library) FGRl1
NR
Am-241
Am-243+D C-14 Cm-243 Co-60 Cs-134 Cs-137+D Eu-152 Eu-154 Eu-155 Fe-55 Gd-152 H-3
M
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
3
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
D
D D D D D D D D D D D D D D 0 D D D D D
3.64E-03
3.63E-03 2.09E-06 2.51 E-03 2.69E-05 7.33E-05 5.OOE-05 6.48E-06 9.55E-06 1.53E-06 6.07E-07 1.61 E-04 6.40E-08 2.77E-06 7.14E-06 2.10E-07 5.77E-07 4.44E-03 1.06E-02 5.37E-03 3.20E-03
FGRI I FGRI I
FGRII FGRI 1 FGRI1 FGR11 FGRII FGRI1 FGRII FGRII FGR1I1 FGR11 FGR 1H FGRII FGRI FGR1i FGRII FGRII FGRII FGR1I FGR1 1
NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR H NR NR NR NR NR NR
HR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
HR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
HR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Mn-54
Nb-94 Ni-59 Ni-63 Np-237+D Pa-231 Pb-210+D Pu-238
------
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Basis
_I_
I I
Dlstributlon's Statistical Paramnetersd I NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 2 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
__
Pu-239
Pu-241+D Ra-226+D Ru-108 Sb-125 Sr-90+D Tc-99 Th-229+D Th-230 U-233 U-234
*
3 I
Median
M
M M M M M M M M M M
D
D D D D D D D D D D D S S S S S S S S
3.54E.03
6.85E-05 1.33E-03 2.74E-05 2.81E-08 1.53E-04 1.46E-08 4.03E-03 5.48E-04 2.89E-04 2.83E-04 2.67E-04 Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormai-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated
_lonormal-n
FGRlI
FGR11 FGR11 FGR11 FGR1I FGRII FGRI1 FGR1I FGRII FGRI1 FGRII FGRII NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, Att. C Att. C At. C Att. C
HR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 I 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 1.OE-03 4.OE-03 1.0E-03 1.OE-03 7.OE-01 1.OE-03 8.OE-02 4.OE-02 4.OE-02 2.OE-03 2.OE-03
U-235+D
Plant Transfer Factors (pCli/ plant)I(pClIg soil) Ac-227+D P 1 Ag-108m Am-241 Arn-243+D C-14 Cm-243 Co-60 Cs-134
_____________________________
I P P P P P P P P P 1 1 1 1 1 1
_
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
________
1 1 1
S S S
(Ref. 4)
(Ref. 4)
lognormal-n
Truncated bg__ notrmal-n
(Ref. 4)
-6.21 -6.21
Il
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Table I
Input Parameters for Sensitivity Analysis, Soil Resident Farmer Scenario
Parameter (unit) Eu-1 55 Fe-55 Gd-152 H-3 Mn-54 Nb-94 NI-59 NI-63 Np-237+D Pa-231 Pb-210+D Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241+D Ra-226+D Ru-106 Sb-125 Sr-90+ D TC -99
_____________________________
Type' P P
Priority 1 1 1
Treatmente Value/Distrlbution S
''_____
_
-~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Basis
Distribution's Statistical Parametersd 1 2 3 4 Aft. C Att. C Aft. C Aft. C At. C -6.21 -6.91 -6.21 1.57 -1.20 -4.61 -3.0 -3.0 -3.91 -4.61 -5.52 -6.91 -6.91 -6.91 -3.22 -3.51 -4.61 -1.20 1.61 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0
___lognormal_n_
Truncated
loanormal-n
Median
S S S $
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
loqnormal-n
P P P P p P P P P 1 1 1 1 1 1
Truncated
lognormal-n
Truncated
_ _ _ _ _ __ lognormal-n
0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 010.0
I
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
_
2.OE-03 1.OE-03 2.OE-03 4.8E+00 3.OE-01 1.OE-02 5.OE-02 5.OE-02 2.OE-02 .. OE-02 4.OE-03 1.OE-03 1.OE-03 . .OE-03 4.OE-02 3.OE-02 .OE-02 3.0E -01
1 S I S S S S
Truncated
2lonormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, Att C
Truncated
lognorrnal-n
Ref 4)
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
lognormal-n
Truncated
2ognormal-n
(Ref. 4)
NUREGICR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
NUREGICR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGI CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGtCR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, Att. C Att. C Att. C Att .C AUt. C
S P P P P P P 1 1 1
_______
1 1 1
S S S S S 1
logn__
