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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT

02nd DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP


COMMODITY GOLD SILVER CRUDE NATURAL GAS COPPER NICKEL LEAD ZINC ALUMINIUM CONTRACT OPEN PRICE 30047 44096 5772 246.60 444 829.70 127.70 114.80 106.10 HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE +0.03 +0.62 +1.40 -0.49 +0.26 +0.77 +0.04 +0.60 +0.05

05 DEC 2013 05 DEC 2013 18 DEC 2013 26 DEC 2013 29 NOV 2013 29 NOV 2013 29 NOV 2013 29 NOV 2013 29 NOV 2013

30330 44649 5885 248 452.95 855.40 130.6 117.65 109.25

30015 43986 5761 243.2 447.85 837.3 128.7 115.95 107.95

30236 44274 5839 246.70 450.85 848.4 129.65 117.1 108.35

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (28 - NOV- 2013)


METAL ALUMINIUM COPPER LEAD NICKEL TIN ZINC
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TONNES IN STORAGE

74700 -5375 -500 -48 90 -2200


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INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD GOLD SPOT COMEX SILVER COMEX COPPER PLATINUM SPOT

USD/t oz. USD/t oz. USD/t oz. USd/lb. USD/t oz.

1,246.10 1,246.76 19.83 319.80 1,366.75

-4.30 -6.59 -0.20 -0.70 +2.65

-0.34% -0.53% -1.01% -0.22% +0.19%

Feb 14 N/A Mar 14 Mar 14 N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY CRUDE OIL (WTI) CRUDE OIL (BRENT) RBOB GASOLINE NYMEX NATURAL GAS NYMEX HEATING OIL
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UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

USD/bbl. USD/bbl. USd/gal. USD/MMBtu USd/gal.

93.19 110.14 267.80 3.90 304.75

+0.47 +0.45 +1.52 -0.05 +1.67

+0.51% +0.41% +0.57% -1.34% +0.55%

Jan 14 Jan 14 Jan 14 Jan 14 Jan 14


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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-Dec

106.48

107.22

107.78

108.52

109.08

109.82

110.38

COPPER

28-Feb

443.05

445.45

448.15

450.55

453.25

455.65

458.35

CRUDEOIL

18-Dec

5648

5704

5772

5828

5896

5952

6020

GOLD

5-Feb

28917

29035

29134

29252

29351

29469

29568

LEAD

31-Dec

126.80

127.75

128.70

129.65

130.60

131.55

132.50

NATURALGAS

26-Dec

239.13

241.17

243.93

245.97

248.73

250.77

253.53

NICKEL

31-Dec

820.6

828.9

838.7

847.0

856.8

865.1

874.9

SILVER

5-Mar

44638

44981

45413

45756

46188

46531

46963

ZINC

31-Dec

114.45

115.20

116.15

116.90

117.85

118.60

119.55

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS

Symbol SILVERMICRO CRUDE OIL NATURAL GAS SILVER M COPPER SILVER NICKEL GOLD M COPPERMINI LEADMINI

Expiry Date
30-11-2013 18-12-2013 26-12-2013 30-11-2013 28-02-2014 05-12-2013 31-12-2013 05-12-2013 28-02-2014 31-12-2013

LTP
44392.00 5863.00 246.00 44410.00 450.30 44400.00 849.00 30119.00 450.35 129.50

Value (In Lacs)


2,56,95,86,528.00 32,18,66,974.00 1,04,67,054.00 1,14,37,35,140.00 1,03,33,034.10 64,77,51,600.00 1,23,47,007.00 42,35,33,378.00 61,03,143.20 13,87,592.50

Volume (In Lots)


57,884 54,898 42,549 25,754 22,947 14,589 14,543 14,062 13,552 10,715

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS

SPECIAL NEWS :

COMMODITY BUZZ :

China's crude steel output rose 8.3 percent year on year to 652.48 million tonnes in the first ten months of 2013, faster than the 2.1percent increase seen in the same period last year. Output of rolled steel rose 11.6 percent from a year ago to 888.32 million tonnes during the same period last year. China continues to be the largest consumer of largest varieties of commodities produced in the world; and as 2013 draws to a close, the dragon country is going to be the top global consumer of the most valuable commodity: Gold. China's demand for jewellery, bars and coins rose 30 per cent to 996.3 tonnes in the year to September. The gold consumption was three times higher than the 47.5 tonnes last year. In October, China imported a whopping 131 tonnes of gold from Hong Kong alone.

The year 2014 will find the Rogers International Commodity Index (RICI) reducing its exposure to crude oil while raising that of Natural Gas, Gold and Silver. WTI Crude will be reduced by 5.0% Index Weight to 16.0%. Brent will be reduced by 1.0% Index Weight to 13%. Each of Natural Gas, Gold and Silver will be increased by 2.0% Index Weight to 5.0%, 5.0% and 4.0% respectively. Each of these changes will be implemented in two phases: 50% during the January 2014 roll period, occurring at the end of January 2014, and the remaining 50% during the February 2014 roll period, occurring at the end of February 2014.

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MARKET OUTLOOK

GOLD OUTLOOK
On Friday a recovery was seen in Gold, it took support of 29950 and bounce, although in evening session a sharp decline was seen due to profit booking in upper level. Gold Feb contract trading in discount at 29234, we expect recovery in Feb contract above 29500 up to 29800/30000.

SILVER OUTLOOK
Silver is holding its bearish outlook, a sideways market was seen on Friday, we expect silver can give some recovery up to 45500 and if it sustains above this level price can go up to 46000/46800 level, on the other side below 43950 level silver can crash up to 43500/43000

COPPER OUTLOOK
Copper Feb contract still is in range bound trend. 440 level is giving support to the price, Copper is also giving recovery in LME, we expect MCX copper can give a correction to 440 and than recover up to 455 level.

CRUDEOIL OUTLOOK
Crude Oil recovers on Friday after tacking support at 5760 but still price is in pressure. We expect more downfall in crude oil below 5760 level. A firm recovery seems to take place only above 5930 level up to 6000/6050.

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


GOLD MCX: SILVER MCX:

BUY GOLD ABOVE 30330 TGTS 30430/30580 SL 30180 SELL GOLD BELOW 30150 TGTS 30050/29950 SL 30300

BUY SILVER ABOVE 44650 TGTS 44900/46300 SL 44350 SELL SILVER BELOW 43950 TGTS 43700/43400 SL 44250

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TODAYS ECONOMIC EVENTS


Time Counrty Event Monday, December 2
05:20 07:15 08:00 14:00 14:18 14:23 14:58 19:00 20:30
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Actual Forecast Previous

JPY CNY JPY CHF EUR EUR GBP USD USD

Capital Spending (YoY) Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks SVME PMI French Manufacturing PMI German Manufacturing PMI Manufacturing PMI Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks ISM Manufacturing PMI

1.5% 50.8

3.1% 50.5

0.0% 50.4

55.0 47.8 52.5 56.0

54.2 47.8 52.5 56.0

55.0

56.4

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