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WESTERN NEW ENGLAND UNIVERSITY POLLING INSTITUTE

Massachusetts Statewide Telephone Survey

Casino Gambling
November 5-11, 2013

TABLES
Next, we'd like to ask you some questions about casinos. Massachusetts is considering licensing up to three casinos in the state. Do you support or oppose establishing casinos in Massachusetts? (Note: The question wording varied slightly in April 2010 -- Next, we'd like to ask you some questions about casinos. Massachusetts is considering licensing two casinos in the state. Do you support or oppose establishing casinos in Massachusetts? The question posed in the latest survey is identical to the wording of the question in the October 2009 survey.) Support or Oppose Establishing Casinos in the State Dont know/ Refused (Vol.) 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 5% 4% 8% 4% 5% 6% 14% 5% 6% 7% 8% 4% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6%

Support Nov. 5-11, 2013 Adults Registered voters April 11-15, 2010 Adults Registered voters Oct. 18-22, 2009 Adults Registered voters Party identification** Democrat Republican Independent Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older Education High school or less Some college College graduate Household income Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 Casino regions $100,000 or more Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod 61% 60% 58% 58% 56% 56% 62% 51% 62% 64% 58% 78% 59% 56% 46% 59% 78% 55% 57% 69% 61% 62% 61% 62% 65%

Oppose 33% 33% 35% 33% 34% 36% 30% 39% 33% 32% 33% 18% 36% 39% 40% 36% 16% 38% 35% 28% 32% 32% 33% 31% 29%

N* 517 467 528 481 522 468 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146 309 108 95

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding. ** Party identification was measured with the following question: In politics today, do you consider yourself a Democrat, Republican, Independent or something else?

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Do you support or oppose having a casino in your community? Support or Oppose Having a Casino in Your Community Support Nov. 5-11, 2013 Adults Registered voters April 11-15, 2010 Adults Registered voters Oct. 18-22, 2009 Adults Registered voters Party identification Democrat Republican Independent Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older Education High school or less Some college College graduate Household income Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 Casino regions $100,000 or more Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod 42% 42% 41% 43% 38% 37% 39% 40% 45% 46% 38% 53% 38% 43% 32% 46% 56% 35% 49% 44% 49% 37% 42% 37% 47% Oppose 55% 55% 53% 52% 57% 58% 57% 58% 52% 51% 59% 46% 61% 54% 60% 51% 41% 62% 47% 55% 50% 60% 54% 60% 52% Dont know/ Refused (Vol.) 3% 3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 7% 4% 3% 3% 4% 1% 0% 2% 4% 3% 1% N* 517 467 528 481 522 468 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146 309 108 95

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.

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The following two questions rotated in random order in the survey. If casinos opened in the state, how likely would you be to go to a casino to gamble? Likelihood of Going to a Casino to Gamble Very Likely Nov. 5-11, 2013 Adults Registered voters Adults Registered voters Republican Independent Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older High school or less Some college College graduate Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 $100,000 or more Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod 14% 14% 14% 13% 17% 22% 11% 14% 13% 21% 14% 9% 9% 12% 12% 15% 15% 10% 11% 18% 13% 10% 16% Somewhat Likely 28% 26% 23% 22% 25% 18% 29% 31% 24% 40% 24% 25% 21% 30% 39% 22% 26% 27% 39% 27% 24% 24% 44% Not Very Likely 20% 21% 20% 19% 23% 18% 18% 20% 19% 16% 19% 22% 21% 28% 20% 17% 21% 28% 15% 17% 21% 25% 14% Not At All Likely 38% 39% 43% 45% 34% 42% 42% 34% 43% 23% 43% 44% 49% 30% 29% 46% 37% 35% 36% 38% 42% 42% 26% Dont know/ Refused (Vol.) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N* 517 467 522 468 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146 309 108 95

Oct. 18-22, 2009

Party identification Democrat

Education

Household income

Casino regions

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.

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If casinos opened in the state, how likely would you be to go to a casino to see a show or concert? Likelihood of Going to a Casino to See a Show or Concert Very Likely Nov. 5-11, 2013 Adults Registered voters Adults Registered voters Democrat Republican Independent Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older High school or less Some college College graduate Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 $100,000 or more
Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod

Somewhat Likely 27% 31% 35% 36% 32% 34% 29% 29% 26% 18% 31% 33% 24% 28% 23% 29% 23% 31% 30% 22% 24% 24% 36%

Not Very Likely 17% 16% 16% 16% 18% 11% 16% 19% 15% 12% 16% 19% 24% 20% 13% 18% 20% 18% 8% 18% 19% 11% 13%

Not At All Likely 16% 16% 17% 17% 14% 19% 16% 13% 19% 6% 14% 18% 33% 17% 10% 18% 23% 15% 12% 18% 19% 21% 6%

Dont know/ Refused (Vol.) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N* 517 467 522 468 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146 309 108 95

40% 37% 32% 31% 36% 35% 38% 39% 40% 64% 39% 29% 19% 34% 55% 35% 34% 37% 51% 43% 38% 43% 45%

Oct. 18-22, 2009

Party identification

Education

Household income

Casino regions

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.