Truncated
_ _ _ _ _ _ __lognormal-n
(Ref. 4)
NUREGtCR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
Truncated
_ _ _ _ _ lognormrnl__ _
Truncated Tr uncat e d
_________hgn___
N UREGICR-6697, Att C
(Ref 4)_
0.9
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Anaiysis for Soil
r--
~~~~~~~~~T---
Parameter (unit)
__ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___
Type' P
Basis
_ _ __I_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __
1
-6.91 -8.91 -8.21 -8.21 -6.21
2
0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
3
0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
4
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
M ed ia n
1.OE-03 1.0E.03 2.OE-03 2.OE-03 2.0E-03
1 1
s
__ _ __ _ __ _
_ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ __
P P P P
_
-
____
al-n
1
-
S
_______
Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognorm al-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormnal-n Truncated lognormaln Truncated
NUREGICR-6697, Att. C (R e f. 4 ) NUREG/CR-6697, AU. C (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, Aft. C (R ef. 4) NUREGICR-6697, AU. C
(Ref. 4)
NUREGICR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6897, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, AK. C Att C Aft. C Aft. C Att. C Att C Att. C Att. C Att. C Att. C Att. C Att. C At. C
2 2 2 2 2 2 22 2
S S S S S 5 S S S S S
_ _ _ _ _ _ ___
-10.82 -6.21 -9.90 -9.90 -3.47 _ -10.82 -3.51 -3.00 -3.00-8.21 -6.21 -6.21 -3.51
_ _ _ _
1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.4
_ _ _
0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 .0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
2.OE-05 2.OE-03 5.OE-05 5.OE-05 3.1E-02 2.OE-05 3.OE-02 5.OE-02 5.OE-02 2.OE-03 2.OE-03 2.OE-03 3.OE-02
P P P P P P P
______________
loanorm ai-n
Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognornal-n Truncated lognormaI-n Truncated no rmal-n Truncated lognorm al-n Truncated
(Ref. 4)
P P
2 2
Eu-155 Fe-55
Iog
NUREG/CR-6697. (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR46697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6897, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR4697, (R ef. 4) NUREGICR-6697,
(Re f. 4)
ognor
mt-a n
Project: Yankee Rowe License Terrnination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Type P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P p P
Priorityb Treatment 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
______
Value/Dlstributlon
Basis AK. C Att. C At. C AK. C AU. C AU.C AK. C AUt. C Aft. C AUt. C Aft. C Att. C Att. C AUt. C AU.C AUt. C AU.C AU. C At. C
_
Distribution's Statistical Parametersd 1 -6.21 -4.42 -8.91 -13.82 -5.30 -5.30 -8.91 -12.21 -7.13 -9.21 -9.21 -9.21 -6.91 -6.21 -6.91 -4.61 -9.21 -9.21 -9.21
_ _ _
S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
_________
Th-229+D Th-230
_ _ __ __ _ __ _ __ __ __ __ ___
2 .__ ___ 2
__ _
S
___ _ ___ ___ ___ __
S
_ __ _ __ _
Truncated NUREGICR-6897, bgnormal-n (Ref. 4) . Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormai-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREGICR-6697, lognornal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREGICR-6697, lognormai-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognornai-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, 2ognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREGICR-6697, lognormal-n (Re 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognofnal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, lognormal-n Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, h_gnormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, loQnornmal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697, og rm al-n n_Rf (R ef. 4 4) Truncated NUREGICR-B697, lognormal-n (Ref. 4) Truncated NUREG/CR-6697,
2 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0
3 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 ___ 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
