SEKOLAH MENENGAH KEBANGSAAN LAKI-LAKI METHODIST JALAN HANG JEBAT, 50150 KUALA LUMPUR Section A [45 marks] Answer

all questions in this section

For a project, a student asked 40 people to draw two straight lines with what they thought was an angle of 75 between them, using just a ruler and a pencil. She then measured the size of the angles that had been drawn and her data are summarised in this stem and leaf diagram 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 1 0 5 1 5 0 5 0 5 2 8 1 5 1 6 1 6 4 9 3 7 1 6 1

3 8 2 7 3

4 9 3 7 4

3 9

4 9

Key: 4 | 1 = 41o (a) Find the median and quartiles of the data. (b) Draw a box plot representing these data on a graph paper. (c) Describe this distribution. [3 marks] [3 marks] [1 mark]

In a large restaurant, an average of 3 out of every 5 customers ask for water with their meal. A random sample of 10 customers is selected. (a) Find the probability that (i) Exactly 6 ask for water with their meal, [2 marks] (ii) Less than 9 ask for water with their meal. [3 marks] A second random sample of 50 customers is selected (b) Find the smallest value of n such that P ( X n) 0.9 where the random variable X represent the number of these customers who ask for water. [3 marks]

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For a geography project a student studied weather records kept by her school since 1993. To see if there was any evidence of global warming she worked out the mean temperature in degrees Celsius at noon for the month of June in each year. Her results are shown in the table below. Year Mean Temperature (oC) 1993 21.9 1994 24.1 1995 20.7 1996 23.0 1997 24.2 1998 22.1 1999 22.6 2000 23.9

(a) Plot a scatter diagram showing these data. [2 marks] The student wanted to investigate further whether or not her data provided evidence of an increase in temperature in June each year. Using Y for the number of years since 1993 and T for the mean temperature, (b) Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient for these data. [4 marks] (c) Comment on your result in relation to the students enquiry. [1 mark]

A group of office workers were questioned for a health assurance policy. exercise. When questioned about their eating habits always eat breakfast

2 were found to take regular 5

2 said they always eat breakfast and, of those who 3

9 also take regular exercise. 25

Find the probability that a randomly selected worker (a) always eats breakfast and take regular exercise. [3 marks] (b) does not always eats breakfast and does not always take regular exercise. [3 marks] Determine, giving your reason, whether or not always eating breakfast and taking regular exercise are statistically independent. [2 marks]

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The wage rates paid and number of employees in each of three categories are shown below for the years 1983 and 1988. 1983 Categories A B C Wage Rate (RM) 3.80 3.50 3.00 Number of employees 150 250 500 1988 Wage Rate (RM 4.40 3.90 3.30 Number of employees 200 300 400

Calculate both base and current weighted index numbers with 1983 as base to show the change in wage rates. Explain why the results differ. [7 marks]

The data below showed the number of unemployed population of a certain country for the year 1988, 1989 and 1990. Number of Unemployed (Thousand) Quarter 2 3 24 25 23 23 21 20

Year 1988 1989 1990 1 36 32 28

4 30 27 25

If the seasonal factors based on the additive models are as follows: Quarter 1 +4 2 -3 3 -3 4 +2

(a) Write the seasonally adjusted number for this data. [3 marks] (b) Write the equation for the trend line and forecast the number of unemployed population for the first quarter of the year 1991. [5 marks]

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Section B (15 marks) Answer any one question in this section

Happyholidays is a travel company which organizes package holidays that are sold through a number of travel agents. It decides to offer the travel agents a bonus if they can increase the number of holidays sold by 10% or more. The number of Happyholidays holidays sold by Ajay, a travel agent is shown in the table below. 2007 May-Aug 98 2008 May-Aug 85 2009 May-Aug 76

Jan-Apr 145

Sept-Dec 121

Jan-Apr 123

Sept-Dec 101

Jan-Apr 118

Sept-Dec 74

(a) Calculate values of a suitable moving average. [3 marks] (b) Plot the moving average on the given graph and the determine the appropriate model for this data. [2 marks] (c) Estimate the seasonal effects on this data and obtain the equation for the trend line. [8 marks] (d) Hence calculate how many holidays Ajay needs to sell during January-April 2010 to exceed the current trends by at least 10%. [2 marks]

Alfred and Benny play a game, each starting with cash amounting to RM100. Two dice are thrown. If the total score is 5 or more then Alfred pays RM x , where 0 x 8 , to Benny. If the total is 4 or less then Benny pays RM ( x 8) to Alfred, Show that the expectation of Alfreds cash after the first game is RM (304 2 x) . (a) Find the expectation of Alfreds cash after six games. (b) Find the value of x for the game to be fair. (c) Given that x = 3, find the variance of Alfreds cash after the first game.

1 3

[6 marks] [2 marks] [3 marks] [4 marks]

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