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This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.
ANSWER
1





[2M]
[1M]







[2M]
[1M]
2. a) Simple aggregate price index 100
0
=

x
x
n

120 100
4 8 10 12 11
5 10 13 12
=
+ + + +
+ + + + a

a =14
b) Laspeyres Price Index 100
0 0
=

q p
q p
n n

100
) 5 ( 4 ) 3 ( 8 ) 2 ( 10 ) 2 ( 12 ) 2 ( 11
) 5 ( 5 ) 3 ( 10 ) 2 ( 14 ) 2 ( 13 ) 2 ( 12

+ + + +
+ + + +
=
= 120.9
The housewifes expenditure on fish in year 2012 increased by 20.9% when
compared with 2011.




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3a)

stem leaf
4 1 4 8
5 0 2 7 8
6 2 3 6 6 7 7 8
7 0 0 2 4 4 7
8 5 7
9 3
10 8






2M
b)




1M


1. a) P(only one of the two bulbs is in good
condition ,replacing the first bulb)
= 2
80
20
80
60

= 0.375

b) P(only one of the two bulbs is in good
condition, with the first bulb not
returned into the box)
= 2
79
20
80
60

= 0.3797
[1M]


Key: 4 1 means 41
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STPM 950/2
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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

2
67
12
) 24 (
2
1
Median
=
=
=
th
th


5 . 57
2
58 57
6
) 24 (
4
1
Q
1
=
+
=
=
=
th
th

74
18
) 24 (
4
3
Q
3
=
=
=
th
th






1M
c.
75 . 32
) 5 . 57 74 (
2
3
5 . 57
) (
2
3
Q boundary Lower
1 3 1
=
=
= Q Q

75 . 106
) 5 . 57 74 (
2
3
74
) (
2
3
Q boundary Upper
1 3 1
=
=
= Q Q


Outlier = 108







1 M





2M
4a)


Interquartile range =
1 3
Q Q
= 74 -57.5 = 16.5

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3


5.

2M


6 a) Graph
Year Quarter Unemployed 4-quarter Centred 4-quarter Deviation
3M
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4
school
leavers
moving
average
moving average
(t)
(y-t)
2010 1 22
2 12
43.75
3 110 43.625 66.375
43.50
4 31 45.25 -14.250
47.00
2011 1 21 52.00 -31.000
57.00
2 26 61.875 -35.875
66.75
3 150 70.375 79.625
74.00
4 70 75.250 -5.250
76.50
2012 1 50 76.000 -26.000
75.50
2 36 80.500 -44.500
85.50
3 146
4 110

b) seasonal variation
Year Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
2010 66.375 -14.250
2011 -31.000 -35.875 79.625 -5.250
2012 -26.000 -44.500
Unadjusted
seasonal
variation
-28.500 -40.188 73.000 -9.750
Correction
factor
-1.3595 -1.3595 -1.3595 -1.3595
Seasonal
Variation
-27.14 -38.83 74.36 -8.39


C) The least square method
482
2
=

x 66 =

x 79418
2
=

y 784 =

y 4627 =

xy

12
) 66 (
482
12
) 784 )( 66 (
4629
2

= = 2.664











1M




[1M]
[2M]
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5
|
.
|

\
|
=
12
66
664 . 2
12
784
a =50.68
Regression line, y = 50.68+2.664x
For the first quarter of the year 2013,
e
T = 50.68+2.664(13) = 85.312
Unemployed school leavers for the first quarter of the year 2013
=85.312+ (-27.14) = 58.172 ~ 59

Or
Average quarterly increment =
7
625 . 43 5 . 80
=5.2679
For the first quarter of the year 2013,
e
T = 80.5 + 3 x 5.2679 = 96.304
Unemployed school leavers for the first quarter of the year 2013
= 96.304 + (-27.14)= 69.164 ~ 69


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1M

7a Histogram

b) 5 . 62 ) 125 (
2
1
2
1
= = N

minutes 58 . 30 ) 1 (
30
45 ) 125 (
2
1
30
2
1
Median,
=
|
.
|

\
|

+ =
|
.
|

\
|

+ = c
f
F N
L M
m











2M

x f fx
2
fx
Cumulative
frequency,F
26.5 6 6
28.5 12 18
29.5 27 45
30.5 30 75
31.5 18 93
32.5 14 107
33.5 9 116
34.5 4 120
37.5 5 125

5 . 3861 =

fx 25 . 119905
2
=

fx



89 . 30
125
5 . 3861
, Mean = = =

f
fx
x
220 . 2 ) 89 . 30 (
125
25 . 119905
, Deviation Standard
2
2
= = =

f
fx
f
fx
o
1M


2M
c. Pearson coefficient of skewness 1M

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STPM 950/2
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6
=
deviation standard
median) 3(mean
= 4189 . 0
2.220
) 58 . 30 3(30.89
=

The distribution is positively skewed or skewing to the right.

1M
7d)
.
The number of times a bus arrives at town B between 0830 hours and 0836
hours = 122-45 = 77






























2M
8a) Let X be the number of books read by an adult
Then, ) 5 (
0
P X ~
a)
1404 . 0
! 3
) 5 (
) 3 (
3 5
=
= =

e
X P

b) In 5 years, 25 5 5 = =




1M
1M



1M
[
T
y
p
e

a

q
u
o
t
e

f
r
o
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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

7
0 . 1
! 2
) 25 (
! 1
) 25 (
! 0
) 25 (
- 1
)] 2 ( ) 1 ( ) 0 ( [ 1 ) 2 (
2 25 1 25 0 25
=
(

+ + =
= + = + = = >

e e e
X P X P X P X P

1M
b)(i)
0.0228
0.9772 - 1
2) P(z - 1
2) P(z
10
50 70
) 70 (
=
=
< =
> =
|
.
|

\
|
> = > z P X P

Hence, percentage of candidates = 0.0228 x 100% = 2.28%
(ii)

76 . 44
524 . 0
10
50

0.524 z
0.70 z) P(Z
70 . 0
10
50
70 . 0 ) (
=
=

=
= s
=
|
.
|

\
|
>
= >
x
x
x
Z P
x X P

Hence, minimum marks required = 45








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1M








2M


1M


8c) Expected number, 8 ) ( E = = np x
Variance, Var (x) = npq = 1.6

8
6 . 1
=
np
npq

q = 0.2 p = 0.8 n = 10 ) 8 . 0 , 10 ( ~ X
(i) P( a teacher chosen at random owns a proton car) = 0.8
(ii) P( exactly 4 teachers from the group own Proton cars)
= P(X = 4)
=
4 10 4
4
10
) 2 . 0 ( ) 8 . 0 (

C = 0.005505





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