4 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
Median 2.OE-03 1.2E-02 1.OE-03 1.0E-06 5.OE-03 5.OE-03 1.01E-03 5.0E-06 8.OE-04 1.OE-04 i.OE-04 1.OE-04 1.OE-03 2.OE-03 1.OE-03 1.OE-02
Iogno rm
lo
_ _ __
_ __ _
(Ref. 4)
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Truncated
lonormaln
(Ref. 4)
2 0.7 0.7
3 0.001 0.001
4 0.999 0.999
Truncated
-lognormal-n
Truncated
lonormral-n
NUREGtCR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4) NUREGtCR-6697, Aft. C
-7.13
0.7
0.001
0.999
8.0E-04
P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognorrnal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated bgnormal-n Truncated lognormalkn Truncated lognormai-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormna-n Truncated
(Ref. 4) (Ref. 4)
-13.12 -5.12 -13.12 -13.12 -4.4 -13.12 -6.21 -4.61 -4.61 -9.72 -9.72 -9.72 -8.11 -9.72 -4.6
0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.9
0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
2.OE-06 6.OE-03 2.OE-06 2.0E-06 1.2E-02 2.OE-06 2.OE-03 1.OE-02 1.OE-02 6.OE-05 6.OE-05 6.0E-05 3.OE-04 6.OE-05 1.OE-02 . -
NUREG/CR-6697, An. C NUREGtCR-6697, Alt. C (Ref. 4) NUREGtCR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR 6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, AUt. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, AUt. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
ognormal-n
Truncated lognormal-n
- - -
|~~~~~~~---
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
r-
Type P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P
Basis NUREGICR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, (Ref. 4) At. C AK. C AK. C Att. C AtK C AU. C AK. C At. C
Dlstributlon's Statistical Parametersd 1 2 3 4 -8.11 -13.12 -3.91 -3.91 -11.51 -12.21 -8.11 -13.82 -13.82 -13.82 -6.91 -10.82 -9.72 -AU. C AK. C AK.C -6.21 -6.91 -12.21 -12.21 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 . 0.999 . 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999 0.999
normai-n
iognormar-n
Truncated lognoinal-n Truncated lognormsan Truncated lognorma n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognonnal-n Truncated iognormah Truncated lognoffal-n Truncated lognormat-n Truncated Truncated lognornal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognorma 1-n Truncated lognormna-n Truncated lognormal-n Truncated lognormal-n
5.0E-06
-
3.OE-04 1.OE-06 1.OE-06 1.OE-06 1.OE-03 2.OE-05 6.OE-05 2.OE-03 1.OE-03 5.OE-08 5.OE-06 4.OE-04
(Ref. 4)
NUREG/CR-6697, Ad. C (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, AU. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, AU. C AK. C AtK C AU. C
iognorma1-n
S S
NUREGICR.6697. (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) . NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4L NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, (Ref. 4)
U-234
P p
2 2
S_ s
0.
0.00
0.001
.9
0.999
.
|4.015-04
---
Project: Yankee Rowe License Ternination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Type'
_ _ _ _
Basis
_ _ _ _ _ _
U-235+1D
P
.
2
-
S
.
Truncated
Iognormal-n
1~~~ -7.82
~ 1~ 3 ~~
0.001
~4 ~
0.999
~ Median ~~~~~
4.0E-04
0.6
P
Ag-108m__
2 2 2 2 2 2
_ _ _ _ _ _
S S S S 5 S S S S S
________
Lognormal-n Lognormal-n
_______ ______
2_S_Lognormal-n
NUREGICR-6697, AK. C
(Ref. 4) _
1.5E+O1 5.OE+00 3.0E+01 3.OE+01 4.0E+04 3.OE+01 3.OE+02 2.0E+03 2.E1+03 4.9E+01
_ _
P P P P P
_ _ _ _ _ __ __ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
NUREGICR-6697, Aft. C
(Ref. 4)
2_S_Lognormal-n_
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C
NURRef. 41
Am-243+D C-14 Cm-243 C0-60 Cs-134 Cs-1374D Eu-152 Eu-i 54 Eu-I 55 Fe-55 Gd-I52 H-3 Mn-54
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C NUREGICR-6697, At. C NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4)
P
________________________
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
~~~~~~~~~~ 4)
~~(Ref.
