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Generating Monthly Cash Income From Fully Amortizing Consumer Term Loans
as of July 2012
Ye ar
ye ar
ye ar
2.61% 2.77%
30
ye ar
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
OUR TARGET
9% - 11% Interest
Provide investors with consistent cash income without taking significant principal risk
9% - 11% interest income net of all fees and expenses Average duration of 30 months Highly diversified portfolio No leverage
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
2012 Over the past 30 years, cash yields on most investments have declined while interest rates on consumer loans and credit cards have remained high
6%
4% 2% 0%
T-bills 10 yr TNotes 10 yr Munis 30 yr TBonds 30 yr Munis Consumer Credit
Credit spreads on unsecured consumer credit are attractive on both a relative and absolute basis and have proven durable over a variety of interest rate cycles
Source: Federal Reserve
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
PRIME & SUPER-PRIME BORROWERS Dominant Loan Purpose is Credit Card Pay-Offs
Loan Purpose
Credit Card Pay-Off Personal
Business Home Other
712
Target Loans
Prime Super-Prime
800+ 790 - 799 780 - 789 780 - 789 770 - 779 760 - 769 750 - 759 740 - 749 730 - 739 720 - 729 710 - 719 700 - 709 690 - 699 680 - 689 670 - 679 660 - 669 650 - 659 640 - 649 630 - 639 620 - 629 610 - 619 600 - 609 590 - 599 580 - 589 570 - 579 560 - 569 570 - 579 560 - 569 550 - 559 540 - 549 530 - 539 520 - 529 510 - 519 500 - 509 <500
WEAK
MODERATE
STRONG
EXCELLENT
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
Ed the Electrician
+ + + + + + + + Lives in Indiana Has had the same job for 10+ years Makes $86,000 a year Has a FICO score of 718 Hasnt had a delinquent payment in at least 5 years Owns his own home Wants to borrow $7,000 to pay-off all his credit card debt His local banker doesnt make installment loans anymore
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
BANKS
LENDING PLATFORMS
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
Be the Bank
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
One borrower
Multiple lenders
More borrowers means further diversification by geography, employers, and other borrower characteristics
The Fund holds a fraction of any single loan, for example $2,000 of a $6,000 loan. Fractional ownership permits broader diversification each invested dollar participates in more loans
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
DATA COLLECTION
+ Borrower completes detailed online questionnaire + Data collected from IRS database + Data collected from ADP and/or Paychex + Data collected from FICO providers + Lending Platform does manual credit verification as necessary
CREDIT SCORING
+ Lending Platforms utilize proprietary credit scoring models based on FICO and heuristic credit variables + Loan is Rated & Priced (APR)
DATA VERIFICATION
+ Borrower provides requested physical data including W-2; tax returns; pay stubs + Lending Platforms perform manual and automated random data verifications
LOAN SERVICING
+ Serviced by originating Lending Platform + ACH Collections
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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We look for:
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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1 This example is for sample purposes only and the Fund's allocation among Risk Rating Segments will vary 2 Before direct expenses of the Fund, Management and Acquisition Fees 3 The General Partner has negotiated Lender Incentives with certain Lending Platforms that eliminate this fee
4 Estimated 9% - 11% annual return to investors after all fees and expenses
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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EXPERIENCED TEAM
Howard Freedland CFA, CIO & Portfolio Manager Previously CIO of F500 Advisory Services Experienced Hedge Fund Manager Experienced Executive Simon Leach, Chief Operations Officer COO of Mickelson Capital Consulting and member of the Investment Policy Committee Marketing Director of Office Depots Direct Business Division
David Mickelson ChFC, CEO Founder & Principal of Mickelson Capital Consulting and its affiliates RIA since 1995 Accredited Estate Planner and Chartered Financial Consultant with over 20 years experience providing sophisticated wealth management services to ultra-high net worth individuals and family offices and their trusted advisors
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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FUND STRUCTURE
FUND STRUCTURE
3(c)(1) Delaware Limited Partnership SEC registered notes issued by specially formed trusts (Notes) secured with fully amortizing consumer loans with three & five year terms Generate monthly cash income by investing in a highly diversified portfolio of Notes Purchase a large number of Notes laddered by acquisition date with various characteristics such as risk categories based on likelihood of default, borrower characteristics, geographic location, and loan type Monthly. $250,000 minimum investment Each investor must be an accredited investor as defined by the SEC Monthly with 30 day advance notice. Since Notes are illiquid, withdrawals are treated as a separate Share Class and principal and interest are distributed as received. The Fund may purchase a withdrawing Partners Interest but is not obligated to do so 1. Reinvestment: Investors may elect to reinvest principal and interest earned or; 2. Distribution: Investors may elect to receive (a) a fixed payment per month; or (b) a percentage of their capital account
ASSETS
STRATEGY
DIVERSIFICATION
DISTRIBUTION SUB-CLASSES
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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SUMMARY OF TERMS
NET ASSET VALUE NAV is calculated and reported on a tax (cash) basis. Each non-defaulted loan is carried at its currently amortized principal balance. Defaulted loans are written off immediately against the current months income Fund expenses including custodial expenses, third party administration, audit, tax and legal expenses are paid directly by the Fund The General Partner may negotiate purchaser inducements from loan platforms that originate Notes. All purchaser Inducements will be paid directly to the Fund 2% per annum paid monthly in arrears Negotiated rate for institutional investors, RIAs and FoHFs .25% one-time fee of Notes acquired in the prior 4 months No performance fee Monthly electronic/paper statements provided by the Administrator Millennium Trust Company Opus Fund Services Rothstein Kass Paul Hastings