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Do you think casinos will improve the quality of life in Massachusetts, reduce the quality of life in Massachusetts, or will they make no difference to the quality of life in the state? (The options improve the quality of life and reduce the quality of life rotated in random order in the question.) Casinos Impact on the Quality of Life in Massachusetts Improve the quality of life Nov. 5-11, 2013 Adults Registered voters Party identification Democrat Republican Independent Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older Education High school or less Some college College graduate Household income Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 $100,000 or more
Casino regions Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod

Reduce the quality of life 26% 27% 25% 42% 25% 26% 26% 15% 30% 30% 33% 20% 15% 33% 22% 23% 28% 28% 26% 26% 26%

Make no difference 41% 39% 42% 30% 38% 40% 41% 43% 38% 42% 39% 35% 39% 44% 23% 38% 40% 53% 45% 34% 31%

Dont know / Refused (Vol.) 5% 6% 6% 8% 5% 3% 7% 2% 7% 4% 8% 9% 3% 4% 11% 6% 3% 3% 6% 4% 5%

N* 517 467 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146
309 108 95

28% 28% 27% 21% 33% 31% 25% 40% 25% 25% 20% 36% 42% 19% 44% 33% 30% 17% 24% 36% 38%

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.

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Do you think casinos will improve the quality of life in the communities where they are located, reduce the quality of life in the communities where they are located, or will they make no difference to the quality of life in the communities where they are located? (The options improve the quality of life and reduce the quality of life rotated in random order in the question.)

Casinos Impact on the Quality of Life in the Communities in Which They are Located It depends. Impact will vary by community. (Vol.) 6% 7% 4% 8% 9% 6% 7% 2% 6% 9% 7% 6% 8% 6% 7% 5% 3% 6% 7% 9% 5%

Improve the quality of life

Reduce the quality of life 39% 40% 40% 45% 37% 42% 36% 34% 42% 39% 44% 26% 30% 48% 33% 36% 40% 40% 39% 34% 38%

Make no difference

Dont know/ Refused (Vol.)

N*

Nov. 5-11, 2013

Adults Registered voters Democrat Republican Independent

21% 23% 20% 27% 24% 22% 20% 15% 23% 26% 21% 31% 22% 16% 19% 28% 22% 22% 18% 33% 24%

31% 27% 31% 16% 28% 29% 33% 46% 28% 23% 22% 33% 39% 27% 40% 29% 32% 29% 33% 23% 31%

3% 3% 5% 4% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2%

517 467 173 64 222 244 273 53 112 177 162 103 113 295 87 112 99 146 309 108 95

Party identification

Gender

Male Female

Age

18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older High school or less Some college College graduate Under $35,000 $35,000 to $69,999 $70,000 to $99,999 $100,000 or more
Region A Boston area and Central MA Region B Western MA Region C South Shore and Cape Cod

Education

Household income

Casino regions

*Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of all adults with the exception of the categories for party identification, which include only registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.

8 METHODOLOGY The Western New England University Polling Institute survey consists of telephone interviews with 517 adults ages 18 and older drawn from across Massachusetts using random-digit-dialing Nov. 5-11, 2013. The sample yielded 467 adults who said they are registered to vote in Massachusetts. Unless otherwise noted, the figures in this release are based on the statewide sample of all adults. Paid interviewers at The Polling Institute dialed household telephone numbers, known as landline numbers, and cell phone numbers using random samples obtained from Survey Sampling International of Shelton, CT. In order to draw a representative sample from the landline numbers, interviewers first asked for the youngest male age 18 or older who was home at the time of the call, and if no adult male was present, the youngest female age 18 or older who was at home at the time of the call. Interviewers dialing cell phone numbers interviewed the respondent who answered the cell phone after confirming three things: (1) that the respondent was in a safe setting to complete the survey; (2) that the respondent was an adult age 18 or older; and (3) that the respondent was a resident of Massachusetts. The landline and cell phone data were combined and weighted to reflect the adult population of Massachusetts by gender, race, age, and county of residence using U.S. Census estimates for Massachusetts. The data also were weighted to adjust for cell phone and landline usage based on state-level estimates for Massachusetts from the National Center for Health Statistics. All surveys are subject to sampling error, which is the expected probable difference between interviewing everyone in a population versus a scientific sampling drawn from that population. The sampling error for a sample of 517 adults is +/- 4.3 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. Thus if 55 percent of adults said they support establishment of casinos in Massachusetts, one would be 95 percent sure that the true figure would be between 50.7 percent and 59.3 percent (55 percent +/- 4.3 percent) had all Massachusetts adults been interviewed, rather than just a sample. The margin of sampling error for the sample of 467 registered voters is +/- 4.5 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample. Sampling error does not take into account other sources of variation inherent in public opinion studies, such as non-response, question wording, or context effects. Established in 2005, the Western New England University Polling Institute conducts research on issues of importance to Massachusetts and the region. The Institute provides the Universitys faculty and students with opportunities to participate in public opinion research. Additional information about the Polling Institute is available at www1.wne.edu/pollinginst.

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