_ _ _
1.1
P P P P P P
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ __ _ _ _ _ _
NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C
(Ref. 4)
~~~~~(Ref. 4)_
S S S
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
~~~~(Ref. 4)
(R ef. 4)_
3.9
_ _ _ __
1.1
_ _ _
4.9E+01 4.9E+01
_ _
Lognormal-n
_______ ______
3.9
_ _ __ _ _
1.1
_
Lognorrnal-n
_ __ __ _ _ __
5.3
_ _ _ _ _
1.1
_ _ _
P P
_ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _
S S
_ _ _ _ _ _ _
Lognormal n Lognormal-n
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
NUREG/CR4697, AUt. C
(Ref. 4)
3.2 0
_ _ _ _
1.1 0.1
_
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C
P
__ __ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
S
__ _ __ __ _ _
Lognormal-n
__ _ __ __ _ __ _ __ _
NUREGICR-6697, Att. C
_
6
_ _ _ _
114.OE402
_ _ _
Il
Il
-----Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Type' P P
_
S S
_ _
Lognormai-n
__ _ __ __ __ _ __ __
~~ ~~(R ef. 4 )
( e. 4
2 1.1 1.1
___
2 2 2 2
P P
__ _ __ _ ___ _ __ _ __ __ _ _ _ ___ _ __ _ _ _ _
S S
_ __ _ __ _ _
NUREG/CR-6697. Att. C
_Ref. 4)
NUREG/CR.6697, Att. C
(Re f . 4 )
P
_ _ _ _
S
__ _ __ __ _ _
Lognormal-n
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __I
NUREG/CR-6697, AtL C
(Ref . 4)
Pb-210+D Pu-238 __ Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241+D Ra-22651 Ru-106 Sb-125 Sr-90+D TU-99 Th-229+D
___
___
__ ___
__
P 2 S P_____________ 2 S P 2 S P 2 S
_ ___ _ __ _ _ __ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ _ __ __ _
Lognormal-ri
__ __ _ __ __ __ __ _
___ __ _ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ __ __ __ _
~ (Ref . 4)
NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C NUREG/CR-6697, Att. C 4)2.0E+01 Alt C NUREG/CR-6697, Aft. C (Ref. 4) NUREGICR-6697, Att. C (Ref. 4) NUREG/CR-6697, Aut. C
2 2
_ _ _ _
1.1
_ _
P P
_ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
2 2 2 .__ _
S S 5
Lognormal-n
__ _ _ _ _ _ _
NUREGICR-6697, Att. C
_
4.1
_ _ _ _
1.1
_ _ _ _ _ _ _
6.OE+01 2.0E+01
_ _
Lognormai-n
_ _ __ __ __ __ _ __ _
NUREG/CR-6697, At. C
_
3
_ _ _ _
1.1
_
Lognormal-n
NUREG/CR-6697, At. C
-
4.6
1.1 _
9.9E+01
P P P
__ _ _ _ _ __ _ __ __ __ _ _ __ __ _ __ __
2 2 2 2
S 5 S
_ _ __ _ _ _
Lognormal-n
_ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Lognormal-n
_ __ __ _ __ __ __ __
4.6
_ _ _
1.1 1.1
_
2.3
_ _
_ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Lognormal-n
__ __ __ __ __ __ _
P
__ __ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ _ __ _ _ _ __ __ __ __
S
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Lognormal-n
_ __ __ _ __ __ __ _
2.3
_
1.1
_
2.3
_ _ __
1.1
_ _ _
1.05+01
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
IPriorityb ITreatmente
Value/Distrlbutionr I1
Basis
| Median
Ac-227+D
Ag-108m
P
P P P P P p P
3 3 3 3 3 3 3
D D D D D D D
1.00E+03 7.70E+02 1.00E+03 1.00E+03 9.10E+03 1.00E+03 2.00E+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+03 1.OOE+03 1.00E+03 3.20E+03 1.00E+03 1.00E+00 9.OOE+04 1.00E+02
RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD DefauKt RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Defaut RESRAD Defaul RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Defult RESRAD Defaul RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD DefauK RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default RESRAD Default
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
Am-241
Am-243+D C-14
Cm-243
Co-60 Cs-134 Cs-I37+D Eu-152 Eu-I 54 Eu-155 Fe-55 Gd-152 H-3 Mn-54 Nb-94 NW59 Ni-63 Np-237+D
3
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
D