PARTNERSHIP EXPENSES PURCHASER INDUCEMENTS MANAGEMENT FEE LOAN ACQUISITION FEE PERFORMANCE FEE REPORTING CUSTODIAN ADMINISTRATOR AUDITOR LEGAL COUNSEL
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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POTENTIAL RISKS
Reputation Risk + Government is increasing regulation on a wide range of consumer lenders + Loan collection procedures are a key area of concern Economic Risks + Limitations on maximum lending rates + Limitations on loan fees + Economy may worsen + Loan payments are influenced by the unemployment rate Tax Risks + Tax rates on earned income may rise significantly + Tax rates on passive income may rise significantly
Please review the Direct Lending Fund I, L.P. placement memorandum for a more extensive discussion of potential risks
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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CONTACT INFO
Direct Lending Advisors, LLC
301 Mission Avenue, Suite 209 Oceanside, CA 92054 (760) 804-8050
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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APPENDIX 1
Online Consumer Lending Exchanges
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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Years ago clipping coupons from bonds was the province and passion of people in retirement. Today a tidal wave of aging boomers want income, but traditional sources are lacking. Ten-year Treasurys yield 1.6%. Safe-money bank CDs? 0.5%. Investment-grade corporate bonds are delivering 3.2%. So coupon clippers are seeking alternatives. Thats why dividend stocks and annuities are all the rage. But theres another neat source of high yield that relatively few consider. Peer-to-peer lending, or making personal loans via the Internet using websites like LendingClub.com and Prosper.com. After six years of experience and some bumps, including a financial crisis and ensuing recession, peer-to-peer (P2P) lending has finally earned its place on an income investors menu. The basic premise of these bank disintermediaries is that they harness the networking power of the Web to match people who have excess cash with people in need of it or those who simply want to refinance credit card debt. The key to its success has been how the sites have managed the inherent riskiness of unsecured personal loans. Believe it or not, it is now possible to earn yields of 6% or more, making relatively safe loans to complete strangers. Los Angeles financial advisor Brendan Ross committed $300,000 of his own money to Lending Club in early 2011. Based on his quarterly interest payments he claims he has accrued about $40,000 in income to date. Annual yield: 10.2%. Id been tracking the P2P space pretty much since inception, Ross says. I was waiting to feel like its loan underwriting model had matured. San Franciscos Lending Club is the largest P2P lender, followed by its crosstown rival Prosper. There are also a host of microlending sites, but their loans are generally low-rate or non-interest-bearing, as they go to people in emerging economies. Lending Club and Prosper have loaned a total of more than $1 billion since inception, in 112,000 loans. Lending Club currently issues about $45 million in loans a month versus Prospers $13 million per month. Prosper ran afoul of the SEC in 2008 and temporarily shut down to revamp its risk-assessment model. At Lending Club, after a quick registration you can sort through hundreds of potential loans. Each loan has its own risk rating, term (either 36 or 60 months) and rate of return. Loans with the highest ratingbased on the borrowers FICO score and some proprietary analysispay in the 5% to 9% rangeabout the same as junk bonds. Interest rates on riskier loans range as high as 31%. Both companies also offer diversified funds of aggregated loans and IRA options. Lending Club and Prosper vet thousands of loan applications, whittling down the pool to only those borrowers the company deems least likely to default. Renaud Laplanche, cofounder and CEO of Lending Club. says his firm declines about 90% of all borrower applications, focusing on the 10% of borrowers with the best credit. Of course defaults happen. Lending Clubs top-rated three-year loans expect a default rate of around 1.4%, and the riskiest loans, offering rates as high as 25%, have a 9.8% default rate. By contrast junk bonds have an average default rate of 1.9%. Its prudent to opt for the pools of hundreds of P2P loans both sites offer. Thats how advisor Ross is earning 10%, despite a handful of defaults on direct loans he made. Indeed, Lending Clubs website prominently features the statistic that investors who have at least $20,000 spread over 800-plus loans have never lost a dollar of their initial capital. John Mack, former chairman of Morgan Stanley, is a convert to P2P lending. After committing several million of his own capital to such loans, he joined Lending Clubs board in April. Says Mack: Three-year Treasurys are about 40 basis points. Lending Clubs more conservative fundthree years, amortizing quarterlyis about 7%. Given where short-term rates are today, theres a real opportunity here.
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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APPENDIX 2
The Consumer Lending Market
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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10.8%
Banks have earned an average of 10.8% per year on average over the past 25 years
(Source: Federal Reserve data; 1985 - 2010)
16%
14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
Estimate of 181 million credit card holders in the United States (58% of population) Positive lending spread in 25 of 26 years throughout volatile economic and interest rate cycles. Analysis does not include additional fees charged by banks Banks keep majority of consumer loans on their balance sheets due to steady profitability
15.5% 10.8%
4.7%
2%
0%
Interest Rate Charge-Off Net Spread
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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+ 36 month average charge-offs are less volatile than nominal charge-offs + Investing over time further reduces charge-off risk
All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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All statements made herein are confidential and made for informational purposes only. No offering of securities is being made hereby.
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