D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
NR
NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
P
P P P P P P P P P
1.OOE+02
1.00E+02 4.00E+02 1.10E+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+02 2.50E+02 3.OOE+02 1.00E+02 1.00E+01
P
P P P P P P P P
Pa-231
Pb-210+D Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241+D Ra-226+D Ru-106 Sr-90+D
D
D D D
Sb-125
P P
RESRAD Default
HR HR HR
HR NR HR
HR HR HR
R HR HR
ll
Y
----------Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Type'
Basis RESRAD Defult RESRAD Defult RESRAD Default RESRAD Defut RESRAD
Th-229+D Th-230 U-233 U-234 U-235+D Graphics Parameters Number of points Spacing
P P P
3 3 3 3 3
D D D D D
NR
NR
NR
NR
P
P
Default
NR
NR
NR NR NR
NR
NR
NR NR NR
NR
NR
NR NR NR
NR
NR
NR NR NR
6.00E+0i1
32 log 17
RESRAD Deult
RESRAD Defaut RESRAD Default RESRAD Default
a P = physical, B - behavioral, M = metabolic; (see NUREGICR-6697, Attachment B, Table 4.) b 1 - high-prority parameter, 2 = medium-priorty parameter, 3 = low-priorKy parameter (see NUREG/CR-6697, Attachment B, Table 4.1) c D - deterministic, S = stochastic d Distributions Statistical Parameters: Lognormal-n: 1= mean, 2 = standard deviation Bounded lognormal-n: 1= mean, 2 = standard deviation, 3 = minimum, 4 = maximum Truncated lognormal-n: 1= mean, 2 = standard deviation, 3 = lower quantile, 4 = upper quantile Bounded normal: 1 = mean, 2 = standard deviation, 3 = minimum, 4 = maximum Beta: 1 = minimum, 2 = maximum, 3 = P-value, 4 = Q-value Triangular i = minimum, 2 = mode, 3 = maximum Uniform: 1 = minimum, 2 = maximum Additional SensKtivty Analysis Data: Sampling technique = Latin Hypercube Number of observations =300 Number of repettions = 3 Input Rank Correlation Coefficients: Thickness of contaminated zone and unsaturated zone = - 0.99 Well Pumping Rate and Irrigation Rate = 0.96 References: 1. Yu, C. et al., 'Data Collection Handbook to Support Modeling the Impacts of Radioactive Materlal in Soil"; US Department of Energy - Argonne National Laboratory, April 1993. 2. NUREG/CR-5512, Volume 3, "Residual Radioactive Contamination From Decommissioning: Parameter Analysis, Draft Report for Comment," October 1999. 3. Code of Federal Regulations, Title1 0, Section 20.1402, "Radiological Criteria for Unrestricted Use".
11
4. 5.
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
NUREG/CR-6697, Development of Probabilistic RESRAD 6.0 and RESRAD-BUILD 3.0 Computer Codes", December 2000. YA-REPT-00-002-03, Hydrogeological Parameter Estimates for Radiation Dose Modeling, April 2003.
I Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 621 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
Project: Yankee Rowe License Termination Plan Subject: RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil
The enclosed CD holds the pdf files containing the Resident Farmer Scenario sensitivity analyses input and output pages from the RESRAD mcsummar.rep and summary.rep reports. CD Name: File: YACALC-00-001-03 Sensitivity Analysis.pdf Deterministic Analysis.pdf
Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site Title YA-CALC-00-002-03 Calculation Number
Executive Summary: The resident farmer scenario of the probabilistic computer code RESRAD version 6.21 was used to determine the peak of the mean dose for radionuclides of interest at the Yankee Rowe site. The peak of the mean dose per unit radionuclide concentration was used to calculate the nuclide specific Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for residual radioactivity in soil to meet the regulatory annual dose limit of 25 mrernlyr.
Gr'~
ei&~o
(J6QADaL:
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
PURPOSE: ........................................................................................... SUMMARY OF RESULTS: ................. REFERENCES: ...................................................................................................... ASSUMPTIONS: .5 METHOD / BODY OF CALCULATION: .5 .................. 3 3 4
TABLES
Paqe
Table 1. Radionuclide Specific DCGL Values for Soil ................................................................... Table 2. Peak of the Mean Dose per Unit pCVgm as Determined by Probabilistic Analysis for the Resident Farmer Scenario ............................................................................. Table 3. Soil DCGL values and DCGL Dose Results . ................................................................... 3 6 7
ATTACHMENTS
No. of Pages Attachment 1. YA-CALC-00-002-03 CD ............................................................................. 2
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site PURPOSE:
The purpose of this calculation is to calculate nuclide specific Derived Concentration Guideline Level (DCGL) values using the peak of the mean dose determined in YR-CALC-00-001 -03, "RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil-Resident Farmer Scenario," (Ref. 1). This method is in accordance with the NRC guidance provided in NUREG-1727 and the draft NUREG-1757 (Ref. 2, Ref. 3). Compliance with dose guidelines is demonstrated by running RESRAD V 6.21 using the calculated values of the DCGL as the radionuclide soil concentration.
SUMMARY OF RESULTS:
NUREG-1 727 and Draft NUREG-1 757 both discuss the application of the peak of the mean dose to derive a nuclide specific DCGL value. The Sensitivity Analysis discussed in Ref. 1 used the probabilistic module in the RESRAD code to determine the mean dose distribution. The Sensitivity Analysis output also provides a summary of the peak of the mean dose and the time this peak occurs as determined from this dose distribution. The peak of the mean dose from a RESRAD run using a unit concentration for a particular nuclide is the Dose Conversion Factor (DCF) used for determining the DCGL. In the specific runs performed for this calculation, three repetitions were specified and the median of the three DCF results was used in the DCGL calculation. Table I summarizes the DCF values documented in YR-CALC-00-001-03 (Ref.1), with the exception of the nickel values, which were obtained following the protocol discussed in the "Method/Body of Calculation" section below. The calculated DCGL values are based on the regulatory dose limit of 25 mrem/yr (Ref 4).
Median DCF mremnyr per pCi/gm 6.626E-01 3.728E+oo 2.042E+00 2.073E+00 2.247E+00 5.353E-02 4.839E-01 5.445E-01 1.581 E-02 5.637E-01 5A93E-01
DCGL pCUgm 3.773E+01 6.706E+00 1.224E+01 1.206E+01 1.113E+01 4.670E+02 5.166E+01 4.591E+01 1.581E+03 4.435E+01 4.551E+01
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentraton Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site
REFERENCES:
1. YA-CALC-00-001 -03, "RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil-Resident Farmer Scenario," May 2003. 2. NUREG-1 727. "NMSS Decommissioning Standard Review Plan," September 2000. 3. NUREG-1 757. "Consolidated NMSS Decommissioning Guidance," Volume 2: Characterization, Survey and Determination of Radiological Criteria," Draft Report for Comment, dated September 2002. 4. Code of Federal Regulations, Title 10, Section 20.1402, "Radiological Criteria for Unrestricted Uses."
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site
ASSUMPTIONS:
The resident farmer scenario was chosen for the YR site as the conservative bounding4scenario for establishing DCGL values for residual radioactivity in soil in compliance with the regulatory limits of 1OCFR 20 (Ref. 4). A probabilistic analysis of the impact of parameter changes on the resultant dose is documented in Reference 1, "RESRAD 6.21 Sensitivity Analysis for Soil-Resident Farmer Scenario". Running the RESRAD code in conjunction with a unit radionuclide concentration, results in a dose conversion factor in mremlyr per pCi/gm. This dose conversion factor can be used to derive DCGL values that sctisfy the dose limit for the average member of the critical group as required by I OCFR Part 20, Subpart E and described in NUREG-1 727, Appendix C (Ref. 2). Inherent in the use of the peak of the mean dose are the assumptions that the true value of a parameter falls within the specified range and that the peak of the mean dose is the maximum value of the mean dose over the evaluation time. In the specific case at YR, deterministic values were determined for 26 site-specific parameters, including 20 hydro-geologic parameters and 6 site-area parameters that minimize the uncertainty in the results that are associated with the use of parameter distributions. METHOD I BODY OF CALCULATION: The nuclide specific sensitivity analysis documented in Ref. 1 was performed using the following sampling specifications in the uncertainty analysis: Random Seed = 1000, No. of Observations = 300 and No. of Repetitions = 3. An average or mean dose distribution is determined over time based on 300 samplings of each parameter distribution. A peak search routine identifies the peak of the mean dose for each repetition of the RESRAD run as well as the time that the peak dose occurs. The peak of the mean dose, obtained with a 1 pCVgm radionuclide concentration, is used as a dose conversion factor (DCF) to derive the DCGL value. RESRAD determines the peak of the mean dose for each of the 3 repetitions. A criterion for an acceptable
variation among the results was established for the runs using 300 observations and 3 repetitons. This acceptance criterion for the precision in the repetitions, set at 3%, was used to trigger an additional probabilistic analysis using 1000 observations (and 3 repetitions) to minimize the variation among the resultant dose distributions (or optimize the convergence of the dose curves). Results falling outside this criterion were re-run with 1000 observations. The nuclide DCGL was calculated using the median value of the three results. The median, which provides a measure of the middle of the data is, in the case of 3 reps, the middle value. The DCF was used to calculate the nuclide DCGL value according to the following equation.
DCGL (pCi/gm) = 25 mremlyr DCF (mrem/yr I pCi/gm)
Table 2 lists the DCF for each repetition of the run and the precision among the repetitions. For the nuclides with results falling outside the 3% criteria listed above, the results of the runs performed for 1000 observations are presented as well. Table 3 lists the median DCF value from Table 2 and the corresponding DCGL based on the equation above. The dose verification In column 4 of Table 3, as recommended In NUREG-1727, demonstrates that the median dose value resulting from exposure to a soil concentraton at the DCGL value derived in this manner does not exceed the regulatory dose criterion of 25 mrem/yr. The verification runs used all the same input parameters as the sensitivity analysis documented in Ref. 1. The three doses listed for each
Page 6 of 8 Subject: Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site nuclide in column 4 represent the results of the probabilistic code run with three repetitions and 300 observations as used in Ref. 1. Table 2 - Peak of the Mean Dose per unit pCi/gm as Determined by Probabilistic Analysis for the Resident Farmer Scenario-soil
Radionuclide H-3 C-14 Mn-54 Fe-55 Ni-59 1000 obs. Ni-63 1000 obs. Co-60 Sr-90 Nb-94 Tc-99 Ru-106 Ag-108m Sb-125 Cs-134 Cs-137 Eu-152 Eu-154 Eu-I 55 Pu-238 Pu-239 Pu-241 Am-241 Cm-243 Unit in mremf/yr per pCUgm Peak of the Mean Dose' Peak of the Mean Dose' Peak of the Mean Dose* Repetition 3 Repetition 2 Repetition i 2.932E-02 2.229E+00 1.153E+00 6.907E-04 6.01OE-03 6.222E-03 1.645E-02 1.703E-02 5.172E+00 9.270E+00 2.927E+00 9.883E-01 3.665E-01 2.934E+00 6.619E-01 3.751 E+00 2.042E+00 2.073E+00 2.246E+00 5.348E-02 4.714E-01 5.462E-01 1.578E-02 5.637E-01 5.493E-01 2.913E-02 2.219E+00 1.154E+00 6.923E-04 6.023E-03 6.239E-03 1.649E-02 1.708E-02 5.154E+00 9.330E+00 2.931 E+00 9.891 E-01 3.668E-01 2.932E+00 6.627E-01 3.688E+00 2.037E+00 2.074E+00 2.247E+00 5.353E-02 4.952E-01 5.445E-01 1.581E-02 5.639E-01 5.445E-01 2.947E-02 2.227E+00 1.156E+00 6.904E-04 6.550E-03 6.267E-03 1.793E-02 1.716E-02 5.167E+00 9.653E+00 2.930E+00 1.027E+00 3.655E-01 2.934E+00 6.626E-01 3.728E+00 2.052E+00 2.073E+00 2.248E+00 5.354E-02 4.839E-01 5.275E-01 1.624E-02 5.496E-01 5.582E-01 %precision among
Repetitions
0.58 0.24 0.13 0.15 4.97 0.36 4.95 0.38 0.18 2.19 0.07 2.21 0.19 0.04 0.07 0.86 0.37 0.03 0.04 0.06 2.46 1.92 1.61 1.47 1.26
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentraton Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site
H-3
_ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____ _____ ____ ___ ____ _____ ____
C-14
2.227E+00
1.123E+01
Mn-54
1.154E+00
2.166E+01
________ _______25.03
Fe-55
6.907E-04
3.620E+04
________ ________25.06
__24.99 _ _ _ __ _ _ .__
Ni-59
6.239E03
4.007E+03
Ni-63
1.708E-02
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ __ __ _ __ __ _ _ _
1.464E+03
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _2
.01
5.1 2
Co-60
5.167E+00
_ _ __ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ __ _
4.838E+00
__ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _2 .___ _ __
25.02
~2 4 .94
5 .0 0
5.0 1
Sr-90
9.330E+00
__ __ _ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
2.680E+00
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _2
24.84 25.87
Nb-94
2.930E+00
8.532E+00
24.97 25.01 25.00 24.98 25.00 25.96 25.00 25.02 24.93 25.00 24.98 25.00 24.97 25.01
Tc-99
9.891 E-01
2.528E+01
Ru-106
3.665E-01
6.821E+01
Ag-108m
2.934E+00
8.521 E+00
Sb-125
6.626E-01
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ __
3.773E+01
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _2
5 .0 0
Page 8 of 8
Cs-134
~~~~~~~~~24.73
25.00 25.00 24.94 25.12 25.00 25.01 _____
_ _25.00
25.16
Cs-137
2.042E+00
1.224E+01
Eu-152
2.073E+00
1.206E+01
Eu-154
2.247E+00
__________
1.1 13E+01
________________
25.00
~~25.01
25.02 24.98 25.00 25.00 24.35 25.58 25.00 25.08
Eu-155
5.353E-02
4.670E+02
Pu-238
4.839E-01
5.166E+01
Pu-239
5.445E-01
4.591 E+01
25.00
24.22 Pu-241 1.581 E-02 1.581 E+03 24.95 25.00 25.68 25.00
5.01
Am-241
5.637E-01
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _
4.435E+01
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _2
_ _
~I
__
I__
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site
Attachment I YA-CALC-00-002-03 CD
Project: Yankee Rowe Ucense Termination Plan Subject: Derived Concentration Guideline Levels for Soil at YNPS Site
The enclosed CD contains the electronic image files containing the Resident Farmer Scenario DCGL Dose Verification output pages from the RESRAD V6:21 mcsummar.rep and summary.rep reports. The DCGL Deterministic Input.pdf is included to demonstrate that the calculated DCGL value was used as the initial radionuclide concentration. The DCGL Dose Verification.pdf is included to show the annual dose corresponding to a radionuclide concentration equal to the calculated DCGL values. The Sensitivity Analysis.pdf is provided to show the DCF values determined in the probabilistic runs discussed in Ref. 1. Two Files are also provided containing the Nickel runs with 1000Observations. CD Name: File: YA-CALC-00-002-03 DCGL Deterministic Input.pdf Deterministic Input_Ni_1000.pdf DCGL Dose Verification.pdf DCGL Dose Verification_Ni_1000.pdf Sensitivity Analysis.pdf